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How Cities Really Work

Oct 15, 202538 minSeason 4Ep. 17
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Episode description

Tired of big talk that falls apart when the trash doesn’t get picked up? We bring together two insiders who’ve lived the fight from the council chamber to the mayor’s office to map how cities actually move: coalitions, budgets, police staffing, and the messy business of making streets feel safe. Houston’s recent pivot toward a centrist, basics-first agenda shows how bipartisan votes still form when leaders fix pensions, rebuild infrastructure, and keep patrol cars rolling. San Francisco’s saga is different: recalls, ranked-choice twists, and a culture war over tech tools like ALPR, drones, and even AI—right in the capital of technology.

We dig into why “progressive vs. moderate” has stopped explaining outcomes when residents judge government by Tuesday service delivery. You’ll hear how national polarization—especially around Trump and ICE—distorts local debates about data sharing and community protection, while neighborhoods most affected by crime and cost spikes struggle for practical relief. Our guests argue for a measurable playbook: fully staff police with accountability, modernize routing for garbage and repairs, streamline permitting for small businesses, and price services transparently. Along the way, we unpack insurance shocks, electricity bills, and the overlooked voters who decide general elections without ever touching a primary ballot.

The next five years will be shaped by younger leaders and a quieter embrace of technology. From Waymo’s rising approval in San Francisco to Houston’s likely re-election momentum for coalition builders, the future looks less like slogans and more like uptime, response times, and clear trade-offs between fees and services. If you care about how cities actually work—and how they can work better—this conversation gives you a grounded, BS-free roadmap.

If this resonates, follow the show, share it with a friend who loves city politics, and leave a quick review so more listeners can find conversations that put results over rhetoric.

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The Center for Demographics and Policy focuses on research and analysis of global, national, and regional demographic trends and explores policies that might produce favorable demographic results over time. It involves Chapman students in demographic research under the supervision of the Center’s senior staff.

Students work with the Center’s director and engage in research that will serve them well as they look to develop their careers in business, the social sciences, and the arts. Students also have access to our advisory board, which includes distinguished Chapman faculty and major demographic scholars from across the country and the world.

For additional information, please contact Mahnaz Asghari, Associate Director for the Center for Demographics and Policy, at (714) 744-7635 or asghari@chapman.edu.

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This show is presented by the Chapman Center for Demographics and Policy, which focuses on research and analysis of global, national and regional demographic trends and explores policies that might produce favorable demographic results over time.

Transcript

Setting The Cities Series

SPEAKER_03

The Feudal Future Podcast.

SPEAKER_02

Hello and welcome to another episode of the Feudal Future Podcast. I'm Marshall Taplansky.

SPEAKER_03

I'm Joel Kotkin.

SPEAKER_02

And today, Joel, we're going to continue our cities series where we dive deeply into how cities are operating and what cities are all about. And to help us, we've got two really fascinating guests who have been deeply involved in municipal politics. Marjon Phillauer is managing director of Mercury's San Francisco office. She brings three decades of experience in government and politics, strategic communications. She used to be senior advisor to Mayor London Breed of San Francisco.

And we have Carol Robinson, who's associate professor and interim dean of external affairs at Texas Southern University in their School of Public Affairs. Professor Robinson is also a former at-large member of the Houston City Council in Texas. Welcome both of you.

SPEAKER_00

Thank you.

SPEAKER_02

Joel, you want to kick us off?

SPEAKER_03

I mean, one of the reasons we asked both of you is there's certainly a dialogue out there that cities are moving further and further towards the progressive left. Obviously, you have the case of New York as very pro prominent. But in the case of San Francisco and um and Houston, um there seems to be a return to maybe a sense of realism and uh about getting the job done on um obviously there are two cases.

Um Houston was never woke, from what I can tell, but um it was more traditional, um some more traditional uh liberal politics.

Why Houston Chose Whitmire

But Carole, um what led to Whitmeyer's election, you know, the new mayor, and and and what do you think he's doing? And and is this a move in a different direction?

SPEAKER_01

Look, um I think uh I I'd say John Whitmire, but uh he's a former state senator, 50 years in this in the state senate, um, centrist Democrat for lack of a better description. Um and I think he won the race because folks saw him as the coalition candidate who could put together, we do uh nonpartisan elections in Houston. So he was the one candidate who could put together a large chunk of Democrats and a large chunk of what I would describe as the old uh Herbert Walker Bush, G.W.

