Will Reform win the next UK election?
Sep 21, 2025•45 min
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Episode description
The next four years in British politics will be turbulent. Here is what the markets are predicting. And what I think will happen.
(00:00) intro
(00:15) What are the odds?
(04:15) Is the betting market wrong?
(06:20) Trend to populist right
(07:49) Labour’s position
(09:05) Will Keir Starmer be replaced?
(09:42) Labour will rebrand
(11:35) How Labour could win
(13:35) Labour and immigration
(14:23) Can the Conservatives win?
(16:39) The Liberal Democrats
(17:18) The Greens and Zack Polanski
(20:50) How Reform could be defeated
(26:35) Centrists: my message to you
(28:03) The left: how you can win
(32:28) What will happen if Farage wins
(36:28) The slide towards extremism
(38:28) Reform voters: my message to you
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