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Wild Card Wilderness

Jan 03, 202037 min
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Episode description

Don't get suckered into thinking that there can't be upsets in the wild card round. Paul Charchian and Mat Harrison break down the fantasy implications of this weekend's games, and which players you can target for multiple playoff games.

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Transcript

Speaker 1

Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice. Now along with the guys from fanball dot com. Here's the host for Fantasy Football Weekly. It is Fantasy Football Weekly, and I am Paul Charchy and my co host today

is Matt Harrison at Explosive Output h Charch. We're gonna explode all over the playoffs, so we're gonna do excuse me, yes, very excited to break down the four playoff games fantasy style. You know. One of the great things that's really changed over the years, Matt, is how many people are playing playoff fantasy football, but not just like redrafting and then doing the same old, same old. You know. Mostly I think people are playing in pools. Now. Yeah, you run

a pool with a hundred people in it. Yeah, it's uh where ours is? Ours is getting really big. It's kind of fun. Somebody's gonna win like nine yeah, so no, no, no, the I R S limit of the well, there's all donations too, Fantasy Cares involved, So that's the important all right, That's that's all that matters. We're gonna break down the game's fantasy style, as I mentioned, um from this weekend. Yeah, we all, we've got all got some of our own

our own leans here. I've got two upsets happening this weekend. I've got one. I think the second one I'm I'm sadly not going to get. So all right, we'll find out. Yeah, we we'd like to get. We'd like to get one end of it for for those of us in the Minnesota listening area. But that's the least likely of the upsets that happened by a mile. Well, they might cover, they might cover. Let's begin with the Saturday morning that morning, the Saturday, it's actually mid afternoon game, and that is

Buffalo takey on Houston. I've got this as an upset, Um, tell me, let's let's start it with the passing game in Josh Allen, which I think is fascinating. He scored a touchdown in every game this year. Yeah, I uh, he's the third highest priced quarterback on fan ball. I have him as a B grade in this game. Um, he's had a down month basically due to facing some crazy good defenses all in a row. Denver, Dallas Baltimore Pittsburgh,

New England from Week twelve the weeks sixteen. I mean we were advising people it's time to sabotage drop Josh and going into your into your playoff run, and that

was the right thing to do. I happen to sabotage drop him in one of my leaks and uh, but now he gets the Texans, and the Texans have allowed the fourth most passing yards and the seventh most quarterback rushing yards on the season, and in fact, the Texans have allowed either three passing yards or multiple passing scores to each of the last five quarterbacks they've faced outside of Week seventeen. UM. But J. J. Watt is back. He's returning from a peck injury. His legs should still

be decent. I'm wondering if there's a little rust there, but that's concerning as the two legs. Yeah, as the pass rush will be a little bit better than Houston has had in the last couple of weeks. From an injury standpoint, though, cornerbacks Bradley Roby and Jonathan Joseph both dealing with hamstring injuries. I think they both play, but we've seen hamstring injuries can go belly up any time. I mean, look at what Adam Feeland had came back for a play in that Kansas City game and then

sat on the shelf for another couple of months. That's right, Um, let's stay in the passing game. John Brown, he's another guy who had just bad brutal matchups for a long time. I'm giving him a B grade and he's six fanball. Because the Texans hate facing wide receivers named Brown as a j Brown has torched them for over a hundred yards in a score twice in the last three weeks. Uh. And that other week Brashod Perriman from the perimeter went

over a hundred yards too. And Brown, John Brown is top ten in the league at twenty plus yard completions. The Texans are bottom ten defensively in that category. So it's a big play kind of a game. It is. Uh, this is the Houston has struggled with big plays. John Brown, known for the deep speed, Josh Allen, known for the big arms. With hamstring injury, it's just it feels like might not want to get the long stride going. Uh. You know that's a that is a stackable hook up

right there. You know what. What else is a stackable hook up Cole Beasley, who also gets a B grade. He's only fifty seven hundred on Fanball. He leads the team in red zone targets and he runs most of his routes from the slot, so he matches up with Vernon Hargraves, the third who was cut by the Bucks earlier in the year and has given up five touchdowns in his coverage this season, and four weeks ago, Julian Edelman just torched him for six for one oh six