Bush, Republicans, combine those two, and he beat Congresswoman Sheila Jackson Lee, who folks would have described as the progressive. Um, I don't think Congresswoman Lee would have seen herself necessarily as progressive as opposed to being a traditional Republican. Uh, but Whitmeyer won on an agenda around police, fixing an issue around firefighters' pension and dealing with infrastructure issues in the city, and folks wanted to get back to those kind of basics.

We were having water mains break, uh, water bills were increasing, and he was the candidate talked about addressing those basic, um, what I call uh city issues, and he got elected.

SPEAKER_02

And what about it? San Francisco, yeah. I mean San Francisco, we're you know, it's kind of the poster child for post-COVID, for for disruption in COVID, for the decline of uh safety and cleanliness and

San Francisco’s Political Whiplash

center cities, and then with the rejection of uh mayor breed, um we've seen kind of a turnaround. What what do you make of all of that? And then is it continuing?

SPEAKER_00

Yeah, I mean, I think um San Francisco is such an interesting place. I don't know if it's there's just something in the water or the air. I mean, we have statewide and national leaders come out of San Francisco and people describing the politics here as a knife fight in a phone booth, which it definitely is.

SPEAKER_03

There's just also, you know, for you look pretty good for somebody who was in a knife fight in a phone booth.

SPEAKER_00

I don't know. Just got to use a lot of hairspray. Um but uh for um folks who, you know, folks who are living here and folks who are seeing the day-to-day. And if you watch Stranger Things, I mean it really is like the upside down here. You have the very far left and the very far right who have been teaming up together for the better part of the past two decades uh to elect the kind of decision makers that lead to ironically more extreme left policies.

And so now we're in a period where, you know, in Mayor London Breed, who ascended to the mayoralty after the untimely death of Mayor Ed Lee, so, you know, there was that tragedy in the city, and then uh, you know, being the the leader in the nation on on COVID and COVID response, uh, and also uh leading the way in police reform, but also increasing public safety.

So now we're seeing the benefits, and you know, I do support this mayor, Mayor Lurie, he's out there every day and continuing the policies that were actually started by Mayor Breed. But in my view, the rejection of Mayor Breed was also circumstantial. Uh, we had a very volatile and intense mayor's race where you want to talk about progressive and moderate, which I believe are completely devoid of meaning in the city right now.

You had uh Mayor London Breed and um interim Mayor Mark Farrell, who um was briefly mayor after Ed Lee's death, um basically causing a scene, right? And uh for Daniel Lurie, who got in there and rolled up his sleeves and and got the second place votes, because we have a nonpartisan municipal races, uh, but there's also ranked choice voting.

And so that carried him, he you know, was able to get the second place votes, uh a large number of second place votes that carried him into the mayor's office. Uh, but we're still grappling with a lot of the issues um uh that we were grappling with five years ago. And while there aren't as many graphic images on Fox News or on the internet about what's happening in San Francisco, we're still extremely short. And police officers were still seeing a lot of public drug use.

Um, unfortunately, just last week, uh, a member of Urban Alchemy, which is a nonprofit that helps support community safety and work with folks in the tenderloin, um, uh, an employee was shot and killed for asking someone to stop using drugs. So, you know, progressive, moderate, and how Trump is affecting that, and how New York is affecting what's happening here in San Francisco. I mean, the people who are paying the highest price for it are the residents.

And I would argue that from the period of 2019 until last year, we were moving in a more to the center uh from the far left. Uh, we were seeing less calls to defund and dismantle the police from the very top levels of government on the board of supervisors, uh, to more of let's give the police technologies that they, you know, that they can use to increase public safety.

I will say though, the results of 2024 in some particular races here in San Francisco, I think have led to the reversal of a few recalls that happened, right? We recalled a district attorney who was a former public defender. So that was interesting, uh, and then recalled uh some members of the school board uh who weren't getting kids back in school, right? But all of that has been, it's been reversed.

So in my view, San Francisco uh is moving a little bit more to the left, uh, which, you know, I've moved, I was born here and then, you know, did my thing, college in DC. But then when I came back in 2005, we've since seen the pendulum swing a couple of times, and we're in the midst of that. And I think San Francisco is moving to the left.

