It's a Numbers Game: The Numbers Behind Polling for the 2026 Midterms

When I have a big scoop like that, though that's a little bit on the gospel side, I'm going to share with you because otherwise a reporter's going to scoop it, and you guys should get it first because you're my loyal audience. I had a family reunion last week actually, and one of my cousins who listens to the pod said to me, I really like your show. There's a little too much math in it, so episode I'm going to try to break that up a little bit with

episodes that aren't so math intensive. And this episode is both a little math intensive and has a narrative a story to it that I think is important something that the Trump administration is doing that people should know. So I wanted to do a catch up episode on all the data that has broken in the last week because I've had a lot of guests, heavy episodes and more thematic episodes. So this one is on the twenty twenty

six midterms, right. I want to talk about the generic ballad because it's how will affect us in a nation depending on who wins the midterms. So the congressional generic ballad, which is overall how people are feeling in the country. They don't talk about a specific race, but you know who they are likely to support. It shows that Republicans have slipped about a point or two in the last month. The Real Clear Politics polling average shows it's a D

plus three five race. That means that the nation as a whole is voting about three point five percent more Democrat than Republican. Now, remember the twenty twenty four election was an R plus two race, so that represents a five point five percent swinging towards the Democrats from the previous election. Also remember this, I need this to be a very important covey when I say we're talking about polling. Polling does not predict the future. Polling is a snapshot

of the present. Things can change, things will change, but it's important to know where people are. The economy is really not great for a lot of people. I know a lot of people applying for jobs, first time jobs, college rees and college grads with graduates who are smart, people who are hardworking, and they cannot get an interview for a job. They cannot find a job. It's rough.

Interest rates are still pretty high, not high compare like the nineteen seventies, but they're high in general, and prices are still high. We're still dealing with the overall ramifications of printing too much money during President Biden's time in office. All that's still there. And I think that people hope for a magic wand that Trump would fix everything, and

it has not happened. So a D plus three zero point five race is better for Republicans than the twenty eighteen election, but it likely means it's very likely, means they're going to lose the House representatives. The Senate is still probably safe for a Republican. I mean, it would be very difficult for Democrats to actually win the Senate at this time. But DP plus three point five means states like Michigan and Georgia, which are potential pick up

races for Republican It's very difficult. It becomes very difficult in those states to sit there and see how they win those states, and it also becomes really hard for them to see how they hold North Carolina and potentially Maine. I mean, Main's a weird state. So put that to the side. Because Susan Collins is her own animal and it's a unique set of circumstances. There hasn't been a

ton of recently high quality polling. If you look at the results from the Fabrizio Lee Pole, which is published in the Most Journal in April than July, it shows about a one point shift towards Democrat. The Signal poll also shows about a one point shift towards Democrat. In the generic ballot Quantus Insight, which was a really good pollster in twenty twenty four, they have a two point

swing towards Democrats. And the CMBC poll, not a high quality poll, but it's worth mentioning has a three point shift towards Democrats. Very few polls have had any kind of shift towards Republican Atlas Intel did, but they're i mean, they're saying it's going to be a Democratic landslide. So it's one point doesn't mean anything. Emerson also has a one point swing towards Republican, so not great news for Republicans going into key swing states and key Senate races.

In the twenty twenty six elections. The Georgia Senate race had a good poll for Republican congress from Mike Collins, someone I know a little bit. I've spoken him a few times. I think he's a really good guy. He's got a lot of legislative accomplishments for somebody who hasn't spent decades in office. He's only been there for I think maybe four or six years. But it had him only one point behind Democrat John Ossop in the state

of Georgia. Allins can win the sea, but he's gone going to need the national environment to improve, not I would say significantly. It's gonna have to improve for him to win the seat, maybe by one point five to two points in order him to win the seat. Otherwise they're going to blame Republicans, the people of the votable, blame Republicans for everything bad, and it will take him down like everybody else. In North Carolina, an Emerson pole found that former Governor Roy Cooper has a six point

