Hoops Tonight - Ranking the Top 10 Players in NBA: #5 Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks | Hoops Tonight

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YouTube to finish them. We do release them on our podcast feed feeds in audio form wherever you get your podcasts. Under Hoops Tonight, all right, without any further ado, Number five Luca don Shits. So the way we're gonna do these the last five names in this list is we're

gonna split this into five sections. We're gonna do strengths and weaknesses that we're gonna do greatest hopes essentially the best version of their future, greatest fears, the worst version of their potential feature, and then biggest what if, the biggest moment in their career that could have gone one way or another and been markedly different than what ended up actually happening. So we're gonna start. I'll just read out Luca's averages from this past season and then we'll

get into his strength. So in this regular season, he averaged twenty eight nine and ninety seven percent true shooting. That's just becoming status quo for Luca. You can just book him for damn your triple double every single year. In the postseason, he averaged thirty two, ten and six

on true shot true shooting. His assist numbers went down a little bit, but a big part of that is the strategy that most teams employed against Luca and the Mavericks, which basically involved staying home on shooters and trying to make Luca into his score. We will get further into that once we get to that point. So let's start with the strengths. So obviously, Luca's greatest strength is versatile scoring.

It's the biggest difference. The biggest thing that separates him from a guy like James Harden, who is commonly compared to, is the fact that he can succeed on so many different spots on the floor. The average two point nine restricted area makes one. As you guys know, that's what I hope for with big, strong guards is at least sev at least two makes per game. This is his greatest strength. Here three point five paint non restricted area makes on fift. So this is the rest of the

painted area that's not the restricted area. You guys have always heard me talk about the difference, like when we talk about three level scoring. Too often we talk about finishing at the rim, mid range and three point shooting, but we don't talk enough about the short range. These are not your classic pull up jumpers at ten to fifteen feet. These are not you getting all the way to the rim and finishing through contact or whatever. These are all the little push shots and hook shots and

funky little uh like like. Almost every one of these shots looks different than the last one, but all the little bank shots and floaters and short range things that you hit before you get to the rim. This is Luca's greatest strength because he's got such a big, strong body, and almost every defender that he goes against is at a disadvantage with strength, so he likes to methodically work

you down into the lane. But rather than challenging the shot blocker, he'll keep you attached, bump you off of him, and shoot something off the glass or short floater, hook, push, whatever the hell you want to call it inside of that like five six seven feet range. And that's what allows him to make three point five non restricted area paint attempts per game at which is excellent efficiency there. It's the one of the most underrated skills in the

game of basketball. Not enough players work on that specific skill, and it's one of the things that is a driving force behind Luca's mid range excuse me Luca's offensive scoring success. So look at average zero point eight mid range makes per game on that's not good, although he was better in the regular season, he was up at about I believe thirty seven percent with about one and a half makes. He did attempt nine pull up threes per game in

this postseason run at thirty six percent. That's pretty solid. In twenty one, he attempted ten pull up threes per game in the playoffs and shot forty three on him, and then in the bubble he took seven per game and made of him. So he's a pretty deadly step back pull up three point shooter. Obviously, that's the shot that we see him take most frequently. If you asked me what Lucas signature move is, I would say that it's him working the big on the switch hard step

back dribble. It doesn't really cover a ton of ground. It's just a really quick little dribble and he'll take a short step to the back that allows him to get the separation and needs to shoot. You know, specifically with Luca, he's one of my favorite players for young basketball players to watch and try to emulate in their

skill development. People always were asking during the draft process when Luca was available in the draft, you know, is he athletic enough to be able to get separation against NBA defenders, And it flat out has not been an issue. Even though he's pretty slow footed, he can beat just about any defensive wing in the league to get into the painted area. How does he do that well? He is the master of selling every single element of every single part of his move with every bit of his body.

