The Peacock Off!

We're starting to learn stuff and that's part of the excitement of the preseason. Fantasy football means more to us than it does to most people. I think the preseason hype just build more and more every year. It's it's truly incredible. It is I I think it's I think it's great too. You know there are people preseason. Yeah, it's not said, it's condensed now and we went from four games the games mean more. I think that part

is fantastic. Got rid of the terrible fourth game. All that we will give you updates from every team over the last week or so, notable, actionable tidbits from every team, all thirty two teams that's coming up momentarily will analyze the best and worst offensive lines. That helps you figure out which players you gotta be worried about, which you feel a little better about. We'll do the Peacock Off, bold predictions from each of our hosts that may allow

you to do this. There it goes. I'm not sure where the the peacocks a little slow today. Briefly there there, We just let him out of the cage. Here we go, here we go. It's still the preseason for the peacock too. Well, in preseason, he's the precock right now. I like that. The uh Well to go through our three tough questions like we normally do every episode, and players we love but we're not willing to pay their average draft position.

Players love the player hate the ADP. So lots of great stuff coming up over the course of the show. Let's begin with a tour through each of the teams in the highlights of the last week or so, beginning with the Carolina Panthers and Matt Harrison. Uh No one is taking charge in the quarterback battle in camp. Baker

Mayfield still the favorite. The Panthers had to come out this week and say publicly that they were not shopping Sam Donald but all four, including Matt Corrall and p J Walker, are likely to get reps in Saturday night's preseason opener. All right, let's go to the Raiders. Darren Waller remains held out of training camp with a hamstring injury that's not deemed to be serious, but I'm viewing

this news as kind of serious. Uh. I want Waller out there practicing, So you might be sliding a little bit in draft, but I'm I'm gonna remain optimistic and he'll be just fine for week one. Sending good vibes out there to Darren Waller and his hammy. Yeah, we've still got a month before the start of the season, so there's a plenty of time for an injury like that to to get healthy. And as a veteran, HiT's probably okay that he's missing some training camp here, So

we're not gonna panic yet. And at later in the show we will talk about who are and are not reliable fantasy tight ends the Packers. Last week we talked about Romeo dobbs Son, so I'm not gonna blavor the point that he's probably having the best camp of any of the receivers they've got. Romeo dubs or Romeo Dubbs Son uh uh. Christian Watson still up practicing because of the offseason knee surgery. We've been monitoring the status of the two best players on their offensive line as well,

and we talked about that last week. Elkin Jenkins and David back Try both are still in the publist, although Brian Guda, Kunts general manager, indicated this week that both are progressing well. Jenkins appears to be a little ahead of bok tr but still no indication whether or not those guys are gonna be ready for the start season.

Let's go to the Washington Commanders. The Commanders, Brian Robinson is getting more work with the first team offense, and this just leads me to believe that this is gonna be a true committee approach with Antonio Gibson, j D mckissic, and Robinson each getting a fair share of work. It's going to be a backfield that I think everyone's gonna want to avoid this year. You can get Antonio Gibson cheap.

He's getting cheaper every day, only getting cheaper. I'll just go to Buffalo Brian, a guy we've didn't advocate to avoid him, but then he turned out you shouldn't be avoiding him, but maybe we shouldn't avoid him again. And that's Zack Moss listed as the backup running back on Buffalo's depth chart ahead of James Cook and a lot of good stuff coming out of Buffalo camp about Zack Moss. If Top Box ends up being great this year, that's how it goes. I banged the drum form for two years.

I will be mad. I have feeling you might be mad because I think the reclamation project is in full effect right now for Zack Moss. Yeah, is gonna say you'd be eating the crow. We do have a crow sound effect. Good job which is there, and there's also chomping in there. M Yeah, there is very nice. So yeah, not a lot coming out of Buffalo right now for talking about Zach Moss. But that was the most notable

thing with the Texans. Despite Damian Pierce getting plenty of first team reps, Texans first official depth chart has Rex Burkhead and Marlon mack Is the starters. We're gonna talk a little bit more about that situation later in the show. Davis Mills earning accolades were being more comfortable in the pocket and he has been working specifically on the weaknesses that he demonstrated last year. Let's go to a Tampa There's there's some shocking news out of Tampa Bay. Yeah,