in a score. Finally, Dawson Knox in the passing game of the Saturday tight Ends. I was looking at the Saturday slate on Fanball, there's no tight ends. Johnny Smith is the highest price tight end, but Dawson Knox is my favorite. Uh He's at thirty. Over the last four weeks, Knox is third on the team and targets, averaging just about four per game. The problem as he's only had eight reception since Week twelve. But Houston is a bottom ten defense as far as tight end receiving yards this year,

so Knox is kind of in play. Can I tell you how much I love Devin Singletary in this matchup n Um Houston. Just Derrick Kenny just put up two yards on him, So I mean there's that. But also, receiving runners have killed the Texans. They ranked dead last in receiving touchdowns allowed to running back, second to last in yards allowed to running backs through the air. This is and Devin Singletary is a good It's not like Dan Tomlins. You missed the league high eight receiving touchdowns.

They've given up receiving touchdowns allowed eight. That is the eight. This is. I love Devin Singletary for fantasy purposes in this matchup. So the issue is Singletary hasn't been totally utilized in the passing game yet. He did see eight targets and six receptions against the Ravens a few weeks back, but he's normally getting like three targets a game and

one catch and that's kind of a bummer. But the Texans have allowed almost five yards per carry to opposing backs over the last two months, and he had nine six percent of the snaps against the Pats in that Week six team game. That actually mattered. Frank Gore as an afterthought, I gave Devin Singletary in a grade He's one of my favorite running backs this week. He's the fourth highest priced one on Fanball. Yeah, I like him

a lot as well. If you flip over to the Houston passing game, what I find fascinating is just the the wide receiver situation for Houston is not good. You got Will Fuller with the growing injury, Kenny Stills to the knee injury, their question marks for this game. And then if you look at DeAndre Hopkins, He's gonna get trade abous White all game. So where does where does

that leave the passing game? I gave Hopkins only a C grade in this and let's just not a respect eight thousand, second highest wide receiver on Fanball, behind of course, Michael Thomas. UM. Guess get this. Hopkins is completing his seventh season in the league. The Texans have made the playoffs in four of those seasons. This is DeAndre hopkins second playoff game. His first one was last year against the Colts, where he had five catches for thirty seven yards.

He's ring up the end of the year in all those years. Um, here are the wide receivers that have scored against the Bills in the first sixteen weeks of the season. We're not counting week seventeen. They weren't they alright, t J. Jones in week two, Okay, Davante Parker in week seven, and that was when Preston Williams was still the top wide receiver there. Okay, Jarvis Landry and Richard Higgins in week ten, Okay, second and third receivers. Ventell

Bryant in week thirteen. Do you know who he plays for? Nope, Dallas. Okay, it's like the fourth wide receiver, and Willie Sneed in week fourteen. White wasn't covering any of those guys. That's only six touchdowns allowed to wide receivers on the season. I don't think I'm gonna put Hopkins in any of my DFS lineup. Expensive, too expensive. Even if he was much less expensive, it would be hard to be hard to validate a DeAndre Hopkins angle. Here's the interesting thing.

If somehow Kenny Stills doesn't go, and some how and it looks like will Fuller's not gonna go, what about Kiki Qti? It only all those second wide receivers he scored. Maybe that's the only angle here, but it's it's pretty bad on the Texans side. I only gave Deshaun Watson a C grade as well. Uh, I just don't like any of it. Um. The Bills, as we know, pat top three past defense. They're also one of the best

in the league of defending against running quarterbacks. That held Lamar Jackson to only eleven uh eleven carries for only forty yards, which is pretty good against Lamar Jackson, dak Wentzon Mariotta were held in check and the only two quarterbacks to score on the ground against them this year we're Andy Dalton and Ryan Fitzpatrick. So they were surprised at those really were uh. And when Will Fuller's out,

