You are now about to witness the strength of fantasy knowledge Fantasy Sports Radio Network. You are now tuned into the Speeds and Spitting Statistician on Fantasy Freestyle up next on that cipher on the microphone. You know that I'm one of the best. Yet, Martinez, you know what it is.
It's your point, Dame Martinez, a k A. Speeds a k A. To Spitting Statistician a k a. The stable Genius and vocal Minority, And welcome to another edition of the Fantasy Freestyle right here on the Sports Grid Network, episode number four hundred and seventeen. It is the four hundred and seventeen convening of the Stats Overbeat Cipher where we help you win your league and win that cash.
And that's what we're gonna do, getting into week eleven of the Fantasy Football season, the NFL season, the DFS season, always for you to win your leagues and win their cash. We got a good show for you as well. People already worrying about what's gonna happen three shows from now, I got you don't worry about that alright, Episode four seventeen. To be quite honest, Episode four seventeen to a guy whose birthday is April seventeen, is also very very exciting.
But in any event, here's what we're gonna get through to day like we usually Joe, Okay, we will talk about in week eleven. I'll give you the news and notes, the updates, the injuries, everything you need to know about going into week eleven in terms from a health perspective. Right then we will look in week eleven, we'll look at the home dogs, We'll look at the double digit dogs. We'll see if any of those are diamonds to bet with or a little fool gazzy to forget about. Then
we will talk DFS. Okay, there's some interesting nuggets out there, some players that I like, some people I am paying up for this week, and then I'll tell you where the bargains are, uh for you don't know, hit a little bit of DFS cast. As we go into the weekend, we will preview Thursday Night Football and we will put the fun and functional sports content the entire time. I
got a video from Danny Lee. He sent me to thank everybody for, you know, the kind of kind words out there in the chat room that we did on Monday on Veterans Day, we gotta check in on Game of Inches, and I tell you, guys, we got two real contenders. Okay, I have two contenders for Game of Inches. We'll let Danny decide if any of them are at the level of our finalists, and then uh, you know, we will check in on the stats over Beats league. Okay,
there are two dominant teams in the league. But I will also say there's a big middle right there in the playoffs, and there's some interesting matchups in week eleven, so we'll get into that as well. I gotta pull question up. There's a lot of low totals in week eleven. Okay, Bill's Dolphins, Broncos, Vikings, Bears, Rams, and then of course the j E. T S Jes Jets Jets in the Washington football team. All of these games are like forty
and a half or lower on the total. All right, So I want to know which game do you think deserves to be that low total and we'll talk about that as well. Let's get into it. Listen, here are the guys you need to know. Remember I say it every week. You gotta see how they're trending. Are they going from d NP too limited to full or are they regressing in the other direction. For example, like David Montgomery. Okay, he rolled his ankle. It looks like in Wednesday's practice
and he's d NP today. Okay, so keep an eye out on Montgomery. If it's not him, Remember Mike Davis isn't there anymore. Okay, this would be all to re Cohen can handle. So that's a very interesting thing to keep an eye on. If Montgomery can't go, Trek Cohen left and right. Um, Remember they were talking Tyler Lockett was in like the hospital, remember, but now they're saying he might not miss games. He's gonna be good to go. He's out of the hospital. So it's amazing how these
football players can make you pop off. Chris Herndon has been sent to i R with the ribs um. Drew lock is back at practice. And this is interesting because remember what the the i R. He's now back. They want to see him. Okay, he's gonna get starts. What does that mean for a guy like Courtland Sutton in the fantasy playoffs if he's breaking in a new rookie quarterback.
Something to look at. Okay, if you are one of these teams that are you know, oh, I don't know, like Jilly Dilley and John g and you're hapy to be like nine and one or if you are profiling to get to a buy, it's time to start thinking about what's gonna happen in those weeks that get We talked about some defensive matchups, but also these things in the future. Right. I talk about running backs ascending over time? Right, So what does that mean for the back that you
started the season with? Right? I talked about how some of these guys like you know, as you guys know I've been talking about, like say the Ryan Finley one. Right, what does that mean Tyler Boyd in the playoffs? What does that mean for Joe Mixon in the playoffs? I think it means different things for both of them, to be quite honest. And it's better for Joe Mixon if
you saw his usage change last week, right, Um. But another example would be if they go to Drew Lock in Denver, which I believe they will do because they gotta learn about the kid. Right. What does that then mean for a guy like Courtland Sutton in terms of the amount of targets, he gets how quality those targets are, and that's when you need him in the fantasy playoffs, So keep an eye on the thing. Guys like that. Also, the San Francisco forty Niners are veritable mash unit right now.
