Top 13 Undervalued Players You NEED to Target! - podcast episode cover

Top 13 Undervalued Players You NEED to Target!

Mar 21, 202314 min
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Episode description

As the MLB season quickly approaches, Chris Welsh (@IsItTheWelsh) gives you the scoop on his top 13 undervalued draft targets. Finding great value in the draft is often the major differentiator between winning the title and just missing the playoffs. Everybody wants the high-end guys at the top of drafts, but the athletes taken later are just as important. Which hidden gems will help your squad reach its upside? The Pros will tell you!

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Transcript

Speaker 1

Hello, friendos, it's your friendly neighborhood baseball heead.

Speaker 2

It's Chris Welsh.

Speaker 1

Today on Fantasy Pros, we're talking about thirteen undervalued players you need to target in your drafts.

Speaker 2

Are you ready?

Speaker 1

I know you are, but want to win a free one year premium upgrade to everything Fantasy Pros has to offer. All you have to do is subscribe to the Fantasy Pros MLB YouTube channel right now and comment below on this video and that's it. Whether you're looking for custom mock drafts, salary cap draft tools, or in depth analysis of your fantasy performance, Fantasy Pros Premium has the tools to help you win. Unlock the most powerful fantasy tools

in the industry. Don't want to wait for the giveaway, We'll sign up today at fantasypros dot com, slash premium and start playing smarter, not harder. Now it's time for the undervalued.

Speaker 2

Players you need to target.

Speaker 1

As we count down, Coming in at number thirteen, Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder or DH Lordis Guriel. Lordis is coming off a career worst in twenty twenty two, hitting only five home runs. This is only one year removed though from a twenty one home run season, where he also had eighty four RBI. Lords's move to Arizona has led to many questions, but one thing we've seen all spring long is Lords hitting third for the d Backs.

Speaker 2

Now.

Speaker 1

Arizona were one of the top five most running teams in twenty twenty two, so hitting in front of Gurriel would be Corbyn Carroll and potentially ktel Marte. The RBI opportunities in front of Lordis, while hitting three could lead to a huge bounce back season. The outfield is crowded and the DH spot could potentially get filled by Evan Longoria, but the way the team has used him seems to

imply he won't be out of the lineup much. His ADP of two thirty four with by the way Aloaya, who of three forty two, Lordis might be the lowest ranked number three hitter in the league, assuming he stays there. Number twelve on the list. Washington Nationals first baseman or DH Joey Manesis. Manessas is coming off a fantastic small season run with the Nationals last year, where he hit

thirteen home runs in just fifty six games. Vanessa's carried over this great twenty twenty two into the twenty twenty three WBC, where he is currently still hitting over three point fifty with two homers six RBI in just five games, with as of recording, this still time to go. Steamer is projecting Mnessa's for twenty five home runs with a two sixty one batting average whether he's at first or DH, it looks like he's going to be hitting in a prime spot of their lineup at three.

Speaker 2

With an ADP of one ninety five.

Speaker 1

Manessa's homer and RBIs are just being greatly undervalued, and that means you get to reap the rewards. Number eleven on our undervalued list. Colorado Rockies outfielder Jerikson Profar. Profar did not have a team until he finished up with the WBC playing for the Netherlands, where he just signed an almost eight million.

Speaker 2

Dollar deal with the Rockies.

Speaker 1

The Rockies then announced that he would be playing in left field and potentially leaning off. In twenty twenty two, Profar had fifteen home runs and five stolen bases with the Padres. He's going to see an increase in plate appearances leading off, and he's going to.

Speaker 2

Get to hit in course field.

Speaker 1

Profar has an adp at three sixty five on Fantasy pros. Now, some sites are catching up as we have seen him around the two fifties. Now that he has a team, leagues have not fully caught back up to Profar's new home, but you can and you can take all the upside coming in at number ten, New York Yankees starting pitcher Clark Schmidt. Now, Clark Schmid has taken some of his new arsenal into this year's spring training and we've seen some all or nothing results.

Speaker 2

He's had a bit of an inflated era at four, but check this out.

