See you later!
Oh Now it's all out I hate to tell you that I told you Now everything is out there is a reality and you know why I start with this song of the most classic and most emblematic hypes because because I hate otherwise I am pleased to tell you I told you I told you I told you I told you I told you I told you I told you I repeated it I said it again I do not know if you but many attacked me and now everything is out there is a reality and you know why I start with this I told you, I told you again.
I don't know if you, but many attacked me and now everything is out there. It's a reality. And you know it. Why? I'm talking about this. June, June. Of election rags. And those election rags are usually blows to reality. For many, the raw is the celebration because they are very happy with what happened. For others, it's the raw reality. That blow, that opening of the eyes and that hangover of disappointment. And for me personally, it's this raw, that on the one hand I enjoy it a lot.
Why? Because while they are election processes, of course, I get a lot of work. I don't complain, I celebrate it a lot. I do my August when they are election years. But yes, I am very tired of opinion.
I think every day, I analyze every day and not only are the opinions open that I do through my networks, these forums, my platforms, but they are also the opinions for which they pay me, fortunately, for thinking, for making my diagnosis, for how I see things, for helping and assisting with that opinion from a selection of a candidate to an interpretation and diagnosis of the perception of what people are saying. And of course, we use research.
Qualitative, quantitative, digital ethnographies, which are these social listenings, what people are saying on networks, digital thermometers, and being able to diagnose what is happening. And then, I don't want to ruin the exact date on my face here. How about when you say I don't want to do it, but I'm going to do it? I don't want to ruin exact dates.
What I do is say that since the selection of the famous corcholatas, when Claudia is going to be, Adán is going to be, Marcelo, I thought about it almost a year ago that it didn't matter, I said it in a sarcastic way and a lot of people were offended, that it didn't matter if a dog was passing by and they put him as a candidate, he was going to become the most voted president in the history of Mexico, unless something extremely surprising, something that was possible,
but that looked very unlikely to change a trend from an electoral climate to a year where I said that he was going to become the person who put him as president, and in this case he was the most voted president in the history of Mexico. And of course, the attacks came. Of course, in a country divided with so many clashes, the statements came.
And if I thought about good things that I was doing at the public level, the president, after the campaign, damn Chairo, if I talked about a brushstroke of sensibility that I saw in the opposition, damn Fifi.
And if we get into the analysis, for example, of debates, analysis of objectives, analysis of consciousness, analysis of things that were good at the image level, I even made predictions of what would have to happen in the debates and what they would have to do, and then we analyzed if they did it because it was positive and if they didn't do it because it was negative, and there came the stupid statements. And I'm not insulting.
Hey Álvaro, everyone is free to give their opinion, yes, but let's talk today in this podcast about human stupidity from the point of view of science, of the economies, and I'll put them in context to what I mean with the economies, which is finally a study of sociology and many things that happen at a social level. Why? Because it will give us a chance to talk about why what happened happened. You don't know how many people told me, Álvaro, I'm surprised with the result of these elections.
And I said, what's surprising? Is it surprising what happened? If you see it from the analysis that we are going to understand of human stupidity laws, you will be able to understand why what happened happened. Now, I'm not attacking the elected president or the current government, on the contrary, you will realize that today I will put them inside the quadrant of the intelligent.
We are going to talk about many stupidities that the opposition also committed and we are also going to talk about the indefense, the society, the political parties, some voters, and we are also going to talk about the bandits, but so you can understand that this is not going to be a personal opinion of Álvaro Gordova, but a supported opinion in academicism. Let's get nervous.
The basic laws of human stupidity, the basic laws of human stupidity, is a trial and study of the Italian economist and academic Carlo Cipolla. Carlo Cipolla, why do I like his way of analyzing and it makes me very similar to what he does, for example, Bill Maher today with his political satire or even what Juvenal did in ancient Rome with his satire. Luckily, the word satire is later in the one of Abuelito, tell me a story in our section.
I'll talk a little about Juvenal because it comes totally to the point, but I don't get lost. Whenever there is this kind of satire, humor in the analysis of a more academic court, it makes me fall in love as part of the scientific divulgation.
So, Carlo Cipolla, analyzing why some decisions and actions are made in human beings, some that benefit society and others that harm society, but also some that benefit us personally and others that harm us, wrote this essay where he put what the laws of human stupidity are and there are some very interesting ones that say things like there are more stupid people at a social level than smart people and you end up understanding it and above all you fall many 20s of your own stupidity
and it has served me as a text in my decision-making and in my way of acting. Why? Because Carlo Cipolla says that human beings through our actions, any action that we perform, can be analyzed based on the benefit that others receive and the benefit of its own.
