How much of Donald Trump’s sanctions strategy is substance — and how much is performance? In this episode of Independent Thinking, Chatham House experts unpack whether sanctions work. And at Trump’s shifting use of sanctions, tariffs and personal power plays in global economic policy. With Dr Christopher Sabatini, Timothy Ash, and Christopher Vandome from Chatham House. Read our latest reports: Understanding and improving sanctions today Russia’s struggle to modernize its military industry Why t...
Jul 25, 2025•32 min•Season 3Ep. 44
What does President Donald Trump’s promise of Patriot missiles for Ukraine — and a 50-day tariff ultimatum to Putin — really mean for Ukraine and Russia? Chatham House experts Jaroslava Barbieri , John Lough and Samir Puri look at whether it is a significant pivot towards Ukraine, how both sides are faring in the war, and how U.S. credibility is affected by Trump’s changing positions. They are joined by guest host Stephen Farrell , standing in for Bronwen Maddox. Read our latest: Trump is changi...
Jul 18, 2025•34 min•Season 3Ep. 43
What does Benjamin Netanyahu’s visit to the White House mean for the likelihood of a Gaza ceasefire? Bronwen Maddox is joined by Stephen Farrell, Yossi Mekelberg, Sanam Vakil and Max Yoeli to examine the state of negotiations, U.S.-Israel and regional dynamics, and competing plans for what comes next. Read our latest: Lebanon’s moment of truth The Rio summit showed that BRICS is less anti-Western than Russia would like it to be Mobilizing ‘Team Ukraine’ for a successful recovery Presented by Bro...
Jul 10, 2025•33 min•Season 3Ep. 42
After a crisis week for Britain’s ruling Labour Party, host Bronwen Maddox and Chatham House’s Olivia Sullivan are joined by economist Professor Stephen Millard and pollster Joe Twyman to look at the foreign and domestic challenges facing the country just one year after Keir Starmer won a landslide election victory. Read our latest: Is China friend or foe to the UK? A government audit says: ‘It’s complicated’ Brazil’s BRICS agenda may be hard to accomplish after the Iran–Israel war The Middle Ea...
Jul 04, 2025•31 min•Season 3Ep. 41
Did US strikes cripple Iran’s nuclear programme — or just set the stage for the next crisis? Bronwen Maddox hosts from Jordan, joined by international security expert Marion Messmer and Middle East associate fellow Lina Khatib in London, to examine the claims and counter-claims and what it means for the region’s fragile balance of power. Read our latest: US strikes on Iran: What next for Iran, Israel and President Trump? For NATO’s collective defence, Europe must lead on data sharing Presented b...
Jun 27, 2025•28 min•Season 2Ep. 40
Following Israel’s strikes on Iran on 13 June, and the subsequent sequence of retaliation and counter retaliation, fears are rising that the conflict could escalate. In this special episode of Independent Thinking (an edited version of a live webinar) Galip Dalay joins a panel of experts to discuss strategic goals, the responses of the key regional and international actors, including the Gulf states and the US, and what if any viable diplomatic or military off-ramps exist to prevent a broader re...
Jun 18, 2025•26 min•Season 3Ep. 39
Is Britain chasing faded glory or forging a credible future? As the government lays out its latest spending review, Bronwen Maddox is joined by Jeremy Hunt and Samir Puri to ask whether bold talk of growth, defence and science hides a deeper strategic drift – or a real path back to global influence. Read our latest: Europe could win the battle for the future of digital money History suggests Trump’s snapped back sanctions won’t deliver change in Venezuela Why peacebuilding fails and what to do a...
Jun 13, 2025•30 min•Season 3Ep. 38
Drones, AI, cyber warfare and nuclear weapons are a key part of the UK’s new Strategic Defence Review, along with conventional weapons. Chatham House experts unpack the strategy, spending pledges and how Britain should adapt its military to deal with Putin, China, and Donald Trump. Bronwen Maddox is joined by Chatham House experts Grace Cassy , Marion Messmer and Olivia O’Sullivan to unpack the strategy, spending pledges, and the UK’s place in a rapidly shifting global security landscape. Read o...
Jun 06, 2025•35 min•Season 3Ep. 37
As Gaza reels from staggering humanitarian devastation, Bronwen Maddox speaks with Yossi Mekelberg , Stephen Farrell , and Julie Norman to unpack the political drivers of Israel’s war, the role of Donald Trump, and the region’s competing visions for Gaza’s future. From internal power struggles to shifting U.S. policy and Arab diplomatic proposals, this episode asks: what future is even possible for Gaza now? Read our latest: Gaza: War, hunger and politics The dissolution of the PKK could transfo...
May 31, 2025•34 min•Season 3Ep. 36
Nine years after the Brexit vote, a new UK–EU deal promises smoother trade and deeper cooperation — but is it the end of the Brexit saga or just another chapter? Bronwen Maddox digs into what the deal really means with Rod Liddle and Nicolai von Ondarza , from political fallout to Britain’s shifting role on the world stage. Read our latest: The dissolution of the PKK could transform Turkey’s domestic politics and foreign policy The Pandemic Agreement may weaken, rather than strengthen multilater...