of our listeners probably already know. Yeah, Tom Brady left camp and he said he's gonna be gone for at least ten days. And according to Pro Football Talk, the Bucks knew that this was going to happen at the beginning of the training camp. I don't buy it. I don't buy it either. That then they kept it a secret. Why and they want to put that out there that Brady is gonna miss a little time during camp. It's not gonna be a big deal. We're just getting ahead

of it now. Could have managed the story a lot. Oh yeah, people are speculating, Oh, it's not a non zero chance that Tom Brady retires before the season starts. I agree with that that it's non zero. Of course, I picked him first in my Scott Fish Bowl league, and that's how it usually goes for me. I think that I do agree there's a chance that it works out this way for Brady retired before and it is you wonder about what it does is his heart fully in this It has to be you can't play football. Yeah,

it's not. It's not retiring. Retiring would be I believe how many reads. Let's go to the Cleveland Browns, Brian Cleveland Brown's Kareem Hunt wants out. He wants to be traded as of now, still a Brown. And my angle on this is if Hunt is to be traded, people might immediately jumped to the conclusion that Nick Chubbs is going to be this of the touches Bell Coal, But I don't think that's gonna be the case. It does

gonna slide in. Derris Johnson was it's still going to be a platoon in my mind, and the in rookie Jerome Ford. A lot of good stuff coming out of camp about Jerome Ford. So there's still gonna It's not gonna be all Nick Chubb if Cream ends up getting dealt, So don't get too excited if that happens. In Colts mini camps, Frank Reich had said that he draft Niheeme Hines onto his fantasy team. Remember remember that from a couple of months ago. Now reports in camp suggests that

hines role as a pass catcher will expand significantly. In ESPN reporter estimated sixty plus receptions coming for Niheem Hines, which if he's going to be in that range, that puts him into weekly flex conversations. And what does it do to Jonathan Taylor, Well, Taylor wasn't catching a bunch anyway, so for me, it doesn't change Taylor's equation a lot um. Marlon Mack is now gone, so you know, whatever, you know, whatever Marlon Mack was tipening off may very well go

to Himes as well. And I'll note that second round rookie wide receiver like Pierce running with the first team offense along with Paris Campbell, Michael Pittman, and Pierce by all accounts, has had kind of a typical rookie and consistent camp. But he's holding off Austin Doulin. Right now, Let's go to the Hard Knocks team this year at the Detroit line, I feel like everyone knows what's happening in their camp, but from Beat reporters, it seems like

DJ Chark is having a really good camp. He's probably third of the Lions wide receivers that will be drafted this year. But with Jamison Williams set to miss some time early in the year, Chark will have an opportunity to make a mark early Chark, Mark Chark, Mark. Let's go to the Jets, Brian, if we must. The Jets not a ton to report here. They did lose starting

left tackle McKay Baton. I mean not when it comes to skilled position players or fantasy players, but that will certainly have an effect on Zack Wilson, Breece Hall, the

entire offense. Breese all, by the way, like Damian Pierce and James Cook and probably every rookie running back was it as third running back who you can't read too much in tonight's unofficial depth charts, But uh yeah, losing McKay Beckton, who was a first round pick in I believe eleventh overall, that's not good for the offense overall, so dings them a little bit across the board. Let's

go to the Chiefs. The biggest story in training camp, and honestly one of the biggest stories in fantasy football right now, is the emergence of rookie running back Isaiah Pacheco, who we've mentioned many times on this show. Seventh rounders look fantastic both in special teams and it just as

a running back. He is sharing first team reps with Clyde Edwards Laire already well, he's the only rookie running back like it was was the first time, a practically hope for Breese all and all the other bigger names. My sleeper last week looks pretty good right now? Does. Andy Reid is noted how hard Pasheco runs. We've seen him excelling in past protection as well and training camp, and we've also seen coaches talk about limiting Clyde Edwards

