Our 2025 Oscar Predictions !!! Everything You Need To Know About This Year's Nominees.

Today's episode is brought to you by VidAngel. We're talking about the Oscars today on this episode of I Just Want to Chat, and there are so many good movies that came out last year.

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Okay, now on with the show. Hello, everybody, and welcome to today's episode of I Just Wanna Chat. I'm Mary, and today is our big Oscar prediction podcast episode. I'm so excited. I'm going to go through everything that you need to know about this year's nominees, kind of how you should be forming your, you know, predictions and selections for the I Just Wanna Chat prediction contest.

If you want to participate, link in my bio on Instagram, link in the bio of this podcast episode and we go through everything that you need to know about this year's oscars there is a lot to know this is a very crazy oscar year we haven't had one like this in a very long time where things are so unpredictable so i tell you everything i know everything that i think that you need to know and you know we kind of marvel at how crazy it is that uh doom part two isn't leaving the pack here because

as we know that was the best movie of last year it really was anyway stay tuned. It should be a good one. Hello, everybody. Hi, long time no talk. I know I say that every time we take a little hiatus from the pod and then I come walking back here with the, what is it, like a dog with my tail between my legs, humbly asking all of you to let me back into your, you know, podcasting schedule.

Sorry that's been a long break but i'm here now to do this one episode i wish i could say like and now i'm back at it this is kind of a one-off we're going to be bringing the pod back soon regular regularly but i'm just kind of in like a transition phase with some life stuff right now in a good way but alex is here with me i haven't introduced him yet but he's like staring at me like where are you taking hello i'm here guys i'm just saying right now is not the best

time for me to commit to a weekly pod, but it will be very soon, and I will share more later, and I'm so excited. And I'm even more excited because guess what today is? You already know because you clicked on this episode and there was an intro. Grammy? Oscar. My word. Oh, no. Oh, no. Now we need to rerecord. This is our Oscars prediction episode.

It's Oscars weekend, baby i am so excited so much of what i do here i just want to chat is in preparation for this week part of my mission of like getting people really into movies all hinges on gamifying it with as far as like awards go and celebrity culture and the oscars is like the pinnacle of that right.

I'm so excited. This is going to be a really good race this year. I've seen all of the Best Picture nominees. I've seen a majority of the films nominated. I can't say that I've seen a lot of the docs or the live shorts or anything like that, but I've seen a majority of the films nominated. This is a really good year, a really competitive year, and it's been a long time since we've had an Oscars year like this. So it is actually competitive.

And not usually that way. It's extremely competitive this year. And it's extremely like, I'm really excited to see how the, like, the I just want to chat Oscar prediction contest goes. Because, like. Wild. Well, and I feel like most years, I at least, I end up losing. You're confident, though. Yeah, but like, I end up losing by like a point or two. Yeah. Because like, it's that close.

This year best actor is not nailed down best or best actress is not super nailed down best picture fairly up in the air best director it's really hard to call and there's a lot of races like that where normally we have like a pretty clear view like last year was the oppenheimer year and it was like down the line we knew what it was going to win yeah so then it came down to like a couple key races like i think i lost last year.

Because emma stone won over lily gladstone if lily gladstone had won i would have won but instead i know i drag it him every single time a man won last year which again we don't want to see it it was my friend's husband like my best friend's husband so i score one for the boy but not this year if there continues the streak alex are you entering male domination i don't i am not sure i haven't decided how we'll get through the nominees i'm just wondering your movie going year do you think that

you saw a lot of them no but i feel like i know a lot of them because i've talked to you about them because you live with somebody that yes that's into it so i've gotten a yeah i guess i know the background on most of it but yeah but yeah i'd say i'd only seen like a couple i think you've seen like maybe four of the nominees we'll go through it but anyway hopefully this episode helps shed some light on what to expect this weekend and kind of maybe will

be helpful with you making your own oscar predictions please join our oscar prediction contest you could do it on the link is on our instagram i'll see if i could put it in the link or in the description for this episode as well you enter you fill out the form you venmo me five dollars all of the money goes directly into the prize pool and if you win you you can win money or split the money with the person that you want i'm entering this year But if I win,

I'll donate all of the prize winnings to Baby2Baby.

Just to like make things fair. And also because that's a nice thing to do, but I don't want people to think I'm competing just to steal people's money. But fill out your entry forms soon if you're going to enter because we have to cap it at 65 entrants. And I think that we're maybe even halfway there already. I think or we have like at least 20 something people entered, I believe.

We have to cap it because if the prize pot gets too big, then it's like sketchy as far as like gaming law goes and like me running an illegal lottery possibly. So I don't want to do that.

Anyway, let's get into our nominations. This is going to be a really, really fun Oscars year, as I've mentioned. I'm just wondering if there'll be any upsets, but I guess you're saying there's definitely sure to be. Yes, I am. Some surprises. Yes. Some Cinderella stories. Oh, 100%. Because normal Oscar years, you can kind of go through and there are like the front runners, but there's also like different narratives that emerge through Oscar campaigning.

If you're new to the Oscar following world, campaigning is a very like campaigning is what the whole game is. The best picture winner is not the best movie of the year.

It's the studio or the filmmakers who decided to really play the game an oscar campaign can cost like 25 million dollars an oscar campaign is like billboards oscar campaigns are like timothy chalamet going on snl singing as bob dylan and that kind of stuff like oscar campaigns are really any celebrity activity because the celebrities try to get out there as much as possible during this time so then they can you know shake hands kiss babies whatnot and get these votes so the votes

this year there's a lot of star power in play there's a lot of scandal at play there's a lot of like back and forth because the story of this year's oscar year was that anora which is the current frontrunner for best picture anora was the frontrunner basically from may of 2024 when it won the Palme d'Or, which is like the main prize at the Cannes Film Festival. It won the Palme d'Or. And then from May until like.

November, December, it was basically the movie to beat. And people kind of thought like this movie, like Anora is going to win. And Mikey Madison, who plays Anora, she is going to win Best Actress. And it was like pretty sewn up. Not that many people had seen The Brutalist yet, and they didn't really know that it was going to be like this big competitor. Conclave was a movie that kind of came out of nowhere. And there were just like not these huge narratives formed around these movies

yet. But then the Golden Globes comes and Anora didn't win anything at the Golden Globes. And Amelia Perez, shockingly, won a lot of stuff. They beat out Wicked in a lot of movies that are in a lot of awards that people thought that Wicked might win. And so then people started looking to Emilia Perez as the new frontrunner because Anora did so poorly at the Globes.

And then in other like pre-events, like the precursor awards through all the other like guilds, like the directors and the writers and stuff, Emilia Perez was doing really, really well nominations wise. So then Emilia Perez became our frontrunner, right? And any time there was a movie that kind of got close to Emilia Perez, like The Brutalist, for example, that movie would suspiciously have a conflict or a drama happen around it.