Matt Brita all right with an ankle. They say he may miss games. Uh, Manny Sanders is gonna be They think a game time decision with the ribs that he injured. They're hopeful on George Kittle and then Joe Staley, who was the offensive tackle, the lineman that was out a few games, came back everyone thought would be a big boost to their running game. Well he's out again. Okay, it looks like he broke his thumb. He's gonna miss some time. Watch what that means for the San Francisco
Arizona game. That is one of the double digit totals. Excuse me, one of the double digit spreads that we will be talking about a little while. Uh. In the next segment, Ty Johnson did in fact practice. Um, he's in the concussion protocol. Still, we believe him being on the field, even in some kind of you know, workout or walk through or limited capacity, is a good sign. I still think that, you know, concussions are usually a
week long injury. I don't know that they're gonna run him back out, and even if they do, I still told you in the Monday Show, I like J D mckissic in that backfield as kind of the more dynamic option, the PPR option, if you want to know the truth, Austin Hooper us with that spraying m c l. They're now calling him week to week, so keep an eye out on that. But I want to tell you, you you know we were talking about Monday. I was on Monday. Monday was an incredible, incredible game. But I don't know.
Did you catch this guy's as we went to overtime that Seattle was kind of in a position where they were gonna be good to go either way. Did you see Geno Smith on the coin toss? Listen carefully, Danny play the video and listen carefully to what Geno Smith calls and then to uh what the referee says. Check it out. Listen carefully, go ahead, Danny played the club. Nope, rewind that Danny called from the beginning, from the very beginning,
because you gotta hear Geno Smith. He calls tales, he calls tales, and then he's like to call his heads, No, it ain't. Look at Geno Smith. He's like, then, all right, I'm gonna go with it because he knew either way, right, if he lost the toss, he could be like na na, na, I called tales. But if he won the toss, he's like, all right, cool, I'm out, we got the ball, all right, cool? You know. So he was in a win win situation, and ultimately Seattle Seahawks did win that field goal winning kick.
It hurt one of our good friends friends of the show, really badly. We'll show you a little bit later in hashtag Game of Inches when we come back home Dogs, double digit Dogs, and a lot more. It's Fantasy Freestyle episode four hundred and seventeen, and your questions as well. You know what it is, y'all to sabe dilly dilly to the crew, come on back. Fantasy Free style card. NFL season is noltna so you can be on the eighth person to win one million dollars in a fanduelor
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com where millionaires are made. Welcome back, live your life, says t. I. Right here, it's been Statistician episode four hundred and seventeen of The Fantasy Freestyle where the stats over beats Cipher convenes to win their leagues and win that cash. Jennifer Henderson, we share a sign how a few days away. I like that, Jeremy, just keep both hands on the wheel, brother Man, okay, Rod and Dirty Sure, and then Ben. The two that I would pick of
those are give me Damien Williams. I think he's kind of ascended over Shady McCoy because of that fumble he had a few weeks back. And also it's gonna sound silly, Ben, but give me Brian Hill. All right. If there is no Devonte Freeman this week, then Brian Hill is gonna get all he can handle. And I'm okay with that. Keep an eye out. One of the other guys you mentioned in there is banged up. Uh, I gotta go back and check and see who it is. But um,
I would go with Damien Williams and Brian Hill. Remember to hit me up in the chat room with any questions. I try to answer them. And at the end of the show, in our last segment, we'll open up the phone lines if you want to speak directly to the spitting statistician and get on the fantasy freestyle. Could call a four four, three, six, eight, seven nine. You know what, Jennifer Henderson aries, but you're like on the Cusp girl,
But yeah, aries represent um all right. Also, before we get into the Home Dogs, real quick, listen, Alan Kaepernick is trying out Saturday in Atlanta, and um, I'm of more sable minds of this. Okay, Yeah, it's great that it's happening. I don't know that it's really a fair shake though, because it's happening on a Saturday. Like head coaches gms, they're like in other cities where their teams are. I wonder they got the list of the teams that
are gonna show up. But I don't care about the list of teams that are gonna show up because if any team had a real interest in him, and it wasn't this contrived media thing. You know what they could have done last week or the week before, whenever they knew they had interest in them. They could have called Caps people and been like, Yo, come on in, we want to work you out. It's not that difficult here. Now though they're calling the NFL to say they'll be
present at this NFL thing, I don't know. It still seems like it's not completely above board. It seems to me like the NFL is just doting eyes crossing tes c y A from whatever settlement they had. Now, I've been before on this, like, oh my god, Colin Kaepernick, yeah, you know, and listen, I still believe that he's probably one of the best sixty four or god damn it,
the nineties best quarterbacks on the planet. Right and when you think about the number of teams that have gone to their third string quarterback, right, and now this will have to this will force teams to justify because he's gonna try out, he's gonna put stuff on tape. Okay, So, for example, the Denver Broncos moving forward would have to be like, why Brandon Allen over this? Why Luke Falk Delvin Hodges over this. If he puts something on tape and does look like he's in shape, like he's ready
and could help a team. But at the same time, it's week eleven. So what are you gonna do? Sign a backup quarterback in week thirteen and invite you know the pr and all the stuff that will come with it, but you know all the drama that will come with it. I don't know that any team is going to do that,