Alaire's work load this year to keep him healthier. Man, the stars are lined up for this kid. The other runners McKinnon, Gore, and Jones are getting entirely second and third team raps, and there's an increasing chance day by day that your Week one starter could be a combination package of Clyde Edwards, Hilaire and I say a Pacheco. His a DP has jumped about sixty seventies spots in a week. Last week, I bet, I bet, let's go

to the Seattle Seahawks. Rashad Penny was clearly leading the way and snaps with the first team in training camp. But now guess what, He's got a groin injury, just like Rashad Penny does probably will not play in Saturday's preseason game in Pittsburgh, but this could be a big opportunity for Ken Walker to kind of show what he's got. And the Denver Broncos will be our final team of this segment. Oh my bad, Sorry, I thought we were

going to break Denver Broncos Melvin Gordon his foot. He's been sitting out last few days with the foot injury, but that's deemed to not be serious. And like the Browns, if something were to happen to Gordon, I don't think it's of the touches for Javonte Williams either. I still think it's a split backfield there and Mike Boone would be the next guy in line if something would happen in Gordon. But it sounds like Gordon will be okay, So uh, nothing major to fred about there with MG three.

You know, last week we talked about Gordon is maybe the safest backup running back you can draft, the most reliable backup running back you can draft. He's only getting cheaper by the day. It'll probably be fine for Week one. Somebody who certainly want to consider when we come back, we'll continue our tour through the thirty two NFL teams. Give you updates from every team's training camp on Fantasy

Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchy and Guillotine Leagues dot Com, Matt Harrison's Shocked Fantasy and Brian Johnson Guillotine Leagues dot Com. We he ran through about half of the NFL teams in the first segment. Now we're segment number two. We'll go through the remaining teams. The things that have happened since in the weeks since our last show, and we left off guys on the rams. Reason for trepidation about Matthew Stafford's bulky I love the

word bulky, bulky. I may work it in a few times in this show, like Balky from Perfect Strangers. Yeah, he was great, one of my favorites. Yeah. Did you know he had a bulky elbow? Oh yeah, bulky belky albo elbow. For Stafford continuing to experience discomfort going back to last season. And that's why I'm worried is if this is a one injury that he's still got paying in now, is it gonna be better or worse in October? Ready for Tommy John surgery. Let's let's hope that is

that is not going to be the case. I'll also know Darryl Henderson getting a lot of first team reps, and it looks like the Rams are gonna try to be cautious with cam Akers here. It's it's possible that we're gonna see it. Uh, some kind of a time share that goes into the season as well. Between those two, I bet Stafford has consulted good friend Clayton Kershaw, who had Tommy John surgery. Didn't he at some point? I

don't know if he did. Maybe he's good. You don't want to talk about baseball now, Let's go to something we know about. That'd be the Philadelphia Eagles. Man. Yeah, if you check Twitter, the A. J. Brown versus James Bradberry battles have been really cool to watch. But the big news Jason Kelsey recently had a minor elbow surgery. He's hopeful that he's ready for week one. They said he might miss a week or two though. Yeah, obviously

one of the best linemen in league. That would be a loss if he can't he's not ready for the start of the season. Let's go to Miami Brian. Uh yeah, if you're on Twitter and looking at Dolphins Twitter specifically, all signs point to them having the greatest offense ever. But basically the hype is out of control down in Miami. But the player all highlight. Here's Chase Edmonds, who now looks like the clear cut RB one for the Dolphins, and he's going outside the top twenty four running backs

right now based on most ADPs. So I think that's a draft day steel right now. Um, he looks like he's gonna be the starter in a very proficient offense. It's Mike McDaniel gonna do in Miami what he ultimately did in San Francisco, which is, you know, I got a lot of running backs, but I'm gonna have a workhorse back. And if you can find that workhorse back,

they're all going at a heavy discount. Well, Edmonds is the one who getting paid like a workhorse back, so all my all my bets are on him right now. In Minnesota, Kirk Cousins has COVID. He had COVID last year and missed his only start as a Viking due to COVID, so this is a second time around. Presumably this is the lightweight version and that he will be probably in a week and I think week one is in no doubt here, and maybe it's all the better that he gets it all the way now and it's

share even more immunity for for the regular season. Irv Smith had surgery on his thumb last week tight end. He is targeting a return also around Week one. Lots of praise for Kevin O'Connell's offense from nearly all members of the Vikings offense, and right now it seems like a fresh, new and exciting offense for the Minnesota Vikings. Let's go to the Dallas Cowboys. Man Travon Diggs quit social media, probably because of all the camp video of

