Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez - podcast cover

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeezmacrohive.com
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Episodes

Ep. 334: Mark Farrington on Dollar Dominance, China's Gold Play and Crisis Catalysts

Mark Farrington is a Global Macro and Geopolitical Strategist and author of the 'Watchtower Reports,' which cover topics ranging from geopolitical risk to Bank of Japan monetary policy to US dollar dynamics. He previously served as Managing Director and Portfolio Manager of the Macro Currency Group at Principal Global Investors, where he worked for fifteen years. Before that, he spent 17 years in the Asia-Pacific region, primarily with Bankers Trust. In this podcast, we discuss: US Embrace of In...

Nov 14, 202556 minEp. 334

Ep. 333: David Samra on Value Investing, AI Returns, and Bad Management Teams

David Samra is a managing director of Artisan Partners – the $180bn global multi-asset investment platform. He is founding partner of the International Value Group, and portfolio manager of the Artisan International Value Fund, which he has managed since the portfolio's inception in September 2002. David has been nominated for the Morningstar International Stock Fund Manager of the Year Award six times. In this podcast, we discuss: Economic Value Added (EVA) and what makes a good business versus...

Nov 06, 202559 minEp. 333

Ep. 332: Miguel Gutierrez on Argentina's Transformation, Latin American Opportunities, and Private Market Arbitrage.

Miguel Gutiérrez is a Partner and Head of Private Markets, at The Rohatyn Group (TRG) - a global asset manager that specialises in emerging markets and real assets. Prior to joining TRG in October 2004, Miguel served as the Chairman and CEO of the Telefónica Group in Argentina and Chairman of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A. He also served as the non-executive Chairman of YPF S.A. from April 2016 to December 2019. Earlier in his career, Miguel held numerous senior positions at J.P. Morgan, inc...

Oct 30, 202547 minEp. 332

Ep. 331: Gordon Hanson on US Manufacturing Fetishisation, Job Loss, and the Middle Class

Gordon Hanson is the Peter Wertheim Professor in Urban Policy at Harvard Kennedy School and Academic Dean for Strategy and Engagement at Harvard Kennedy School. He is best known for his research on the labour market consequences of globalisation, including pioneering work on the China trade shock. Hanson's current research addresses the causes and consequences of regional job loss, the effectiveness of place-based policies in alleviating regional economic distress, and how the energy transition ...

Oct 23, 202534 min

Ep. 330: Paul Cavey on US-China Trade War, Japan Politics and Taiwan Imbalances

Paul Cavey is a China-focused Asia economist with twenty-five years of experience covering the region. He runs East Asia Econ. Previously, he was a macro strategist in the global bond team at Wellington Management, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities and chief China economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit. In this podcast we discuss US-Chine trade war escalation, state of China's economy and Japanification, PBoC's next move, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insight...

Oct 16, 202556 min

Ep. 329: Shiloh Bates on CLO Risks, Private Credit and Macro Read-Through

Shiloh Bates is a Partner and Chief Investment Officer. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director at Benefit Street Partners. During his 20-year career, Mr. Bates has worked for several CLO managers and has been one of the largest investors in CLO securities. He wrote the book, CLO Investing with a focus on CLO Equity and BB Notes. He is also the host of the CLO Investor Podcast. In this podcast we discuss private credit boom, growth in covenant-lite loans, industry concentration in CLOs, and mu...

Oct 10, 202535 min

Ep. 328: Diane Coyle on GDP, Digital Gaps and Invisible AI Economy

Diane Coyle is the Bennett Professor of Public Policy at the University of Cambridge. She is the Research Director at the Bennett School of Public Policy. Diane's latest book is 'The Measure of Progress: Counting What Really Matters'. Her own research focuses on productivity, the digital economy and AI policy, and economic measurement. She has been writing about the effects of digital technologies since her first book, 'The Weightless World', in 1997. Diane is currently a member of the UK Govern...

Oct 02, 202525 min

Ep. 327: Ryan Hass on China's Patient Power Play, and US-China Relations

Ryan Hass is director of the John L. Thornton China Center and the Chen-Fu and Cecilia Yen Koo Chair in Taiwan Studies at Brookings. He is also a senior fellow in the Center for Asia Policy Studies. Ryan focuses his research and analysis on enhancing policy development on the pressing political, economic, and security challenges facing the United States in East Asia. Before Brookings, Ryan served as the director for China, Taiwan and Mongolia at the National Security Council (NSC) staff. Prior t...

Sep 25, 202531 min

Ep. 326: Jon Turek on Fed Cuts, Recession Risks and Political Risks

Jon Turek is the founder and CEO of JST Advisors, a hedge fund advisory service that publishes a weekly research note with global macro trade ideas. JST Advisors works closely with hedge funds on developing asymmetric macro trade ideas and market themes. Outside of JST Advisors, Jon worked as a portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and as an analyst at Moore capital. In this podcast we discuss whether the US labour market normalising or signalling recession, how much will Fed end up easing, impact ...