The Brutalist was kind of surrounded by this AI controversy, which I talked about on the Newsgirls podcast a couple weeks ago. There was this controversy where there were these stories that came out highlighting the Brutalist's use of AI. With some re-speecher tool.

But what's interesting is Amelia Perez used the same tool, but it wasn't mentioned in those articles, which kind of leads people to believe that the Amelia Perez campaign team were funding all of these articles talking about how the Brutalist used AI. So then the Brutalist, which was number two for Best Picture, then went down the line because people didn't want to vote for AI. And then like these other things would kind of pop up And then Emilia Perez would somehow kind of shoot it down.

But then about a month ago, the lead of Emilia Perez, Carla Sofia Gascon, who is the first transgender woman to ever be nominated for Best Actress. She, people found her tweets because she tried to like come at Fernanda Torres, which is another nominee from Best Picture or for Best Actress. She tried to go after Fernanda Torres, alleging that Fernanda Torres was, you know, talking smack about the Emilia Perez team, which there was no proof

of. Like, there were no articles like she didn't do that. Carla Sofia Gascon was doing that because there is an—we'll get into this later.

I'm getting ahead of myself. Long story short, let's bookmark that conversation for a couple minutes. Emilia Perez was a frontrunner, but then people found these tweets of Carla Sofia Gascon being horrible to basically every ethnic group ever. And not just, like, ethnic groups. She has tweets where she's calling Selena Gomez a rat, which is ironic because Selena Gomez was her co-star in Emilia Perez. She has tweets that are so vile about literally every single group of people.

And so that kind of shot Emilia Perez's win chances and then the only awards that they were winning were awards that were voted on before the scandal happened. Were there many that were voted before? Yes, like they won a bunch of Critics Choice Awards and other like pre-events. They kept winning and they kept getting nominations but then as soon as the scandal happened nothing And crickets, except for Zoe Saldana, she's still been able to survive.

Her campaign has still survived, kind of. Anyway, so now, Anora shot back up to the first place. Back where it was. Yeah, but then people were kind of talking about a complete unknown getting up there, but then that didn't really happen. People have kind of said, like, maybe Wicked, that's definitely not happening. Although it's going to probably win a lot of, like, the below-the-line, like, production awards, which we'll get into. Yeah.

But now, over the weekend, there were the BAFTAs, in which Anora didn't win anything, and Conclave won the Best Picture award. Oh, okay. And that's what you were so surprised about, right? Yeah. I heard you gasping. That was a big surprise. No, I was gasping at the Screen Actors Guild Awards. Oh. Because it won Best Cast for the Screen Actors Guild, and that was a complete shock. The Screen Actors Guild is the largest voting body in the Academy, because who votes for these Academy Awards, right?

The Academy is made up of a bunch of different people who work in the industry. So there's all these different guilds, right? All these different unions. The Writers' Union, the Director's Union, Actors' Union, etc. They all have their own individual award shows. Those are those different precursor events.

The academy groups all these unions and people together and then they're all voting on one prize so like movies like the brutalist and movies like dune they're doing better at the award shows that are more focused on like cinematography right but then like timothy chalamet he won the screen actors guild award because the actors are appreciating his performance more and what he put into it so the screen actors guild also happens to be the largest voting body in the academy like percentage

wise they make up more of a majority so the screen actors guild they are a they're like a really important precursor it's weighted or does no but there there is ranked there's ranked choice voting for best picture huh but we'll get into that so anyway so now Conclave is kind of in this number two spot, even though, but now Nora is still back at number one. It's all very intriguing. So a lot has been happening. Anyway, let's get into the nominations.

I'm just going to quickly go through these categories that I don't really know what to tell you guys about, like best live action short film.

These, I feel like they should be in their own ceremony kind of like you know how they have like the the emmys and then the daytime any emmys i think that they could really expand upon a lot of things like it'd be great if they, you know made an oscar for like movie or music films and stuff like that that would be a good different separate show and then they could put these live action short films in there because they don't fit yeah like the. I don't even know what to say about these ones.

The best live action short film, A-Line, Leanne, Anjua, I Am Not a Robot, The Last Ranger, and The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent. I have heard that that is the one to bet on, The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent. But I also heard good things about Anjua. Anjua? How do you think you would pronounce that? Anuja. Anuja. Or Anuja? But I think that might be like a Latin J sound. A-N-U-J-A. Anyway, sorry that I don't have much insight on that one.

And then in that same vein, there is the, where did it go? I'm looking for the best documentary short. Best documentary short film, Death by Numbers, I Am Ready, Warden, Incident, Instruments of a Beating Heart, and The Only Girl in the Orchestra.

So when you're looking at this category these ones are kind of more well seen than like the live action shorts like the best documentary short films are often on netflix or you know viewed other places and there's often like a lot of film festival presence for these documentary short films in my research today it seems like i am ready warden and incident are the two ones to really keep an eye on.

I Am Ready Warden is a movie about somebody on death row, and it's been available on Paramount Plus and I think Netflix. Incident, I believe, is available on Apple TV. So those are two movies that have a lot of like money behind them. The Only Girl in the Orchestra, I think that was New York Magazine is the producer on that one.

You can find it online. And just thematically, it's very similar to the winner for last year, which was the last repair shop, which was about like kids and instruments and stuff. Like kids learning to play instruments in inner cities and like the power of music. This is another, the power of music movie or short, the only girl in the orchestra. So some people might say thematically, if they awarded a movie, just like it last year, they're probably going to skip over it this year.

But then other people might say, yeah, that like, maybe they like movies about the impact of music. So there's that. And then let me find animated short film.

So best animated short film beautiful men in the shadow of the cypress magic candles or candles or candies magic candies wander to wonder and yuck i've heard that yuck is one to keep an eye on here yuck and in the shadow of the cypress i heard is like very like emotionally moving but i haven't watched any of these i'm sorry i haven't done my due diligence to watch these best animated short films but that's that sorry that we're starting off on a weird note but that's the context that

we need for yeah for those shorts hopefully that impacts your voting which i don't know why it would because that was just a lot of mumbo jumbo about i don't know i haven't seen any of them but this is what i've heard i would i'm voting for i'm ready warden spoiler alert for my ballot don't give away your vote also i'm gonna be splitting my money with yeah 500 people yeah let's hop over to best original song so best original song is a category that i really like a lot of people that

are like very snuffy about the oscars always say that it should be abolished no i'm so bummed this year because there are a no good songs in this group of songs and b there's going to be no live performances of these songs oh yeah that.

Does seem like a good opportunity to perform yeah and normally like for me it breaks up the show and like last year because this can be a slog right yeah it's three and a half hours last year we had billy eilish doing what was i made for we had i'm just ken we had a diane warren song i'll get to that in a minute and then there were other cool nominees last year too but now i can't remember what they were anyway normally

it's a cool there was that um song from killers of the flower moon like where they had like the whole like native American group come out, like the music group. And they did like a cool dance and stuff on stage. Anyway, for me, it's always a really nice highlight of the night when they highlight these songs. But this year, there's nothing really great. They had some opportunities to bring in some fun stuff. Miley Cyrus's song was shortlisted.