So if he's going to do, for instance, an in and out cross between the legs step back to the left on the in and out, he's gonna start by facing with his entire body to the right and sell it like he's going to the right. But then after that, when he does it through the legs dribble, he'll drop super low and take a hard step that makes you think he's driving to the basket, and then he'll pound

back out of that into his step back. A lot of ball handlers and young basketball players will be able to do the moves like you'll be able to do a crossover dribble or in an out dribble or between the legs dribble. But you're just moving the basketball in those directions. You're not actually selling the moves with your eyes and with your body language. Right, Kobe was also one of the best that I've ever seen at this specific skill, and that was what allowed him to age

so gracefully in the league. But with Luca specifically, it just watched watch a highlight video of him beating people off the dribble, and you will see the methodical way that he sells his moves and that allows him, even though he's going up against potentially a Paul George who's a much more athletic wing, he's getting separation and getting him on his hip. And then again, and this is where we talked a lot about strength when we were

talking about Kawhi Leonard. You know, I told you guys, I gave you guys the example of a rip through on the wing. So if you catch the ball on the wing and you rip through the dude, the defender is probably gonna put his hands on you in some way, shape or form, and it's probably not going to get called. And so then it becomes a strength battle. If the defender is stronger, he's probably gonna hold you in your

spot and contain you off the dribble. But if you're stronger, you're gonna rip through all that contact and you're gonna get all the way to the rim. That's kind of the way it works with Luca. His moves, with the way he sells them, might only buy him a little bit of space. But when it's not, it's not like Luca's crossing people over and they're falling off of the frame. That's not what's happened. He's not athletic enough for that.

But he just gets these little cracks of space. And when he gets the little cracks of space, he shoots the gap with his big, strong frame and gets you attached to his hip. Then once you're attached to his hip, he can methodically work you into the lane and get into a short range game. Like we talked about earlier,

it's a very very interesting basketball player to evaluate. And again, like I said, young basketball players out there who are looking for ways to refine your offensive skill set or looking for ways to become more effective with your drible combinations, lucas the guy to watch because he makes up for his lack of athleticism within an amazing attention to detail and his moves a similar like uh, something you guys

might pick up that our football fans out there. It would be like being an outstanding route runner despite not being a great athlete, but getting open all the time because of how skilled skilled you are running routes, selling every little fake and and making it so that no one knows where you're going until you're already going in that direction. Obviously, Luca is an advanced playmaker. You guys have heard me talk about this before, but like, I only put four guys in the top tiers of playmakers

in league Lebron, Luca, Nicola, Yokich, and Chris Paul. There's a difference between like the basic reads that almost every primary ball handler in the league can make and advance reads. UH. Basically that involves manipulating the defense. So understanding the way the defensive rotations work and being patient to get the ball to the necessary spot two key help defenders to make the rotations they're gonna make so that you can hit the openings from there. It's about being on time

and on target. A lot of passers, particularly bigs that struggle. So you're Anthony Davis, is your embiides, You're you know, Karl Anthony Townses and stuff. They'll have openings and they might even see them, but they're too slow to make that read. And then the past is not on time and on target. So by the time it actually gets to the shooter, the defense has already rotated and the

opening is taken away. The advanced playmakers, they will manipulate you into a rotation they want you to make, and then the passes on time and on target hate the shooter in the pocket so that he can make the shot before the defense can uh can rotate. The other way,

I would describe it as like it's being reactive versus anticipatory. Right, So if you are if you are reacting to an opening that you see, then you're kind of a standard level playmaker because you're doing something you see an open man, you're like, oh ship and you throw on the ball. Right. An anticipatory playmaker understands that defensive rotation before it happens. He knows if I get to this spot, this man

will help. That allows you to see it coming before it happens, which allows you the leeway to make the pass on time and on target. You know, Lebron, at these top tier playmakers, you're Chris Paul's your Lebron's your yoga is and your and your lucas. They are relentless with their reads. And there's something very important there. You've we talked about this a lot with Jayson Tatum. Catch him on the right night, he might be making the reads. You catch him on a different night, he's not making

the reads. And even on his best night, he's gonna miss a lot of reads because that's not his strength. Right, Those top tier guys, those four guys, and again there's only four of them in the entire league in my opinion, everyone else is pretty pretty significantly behind them in all those little elements of passing that I was talking about. They never miss a red like you'll be stunned, like you might two or three times a season watch Lebron miss a cutter and you'll be like, whoa Lebron missed

a cutter? That was weird. And for every one time you see that, there will be thirty or forty times where you won't even see the cutter until the balls in his hands and he's finishing at the rim, and you're like, whoa Lebron saw something I didn't see? There? See the difference there, That relentless playmaking is what causes teams to make to try to turn Luca and Lebron into scores. They're sitting there thinking, we can't offer help because if we do, he burns us every single time.