And based on these benefits, he makes a Cartesian shot that I will explain to you here, but if you are watching it on YouTube, I will graph it here and if you are listening to it on audio platforms, jump at some point when you can, if you want, to the video so you can understand what we mean by this Cartesian shot graph where, according to the greatest benefit that you give to others and the personal benefit, there is that quadrant, let's say it would be the quadrant from top to the right
in the Cartesian shot of greatest benefit to others and personal benefit, all that quadrant is the quadrant of the smart people. And so we will go explaining each one but I want to put some examples. Imagine that you want to eat cake, you are at a party where there are also other people who want to eat cake and therefore you have to take an action and the action is to eat the cake or divide the cake.
I don't know why that example came to my mind but it can be as simple as driving, going in traffic and so it could also be the issue of giving your opinion about anything. And more, here we are going to see opinion about the aspect of others. All of these are actions. We will take it in its moment to analyze the vote, the selection of candidates, the way to govern, that is, even the governance. We will put examples of that type. At first I put myself simplistic so that you understand.
The traffic signals that can be from a high sign to it can be a traffic light even if you can turn around or not or respect the speed. It is an action that as a society we do and we put it because we have a personal benefit, the security one, and that there is good circulation and flow and that therefore also brings a benefit to the other drivers. It means that putting a traffic signal is an intelligent action and then the intelligent thing would be to respect it.
If you arrive at a sign that says stop you have to make a full stop that you do not pass a stop that you respect the follow that would be an intelligent action. How smart would it be? Hey, the cake is small, we are 10 people, we are going to divide it into 10 equal parts and each one eats a piece of the cake. Even if that slice is small it is the intelligent action because there is the personal benefit and the benefit of others, I say it in cliché way, is the famous win-win.
Hey, how good that color is, you look very handsome, you look very pretty. That opinion, that cake, the other person wins in his ego and you win in his esteem and sympathy. That means having expressed that opinion is an intelligent action. Perfect! Now let's go to the quadrant that would be below where there is a personal benefit but there is loss of the other person. That is the quadrant of the bandits. That is the literal translation I make.
An action that would be a bandit and therefore vandalic is an action like, for example, I have a personal benefit while you lose. So I go too far, I do not respect. Why? Because that's how I'm going to get microseconds before my work but I'm taking a personal benefit by breaking the speed limits. What would a bandit action be? A bandit action would be to steal the cake and eat it all. The others lose while I start to make a profit.
These actions, sometimes bandits and vandalists, the simplest example of a bandit action would be to steal. Steal a thousand pesos from a person. Your profit is very logical. You earned a thousand pesos, the loss of the other person is a thousand pesos. They are actions that are bandits. So, within the bandit actions, there are many, because I was going to put the example of the opinion of the personal aspect but here I want to start to see the edges of everything that can be within this. Steal.
Steal? But while you steal, you bring a social good to someone else, for example, the phenomenon Robin Hood, he stole the rich to give it to the poor, would enter this other aspect of the quadrants of intelligence and the bandit, which means it is a bandit action but intelligent. But also to take a step in an opportunistic way, take advantage of the opportunity, is to break the law.
And breaking the law is an action that, although it sounds ugly to say it, is a bandit action but intelligent because you took a benefit and even the person who was behind you now won a place of privilege that you abandoned. I'm not saying that living outside the law and the bandit actions are allowed, but back to the Robin Hood case. So you can tell a person, a a crook, to fall for you. Imagine that a person smells bad in the mouth and you don't tell him, okay?
Hey, my mouth stinks and it would stink, but you, for looking good, you say no, it doesn't smell bad to me, that would be a bandit action, intelligent, the truth is that the other person is losing because his mouth would smell bad, but you want to hang a little star of pleasure with that person and it was an intelligence and therefore the other person also won by not feeling bad.
And since I'm saying with the case, I don't want to get involved with so many examples, but since I'm saying the case of it stinks in your mouth, so you don't confuse that an intelligent action is always the bandit, the positive things or that everything has to be fine. Imagine that a person smells bad in the mouth, but that person is your partner or is a person that you live with for a long time.
It means if it's something that affects me personally and therefore tell you that your mouth stinks bad, it does bring me a benefit and I think it will also bring you a benefit for the social coexistences and stigmas that can put you if your mouth stinks bad. Therefore, even if it hurts and is difficult, I will give my opinion and I will tell you that your mouth stinks bad so that it is not just the joke of how well you look, if your mouth stinks bad, there would also be a win-win.
I know you are understanding it, so it's a bandit action. I'm going to the quadrant that is next to it, which is the point I want to get to, where there is no profit. Neither do you win nor do the other people win and this is the quadrant of stupidity. If you realize it, it is preceded by the quadrant of intelligence. What is human stupidity in some actions?
I stay in the middle of the street because the yellow yellow light was on, I see that the cars in front are stopped and therefore I accelerate, it goes up, but I stay in the middle of the street. What did I win with that action? And see how many idiots, especially in Mexico City, I don't know where you live, do that every day.