SPEAKER_03

Um just curious, is that partially a reaction to Trump?

SPEAKER_00

Yes. Yes. 100%.

SPEAKER_03

Because here in Los Angeles, I mean Mayor Bass, who has

Trump, ICE, and Local Priorities

it's hard to prove incompetence more consistently. Um and yet, you know, because of her opposition to ICE, she's gonna be uh re-elected, I think, in in a walk um in a city that you it's hard to find an Angelino who doesn't think things are worse than they were.

SPEAKER_02

Well, and these are the the when you talk to Angelinos, and I don't know that we're gonna need to f also think about New York. I would love to get your opinion on that too.

But from an Angelino perspective, there are just really basic bread and butter issues that people care about, like making sure that the streets are safe downtown and um uh getting the graffiti off the buildings and uh having a sense of civil order, not uh draconian civil order, but at least just you know civilized conversations. Um that seems to be missing in here.

And um I wonder the degree to which uh the Trump polarization has deflected conversation around these kind of basic issues, or whether it's reinforced the focus on them. What do you guys think about that?

SPEAKER_00

Well, if I may, I have something to say about this. So I am an elected member of our local Democratic Party, and that was part of the move to a more moderate democratic system here last spring, right? Which was then um it was stopped in the fall. Uh, but so I'm the second vice chair and our chair, the we were a slate of candidates that was elected um on public safety, on supporting local businesses, on increasing housing availability and affordability.

And uh what's happened is, and even at the state party, a group of us brought a resolution to the state party earlier this year to um, you know, the last position the state party took until this past June, the position of record of the California Democratic Party was to defund the police. That was still there.

So we brought forward a measure um from the San Francisco Democratic Party to say, hey, we should support communities, we should support public safety, and we should support fully staffing our local police departments and of course support community policing and all the stuff that residents are asking for.

Well, in um there was recently another meeting of the executive committee of our local democratic party where the chair of our party, um, you know, there was this, um the narrative was, of course, around ICE and understandably like what we're seeing in our streets with ICE and how our immigrant communities are so deeply affected and afraid. Uh, but it it was completely in reaction to Trump. Um, it was about sharing automated license plate reader data uh with federal authorities.

And the chair of our party, who is a career, you know, almost 30-year career prosecutor, Chinese, which is another community that's been very underrepresented in elected officials here in San Francisco, said, Hey, we don't have to share with ICE, but the first six hours when a child is missing or when a crime is committed, that's when we're able to find that child or that older person.

And the more extreme wing of the party, including folks from San Francisco, who, you know, maybe their um elected official was recalled in 2019. Um, there's been a whole campaign around um organized labor to uh go after the chair of the party for saying, you know, saying that she supports ICE. So we're in this, you know, all she was saying was, listen, I'm a career prosecutor, I understand how data's shared. San Francisco is a sanctuary city, we all support that.

However, with automated license plate reader, which San Francisco readers, which San Francisco just got in 2024, right? Let's be smart and protective of our communities and ensure that we're doing the right thing and and how we share things. And um, that has been totally taken out of context.

And now the frame, instead of talking about safer communities and keeping families here in the city and making housing more affordable, has become this, you know, you guys are all Trump Democrats support Trump.

SPEAKER_03

Yeah, now and we gotta hear what Carol has because I assume the dynamic in Houston, the city, you know, obviously I know reasonably well, and Carole knows much better than I do. What's the dynamic in San Francisco

What Swing Voters Actually Want

in Houston? It's a huge immigrant community there, too.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah, look, um, I'm gonna do Houston, but I want to uh be a little broader. And uh let me be broader and come back to Houston. I mean, uh, we can't have this conversation outside the context of what the data is telling us right now about where the Democratic Party is in America, is even more unfavorable than Donald Trump is. That that's the reality of what the data is.

SPEAKER_03

By about 10 points. Yeah.

SPEAKER_01

Yeah. And we know this may be a snapshot at the moment, but uh, you know, folks forget what uh, and I'm not a I'm not a Trump person, I'm just a I'm a political science scientist. And what folks seem to get forget is issues and quality of candidate matters in a campaign. And a lot of times folks in the extreme wings of both parties um get caught up in what they want to be caught up in and lose uh track of what's really going on.