him getting roasted by Ceedee Lamb and Jalen Tilbert. Obviously had a lot of interceptions last year, but he's not a great cover corner at all, so I love the most yards in the NFL's coverage last year. So he's sick of everybody bagging on him, so he quit. Let's go to the Patriots. Bryan running back James White retired earlier in the week, um, so he's obviously not playing this year. Damien Harris all the sudden rumored to be

on the trading block or they might trade him. So as a result, Ramandre Stevenson has jumped Harris in ADP and just surging up draft boards right now. Yeah, I'm not totally sure where you know these rumors have come from, but the Vegas odds to lead the NFL and rushing touchdowns. Romandre Stevenson was fifty two one a week ago and now we're sitting it like tender one. So there is there.

There are a lot of people and as we've we've often mentioned, we talked a lot about what happens inside the five yard line on the show, the infrared zone as he likes to call it. No team has run more had more running plays inside the five over the last seven years than New England Patriots. And if Harris is to be traded, um obviously Stevenson huge jumping, massive,

massive jump off. But Pierre Strong Junior the name to keep in mind, rookie running back drafted in the fourth round by the Patriots, kind of more of a pass catching specialist. He probably will play that James White role, even though or Monder Stevenson is a very able pass catcher. Two. But yeah, stock On Stevenson just soaring right now. Let

me mention a couple of things about James White. That had three time Super Bowl champion, only player with the Super Bowl walk off touchdown in NFL history, and that was the seventeen comeback against the Falcons in which he was targeted sixteen times and caught fourteen passes for one ten yards for James White. And get this, eight seasons he touched the ball eight hundred times, no fumbles. That's how you get into Bill Belichick's good grace, isn't it right there? It was a hell of a run for

James White. And congratulations on a great career. Only thirty years old, which is it's old for running back the stick, I mean, that's young. But yeah, he's walking away. That's for the Saints. Michael Thomas's ankle rehabits on track, he's practicing, he's looked great, a lot of positive reports out of training camp. It appears likely that he will be ready to start Week one. His adp also moving up quickly.

Alvin Kamari's court date has been moved back to October, so it's possible the NFL will defer judgment on a possible suspension until after that court date. Maybe, but the NFL is not beholden to that. They don't need to do that, but it's possible that they could. We're gonna talk a little bit more about there to buy Alvin Camaro later in this show. Let's go to the New York Giants. Man Kenny Golladay is the talk of camp for all the wrong adjectives slow, stiff, bad body language,

zero separation. Some speculated him as a possible cut candidate, but they can't cut him for two years because of the cap liabilities. But if any team came knocking in the trade market, they could have him for nothing. Seventh round pick gentleman, seventy million dollars for Kenny Golladay just to two off seasons ago. Well, wait, one off season ago. Let's go to the Tennessee Titans. Nothing but bad things being said about eighteenth overall pick wide receiver Traylon Burks,

who has been not running with the ones. Meanwhile, rookie wide receiver Kyle Phillips, who was drafted in the fifth round has been running with the ones. And uh more, more bad things to say about Burks. On Thursday Night against the Patriots, the Titans rested their their normal starters Robert Woods and n w Y, but Burks played. Brooks also came into the game after Dez Fitzpatrick, Racy McMath and the aforementioned Kyle Phillips and just one target on

thirties thirty snaps for Berks on Thursday night. So stock falling right now for Trays, at least in re draft. Right now, he's not looking like an immediate impact player. And if we're gonna talk about Thursday night, we got to talk about Malik Willis. I watched every one of his every one of his snaps. The first few throws were terrible, and it was all the bad things you've

ever seen about him. But when he got comfortable, he made some He made some eye popping plays with his legs, but also had some really nice passes mixed in there. And you you saw a player and look, it's only the first preseason game his entire career, and nobody's carving a bust in Canton here. And I walked in the door having seen the highlights from the game, and I was like, Oh, I'm gonna really watch all of this to make sure I'm not just looking at the highlights.