And then what they do is I screwed myself because I didn't win anything but I screwed the others because now I'm getting in the way and they can't move forward and they end up making stupid knots. What did you win with doing that? It was not a bandit action, it was not an intelligent action, it was a stupid action. There is a cake, we are 10 people, bandit is I steal it and eat it myself. Or I suck it, I spit it out so that no one else can eat it. It would be an extremely bandit action.
Bandit in the quadrant also a little stupid because you are also going to eat your cake with your own drooling and with this spit, but finally they are your own spit. But this, I don't get lost, that would be the stupid action. An intelligent bandit action would be like I cut it into 10 equal but in reality mine was a bigger slice and I stay with the biggest slice. It would be an intelligent bandit action. What would be a stupid action? Get angry because the cake is too small and poop the cake.
You are not going to eat it, nor are others going to eat it. Therefore, you are not the person who poops the cake. What do I mean by pooping the cake? Oh, you are very bad. And what is your opinion about the personal aspect? Did the other person win something? It's not like your mouth smells bad, you can wash it and you get a benefit. So criticizing that kind of situation what is going to be the other person? Did he grow miraculously in your opinion?
And what did you gain by expressing your opinion? Did you gain something by telling a person a criticism about his height? His weight? His ways of thinking? Did you gain something? Did you change something in the world? Throwing orange paint at Stone Age or tomato sauce to a lube paint changed the use of the fuel? The climate change no longer exists? Or was it a stupid action by two activists? No, Álvaro, it was that he had the profit of letting people find out and put it in the conversation.
Bullshit, stupidities. It's not true. There are other ways of doing more important activism. There are ways of being part of the solution and not the problem in this life. So we already clearly understand what stupid actions are. And now let's go to the last quadrant. The English translation of Carlo Cipolla was left as helpless. Those who cannot have help. The translation would be defenseless. Incautious. The one who stays with his hands tied and cannot do anything about it.
And above all, when you are incautious, you give someone else's benefit or you spend watching someone else's benefits while you lose. And then it's the person who says I don't eat cake, I die of desire to eat cake, but I sacrifice and I'm left without a slice of cake. That is an indefense action. Incautious. You give the benefit to others and you lose the benefit. This so you don't think that sometimes having the situation of incautious, helpless, is negative.
Because the action that I just said of I give my slice of cake enters this quadrant or rather in this shared area of the intelligent indefense. He preferred more the benefit of the other than the personal and a little star hangs in the front with that sacrifice. So there are many actions that leave us defenseless but they are intelligent. It is to tell your partner yes, you are right, sorry, when you are not right.
You are giving him the benefit of winning while you apparently lose the argument but you have the personal benefit of mental health and a good relationship and say, come on, we are not going to fight for this stupidity of which restaurant we are going to go to dinner.
I give my slice of cake and it turns out that my action that seems to be incautious or indefense is actually an intelligent action because maybe later now you owe me a favor or because I have given my slice of cake at that moment I generate the liking of others and say no, now Álvaro is in charge of this because he did not eat cake and you get a long-term benefit and very ancient interest all this way of thinking and seeing life.
Now let's see what happens with traffic in Mexico City and with some actions that we have to do as users and actions that governments have to do. There is no symbol of vile insubordination greater than the traffic jams. See how many traffic jams you find in Mexico City and second point the pedestrian bridges. Travel to a country that you consider civilized and start seeing how many traffic jams you find on your way or how many pedestrian bridges. Ah, they do not exist. Why?
Because people do the intelligent action of stopping at a cross with a red hexagon that says stop but if you put it in Mexico City nobody is going to stop you. School area, 20 kilometers per hour people act intelligently in a win-win situation. Not here. So what does society do? What society does is to do an indefense and stupid action that would give in this part of stupidity and the indefense question to put a stop. The stop brings benefit to others. Correct.
Do not go to run over the child or that you model your speed or so many things that may happen or that the pedestrian may cross because nobody respects the pedestrian in a city like Mexico City brings benefit to others. But what is personal loss? Personal loss is one. The government has to generate infrastructure budget to build and maintain those stops. Okay? Lose budget that could distract you in other things. Cars finally also screw up with the stops.
It means that shock absorbers wear out but your advances also stop you. You have to go down speed, braking in a different way to respect traffic signs. I could also talk about speed fines, speed radar cameras. That's why smart people do it and earn money from it. For the age. What does the pedestrian lose? The pedestrian loses having to go up some stairs and cross a pedestrian bridge and then the government also has to invest in it.
Do you realize that if we were smart as a society we would respect those traffic signs and there would be a win-win? Therefore, stay very, very careful about this quadrant. And remember what actions are smart, bandits, stupid, and unruly or defenseless. And what actions like Robin Hood's could be a bandit but smart action.