Speaker 1

A point six y nine whip nice to go along with seventeen strikeouts in just eleven and two thirds innings pitched. Schmidt altered a slider into a sweeper and then he added a cutter, which has been huge success so far this spring. His spot on the rotation could have been a little bit more in question, but he seems to have that lockdown with Radon out and if he keeps rolling, he should be able to mant hanging that spot for

most of the year. Atc project Schmid at one hundred innings pitched, and if he beats that, he's going to destroy his ADP, which currently is at three point fifty seven. We've got more undervalued players you need to target, But first, the fan Tracks team is excited to announce our fan Tracks Game Day Experience giveaway. Fan Tracks will be sending one lucky Fantasy Baseball league to any regular season MLB game of their choice, along with one thousand dollars towards travel and accommodations.

Speaker 2

Here's how to enter.

Speaker 1

Go to fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros and either create a new league, join an active league, or bring over your existing leagues from another platform for free. Existing fan Track leagues are automatically included in the giveaway. The more leagues you create and join, the more chances you've got to win. One active league equals one entry, Four active leagues equal four entries. There's no purchase necessary. Again, that's fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros for your chance

to win. Now more undervalued players to target. Number nine Los Angeles Dodgers DH JD.

Speaker 2

Martinez.

Speaker 1

There is no doubt a DH only player has to perform because of the flexibility they take away. JD. Martinez, though, is just that twenty twenty two Martinez had the lowest full season home run total since twenty and thirteen. Projections agree that this is something we can brush off, as every system sees twenty plus homers coming back to JD.

Speaker 2

Martinez.

Speaker 1

The bat x projects seventy four runs and eighty RBI. His ADP doesn't match up with the potential production at one eighty eight on Fantasy pros ADP, and he's even going beyond two hundred on NFBC. Hitting five in the Dodgers lineup could lead to a big offensive potential for a guy that was consistent as consistent gets up until twenty twenty two.

Speaker 2

Don't let the DH scare you. Enjoy the crazy value.

Speaker 1

Number eight Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman can tell Marte now.

Speaker 2

Marte is coming off.

Speaker 1

Of the lowest babbit of his career at two seventy six, where he averaged almost forty points higher on his career. Mart's always hit the ball hard. He always does that, but he loses his ability to hit for contact, or at least he has as of recent projection see a bounce back with an almost thirty point increase in batting average and home run numbers that should touch around twenty. We're gonna talk about it more, but second base is

a struggle. Could tell Marte, though, might be one of the best deals of any previously productive middle infielder.

Speaker 2

With an ADP of one ninety three.

Speaker 1

We'll also see Marte hit two in the d Backs lineup and is a real four category threat and massively undervalued fantasy player. Number seven Texas Rangers starting pitcher Andrew Heeny, who would like a starting pitcher with a thirteen k per nine, just about two walks per nine and a three ere Well that's who Heeny was last year. Now, his health is a big concern, and I lovingly call him walmart Jacob de Grom because of the many aforementioned things.

If Haney reaches just one hundred and forty innings, as many like to point out with de Grom, he will break inside the top one hundred overall of fantasy players, de Grom being the number one fantasy pitcher.

Speaker 2

If he were to break it.

Speaker 1

Heiney currently is going outside the top two hundred. Though. It's good to build in the concerns, but is a no brainer post one point fifty. That Texas Rangers team also has a lot of offensive and defensive support that give him a little extra boost we see from starters on other high win teams.

Speaker 2

Andrew Haney screams undervalued.

Speaker 1

Number six Cincinnati Reds outfielder Will Myers outfield can really get away from us in our drafts in the later rounds. That's why I target Will Myers, who also qualifies at first base. By the way, there is no greater ballpark for hitters than in Cincinnati, not even Colorado anymore. Myers is a real twenty home run ten stolen based threat for the Reds while he's also hitting three. See there's a trend a lot of undervalued players that are hitting three.

Any bounce back, by the way from Jonathan India or Joey Vado who are hitting in front of him will benefit Will Myers. So count that in his ADP would sits around two ninety. Gives very little risk and a ton of upside. All Right, the top five most undervalued players you need to target are coming. But I want to remind you guys that this Wednesday, March twenty second, from one to five pm Eastern right here in Fantasy