nor do I necessarily hate that any team wouldn't do that. Right, The best thing that can happen is he shows that he can still play, and it stays in the narrative, and then somebody in the off season wants to give him a chance. I think it'll be very hard him to come in week twelve or thirteen for a team as a backup, with all the circus that would come with it. Um. But what I will also say is that Cap just turned thirty two years old, alright, he hasn't played in three years. Do I think he's still
one of the best six quarterbacks on planet Earth? Probably? All right? But this still seems fishy to me. All right, So we'll see what happens and we'll see what the workout looks like. But in any event, let's talk about real football that's definitely gonna happen. There are four I believe home dogs this week, and I'll give you my feeling on all of them. And then there are three I believe double double digit favorites this week and we'll
talk about those. So first things first, the Miami Dolphins are at home and they are getting six or six and a half points at home against Buffalo. Now here's the thing. Remember when they played in Buffalo, it was not a blowout. The other thing I'll say is Ryan Fitzpatrick is far better than Josh Rosen. The Ryan Fitzpatrick Lad Dolphins have covered five games in a row. You're
like a covering machine against the spread. And I don't know that the Josh Allen Buffalo Bills lad offense is going to put up enough points not to beat the Dolphins, but to cover and get that working margin. And that's what I say all the time. When there's a big spread and a low total. It's like if Buffalo, if they're telling you, because I think the spread is like forty and a half, what they're telling you in essence is that Buffalo is gonna win this game. What is
what they're saying? Right? So that means they have to get to twenty four and I don't know if the Bills do that. Maybe the Bills can get to twenty. But in that scenario, I think the Dolphins can get to fourteen with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center. Give me the points. But you know, I've been kind of backing Miami in these spots, right, I'll take my Miami with the six and a half points. Another one that I find interesting is Tampa Bay getting five against New Orleans. I'm gonna
tell you the truth. I'm staying away from this one. Do I think the Saints will bounce back and have a big effort in general after the you know, after the dog they laid at home against Atlanta last week? I think so. But what I also know is that teams going to Tampa and defecate the mattress all the time. And I could see Jamis slanging in in the backdoor cover kind of scenario, Okay, and I think Jamis will be throwing it. He'll probably make some mistakes, but I
think he will be throwing it. I think this could be a back door open situation. This could be a thirty you know, this could be like a thirty seven. I think this could be just like what Tampa did, uh last week. So I'm staying away from this one. Division. It's weird to me. I ain't touching this one with a ten foot pole. Um Philly at home getting three and a half against the New England Patriots. Now I know. My thing is you don't make money betting against the Patriots,
and you don't. But I'm gonna take the Eagles at home with the points in this one. Okay, remember what we've also said, even the Patriots themselves, Tom Brady up the podium and saying, listen, the offense isn't what it supposed to be. It doesn't look great. Uh, the offensive line doesn't look great. I'm still searching for weapons. They were all going out and acquiring Mohammed Sanu like he's gonna be you know the answer, right, are struggling not
they're not struggling. But you know what I'm saying that they think it's not vintage offense. And the first half of that season for New England were a bunch of cupcakes. These teams are gonna get more difficult we saw what happened against Baltimore equality team. I believe Philly is a quality team as well. I believe the air quality team who is also coming off thereby with enough time to
prepare and try and get healthy. And they have found Jordan Howard and they believe and Jordan Howard in that run game, and I said it weeks ago, people, it helps them be multiple. And what I mean by that is they're not that one dimensional team relying on just the passing game. Now that they have a running game, specifically for a game like this, I think it's really important. The Patriots, what they do all the time is try to take away what you do best. We say it
all the time. They make you try to play left handed. I believe the Eagles have now with Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders, discovered that their left hand is pretty good the run game, and so if they can ride that, I think they will hang in. I wouldn't be scared to bet them outright, to be it honest, but I'll take the three and a half points in case this is a close one. So I'll lean Philly against the Pats. And the last one's on Monday night, so We'll talk
about it more on Monday. It's the Mexico City game, Kansas City getting four against the charges. The Charges are technically the home team, you know what I mean? But when are they ever a home team? We'll talk about that more. But I do expect Patty Mahomes to bounce back a little bit. It's not like his four forty and three touchdowns was a bad game, but bounce back. I mean with a win under center Minnesota. I will lay the ten points against Denver at home. They are different,
They're right in that wild card race. I think they need it more. And Brandon Allen am I gonna trust him multiple weeks to get ws NO. I think they get a working margin on that Oakland. I will lay the points against Cincinnati. It's not against my boy RIFEI Ryan Finley, right, it's against that Cincinnati offensive line that can't protect and the Cincinnati defensive line that can't stop the run. Josh Jacobs like WHOA this week? And the last one is that San Francisco Arizona game that started
at thirteen and a half. It is now down to eleven guys, two and a half point movement. Maybe that could be because of oh, I don't know what I mentioned before. Manny Sanders probably out uh, Matt Breeda, maybe out Stanley the tackle back out Kittle, you know unknown? Right? Could that make that San Francisco offense less dynamic? Moron Jimmy g we saw what that was on Monday night and has Arizona be able to find their offense that
they could score a little bit? Remember a few weeks ago on Thursday Night football, that was no runaway San fran and Arizona. So I'll take the eleven points on that one. When we come back on the other side of the break, I take some of your questions. We look at Game of Inches. We got some good ones people, and then we will look at DFS the slate four week eleven. I think it's interesting. I got some nuggets