Because in that will also be the key to why what happened happened and why I told you, I told you, I told you and I told you that in this election we were going to see the most voted president in the history of Mexico. But I promised you that I was going to tell you a story and this story is a populist story. Pay close attention. Can you tell me a story? Panem et Circenses Surely you have heard this Latin occlusion with the translation Pan y Circo to the people Pan y Circo What is this?
Pan y Circo action is the way in which Juvenal in his satyrs and that's why I told you that we were going to talk about the satyrs he made his opinion of what was happening in Rome both in the republican Rome and then in the imperial Rome around why these social changes were so interesting why they stopped being a republic and ended up becoming a strong empire.
And he realized that it was in the changes of the way of governing in which the context of that phrase is given as attention to the Roman people that they did not have keeping them fed and keeping them entertained to win through clientelism and to win through populism their sympathy and therefore take them and keep them in power. So let's say it's the beginning of populism, of the clientelism of the clientelism and this with the goal of keeping people content.
This action of the people Pan y Circo we have to go historically in this story to let's go to these changes, right? For example, let's go with Julio César that I think Julio César was one of the most pointed out and then to the whole dynasty Julio Claudia of being very populist to the point that we knew that within the senators there were two big blocks the optimists, optimates and there were also the populists these people who were more to please
the people. Today we would talk about the socialists or we would talk about those who are left-wing that today they are called populists and then we could see the optimists that they were the right-wingers those who respected the rules, the laws who had control of the state, of the budgets of the high taxes very in protection of the trade and private initiatives and of the differences of castes and social classes would be what they would call an ultra-right but to put you in the context
Rome, the Republic as a state grew and grew a lot and through the conquest of new lands where they put the consuls and the proconsuls and to give you an example, no?
Spain, the lands that today are Spain because there they began to see some consuls that began to create their own laws their own senators and the first thing they did was lower taxes give people wheat and they grew so much that they began to generate differences between what happened in Rome with the way of governing and many realized that that worked and they began to grow one of them, Julius Caesar Julius Caesar was part or belonged to the block of the populists
and began to grow to such an extent within Rome that he ended up pulling the republican system and ended up with the republic and he was so loved, so popular so much to the people, bread and circus I would say juvenile that he turned him into this emperor that although he was never called as such if later came all his dynasty of relatives reigning for so long first with Caesar Augustus and ending with Caligula in an extremely popular way and they became the great Roman Empire
and they threw the other one that existed understood this historical question I'm going to read you exactly and punctually, textually what juvenile says in his sátira X where he quotes the people, bread and circus and now this was put yourself out there of the year 100 ok, that is, let's go these 2000 years ahead in time and try to take it to Mexico today and juvenile says for a long time exactly since we have no one to sell the vote this people has lost interest by politics
the people are not interested in the issues of government before they were granted commands legions anyway, power issues now the people stop being and only wish with Christmas two things bread and circus games means a personal benefit if I'm not hungry and if I keep myself distracted or entertained in my micro I will be happy and this way think that this was already analyzing juvenile around the year 100 it was the way to govern the Julio Claudia dynasty but then he got out of hand because
through populism they grew so much in power that their actions stopped being smart bandits and they became only bandits listen again it was very smart what these consuls, pro-consuls Julio César or Augusto to the extent that they were so dear that the calendar could be changed and put a month July because it was when Julio César was born and then César Augusto decide that Augusto was going to call in that way because he also wanted his own, no?
Julio and Augusto so dear that it didn't matter change things to the people who were so used to like the calendar itself I don't know if here in the month of Augusto and Schoenbaum let's go to reflect about these topics but what am I going to do?
they grew through love people took them because they loved them and above all to not lose a benefit if I change my ruler I lose the bread I lose the circus I lose the benefit I lose the clientelism I lose the assistance and then that's how the dynasty grew Julio Claudia when does that dynasty fall?
let's go with Nerón when Nerón becomes a tyrant more than a demagogue more than a popular becomes a tyrant when he takes all the power his actions begin to be considered more bandit than intelligent and then a great mansion is built where there were supposedly the main sources and the first places where people used to provide water and they are sent to build a great cult statue of the personality the Colossus of Nerón and then they ended up losing because a new dynasty the Flavius
say we are going to end it and what does the Flavian dynasty do?