Look, um if Whitmeyer runs for re-election in Houston, he'll be re-elected because he can put together a bipartisan coalition. And even if we had ranked choice voting in Houston, it would still be hard to beat him because you have to have a quality opponent who's more in touch with the issues that are of concern to voters.

Yes, ICE is an issue even in Houston, but ICE doesn't dominate um the policy landscape because folks have other concerns, and the mayor and council have been focused on those concerns, even the county commissioners. I mean, like literally, we're gonna lose what most folks eight years ago thought was a rising star in the Democratic Party, and then party in Texas and nationally, Alina Hidalgo.

SPEAKER_03

Right.

SPEAKER_01

Um, you know, so when I look at what's happening across the country, um, I tell folks this in Texas and Houston, the people who decide elections are not the partisans in either party. It's the people who never vote in either party's primary that show up in general elections. And you better make sure you have an issue matrix that speaks to them and also can hold on to your base. I don't know what happens in the 2026 election. Um, I tell you what my take on New York is.

New York is, man, the the the likely mayor was lucky that he got two weak opponents and he had a mayor Adams who imploded. Um mayor Adams was not gonna be re-elected. He started out thinking he was the model, but then the true nature of him came out um and he imploded. He was terrible at policy, he was he was corrupt. Anybody was gonna beat that guy. Karen Bass can be beaten, but you got to have a candidate, right? Sufficient money and the right conversation about issues.

I mean, out here in California right now, you're having a conversation about loss of land, lack of um uh home insurance, the cost of rebuilding, but you just don't have anyone stepping up to offer ideas and solutions. And when you have to run a political campaign, um, you want to be a candidate. The campaign starts before the calendar says the campaign is started.

Um, and I mean, I'm telling gonna tell you what the real lucky issue for Mayor Bass is, is um I think it's Caruso, the guy that ran against her last time, wants to run for governor.

SPEAKER_02

Right.

SPEAKER_01

If he'd concentrate on um on saying I really want to be mayor again, does it look like that's what he was gonna do after the fires and talking about what happened with uh underfunding of the fire department? And then the next thing you know, he's looking at a governor's race. I mean, that's gonna be the greatest thing that happens to her to reinsure her election. It's not it's not the ICE issue because a lot of people are are not as into LA being a sanctuary

Are Cities Governable?

city, are not into being in the mall or even uh on rodeo drive and people smashing and grabbing jewelry.

SPEAKER_02

You know, you know, like this is this is really a great segue into maybe diving one level deeper, which is you know, your point is that you have to have somebody that's gonna speak to the issues. And Marjan's point is that you have a very fragmented group of people, so you don't know whose issues you're really addressing, whether you're addressing kind of the anti-Trump group of people or the bread and butter people.

What is there enough uh civic will amongst everybody and civic focus that can actually tie groups together? Or are we looking at basically ungovernable uh uh areas?

SPEAKER_03

Well, I would just one quick because I know both cities reasonably well. Um Houston is very different than San Francisco. It's more diverse in terms of its class, base, it's more um it still has a I mean, one of the big problems we have to deal with these issues is in California, we have a one-party system. So you know, the kind of coalition that Whitmeyer could put together, there is no way of doing that.

I mean, Rick Caruso, actually, who had been a lifelong Republican, is now a Democrat theoretically. Um and and so I I think it's very hard to get to these issues when you have a one-party system. And in and of course, in Texas, the cities have to fight back against a Republican.

SPEAKER_02

Are there are there issues that you go across those boundaries that unite? And or are we just in such a disarray? And I, you know, maybe Houston works because there's less of that, right? But um what's your sense of it? All right, we're it seems to me that we're in an in a time frame where we're seeing unprecedented polarization and no consensus on anything ever emerges. What's your sense?

SPEAKER_01

Look, I I I think there's a lot of consensus out there. Um it's not that the politicians is listen, homeowners care about the fact that whether it's because of fire or flooding, the cost of home insurance and the ease of securing home insurance has become a problem. Uh literally, in Texas, it was the Republican attorney general who filed suit against car insurance companies for using the tracking data to jack up the cost of car insurance.

Um, you know, I can't tell you how many people, not just in Houston, but across the uh across Texas uh and across the country, who are complaining about the increase in their electricity bill. Um, you know, we want innovation, but the regular consumer don't want to carry the cost of uh what it's gonna uh the cost of electricity going up, but there's there's really nobody speaking to it. I mean, folks made made made fun of Trump in the last campaign, but my dad sent six kids to college off tips.