Pamela Anderson, or not Pamela Anderson, it was for the Pamela Anderson movie. Maren Morris's song was shortlisted from The Wild Robot. She didn't get a nomination. Instead, we have two songs from Amelia Perez. Then we have a song from the movie Sing Sing, which is a really good movie. Never Too Late from Elton John and The Journey from Six Triple Eight.

I'm assuming that the reason why we're not having the performances this year is probably because people didn't want to perform these songs and they're not very well known. Having musical performances of these songs would have meant that we would have had the Emilia Perez cast on there. Nobody wants that. El Mal is like the big number from that movie.

Like when you watch the clips of Emilia Perez where people are saying like, look at Zoe Zaldana's acting ability, they point to her musical number in El Mal.

Or they make fun of her with the love vaginoplasty song have you seen that yeah you shared that i'd like to know about the sex change operation i see i see i see what i need in my life are more people, that know the i see i see i see thing i tried to text that to my sister the other day like an agreement to something like i see i see i see didn't get it no response or at least like no no agreement i think now i'm actually kind of wondering if i actually sent it or if i deleted

it because i thought she won't understand but now i'm gonna start saying i see i see i see anyway here's what you need to know about this crop of nominees so el mal is probably the one to beat but the journey from six triple eight is by singer-songwriter diane warren this is diane warren's 16th nomination in this category with zero wins so far she's the most nominated female with no wins. And if she gets nominated two more times, she'll be the most nominated person with no wins.

She, her whole life is these Oscar campaigns. She is very, like, she knows a lot of people in Hollywood. She makes it no secret how badly she wants one of these wins. On Sunday, when you're watching the show, watch her, because she does not react well every time she loses. She has lost eight years in a row.

And she's so well connected she's so well connected in hollywood where she just finds these like i mean i don't want to call six triple a a minor film because it was it did really well on netflix but she normally finds these like films that people don't really watch and then she writes like a power ballad for them they all kind of sound the same and then they have like a hollywood like b-list starlet sing the song at the oscars like last year

i can't even tell you what movie was for for sometimes it's like for a documentary it's like any song that any movie that will have her she'll do it and then her team pours millions of dollars into getting her these nominations and then she campaigns heavily and then every single year she loses eight years in a row she has lost that's real since this is such a a light year for these nominees i've heard in my research that there's a big, like,

let's just freaking give her the award so we don't have to do this anymore. Throw her a bone. Like, so I've heard that the sentiment around a lot of voters is. Let's just give it to her. I don't know. Especially because people have really soured on Emilia Perez. And, like, they're going to try to not reward it, I think. Which is weird because, I mean. Carla-Sofia Gascon has nothing to do with these songs. Like,

I mean, she performed in one of them. but she didn't write them and like she wouldn't win the Oscar for just performing it like you only win the Oscar if you are the writer, So, I'm going to say my vote, I think, is going to be for the Diane Warren. I think people are going to do it. What do you say, Alex? Knowing what you now know. I think, yeah, I would probably go with what you're saying. If there's that much, if they've worked on that for so many years.

Yeah. Yeah, maybe they just want to throw her a bone. I would love for this to happen and then for her to just be able to rest. I don't know how old she is. Not how to do anymore. I don't want to sound agey. Power ballads for indie documentaries. Well, and like, I mean, one of the ones from a couple years ago was, she like wrote a song for like the Mila Kunis drug movie. Like it's always like something like that, like a dramatic something. I don't know.

But anyway, good luck, Diane Warren. I'm rooting for you. Best original score. This category is confusing and weird. Want to know why? Yeah. Why? Because one of the biggest Oscar snubs of this year is in this category. That didn't get nominated. The Challengers score was one of the best. Was that this year? Mm-hmm. Challengers was completely shut out of the Oscars this year. It was one of the best scores in recent memory.

It was so good. It was the powerhouse of the movie. The movie would not have been the same without the score. And the writers, who is it? It's Trent Reznor and Atticus something from Nine Inch Nails, I believe. They won for... Nine Inch Nails was in it? Isn't that what their band is from? Riff for a second. Well, I know Nine Inch Nails is supposed to be doing the... I think they're supposed to be doing the Tron movie. So I'm excited for that. Yeah. Yeah, Nine Inch Nails.

They were snubbed, and they should have won this category. Well, maybe not won because of the Brutalist, but anyway, here are the nominees for Best Original Score. We have the score from The Brutalist from Conclave, Emilia Perez, Wicked, and The Wild Robot, also weird in this category. The score for Dune Part 2, which was an incredible score, Hans Zimmer was not able to be nominated because they said that there was too much of the first Dune's score in the second score.

It's not unique enough. Yeah, which is weird because John Williams has won this a ton of times for different iterations of Star Wars stuff. Yeah, Star Wars motifs are always repeated. And it's really weird because if they're claiming originality or lack of originality, the Wicked score is nominated here, and the Wicked score just interpolates a bunch of the other written Wicked songs you. I feel like all the classic, all the big scores do that, though. Isn't that a traditional music thing?

But to disqualify doing part two, saying it wasn't original enough is odd. It's an odd choice. But I'm going to be voting for The Brutalist because the score is one of the most important parts of the movie.

Like when i give people my like quick elevator pitch of like why you need to go watch the brutalist and why it's like one of the best things that you'll ever see the score is like my second sentence really like so i could watch it at home and not at a theater i think that you i mean i think that's too late for you to see the brutalist in the theaters but it is the movie starts off with this very dramatic scene and then it switches to something a little triumphant but less you

know like like you're still worried and then there's this rush of hope like i don't want to spoil too much there's a rush of hope in the second scene and then this big booming score comes in that just moves you emotionally physically i saw it in a big screen in a loud theater yeah that would definitely and it like fully immerses you in it and this movie like i mean it's one of the most pretentious movies that you'll ever see it has like an overture in the beginning and like the intermission

and the score plays through the intermission and all this stuff it that movie the score is so integral to the movie it has to win in my opinion anyway so that's my vote for best original score i guess there's your vote yeah it has to win okay before we get into some of the below the line categories let's. Go over best international feature film we have i'm still here. The Girl with the Needle, Emilia Perez, The Seed of the Sacred Fig, and Flo.

This is an interesting crop of nominees. There are two nominees for Best Picture in this group. We have I'm Still Here, and we have Emilia Perez. Flo is in the Best Animated Feature category, and it's very abnormal to have an animated feature in the Best International Film category. And Flo is one of the favorites to win Best Animated Feature. So, it's a heavy hitter in that regard. Emilia Perez is now, like, has as many nominations as Gone with the Wind had. It was nominated 13 times.

There should have been an Emilia Perez sweep. But it might not win anything. Zoe will definitely win, I think. Oh, okay. If it wasn't for Carla's tweets, this whole conversation would be extremely different. Extremely different. But people might say, You know, this is where we want to award it, right? We will put it in Best International Feature. They'll get the Oscar for that. That being said, so how Best International Feature goes is each country is allowed to submit one film.