May 23, 2025•30 min•Season 3Ep. 35
As trade tensions, security concerns, and diplomatic crossroads converge, the UK’s bid for economic growth faces hard choices on the global stage. In this episode host Bronwen Maddox explores the UK’s complex balancing act between the EU, US, and China with guests Janka Oertel and Sir Martin Donnelly . Read our latest: The UK–EU summit will bring some progress on defence cooperation. But more could be done on aid and trade Trump’s Gulf tour exposes Netanyahu’s increasingly isolated position on G...
May 16, 2025•34 min•Season 3Ep. 34
Tensions between India and Pakistan have surged following a deadly attack in Kashmir and air strikes by India inside Pakistan. With nuclear risks, regional diplomacy, and rising domestic pressures in play, what could prevent this crisis from spiralling further? In this episode, Bronwen Maddox discusses what this means for South Asia and the world with Marion Messmer , a senior research fellow with our International Security Programme; Chietigj Bajpaee , the senior research fellow for South Asia ...
May 09, 2025•30 min•Season 3Ep. 33
As Donald Trump floats a controversial peace deal that could leave Ukraine facing territorial losses and NATO exclusion, Kyiv is forced to weigh an impossible choice between sovereignty and survival. Bronwen Maddox speaks with Orysia Lutsevych from Chatham House and Matthew Savill from RUSI about battlefield fatigue, shifting alliances, and the future of European security. Find out more: Trump’s 100 days have been like no other The Kashmir attack will renew hostilities between India and Pakistan...
May 02, 2025•38 min•Season 3Ep. 32
As the IMF Spring Meetings unfold in Washington DC, Bronwen Maddox asks whether we are witnessing the twilight of the US dollar’s global dominance. Amid political shocks and shifting financial allegiances, could the world be inching towards a post-dollar era? Bronwen is joined by Isabelle Mateos y Lago , chief economist at BNP Paribas, and David Lubin from Chatham House’s Global Economy and Finance Programme to explore the dollar’s uncertain future, the rise of digital and alternative currencies...
Apr 24, 2025•30 min•Season 3Ep. 31
In this episode of Independent Thinking , we explore the root causes of corruption in Nigeria, its impact on everyday life, and potential solutions for change. Bronwen Maddox speaks with Leena Koni Hoffmann about her in-depth report on the issue, as well as insights from speakers at a Chatham House conference focused on Nigeria’s ongoing fight against corruption. Read our work on Nigeria: Taking action against corruption in Nigeria Renewing Nigeria’s anti-corruption agenda Tackling judicial brib...
Apr 16, 2025•32 min•Season 3Ep. 30
This week on Independent Thinking, we explore the growing battle for influence in Latin America between the U.S. and China. In just two decades, China has gone from a minor player in the region to a dominant force—challenging the US. How is President Trump’s government responding and could his policies actually give Beijing more room to expand? Guest host Chris Sabatini is joined by Yu Jie , Robert Evan Ellis , and Bruno Binetti to discuss the shifting power dynamics and what they could mean for...
Apr 11, 2025•33 min•Season 3Ep. 29
President Trump has unveiled sweeping new trade tariffs—but what happens next? Bronwen Maddox explores the global reaction, the economic fallout, and whether this marks the beginning of the end for globalization. She’s joined by Jason Furman , former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers under President Barack Obama, alongside Dame DeAnne Julius and David Lubin from Chatham House’s Global Economy and Finance Programme. Read our latest: Trump’s ‘liberation day’ tariffs are likely just the beg...
Apr 04, 2025•29 min•Season 3Ep. 28
In this week’s episode of Independent Thinking, Bronwen Maddox discusses whether Europe can take up the mantle of the US, and lead the world as an economic and political powerhouse. Can Europe can fill the vacuum caused by America’s shifting foreign policy, and in doing so, become more of an economic force? Bronwen explores this topic with three Chatham House experts - Creon Butler , Director of the Global Economy and Finance Programme, Olivia O’Sullivan , Director of the UK in the World Program...
Mar 28, 2025•30 min•Season 3Ep. 27
This week on Independent Thinking, three Chatham House experts look at the view from China now that Donald Trump is in charge. Ben Bland speaks to Yu Jie , William Matthews and David Lubin , about how China is repositioning itself on the world stage, viewing its own security and preparing for a potential trade war. We’ll also explore what the Chinese Communist Party is really thinking, what harm tariffs are doing and what the AI battle could mean for the world. Read our latest: New US attacks on...
Mar 21, 2025•33 min•Season 3Ep. 26
In this week's episode Haid Haid , Rim Turkmani , and Lina Khatib discuss the recent developments in Syria following the fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime. We delve into the country's economic struggles, the rise of interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa, the resurgence of sectarian violence, and the challenges facing Syria's path to democracy. It also explores the roles of regional and international players, including Turkey, Israel, and Iran, in shaping Syria’s future. Read our latest: Ukraine enter...