for you hopefully will help win some cash together. All right, So Game of Inches and DFS ideas coming up on the other side of the break. It's episode four seventeen. Hit me up in the chat room if you want, hit me up on Twitter if you want, and we'll open up the phone mines a little bit later on. We'll check in on the pole as well. Which game deserves the lower total Let me Know its Episode four seven,
Team Big shout out to the Stats Overbeat Cipher. We got friendship bread being shipped across the entire damn country by our first place team. Come on back and learn more about it. I want to light the lamp on Draff Kings and FanDuel this NHL DFS season. Then joined Daily Rodo dot Com and learn from the best daily fantasy sports players, getting updated fantasy hockey projections for NHL DFS, blind combinations, and build stacks for tournaments in the Daily
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I got some questions down there for Dexter. He's asking me two people which one I should flex. I like Jordan Howard. I just got finished telling you guys, I think Philly is going to run the ball with Jordan Howard. They found that in essence, Okay, I think Jordan Howard's a good bet to get into the end zone even against that vaunted UH. New England defense a Derek volsion of I saw you, man, but you got your game
of inches in a little bit late. Sorry, Get it into me a little bit earlier and we can make that happen. Ben has a question about Jarvis Landry, like, if you need to, and if you're in a PPR format, I'm fine with that. I will say this, okay, That Pittsburgh Stealers secondary is good, all right, is getting better obviously, the addition of Minca Fitzpatrick matters. Okay. So I like the Pittsburgh secondary generally speaking, but in a PPR format,
Landry should get some catches. I'm okay with that. I do, however, leave Ben and anybody else out there that Cleveland is going to try to establish the run with Nick Chubb tonight. The Pittsburgh past defense is good, their run defense is average. Okay. I think this is gonna be a lot of Nick Chubb tonight. And when I give him my prop bets, oh, you'll probably hear that as well. And I also got to say in the chat room, you're all talking a
little bit of TLC. You know, I'm a chili guy myself, all right, And left eye she was cute and all, but remember her tattoos with Andre because she was married to Andre Riisen. Here it is hey, um with Andre Riisen, and she had like his falcon's number and logo there. And then Andre Riisen got like traded to the Browns and she had to like cover it all right with the Browns logo. Yeah, and then she burned this house down. But that's another question or a the topic I guess
for another day. People be creeping out there, um all right. I mentioned that Derek got his Game of Inches in a little bit late, and you know, guys, as we go into Game of Inches, I had a feeling, yew, we were gonna get some good ones this week because you had that last Monday night football game. Right, you had that overtime game where a lot of things happened, and then in overtime a lot of things happened, like
this was almost a tie. Right. You had a Russell Wilson interception, you had missed field goals, You had a lot of extra production going on. I was facing Adam Ronus in a league the Grenni Street tavern. If Billy Hayes is in the chat room, he knows this, And like I said, I was facing Russell Wilson and Matt Brita. I had Tevin Coleman. I eked out a win. I'm lucky, and by the way, I'm in first place in the vaunted Grenni Street Tavern League. Billy Hayes can tell you
if he's in the chat room. I see him. We're both eight and two. But I've got like a hundred point lead on him, so we'll see. But so I was expecting some decent ones and you know y'all delivered. So the first one, Danny, I want you to put up is a recital recital um, can you put that one up? That's the one, all right? So check it out, guys, A point four victory, all right. He wins by four tenths of a point, and check it out. The winner had Russell Wilson. The loser had Tyler Lockett. Tyler Lockett
was in the middle of getting like rushed to the hospital. Okay, so you lose by point four where a guy you had gets banged out in overtime and you happen to be facing Russell Wilson, a man Scotty Wexler in the building. Scotty, check this out. Check this out. Bring up the next one, though, Bring up the next one. Danny, our boy, Christopher Ventra,
the closer in the greenwite street Taverne. Know, Scott, it gets worse because Scott, you're looking right now at the total score, right, Okay, fine, And this is my boy, Scott. He's gonna be hosting with me for in Game Live in the next hour. Gave is like, you know, strumming some guitars or whatever he's doing. Okay, Scott, that's fine, right, Damn that sucks, right, point one? That sucks. Look at the winning team, Scott, look at their field goal kicker. Yeah,
that's right. And so as you also know, Scott and everybody out there, right, like, forty yard field goals are four points. Thirty yard field goals are three points. So not only was it the last play of the week, right, like if like you know what whatever his name is, like Laura McLaughlin, it's the field goal for the Niners. It's a point, right, but no after five quarters of play, right this dude, Jason Meyers, it's a game winning field goal. So you lose by point one. And I think it
was a forty one yard field goal. So if they drive like if Russell Wilson scrambles for like another two yards and they still kicked that game winning field goal, you still win the matchup and you get this and you lose by point one, Danny, that is a hashtag game of inches. I will also tell you that a boy, Chris Venture, who suffered that loss that knocked him to five and five and in sixth place, he is in
the last playoff spot right now. So we gotta track this with ventra if at if he misses the playoffs by one game and he lost this game by a tenth of an f and point because of an overtime game winning field goal of exactly the right length. Danny, that's a hashtag game of inches. Now, I agree, it's hilarious. I don't know if I I don't know if we can let Venture be. I don't know. I don't know. I'm gonna ask my boy Scott, some of the other finalists that we have. We'll talk about it later on.
