Hello friends, and welcome back to Fantasy Pros. I'm Chris Welsh, and today we're talking about the twelve players that experts are drafting. Now before we get all experty, how would you like to win a free one year premium upgrade to everything Fantasy Pros has to offer right Well, all you've got to do is subscribe to the Fantasy Pros MLB YouTube channel right now and then comment on this
video that we're doing below, and that is it. Whether you're looking for custom mock drafts, salary cap draft tools, or in depth analysis of your fantasy performance, Fantasy Pros Premium has the tools to help you win. Unlock the most powerful fantasy tools in the industry. You don't want to wait for the giveaway. Sign up today at fantasypros dot com, slash premium and start playing smarter, not harder. Who are the experts drafting? Well, I might have a
little insight on that, so let's take a look. Coming in at number twelve, Diamondbacks outfielder Corbin Carrol, no surprise, the masses would flock to the fastest man in base a three point six six to ninety feet Corman. Carroll's ADP is rising, but it's because the industry wants the next big thing. Carrol's ECR on Fantasy Pros currently is seventy six with a high of forty six, but since March first over in the NFBC, Carrol has a fifty
six ADP and a high of thirty six. Carrol's projected for thirteen homers and twenty one stolen bases on Batex projections, but as a leadoff hitter for the Diamondbacks and a new contract which lessens the risk of him being sent down, experts are jumping on the opportunity to get a first round talent in the fourth or fifth so even though the price is rising, it hasn't stopped any experts. In fact,
it's because of them. Number eleven Padres starting pitcher Joe Muskrove. Now, prior to Musgrove's injury, he was going around the seventies. Muscrove fractured his toe and then his ADP fell down into the late nineties or even in some spots the one hundred range. His recovery, though, has been quick, and it's possible he misses only one to two starts in season.
Musgrove is projected for a mid three ERA and a huge rise in wins on the bat to twelve wins even though his innings are just sitting at under one seventy. This isn't an arm injury scare, which would usually make experts run for the hills. In this case, they're taking advantage of the value. Musgrove has an ECR high of sixty, and if healthy, he'd be going two rounds higher than he currently is. Number ten Royals first baseman Vinnie pass Quantino.
The top end of first base is weighted to the big guys, then there's a big drop off that starts to happen, and that's why Vinnie pas Quentino has become a huge industry target. Past Quentino's projected the six best batting average on Steamer at first base and one of only three first basemen projected for twenty plus homers and a two seventy five batting average or higher. The other two first basemen you ask, Freddy Freeman and Vlad Guerrero Junior.
Vinnie hit two ninety five with ten homers in seventy two games in twenty twenty two, and with the low strikeout risk and high contact skills have made him an expert target for almost every team. Number nine Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan. Adding velocity is like the core ingredient for spring training hype for pitchers. Joe Ryan has done just that while also throwing a new slider that's ingredient.
Number two. Ryan has a one thirty four ECR and Fantasy Pros, which is a plus nine differential between his ADP, so the ranks are going higher than where he's actually being drafted. He also has a rank high of ninety one, which that's actually higher than Nick Lodolo. Projections are incredibly favorable. That actually looks similar to Joe Muscrow's numbers just in a few less innings post one hundred. Starting pitchers are an expert secret recipe, and Joe Ryan seems to be
one of those core pieces. Number eight Tampa Bay Ray's outfielder Randy A. Rosarana. No one was more electric in the later rounds of the day WBC than Randia rose Arena. I will always remember that catch and then the mean mug. He's coming off of a twenty thirty home under stolen based season in projections, believe he's going to grow off of those numbers. The bad x has him hitting the exact same amount of homers twenty again, but he's up to thirty five stolen bases, which is six in all
of baseball and third among outfielders. A thirty five ADP seems to be a home as that's his Fantasy Pros ECR and his NFBC ADP since March first. The difference is people are reaching to get their guy. The highest pick in NFBC in that same period was twenty three overall, and one ranker on Fantasy Pros has put a rose Arena at eighteen overall. His combination of solid batting average and big counting stat numbers have made him a target
for everyone. He becomes even more priority when experts start taking big power hitters early on with stolen bases, like Vlad, Freddy Freeman, or Austin Riley. That's why you and every somebody else wants Randy or Rosarina. Number seven Astros starting pitcher Christian Javier. Everybody is looking for the next Spencer Strider, and the answer for many experts is Christian Xavier. Like Strider,
Javier is a mainly fastball slider pitcher. Javier had an eleven point seven to four K per nine in twenty twenty two, which he sported with a two point five to four ERA in one hundred and forty eight innings. If his innings can push to one point eighty, Javier's skill set could make him a top five sp in Fantasy baseball in twenty twenty three. He has a Fantasy pros ECR Rank Expert Consensus ranking of fifty four. That is a six plus differential from his ADP, so it's higher.