Mar 14, 2025•33 min•Season 3Ep. 25
With the UK pledging to increase defence spending to levels not seen since the Cold War, what does the future of British defence look like? In this episode, we discuss the evolving nature of warfare, the impact of technology on modern battlefields, and whether Britain is truly prepared for the next conflict. Joining Bronwen Maddox are Sir John Sawers , former head of MI6; James Heappey, former Armed Forces Minister; and Chatham House experts Samir Puri and Olivia O’Sullivan . Read our latest: Pi...
Mar 07, 2025•30 min•Season 3Ep. 24
As Donald Trump moves to reshape America’s foreign policy, we discuss what this means for the allies in Europe. Can the the United Kingdom, France and Germany forge a new path or is transatlantic unity fading fast? Bronwen Maddox is joined by the Chair of Chatham House Sir Simon Fraser , former Wall Street Journal editor-in-chief Gerard Baker , Marion Messmer , a senior research fellow with our International Security programme and Sebastien Maillard , an associate fellow with our Europe programm...
Feb 28, 2025•40 min•Season 3Ep. 23
Ties between the US and Ukraine have soured with Donald Trump calling Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelenskyy a ‘dictator’ in a public war of words. Meanwhile US and Russian diplomats met in Saudi Arabia to discuss Ukraine’s future without representatives from Kyiv or Europe. Should the continent be preparing for a future without the US as an ally? Bronwen Maddox is joined by historian and author Timothy Garton Ash , Georgina Wright , visiting fellow at the German Marshall Fund and Orysia Lutsevych , depu...
Feb 21, 2025•32 min•Season 3Ep. 22
Sixty countries signed a declaration on 'inclusive' artificial intelligence at a global summit in Paris this week, but the UK and US refused. What was agreed at the summit, why did London and Washington decline to sign and what comes next? Bronwen Maddox is joined by Professor Birgitte Andersen from Birkbeck Business School, Lord Tim Clement-Jones , Co-Chair of the UK All-Party Parliamentary Group on AI and Alex Krasodomski , Programme Director, for Chatham House’s Digital Society Programme. Rea...
Feb 14, 2025•27 min•Season 3Ep. 23
President Trump has threatened to put tariffs on Mexico and Canada and imposed them on China, fuelling fears of a looming global trade war. With the European Union likely next in his sights – what is the US president trying to achieve with these tactics? And what are the consequences? Bronwen Maddox is joined by Creon Butler , the director of our Global Economy and Finance programme, economist Linda Yueh and ambassador Julian Ventura , both associate fellows with our US and Americas programme. R...
Feb 07, 2025•31 min•Season 3Ep. 20
President Trump wants a peace deal in Ukraine and has signalled he’s willing to put pressure on Vladimir Putin to achieve it. Volodymyr Zelenskyy also appears more open to a deal – if there is a guarantee for Ukraine’s security. Bronwen Maddox is joined by Mark Landler , London Bureau Chief of the New York Times, The Telegraph ’s Francis Dearnley who hosts the award-winning podcast Ukraine: The Latest and Orysia Lutsevych , the deputy director of our Russia and Eurasia programme. Read our latest...
Jan 31, 2025•29 min•Season 3Ep. 19
Donald Trump has signed a wave of executive orders in his first days as America’s 47th President. The panel discuss the president’s changes to US foreign policy and their potential impact on America and the world. Guest host Mike Higgins , editor of The World Today magazine, is joined by Leslie Vinjamuri , the director of our US and the Americas Programme, Samir Puri , the director of our Centre for Global Governance and Security, and Susan Glasser , a staff writer with The New Yorker . Read our...
Jan 24, 2025•35 min•Season 3Ep. 18
A fragile ceasefire and hostage deal has been agreed between Israel and Hamas to end 15 months of war and suffering. Chatham House experts discuss the timing of the deal, whether it can hold and what comes next. Bronwen Maddox is joined by Sanam Vakil , the director of our Middle East and North Africa (MENA) programme, Leslie Vinjamuri , the director of our US and Americas programme, and Amjad Iraqi and Yossi Mekelberg , associate fellows with our MENA programme. Read our latest: The new Trump a...
Jan 17, 2025•33 min•Season 3Ep. 17
From the devastating wars in Ukraine, Sudan and Gaza to Donald Trump’s threats over Greenland and the Panama Canal, what are the places to watch this year? Bronwen Maddox is joined by Gideon Rachman , the FT’s chief foreign affairs commentator, Leslie Vinjamuri, the director of our US and America’s programme and Renad Mansour , a senior fellow for our Middle East and North Africa programme. Read our latest: As the UK government seeks greater engagement with China, a clearer strategy is crucial –...
Jan 10, 2025•35 min•Season 3Ep. 16
Does Bashar al-Assad’s removal offer a renewed chance for peace in Syria, or is his fall the start of a new phase of conflict in the Middle East? Bronwen Maddox is joined by Gideon Rachman , the FT’s chief foreign affairs commentator, former BBC Persia journalist Rana Rahimpour and Haid Haid , a senior consulting fellow for our Middle East and North Africa programme. Read our latest: The fall of Assad has exposed the extent of the damage to Iran’s axis of resistance While international support i...
Dec 13, 2024•36 min•Season 3Ep. 15