And I'm I'm old enough to remember when I started out as a room service waiter and they ultimately started taxing tips for a lot of people who work in that space, even though he hadn't fulfilled that, the fully fulfilled that commitment. I'm really shocked that nobody's talking about, in terms of let's say Democrats, a lot actual literal fix. If you want to fix Social Security, just lift the cap on income subject to FICA. Um, but we have to fight in the context of uh income tax.

But the the thing that would help more working class people is like literally putting that money in Social Security and stop barring it to run the government. But we're the the politicians aren't having a real conversation. Most politicians aren't having a real conversation that would really move voters. Um, and 26 and 28 may be an opportunity to have that kind of conversation. We have a more realistic conversation at the city level because Tuesday is the day they pick up my garbage.

If the garbage doesn't get picked up on Tuesday, I know it didn't get picked up on Tuesday. I have to pay a water bill every month. So every time the city raises the water bill, I have to pay property taxes. Um, and that's a big issue in Houston and across the country. Folks just don't want to pay for lack of quality delivery.

SPEAKER_02

Or any or any delivery for that matter. It's so you're talking about basic home economics bread and butter issues are not being addressed. No. And and and Marjan, I'm I'm thinking that Dan Lurie got elected because he focused on some basic home economics issues.

SPEAKER_00

Certainly, so he certainly is focusing on that. And you know, there have been folks on the board of supervisors and others in the city who are asking him, how come you're not talking about Trump? Right? He's everybody in America is responding to Trump, mayors, and he's not. And I appreciate that focus, right? It's not, I'm not talking about Trump today because someone just got killed across from City Hall and people, you know, can't get into the schools that they need to get into.

And, you know, the treasurer's office here in San Francisco, the top person in the treasurer's office just got put on leave for corruption charges, right? So it's just that's what this mayor's focusing

Tech Skepticism In Tech’s Capital

on. But we need more than one, despite the fact that he's the mayor and he's got a very powerful pulpit, we need someone besides the mayor focusing on that as well. And it means we can't have an adversarial board of supervisors. However, we are about to move into a majority progressive board of supervisors here.

The mayor, you know, there was a supervisor who was just recalled across the way from where I live because um he closed a road, a main artery, right next to where most of his residents um live, or many of his concerned residents live, um, you know, to turn it into a park, right? And so when you talk about our cities governable, I'm interpreting that as can the government run the city on its own?

And I think what's happening in San Francisco, because of the extremism that we've seen here, and you know, we're only 7, 8% Republican here. So the extremism is on the left. And that extremism has infiltrated our bureaucracy and has been reflected in the policies that our government has enacted over many years. And that's why usually there's a pendulum swing.

But now we're in a period where in 2024 that pendulum swing was interrupted, so it was prematurely interrupted, it was moving towards the center, it's now moving back towards the left, and uh we are gonna see more slow progress. And then when you talk about the extreme policies, which um is a version of kicking the can down the road of making the tough decisions you should have made 20 years ago.

So the people who are now paying the price of extreme policies, term limits, which you know, law of the land, 1990, statewide term limits went into effect here um in California. So you have folks who are running for office and then immediately wondering what they're gonna do for their next job. You have people getting elected to the board of supervisors who've never had to balance a budget and who are learning how to balance a budget or even, you know, pass a budget.

Uh, and they're wondering, well, where am I going to work next, right? Um, because of term limits. And so I think we're also paying the price for that. Coupled with, as you had mentioned earlier, um running campaigns. You know, I've been I've done every job in a campaign, I've done many, almost every job in government. Um, you know, I've been elected to office and I've also been defeated in my pursuit of being elected to office.

And I think how those campaigns are run now, they're doing an excellent job in capitalizing on the extreme policies that are causing families to flee the city or to be afraid and to make emotional decisions based on the fear and uncertainty that has been imposed upon them by extreme uh left policymakers here in the city. So I'm not saying it's not governable, it's slower than it needs to be. And fast change happens when bad things happen, when somebody dies who shouldn't be, right?

Like a block away in August 2023, a block away from my house, a shopkeeper was killed. Um, you know, a friend of ours uh because someone was trying to steal two beers, right?