Deshaun Watson's numbers up really suffer. And then finally the running game, I gave both Hide and Duke Johnson C grades. Hides still the top runner, even though Duke Johnson has looked like the better player for the last handful of weeks. Over hides last four full games, he scored two that's good, but he's been held under two yards per carrying two of those games, including a ten for seventeen clunker against

a similarly built defense in New England. And I bring that up because Houston won that game against New England, and what did they do in that game? They fed the ball to Duke Johnson. Duke Johnson had nine rushing attempts, which was his season high, and he also had five receptions in that game. So we had fourteen touches, two hides eleven. He had a hundred combo yards and a

score in that game. So if they're going to use one of these running backs and they're going to be successful, I like Duke Johnson, who's cheaper on fan ball over Carlos Hide. I'll note, though, Buffalo has only given up one running back receiving touchdowns since Week three, so you know they're not I don't know that you get a touchdown out of Duke Johnson think you know, but he might. He might chip in enough PPR help that that's the

better way to go. I did have Darren Fells on my list, but he's only scored one touchdown in the last seven weeks, and you're not playing him, I don't think so either. Let's go to the Vikings taking on the Saints. Oh gosh, I'm really interest did in this one? Oh yeah, well, it's it's it's it's home. Um, there

is a there's there's an opportunity to take Kirk Cousins here. Uh, it doesn't know it's a game when nobody feels like Kirk Cousins gonna step up and play well in because traditionally both Mike Zimmer and Kirk Cousins have not played well in big games. And obviously this is a this is a for you know, seasons over if this doesn't go well. But Kirk through for three sixty yards last time these teams met and two touchdowns last year and this season, the way that you've been able to beat

the Saints is through the air. They've given up multiple passing touchdowns in six of seven games. In recent weeks, they've given up three or four touchdowns to Jimmy Garoppolo, Ryan Tannehill, and Kyle Allen since benched. So I think there's an opportunity for Kirk to put up a surprising game now and and it could be in catchup mode. If we're just looking at this from fantasy perspective, the Vikings could be down by two or three scores early.

That's gage could be all garbage time for cotting. You may be right about that, and abandoning the run is a viable option for the Vikings anyway, because the Saints run defense is so good, Stefon Diggs likely draws shadow coverage on the outside from Marshawn Lattimore. If he lines up in the slot Diggs does, then it'll probably be Theeland who gets Lattimore because nobody bothers to double cover Lakwan Treadwall or shadow Laquon Twadwall so well. So, um,

I'm nervous about Diggs. If Diggs is gonna get a lot of Marshall Latimore, it's game over. Latimore giving up an average of two catches for twenty two yards since Week three. You know Diggs has the peacock on Lattimore though, and you remember the last time they met in the playoffs, something good happen. Um, father, If Kirk gets this win, I can tell you the Viking fans. The Viking fans are gonna be like, oh yeah, big deal. Case Keenum gotta win and gets the Saints in the playoffs too,

That's what they're gonna say. Adam Feeling gets more work out of the slot um that hopefully will allow him to avoid Lattimore and then gets get to what he was doing through in weeks one through six before the injury, when he was averaging almost a touchdown per game. Since Week six, he's caught four passes. So the worry for me is if they need to feed him because Latimore is taking digs out. I just hope he's up for it. I hope he's I we I hope they target him

nine ten times in this game? How many times? That way? It's a hold on revenge show. Feeling does not need revenge because in the last game, last year's game against the Saints, Theveland had over one yards and a touchdown. Yeah yeah, Um. Saints somewhat susceptible to tight ends. Since Week eight, they've allowed sizeable games to Charles Clay and Cameron Brad and Jade and Graham and George Kittle and John hu Smith. By and large, those are not awesome

tight ends. So maybe maybe cal Rodolph gets back to where he was a couple of months ago. Yeah. Uh. For d Alvin Cook, it's a really tough game. He says he's full strength, which is great. He has not had to run of more than nine yards since November tenth. He has failed to top three point seven yards per carry in any game in the second half of the season, so the injuries have really affected him. At one point