Sep 18, 202541 min

Ep. 325: Chris Hughes on Misunderstood Fed Chairs, Fed Balance Sheet and Offshore Dollars

Chris Hughes is an economist and author who now serves as Chair of the Economic Security Project, a leading nonprofit advocating for economic power for all Americans. Chris was a cofounder of Facebook. He is the author of 'Fair Shot: Rethinking Inequality and How We Earn' and 'Marketcrafters'. In this podcast we discuss understanding market crafters that use state power to shape markets, importance of Bretton Woods collapse in late 1960s/1970s, Eurodollar and offshore dollar markets, and much mo...

Sep 11, 202548 min

Ep. 324: Alberto Gallo on Western Debt Crisis, Real Assets and US Surprises

Alberto Gallo is Chief Investment Officer and Co-founder at Andromeda Capital Management. Prior to that, Alberto initiated and ran the Global Credit Opportunities fund at Algebris Investments. Previously, he ran macro credit research at RBS in London and served in senior research roles at Goldman Sachs in New York, Bear Stearns in New York and London, and Merrill Lynch in London. In this podcast we discuss the Western debt crisis, monopolisation and rising inequality, demographic problems, and m...

Sep 03, 202532 min

Ep. 323: Jonathan Xiong on China, Dollar and Using AI in Asset Management

Jonathan Xiong is the founder and CEO/CIO of Arrowpoint Investment Partners, a new Asia-focused hedge fund. Prior to starting Arrowpoint, Jonathan was the Co-CEO of Millennium Management Asia for five years. Before that, he was Head of Fixed Income Alternatives and the lead Portfolio Manager for the GS Global Opportunities Fund at Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM) for seven years. Prior to joining Goldman Sachs, Jonathan was a Managing Director and Senior Portfolio Manager at Mellon Capital ...

Aug 28, 202548 min

Ep. 322: Rerelease – Adam Frank on Aliens, AI and Climate Collapse

Adam Frank is a professor of astrophysics at the University of Rochester. A self-described 'evangelist of science,' Adam regularly writes and speaks about subjects like intelligent life forms in the universe, high-energy-density physics, space exploration and missions, climate change and more. In this podcast we discuss public science communication and scientific denialism, intersection of science, art and spirituality, searching for aliens – SETI and the Fermi Paradox, and much more. Follow us ...

Aug 21, 20251 hr 4 min

Ep. 321: Antonio Del Favero on Favourite Rates Trades, Fed and Dollar

Antonio Del Favero is a macro strategist at Macro Hive. He focuses mainly on the US economy and G3 rates markets. Formerly, he worked at various macro hedge funds, including Tudor, Maniyar Capital and Brevan Howard. He holds a master's in finance from the ETH/University of Zurich and a master's in economics from Bocconi University. In this podcast we discuss the importance of financial conditions, why the US slowed in 2025 H1, impact of US tariffs, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing ...

Aug 14, 202533 min

Ep. 320: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Weak US Growth, Fed Independence and AI Impact

Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics. This episode covers labour's declining share of income; economic stagnation, pro-business forces winning against antitrust, less immigration reducing supply and economic ...

Aug 07, 202535 min

Ep. 319: Phil Suttle on Slowing US, Delayed Tariff Impacts and China Investment

Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we discuss US labour supply problem, state of the US consumer and weaker growth, Fed policy, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macr...

Jul 31, 202543 min

Ep. 318: Brad Setser on Trump Tariffs, China's Surging Surplus and Dollar Policy

Brad Setser is the Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. His expertise includes global trade and capital flows, financial vulnerability analysis, and sovereign debt restructuring. He regularly blogs at Follow the Money. Brad served as a senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022, where he worked on the resolution of several trade disputes. He had previously served as the deputy assistant secretary for international economic analysis...

Jul 24, 202552 min

Ep. 317: George Selgin on Trump Tariffs, Fed Independence and Dollar Vulnerability

George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute and professor emeritus of economics at the University of Georgia. He is the author of numerous books. His latest is 'False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933–1947'. In this podcast we discuss re-interpreting the New Deal, parallels between Roosevelt (FDR) and Trump, problem with rapid policy changes, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing in...

Jul 17, 202545 min

Ep. 316: Kyle Keane on AI, Forecasting and Turning Blind

Dr. Kyle Keane is a Senior Lecturer in Assistive Technologies at the University of Bristol, where he leads research at the intersection of artificial intelligence, human cognition and assistive technology design. With a background in quantum computing and computational physics, he applies the scientific rigor of a physicist to studying human perception and the engineer's precision to designing technologies that translate complex information into interpretable, multi-sensory experiences. Previous...

Jul 10, 20251 hr 4 min

Ep. 315: Keyu Jin on What Everyone Gets Wrong on China

Keyu Jin is a global economist and author. She is an academic member of the China Finance 40 Group and has worked with the World Bank, the IMF, and the China Banking Regulatory Commission, and is a non-executive board member of the luxury conglomerate Richemont and Jardine Matheson. Born and raised in Beijing, she attended high school and college in the United States and holds a PhD in economics from Harvard University. In this podcast we discuss coming to the US (from China), beyond ideological...