And that's kind of what finally led to people coming on board and saying, you know, we need automated license plate readers, we need to have drones because we're a 500 police officer short, you know, and in our neighborhood at any given time there may be you know, you know, you're you're raising a really uh interesting point.

SPEAKER_02

It's kind of a hot button for me, which is if you think about governments as an organization, they were intentionally designed to not be fast. Right, right, right. Speed is not part of the equation, and yet uh technology is actually driving uh the world to change faster. Right. And so uh it seems to me we have a basic disconnect between how governments were designed to begin with and how they're actually, you know, what what forces they have to respond to today.

Um that sounds to me like government needs to be more responsive to technological changes and the adoption of new technology. Do you see that appetite changing within governments?

SPEAKER_00

Yeah, well, I will say we have a lot of folks getting elected to office here in San Francisco by interest groups who are demonizing technological advances, right?

SPEAKER_02

How ironic is that that this is the home of AI and it's like uh get this AI the hell out of here.

SPEAKER_00

Right. So people saying if you're in the pocket of tech, if you are a tech worker, if you are a tech company, I mean, at this point everybody has a website. I mean, that's tech. If you don't have a website, you're not in business, right? So you're electing people who are questioning, who are questioning the utility of technology. I mean, I'm sure that happened around electricity. Like, I'm not sure we need it, right? What happened to

Modernizing City Hall

them?

SPEAKER_01

Well, you know, uh Friedman wrote a piece called uh a great piece called about calling all Luddites. Um at the time, young guy running for public advocate in New York made the observation that the city is so big, you know, uh few people can't govern it. It would be better to utilize technology to have all the people in the city help solve the problem as uh bottom-up as opposed to a top-down.

Um the the the saddest thing that's happened during the Trump administration is the fact that modernization has become such a demonized phenomenon. And the reality is um government at all levels has to become more modernized. I um I'm sure everybody on this call lived through, you know, the uh where was I? I went to I went to Miami uh a couple months back, and as I travel the country now, um it's rare to see cabs anymore.

And I remember when Uber first came along, municipal governments just did not know what to do with Uber because we made so much money off cab medallions. And it took us a long time, and some of that is still out there. Airbnb came along, we made money off hotel occupancy taxes, so we just started pulling our hair out.

Um and technology and the customer experience for people outside of government continues to speed up, but folks in government, no matter how much longevity they have in government, just have, to me, seem to have turned a blind eye for the need for government um to increase, um, to become faster, quicker, more efficient at customer service.

I mean, I can't remember if it's UPS or uh FedEx, one of them figured out that if they eliminated left turns, they saved on gasoline because for them, fuel was such a high cost for folks in the city. I'm just gonna do Houston. They don't care that fuel is a high cost. So we have not, we have avoided using technology to make the garbage routes more effective, to make the city vehicle fleet more effective, to um improve. Um, I think somewhere there was like 24 law enforcement agencies.

Um we can't even agree to coordinate and use technology to more efficiently um police the city just in terms of where the police cars are going to route themselves during the course of a day to reduce the likelihood of crime or be more visible. And so it's not just San Francisco, sadly. It's just there's, I don't know if it's a lack of vision, a fear of the new.

But government at the municipal level is way behind what it needs to do to be more effective because at some point people are going to get tired of paying more in taxes. And so they have the benefit of moving. The thing that's come out of the post-pandemic reality is more and more companies have decided we'll use technology to maximize productivity and you don't have to be physically present where we want you to work.

And residents are starting to have that freedom to keep their insurance, but move physically. So I think that's a that's a manifestation of what we're going to see more of.

SPEAKER_02

Joel, as we move toward the as we move toward the end of our of our time, uh why don't you ask the last question?

SPEAKER_03

Sure. I'm what what I'm wondering is, you know, obviously we we've we've dealt with a lot of the uh downsides. Um what is your view of where cities are going to go in the next five years? I mean, will they wake up to how to use technology? I mean, I find it ironic that there's probably more receptivity to technology in Houston than in the capital of technology in San Francisco. Um So where do you see this going in the next five years? I mean, I I uh another five years

Five-Year Outlook For Cities

of urban decay would be kind of catastrophic.