So in theory, there's like a committee that groups together, and then they decide what films they want to honor from each country. And then you kind of have like the power of that country behind the film. So a lot of times it's not the best film that wins. It's the film with the most people from that country, either in the Academy or advocating for it. I'm Still Here is from Brazil. Fernanda Torres, who is nominated in Best Actress, she won the Golden Globe for Best Dramatic Actress.

The Golden Globes is a foreign voting body, the Hollywood foreign press. And she won it not only because her performance was so good, but because the people of Brazil were so passionate about this film and about her and about being recognized on this international stage. There's a lot of reason to believe that that energy will be replicated here. Because not only do we have Brazil, but kind of people think that it's going to get like the big Latin American vote.

Because Emilia Perez, the movie or the country that that movie represents is not Mexico. It's France. It's some French dude that made this movie. He doesn't even speak Spanish. And the people of Mexico hate this movie. They've like shut it down in theaters because it's like made people so angry and upset there in Mexico. So I think I might go. I'm still here for Best International Future. Did you watch that one? Yes. Did you like it? I didn't like the ending, really.

But I kind of wish that the movie was more like the first 30 minutes of it. But then it would have been a completely different movie. I don't know. But I don't know. I didn't know anything about the political unrest in Brazil. Like I think that this is my year of discovering things about political unrests in different country through media because I didn't really know about the Ireland one. Oh, yeah. Other than seeing what's that movie that I like from Ireland?

I can't remember. Dang it. The one with the guy from Fifty Shades of Grey. Shoot. Starts with a B. Kenneth Branagh movie. I don't know. Can't remember. Don't know. It came out a couple years ago. Has Claire from Outlander. Claire. Has Claire from Outlander. Oh, Belfast? Belfast. Thank you, Buster. Oh. Yeah. Got it. Anyway, I learned about the Irish unrest from that. And then in this, I had no idea about the unrest in the 70s in Brazil.

Yeah. Yeah, because I'd definitely heard of that before. The unrest in the country that you lived in for two years or the movie? No, just about the political. They had a dictatorship. Alex lived in Brazil for two years for his Mormon church mission. For added context to the listeners. So I was kind of curious. I'm going. I'm still here in this category. Okay.

Now we have the below the line categories, which are your production design, makeup, hairstyling, costuming, that kind of stuff. And a lot of people say this and a lot of people nag on people who say it, but I think that this is a good rule of thumb to use if you're not super familiar with all the nominees or if you're new to Oscar predicting. In these categories, replace the word best or replace the word achievement with most.

So when we're talking about best costuming, think about the movie with the most costumes. And I'm not just talking quantity, I'm talking intricate costumes, right? Yeah. When we're talking about best sound, we're talking about most sound. Does that make sense? Or like not even like quantity again of sound. Think about most as in like the most skill it probably took to make the precise sounds when they need to make them.

So let's start off with best costume design. We have A Complete Unknown, Conclave, Gladiator 2, Nosferatu, and Wicked. I am going to go Wicked on this category. Wicked is probably going to go home with a lot of different nominees or a lot of different Oscars this year. Yeah. You don't think they can win the score, the Wicked? After seeing The Brutalist, no, I don't think so. Okay. Fair enough. Yeah. And I mean, love and respect Wicked.

It rules our life right now because Rooney is so obsessed. But I would say Wicked. Lots of costumes, big costumes. Things look great. A close second would probably be Conclave because there were a lot of popes or a lot of, what are they called? Cardinals. A lot of cardinals to dress and there were a lot of big outfits. But Nosferatu also had some good costumes, but I'm going to say Wicked for this one. What would you say, Alex? What was the options again?

Are you even listening to me? A complete unknown. Oh, no, I was thinking Gladiator too. I feel like, were there a lot of costumes or was it just Paul Meskel's chest? I feel like there were a lot of costumes. There were some. I don't know. I feel like I've blocked out Gladiator 2.

Whether intentionally or not intentionally. Okay, next let's do makeup and hairstyling. We have A Different Man, which is the movie. I don't know if you guys have seen it. It's on HBO Max, which is a good place to watch a lot of these nominees. It's the movie with Adam Pearson and Sebastian Stan, and it's about a man whose face is—I don't know if disfigured is a right or just term to use for this, but there's a lot of prosthetics and stuff that have to happen in this movie.

Amelia Perez, Nosferatu, The Substance, and Wicked. The Substance is also another movie where a lot of prosthetics, a lot of physical changes. The movie is based on the physical changes within these people. So you think that could be a winner? I think it's kind of like the only option for a winner. I mean, Wicked, you have the green. That's a lot of makeup. That is a lot of makeup. That's a lot of things you have to do.

I'm trying to think of like other huge achievement of makeup and hair in that movie. The monkeys are CGI. Yes, very CGI. Yeah. I mean, there's a lot of hair styling and stuff. Nosferatu, the man Nosferatu in that movie, he's all prosthetic and creepy stuff. So that's important to recognize too. But I can't imagine this one going to anybody but the substance. Okay. Best production design. Oh, I did not.

I made a typo on the Oscar sheet. it says bst production design we had the brutalist conclave doom part 2 nosferatu and wicked this one, is gonna go to wicked as it should wicked is big practical sets although they weren't like lit super well they were impressive though yeah they were impressive and they didn't use much green screen they used green screen background but all the sets that they were on were all the accurate real sets so i think that's something that's definitely going to be

awarded doom part 2 the production design, is really really incredible in that movie and I think that they didn't have a lot to go off of like they had to make their own, way because a lot of people don't shoot movies like that in the sand and everything so the people who designed these sets they had to, really kind of start from the ground up so I'd be happy if that was recognized Nosferatu had some like very big all these are really great nominees and choices The Brutalist.

That is such a huge production, but I know that they shot on location a lot, so I'd maybe be less inclined to vote for The Brutalist. Conclave, they recreated the Vatican, so that's pretty neat. So, I don't know, but I think that this one is basically a lock for Wicked, again, as it should be. Okay, next up we have Best Sound. So, when we're talking about Best Sound, we're not talking about just music cues or anything like that. We're talking about gunshots. We're talking about...

Explosions. We're talking about explosions. We're talking about watching a choreographed dance number and hearing all of the footsteps on the ground. We're talking about scenes that have a lot of animals and you're hearing the hooves and that kind of stuff. So every single piece of the sound is to be considered in this. So we have A Complete Unknown, Dune Part 2, Amelia Perez, Wicked,

and The Wild Robot. The Wild Robot is very notable in this category because animated movies don't often make it into this category.

I would probably say... This one's a toss-up. I'd say Dune Part 2, probably. Just because it needs to be recognized somewhere. It's the best movie out of any of these movies that we're talking about, which is the insane thing. But The Writer's Strike, it was supposed to be nominated last year. It was supposed to be in the whole pool for last year, which wouldn't have helped its chances.