he was in the m v P conversation not anymore. Um, this is the Saints team that's good against the screen pass, and Cook has been viable as a screen pass guy of late, and that's that may not help. He may not be helped to pull that way either. And the Saints are so good as a run defense, giving up just three point six yards per carry. They haven't allowed one hundred yard runner since Week eleven of twenty seventeen. That's so well, that's a long time, two and a

half years. Yes, So I don't like Dalvin Cook. What's he What does he cost? On famble? Oh? Let me pull that up right, Yeah he is. It's already too much. That's already too much. Why why am I looking up weird things? I'm still looking looking up Kirk Cousins on this. Uh, Dalvin Cook too much? I thank you? Avoid the Viking runner's the third highest running back in the week. So that's he's out. Uh for let's flip it over to

the Saints. Uh. Viking shutdown Drew Brees and last year's meeting helding holding him to one hundred twenty yards one hundred twenty yards, his lowest output in almost two hundred games last time they met. Um that said, he's had other games against the Vikings have been very good. Average passing game against Minnesota since Week eight is two hundred fifty yards in one touchdown. Michael Thomas, of course, is

going to get fed plenty in this game. How many targets does Michael Thomas get if you're gonna set an over under, I think it actually moves down. And I'll tell you why. Vikings are without their number three and number four cornerbacks Mike Hughes and in all probability Mackenzie Alexander not in. I think that's going to allow them to go to their second and third receivers more often, Ted Gin tray Kwon Smith more often than they would

have had the Vikings secondary been healthy. So not that Hughes has been good, He's been bad, but um it is it's still you know, one less, one less quasi starter for the Vikings, So there's there's some concern there. But I still think, you know, you figure Hughes is going to be targeted at least ten to twelve times and dozen every game. By the way, Michael Thomas the

most expensive player on the slate. I think, Mike, there's a real case to be made for Michael Thomas to be the most valuable fantasy player throughout the playoffs Saints. If the Saints are likely to be favorites every step of the way to the super Bowl, I believe they'll be favorite. They're already our favorites this week. Next week they'll travel to Green Bay, and they'll be favored the

week after that, presumably San Francisco. In San Francisco, maybe favored or pick them or maybe you know, underdogs by a close. It was a two point game when they met just a few weeks ago, right, so that'll be uh, that'll be one worth watching. Michael Thomas is an obvious, obvious fine start here. If I were giving letter grades, which I didn't do because I'm tired of letter grades, so I just didn't do it, maybe you want to try a plus their minds. Maybe that freshen it up

with the plus. What if you just gave a plus or a minus grade, no letters, just he's a plus. Jared Cook is a plus, A merging as a major threat. Since Week eleven, he's averaging twenty one yards per catch, twenty one per catch, and one touchdown per game. That's crazy like last year's Jared Cook. It is, it's it's it's all of a sudden taken off since Week eleven.

He's a fine start here. Pro Football Focus ranks the Saints number two and pass blocking, so I think there's gonna be plenty of time here against a good Vikings pass rushed UM. As for as for the running game, I like Alvin Camara. It's been a bad season, but he looked better last week. They're averaging almost five yards averaging almost five yards per carry last week. Mostly Minnesota's contained pass catching backs this year, UM, but only mostly. I still like Camara if I were to give him

a letter grade, to be a B grade. And the Vikings UM have been suffering against runners since their Week twelve by. They're giving up almost five yards per carry, which is not Viking like at all. So Camara to me is a good start. It's nice that Camara seems to be heating up from a scoring standpoint. Four of his six touchdowns in the last two weeks. And and and this was a guy who back when mark Ingram was there too, it was he'd get ten to fifteen touches a game, but he'd score on three or four

of them. That's right. So it's nice to see that working again. Coming back. Um, if Eric Kendricks, the Vikings middle linebacker, can't play, we expect him to go. But if he can't go, you can. You could upgrade Kimara and even I think at that point I'd start looking at Lottavius Murray and my ground grind out a potential lopsided victory for the Saints could be. Let's go to Buffalo taking on Houston in just a minute, as could get a revenge doctor, that's possible. Well, we might have it.