He's also going fifty two on NFBC with a high of twenty five. If you want control thera on a great team with big strikeouts, like many experts, you want to look at Christian Javier. Who else are experts targeting? We've got more of that in just one second. But first, I love live events, but I hate buying tickets. The hidden feests suck, Customer service is terrible, and coordinating with
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your first purchase. Check out fanimal and experience more. Now to more players that experts are targeting that you need to know. Number six Blue Jays closer Jordan Romano. The loss of Edwin Diaz to the closer pool is going to be felt across all closers. Where Emmanuel Clausse jumps to the top spot and then Josh Hater is right behind him, Jordan Romano meets up middle ground still for so many wanting to jump into the upper tier closure pool. Romano saved thirty six games with a two pine one
ERA in twenty twenty two. This coming year, he steps back into an uncontested closer role on a team that should provide plenty of opportunities in the Blue Jays, but not at the same cost as those top guys. Even with the loss of Edwin Diaz current fifty seven ECR versus his ADP, the rank is actually an eight plus deferential, so eight spots higher than his ADP is where the consensus rank is going. He's also got a high draft
point of thirty five. That's the one that really wants closers, where you take those first couple closers though you're passing on incredible hitters, and that's why Romano allows you a better roster build while getting a lockdown closer. And that is why experts are targeting Romano instead of jumping in at the very very tippy top number five Cardinals outfielder,
Yes Lars Newbar. I have been beating the drum about Lars Nubar this entire offseason a lot due to his continued work at Drive Line with hopes to optimize more barreling into those big evs. That is what he's done over the last two years, going to Drive Line, learning to hit the ball harder. This year it's been all about taking those hard evs and barreling them. This has all led to him becoming an expert favorite to fill
out one of those outfield spots. The position itself kind of falls off in later rounds, and that's why it's exciting when you could find twenty homers and ten stolen bases post one p fifty. His overall ECR still sits at one eighty four, which is crazy to me, but with a high of twenty nine. Though if I'm being fair, that twenty nine on ECR might be me. He's a secret weapon. Most experts and analysts, though, are trying to get shares of in every draft, even if they're not named.
Chris Welsh coming in at number four is Dodgers' first baseman Freddy Freeman. Most first round picks aren't relative to the draft position we as drafters own, but near the back end of the first round, or in a perfect world, the start of the second is where everybody wants Freddy Freeman. His power dipped a little bit last year, but he made up for it with a career high thirteen stolen bases and the second best batting average of his career
at three twenty five. The term safe gets thrown around a ton, but there might not be a safer overall pick than Freddy Freeman. As Batex projections have him hitting three h five with twenty five homers, eleven stolen bases, and ninety nine runs with ninety five RBI. He's the highest player on this list, but once you get outside the top ten overall players, he's the guy that every expert is staring at. Number three. Angels outfielder Taylor Ward.
Remember all the things I said about Lars Neubar a little bit ago, Well, take all of that and now put it in overdrive. That's Taylor Ward. I can safely say that he is the expert's expert pick of any player outside the top one hundred. Ward has an eleven plus positive differential between his ECR and his ADP, so that ECR rank is way higher than where he's actually going. If you take out catchers on Fantasy Pro's ECR, which those can be ranked a little bit higher for NFBC
pushes them up or two catcher leagues. Only one other player outside the top one hundred has a higher individual rank than Taylor Ward. That person, by the way, is Glavor Torrez. Ward is projected for close to twenty five homers and ten stolen bases with a great batting average. I expect to see quite a few shares myself of Ward in the coming weeks. Number two is brave starting pitcher Spencer Streider. So how about the next Spencer Strider
being Spencer Stryder. The conversation for Strider this year isn't really about will he repeat, but will he have the innings to become the number one pitcher in all of baseball? Strider had an over thirteen k per nine and no pitcher had less innings with two hundred plus strikeouts than Stryder, and I think that's by about forty innings. Hear a lot of people talk about how if Jacob de Gram pitches one hundred and forty innings he is the best
pitcher in baseball. Well, many experts are taking the injury risk out that de Gram has and saying I'll take my chance with de Gram. Light in Spencer Strider. He currently has a twenty six ECR with an ADP on NFBC since March first of twenty five, which all has been an increase as the drafting season has gone on.
If you can get Strider in the late second or early third round, you'll be walking hand in hand with what many experts are doing, and that leads us to the number one guy that all experts want a draft Number one Rangers shortstop Corey Seeger. Seeger was one of the ten most shifted players in all of twenty twenty two. He also just happened to have a career low babbit of two forty two, which, by the way, it had
never been under three hundred in his career. Secer saw a seventy point increase also in his wOBA when he was not shifted on, which is why so many experts and drafters alike are storming to draft Corey Seeger this year.
Now that the shift is banned. His current forty two ECR has a plus six differential versus his ADP, So again, this is a guy ranked higher than where he is going, and that forty two is also shown how rankers have become more aggressive versus even what's happening over in the NFBC, which is just about a full round higher than the
average NFBC ADP. Shortstop feels deep, but there's a lot more risk near the end, and that's why many are trying to acquire this thirty plus home run hitter at shortstop who is a great batting average, And that's why Corey Seeger is the number one player experts are drafting. And those, my friends, are the twelve players that experts
want in their leagues. Corby and Carrol, Joe Muskrove, Vinnie Pasquentino, Joe Ryan, Randy Roseraina, Christian Xavier, Jordan Romano, and then that top five large new bar Freddie Freeman, Taylor Ward, Spencer, Strider, and Corey Seeger. Who do you think the experts are wrong on? Or who do you love the most? You can go to the YouTube channel and you can comment. When you do so, you might also get yourself eligible to win that premium upgrade to Fantasy Pros when you
do so, as long as you're also subscribed. Friends, I'm Chris Welsh and you can find me on Twitter at is it the Welsh to say, like all the nice things and shower me with praise. If you have something mean to say, find me on my other Twitter, Joe Piece of PS seventeen. All right, that'll do it for me, but I'll talk to you guys next time right here on Fantasy Pros. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros
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