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FICC Focus

Bloomberg Intelligence
FICC Focus offers the latest market views on interest rates, corporate bonds, emerging market debt, commodities, and currencies by Bloomberg Intelligence analysts.
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Episodes

Muni Road Ahead Looks Bright: Masters of the Muniverse

With expectations for future tax cuts softening and muni yields levels remaining attractive, greater buying opportunities may be on the horizon in munis. In this episode of Bloomberg Intelligence’s Masters of the Muniverse podcast, hosts Eric Kazatsky and Karen Altamirano are joined by Mark Paris, chief investment officer and head of Municipals at Invesco. They discuss why the outlook on muniland looks bright, and why muni issuers are well positioned to manage future policy shifts.

Jan 17, 202545 min

Debts, Deficits and Bonds With Schwab’s Jones: Macro Matters

The two standout risks with the new US administration are tariffs and immigration policy, Kathy Jones, chief fixed-income strategist at Charles Schwab, says in the latest episode of Bloomberg Intelligence’s Macro Matters podcast. Jones is joined by host and BI chief US rates strategist Ira Jersey to discuss the outlook for Treasury markets and the economy. The pair discuss the recent drivers of yields across the curve, as well as inflation and potential fiscal risks to growth as the new administ...

Jan 16, 202524 min

Leveraged Loan, CLO Outlook 2025, US vs. Europe: Credit Crunch

CLOs are driving loan supply and in this Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief European Credit Strategist and Desmond English, Head of European Leveraged Loans at Amundi, reflect on how both the US and European leveraged loan markets fared last year and the outlook for loans in 2025. They discuss BI's leveraged loan outlook publication covering loan pricing, returns, supply and relative value vs. high yield bonds as well as loan growth relative to the bond ...

Jan 15, 202548 min

HSBC’s Kettner Is Leaning Into High-Beta Asset Classes: EM Lens

High-beta asset classes will likely swing on US-centric narratives, but the country’s financial conditions remain supportive despite a less dovish Federal Reserve. Max Kettner, Chief Multi-Asset Strategist at HSBC, joins Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Emerging Markets Credit Strategist Damian Sassower to discuss his investment outlook for 2025, with US equities, high-yield debt and emerging-market credit standing out. Kettner and Sassower touch on trade policy under President-elect Donald Trump, t...

Jan 14, 202526 min

Waterfall’s Raghavan on CRE’s Outlook: State of Distressed Debt

“There is one AAA bond that has taken a loss so far in CMBS. There will be plenty more.” Waterfall Asset Management’s Head of ABS Strategy Keerthi Raghavan didn’t mince words in laying out his view of the office real estate market, one of the few corners of the credit universe offering significant distressed opportunities. Raghavan, speaking with Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert and Phil Brendel, examined the widely different segments of the commercial real estate market, his data-centric ap...

Jan 13, 20251 hr 50 min

PineBridge’s Oh on Favorable Credit Environment: Credit Crunch

Incoming pro-growth policy, while inflationary in nature, could result in a strong credit environment in the eyes of PineBridge Investments’ Global Head of Credit, Steven Oh. Oh joins Bloomberg Intelligence corporate credit strategists Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch to walk through various macroeconomic pathways. The conversation touches on central-bank policy expectations and the geopolitical climate, before diving into portfolio composition, sector exposures and the...

Jan 10, 20251 hr 3 min

No One-Way Dollar View in 2025; Timing Turn Is Tricky: FX Moment

The path of least resistance continues to be cyclically driven dollar-bullish and euro-dollar-bearish views into early 2025, but that’s a narrative that’s priced in, extended and crowded. Host Audrey Childe-Freeman, Bloomberg Intelligence’s chief G-10 FX strategist, talks to Constantin Bolz, head of G10 FX for UBS’ Chief Investment Office, about what could trigger a turnaround in the euro-dollar fortunes in 2025, with several “known unknown” potential game changers when it comes to how much doll...