He looked pretty poised, pretty comfortable, and delivered a lot of nice passes. Yeah, he's been falling too far in

dynasty leagues, especially super flexed leagues. He's definitely a project still, so I'm not thinking of an immediate even if something happens to Tannehill, But yeah, he should be bumped up dynasty draft boards based off Thursday night, I agreed for the Steelers what rookie wide receiver George Pickens was listed as a starter on the team's first step chart, although again, you don't know, we don't know what that really means. That Mike Tomlin has gone out to discredit the depth

that depth chart as well. Sad trombon Sky, It's uh no, that's happy. That's happy. That's the happy Trombone right there, trending towards the starting job. Well, he is happy about that, that's right. Mason Rudolph has looked okay, but it's Mason Rudolph. They know that he's not the solution. Kenny Picket appears destined to learn from the bench for a while at least, and learned from the best hold on. Let's go to the Atlanta Falcons. Matt Cordarol Patterson is getting almost all

the looks with the top offense. Tyler l Gear and Damian Williams are far behind. Both probably just go line only options. Also, Kyle Pitts has almost exclusively played wide receiver all camp, slot and wide outside. You don't say Cincinnati Bengals Brian Uh no timetable for Joe Burrows return from an appendex to me, but not too concerned about that. I'm sure he will be ready to go come week. One.

The biggest news from Bengals camp is Lyle Collins, one of the three newly acquired elite offensive lineman, has been cleared to return to practice. So yeah, you gotta love what since he has done this offseason bolstering that offensive line. But I might be out on Joe Burrow based on his cost in drafts right now. We'll talk about that a little later, but that Bengals line is gonna be

much much improved. Forty Niners. Brandon Ayou getting a lot of praise from coaches and teammates, which is the exact opposite of what he was getting at this time last year, and he had the very slow start to the season. Um players and coaches going out of our way to praise the player now in his third preseason, looks like he's gonna be ready for a fast start to the season. But how much passing will we see from Trey Lance? By all accounts, Trey lances preseason so far and training

camp has been inconsistent, especially as a passer. Will the forty nineers limit the passing of Trey Lance? That is certainly gonna be something we'll be watching closely. Matt. Let's go to the Arizona Cardinals. Darryl Williams came over from Kansas City and he's been pretty much absent in training camp. Not a bright spot at all. You know, Benjamin looks like the clear number two, and he wasn't very good in action last year. I think James Conner could be

an absolute bell cow this year. Ravens. Oh, now, that's hang on. We're not to the Ravens yet. That's me, Brian. I wasn't forgetting you Jaguars, please. I love Dan Arnold. That's that's about it. It's not not a ton of news out of Jaguars camp. James Robinson has been practicing with the team, but only in individual drills, not team drills. So I don't like his chances to be ready for

week one. Travisy d n the clear cut starter, but your guy charge, Snoop Connor, looks me in the line for some early season work, a great late round option, and I think he pegged that last week. It was my sleeper of the week last week, Snoop Connor. Now let's go to the Ravens in Thursday night's game. Tyler Huntley very sharp. In my mind, Tyler Huntley is the only backup quarterback worth drafting, and even then it's in

bigger leagues because he gives you rushing passing upside. We saw him in an extended months so or so of starts last year and which he looked pretty darn good. And he was on fire on Thursday. The rare handcuff quarterback, the rare handcuff quarterback. And if it comes down to taking Baker Mayfield or Tyler Huntley, why draft Baker Mayfield? You know you can get Tyler Hunley where if you know, because in theory, you shouldn't need to start Baker at

any point in time. Tyler Huntley, if we're anything to happen in Baltimore and he's starting games, you know you've got a potential top ten quarterback because of the rushing passing combo that he brings. Yeah, the Ravens have a buy in Week ten, and odds are you're not gonna bench Lamar Jackson unless he's hurt. So but even if you don't draft Lamar even yeah, I'm with you, Huntley is drafted even without Lamar. But if you do draft Lamar,

I wouldn't the backup. I'm drafting his Tyler Huntley and then Baker Mayfield and then I'll worry about it in Week ten if you know you can your backup quarterback. Totally agree. Last thing I want to mention about the Ravens. They've got this rookie tight end who's obviously Mark Andrews is a elite and this guy is not probably going to be a factor this year, but for those in Dynasty and Empire leagues keep track of tight end Isaiah Likely.