I'll see you in a minute, Scott. But listen, that's a pretty bad one. That's because it took five quarters of play and like the field goal was long enough by like two yards that he's still lost. I d M the Venture our boys shout out to the Goon squad the closer. He was loving Jimmy g that whole game, right, yeah, And so I d M them in the morning and I'm like, oh, man, bro, that's a tough one, and he was like, yeah, killer. So if you see the Venture Venture in the streets or in the chat or
on Twitter, hollatch boy, you know what it is. So I think, though, Danny, I think that one. I think the Venture Row one is a new finalist. I think it's even worse than the first one we saw with Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett involved. What do you think, Danny, I'll definitely agree with that. He's definitely definitely in the finals. And I guess this might be the first one where we have to wait and see how it exactly exactly
so right now. The fourth finalists so far perrying in week three with the Bear Sack Zack in week six on the Crosby field goal after Jamal Williams sat down UM. In week seven, Greg had the New England thing with uh James White and Sony Michelle and now Chris Ventra in week ten with the Jason Myers overtime field goal for hashtag game of inches. All right, let's turn to
page here and talk about dfs FO Week eleven. Listen, we always tell you we start by looking at the high total games, right Atlanta Carolina fifty and a half, Houston Baltimore fifty and a half, New Orleans, Tampa Bay fifty two, and then Kansas City and the charger Is on Monday Night are fifty three. They obviously are not on the main slate. So, um, I've gone back to this well a number of times. I'm going back to Jamis.
I'm going back to Jamis at quarterback. I know he throws picks, but this is a guy I think this is going to be a shootout. The total would encourage that it's the highest on the Sunday days late. And you remember these guys played like three weeks ago, all right, and Jamis he he didn't throw. He only threw for two oh four. But it's the only game in the last six that he hasn't gone over like three D three hundred ten yards. That was one of the Latavius
Murray games. This is now different. Um, you know, I think it'll be a little bit different. Back in Tampa instead of New York New Orleans sent undred. I know Jamis will continue to put it up. They're even now saying that Ronald Jones can do more in the passing game. So I'm gonna go back to the Jamis. Well, let me give you some running backs here. I've said it before. Listen, I am playing backs. I'm fading the opposing rum dfence is okay. The worst run defense in the entire NFL
is the Cincinnati Bengals. Multiple teams have run for over two hundred yards against them. Give me Josh Jacobs at eight thousand. This is an ascending rookie back. He's getting the load, he's doing stuff with it, and I will pay the eight thousand for Josh Jacobs. I think Oakland will be up, so does the point spread, So that means they will feed Josh Jacobs in the second half. I believe it's not like DeAndre Washington or anybody else, alright,
so give me just Jacobs at eight thousand. I'm also intrigued, you know, I keep on telling you this mass unit of San Francisco. Well, if there is no Matt Brida and the Arizona Cardinals are the thirty first ranked run defense in the NFL. Give me some Tevin Coleman, and Tevin Coleman is only at sixties seven hundred, so it's not as expensive as you may think because they're pricing
Breeder at around the same level. If Breeda cannot play, then I know most heart will get some of this, But this is gonna be Tevin Coleman, and I think that's a value at sixties. Remember what San Francisco can do via the run and Arizona's thirty one in the NFL against the run. I'm okay with the Jacobs Coleman combo at wide receiver. I told you jamis right. I'm gonna stack him with Godwin, all right. Listen, last time they played in New Orleans, that's when Lattimore shut down
Mike Evans. Remember that week, Mike Evans had a bagel, a squawd a zero. Right, what did they do that week? They went to Godwin instead. That week Godwin had seven for one and two touchdowns. So Godwin can light up the Saints. Marshawn Lattimore is now banged up. He may not even be there. So while you may be like, oh, that means Evans is in the thing again. Yes it does. But Evans and Godwin are the best tandem in the NFL.
So I'm okay with the cheaper one and god when I'm stacking it with Chris Godwin, I'm paying up in this same matchup for Michael Thomas, and I can fit it okay because I'm paying cheap for a tight end. I'll tell you later, Um for my third wide out. I got Michael Thomas at nine thousand. Listen, this guy has gotten eleven or more targets in his last five games. He has eleven or more targets in seven of his nine games against the Tampa Bay pass defense. It is
a luck to me. So Godwin at eight thousand, Thomas at nine thousand. When we come back on the other side of the break, I'll give you a third wide receiver and a tight end I like, and Danny, you can open up the phones. The number the call is eight four four eight four three six eight seven nine.