That relentless playmaking is what allows guys like Luca and Lebron to operate on an island offensively because for the for the vast majority of coaches, the strategy they will attempt to implement is, let's turn these guys into scores because then maybe they'll fatigue. And what's made Lebron so dominant over the course of his career is he's so well conditioned and he's so versatile with his scoring package that even that burns you nine times out of ten

with him when you try to make Lebron a score. Now, Luca shows some small signs of fatigue and his shop making his things go by, but even he does pretty well in that specific situation. Like we talked about earlier, Luca's assists dropped to six in this playoff run, and a huge part of that was teams like Golden State and many others staying home on shooters and trying to turn Luca into a score. And then he still went off for whatever whatever it was thirty two points per

game on true shooting, but that that relentless playmaking. It's the difference between the guys that make the reads sometimes and don't or the guys that make the reads every single time, which causes defenses to be hesitant to offer help. Um Another strength his size and strength to attack mismatches.

We talked about this earlier. I'm a huge believer in mismatch attacking in the playoffs because most teams go to switching defenses, and so when you have bigger wings that have the ability to use their physicality to get closer to the rim, it's higher percentage mismatch attacking than guys who attack mismatches by taking off the dribble, jump shots constantly, and things along those lines. And the last, but not least,

his fearlessness. Obviously, you guys saw what he did to Phoenix in this In this playoff run, there's almost like a sociopathic behavior with Luca where he doesn't just want to win, he wants to snatch your heart and utterly destroy you. Going fifty seven to twenty seven in the first half of Game seven is an example of that. Luca wanted to suck any energy out of that arena. He wanted to suck the belief out of the team, and he understood that if he did so, they would fold.

And that's what he did. And there were even some wins against the Clippers in the previous two playoff runs where he had a similar impact against them, albeit uh not before they had an opportunity to actually win the series. The other one of my other favorite exam bulls of this is the way he picks on stars. Now it gets overplayed because what ends up happening is people go like, oh my gosh, look he's picking on Janice or oh

my gosh, she's picking on Lebron. But it's actually a really smart strategy that enough that not enough players attempt to implement. Guys like Lebron and Janice are outstanding help defenders.

Janice is the best help defender in the league obviously, so when you leave them in help side, even if you've got a good mismatch, if you're attacking that mismatch, that Janice factor on the other side of the floor, under or in the kind of in the back line spot defensively can can dissuade you from getting to the spots that you want to get to So one of the things that Luca does, which is again sociopathic but kind of genius, is he'll call up Janice or call

up Lebron. I'll give you Honice as an example, because I saw this. I did a video on this. But he'll call Janice up to guard him, knowing that he's not gonna have an easy time scoring on Janice, but he can get him on his hip and he can work him into the lane. And now that cross court pass is with a lesser help defender, and if he makes that cross court pass, it'll hit the shooter in the shooters pocket and he'll get a good look, whereas if the roles were reversed, he'd get into that spot easier.

But it's Janice rotating on that pass to the corner, and Janice isn't alien, so he will block that shot or dissuade the person from shooting. And the video that I did on this specific concept during the season, you saw that I showed some picking rolls where he was attacking other players and Janice was he racing reads with his athleticism, and then he started attacking Janice making the same reads and getting open threes because the health defenders

weren't capable of rotating out soon enough. Alright, his weaknesses. He's very deliberate, which could affect his rhythm. This is the different excuse me could have affect his teammates rhythm. This is like this is like that pound the air out of the basketball, slowly dribbled up the court, cross at sixteen seconds, get the mismatch you want by seven seconds, and then you work to the spot you want to get, and then maybe you throw a past to a shooter