We might have a little Do I have little revenge doctor Latavius Murray? Uh, let's talk about the other two games in just a moment. All right, we're back Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchy and my co host is Matt Harrison at Explosive out put for you on Twitter. I am at Paul Charchy and you'll have to figure out the spelling yourself. Buffalo takes on Houston. This is my other upset of the day. Buffalo is the better

team in many ways. Are we talked a Buffalo Houston already. Sorry, that's my Other upset of the day is Tennessee at New England. Only three quarterbacks have one at Gillette Stadium in the last three years, Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes and Ryan Fitzpatrick. And people say the Patriots never lose at home in a critical game, except for last week when they lost to Miami at home in a critical game that would have given them a bye. So don't tell I don't want to hear this mumbo jumbo about how

they can't possibly be beaten at home in July. There's there's definite mumbo jumbo here. Um. Ryan Tannehill knows the Patriots. This is his twelfth time he's faced Bill Belichick. Um, he was four and seven in his previous eleven games. So he's beaten the Patriots four times. That's that's fun. But the problem is two, the number two. The Patriots have given up two or more passing touchdowns in a game only two times this year. Wow, that's not very

good for Ryan tan Hills prospects and Ryan Fitzpatrick. Stu Beard himself was the only quarterback to top three hundred yards against the Patriots this season. That was last week basically on the final drive of the game. So Tannehill, I gave a a C grade to fan Ball. I'm probably avoiding him. I'm also avoiding his top wide receiver, A J. Brown. I gave him a a respect C grade.

Uh seventy fan fan Ball should see Stephan Gilmore shadow coverage all day and basically no one did anything against Gilmore all year except for DeVante Parker last week seven? Did the Patriots want to play an extra game this? Who knows? That's that's that's always the thing. Uh. Corey Davis on the bench only top sixty yards twice this season. However, Taj Sharp, wow C grade, here's your take a chance

on me. He's playing from the slot in New England has shown a weakness to slot wide receivers this year. Cole Beasley, Golden Tape, Randall Cobb, and Juju Smith Schuster all topped seventy five yards. Beasley did that twice, So Taj Sharp, if you run out of money, Unfanball, that's a guy. I think that's deep Now. John Nu Smith interested me more because half of the passing touchdown to

New England has allowed has gone to tight ends. The problem is is Michael Pruitt is vulturing touchdown grabs from him, and Anthony Firkser has had almost as many targets as John Nu Smith over the last three weeks. So I'm not buying it, I think, John, I'm not buying John Hu Smith. No, he's not. He's just a guy. I know. I know that you put down your notes that got John Nu Smith. Yes, yes, I thought more athletic than

I thought faster. Only two tight ends have topped forty five yards against the Pats since Week five, and you're totally reliant on a score if you want to play him. All of the six tight ends touchdowns allowed by the Patriots happened in Week eight or later, so that's positive. So I guess you got that going. Finally, on the Titan side, Derrick Henry, I'm giving an a grade too. I think if they're gonna win this game, it's on

the back of the big dog. The Patriots have been better against the run as of late, only allowing three point five yards per carry over the last five games. However, they've bent to the will of the Bell cow backs running backs to have fifteen rushing attempts are more in a game have had yardage totals of one oh nine, one, one, fifteen, seventy eighty six, one thirty six, and forty six. So there's one dud in there, and that was Devin Singletary.

But there's yardage to be had. The problem is the Pats have only allowed one rushing touchdown to an opposing back all year, and that was Gus Edwards, and one receiving touchdown to running back all year, that was Duke Johnson. It's funny how you diced up that stat because I've almost the exact same staff that I worked my same I running back. Since Week four, running backs with seventeen or more carries are averaging five and a half yards per carry and an average game of one hundred sixteen

rushing yards. This game very similar to Derrick Henry. It's he's gonna get twenty five touches in this game last week. He's gonna get seven fewer than the rushes Derrick Henry got last week. Um, what a what a monster, He's a beast. Um. I do still see the Patriots winning this game, however, and uh, one of the reasons why is I kind of like the running game matchup for the Patriots in this one and your favorite Playerstrian Sony Michelle,

the Walkman himself, who's fifty undred on Fanball. I'm giving him a B grade. He's averaged twenty touches per game over the last three games. And you need to remember how studely he was in the playoffs last year six touchdowns in three games. They ramped him up at the end of the season and just handed him the ball like crazy in the playoff hit twenty nine carries in one of those games. Um, the Titans have allowed eight rushing touchdowns to opposing backs over the last six games.