I finished the DFS lineup. We look at the status over Beats League and uh, Danny Lee is coming this time not from an undisclosed location, and he's got something to say to the cipher and we'll be happy to hear it, Come on back, Dilly, Dilly, I want to be the next Daily Fantasy Millionaire. Dunk on your NBA DFS competition with Daily Rotal dot Com and Dominated and
dread Kings this season. Compete with the pros with Daily Rodal dot Com optimizer and the most accurate projections in NBA DFS, plus line up alerts, breaking news, lake swap support and much more. Safe on winning NBA DFS advice with promo code Dunk. Visit Daily Rodo dot com backslash Dunk to learn more. Welcome back Fantasy Freestyle Episode four seventeen here on Sports Grade. Yeah, check us out on
Sports Grade. You know, Instagram, out on Twitter, all that stuff. Okay, YouTube, so you can get all the great content going down here. I see some callers will take y'all a little bit later on in the segments. Stay with me, guys. Uh, we'll definitely get to you later on. If you want to talk to the spitting statistician. The number to call this eight four four eight four three six eight seven nine. Um, I'm talking about wide receivers. Is one more that I
really like I wanted to get out there. Listen, look at the Carolina wide receivers. It's confusing to me, but Curtis Samuel is priced four hundred dollars more than DJ Moore unfandel this week. I think samuels like sixty three or sixty four hundred and d J Moore is at six thousand. This is against the Atlanta Falcons, they ranked past defense. This guy has had forty targets DJ Moore in the last four games. Ten targets a game. That's the kind of opportunity you like. I like the player
as well. I'm confused by this, but I think DJ more is a value at six thousand, alright, and he's even cheaper than the guy who's really the number two target and Curtis Samuel at tight end. Remember I've talked about how it's a crap shoot. It's a touchdown crap shoot. And when I look at the you know, when I look at the slate this week, Remember guys, Chargers Chiefs on Monday night, So no Kelsey, no Henry right Friday,
excuse me, um, Sunday night game. You have I think some viable players as well in the Sunday night game. Who is the Sunday night game. Let me remember that one oh Bears and rams. So like a guy like Gerald Everett is there, right, so I'm gonna listen. You got kiddled but he's on we don't know. And then it's like Andrew's Waller right, Earth's I understand, but I'm gonna go down and I'm gonna go to Eric Ebron. I'm gonna go to Eric Ebron. I remember this is
a touchdown play. Okay, this is me thinking he can get in the end zone. Still no t Y Hilton, Jacoby Brissette returning, this offense will look a little bit better. And Ibron is a big time red zone target. Okay, Funchess isn't back yet. I know Doyle caught the touchdown last time, but I'll go to Ebron. It's only fifty two d. I feel good about that. A cheap play for you guys that I like. I stuck in my flex. I mentioned it earlier in the show. It's j D mckissic,
especially if there's no Ti Johnson. J D mckissic is only fifty eight hundred on Fandel So, like Kirk Cousins, I like that all right. In the chat room, Blake is asking me about Terry McLaren and Calvin Ridley. I know McLaren has a decent matchup against the Jets, and the Jets are trash, right, blunt guts trash. But and I know they have chemistry because they plade together at Ohio State. But I'm fading Dwayne Haskins until further notice.
Like I'm not gonna ride with Dwayne Haskins unless I see it first, alright, So I'll lean to Calvin Ridley. UM in that matchup, give me Calvin Ridley. I think it's a better offense Dexter had Samuel's right now or to the San Francisco guys. For me, it's not Samuel's Dexter. For me, it's either debo or it's most start, depending on the injury situation, like if Manny's out, if Breed
is out. But I leaned to Deebo Samuel. They were utilizing him a lot Dexter, So for now, my answer is debo, although obviously the information could change as we learn more about the injuries throughout the week, and Terry, with your defensive choices, I'll go with Pittsburgh tonight. I think there's gonna be a lower scoring game. UM. The total would say so as well, I think this is gonna be a lower scoring game. All right, So we
got a couple of calls. Let me take a call real quick, right now, let's get to Mark, who is first here on the status over beat cipher. Mark I think is a returning caller. Dilley, Dilley, how can we help you when your leagues and when their cash? And into week eleven? Mark, what's going on? Jilly Dilley speeds two? Question our RB two? Okay? And then a defensive question trying to get ready for the playoffs? What's RBS for
my r r B two. I've been paying attention man so to you and I faded, you know, Ty Johnson. I picked up Benny Hill, So okay, Brian, you're right for a week two? Do I do I do Hill? Do I do Joe Mixon? Or do I put Damian Williams in there in my arms? I like Damian Williams there. Damian Williams is my answer? Yeah, yeah, on Monday night. Okay, Damian Williams. You've seen over the last few weeks, right,
he's getting more and more of the ball. If you've had him on your roster, you see he broke that big one to remember the Chargers run defense is not their strength. I would go Damian Williams. There, Mark, what's your defensive question for the rest of the year, getting ready for the playoffs? I got to pick up a tight end because Henry's on by next week. Yeah, So do I drop Do I drop Pittsburgh or do I
drop Buffalo? Mm hmm um. And this is for this week, this is for next week, for next week, for week twelve, week twelve, right when when Hunter Henry has to buy that bye week? Right, and your question is do you drop Buffalo? Well, Buffalo is at home against Denver next week. I like that matchup, whether it's Brandon Allen or Drew lock So it's probably gonna be that one. And the other one was Pittsburgh, right, Oh, with Pittsburgh as Cincinnati was brought guts trash listen, I think either one of
them is fine. I think either one of them is fine. When in doubt, I leaned towards the home team, and that would be Buffalo, meaning I would drop Pittsburgh given the matchup. But I don't think you can go wrong either way. Alright, Mark, thanks for the call. Okay, all right, thank you brother. Anytime and up next we have an obvious friend of the show returning back now is our boy Connor, and Tampa was going on, Connor, how you doing? Brother man? You know what I mean? How you doing?