with three seconds on the shot clock. Now there is a huge benefit to that in the sense that it also affects the rhythm of the other team. You know, when you strangle the pace of the game like that, it affects rhythm and flow. And when it when it affects that pace and flow of the game, it gets

other teams out of the rhythm. So teams like Phoenix, for instance, that a running gun a little bit right, although Chris Paul can be methodical when he has the basketball, but the team in general actually likes to push the basketball a lot. When Lucas strangles the pace, it gets them out of their offensive rhythm. That's part of why Devin Booker didn't shoot as well as everybody hoped, or some of their role players didn't shoot as well as

everybody hoped. There is a detrimental impact on the other team, but it also can have a detrimental impact on your team. When you have players that go and stay in the corner, don't do anything for twenty two seconds, and then suddenly the balls in their hands and they need to shoot, it can affect their rhythm as well. He's not great in the mid range right now. Now, I think how good he is in the short range makes up for this, but this is an example of an area of improvement

for him. He was thirty eight percent in the regular season in the postseason because he's not a great athlete, He's not taking your stereotypical pull up jump shots where he's getting to a spot and elevating over the top of a defender. I think like a Devin Booker type of pull up shot or a Bradley Beal type of pull up shot. He's more getting you on his hip and taking post fades like working you down to ten twelve feet and then fading over both shoulders to uh,

you know, drifting away from the basket. Those are generally low percentage shots. I'd like to see him try to get a little bit more efficient there. And then the defensive end of the floor, he's literally bad at everything. He's one of the worst defensive players in the league right now. That's something that he's absolutely going to have to polish up. He can't contain on the perimeter and

isolation situations. He's not good in help. You guys saw the Phoenix Suns relentlessly attack him in pick and roll. That's a huge area for opportunity. Conditioning. Obviously, Luca has been coming into camp each year at about two sixty pounds and working his way back down to to thirty by the end of the season. That's a huge part of something that's a huge part of the factors that are causing him to be a bad defensive player. It

could lead to injuries and things along those lines. And then also, like when we talk about shot making and teams making Luca score, his stamina in that regard his ability to hold up over seven games as a guy

who has to do a lot of isolation scoring. That's another area where his conditioning um UH is a factor, and I'd like to see him eventually adopt the level of care for his body that the all time great athletes in the NBA have, because that will be the difference between him being a top five player like he already is and potentially being the best player in the league greatest hopes. So, Luca, I think is is fastly

becoming one of my favorite players. Like I talked earlier, I his the the the specific attention to detail with his dribble combinations and the way that he gets to his spot. I think his spots. I think it's such a good model for for young basketball players to to follow, and so he just has. And then obviously the sociopath behavior, the insanity with which he attacks winning basketball games, that is always going to be a thing that that draws

me to him. Um. But I think there's a version of this story with Luca where he could be amount Rushmore type of player. He's kind of like an evolutionary Lebron on offense. He'll never be Lebron on the defensive end of the floor. That goes without saying he just simply does not have the physical tools. However, if you remember Lebron at his absolute peak, it was this relentless,

conditioned like limitless source of energy physical offensive onslaught. There was not a player on the floor that could guard him in one on one situations, and you were perpetually stuck in the pick your poison type of situation. You're either leaving Lebron on an island, in which case he's going to score thirty five points a game in the playoffs and do it efficiently, or you're gonna help off of him and he's gonna pick you apart. Finding shooters

in average twelve thirteen assist per game. That was the onslaught of Lebron, and it came with this great level of efficiency because he wasn't doing it with your Kevin Durant tough shot profile, You're Kyrie Irving tough shot profile. He was doing it by getting to the basket at will. And then even the jump shots that he was taking, players were playing off of him because of his physical onslaught, So most of his jump shots are straight up and down,

balanced in rhythm jump shots. So there's a great deal of efficiency that came with Lebron's onslaught. The way, the best way that I would describe it is its surgical half court precision. He sees this defense in front of him,

an elite playoff level defense. That playoff level defense has a game plan, whether that's taking away the shooters and letting Lebron score or sending the kitchens inc at Lebron and turning him into a passer, regardless of what which one of those strategies the team adopts, or all the intricate details of it, specific pick and roll coverages, where the help is coming from on the floor, which players they're helping off off of, so on and so forth.

