MLB: Leading Off May 9th, 2023 (Ep. 665)

Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Bros. MLB. This is Leading Off Live, brought to you by Fries. Pick sign up today or prize picks and use that promo code leading Off. When you do, it's me Joey p Joe Piezabia. That of course is the Welsh and it's you and you know it's gonna be a hot show when the chat is going before the show even starts. There was like thirty messages in the chat before we even started the show today. I love that. And here's the best one.

Do you think you can like logistically mail a fart? You think you can like put it in like a bag and like it opens up. It's not gonna make the sound, of course, but do you think the uh aesthetic of a fart can really be mailed?

Well, I guess here's the thing.

I mean, asking for a business venture, this is a business venture.

I think what you do is you have to have the hybrid where I think perhaps you you send something in the mail that's smelly, and then at the same time you send an email and you ask the person to open both of them up at the same time, and then the other email has like a you know, the sound of one, so you're getting the full experience at the same time. It's a lot, it's very complicated, I think from.

That, No, No, I think I think it's like similar to like saving the ocean the ocean air, you know, being at the beach and being like bottle up the ocean. You can just bottle up a good old fart and send it to the lancelid pick her up or or you know there's a company out there too that I don't know if you know this that you can send like elephant poop to people. You're gonna see that what a world we live in.

So the you know, those are your options. So washing your farts and starts very very closely. This is why you tune into the show. Nobody's having as much fun as we are talking off baseball, the X plug of you know, Shell hal Coney. At this point, it's been slightly disappointing. Well, should I have to say, no, that's not this show. We're not gonna do that. We're gonna talk kind.

Of on the other extreme of it that we're talking about fart.

Literally let off with a fart thing this morning. But whatever, it's fine, but we're gonna lead off with a lot of other good things. Zach gallon Ouhi that the investment in saw Young's looking pretty good right now. Seven innings, one run. Great performance from him. By the way, he was also part of that trifecta yesterday. If you had the parlay of the day again, you hit again yesterday two and a half to one. So I hope you're following this show. I hope you're with us at Betty.

There were some good bets yesterday. Who was it in the chat that was dogging me about my I was like, I like the White Sox total runs. I kind of like the first five over in that game as well, and they're like, no, no, both hit absolutely both.

We'll find pretty much everything but Brown hold them out. Yeah, Hunter Brown. The only thing that Hunter Brown was disappointing other than that.

And Unter Brown and Byby stunk, but like isab mitched.

Kelley specifically didn't make investment in Bibby because whenever it comes to young pitchers, I know there's always these weird bumps in the road, like Gracy Rodriguez, Right, he looked great a couple weeks ago in his first win, and he threw up like it was worst start right after this.

Funny enough, remember actually went up hardcore because when we did the show, it was four and a half and it jumped up to five and I jumped off. I didn't because I did some of my stuff after the show and it went to five five and a half, and I was like, that'll happened?

What the hell happened to this?

Because I think everybody was hitting four and a half, so I think a lot of people got burned by that, but not by Zach Allen, who was also in your parlay and my individual that total, it was a month I'm in bad continues to be awesome, by the way, eleven swinging misses in that one, even though it was a little messy early on, he looks like the dude. He had eight whiffs on the fastball thirty two percent. He had an overall thirty one CSW thirty one percent CSW magnificent.

Look. Baseball betting sometimes is just not that deep. I mean I looked for who the A's were playing, Oh, the Yankees, and Nester Cortez, well, that's a check. I look for Zach Gallon start, that's a check. And Shane McClanahan start against the Orioles. Check. You put the three together, you turn yourself around, and next thing you know, you're winning money. That's what you do. Here's a here's a good one.

Here.

This is a Brett Anderson. Mail him some fots some Brandon fought. Just mail him a Brandon Fott card.

There you go that Yeah, well actually uh, Conka said that like you know, like those music cards where it's like uh and it's like.

Very just Here's a great question, by the way, from Bill Schmidt, how much longer are we holding Jordan Walker? And ToJ Bradley and Redraft, I'm holding Taj for a while like I'm not you know, you know, his pitchers continue to drop like flies. I know, Glass now is coming back. But I'm holding Tosh Bradley. Walker is more complicated now with this Contrera situation. That's my only thing. And now that he's clogging up d H. I know Gorman hasn't been hitting. I got some questions on Twitter

Bradley is really tough because there's a couple of things with it. He has gotten uh, he's gotten litty. His last two starts after being sent down, it has not been good. I'm trying to pull it up here.