SPEAKER_00

I think it's a mixed bag in San Francisco. I think residents are going to move the adaptation to technology. I mean, we're seeing that with self-driving cars here now with Waymo's, where originally people were very reticent. Like, what does this mean? There's no one in this car, and now the approval ratings from Waymo's are just through the roof.

SPEAKER_03

Wow.

SPEAKER_00

Uh, and people, I mean, for me, I mean, I have a daughter and I would rather put her in a Waymo that follows every rule of the road without someone in there who's trying to, you know, talk to her. You know, um, I feel safer uh doing that. And so I think there's gonna be this tension in San Francisco between the rhetoric that gets extreme leftists elected and the practicality of technology that's actually helping our lowest income people here in the city.

And then you've got the tension with the people who purport to represent the lowest income people who don't support housing, who don't support public safety. You know, there was a study and some data released recently around where our Latino community has been the most severely impacted by violent crime here, right?

And so, and yet the far left, I mean, they're they're talking about ICE and they're talking about, you know, there's there's that definitely needs to be addressed, and we have to protect those underserved communities and those that are targeted. But at the same time, city leaders need to stop kind of testing what's going out there and start to do the right thing.

And even, you know, in City Hall, I think that the advances in AI and just daily technology use and the by the people who work there will drive that advance advancement. But will San Francisco moderate in its political views? Um, it has come a long way without having to do that. So if it's not broke yet, um there hasn't been the kind of revolt against that kind of leadership.

And I think part of it is, you know, San Francisco, there is something in the air and water that kind of when you see things here that in any other city you wouldn't see politically.

SPEAKER_02

Um, is there something in the air in Houston?

SPEAKER_01

Well, what's in the air in Houston is prosperity. Um literally, I think in the next five years, Houston is gonna be an even more prosperous city. Um, if Whitmire runs, he's likely to be re-elected. Um, the person that's probably gonna run against him, one of two probably is um either uh two young African-American men or one of them will run, but they're more moderate.

Um, I think Houston is committed to the idea of improving public service, police, fire, municipal employee picking up the garbage. We're gonna have a probably a big debate in the next five years about uh do we implement a garbage fee to improve um uh garbage services? Um and uh and uh or either we swap it for an old uh water fee. So we're gonna have a uh, I think a conversation about what do we trade off in terms of revenue streams to improve services that need to be improved.

Um I think the city of Houston continues to grow. Uh, we probably will be outgrown by the county, but I think a lot of places, we have a lot of what's called unincorporated area in the county. Um they'll probably want to uh do deals with the city for water and other kinds of basic services. Uh we'll probably see a gradual change in the state. Um, right now, I think the legislature is fighting between, let's call them the Trump MAGA and traditional Republicans.

And so a lot of that they've taken out on cities and trying to over-supervise cities. I think some of that goes away because um nobody's really paying attention to it. But what the redistricting in Texas has done is it is drawn a lot of the more conservative Republicans out of the legislature. Um, and we'll probably end up, you know, if the map holds up, sending a lot of extremely conservative state house members to Washington, D.C.

Um, and you get a younger generation of Republicans, and we get a younger generation of city council members in 2027. Um, because we now have two four-year limits uh for city council members, we will lose about six or seven city council members. Uh, but we are we are a pretty unique place. We got a we get a lot of younger folks running. So I think the the younger people being more used to technology and innovation will bring that with them into city government, and we'll see the same thing.

We'll end up with a new county judge in 2026. It'll be somebody likely younger. Um, if not, it'll be uh um a former mayor of the city, andise Parker is running. Uh so if she becomes county judge, then the city and the county will have a um a better relationship because you'll have a former mayor as the county judge with a more moderate mayor, Whitmeyer, Ed Pollard, or Chris Hollins, or somebody else.

So in the next five years, Houston is going to be pretty focused on basic which revenue stream generates enough for us to do the basic kind of things we need to do, protect our water system.

SPEAKER_02

Yeah, you know, what I'm what I'm hearing from what I'm hearing from both of you is um that there's a combination of practicality and younger demographics that will be driving where cities go in the future. And it's gonna be an exciting time to look at it. And I just wanted to, on behalf of Joel and I, thank you guys for really a very stimulating conversation on the Feudal Future Feudal Future podcast. And we look forward to having you come back one of these days

Closing Reflections

and talk more about it. Thank you. Terrific.

SPEAKER_03

The Feudal Future Podcast.

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