I got to question? I run him back to just like so, um the point PR? Would you ever to play Rogo or Oftener? Am my RB two whom Ronald Jones, Rojo or Austin Ekeler? Give me Eckler, Give me Eckler because it's PPR, because he'll get catches. You know in the Kansas City, they're gonna be up there. That's gonna be a shootout, all right, so will Ronald Jones is game, But give me Eckler. I like that offense better. And I think in the PPR format you'll get more production
in the passing game? What else you got? Real quick? Connor? And um, real quick, We're gonna be a pin on the trade that it's made. So the point TVR I traded away. Devin Semetery and Mike work love it pretty good. I love it. I got absolutely I love it. Yeah, I absolutely love it. You get Davonte Adams And here's the thing with single um with Singletary also like he's a little ascending. Fine, but you just said you're not starting him anyway. Okay, So getting the Davante Adams. I
love that deal. And as always, Connor, thanks for the call. We got some more stuff to get to. But remember you can call in any time, brother man. Thank you all right. So, um, if more calls come in Danny, let me know. We'll we'll we'll take care of those. But I definitely wanted to listen. We know about the status with beat cipher. You know, the chatroom was talking about sending friendship bread across the country. We'll look at
the league in a second. But um, Danny, we played the Danny Lee interview from the last year, Um, you know, at the undisclosed location, and our boy Danny decided to respond back, and he wanted to give a quick note to the cipher. He's not in the chat room all the time. He was there, I think earlier in the show. But um, Danny recorded a brief message, uh, not only to me, okay, but to the entire cipher and uh, Danny, let's play. Uh, let's play at least the first half
of it. Now. Remember he's back here, He's not in the undisclosed location. He's back stateside with his daughter and we appreciative of it. And uh, he had some nice words here for the Status of Beats Cipher. Let's run it. That's good, Danny, that's good. Um, So thank you again to Danny Lee. Remember, guys, and if you're new to the Status of Beats Cipher, Danny Lee is a member the Status of Beat Cipher who was in active duty okay at a quote unquote undisclosed location and would still
get on to check us out make his plays. We interviewed him. Uh, he's a real big part of the cipher. His daughter bouncing around to the Baby Shark song. So that's the kind of community we got here. And thank you Danny again for your service, for everything you do and recording those kind words. Uh, to the stats over beat Cipher. Um. With the couple of minutes that we do have left, let's talk about Thursday night football, which
is about to kick off. And by the way, here next hour and for the next four hours, you'll have uh, you know, you have Scott Westler holding it down. Johnny the Greek is gonna be here early on. I'm gonna be holding it down for the first quarter or so. Because you know, then yeah, and then I gotta go home and get some sleep because I'm on air again at seven a them right, burning the candle at both ends. Um, so we're gonna be breaking it down. Here's what I think,
all right. I think this game is I think both teams are going to try to run the ball. Okay, Pittsburgh Secondary, Minka Fitzpatrick and the crew, they are good, Okay, their run defense is average. I think this is gonna be Nick Chubb getting the ball three times. Okay, Kareem Hunt's gonna get like three carries and like seven targets, But this is gonna be Nick Chubb. So, first of all, I like the Nick Chubb over seventy nine and a half yards. I think they will be running the ball.
I also think that because both of these teams I hear it's like ten fifteen wins out there, I think both teams are gonna really try to feel each other out and run the ball. I am on the first half under in this game. I got it at twenty and a half. It has since in some places gone down to twenty. I like it at twenty and a half.