Regardless of what that is, Lebron is gonna figure it out and surgically dissected. Luca has that potential couple of specific things, conditioning getting to the point where he can do that over the course of four playoff rounds right, getting more efficient with his shot making. He's not close to the level of efficiency that Lebron was at his peak in the playoffs. If he could figure those specific things out, he's capable of reaching that goal. We call

this greatest hopes. This is a realistic hope he can get there, but in only the only way he's going to actually get there. Those If he can do those things and become a serviceable defensive player, like I said earlier, he does nothing well on the defensive end. Right now, It's like it's a legitimate problem. He's got good size. So in theory, you guys who are listening, you probably guess what I'm gonna say here. What kind of defensive

player can he be? He can be a good positional defender if he learns the appropriate amount of ground to give, knowing that he doesn't have the foot speed, but he has the size to contest shots. He will get better at dribble contain Teams will be able to shoot over the top of him off the dribble because you'll have to give ground. But he'll at least be able to contain ball handlers a little better if he gives ground

and becomes a better positional defender. Help defense is all about understanding your scheme and just knowing where to be, knowing when to help, knowing when not to help, knowing where you're supposed to go if the defense gets into rotation. Those are little things that he can pick up just just by giving it, just by giving a ship, just

by putting in the requisite effort. But if he can become a serviceable defensive player, and if he can become more efficient with his scoring and obviously the conditioning that it would require to do both of those things. He has the ability to become an evolutionary Lebron and offense. I said this yesterday on Twitter, and I believe it. I think Lebron, him and Steph are the two greatest

offensive engines of all time. So if Luca can enter that conversation, that automatically puts him in a position where he can be a type of player that ends up on the Mount Rushmore basketball players at the end of the day um greatest fears. So the player that Luca is most frequently compared to is James Harden. Now there's some truth to that in the sense that Harden and

Luca kind of represent the caricature of heliocentric basketball. Like there are a lot of helio centric players out there, like Lebron could be helliocentric, right, like Dame's helio centric, John Morant helio centric, a lot of helio centric players. It's kind of just the style, and honestly, it's the best way to go these days with how spaced out the floor is. But Harden and Luca kind of take that to an extreme, particularly with how long they will

dribble the basketball. Both Harden and Luca will take sometimes twenty dribbles on a possession to get to the spot that they want to get to. That obviously, like we talked about earlier, can effect rhythm and things along those lines, but there are some some key differences between the two. Harden does not have versatility and offensive approach. He pretty much starts from the same spot on the floor every single time either the left wing or the right wing

goes with a live dribble. He's either gonna go isolation or pick and roll, but everything's off the dribble. If he can get to a three point shot, he's gonna take it, and if you play up on him, he's gonna try to go all the way to the rim and then obviously he will make reads out of that. He does not have the methodical nature of Luca to work two different spots on the floor that are closer

excuse me, closer to the rim. This is what allows Luca's efficiency to go up in the playoffs, while James Harden's efficiency historically goes down in the playoffs when you rely strictly on step back three's and finishing at the rim, and the defense is shut down the rim, and now guys are pressing up on your step back three, your efficiency will tank. It's all also just really difficult to make step back three's as your sole offensive. You know, go to move, You're just gonna be in fishent in

that sense. James Harden has a massive decline in his step back jump shooting from the regular season to the postseason. When Luca is getting to the short range and like we said earlier, attempting seven shots per game in the paint outside of the restricted area, he can make fifty of those because he's big and strong, and he's getting

two spots on the floor where he feels comfortable. Now, one of the things that's been interesting with James Harden is some of you guys have noticed in some of the pickup game footage that's been floating around this summer, you can tell James Harden is making a concerted effort to try to work out of the post more high posts, like fifteen ft away from the basket, and then primarily as a face up player, he's not really turning his

back to the basket more. But I'm excited to see that that shows that James Harden is at least trying to add some of that versatility that Luca has. Will see if he ever actually gets to the point where he can use it in NBA games. So, by the way, guys, that's the pathway. If you want to add something to your game, there's three step pathway. Figure out how to

do it by yourself. Like if you want to add a post up fade away to your game, figure out how to do it by yourself in the gym to the point where you feel like you can make it consistently. Then start testing it against defenders and practice situations. If you're a college player, if you're just a kid playing for fun, see if you can do it in pickup games.