Jan 07, 202522 min

Diamond Hill’s Song on Credit Outlook, Landscape: Credit Crunch

The short end of the curve may be better positioned than longer-dated bonds as the interest rates are likely to stay high for longer, with president-elect Donald Trump’s policies potentially amplifying the challenges of bringing inflation to the 2% target, says Henry Song, portfolio manager for Diamond Hill Capital Management. On the latest episode of Credit Crunch, Song and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert and Sam Geier discuss real positive yields, favorable carry for shorter-dated credit ...

Dec 27, 20241 hr 2 min

Middle-Market Lending With Marathon’s Lueker: Credit Crunch

A resilient macroeconomic environment, along with rising M&A activity, have the direct-lending space primed for additional growth in the coming years. Curt Lueker, managing director and head of direct lending at Marathon Asset Management, joins Noel Hebert and Sam Geier of Bloomberg Intelligence on this episode of Credit Crunch to discuss how the firm is capitalizing on its expertise in the core middle-market sector. The conversation dives into the firm’s recent partnership with Webster Bank...

Dec 23, 202459 min

Market Outlook Post December FOMC With Ben Emons: Macro Matters

Markets are front-loading the effect of potential Trump policy changes in 2025, which will keep volatility elevated says Ben Emons, founder and outsourced chief investment officer of Fed Watch Advisors. Emons is joined by Bloomberg Intelligence’s Ira Jersey, chief US rate strategist, and Will Hoffman, senior US and Canada rates strategy associate, to discuss the outcome of the December FOMC meeting and the implications for markets in the year ahead. They discuss moves across domestic markets, in...

Dec 19, 202426 min

How Big Banks See 2025’s Muni Outlook: Masters of the Muniverse

A new administration and the specter of inflation are among the levers for municipal bonds moving into next year. On this month’s Masters of the Muniverse, Eric Kazatsky and co-host Karen Altamirano are joined by three bank strategists with differing takes on the municipal landscape for 2025.Peter Degroot, head of municipal research and strategy at JPMorgan; Vikram Rai, who leads municipal-markets strategy at Wells Fargo; and Mikhail Foux, chief of municipal research at Barclays reflect on this ...

Dec 18, 20241 hr 2 min

KKR’s Pietrzak on Private Credit Scale, Value: Credit Crunch

Private credit has expanded toward $2 trillion for direct lending and related markets, with another $5 trillion in asset-based finance, making for ample lender opportunities in the view of Daniel Pietrzak, KKR partner and global head of private credit. Pietrzak rejoined Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert on the latest episode of Credit Crunch to talk about the market’s growth, the current risk climate and how the incoming presidential administration may influence the market opportunity. They a...

Dec 13, 20241 hr 2 min

2025 High Grade and High Yield Outlook, US vs. EU: Credit Crunch

With credit markets enjoying a strong 2024 and with many uncertainties, charting the course for 2025 is a challenge. Will US trade policies slow Fed cuts and will ECB easing stay the course as priced, and what will this mean for credit? Will stubborn US yields filter into Europe? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, chief European credit strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Marc Rovers, Head of European Credit at Legal & General Investment Management, d...

Dec 11, 20241 hr 9 min

Do EM Country Fundamentals Really Even Matter Anymore?: EM Lens

Emerging-market central banks have historically followed the Federal Reserve, yet 2025 will be a year of divergence as monetary and fiscal policy responses evolve. Sergey Goncharov, portfolio manager and head of fixed income Americas at Vontobel, joins Bloomberg Intelligence chief emerging market fixed income strategist Damian Sassower to discuss his year-ahead outlook for the EM fixed-income asset class. Goncharov and Sassower touch on issues ranging from US protectionism and Chinese stimulus t...

Dec 10, 202422 min

The Year Ahead in Rates, Credit and Currencies

Ol' Saint FICC is here to stuff your stockings with 2025 market outlooks from all your favorite podcast hosts. Rates, credit, municipals, EM, MBS, currencies, bankruptcy and volatility are all covered, while the team also takes a brief look back at memorable moments of 2024.