There was no stopping the Oppenheimer train, but they should have just withheld it until Oscar season because this whole conversation would not be happening if they would have held it until November or December. It's been so long. Yeah, because it came out March. So it's not top of mind for anything. I actually think, today's the 27th. I think that I saw it a year ago today. Wow. Because the day that I came back from Disneyland with Leigh. Time to watch it again.

It's time. I was thinking it's back at AMC right now and I was like, I think I need to see it because I don't know. When I'll be able to see it again in the big screen, you know? Yeah. I need to see Austin Butler again. Do his weird toothless thing again on the big screen. I'm going to say, yeah, Doom Part 2, just because they did do a lot of things with sound in there. But also, there's room for Wicked in here. But also, completely unknown, they had a lot of live performance.

And I do know that that's hard to sync up audio-wise on screen, but I don't know. Okay, next, best visual effects. We have Alien Romulus.

We have Better Man, the movie where, you know, Robbie Williams is that monkey doom part two kingdom of the planet of the apes and wicked it's funny because three of these movies right only three three of these movies are nominated for their use of monkeys oh yeah the monkey category i'm gonna say doom part two again just so we could recognize it in some other places kingdom of the planet of the apes i know is often nominated in this category, Better Man, to me, it looked great.

There were a lot of times where I had to remind myself that it was a monkey. Like, where I'd be watching it, and then I'd be like, this is kind of crazy that I'm watching a monkey right now doing all this stuff. It looked really good. Wicked, the visual effects. I'm trying to think of, other than the monkeys, what all were the visual effects? Flying. Okay, yes, there was some flying. The bubble, that's a big visual effect.

I don't know i'm giving it to wicked oh no no sorry i read the word wicked as i was speaking, all right let me go through these other categories just to make sure i didn't accidentally skip anything we did makeup and hairstyling correct yes oh best editing.

Editing we have anora which was edited by sean baker the brutalist david jansko conclave nick emerson emilia perez julia weffling and wicked myron kirsten is this like cutting the scenes or is this yeah so editing goes into all aspects of it it's cutting the scenes it's the you know cleanup the cleanup of the story the making of a cohesive story and it's also the the straight up edits of the scenes the the transitions the the flow all of it this entry or this

category is interesting because sean baker is the writer and director of anora and he famously cuts all of his own movies which is not something that a lot of directors do anymore oh yeah it's like kind of a very old-fashioned job editor yeah it's a very like old-fashioned notion of like the director going in and seeing his vision through to the end and i think that that's definitely something that's going to be awarded here i would love to see the brutalist

being awarded here because that movie is three and a half hours and it has incredible flow in it it doesn't super drag it i think that there were like really really good and cool editing choices made in that movie.

But anora i i think it's pretty safe to say that it would be that sometimes the academy just likes to honor the things that they think that they should be honoring, which is another reason why i think amelia perez has so many nominations this year like because they kind of thought like this is a movie that represents so many different types of people and causes like we want to award this movie and in a different like the same kind of idea,

a lot of people will rally behind the idea of awarding Sean Baker for Nora because look at him. He had this vision and look what he created and he even edited the movie himself. So there's that. Oh, also we didn't do... Okay, we did costume design, correct? Yes. Cinematography. We have The Brutalist, Doom Part 2, Emilia Perez, Maria, and Nosferatu.

It's funny, Maria was a movie that people thought, like, there was a long time this year where people thought no matter what, Angelina Jolie was going to win the Oscar for Maria. And then she wasn't even, like, starting in January, she was, like, cut from the conversation completely.

I am going to vote for the brutalist for cinematography best cinematography i saw although doom part two is on here and they did have to do a lot of cool stuff but the brutalist is all practical except for their work no you know what i'm not gonna vote for no i will i think i'm gonna vote brutalist for best cinematography yeah you still got time to change your mind yeah i know i'm not locking it in right now but nosferatu wasn't a movie that i super enjoyed but

i still recommended to people just to watch how cool the cinematography was so i wouldn't be shocked if this movie won and it's interesting because the filmmaker of nosferatu robert eggers he made one of my favorite movies of the last 10 years the northman oh no and and he also made the lighthouse with robert pattinson he's like a very prestige filmmaker and the academy hasn't really taken the bait yet like to give him you know the real oscars like screenplay or

director or anything like that but they'll often prestigious ones yeah but every year they'll throw him a bone in cinema cinematography they'll say but you know what like your movies are too artsy for us but they dang do they look good give them a cinematography thing so i'm gonna vote for the brutalist there. But notable, the cinematographer for Maria, I didn't write his name down, dang it, but I learned this from the Big Picture podcast. He's.

The cinematographer for Maria is a very commonly nominated cinematographer, very, very well respected in the industry, and has never won before. And he's getting old, so people think that this might be his year to be honored.

The best animated feature film, we have Flow, Inside Out 2, Memoir of a Snail, Wallace and Gromit, Vengeance, Most Foul, and The Wild Robot. You need to. Yes. Better catch up on my Wallace and Gromit. priority. Love those as a kid. I've tried to watch them with our kids before. Zero interest in Claymation. Oh, I love those. Maybe you need to convince them. As a kid, yeah. A couple interesting things happening in this category. We have the number one box office hit of 2024, which is Inside Out 2.

It was the highest grossing movie of last year. We have Flow, which is super critically acclaimed. It's Latvia's nomination for Best International Film. And people really, really, really love it. The Memoir of a Snail, not too much about that. Wallace and Gromit, big legacy property there. And people love to honor Claymation. And The Wild Robot, which was... Oh, yeah. Claymation. Can you imagine the work that takes?

Alex Arn't. Well, the Oscars might not, but Alex Arn't will honor Wallace and Gromit.

The Wild Robot was on the list of possible Best Picture nominees because it was so well received i'm gonna go the wild robot but it's really it's a coin flip it could be flow and i'll probably regret not picking it but i'm gonna choose the wild robot it has that universal money behind it they've run a big campaign but i know that people really resonate with flow so there's that flow is like a silent movie not silent but just no no dialogue no No dialogue,

just a cat and capybara and some other animals. Wow is right, Alex. Wow, wow, wow. All right, let's hop over to the Screenplay Awards. So for Best Adapted Screenplay, we have A Complete Unknown, Conclave, Emilia Perez, Nickel Boys, and Sing Sing. This one is almost definitely going to Conclave. It has won this category in every precursor event that it's been nominated for thus far.

And the mastery of this movie is its screenplay so in adapted screenplay that includes anything that's like based off of a book based off of a play based off of any like real existing idea barbie last year like kind of made headlines because it was supposed to be nominated they entered into best original screenplay because although it was made off of this idea from barbie it wasn't really basing it off yeah like a a story right but then the oscars switched

up and made them do adapted screenplay oh yeah which caused some problems anyway that that award is fairly confident it will be conclave then we have best original screenplay anora again written by sean baker the brutalist written by brady corbet and mona fastwald a real pain written by Jesse Eisenberg, September 5. Written by Maurice Binder, and The Substance, written by Corley Fargat.