lead over R and C chairman Michael Wattley. This is I believe Wattley's first time ever running for office. Cooper is a great recruit for Democrat. He was a popular governor in a purple state. Who is young enough that I mean he's not young he's like sixty eight, but I mean, I guess in the Senate he's young enough. He's young enough. Just seems like he's not tainted by politics because he's only ever run for state positions. He's

not tainted by DC politics in this poll. And I'll admitted it's an early poll because his election is not until November of twenty twenty six. Cooper has a benefit of winning more Republicans than Wattley does Democrat, and Cooper is crushing it with independence right now. Even though North Carolina hasn't elected a Democrat to the sentences two thousand and eight, that doesn't mean that they can't win this year.

I remember Roy Cooper has never lost an election statewide in North Carolina, and I was looking it up in twenty twelve when he was running for Attorney general. I think for the re elect Republicans didn't even put forward a challenger, and that was the year that Romney won North Carolina, he almost lost the governor's race in twenty sixteen as well. And had any of those races gone the other way, or had they even pit up a challenger, I don't know why he was running unopposed for a

state wide office. At least, you know, throw Joe Schmo up there and hope for a miracle, because once in a while it does happen. They just let him, you know, have an easy, one hundred per easy ride victory. He also, I mean in the twenty sixteen governor's race, he would have lost had the Libertarians not run a candidate. The Libertarian can for Governor got two percent of the vote in it, and he Roy Cooper only won by eleven thousand votes. So another case of a third party candidate

really ruined it for Republicans. It will be a tough seat to hold. It's not impossible, but it's going to be a tough seat because Roy Cooper is probably the top recreit they could have gotten for this election cycle. Now, there is an election this year that I want to talk about too. Elections actually won the New Jersey Governor's race. There was a poll from stem site Research. It's a new research company, but it's from the Polsters of Monmouth,

which are very well respected polsters in the state. I honestly think that they get things really way too off to get as much respect as they do. But they have a long history of getting things right. But they've had a couple of doozies, and when they I meanies, when I mean doozies, I mean doozies in polling, but before that decades of correct polling. So they find that Democrat Mickey Cheryl leading Republican Jack Chitdarelli by six points

forty eight to forty two in the Garden State. That doesn't seem great, but remember four years ago Chitterarelli was down in the same in the Mammoth Pole, the same people who did this poll by sixteen points against incumbent Governor Phil Murphy, and that race wasn't even considered close, it wasn't considered worth paying attention to. Chitarelli is the underdog in this fight, but it is not the same

state that it was four years ago. I think people need to remember that as we're heading towards these very important governor elections, like including in Pennsylvania, a top recruit announced they're running against Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania. I think it's important to remember that it's not the same state. Right in Pennsylvania, the Democratic advantage in voter enrollment is five hundred thousand fewer than it was three years ago

the first time he ran. When he ran in twenty twenty two, when Oshapi ran for governor, Democrats had five hundred There was five hundred and sixty thousand more registered Democrats than Republicans. As of now, and we are still eighteen months from the election, there were only sixty thousand more Democrats than Republicans. Once again, super popular governor probably going to win, has the advantage, but there's a lot less, you know, meet on the bones for the Democratic base.

The same is true in New Jersey. In November twenty twenty one, Democrats had one million, seventy thousand more registered Democrats than Republicans. Bill Murphy always had that advantage of over a million registered voters. Since then, in the four years since that election, there are forty thousand fewer Democrats and one hundred and sixty thousand more Republicans. So and that was a race that Murphy won by eighty four thousand votes, and the Republican advantage has increased by two

hundred thousand in that four year period. So if there's any kind of polling error like there was four years ago, Chittarelli was supposed to lose by like eight points, and I think he lost by two and a half. If any kind of polling error exists this time, like it did last time, and like it has done in several