Uh. That bothers me zero percent. It bothers me some.

He's given up four earned run. He gave up foreign runs in his last start. The one before that he gave up it looks like eight. Yeah, it was eight.

He gave up.

He alimated out one inning, walk two, struck out two. Then he gave up four, walk three, struck out one. Here's the other problem. He's still on a six day schedule. He's not even on the five day schedule thing yet, which.

Is it's not about because I don't think it was ever about that. I think it was a service time manipulation. Nonsense.

That's thing that that is Jordan Walker. By the way, so tomorrow is the day Wednesdays of the day where if they bring him up, he can still qualify for the extra pick if he were to win Rookie of the Year. If they don't, he loses a full year of service and they gain an extra year. So he's

Why I want to I even look at the breakdown of what his pitches have been. But I get I guarantee you if it's like ninety percent fastballs, it's like just go get your work in, you know, just you know, let's let's not try to.

I'm gonna do that today. I haven't done it yet, but I'm going to go back and look at what his pitch mix is versus what the last two triple A starts are, because that's exactly it. I want to be like, have they been telling him we want you to do this thing right here and that's causing some of the blow up. So I just don't know what this management is of it. So it's like, listen, if you've got option. My biggest thing is always this, if you have options, I think both you could move on

I'm holding those guys to Memorial Day. You got plenty of time there, especially in season long leagues. Let's get to more headlines. Shane McClanahan four hit ball for six innings. He was great. We talked about him. Mitch Keller, wells you were on this yesterday, prize Pickin' and Styland and profile and how good is Mitch Keller? Wow, eighth phenomenal. K's one walk He's now four and one. It's tremendous. Mitch Keller. I mean, and I like Mitch Keller's personality too.

Yeah, I think so this was that Actually this was a move a couple of weeks ago when I was out here talking about how Jos Sware is the worst pitcher in baseball, and then he pitched like the best game ever. He turned back into a pumpkin. He did exactly what. He got hurt, unfortunately, but seven and runs, two and two thirds. Still Seth was was a guy that was like dominating in the miners. They brought him up to kind of be the long relief guy, and

That's a tough one. I'm gonna say no because of what my eyes saw with TODJ. Bradley, I'm gonna say no.

I don't think that's quite the move, my boy. I would I with Mitch Keller though.

Yeah, here's Mike Patton. Mike Patten's funny Joe can't say half the names. Joe's dumb. Yeah, that's right, because.

Joe I like how he's drags. I'm very no, he's dracts Mike Patten's draft track. Nothing goes over my head. It's my reflexes are too nat.

There's a lot of names in my head. I didn't give it tie. You know, I do cover baseball, I do cover football. I do cover college football. You know it's it's it's a tougher thing than you realize.

My brain, my brain one hundred percent switches players. Sometimes I will say football name for a baseball player. That's just that's how it goes.

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I know a lot of people that struggle with your name, by the way, a lot of.

The Leading Tower of Pisa. It's not that hard. I mean, let's continue on. Franmil reyes DFA by the Royals, only twenty seven years old, and he was terrible this year. This is such a perplexing one because when he landed in Cleveland, a couple of years ago Welsh he started to really pop and we're like, yeah, okay, friend Mill is gonna be that big boy d H kind of thing. He's gonna go smack thirty homers every year. Maybe I'll hit two fifty.

But remember me last year, I was like, fran Mil might hit forty, Like he's gonna tap it, and you.

Just didn't launch what happened to Franmil. This is one where I just I can't understand it because usually you don't see it happen a player of this age. You know, usually twenty five twenty six year old guys when they start going, well, it doesn't fall off the map. It's weird that he's twenty seven and it's just he's getting DF eight at this point. It's very strange. So I

Yeah, I think what it is, and I would this would be another thing to like go and research if we really wanted to. But I think he was being pitched a certain way for a long time, and I think the league has started to adjust. You also can see new trends, you know what I'm saying. There's more splitters and more sweepers and stuff, and he doesn't have the acumen to adjust to these, and it's completely falling apart.