Then when it becomes uh, when it gets to a point where you can comfortably do it in pick up games, that's when you can start implementing it in actual game situations. If you're playing in college or something along those lines. There's kind of a pathway to doing that, and it's good to see hard and trying to work along those paths. That path but that specific offensive versatility is the key difference between James Harden and Luca don Chech. But where

the hardened ball. Is a legitimate fear for Luca is his physical conditioning, not taking care of his body, and what he does on the defensive end of the floor. Here we are near the not near the end, but over a decade into James Harden's career, and he has never figured out the defensive end of the floor. His best season was in two thousand and eighteen and he was okay like that that That never was something that

he figured out. And here we are at age thirty two and he's coming off back to back reasons where his physical health has been declining as a result of him not taking care of his body. So that's gonna be another opportunity for Luca to separate himself from the Harden camp if you can figure out the defensive end of the floor and figure out how to take care

of his body. But right now, that is a legitimate fear for Luca with his potential trajectory and the difference between him being a top five player of all time in something way worse than that is that specific crossroad.

And then lastly, his conditioning could lead to injury problems if he's not comfortable, if he's not careful, you know, obviously, when you're carrying an extra thirty pounds and you're making the same moves that you make when you weigh to thirty instead of to sixty, all it takes is a wrong step and it could be a torn a c

l or killes or something along those lines. Knocking would you don't want to see anything like that, But conditioning, keeping yourself in supreme physical condition is the best way to avoid injuries. The biggest one if of Luca's career. Do you guys remember when Janice was kind of on

the fence in Milwaukee. He had a bunch of weird quotes talking about how, like how he liked in Milwaukee, but he might, you know, like it somewhere else to One day and there was some noise about a potential partnership between Luca Danshi in Janice in Dallas should he ever decide to leave Milwaukee. As a matter of fact, that was kind of where all the noise was pointing at the time, and then Janice ended up re upping with Milwaukee ended up being a great decision. He ended

up winning an NBA championship shortly after. But we should all be thanking our lucky stars that Janice did not end up in Dallas alongside Luca, because if he did, they would have won all the basketball games. I talk a lot on this show about complimentary skill sets. You know, when we look at star partnerships, we don't factor in enough the way that they can cover for each other's

strength and weaknesses. Like I talked about all the time, a basketball team has a bunch of responsibilities that have to be fulfilled by the five man unit. You know, there is he finishing a lot of times that's a three level score, or a big man who can finish around the room and shoot a little bit like a cat,

Carl Towns or Anthony Davis. Right, and then you need you know, guys that are great at getting guys into spots, playmakers, game managers, things along those lines, role players who can attack closeouts, right and and and then obviously all the defensive responsibilities on the floor. Well, what's Luca's greatest weakness His inability to impact the game with his physical tools On the defensive end of the floor. Janice is the

best defensive player in all of basketball. Also, Luca simple, be honest, and in recent years has been more active as a ball handler. But He's had a ton of success as the screener and ball screen actions lately. Can you imagine Janice running ball screens with Luca and what he could do off of the attention that Luca Garner's

there and with his ability to pass the basketball. Then we go look over at j honest, what's Janice's specific weakness half court surgery, the ability to decipher top tier playoff defenses in the half court, particularly as a shot maker. I was actually very impressed by Janice's passing ability in

this playoff run. Janice is obviously ahead in this list, and we will get into that when we get to him, But his specific weakness is the ability to consistently knock down shots over the top of defenses that packed the paint on him. Chris Middleton kind of helps him in that regard, but that's Luca. That's arguably Luca's great as skill. So the two of them compliment each other so well that that would have just been a disaster for the

rest of the league Luca and Janice playing together. So again, we should be thankful that Jannis ended up re upping with Milwaukee. But a very interesting what if in the early phases of Luca donche career is what would have happened had Janice ended up in Dallas. The volume