the Flavian dynasty the first thing it does is it kills the symbols but it keeps giving the people bread and circus in what were those gardens the Colosseum is created it's called Colosseum because there was that Colossus to which they break his face and leave him as a triumphant statue and they make the great Roman Colosseum and in those aqueducts they make big public bathrooms finally they return to the populism of the people bread and circus well, since we understand this since we understand
the law of human stupidity and especially the quadrants of intelligence of the bandit actions since we are understanding the points of the uncautious and since we are talking about the actions that are stupid even if you haven't asked me and even if sometimes the opinions that I said during these elections were signs of attacks today, after so many times that I said, I told you let's analyze why it happened what happened and let's see, I just realized that the section of nobody asked you
is normally where I give advice on how to use it in our favor and then we put the news curtain and then we put the news curtain of analysis of the month then, go you can get it by reference how to take this to your personal life every time you have an action think about which quadrant enters and what is the benefit of itself and the benefit of others and so you can check your actions from if you are going to pass a high or you are not going to pass it until you are going to think
and you are going to open your mouth if you are doing an intelligent act stupid, bandit but intelligent incautious but intelligent because you are winning something and it has helped me a lot they don't know how many times in my life I stop doing things because I say don't do it because it's stupid you are not winning nor is anyone winning nothing else sometimes with opinions I dedicate myself to opinion and I hope that my opinions are intelligent in the sense I win by opinion what did I win?
well, from awareness engagement in my networks they pay me for opinion I give lectures I write books where I express my opinion every time I comment on a YouTube channel you listen hello, how are you?
I greet you, Alvaro Guardada from the public image school I win things by generating my opinion but I always think that that opinion also helps you in something they don't know how many times I have to bite my tongue to say to see Alvaro here you are winning a personal benefit to get something out of your chest but whoever is listening to you on your networks will not get any benefit because that is your personal opinion not your opinion as a consultant in public image therefore stop thinking
and I put this context because now my opinion is going of why what happened happened well we come from bandit governments we come from governments that have only been in the quadrant of winning them without bringing a benefit to others and I am talking of course of the 70 years of PRI that was pronounced so much that later this change came in 2000 with Vicente Fox and Felipe Calderon but you will realize that their actions were also quite bandit and if we later reset it with Enrique Peña Nieto
the bandit actions went to the maximum well it is inaugurate this plant of the soda industry that is the soda of President Peña Nieto Peña Fiel I am going to go with social programs to me the first one I have memories I say already in life issues although I was born and I have to live finals of Echeverria and Madrid and I have to that I was very young I the first social program I heard was the solidarity and there was the song of solidarity we will win I even remember imagine if I was a child
and it was the first time that a more popular name was put to a social assistance program but in reality people did not see the benefits of the solidarity program if some houses were built and then we entered this time where they put attractive names and I don't want to be wrong and if I'm wrong I'm sorry I'm appealing 100% to my memory in Cedillo it was called this I think it progresses later when Fox and Calderón was the opportunity and see so recent that is Enrique Peña Nieto
and it was something similar to progress for coming to see if they help me google there this I'm asking people from here production put social assistance program or the secretary of social development of Enrique Peña Nieto is more I'm going to take my phone I think I'm going to do it too fast here among all not the community eaters was part of it is that you have to understand that it is part of a of a umbrella it was called to see here they are if with Carlos Aninas
pro nasol national solidarity program with Cedillo progress education program health and food I like the word games not progress opportunities with Vicente Fox and Felipe Calderón Prospera that's why I was confusing with the progress and Prospera was the Enrique Peña Nieto they were no more than attractive names opportunities program Prospera progress solidarity but what was behind the secretary of social development the small box that was too big personal benefit to steal steal and remove those
big budget games because the big budget games are social development and that's where for example the master scam Rosario Robles being the secretary of social development CEDESOL ends up in jail for being one of the main involved in what documentally with serious journalism was called the master scam then we come from bandits and from people incautious and indefense helpless I with my vote I gave you a benefit remember that the incautious is the one who gave the benefit to the other
with his loss I gave you my vote but you stuck me I lost and the only one who won the others lost but they won political parties the rulers the resource deviations towards political campaigns only the bandits won people in opposition indefense citizenship bandits rulers until a new government arrives and a new government popular to the people pan and circus telling him that he is going to end it all and what does it become the Morena movement and what does Andrés Manuel López Obrador
in Robin Hood becomes Robin Hood I'm going to take the rich away and I'm going to give the poor I'm going to sell an airplane that Obama doesn't have and I'm going to give it to the people I'm not going to live in Los Pinos because they stole those lands and that has to be a popular park where I'm going to put the dependency to return the stolen to the people and so the power arrives and the first thing they do in power is change the name to the secretary of social development
and call it the secretary of welfare and through this name the name of welfare let's see the number of programs that there may be welfare program all focused on the population pension for adults pension for people with disabilities scholarship for welfare Benito Juárez welfare sowing life welfare young people building the future so many for the welfare production for the welfare for farmers a number of supports but that people see them through the welfare cards through the welfare banks
and through an assistance that people say I'm receiving now the month welfare for the older adult between the card for this and for the other while the scholarship there were families that came out of extreme poverty families that had no income to have family income of 20 thousand pesos and then I give you food and I give you a benefit that many criticize in the short term but it is a benefit that if you vote for someone else you lose it because the bandits come back
hey alvaro but they have also stolen more than power in this sex that is ending yes sega el mex ok they are also all are these documented audios of construction of the mayan train where we are going to put another material and that shamelessly you hear the bandit action stupid bandit to say when it is already out of line and we see what we do the network of corruption what the hell is that of us every three thousand cubic meters goes to your little spot so that you can give me the dove
that everything is fine when the train is already out of line it's already worth another foot but while realize that it is the first time for many of us that we are in this phase of the earth as Mexicans that is to say the first time in our lives that we are seeing government intelligent bandits let's hope someday to see government that are nothing more intelligent that see the personal benefit and the benefit of others in a win-win and not in the loss of others since I mean that this government
there have been losses for others and we see the health sector as it is if you need medicine you need medical attention you have a child who needs medicines against cancer the management of the pandemic itself as it was with the vaccines we lost more not to be able of course we have lost in security issues not to mention that is, all the decisions of the national guard all the decisions that have been taken in security issues of course they have been decisions some stupid close the airport
what did the president win? what did we win as a society?