Be free. Not a big Drew Waters guy, but we'll see. By the way, we got to talk about this too, because I know this is hot in the chat too. Earlier, Mason Miller write elbow tightness. Yikes, this is not good. Why does this happen? Why do good things always go bad? So quickly in Major League Baseball feels like this is like the one bright spot for the A's. So obviously, the concerned level whenever you have a Nobow issue is high. So I mean, there's no other way to talk about it.

Are you saying to drop Mason Miller for him?

I am, because he pitches for the A's anyway, and if Silseeth's going to keep this rotation spot for any length of time here, which it seems like there's a good chance he does, then what are the range of outcomes? Or Mason Miller news is good Welsh.

I mean, that's a great way to put it too. That's maybe the best way to put it right there, is what are the range of outcomes? My biggest miss on him the whole year was like the thirty innings, Like I didn't see how he was going to go bonkers and what they were going to stretch him to, so kind of this whole time as he's been pitching, I'm like, yeah, this is really fun. But how much are we going to get now you throw on this arm issue? They should baby living crap out of him.

Drop until I get devastating image of like you on a mountain side releasing Mason Miller with his wings and five or you know those things where they like release something and then like a bird comes out of nowhere and snatches it and then yeah, like.

A hawk, Yeah exactly are scary, by the way, But I don't I think I'm a little and lesser. Okay, unless there's a cool option sitting out there, I don't want to be reactive quite yet, okay, because there's discomfort that was felt and that pushed off. If there's a good option, I think you can be a little bit more pushy about it. If it's kind of dicey. Then I'm just gonna hold for just a second and then maybe I can put him on the eye l and maybe I'm not.

I'm gonna make the move now. I'm gonna make the move now if there's something there, and I'm gonna be proactive, not reactive, and look at what's worst it can happen. Mason Miller goes on the aisle for fifteen days, comes back and he's fine, and then he's still pitching for the A's. Like that's the thing, Like Mason mill is really good. This is Redraft obviously dynasty, totally different situation.

That's like a ten team league. Like yeah, but I'm still not.

I'm still not even in that scenario. More news too, that's really some interesting stuff going on. So Casey Schmidt got called up from Triple A today. This just happened like like an hour ago. You broke it to me.

I hadn't even say I broke it to Welsh.

Which never happens. Usually it's the inverse uh hitting three thirteen, three fifty two lbp just a four to ten slugging. So as Welsh was, you know, giving me the profile, this is a guy who's gonna hit for bating average, make contact, not a big power guy necessarily only as one homer does have a couple of stone bases though three steals thirty two games. The Pirates are calling up Josh Pelasios from Triple A as a guy he's been up and down a little bit before he was a

Sure, but he's also been very vocal recently about talking about how the speed of the game is going to cause more injuries and he's worried about it. This could be kind of part of that whole thing. I think because nobody got hurt in baseball the last five years. Yeah, but it's pretty bad right now. But again, we always need a meter though, because it's recency. It's like every time we do this, I do it every single year, we're like, oh my god, are there are more injuries

Track remember the number of people on the I L and the number the dollar amount paid to those players on the IL with something astronomical number. We did it every so often, but I'm sure you can look at just from now till like May first in twenty twenty

Yeah, no, absolutely, one of the better players in the minor leagues. They even acknowledge it. He's a speed option, good power option. Contact has been a little bit of the issue, but he's a total pickup in this.

Case, total pickup. He's so dreamy, totally So besides the mac Suerzer news, also good news. Finally Corey Seeger being that rehab assignment on Thursday, so that's important. We finally got Travis darnoback you know, difficult stuff there for the concussion protocol and then iron Judge will return today. Rejoice against the Athletics. Here's a fun one, the Mets, who have a giant deficit of catcher since Omar Nevas got on the il Gary Sanchez.

Now, Sanchez, time for your bullets.

Am I excited about this?

No?