Dec 09, 202448 min

Bain’s Rufino on Special Sits Strategy: State of Distressed Debt

“A marriage…chemistry… [and] shared vision” is how Bain Capital partner Angelo Rufino described investments centered around a new asset class of hybrid capital that combines features of debt and equity in a conversation with Bloomberg Intelligence’s Negisa Balluku that took place live at Beard Group’s Distressed Investing Conference. As Head of Special Situations in North America as well as Head of Corporate Special Situations in Europe, Rufino shared his perspective on the bespoke nature and th...

Dec 06, 20241 hr 19 min

ABS 2025 Market Dynamics With BI’s Rod Chadehumbe: Macro Matters

The significant tightening in corporate bonds recently has left asset-backed securities looking cheaper, says Rod Chadehumbe, Bloomberg Intelligence’s asset-backed securities strategist. Chadehumbe is joined by host and BI chief US rates strategist Ira Jersey to discuss the state of the US ABS market. The pair dive into the engineering of the various types of products, as well as the general risk-reward profiles available to investors. They also hit on the liquidity and volatility dynamics of th...

Dec 05, 202423 min

Shifting EM Backdrop Will Breed Both Winners and Losers: EM Lens

Emerging-market assets are likely to swing on US-centric narratives, yet domestic growth and inflation dynamics may be of less concern than in previous cycles. Ricardo Adrogue, head of global sovereign debt and currencies at Barings, joinsDamian Sassower, Bloomberg Intelligence’s chief emerging market fixed income strategist, to discuss the year-ahead outlook for EM credit, rates and foreign exchange. Adrogue and Sassower touch on issues ranging from US trade policy and EM remittances to Chinese...

Dec 04, 202417 min

No Existential Euro Risk, But It's Not a Rosy Picture: FX Moment

Deteriorating French political headlines are exacerbating the underwhelming French and euro-zone economic narrative, confirming what has become a compellingly euro bearish case into 2025. Still, talk of an existential risk to the currency appears premature, and much of the bad news is arguably priced in. Host Audrey Childe-Freeman, Bloomberg Intelligence's chief G-10 FX Strategist, talks to Elliot Hentov, global head of macro policy research at State Street Global Advisors, about what could trig...

Dec 03, 202417 min

Volatility Bite-Size: All Options Considered

In this edition of the All Options Considered podcast, BI's Chief Global Derivatives Strategist Tanvir Sandhu gives an update on how the US bond market volatility has remained elevated to equity and FX volatility. Rates volatility may drift lower with the Fed in no hurry but greater conviction on the neutral rate will be the signal for a more meaningful decline given forecast dispersion of policy rates remains a key support.

Nov 29, 20248 min

NAV Lending Prospects With Crestline’s Philipp: Credit Crunch

A slower exit environment for limited partners on the back of elevated rates and inflation has helped drive tremendous growth for the world of NAV lending over the past couple of years. David Philipp, partner in the Fund Liquidity Solutions Group at Crestline Investors, walks through the journey of the asset class with Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this episode of Credit Crunch. The conversation gets into the evolution of the investor, public-market accessibility, synergi...

Nov 26, 20241 hr 7 min

Crews & Associates’ Mulholland on Treasury Market: Macro Matters

The biggest change to the Treasury market has been algorithmic trading, and the proliferation of high-frequency trading firms (HFTs) and principal trading firms (PTFs), those two are really the main market makers in the inter-dealer broker screens, says Dan Mulholland, senior managing director and head of sales and trading at Crews and Associates. Mulholland is joined by host, and Bloomberg Intelligence’s chief US rates strategist Ira Jersey to discuss evolutions in Treasury trading and market s...

Nov 25, 202426 min

Navigating CLO Equity With Eagle Point’s Majewski: Credit Crunch

A collateralized loan obligation’s (CLO) reinvestment period is among the keys to the success for the asset class in the view of Eagle Point’s Founder and Managing Partner Tom Majewski. He joins Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert and Sam Geier on this edition of Credit Crunch to walk through Eagle Points focus on the higher-risk tranches of a CLO structure, with an emphasis on equity. The discussion touches on holder concentration, the growth in covenant-lite loans, misconceptions around force...