During that span, they did not allow one receiving touchdown to a back, So that kind of downgrades James White, who I like better in reality. But the Titans are one of four teams in the NFL to allow over a hundred receptions to the running backs through the air, So James White is getting a B two. They've held the yardage down, but they've given up a lot of receptions. And on fanball and PPR where James White six, it could be a high volume, low yardage game for White.

I don't look at him getting a lot of touchdowns in this but if you're playing like a fifty fifty and you just need solid scoring. I think James White's in a good spot. Only Christian McCaffrey and Carlos Hide hit one hundred rushing yards against the Titans all year. They needed twenty four and twenty six carries to get there. Yeah, so, and for them there's barely even four yards per care. I'm looking at Michelle for simply the scoring aspect of it.

I think you need you need a touchdown or two on the ground you do, and you need the ball to end up at like the two yard line before I'm gonna trust Sony Michelle to get the ball in the end zone. You might be right, I may be crazy, but I just might be the lunatic you're looking for. Because I'm giving Tom Brady a B grade. He's sixty on fan Ball, which makes him the cheapest starting quarterback

on fan Ball this week. The Titans are ranking near last in the league and quarterback hit rate, and that means it'll be a clean Tom Brady who should have no trouble carving up the Titans if you eliminate weeks seventeen for Tennessee, they have allowed multiple scores to three straight quarterbacks and have allowed ten multi score games on the season. Brady only did that in half of his games this season. But this is playoff Brady. Weird things happen,

Gillette stuff. He ain't got it. He might not, but Julian Edelman and I'm giving a B grade two as well. He's only fan Ball would be an A if it weren't for knee and shoulder injuries. He faced his former teammate Logan Ryan in the slot for most of the game. Ryan has allowed the most touchdowns in the league in slot coverage this year, according to Pro Football Focus. If

Brady is passing, he's trusting Edelman. That's why I'm not giving Mohammed Sanu or Nikkil Harry, who are forty five respectively, at all. They're both on the bench. Harry is in top thirty yards in any game in his career. Sanu has been awful but season snap right. I'm just avoiding both due to their consistency or lack thereof. I'll mention Tennessee gets cornerback at Doory Jackson back. He's their best healthy cornerback who's missed the best better part of the

last month. He's he's an outside guy though, and so I think just just really affects more of the outside receivers like Harry and Mohamed Sanu is playing incorrectly outside. That was a bad trade for the Patriots. Yeah, by the way, the one you know already had a slot receiver. Why do they trade for Mohammed Sanu who's only ever good as a slot receiver. If they would have traded for Emmanuel Sanders, how different would better off? Yeah? Another guy? Yeah,

you can play. At least you can play both. Um, let's go do Seattle taking on Philadelphia. Seattle is is the underdog, by the way, as a as a non fantasy note for the sixth straight playoff game, which is weird that they're an underdog in this game. Yeah, they're them quite a bit um there four and one. In the five games in which they've been an underdog, this will be their six game there four and one. So

you know, apparently they maybe it's motivation. Maybe we just need to give them more respect in Doug Peterson more respect. These seems faced each other in Week twelve in Seattle and it was seventeen to nine. They may grind it out ugly game. Both teams have disaster level injury issues. Let's begin with the Seattle problem, and that's their running game.

Everybody thinks Marshall Lynch is back everything, everything's fixed. Yeah, but the problem is Marshall Lynch has been good in three years and even last week with the twelfth Man erupting, every time he just touched the ball, he averaged two point eight yards per carry it. That's pretty bad Seattle's offense. Just people just think it's fixed because they put a name guy and a beloved figure in it. Running back, well, they put they got Robert turban back, good old Dick.