I know it's something French, and I'm mispronouncing it. Interesting category because the directors of these movies, four of these nominees were written by their director.

A Real Pain by Jesse Eisenberg, which is a movie that we'll talk about very soon coming up here, has a real real shot here best original screenplay i kind of sometimes refer to as the here damn take it i'm gonna call it like the diane warren if diane warren wins best original songs this is you kind of have to work years and years for this one usually no like it's kind of the we're not gonna award you anywhere else you a bone yeah but like we

really appreciated what you did here but were not going to like get out one best original screenplay a couple years ago because it was like very very well received people really really resonated with it but it just didn't quite like cross the threshold into being prestigious enough or artsy enough or something enough to win acting prizes directing prizes best picture yeah so a real pain didn't quite make it into the Best Picture nominations, even though it was predicted to be a contender there.

Not to win, but to be nominated at least. And people really, really love Jesse Eisenberg. And Jesse Eisenberg has campaigned heavily for this. People really regret that he didn't win the Oscar for his portrayal of Mark Zuckerberg years and years ago. Like, that's one big, like, Oscar regret that people have. So this is another way to honor him. And a real plane, much like Conclave, rests on its screenplay, right? The Brutalist kind of has, like, a shot here, like, maybe, like, a 10% chance.

It is a very story driven movie i mean all these are story driven movies but the brutalist is not only like this huge visual spectacle it really really hinges on the conversations and the nuance between the characters and the kind of the world that they create and people saying little things and like it's a very creative script even if it's not very like believable and then we have an aura which is another movie that rests on its story and doesn't have like these it has like

these big set pieces and stuff but at the heart of it the dialogue is the the moving force behind the movie so it has a shot i'm going to vote a real pain here but i've been wrong before and perhaps i'll be wrong again all right oh best doctor documentary feature film black box diaries no other land porcelain war soundtrack soundtrack to a coup d'etat and Sugarcane. I've heard that No Other Land is the one to beat here. It's about the Gaza-Israel conflict.

So I'd say No Other Land. And then we have, let's go over to Best Director. We have Anora, Sean Baker, The Brutalist, Brady Corbet. A complete unknown, fun fact real quick. At the beginning of this Oscar season, when we were hearing about The Brutalist, I would listen to a lot of podcasts and people would call him Brady Corbett. And then some people would try to pronounce it Brady Corbett. And then I'd hear other people say, no, it's Corbett. Like it's this is an American guy.

There's clips of him saying Brady Corbett Corbett. Really? But then somehow along the line, I mean, I don't want to make baseless accusations here. It has changed to Brady Corbett in this Oscar race during this campaign. Interesting. And I listened to him on the Big Pick podcast, his interview. Sean Fennessey, the host of that podcast, would ask him one little minor question, right? Yes. And he would talk for like 13 minutes straight.

Very, very pretentious. Very, very artsy. Very, very, like, takes himself so, so, so, so, so, so seriously. He's like Matty Healy on steroids. I don't know if you get that reference. But somewhere along the line, he decided that it'd be more cool to refer to himself as Brady Corbett instead of Corbett. So that has nothing to do with his directing, but I just wanted to point it out.

Anora, Sean Baker, the brutalist, Brady Corbett, Corbett, a complete unknown, James Mangold, Emilia Perez, Jackie Alliard, and The Substance, Corley Farge. This is a big toss-up. Nobody really knows how it's going to go. Love it or hate it. This could be the decider. Oh, two points for this one? Yeah. Love it or hate it, Emilia Perez, with the raw materials given, was a well-directed movie. But the raw materials were written by the director.

So if I don't like the raw materials of the movie, but I still say it was well-directed, but the same guy is responsible for the bad raw materials, I'd say that's not a thing I'm a fan of. Kind of a disqualifier. So I'm not going to say it's Amelia Perez. A complete unknown. James Mangold was the writer-director of Walk the Line, and he's kind of done this thing before. I was kind of surprised that he got in for this movie. I thought it would be a different director.

So I'm going to kind of disqualify that one. So we're really battling between Anora, The Brutalist, The Substance. Anora is the frontrunner to win for Best Picture right now. So I think I'm going to go Anora for my will win. My should win, I'm going to say, is The Brutalist. The Substance was a movie that I liked. I never want to see it ever again. And I didn't love a lot of the stylistic choices made in that film. But maybe it was just too French for me. Too French. Sometimes things are just

a little too French for me, Alex. Yeah. So, yeah, I'm going to say Onora. But if it's The Brutalist, I will rejoice. Because I think that was a better directed film. Even if the man is not somebody I would want to hang out with. But another fun fact about Brady Corbett Corbet. He was the brother in the movie 13. Yeah. What is that movie? He was Tracy's brother in the movie 13. You know that movie that we all watched in middle school and we're like, Alex, you haven't? No.

You didn't watch it in middle school. I shouldn't speak for you. Alex had never seen a R-rated movie until we got married, and I corrupted him with Forgetting Sarah Marshall. 13 is a horrifying movie about the craziness of being 13.

Really, honestly, it's like my childhood. like you know like my like wild crazy like yeah middle school stories of like doing way too crazy of stuff yeah it's a modeled after the movie 13 anyway but he he was like a child actor and he he played tracy's brother i just found that out recently anyway best supporting actress monica barbaro from a for a complete unknown ariana grande wicked felicity jones brutalist, Isabella Rossellini-Conclave, Zoe Saldana, Emilia Perez.

There's no reason to believe that this award doesn't belong to Zoe Saldana. And I don't know if this is wishful thinking. I don't know if it's my bias. Or I don't know if it's just my unsettlement from this whole Carlico-Sofia Gascon thing. I think that there's a 10% chance that Ariana Grande wiggles in here. She's campaigned hard. She's very well-beloved. She was the best part of Wicked, unanimously. Wicked haters will say, but Ariana Grande did give a very good performance. That being said.

Like it or hate it, the things that Zoe Zaldana was able to do in Emilia Perez was, like, very cool. Some of the choreography that she was able to pull off was insane. Ariana Grande was live singing in her movie. So my should win is Ariana Grande. My will win is Zoe Zaldana. How was Felicity Jones' performance in that? I think that she was miscast.

Really? She was, like, distractingly weird. She, like, never looked the right age that she was supposed to look in any of it, and they gave her this weird wig. I don't know. She has a big scene at the end of the movie where I was finally, like, on the Felicity Jones train, but it was kind of a different—I don't think that she'll be winning.

Monica Barbaro, on the other hand, fantastic in A Complete Unknown, and I would love it in any other year where Ariana Grande is not running, because I want to give it to her. Then Isabella Rossellini in Conclave, I think she speaks for maybe five minutes of the film, collectively. Another thing for Zoe Zaldana, which is like a reason why I don't want her to win, this is category fraud at the highest level.