Jul 03, 202547 min

Ep. 314: Marvin Barth on Trump's US Resurgence, No Fed Cuts and Dire Europe

Marvin Barth is the creator of Thematic Markets and 'Seriously, Marvin?!' Thematic Markets is rigorous, institutional-quality research aimed at market professionals, while Seriously, Marvin?! presents more accessible takes on contrarian musings Marvin does not have time to research at Thematic Markets. Both publications benefit from the uniquely broad perspective on the global political economy Marvin has gained from a three-decade career spanning nearly every asset class, academia, central bank...

Jun 27, 20251 hr 4 min

Ep. 313: Tom Montag on the Undiscovered Potential of Carbon Markets

Tom Montag is the founding Chief Executive Officer of Rubicon Carbon. Tom has over 20 years of experience in financial markets. Previously, he was the Chief Operating Officer and President of global banking and markets at Bank of America. Tom was also a member of the company's executive management team, overseeing all businesses serving corporations, institutional investors and government entities. Before this Tom was a partner at Goldman Sachs, a member of the management committee, and was co-h...

Jun 19, 202538 min

Ep. 312: Deepak Gurnani on Five Steps for Using AI in Investing

Deepak Gurnani is the Founder and Managing Partner of Versor Investments. He is the former CIO of Investcorp's Hedge Fund Group and was one of its founding members in 1996. Deepak was also a member of its Management Committee. He retired from Investcorp in March 2013. Prior to Investcorp, Deepak spent six years with Citicorp. In this podcast we discuss everyone talking about data being important gets it wrong, five steps of applying AI/machine learning in investment management, conventional vs. ...

Jun 12, 202541 min

Ep. 311: Ralph Sueppel on Quant Trading Macro the Right Way

Ralph Sueppel is Managing Director for Research and Trading Strategies at Macrosynergy. Previously, he was an Executive Member and Portfolio Manager at Graham Capital. During his tenure there, he created the Systemic Risk and Systematic Value Project (now Macrosynergy Research), a non-profit project dedicated to educating the broader financial community on the merits of socially responsible macro trading strategies. Before Graham, Ralph was head of quant macro and algorithmic strategies at UBS a...

Jun 05, 202548 min

Ep. 310: Helen Thomas on Trump's Controlled Demolition Strategy

Helen Thomas is the CEO of Blonde Money, an independent consultancy firm that analyses and monitors mispriced risks in financial markets in the US, UK and the EU. Helen has a long and distinguished career in both finance and politics. She was an adviser to the former Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne. Previously, Helen has been a partner in the global macro hedge fund, ABD Investment Management, and a former Head of Currency Alpha for State Street Global Advisors. In this podcast we di...

May 30, 202550 min

Ep. 309: Adam Frank on Aliens, AI and Climate Collapse

Adam Frank is a professor of astrophysics at the University of Rochester. A self-described 'evangelist of science,' Adam regularly writes and speaks about subjects like intelligent life forms in the universe, high-energy-density physics, space exploration and missions, climate change and more. In this podcast we discuss public science communication and scientific denialism, intersection of science, art and spirituality, searching for aliens – SETI and the Fermi Paradox, and much more. Follow us ...

May 23, 20251 hr 4 min

Ep. 308: Tobias Harris on Why Japan Matters

Tobias Harris is the Founder and Principal of Japan Foresight LLC. He has observed Japan as a political risk analyst at Teneo Intelligence and as a researcher at universities and think tanks. He is also Senior Advisor for Japan at Aurora Macro Strategies. Tobias is the author of 'The Iconoclast: Shinzō Abe and the New Japan'. In this podcast we discuss how Japan became key US ally since WW2, why Japan shifted its view on its global role since 2000s, Abe Shinzo's role in transforming Japan's poli...

May 16, 202553 min

Ep. 307: Michael Sandel on Populism, Saving Democracy, and Tyranny of Merit

Michael Sandel teaches political philosophy at Harvard University. His writings – on justice, ethics, democracy, and markets – have been translated into more than 30 languages. His course 'Justice' is the first Harvard course to be made freely available online and on television, being viewed by tens of millions worldwide. Michael has served on the President's Council on Bioethics and is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Michael's books relate enduring themes of political phi...

May 09, 20251 hr 12 min

Ep. 306: Ken Rogoff on Dollar Decline, Debt Worries and Fed Independence

Kenneth Rogoff is Maurits C. Boas Professor at Harvard University, and former chief economist at the IMF. He has long ranked among the top dozen most cited economists and is an international grandmaster of chess. His influential 2009 book with Carmen Reinhart, This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, shows the remarkable quantitative similarities across time and countries in the roots and aftermath of debt and financial crises. Rogoff is also known for his pioneering work on c...

May 02, 20251 hr 53 min

Ep. 305: James van Geelen on 'Haves vs Have Nots' Theme, AI and Tariffs

James van Geelen, founder of Citrini Research, which specializes in illuminating and demystifying the transformative 'megatrends' poised to shape societies, economies, and the market's distribution of returns for years to come. In this podcast we discuss crossovers between emergency medicine and trading, importance of a beginner's mindset, humility, and learning from others, macro and micro equals one feedback loop, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/h...

Apr 25, 202549 min
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