I'm I'm okay with it at twenty alright, So the first half under to me, this profile is like a game where they're gonna punch each other in the mouth a bit in the first half, and it may open up a little bit in the second half. Alright. So I love Chub over the seventy nine and a half. I like the under twenty and a half for the first half of the game. Then I think it opens up a little bit. My man Frank Stanfeld told me that the Baker pro passing prop is something like two
fifties something. I think that's a bit high, to be quite honest. I think they are going to run the ball. But if you want to throw some checkles on that one as well. When it comes to the game, I'm so split here. You know, when you get when you get all these data points and all these trends and all this stuff, you can make data say whatever the hell you want, right, it can tell whatever story you want it to tell. So when I hear that underdogs are killing it this year, divisional dogs are at like
a sixties clip people you're looking for. So when you see something at six, that's meaningful to me, and dogs are crushing it this year, Home dogs crushing it divisional dogs crushing it. So that makes me think the Steelers, you know, and Baker, I kind of like there's still a dumpster fire. I don't care if they beat the Denver Broncos and Brandon Allen. But then what I also think is I don't like back in these road teams on Thursday night with the travel and the turnaround, so
that would be Lean Cleveland. I'm gonna trust. So when I see these things, my mind goes to coaching, and if we got to go to coach in this one, I think you know where I'm going to wind up, because right I've been saying Freddie Kitchens is in over his head. The man had a position group literally like a year ago, he was in charge of four players in a room. Now he's in charge of fifty three
men in an organization, and we're seeing that. You know, it's a little new for him, right, So I wonder if you know Mason Rudolph and that crew with James Conner back, and I think that's important. Also when Jalen Samuels was in there, they didn't run the ball that effectively. Did they target him like fifteen times? And did he get thirteen catches? Yeah, but I don't know that that matters, right, James Conner. I think we'll be able to run the ball.
Don't get me wrong. Miles Garrett is gonna be up Mason Rudolph's ass all game long. Okay, he is a disruptor and I buy that. But I do think I'm gonna I'm gonna lean on what I think is like the stability, uh, the workman ship, the Tomlin on this squad, and I'm gonna lean Pittsburgh. I don't know that I'll do it, money Line. I will take the three points because in this divisional matchup, I think the three points may matter. I lean Pittsburgh. It's not a strong play.
My stronger plays are under twenty and a half of the first half and over seventy nine and a half yards for Nick Chubb. Jilly Dilley faces me this weekend. I wonder how that's gonna go. We will talk about it on Monday. Jilly Dilley, should I tank to help you out? It ain't gonna happen, home girl. You know I love you, but I'm gonna try and go after you and put you in another loss. But hey, we'll see what happens. I'm here for another hour tomorrow morning,
Sunday morning. Back here on Friday. You heard I'm out. NFL season is now alta, so you can benna the eighth person a wain one million dollars in a Fanueler Draft Kings tournament my senior lineup using the Daily dot Com DFS line of utilizer. If you were playing Daily Fantasy Sports not using Daily Order dot Com, you're doing there. All sign him down for the NFL Access with a faster optimizer, smarter DFS projections, and better results into promo
code action first head percent discount. And that's promo code action, first head per cent discomp jailor order dot com where millionaires are made on fitness freestyle. People. Look in week eleven, we'll look at the home dogs, We'll look at the double digit dogs. We'll see if any of those are diamonds to bet with or a little fool gazzy to
forget about. Then we will talk DFS. Okay, there's some interesting nuggets out there, some players that I like, some people I am paying up for this week, and then I'll tell you where the bargains are uh for you don't know, hit a little bit of DFS casts. As we go into the weekend, we will preview Thursday Night Football and we will put the fun and functional sports content the entire time. I got a video from Danny Lee.
He sent me to thank everybody for or you know, the kind of kind words out there in the chat room that we did on Monday on Veterans Day. We gotta check in on Game of Inches, and I tell you guys, we got two real Okay, I have two contenders for Game of Inches. We'll let Danny decide if any of them are at the level of our finalists, and then uh, you know, we will check in on the stats Overbeats league. Okay, there are two dominant teams
in the league. But I will also say there's a big middle right there in the playoffs, and there's some interesting matchups in Week eleven, so we'll get into that as well. I gotta pull question up. There's a lot of low totals in Week eleven. Okay, Bill's Dolphins, Broncos, Vikings, Bears, Rams, and then of course the J E. T. S Jet
Jets Jets in the Washington football team. All of these games are like forty and a half or lower on the total all right, so I want to know which game do you think deserves to be that low total, and we'll talk about that as well. Let's get into it. Listen, here are the guys you need to know. Remember I say it every week. You gotta see how they're trending. Are they going from d N he two limited to full or are they regressing in the other direction. For example,
like David Montgomery. Okay, he rolled his ankle, it looks like in Wednesday's practice and he's d NP today. Okay, So keep an eye out on Montgomery. If it's not him, Remember Mike Davis isn't there anymore. Okay, this would be all Tarik Cohen can handle. So that's a very interesting thing to keep an eye on. If Montgomery can't go, Trek Cohen left and right. Um, Remember they were talking. Tyler Lockett was in like the hospital, remember, but now
they're saying he might not miss games. He's gonna be good to go. He's out of the hospital. So it's amazing how these football players can make you pop off. Chris Herndon has been sent to i R with the ribs. Um. Drew lock is back at practice, and this is interesting because remember what the the I R. He's now back. They want to see him. Okay, he's gonna get starts. What does that mean for a guy like Courtland Sutton in the Fantasy playoffs? If he's breaking in a new
rookie quarterback, something to look at. Okay, if you are one of these teams that are you know, oh, I don't know, like Jilly Dilly and John g and you happen to be like nine and one, or if you are profiling to get to a bye, it's time to start thinking about what's going to happen in those weeks, like be sure to follow all our souls