Here's what the Emilia Perez team thought that they were doing here okay oh so she wanted the main yeah zoe zeldania has more screen time two minutes more screen time than carlos sofia gascon, But the Best Lead Actress category was going to be a little bit more contentious than the Best Supporting Actress. It was going to be a little bit more competitive. They put Zoe Zaldana in Best Supporting Actress in hopes that Carla Sophia Gascon could slide into Best Actress.

And since it was probably going to be too contentious of a category anyway, and she wouldn't really be winning, they put Zoe in a category that they thought that she could definitely win in. Which just sucks. I hate category fraud. Category fraud. I hate it.

Speaking of category fraud best supporting actor the biggest fraud of all is that i'm not going to be saying the words austin butler for dune part two in this list of nominees there was no better best supporting performance this year it was unreal and if this movie came out when it should have come out he would be we wouldn't even be having this conversation either kieran and kulk. We'll get through all of them.

Best Supporting Actor nominees are Yura Bosloff for Enora, Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain, Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown, Guy Pierce, The Brutalist, Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice. Kieran Culkin shares the same amount of screen time as the lead actor nominee. Well, he wasn't nominated in this award show, but he submitted, Jesse Eisenberg, submitted for lead actor.

He has the same amount of screen time as karen kolkin the movie ceases to exist without karen kolkin wow in that role it's not a supporting performance but he's a shoo-in and he's definitely going to win it his name is basically engraved already i wouldn't even award it he's the shoo-in and i feel like every single year there's a category where everyone just decides yeah it's time yeah you know what we're not even gonna like the other nominees

in this category aren't even really campaigning except for jeremy strong because it's so sewn up that's going to be karen colton first guy actually russian yeah okay. Karen Culkin, people debate this, he's just his succession character, for the most part. Like the eccentric zaniness, monologue-iness. Which we have learned through watching Karen Culkin on this awards tour, that's just his personality. Really? He doesn't even have to act? So his talent here is just memorization.

That's funny. Which, that's great. But if we're looking at this grouping of nominees, Jeremy Strong playing Roy Cohn in The Apprentice? Is my should win hands down what he does in that movie insane yeah the voice the weight loss the the feeling like everything that he did that movie it was incredible and then guy pierce too.

Undeniable in that movie it's such an insult that we're having this karen colkin conversation and again i like the guy i feel like i would explode if i ever had to talk to him for more than five minutes not in a good way he reminds me of some people i know and i don't like it like, i i was looking at alex to see if he knew who i was referring to does annoying people anyway vote for karen colkin if you care about your points all right next up we have best actress,

cynthia rivo wicked carla sofia gascon emilia perez do you like how i've been like accenting it more yes emilia perez um that's me mikey madison for an or in the beginning of this pot i'm like emilia perez yeah emilia perez i would say it yeah. Mikey Madison, Foranora, Demi Moore, The Substance, Fernanda Torres. I'm still here. Interesting race here. We could put aside Carla Sofia Gascon. She's not winning. Apparently she's attending, which I didn't think that she'd be doing.

Then we have Cynthia Erivo. We could set her aside. Thank you for your work. We have one more movie with you. You're not going to be winning this one. Fernanda Torres, we have the whole international body thing. She did win the Golden Globe. She's a contender, but really this is a two-man race between Demi Moore for The Substance, Mikey Madison for Enora. This was Mikey Madison's award until the Golden Globes.

At the Golden Globes, Demi Moore won. She got up on stage. Everyone was reminded how much they loved Demi Moore.

And she gave this very, very moving speech about how she has been a working actress, not just a minor working actress, she's been in blockbusters for 40 years of her life and this was her first time winning anything for 40 years she had not been recognized for her work at once and that changed the race overnight, mikey madison has a chance here but this word i believe is demi morse is the oscars the one thing i was talking to you about where they hate people born

after like 1990 or something like no one The only people who win are the people who are getting recognized for their career? Yeah. Or are there a couple that are like a lot younger that have won? And the best actress. But pretty much no one young wins. I think, well, I mean, Anna Paquin won. I think she's our youngest winner. But wasn't that a long time ago? Yeah, that was like forever ago. Yeah, but like the last 20 years. But like Reese's, we've had younger winners.

We've had Jennifer Lawrence. We've had Brie Larson. We've had Lupita. We've had Lupita Nyong'o, we've had... But they're probably all born pre-1990s. Or around the time. But yeah, no one like these, the other girl would be way younger than that, right? Yeah, when they won, they were all in their early 20s. I think Jennifer Lawrence won at 23. That's an interesting conversation. We'll bring that up in a second. Anyway, I'm voting Demi Moore. Best actor. Woo!

Woo! We have Adrian Brody for The Brutalist. Timothy Chalamet. A complete unknown. Coleman Domingo, Sing Sing. Ralph Fiennes. That's how you pronounce his name, by the way. What? Not Ralph. Yeah, Ralph. No. I found it out. A couple weeks ago, or months ago, on the pod, I pronounced his name Ralph Finesse, which made me sound like an idiot. I'm not a Harry Potter girl. Never seen... Is he in? He's Voldemort. Oh. Is it Voldemort or Voldemort? Voldemort.

So the T is not silent? This isn't a Corbet Corbert situation? No, it's because they're English. I always, whenever I talk about Voldemort all the time, I always leave the T off. And then Sebastian Stan for The Apprentice, which would be a great win.

I would say he has a 5% chance of winning. and then i'd say that timothy chalamet has a 45 chance of winning and adrian brody has a 50 chance of winning interesting dynamic here because adrian brody is the youngest oscar winner for best actor he won when he was 29 for the pianist right just a long time ago or he won at 30 for the pianist yeah that was 2002 timothy chalamet if he wins not only is he taking the oscar from adrian brody he will now be the youngest best actor winner ever at the

age of 29 me and him are both 1995 babies i know isn't that crazy yeah timothy chalamet just won the sag oscar or the sag award screen actors guild award which again the largest voting body he's run an impeccable campaign and this might be one of those awards just as you were mentioning how like people sometimes will reward a body of work timothy chalamet is hollywood right now he's in he's the lead in two of these best picture nominees he's the

lead of doom part two he's the lead of a complete unknown yeah that's he in the last i just screenshotted this this statistic.

But let me pull it up okay timothy chalamet has starred in seven best picture nominees since 2017 leading four of those movies only 30 actors in history have ever been a more best picture nominees than him and once he's in one more that number will shrink to 10 nominees or 10 people wow that's he's been a busy since 2017 that's a crazy run in a short amount of time, this is his second nomination for best actor he was nominated for call me by your name,

i see a world where people will reward this body of work. This is a weird dynamic because I believe that Adrian Brody should win for The Brutalist. What he does in that movie, insane. I've never seen acting like that. I've never seen a movie like The Brutalist. I loved The Brutalist. I was changed by The Brutalist, and I think that he should win. I want Timmy to win.

Like, just out of desire for this guy. his SAG speech, which in most years, the Screen Actors Guild Awards happen right before Academy voting ends. So people can watch what happens at the Screen Actors Guild, and then that normally has a big impact on the Best Actor race. In the last 20 years, 18 of the winners for Best Actor at the Screen Actors Guild have won Best Actor at the Oscars.