Nov 22, 20241 hr 7 min

The Intersection of AI and Muniland: Masters of the Muniverse

Artificial intelligence is reshaping the world of municipal bonds, with predictive analytics, data-driven decision-making and automated portfolio management just some of the ways the technology is transforming public finance. In this episode of Bloomberg Intelligence’s Masters of the Muniverse podcast, hosts Eric Kazatsky and Karen Altamirano take a break from discussing the nuts and bolts of asset management and instead focus on the bits and bytes of how technology is applied to the municipal l...

Nov 20, 202451 min

Beach Point’s Sauer on LMEs, Coops: State of Distressed Debt

Lenders must be “hyper-vigilant” at the whiff of a liability management exercise (LME), as cooperation agreements forged in response by the largest lenders often shut off membership once critical majorities are reached, according to Beach Point Capital’s senior vice president Jordan Sauer. Jordan shared with Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert and Phil Brendel how his initial legal work at Wachtell Lipton with lender documentation served him well in identifying credit-agreement vulnerabilities ...

Nov 14, 20241 hr 32 min

US vs. EU Credit Gaps On Election and Rate Cuts: Credit Crunch

With the US election having a clear result and credit markets enjoying a strong run this year, charting the course forward is a challenge. Will a Trump regime slow down Fed cuts and will the ECB continue on its previous easing course, and what will this mean for credit? Will stubborn US yields cause more divergence in credit until 1H25? In this episode of our Credit Crunch podcast, host Mahesh Bhimalingam, chief European credit strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence and James Turner, Co-Head of EM...

Nov 12, 202456 min

Deficits, Regulations, and Taxes with Nathan Dean: Macro Matters

As expected, the Federal Reserve cut 25 bps in this election week, not a surprise, but Jerome Powell wasn’t as hawkish as might have been expected. Bloomberg Intelligence Chief US Interest-Rate Strategist Ira Jersey is joined by Senior Government Analyst Nathan Dean to discuss the implications of the recent election cycle for the US economy and Treasury markets. They discuss the current state of executive policy uncertainty, and potential outcomes of various campaign promises, though Dean doesn’...

Nov 11, 202438 min

Enjoy Dollar Bull US Narrative, With No Complacency: FX Moment

The cyclically-driven bullish dollar narrative got another boost last week, with President-elect Donald Trump's expected pro-growth stance implying a policy mix weighted more to fiscal stimulus and less to monetary steps, which would help the dollar. It's also better positioned if Trump pursues tariffs. Host Audrey Childe-Freeman, Bloomberg Intelligence's Chief G-10 FX Strategist, talks to Dr Anna Wong, Bloomberg Economics Chief US Economist, about how the economy, the Fed rate outlook and the f...

Nov 09, 202419 min

Unpacking Growth and Inflation Projections With the IMF: EM Lens

Geopolitical risk remains elevated, yet financial stability doesn’t appear to be a cause for concern as market practitioners turn their attention to year-end. Dr. Jason Wu, IMF assistant director of Monetary & Capital Markets, and Dr. Fabio Natalucci, CEO of the Andersen Institute for Finance & Economics, join Damian Sassower, EM Lens podcast host and Bloomberg Intelligence chief emerging market fixed income strategist, to discuss the growth and inflation outlook for both advanced econom...

Nov 01, 202434 min

UBS’ Sabatino on Fed Liquidity and SEC Regulation: Macro Matters

Cash is not on the sidelines. An investment in a money market fund is an actual investment, says Robert Sabatino, head of Global Liquidity Portfolio Management at UBS Asset Management. Sabatino is joined by host and Bloomberg Intelligence’s chief US rate strategist Ira Jersey and senior US and Canada rate strategy associate Will Hoffman to discuss all things money markets. The trio examine shifts in the relationship between the Federal Reserve’s facilities and the money-fund industry, as well as...

Oct 31, 202429 min
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