Do I understand it? Yes, Tomas Nito can't hit water if he fell out of the boat. He's a great defensive catcher. And Sanchez looks a little overmatch right now. I think I'm Sanchez Alvarez, pardon me. It won't be a matter of time before Sanchez looks overmatch. But Alvarez overmatched as well, So I'm not taking too much out of this, but if you're in a two catcher league and he's floating out there, there might be opportunity here, so you might stash him and see what's going on. Uh,

Was perfect through six And gonna maybe say it, but had you checked out the trade video last week, maybe a mister Logan Gilbert was at the very top of that trade list and he got Now, he did get whacked around after he lost the perfect game, a load of the bases up, but he was phenomenal in the

Uh, here's a good question, actually, Razor, you know, asked what is Rule five? And I know some people really, you know, some like casual baseball fans really don't get what that is. Rule five draft has a lot to do with the forty man rosters. So basically, if a player is I don't know, if it's out of options with their club.

It's being three years, five years with the organization. What's what's wacko for a lot of people is when you see guys that are like twenty years old and you're like, what or more from.

At sixteen or something like that.

Guys that signed at sixteen years old and they've been with that organization that long five years, You've got to be on the forty man roster. If the guy's not placed on the forty man roster, then they become a Rule five eligible, which means the team can draft them, but they have to keep that person on their major league roster and if they don't, they have to return them to the team or they can like buy the player. It's really weird an odd It's one of baseball's mini odd like and wel were's.

Been some great guys. Joan Santana, I remember, was a Rule five guy. Josh Hamilton because of obviously the drug issues and you know other things, he ended up being a Rule five guy. Shane Victorino was a Rule five guy. Dan Augla who had a lot of good seasons there for the Marlins. He was a Rule five Nestra Cortes. Oh, that's interesting. George bell I did not Wow, that's that's one I did not see on this list. But yeah, we have some quality players over the years who've been

Yeah, it's funny. And also I continuously think about as I do because I don't let things go. Was that very first game where he was awesome and lots of tweets about like, oh as your Dylan cease now and he has kind of been mediocre this entire time through. I think Gila might be down a little bit. It's the way he commands the pitches. He's a he's a walk machine, and he's given up a lot more runs. He's getting away with a lot less stuff. It ain't good.

Start might I'll say it right now. If he is right now, well, look he's going to be more valuable when all said and done. In draft capital, Dylan Cez was going as a top ten ish starting pitcher. Lucas Gelito was at what twenty four, twenty five. I want to say in ADP overall, I.

Mean from a value perspective, value perspective, right now, g Aledo makes more sense. But yeah, I mean, and looking here, Dylan Ceese is getting smacked around. If you guys want your big differences here, this is probably the biggest one hard hit percentage. He had an awesome so he was controlling you know, how guys were making contact last year top seven percent of the league in hard hit percentage only thirty one percent last year. This year bottom three

It ain't good. And you can pick your friends and you can pick your prizes, but you can't pick your friend's prize picks. So you gotta do it yourself, which means you gotta go to Prize Picks, download the app or go to prize picks dot com. Use that promo code leading off, and you get one hundred percent to pause a match up to one hundred dollars. Welsh, what do you have for the people today?

Oh right, I've got four plays for you today, even though I don't like a lot of the bets today, I don't have a bunch of bets.

I do like. The last two days were much better Monday.

Yeah, So I'm gonna not try to overdo it today. But here's what I've got. Houston Angels, no run first inning, frambur and show Heyo Tani. I'm gonna obviously you're gonna have the big dogs in there, but I'm gonna play that one. Logan Webb Fantasy Square thirty two and a half. It's a good matchup, and I believe he's hit this

Tread lightley, but still be ready. Now let's continue on with my prize picks for the day too. I'm gonna keep this one pretty simple. Max Sure's are under six and a half picture strikeouns. I see what I did there, and this is before this other I just read about the news. Now, the problem is if he doesn't start, obviously, this is gonna be Yeah. If he starts. This is a great one. Yeah, please get in there now, MOOKI.

I'm only got two plays currently that I'm jumping into. Again, yesterday was pretty good on any of the totals and stuff like that. So my two plays are Arizona Miami, so the Diamondbacks and the Marlins. First five so through the first five innings four and a half overruns, so

Those are my I'm staining away from that game today that I don't like those four outcome games, that it'll always scare the crap out of me. Maybe you take the under in that game. Maybe that's the best way to approach that one potentially.

Feels a lot better too.