He was getting rave reviews in camp and I was like, yeah, whatever, he's behind Mark Andrews. Then on Thursday night, guy made a couple of great place. They gave him a bubble screen to the right and he made it. He made a defender who was about two yards away from him completely with his whole body and then charge forward. Then he made a nice downfield, contested catch on the left side of the field. Just you know it's Mark Andrews

that he's stuck behind. He's a tight end. You know, we're not gonna have to remember Isaiah likely for very long, but just you know, in deep leagues where you can develop guys, let's keep tracking them a little bit. Two teams left. Chicago Bears Matt All Pro linebacker ro Kwan Smith requested a trade, and Khalil Herbert a k A. The ground Bear, has been very impressive in camp. The Bears may use him even more this year to spell David Montgomery completely miss my my, I totally forgotten, I

forget about that. I'm glad. We gotta find ways to work Snoop Connor into our conversations more. You've you've figured it out already, yes, and our final team is going to be the San Diego Sorry. Los Angeles Chargers Brian Mitchell Palooza. What a great party of that was. That's remember that clip is from Yeah, not school, might have

been old school anyway. Chargers real quick wide receiver Joshua Palmer making a splash and baby, a lot of people are pegging him for a breakout season, clearly the wide receiver three for the charges that if something would have happened to Mike Williams or Keenan Allen. We'll talk about him later. His name, It's not the last time you're gonna hear his name on this show. Thank you for listening.

Fantasy Football Weekly. Plenty more to get to, including next segment where we will talk through the peak cock off. Two bold predictions from each of our hosts. When we returned to Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back. It is segment number three. Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchi and Guillotine Leagues dot Com, Matt Harrison and Brian Johnson with me as well. If you want to follow us, I'm at Paul Charchion, Matt Harrison is at Explosive Output, and Brian Johnson is

at b t x J. Yeah. I wanted to mention when the show first started, it's a it's an honor to be back. This is my eighth season with a couple of years before. I'm at ten man not bad. That is a lot of so if we combine all of our years together, like fifty six years on the show. That's a lot of time, man. I think I gotta be creeping up on like Habermeyer and bow Mitchell for like most the most years you're as a co host. So absolutely true. This is a segment we like to

call the pe cock Off. Two bold predictions for this season from each of our hosts that are hopefully grounded in some actual legitimate optimism that these are kind of come true. Um, that's uh. We call it the peacock Off. We should have gone back and listen and figured out how we did on our peacock offs last year. But somebody will tweet us, somebody wants to that would be great. I remember one of mine. I said, Kyle Pitts will score more touchdowns Calvin Ridley and they ended up tying

with one. And you say, you say, will Ridley miss half the season? Which yes, but I think it really plays that actually would have come true. You could have helped Kyle bits score two more, you would. It would have been a better like peacock off to say Kyle Pitts will score more touchdowns in England than he will in the United States. We really got it there, that that would have been fantastic. All right, Matt, Matt, let's start with you. What is your first pe cock off?

Kenneth Walker, the third, finishes the year as a top and running back. Oh I like it uh. Last year, a Seattle running back finished with fifteen or more PPR Fantasy points in ten of seventeen games, and the games in which they didn't hit that mark, they had third stringers Alex Collins and DJ Dallas as the feature backs. Chris Carson and Rashad Penny were the ones who did

that most of the time last year. Now Carson has retired, Penny already sitting out with a groin injury, and since eighteen he's had a knee strain, a hamstring strain, a torn a c l another knee strain, a calf strain, and another hamstring strain. He's not very durable. Walker has been really good when given the opportunity in camp. They say his work in the passing game is much better than they anticipated, and fifteen PPR points per game seems

very manageable for a running back. Running Backs number seven through fourteen last year all finished with about fifteen PPR points per game. Last year that was Zeke Antonio Gibson, Aaron Jones, Cordarol Patterson, David Montgomery. Kenneth Walker is going to finish right in there if he gets the full workload. Their top ten running back, all right. It aided by the recent groin injury to Rishad Penny. But you know what, this is part of the course for him. He doesn't

get the benefit of the doubt on injuries. You're you're getting Walker in the seventh or eighth round right now too. I like all of that. Brian, who what is your pea cock off? Your first of two pea cock offs? My first peacock off is se Kwon Barkley will be Now, I was gonna say a top three, but I'm going to say the top running back in PPR this season cover one. So I'm basically predicting he returns to his rookie year form ineen, when he was the number one

overall running back in PPR. And why can't he get there? He's still very young. Of course, his career suffered a major setback in twenty when he blew out his a c L. It affected him last year. Running Backs generally take two years to return from such an injury, and uh speaking, of injuries. Some people calling him injury Perne because he also heard his ankle last year. That was a very flukey injury. He stepped on a teammate's ankle while gaining like twenty yards on a nice explosive run.