it was a stupid action because the profit was ego of the president the losses were multimillionaires we lost as a society they lost many people and the president also lost with that action he could have won a lot he could even have turned it into a mine of intelligent bandits if he wanted to this is so that they do not see that I am giving flowers neither to what happened in this sex I am talking about public image I am talking about perception and people perceive Robin Hood
yes, they steal but they spill yes, the others also stole but they did not give me a penny yes, there are no medicines but I have money I have a scholarship at the level of education that is why Andrés Manuel López Obrador comes out with an evaluation of 70% of approval same, which has not decreased it has always been between the it started with 84 it went down at some point to 68 70s low but if we want to round it becomes the president with better numbers of acceptance and above all
maintained during his sex at the level of evaluation as well as Enrique Peña Nieto comes out as the president worst evaluated in the history of Mexico since studies are made from Adolfo López Mateos Andrés Manuel López Obrador will be evaluated as one of the best presidents in the history of Mexico for whom?
for the surveys that say that they lie so much and it turns out that they do not lie because many surveys gave a 30% victory to Claudia Sheinbaum and they said they were crazy my trust surveys they said 20% I always said in these forums Claudia will win between 15 and 20% I was surprised that it has gone to 30 hey, it's a state election and they got their hands in now I'm going to get in with that second point of why it happened what happened but then we are already understanding
this point, right?
that if you have 70% approval in this government that we already call it of intelligent bandit it means that the 70% approximately of the people who were going to vote many of them were convinced in continuity that's why they put who they put the election or the election of candidates and candidates was a referendum election to a government or punishment to a government the vote was the punishment vote and then I what I said after having managed more than 33 political campaigns in this country
I have always said that campaigns are won by air advertising, promotion, debates but the elections are won by land territorial movement it's not the same when you are not in the government and you do not control the institutions and the powers budgets that were managed six years ago and still Andrés Manuel López Obrador won that now that you have the federal government in your hands it is logical that the electoral machinery the shopping cart buy votes call him as you want to call him
I was also going to be present that's why the natural vote Claudio would have won by 20% but with the vote pushed the go out to vote hey, even intimidation in some places yes, that happens and that happens that's why it went to 30% ok?
but it went to 30% but it would not have gone if we had not had an opposition stupid and an opposition that enters the quadrant of stupid bandits gentlemen, there was never an opposition it's a myth that there was an opposition and an opposition alliance a myth time came to them what was there?
three worn out political franchises with very bad public image disorganized I do not mean to say cephalos because there was a head but bandit heads heads looking for personal interests and party members and not for social benefit the selection of candidates was stupid many people tell me Álvaro, how is it possible that Rocío Nale with so many scandals has won for the government of Veracruz well, the simple answer the first they did not vote for Nale they voted for Andrés Manuel
and second the machinery that is behind ok? and second because they put Junez in front of him they put a worn out last name and with this bad reputation therefore what did the party win in putting candidates like that but many others I mean we were seeing names for the Senate of the most archaic and bandit that can be and at least Morena hides it or hides it what am I going with this? you can have Bartlett no?
of the most bandit of the bandit that can be in terms of what we are talking about of chipola yes, but how do they do propaganda so that that does not generate noise but I do not get lost I keep talking about the opposition Xochitl indefense indefense trying to give benefit to others but without being able to take the benefit to others Xochitl had to give taste to Marco to Lito they grabbed his hands they did not train him they did not give him a budget they told him the budget of the PAM party
he already left and he is committed with these spectacular the PRI is with this and what do you think?