In the last 20 years, only two people who've won the Best Actor at the Screen Actors Guild Awards have not won Best Actor. Wow, so pretty much. So that's a crazy statistic. Yeah. But this year, because of the fires, they had to push back the SAG Awards. Which pushed it after the Oscar voting window. So although Timmy had this amazing speech about how he wants to be great. So they might not correlate.

They might not only, like, they could still correlate based on, like, the voting body, but they're not going to have that extra push. Oh, the momentum. Like, Parasite, a couple years ago... It won't have the momentum of that win. Like, people thought that 1917 was winning the Oscar in 2020. But then, Parasite won at the Screen Actors Guild Awards. They had all those actors up there, and it was this very good, feel-good, jubilant moment.

All the actors were so excited, and that catapulted them to the Best Picture Oscar. Yeah. So normally that would have an impact, but this year it won't. Oh, I'm so sorry. Anyway, Adrian Brody, I believe, will win, but 50% chance. And then 45% chance, Timmy. 5% chance, Sebastian Stan. He played Donald Trump in a movie. He did an incredible job. And a lot of times people will take their anger about certain things and place it somewhere. This voting, and I could see them trying to honor this.

Best picture! We have Anora, The Brutalist, A Complete Unknown, Conclave, Doom Part 2, Amelia Perez.

I'm Still Here, Knuckle Boys, The Substance, Wicked. Knuckle Boys is not a movie that I have shouted out here yet. Very interesting concept. It's like a—this is going to sound reductive to say it this way—like a very darker holes.

And I wouldn't even really call it a dark movie, but kind of concept of like, kid gets sent to like a troubled juvenile detention center type thing meets people along the way and they also do some very interesting things in there where like they film a lot of it in like first person point of view kind of thing like you are the camera you are the eyes sounds like, cloverfield movie i think that was a shaky cam wasn't it let's weed out the the bottom 10 Knuckle Boys, you're not winning.

I'm so sorry. The Substance, I'm sorry. You're not winning. I'm still here. I'm sorry. You're not winning. Doom Part 2, I don't get it, but you're not winning. But you will always be my best picture. A Complete Unknown, you're not winning. Sorry. I'm happy that you're here. Fifth place, I'm putting in Wicked. There's a world where it shocks everybody and wins, but I don't think that that's happening. And then we have Amelia Perez in my fourth place.

Again, if this Oscars was just one month previous, we'd be having a different conversation but carla sofia gascon effed all of you guys i'm so sorry no no best picture oscar for wicked or for amelia perez or for wicked then i hate to do it i really do the brutalist in third place something just didn't click campaign wise in my opinion.

Doesn't have the star power that some of the other movies do three and a half hours people in the academy who have leaked their ballots have claimed that they didn't watch it because it was too long even though it had an intermission and even though members of the academy commit to watching every single film but every year they come back they come out in these secret ballots and they say i don't watch every film which is against they don't get their votes taken away no oh and

best picture by the way is voted on by ranked choice voting which is a concept i don't really understand but it's like you rank all of the ones that you want and if not enough people voted for the first one then they take away your first choice so like if i picked doom part two as my first one but it didn't have enough of a majority of the vote they just eliminate it and then they count my vote as my second choice or my third and they go down the line with that so that's kind

of important for gaming this vote best picture is the only race that does this rank choice vote voting thing so when you're picking your choice for best picture you need to not just think okay this is the best one but kind of well if this person yeah like if you know the brutalist really resonated with somebody, you know, I'm Still Here probably resonated with them too. So like you could use that kind of logic. Somebody that really likes Wicked might also really love Conclave, you know?

So the race right now is between Conclave and Enora for the reasons I had mentioned before. I think I'll play it safe and I'll still vote Enora. Enora wasn't even, I liked it. I think Conclave was a way better movie. I enjoyed Conclave more. And I don't think anybody would be mad if Conclave won. It would be an unpredictable pick up until recently, but I feel good about saying Anora will win. But my choice, other than, like, my realistic choice of the top three would be The Brutalist.

There's nothing, like, even putting Anora, which again, it's a fine movie, putting Anora and The Brutalist in the same conversation, putting The Brutalist in Wicked, a movie that I adored, I adored Wicked. I saw it four times in theaters.

Putting that in the same conversation as The Brutalist, bonkers. yeah bonkers the brutalist is way better the only movie that could really even stand up to the brutalist here is doom part two let me see i'm looking through the nominees yeah doom part two that's its only contemporary as far as skill and masterful filmmaking goes yeah nor if this is a pretentious conversation whatever i don't know anyway i'm choosing nora alex what are you choosing i think i'll just follow

you that's not fun choose something else I will choose conclave to not follow your vote. I have wondered when couples enter the prediction contest, I look at their ballots and I'm like, oh, so you guys just split your votes here. Oh, on the top one? Yeah, like, I can see, like, you're just trying to funnel money to your household. So somebody, like, if me and you were filling it out, like, you would do conclave,

I would do an aura. So then ensuring that one of us would get those points, you know? Okay, yeah. Anyway, that's it. It's going to be a fun one. I am going to be at the Facebook meta Oscar watch party. I'm excited. I'm currently letting my spray tan bake while I talk. But I will still be making plenty of content on I Just Want to Chat. Hanging out with the meta stars. Don't you worry. Yep. Just me and the meta stars. Can't wait.

I really don't know. I was thinking about this earlier. What if I go and I'm not having fun and I don't know who to talk to?

Then i think i'll just leave and then go watch it back in my hotel, but what if i don't know anyone which i don't think i will i think i'll know i went to a meta dinner a couple months ago somebody and there were 10 people there and i'm friendly i'm chatty yeah so i don't know anyway everybody thank you so much for listening to today's episode of the addis wanna chat podcast make sure to use our code wanna chat for two

free our free two-week trial of vidangel and you can watch many of these nominees on there alex aren't do you have anything else to say please rate and subscribe and do all that stuff we will be bringing back the pod soon, yeah just also subscribe to our newsletter. Onachat.substack.com. I'm sending out weekly what to watch this week emails, which are very helpful. And we are picking back up. Lots of shows to watch. We're picking back up the TV club, which I'm very excited for.

I think we're about to relaunch with a quick The Last of Us rewatch. And then. Oh, yeah. You've been doing that the last few nights. Yeah. I've just been rewatching it kind of casually to see if there's enough to recap in there.

Because like there's nothing really to censor other than episode 3 you know, and then I'm going to make everybody vote between, watching Succession together or True Blood for our first big group watch experience, True Blood is such a big undertaking though how many seasons? 5? 7 but I might tell everyone like I'll get you through season 4 and then you're on your own kid yeah that seems like a lot because there are also like 13 episode seasons they're big and each episode is how long?

An hour one hour baby thank you all so much for listening and we will see you next week love you, bye.