other elections. But if that polling error exists of five to six points, that new voter enrollment advantage in New Jersey of two hundred thousand, one hundred and sixty thousand more Republicans forty thousand fewer Democrats means Chitarelly has a chance. You know, he's not in the lead. It's not a super tight race right now, but he's the underdog. But he has a chance. The election is not over in New Jersey, New York City, the mayor's election in my

home city. This one hurts because it's basically over. It is. If there was anyone in political leadership in this godforsaken city with two brain cells of scratched together and start a fire, we could have a chance. A new Siena poll, which only had a sample survey of three hundred, so it's not a very high sample survey, but it has Mandani Zoram Mandani socialist candidate winning with nineteen points against

former Governor Andrew Cuomo. Mandani has forty four percent, Cuomo has twenty five, Republican Curtis Leewa has twelve, and incumbent Mayor Eric Adams has seven percent. Now, I don't know why these four numbskulls are the candidates that we have to lead the biggest city in America. I don't know why Catherine Garcia didn't run. She would have. She's a Democrat, I don't agree with all of our policies. She would

have actually been able to run the city. I fundamentally believe she could run the city and make it function and make sure we weren't falling into the abyss. She wasn't a thirty three year old IVY list with no job experience, or a disgraced former governor, or an insane person who peaked in the eighties, or a disgraced outgoing mayor. She was a competent woman. She's a Democrat and agree policies, but she could have. I don't know why we're stuck

with this group. It's extremely frustrating when there were really good candidates who could have run the race and done it. All these candidates are flawed, every single one of them. Only one has a path to beat Mondonnie, and it's Andrew Cuomo. I know that it's not comfortable to say I've never voted for Andrew Cuomo. I don't like Andrew Cuomo. He was a horrible governor. Well it was okay, it's like a few years of his first term, but after that it just fell off the cliff. It was just horrific.

He handled COVID terribly. What I find from and this is maybe a cynical view from a conservative Democrats oftentimes I find in many of these blue states when they are governors, are all about managing decline, managing the decline of New York, which is really sad from somebody who lived my entire life here and goes back to the state, you know, eight generations. I think there was no vision and optimism. It was about how to manage decline and just you know, rearranged seats in the deck chair of

the Titanic. While our tax base fled and our industries fled, and that was Andrew Cuomo. But he is the only person who can beat Mandanni, which I would take managed to climb over a catastrophe of a socialist. So what should happen right now if there was a person with

a brain cell in Andrew Cuomo's entire team. Rather than sending out insane tweets about his family lineage and who he is and saying that Mandannie you know, is attacking him, rend freeing his head or whatever he's saying on Twitter to try to troll Mendanni, he should be meeting with the county, the borough Republicans. There are five boroughs. Every borough has a Republican party. There's a Republican elected official in four of the five boroughs, and say what do

you want? He should be saying, there are six Republican city council members at a fifty one he'll set. He should sit there and say, you throw your support behind me. I will not run any Democrats against all of your incumbents in four years, and I will back two more. I'll give you eight city councilors, which will be the most of the Republicans in decades. I will tell the unions to back off your incumbents in the city. Make

deals right now. Michael Bloomberg, for all of his ills, when he was mayor, knew how to make deals, Make deals with people, to bring everyone together, instead of allowing Curtis lee While to destroy his legacy by running this absolute garbage campaign and winning twelve percent and taking the

city down with his ego and his pride. And then tell Eric Adams and his seven percent, I'll name a bridge after you, I'll name a garden after you, a school, whatever you want, will i will do the Eric Adams Library, whatever you want. Don't do this. Drop out, throw your support behind me. There's another gentleman in the race who's getting like two percent. Drop out, throw your support behind me, and let's have a shot at making sure this city doesn't work. I'll no many of them as deputy mayors.