that not spectacular I'm going to go out said Lito said Marco next to you I'm going to take a personal benefit while we lose the election bandit action Xochitl indefense and at some points Xochitl had actions that fell into the stupid example when he says a statement they are talking about that if Claudia Schemann and her heritage and that if she has an apartment and the other does not have and Xochitl makes a statement that was one of the strongest
or the most noise generated during the campaign said if you have not been able to build a heritage and buy an apartment for 60 years because you are very stupid if at 60 years old you have not been able to make a heritage you are very good with all due respect let's see do you remember the quadrant? here I put the quadrant again where would you put that opinion is it an intelligent opinion? is it a bandit opinion? is it an untaught opinion? or is it stupid?
you are telling him stupid to whom you have to convince to vote because the one who has a heritage to be able to have an apartment for 60 years is going to vote for you you do not have to convince him Xochitl should have been the most populist of the popular the most assistent say that from the first day say that the welfare programs not only would continue but they would increase you are receiving so much money with your scholarship I'm going to raise a 20% to your scholarship
and now I'm also going to give him scholarships or programs to this, to this, to this and to the other and he should have positioned himself in convincing that one who did not want to lose that benefit he should have said the word welfare and the secretary of welfare will continue in fact, I'm going to give the secretary of welfare to the people who already have it yes, but they did not let her do any of that and it looked utopian why?
because Xochitl again returned was in the quadrant of indifference indifference and now let's finally go to the population that voted and those who voted on the one hand we have then some govenors bandits and smarts with a bandit stupid opposition and a candidate indifference but let's see that there was an electorate indifference, smart indifference I'm giving someone else the benefit I'm giving you more power to power and you know, Molotov what happens when you give more power to power
harder they will come to us but people said, no, they will come to help us they will continue to help us then an incautious helpless population that many of them also said is that I don't like neither one nor the other I don't even know who to vote for totally indifference but I have to go out and vote for someone who do I vote for? and who is in favor?
well I know they steal but they spill therefore I will continue with my small social benefit assistance and then my vote was an indifference vote and smart at least I get a small benefit although the others I don't like either that's why a lot of middle class voted for Morena that people were surprised that there was a lot of voters that Sochitl didn't convince him and that he said, I think things are not so bad and I think they can continue better and although I am a middle class I can also get
my welfare card and there are many people who enter that demographic socioeconomic that have their adult card and then they say well, finally I see a plus here and I see a benefit and also it would be stupid for me to vote for this opposition so that's why a lot of people who were not morenista of sepa who was not happy with Andrés Manuel López Obrador voted for Claudia and here is where an interesting factor comes Claudia Sheinbaum's campaign was a very intelligent campaign it was a campaign
that generated security in people who were insecure you end up seeing a debate and there were many people that were not a population of Morena that said I think this woman is more sensible I think it's more interesting I think she looks more powerful I think she looks more authoritarian and a very bad Sochitl debate that said I'm not going to vote for her I know people against Andrés Manuel López Obrador the other day a person at the dinner told me the best analogy he told me Álvaro
I was two votes for Claudia Sheinbaum but no my values did not allow me this person told me therefore I voted for Sochitl but the analogy he told me is but when voting I felt like when Ariel the little mermaid gives her voice to Ursula he said I even turned to see while he was social and then comes this social minority of opposition and I say a social minority of opposition the one that can have a patrimony at the age of 60 to go around to travel the social business dome comes all this people
who are given so many pejorative attributes that they can say a small, small social minority totally defenseless defenseless and stupid with eyes closed without realizing that there was no opposition that what was dedicated to the campaign was to denounce the polls no, the polls are very bad I have a small survey here of a little-reputed house of research that says that there is a couple and that even Sochitl is a point up let's celebrate and a population that continues doing stupid acts
the other day there were on social networks circular of this opposing society angry is very crude with the results of this election saying things so unpleasant and that post said from today zero propinal comes comes to the top of the super even if it is an adult if they want so much to help them help them someone else it seems that I'm going to give my housemaid benefits of law if you want to help them so much Claudia Sheinbaum help them that action is a stupid action it's a loss
lose wherever you see it therefore that social minority his vote I thought it was a smart vote but I had to know that it was a political cause and that it was a political cause to see that it was a lost cause from the beginning and when I said it they attacked me and many of the attacks very stupid the only smart at the opposition level was the rose tide the rose tide if I tried to win but too late too late the wave of the rose tide rose during the campaign what is the smart thing
for that opposition that is so angry do that activism they did and take it to make people say things like Morena said Andrés Manuel López Obrador did not become the most voted president in the history of Mexico Claudia Sheinbaum already passed it overnight but it was through that lost campaign of 2006 that creates a social movement that people began to say if that's the case if they are not governing how will they be if they govern and that they become a political party
that is the path of the opposition the rose tide no longer think of Pri and Pan of course in PRD, CD that friend is dead they just haven't warned him that friend was dead they just hadn't warned him of course he's already dead but think that the second political force of this country today is the Green Party ok?