Maybe that's the answer, Dick turban Um, I frankly might be better. I don't know. So Lynch is not, to me, not necessarily the answer here. And by way, Travis Homers their starter, averaging six yards per carry on his career. Travis Homer is the guy who they are riding in the playoffs now, So let's talk fanball dollars on this, because I gotta believe that Marshawn Lynch is going to be more expensive than Travis Homer. You are correct, Lynch is Homer is. They're both pretty cheap as far as

running backs go. I would take Travis homer Um and his matchup. It's a bad matchup. So let's talk about Eagles run defense. They're very good, seeing the third fewest total rushes overall, they're allowing the third fewest rushing yards, and they've allowed the eighth fewest rushing yards per tempt. So it's a bad matchup for either one of them. So you can make a case that just as avoid both, or you could just say I'm gonna hope for a

touchdown opportunity that would be Lynch. Lynch has always been built for goal line use. Hmm. Some people still a little bitter about the Super Bowl. Darryl Bubble Marshawn Lynch built four goal line use. Let's go to the past and give for Seattle. Um, Well, the previous game was a grinded out win for Seattle with both offenses basically

very inconsistent here. Um, maybe Russell Wilson, who doesn't have a lot of turnovers, is going to be the difference here and they're just gonna play play, try to play it safe and grind out another wind. But Wilson hasn't topped two hundred eighty six yards passing, which is not

that hive of a milestone these days. Wilson hasn't top two eighty six yards since Week nine, getting really inconsistent results from Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf of late um, I think that whole passing game, to me, it sounds very wobbly, but working in their favor. Philadelphia's cornerback situations a disaster. Ronald Darby went on I R Sidney Jones has a back injury, Avante Maddox has an abdomen and

Jalen Mills has an ankle. Yeah. I don't the degree to which those three will play UM tells me whether or not you can trust those guys. But right now, I've got to be great on the passing game because I don't think they can run. I don't think they're gonna try to run much and through sheer volume, I think Wilson gets himself, Tyler Locke in DK Metcalf into solid territory. Yeah. And I think if you're going from a fan ball fantasy perspective for DFS, I think you

could just go Russell Wilson alone. As as as Brian and I call it, we call it the naked quarterback. You go naked Russell Wilson. You don't worry about the receivers and pairing them up, and you just see what you can get out of him, because that entire offense is going to go through Russell Wilson's arm or his feet. It's very possible. And then you know, lock It and DK Metcalf have been alternating basically big games, and you don't know which guy might have the bigger games. So

it's been frustrating. And that way you wouldn't have to play the game of which receiver is gonna do well. Now, let's go over to the Philadelphia side. Um, from a passing standpoint, Nelson Agilar doesn't look like he's gonna go. Zach Ertz as of this taping on Friday, has not been cleared to play. So that's that. And then um so Seattle, I think, just schemes to take away Dallas Goddard and then what they'll have to lean on Greg Ward to some degree. He's been good, way better than

anybody would have expected. That's but he's still a backup caliber wide receiver against a starting Seattle secondary. No opposing quarterbacks top two touchdowns against Seattle all year. No opponent has hit three d passing yards in seven games. The problem is is Seattle has been brutal against the tight end of this year. I mean they're not on Arizona Cardinals level of futility, but they were one of three teams to give up over a thousand yards to the

tight end position. Uh. They gave up the third most uh tight end receptions on the only six touchdowns. But you gotta think with Went's having nobody else, he's gonna target down. They almost have to write all the time. And god, it's just unbelievably gigantic. Yeah, it's just you see him out there in the field. He's like, why is that gigantic power forward playing in this in in this game? So you know you could still start Gotter. I'm sure he's very expensive. Give me his fanball number

on this. I'm gonna guess he's in the seven thousand three a little bit of a discount. He's the second highest price tight end behind zach Ertz. Zach Ertz who's probably not probably not gonna play. All right, there you go. Um the uh, this is the first playoff game we should mention for Carson Wentz, which is hard to remember, but this is he's never played a playoff game before we got a bunch of first didn't Didn't he play last year against the Bears? Double doink? I don't know't

won that game? Yeah, I know, but I think falls was a quarterback double check out again, double check for me because I heard I heard in passing on some other you know, some rady or something this week that this is his first playoff game. And I just took that to be right. I suspect that it is um. And in the meantime, while you're looking at that, let's talk about the running game. It looks like Miles Sanders is gonna go here. You're right, this is his first one.