Whatever you want, like whatever it's going to take, and make the deal because Curtis ly one. Erg Adams cannot win right now. With any poll I have seen, they are in the between mid to low teens. Eric Adams is in the single digit numbers. It's just over at that point. Their negatives are way too high and only only only silver aligning in this poll. For anyone who

is not up. You know, Mandani's rear end is the fact that about a quarter of New Yorkers twenty five percent of New Yorkers do not know who he is. They have no opinion of him. You have to understand. I know you guys are listening to a political podcast, and you probably spend a lot of time thinking listen to podcasts. The average person doesn't like. The average person doesn't vote, They don't know. They're going about their day and they think about this, especially local races, for the

first time, maybe two weeks before election day. That's when they're you know, they started saying, oh, there might be an election a couple of weeks. Who's running. There is an opportunity and a real opportunity. And I've heard that this is going to happen to blanket the city with millions of dollars in negative advertising against Mandanni and make him as unlikable as everybody else. So then you're just

running a race of who's the most unlikable. Cuomo is very unlikable, Sleeve was very unlikable, Eric Adams is comically corrupt. Mandanni is a moronic socialist who's also inauthentic and incredibly unlikable. He's just young enough to be handsome, which the ship is sale with other ones. I mean, let's not lie.

So that is that if they do not unite at this point or in the next month or so and blanket the city with negative advertising about Mandanni and how truly horrific he is, he'll be the next mayor of New York and good luck to us. So that is my rundown of all the politics. Republicans are slipping in the generic ballad by about a point nationwide, having trouble in some Senate states like North Carolina. In New Jersey, Chitdarelli is down but not out, especially if there's a

polling error like there was last time. And in New York it is getting pretty bleak. I know that's not the happiest to come and tarry for you guys, but I would rather tell you the truth than repeat things you would like to hear. That's my pulling up date. Now. Next is a story that should be getting more attention about something that Trump administration is doing, but it hasn't,

So that is coming up next. Stay tuned. There was a little blurb in The New York Times two weeks ago that the new head of USCAS, that's the United States Citizenship and Immigration Services, that their new head, Joseph Edlow, is overhauling the citizenship test. Now. It didn't get a lot of mention after that. It was like one sentence and a bigger article about him, and there weren't many

follow up deep dives. And he finally started giving interviews to some conservative outlets like Fox News and Brepbart News. He said the test was too easy and he needs to reflect the letter and the spirit in which Congress intended when they pass citizenship law. Says it's not about the questions aren't up to par. It's that there aren't enough of them, and they people applying for citizenship don't

get a sense of who we are as a country. Now, I know that you all have heard, and I have heard it a million times, so I'm guessing you guys at least heard one hundred that the average American cannot pass this citizenship test. I know you've heard that because I know I have heard that, and you hear about, Oh, there's all these questions and it's very detailed. There are between ninety to one hundred questions on the test, right, only ten are actually asked. I don't know if everyone

understands this. So yes, you have to memorize one hundred different answers, but only ten are given and you only have to get six of those ten correctly to pass. So access to a lifetime in the United States, the ability to access our welfare state, our security state, our you know, everything, are lower taxes than most parts of the developed world. Everything, because you can answer six questions correctly.

Six lifetime, right to vote to cancel out my vote, to cancel out your vote to cancel out Donald Trump's vote. Six questions, six questions. And I'm sure if you're like me and you have been around the general public, you don't have much faith of the hours person is informed enough to pass these questions. So for your entertainment and you and if you've never looked at the test, I'm going to take this test right now, right, I'm going to read these ten This is on Americanhistory dot SI

dot edu. You can take the citizenship test yourself. It's only ten questions, and I'm going to read you possibly a question. You can tell me, how hard do you think it is. First question, what was one promise you make when you become a United States citizen? Ay, never leave the US, be obey the laws, see offer housing to soldiers or de pay taxes for traveling to other countries. That is not a hard question that you don't even have to study that. That's literally just logic. That's basic logic.

