There Are Views Outside Dollar Bearish Box in 2023: FX Moment

In our latest FX Moment podcast, host Audrey Childe-Freeman, Bloomberg Intelligence chief G-10 FX strategist, Chief Asia FX and rates strategist Stephen Chiu and EMEA EM FX and Rates Strategist Sergei Voloboev reflect on the outlook for global currencies as we start 2023 and more specifically, on the extent to which the late 4Q 2022 dollar sell-off affects their 2023 currency outlooks, if at all. They also contemplate some relevant FX views and themes outside the dollar box for this year.

Our analysts' 2023 dollar bearish narrative is intact, but this can't be a linear view and a temporary risk-off return - that could could be triggered by a wide range of drivers including a shift back to more hawkish Fed expectations, earnings disappointment and/or geopolitical jitters, China macro concerns - could revive the US dollar in 1Q.