Kevin Cotrell here in the Chat and the Penis and cracker Jack, saying, I really wish I did more research on Ceas before I drafted him. Kevin, this is why you subscribe to the MLB channel here in Fantasy pros because I don't know if there was a show where Welsh didn't say how much he did not like Dylan C's going in, like, I really don't it was Corbyn Kenall is the greatest player that ever lived and Dylan ces is the worst. I'm pretty sure that was. I just have an entire off season, right.

It's like that scene in Guardians where it's like you're missing a few key details, but for the most part, as far that's it.

That was a great line too. Well, you know what else is great? So rare So rare dot com is amazing. Go to Fantasypros dot com slash collect to sign up today for so rare uh and build and manage your own fantasy baseball teams just like a pro. It's the ultimate fantasy baseball platform where you can actually own your cards and win or lose your cards of yours so you could buy, sell, trade, scout, do the whole thing. Fantasypros dot Com slash Collect play so rare MLB today.

Donnie was killing me. If people have noticed it, my shirt has been bugging me. It's like Welsh has fixed his collar today more than Rodney Dangerfield, no respect, no respect. My shirt has been driving button nuts. I can visually look at it like the shirt we got.

One hundred and something. You know, got a overwhel over one hundred and fifty people watching live right now. Maybe you take another button down. It goes up to one eighty.

Well I did see no, I had the button down, but like the shirt was falling. It was just driving me nuts. So if you guys were wondering what the hell I was doing, it was just absolutely driving me crazy. Which intern drove you crazy? Home runs drive me crazy because I want them to get out. I wanted Julio.

Yes, the numbers just went up. By the way, when you all right, let's go there we go eating off all.

Right, farts in a jar and unbuttoned in the shirt. Today, I'm gonna go with Peter Loss. You probably could tell where I was going to go that I should don't. I don't really know where to feel out any of this stuff. There's a little part of it. And also that looked at Jazz Chisholm with Brandon Fott homers. Brandon Fought gives up a lot of homers, so there might be a play with the Marlins. That's again me being like, but I'm gonna go with beat Alonzo going up against Cincinnati.

Yeah, still behigh. I get the six today, that'd be good. Here's one from Chris in the chat. How long are we holding Matt Mervis for? Have been striking out a lot since he's been up. Look, this is what you gotta do. You gotta just be patient with these kids, Like this is if you can sit him, you sit him. You wait till he shows you a little bit of life.

You can't pick up any of these guys and be frustrated after five games, like you just gotta roll. Like my if I'm going to invest in any of these rookies, if it's a hitter, you gotta do minimum two weeks. You got to not even think about what's going on after two weeks. You really, especially with bigger prospect names, you should commit to like a month pictures. You got to get like three or four starts, you know, like

Yeah, the one other thing too wonky was questioning if anybody knows who Rodny Dangerfield is in this chat, and that would make my hard reference if he didn't the references in here. Yeah, but I will say this, if you don't go watch Back to School. It absolutely holds up. It's still hilarious. I think I'll watch it, like a year ago. It was one of my favorite movie. I remember as a kid being taken to that movie when

Gonna hate about me School.

School.

I just don't recall I wasn't my most memorable Rodney Dangerfield movie. This is very nineties of me is natural born killers. When he plays what's her Name is?

Dan? Some people saying lady bugs, I mean Caddy Shack. He's brilliant in I mean, of course he would be Caddy Shack. That I wonder about what you're doing with your life. But another easy money him and Joe PESHI that's a fun.

Great group. My actually favorite thing about Rodney Dingerfield is I'm a big comedy guy. I listened to lots of comedy podcasts. I like hearing comedians relive their experiences with Rodney Dangerfield. That's actually my favorite intertwining with Dangerfield because a lot of people have had time with him and funny interactions and the roads.

And he was such a great supporter of comedians, which was so cool, Like so many careers launched because of him. In that nightclub he owned where you know, he gave people shots and opportunities. So there you go, and we appreciate you giving us a shot an opportunity every single day. Here and again. Subscribe to Fantasy Rose MLB Welsh's trade video Is it out yet? Where? It's coming out soon any minute now, could be tomorrow. The Waiver Wire video, So get on that subscribe today. I see we're up