It looks like Miles Sanders is gonna go. But Jordan Howard's back and he's got fresh legs. I think they're gonna unleash Jordan Howard in this game. Yeah, I do. Uh. And you know, so you have a gimpie Miles Sanders on an ankle sprain or the fresh legs of of Jordan's Howard. Let's be honest, here, has Jordan Howard ever had fresh legs? Well? Yeah, man, remember what he did to the Packers this year, like Week four, the three

touchdown game against the Packers that was awesome. Problem is, Miles Sanders has been good, well, he's been good lately. The last month of the season has been great with Howard out, but Howard comes back, so I and Boston for both of them, it does. And Boston Scott has been really good. So you know, now they all three deserved time. And we know that Doug Peter person at his core, wants to have a relatively even rotation of backs. Um, give us the prices on those three, because I want

the cheap guy in all probability. Yeah, hold on, I just I just moved it down. Here we go, Jordan Howard, Boston Scott, Miles Sanders, Boston Scott. He's cheap. Um, Boston Scott is, Miles Sanders is hundred. But here's your discount. Play at Jordan Howard A bang. Jordan Howard averaging a healthy four and a half yards per carry. I think he's gonna be the guy who's gonna get the most touches out of that group. That's interesting. I still think

it's gonna be Sanders getting the most touches. But with Howard coming back in the price tag of Sanders at sixty seven, I don't think I will end up with him in many of my lineups out. Uh, Seattle has been gouged by Runners of Light. They've allowed nine rushing touchdowns in the past five games, so I'm obviously almost two a game. If I've just talking about rushing touchdowns. Matt who's more likely to get goal line carries out of that group? What's running back for Philadelphia. He's still

on the team. He's been fine. It's it's Howard nine rushing touchdowns. Nine, that's a nine. It's a revenge touchdown. We're learning it. We're learning a new button bar. But you'd just be glad I haven't fired off the trombone solo with the thirty second trombones. Just go with it. I'm not doing all right. There we go, four games up, broken down fantasy. So your predictions for the games. I've got Saints over Vikings, I've got Bills in an upset, I've got Titans in an upset, and then I've got

Seattle over Philadelphia. I think Philadelphia just at some point you just succumbed to the just you know, just the sheer onslaught of injuries. Yeah, I'm with you on everything, but I think New England beats Tennessee. Well, that's extremely plausible. And you know, because the entire casinos have been built on fools money like me that have bet against the Patriots throughout the years. And you know, especially at home Belichick Brady right, and you could just but here's the thing, Matt.

You want some lazy analysis, the laziest possible playoff analysis at home though, that's lazy. I I can't. I can't subscribe to that. So and I'm not going to and the team that's better. Who was the better quarterback right now? Tom Brady or December's offensive Player of the year or player of the month. Ryan Tannis just hurts my feelings saying Ryan Tannehill because I hate Ryan Tannans. Why hate

Ryan Tannehill? Why what are you gonna get to? Ryan Tannehills never good in Miami, I always, But that's Miami's fault obviously, Now look at whose fault that was. I think he'll come back to Earth again to for the Titans after they signed him to Kirk Cousins like money and uh yeah, I don't think. I think they're in a franchise tagging you'll make even more money than kirk Point, but only only one year, right, see a test drive, your test drive Tanny Hill for one more season and

see what you got. Thank you for listening, everybody. We'll be back next week, will break down the divisional slate of games. Already looking forward to that one week. Those games are That's my favorite weekend of the year. It is so fun. Remember all our old league safe trips Vegas that was over this weekend. Why why aren't we going charge? Let's go. We really should go jump on a plane. We'll see all in Vegas. Bye bye. Fantasy

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