It's be obey the laws. Okay. Next, that is correct. By the way, I didn't read these beforehand. This is just me going off with it. What is one reason colonialists came to the America slavery, political liberty, communism to set up their own monarchy? Okay, it's a basic history question. It's it's political liberty. I guess if you don't know anything about history, that might be a difficult question of whatever. So okay, Next one, what is one responsibility that is

only for United States citizens? Join a political party, write for a newspaper, serve a jury, join the military. I mean, could the average person really do they all think they have to write for a newspaper. I don't. I don't think that that's how I just I cannot imagine that they would not get that correctly. Next question, what do we show loyalty to when we pledge allegiance to the United Nations, to the national anthem, to the United States,

or to the party of the current president. You have to say that this is not like this is are you smarter than a fifth grader? I don't think think it's smarter than you a third grader? Like this is not a This is for citizenship. This is to get to vote in all of our elections. This is not a hard thing. I don't believe people could possibly be getting these things wrong. What groups of people were taken to America and sold as slaves Australians, African, Chinese or Spaniards.

I think an alien would actually know this answer, because we've talked about so often. It's Africans. What are the two major political parties of the United States? The judicial and executive checks and balances Democrats and Republicans, the Senate and the House. If you got a question like this wrong and you were not a citizen, you should have to be ejected from the country. You should have to sit in the last row of a jet blue flight that has one of the windows blown out near the toilet.

If you possibly get questions like these wrong, what is the capital of the United States. I'm not even going to give you guys options, but this is for citizenship. This is how easy it is to give this away. Literally, what did the Declaration of Independence do? Start the first free libraries, free the I'm not joking when I said that was actually the answer. Start the first free libraries, free the slaves. Define the government said the United States

is free. It's said the United States is free. That wasn't I guess maybe you might have gotten the Constitution confused, but it wasn't to set up libraries. How many senators are there? There's one hundred. Okay, I'm done now with the question. I got all of them correctly. I think you get my point. This is the most important thing. These are questions that I would argue the average third grader could probably answer. Maybe I have too much faith in the average third grader, but by fifth grade they

would all know this basic step. They've all been taught it at least once. And if you're looking at the itinerary of what we want from a person who is newly added to our country, you would want someone better than the average ten year old, not someone who is on par with a ten year old and they may be in their forties or fifties, like you would want someone of advanced intelligence and understanding. Also, it doesn't tell

you who we really are as a country. It asked you to memorize the several historical events and dates, which I get some people can't do that well. I mean I can, but a lot of people can't. The most basic premise of our government, I mean the most basic and a few dates or like you know, common sense questions.

It's it's a little little bit of civics, a tiny bit of very basic history, and you get to vote and change the course of our history, course of our country because you can memorize how many stars and stripes there are. I'm very glad that Edlow is doing this. I think this couldn't have happened fast enough. And I think that if we if the average adult cannot pass this, cannot get six six. All they do is six. When

I went to high school, seventy five was failing. It's not even meeting the Saint Francis Prep minimum of passing at least up at nine. So I'm glad this new citizenship test should be out sometime. I think in the beginning of next year. I'm looking forward to seeing how he hopes to enhance it to make sure that it is more comprehensive towards who we are as a country. I know he says he's planning on ending the loop holes that allow people to take the test not in English,

which is beyond me that that's even possible. Anyway, we're the greatest nation in the world. You shouldn't have to play are you smarter than a fifth grade or civic questions in order to be a citizen. It should be a lot lot harder. You're listening to It's a Numbers Game with Ryan Grodowsky. We'll be right back now. It's time for the Ask Me Anything segment of the show. If you want to be part of the Ask Me Anything segment, email me Ryan at Numbers Game podcast dot com.