Pros is Fantasy Fest. Join Joe Pisapia myself the Welsh and tons of your favorite fantasy baseball analysts like Nick Pollock, Paul spor Ino, Seras, Frank Stanfel, and tons more. It's Fantasy Fest March twenty second, from one to five pm Eastern. Get your draft prep on with Fantasy pros getting back to the top five. Coming in at number five, Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Charlie Morton. If we didn't look at Charlie Morton's age, we would laugh at where he's going

compared to what he's doing on the field. Morton was able to push one hundred and seventy innings pitched in twenty twenty two with just under eleven k per nine. At ten point seven k p nine, his ERA was four point three four, but he had a three point six x FIP lot of room for positive regression. Morton has had at least thirty starts in four straight seasons,

not counting the shortened season. Even at thirty nine, Morton is projected for an under four ERA with thirteen wins by the way and just short of ten k per nine according to the bat Projection System. The Braves provide more stability for wins and his one p fifty to eightyp is easily fifty spots too low. Number four San Diego Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell. Snell legitimately could go where his pitching mate, You Darvish is going, if he could just go deeper into games. The arsenal and this

stuff is kind of similar. Snell had a twelve K pro nine last year, and he had a second half where he maintained a two point one nine ERA to go along with a thirty three percent K percentage. Many projections have built in time, but he's still projected for one hundred and fifty plus innings and over an eleven

K per nine. Targeting teams with great run support is never a bad idea, and between the high strikeouts and the superstars behind him, if Snell sees his innings increase, his ADP outside the top one hundred is going to look really silly. Number three Colorado Rocky shortstop Ezekiel Tovar, Now, the young shortstop doesn't get the love the other top prospects get, yet he is hitting in one of the

most hit or friendly environments in baseball. He's a low strikeout threat and projected as nearly a fifteen to fifteen home run stolen base guy, not even across a full season. So if Tovar hits ninth, which we do see on roster resource, that's less than ideal. If he hits successfully early on, though, he can easily move up this lineup, Tovar also may see an uptick in stolen bases. As one of the beneficiaries to baseball's new rules, he has a shot to be a really good three category player

and possibly even four. Don't be surprised when the season ends and Tovar finishes higher in rankings than Carlos Korea, coming in at number two. Cleveland Guardians second baseman Andres Jmenez. Now second base was already not good. We've talked about a few in here, and then Jose al Tuove came along and got injured and everything got worse. Andresjmenez, though stole the fourth most basis of qualified second basement in

twenty twenty two. With twenty with the rules change that we've talked about, where the guys can't throw over more than twice, we also have bigger bases. Derek Carty's the bat projections have already pushed him up not.

Speaker 2

Just a couple though.

Speaker 1

How about forty percent more from twenty up to twenty eight in twenty twenty three. Those twenty eight are the third most projected at that position. Only Jazz Chism and Tommy Edmond are projected for more. Yet Hamenez is going forty picks after Jazz and almost a round after Tommy Edmund. If Jmenez reaches a fifteen to thirty season, he will easily return a top fifty overall fantasy season at one

of the worst positions to draft. At ADP eighty two on Fantasy Pros, he is one of the most undervalued players in fantasy, but the number one is Angels starting pitcher Read debt Meers. Debtmers in twenty twenty two had a fastball that was averaging about ninety three and a slider that was averaging around eighty six.

Speaker 2

Still fine.

Speaker 1

Well, this spring, we've seen a massive increase on Debtmer's fastball, which is now sitting two miles an hour higher between ninety five and ninety seven, with what also looks like a new power slider. It was eighty six before now it's pushing eighty eight to ninety one, putting this velo uptick into context for this spring Debtmers has struck out seventeen batters with a point seventy seven whip. His Fantasy

Pros ADP currently is sitting at two oh one. If Dettmers carries over his spring success, he will more than return double on his ADP and push inside the top one hundred value.

Speaker 2

He could be a league winner.

Speaker 1

He's a huge sleeper and he is the number one most undervalued player that you need to target in your drafts.

Speaker 2

That's going to do it here for.

Speaker 1

The thirteen most undervalued players you need to target. Who do you think we need to target? We'll put it in the comments section below. We love to see it here at Fantasy Pros, and make sure you join us on Wednesday for Fantasy Fest right here on Fantasy pro Subscribe to the YouTube channel, turn on the notifications and you'll get a notification right at one pm when we go live or with any of the awesome stuff we do.

Speaker 2

I'm Chris Welsh.

Speaker 1

You can find me on Twitter at is It the Wellshit of course, on all of these great podcasts and videos here on Fantasy Pros.

Speaker 2

Thank you so much for.

Speaker 1

Hanging out and we will talk to you about some more draft prep next time.

Speaker 2

By friends. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Baseball podcast. Follow us on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB, and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB.

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