But he looks great in camp right now. The Giants invested heavily in their offensive line in the off season. They also have a new head coach, offensive minded. Brian Dable was the former o C from the Bills. So se Kawan Barkley a guy who in middle March April going mid to late third round and creep to wait second, and now it's creeped to early second. He's gonna be a first round pick in a couple of weeks. If not there already. I mean, I love se Kwon Barkley.

Where you're still a great value late in the side or early in the second round. Right now. My first of two Pete cock offs tray A Lance both finishes a top five Fantasy order back this year. This one, I think you're crazy. Just this one, just this one was this one. Uh, here's how it's gonna happen. He's going to rush a lot. This is a rush first offense. And he's going to do plenty of running. In his two starts last season, he ran twenty four times for

one hundred twenty yards. I have reason to believe that is a sixty yard per game average. In the average five yards per carry, that would put him on pace for a thousand yard rushing season out of a quarterback trade Lance. Now let's just let's let's assume he's not gonna drop thirty passing touchdowns, because now we'd be talking about him being QB one. Instead, let's assume Tray Lance is going to be more like a twenty two touchdown passer,

a limit a modest passer, consistent with most quarterbacks first year. Well, the beauty of it is all he has to do is get the hands the paul in the hands of his playmakers. He's got so many playmakers who will make up for the differential in talent that he may have as a first year passer. George Kettle, Brandon I, Deebo Samuel, all players who can do special things after the catch.

I don't need him to be Joe Montana. I just need to be a guy who'll get the ball in the hands of his players, and Trey Lance will end up with solid passing numbers and possibly fantastic rushing numbers and will finish is a top five quarterback. Matt your second of two Pete cock offs. Adam Theland is a wide receiver one UH. Theland is currently going off the board at number seventy three, first pick in the seventh round. A DP wide receiver number thirty one off the board.

And all he's done for you in the last twenty eight games that he's played to score twenty four touchdowns, just almost a touchdown per game. And that was in the run, first run, second run, early and off in Mike Zimmer offense. And now he's got new head coach Kevin O'Connell, a former quarterback, former Rams offensive coordinator. He's

ready to pass the ball, especially near the stripe. When he was at the Rams last year, Kevin O'Connell's offense through the ball inside the ten yard line the second most in the league. Cooper Cup, who lines up similarly to Theelan on the field, led the league in inside the ten targets. Now the question for Theland has always health. Can he stay in the field for seventeen games? If he can, double digit touchdowns are lock because he did

that in each of the last two seasons. The only there was only seven other wide receivers to hit the ten touchdown mark last year, and from a ppg's perspective, points per game, feeling was pretty much even with Tee Higgins, Jalen Waddle, Mike Williams. All of those guys are getting drafted as wide receiver ones. Why not Adam feeling? I like it? See I like yours. You don't like mine? I know because mine makes more sense. There's that Brian

your second two Pea cock offs. Philadelphia's Dallas Goddard will finish as a top four tight end. I can't say top three because he's not gonna to beat out Kelsey Andrews and my boy Kyle Pitts. But he's gonna finish his number four. Uh. Last year he finished his tight end eight, which doesn't sound that far off from top four, but when it comes to points scored, it was a lot, trust me, between top four and top eight, But a lot of things weren't going Goddard's way last year. Of course,

zach Ertz was on. The Eagles were about half of the season, soaking up half of the tight end targets. Goddard was also often dinged up. UH missed two games entirely due to injury, and as a result he only saw seventy six targets. But if he can get bumped up to that one hundred plus target range, which I think happens, all the metrics are there for a breakout year for Goddard if he can get that volume. He averaged two point two points per target in PPR leagues.