That's ryanat Numbers Game podcast dot com. Okay. First question comes from Patrick. He writes that he has seen the abuse of the H one B VISA system firsthand, and it's frustrated that Republicans have drank the kool aid and believing we're taking in the best and brightest. He wants to know given comments by Senator Mike Lee, which if anyone knows Senator Lee's history on H Oneb's it's been horrific, but all of a sudden he's been talking of a

big game or Vice President Jade Vans. Are we going to see this issue address as at two in each? And also, what are your opinions of Senator Schmidt? Senator Schmid is the senator from Missouri. I don't know much about him. One of my friends works for him and does the social media, and he's super based and very very good. So I think that's why his social media is very good. And I guess I like that he

hired him. I have to read. I've read up a little bit on his legislative history, and there was only one Bill of substance and it was dealing with broadband spectrum when it comes to space travel. I didn't really know what it was talking about. But I don't dislike him. I don't particularly like him. I don't really think a lot about him. He hasn't had a lot of really enticing legislation that I really could sit there and say, Wow, this is leadership and this is thought provoking. I think

that he's fine. He votes well, and he votes much better than the Senator Blunt did who he replaced, but yeah, I have a very basic opinion of him. When it comes to H one bs and skilled immigration. Polling is clear that Americans believe that we have a large skills gap and that H one B system is the only way to fix that problem. I couldn't find an exact poll break down by party, but one pole I found sid seventy one percent of Trump supporters believe that we

need more high skilled immigration to our country. I think the problem is in both the wording of the polling and our conception of immigration. Rather than thinking we need more high skilled immigration, the question should be should all immigrants be skilled? Right? Because once we weed out low skilled immigration, that's unnecessary, the ones through family reunification and the visa lottery system and all the rest of it.

And like ninety percent of our immigration is skilled, I guess we could use some farm hands or some you know, I don't know, people who clean hotels or whatever. But if like eighty to ninety percent of our immigration was skilled, then it's just a question on levels. Then it's just a question of how many numbers were taking in. And that is a better place to be in than the

overall idea of skilled versus not skilled immigration. I think that when you're dealing with that kind of concept or oh, people are naturally going to be on the side of wanting more skilled immigration. But if almost all immigration is skilled, then it's just a question of numbers, and people more times than not prefer lower numbers and higher As far as changes go, by the way, the White House did to prove some changes to the H one B system,

including changing the way that H oneb's are distributed. This comes from the Hindustan Times. And by the way, if you care about this issue, because it sounds like you do about the H one B issue, I highly recommend reading English language versions of Indian newspapers because Indian newspapers, because India loves, you know, flooding H one B systems, H one B visas, they cover this issue like you know, white girls covering true crime, like they are all over

this issue completely. So this is from the Hindustan Times. The new rules anticipated to relaunch a Trump administration plan that would prioritize H one B applicants based on earnings rather than the existing random lottery system. At present, there's an annual cap up eighty five thousand visas under the H one B program, which is widely used by the tech sector on annual basis, a random lottery selects which

employers may fill the visa requests. In twenty twenty one, DHS recommended allocating visas based on earning, separated into four categories to prioritize high paying positions. DHS attempted to switch from a random selection procedure to a wage priority approach under the Trump administration. Suggested regulation would put applicants based on wag's promise, with higher paying positions given preference. According to the administrations by American Higher American Program. So this

is something that's great. I think it's really really important. I think it's necessary, and I think that it's just I think the beginning of what we're going to see changes to the H one B system. I think more

will actually come as time goes on. I know that Trump has not been super coherent in his overall vision of H one b's I know he's waffled the times, he's gone very friendly with the tech sector, But it seems to me that this is something that the overall administration is wanting to weed out, especially the immense amount of corruption. Okay. Next question comes from Joel in Ohio. He has a long I've been Ohio so many times. I should tell Ohiohio campaign stories over time because Ohio

is a special place. He has a long response to my episode on the iPhone filtering unknown calls, which I was great part of the email, but the question part, because I don't want to give everyone too much to chew on on. It was asking should people answer polls when you get text mess from polls? Yes, Joel, please if you get a poll answer it. My dad never answers polls and then constantly complains about them, and I say you have to be part of answering them and

not just saying how left wing poles are. Here's the one of the basic problems with our polling industry. There are a lot of people who watch MSNBC all day long and dream of the mo A polster is going to call them and ask them their opinion, so they can scream that they hate Donald Trump to somebody who has to listen. If they have the numbers, they would call the polsters themselves and give them a daily update. And then you have people like my dad, God love them,

Joel you know, you have to answer these polls. They're not asking you for money nine times out of ten, and it makes and if they answer, if they ask for money, just hang up whatever, it's fine, hang up.