and in the third citizen movement and the work started then comes the Pan and then comes the PRI you have to know when a cartridge is already soaked is already burned because now I'm going to bite my tongue because I would love to tell you I told you six years later of what is going to happen in this sexenium and I can today throw my cards on the table and tell you who is going to be the next president of Mexico or the three alternatives of the next president of Mexico but it's not time to think
because maybe for the moment I don't win anything with that opinion and you only satiate a curiosity I even after this election I don't know if I've made a decision so sharp to the 100% but I'm going to separate myself more and more from the political opinion as long as we continue to be a stupid society in our way of acting as long as we continue to be so incivilized in our way of living as long as we continue to have so much incongruity and social resentment between two opposite sides
I think that quiet I look more beautiful and I think that a helpless position of incautious will be my most intelligent position Well, we close with the pylons as always and go, I said I was going to bite my tongue but what if it would be a utopian or idyllic letter if we talk about intelligence Claudia Schemba still has to enter with her first 100 days of government with actions to win, to win extremely intelligent and especially with what is known as Operation Scicatrice
Mexico is an open wound and Claudia Schemba still has to do Operation Scicatrice and she's already giving the first blows on the table of the same from her speech when she accepted the triumph she's calling for conciliation we know that right now the subject is very terrible and what generates the most noise is the case of judicial reform and other issues but Andrés Manuel is still president from October 1 things change and from López Portillo to Eche Berria
I don't remember being this ambassador of an island lost in the middle of nowhere but this little guy put Raúl Salinas in jail and he was always the president's puppet who is putting him in jail and they have always given blows on the table so the utopian Santa Claus letter would be to make many blows of image and propaganda that would position her in Operation Scicatrice and I find it very analogous with what happened in Spain at the end of the 80s when the new forms of government were created
and I am mainly talking about Felipe González Felipe González, think about the PSOE the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party a totally socialist party a leftist tendency when you finally come from a dictatorship of the far right and with these transition processes and the good monarchical actions that were made plus the good pact of the Moncloa comes later this president who generated a lot of fear between some social sector how is it possible that a socialist someone so populist would come to power
and not only that he came with total representation in his mandate in the chambers that had not been seen in Spain and having a president who had control of the chambers he could unite a country and above all he could make proposals of intelligent laws so that people would be better so much so that it is the longest mandate of a president of Spain almost 14 years being president and he is evaluated in a way that was very good the best that could happen to Spain was a president of socialist court
that had majority in the congress it was when the greatest growth and abundance came Spain when it falls again when a break comes when a president comes with a divided opposition congress that does not let his laws pass and then comes Asnari and then all these changes come and then comes Zapatero and what is the serious problem of Spain today?
a social division with stupid actions so that's why I'm talking about a utopia what would have to happen and happen but as utopias we can continue talking all our lives and they are scenarios that although we wish it possible very unlikely better than good that they give us a pill and let's see, I have a stack of pills here because logically you should read the essay of Carlos Chipola of the laws of human stupidity but I do not leave it as a pill because I practically already did the summary
of the essay and the conclusions but hey, there it is it is a very small essay you read it in a very brief way it also crossed my mind to give you as a pill that I mentioned Bill Maher if you do not know who this comedian is that I am surprised that the first thing people say about Bill Maher is a comedian the reality is that he is an activist and leader of political and social opinion very interesting if you have never seen the real time with Bill Maher
look for it, I'm sure there in Crocs 10 HBO they do not know what platform they pass it it is a weekly program but of political analysis if you have never seen it, see it because on the one hand it shows humor, sarcasm but opinions are very intelligent it is very divided, they always attack it because we know that the United States are Democrats and Republicans more fought and more polarized and more stupid than ever but as the elections of the United States come give Bill Maher a ride
he will be the second pillar the third while I was talking about Rome and grandpa tell me a story Santiago Posteguillo if you have never read the books of Santiago Posteguillo you can go from I do not know if it was trilogy how many books were those of Africanus who do not know how I enjoyed them of the Punic Wars and then you find out about the story but in a very entertaining way I Julia and the part of the two books about Julia Dobna they are also very interesting
but the trilogy that is running now that already presented the first two books are those of Roma Soy Yo and Maldita Roma that are about Julius Caesar the first is about childhood and therefore you see how the political and social climate was this of the optimates and the popular but the second is already the rise to the power of Julius Caesar and it is very interesting if you like the story Santiago Posteguillo but the pillar that I decided to finish and leave you
is in the College of Public Image we have the certification in political image the SIPO that on August 10 we open all the diplomas and certifications of the College of Public Image if you are listening to this podcast then twice a year we open there are even intensive summer diplomas but August 10 certification in political image for what?
for what stop doing stupid things and let's start seeing more intelligent campaigns and take advantage of the great business behind it that would be the most intelligent thing you could do July, August, popular months for the story we tell see you and listen to us El mes de Julio