It's not a big deal if you it makes it harder for people like me and people in who work in government who want to see the feelings of the public on a number of different issues when we don't have accurate polsters pulling because the people who are overwhelmingly responding to the polling are you know, writing letters to MSBC saying please bring back joy read like that is

who are answering the polling too often? And we are not getting people who are right wing or lower repensity or no college degree, and like they're not sampling enough of those people. So Joel, please please please answer the pole if you get a text and if you're not interested in any donations or anything like that, just eggs out of it. But a pole should only take a few minutes, and it's really important for how corporations, nonprofits, politicians,

everybody responds to things. So please Republicans answer polls. Okay. Last question for this episode of the podcast comes from David Rolf. He asked about my feelings of the Senate races in Texas and Kentucky. In Texas, I think Senator Cornyn is done. I don't think he's going to win unless the establishment White Knight shows up and Qrnan agrees to step down and they rally around him. I think it's likely to Ken Paxton. I don't think Wesley Hunt

can do it. I think Paxson has this level of built in trust with the average Conservative voter or the average Trump voter, and they under they view him in the same way they view Trump. They understand that he is a deeply her sony, problematic figure as far as his personal life goes right. They don't want to live his personal life or don't want their children to live in their person life. But they believe he is a fighter. And America right now, Republicans right now are not looking

for They're not looking for a pastor. They're looking for a man who will step up and fight, and they view Paxton as that person. You know, I talked to one Texas politician last year about Paxton. He said, Look, he's a crook, but he's our crook. Like he's corrupt, but he's our corrupt. Guy because he's going to fight, and he sued the Biden administration. He sued the I think he was there for Obama too, but he sued the Biden administration endlessly to try to stall their agenda.

And he's just considered a champion for the base and they're going to stick with them. They're going to ride with them. And unless somebody comes in who is universally beloved and Cornyn is no longer there, so the attacks against corn because he's so bad on so many policies,

doesn't happen if he can't attack Cornyan. And there's this universally loved white knight, which I don't know who that is, but if that person shows up, it's going to be Paxton, and then that will be a billion dollar center race in Kentucky. I am biased because I have a lot of friends who work for Nate Morris. He is the businessman for Kentucky. I really like a lot of what he says. I think he'd be a good senator based on what I know. I do think he's probably the

favorite right now. I think Mark Alprin said the same thing. There's a lot of JD. Vans for Senate alumni. Work in his campaign right now. So if you're a real campaign nerd, you could probably see some overlaps of the JD. Vans campaign and Nate Morris's campaign and what they're kind of doing. There's a lot of similarities I'm seeing. So I like Nate Morris. I like him based on what I know, and I think he's probably likely to win. I wouldn't be shocked if you see Don Junior, Charlie Kirk,

the President, a bunch of go rally around him. I think that the president, maybe the President will stay out of it because I think he's got relationships with congres some bar but I wouldn't be surprised that they all rally around Morris in the end and he ends up winning the nomination. I also want you to do one thing, by the way, because this makes me laugh every time I think about it. Take out your phone, we're here, your computer, and I want you to google the name

Nate Morris, Kentucky and see what he looks like. And then google stand from the show American Dad, from the cartoon American Dad, and you tell me this is not the same person. That's all for the show today. Thank you, guys for listening. I'll be back on Monday. If you like this podcast, please subscribe on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, wherever you get your podcasts, and I will see you guys soon