That's an excellent numbers per target for Goddard. He also was second in yards per reception among tight ends at fourteen point nine yards. He was first in yards per rout run among tight ends, and you let all tight ends and completed air yards per target at six point four. And now with a J. Brown UH in Philly at wide receiver along with Davonte Smith, they're gonna take up

a lot of attention from opposing defenses. And of course no zaccurates anymore Dallas Goddard going around tight end seven eight, maybe nine. But I think he's got that top four potential this year. I agree with that too. I'm with you. I don't even it doesn't even sound that bold when you frame it up that way. Mission accomplished our final peacock off. I posed to you my Fantasy Football weekly co host. Is Royce Freeman a particularly good running back.

No Is Dari Goomba Wally a particularly good running back. No Is Marlon Mack particularly good running back? Maybe at one time is Rex Burke head particularly good running back? He wasn't. Week seventeen. I used him as my take on player and it hit for some guy you insssisted on Venmos. That's awesome to be clear, all of that together, that's the competition. We should put our Venmo hands hipping Twitter at bt x J eight one. I won't be opposed to it. Those are the players Damian Pierce has

for competition for carries in Houston. He's already running with the first team often in practice. Damian Pierce Houston Texans. Now. I know everybody's like it's the Texans. I don't want any part of the Texans. Hey, that was last year, overhauled coaching staff, improved offensive line, put a first rounder into the offensive line. I'll remind you of that. And Damian Pierce are pretty is a pretty uniquely gifted back. He is a big body back who can easily be

built for goal line use. He runs inside very well and surprisingly soft hands. In college, they threw to him downfield frequently. I've talked about him last week too. I'm gonna keep talking about Damien Pierce until I'm proven wrong. Great opportunity for a player who, at a minimum should get goal line use. And to make official my prediction here, as in my peacock off, I predict Damien Pierce will finish as an RB two this year, which puts him

as the top twenty four running back. I'm totally with you on this one. Char Wow, Alright, it's not all just not all personal. Alright, good Matt. We promised to talk about the best and worst offensive lines. Tell me, let's know what the best. Yeah, let's start with the best. So I took a look at the top and bottom five offensive lines from both Pro Football Focus and Football Guys. I mashed them together. I came up with a couple of teams that you might want to bump up and

down a few spots on your cheat sheet. There were three teams that were in the top five in both lists. Number one overall on both was Philadelphia. That's Jalen Hurts A J. Brown. Devanta Smith, Dallas Goddard, Miles Sanders, Kenny Gainwell um and talked a little bit about Dallas Goddard. He might be the guy who is maybe in the best position here. He's a tight end who doesn't have to stay in and block. He's got the best offensive line in the league. He can go, he can go

out there. Add that to your Dallas Goddard absolutely there, and with zach Ertz fully out of the picture, Goddard could be looking at a huge volume year. Uh. The next team, This one was a little bit of a surprise, the Detroit Lions. Lions, you said, DeAndre Swift, T. J. Hockenson, Hman, ros St Brown, d J. Chark, Jamison Williams and Jared Goff.

Hockinson the same way should be free to catch passes for the same reason Goddard is and Jared Goff might be operating behind the best offensive line he's ever had. In most single quarterback fantasy leagues, he's not even being drafted. But look at the weapons around him, and look at the line, and if Goff can't get it done this year, well he's He's a backup for the remainder of his career. This is probably this is it for Jared Off. He's

got to perform this year. That doesn't necessarily mean he will, but you're right. You make a great case that behind that offensive line, with the weapons around him, golf is gonna be startable from time to time. If you can pick the right spots, that could make a lot of sense. And if you slough quarterback completely or you're just looking for your backup, he's gonna be a take a chance on me quarterback several times this year. And if you've been watching Hard Knocks, there is a vibe in Detroit

right now. I've bought him. I think most people who have been watching the Hard Knocks believe that there's gonna be a big jump for the Lions this year. I'll finish up with the one more offensive line that is really great, and that's the Cleveland Browns, uh Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, Jacoby Brissette, Slash QB. Brown's, Amari Cooper and David and Joku. I mean, Chubb's the guy. If Hunt has traded before the season begins, I think Brian said

Dearnest Johnson probably hops into that Hunt role. But if QB. Brown's is cleared to play, it's the best old line that he's ever had. You never had one like that, and he was in And if it's Jacoby Brissett, I mean, well, he spent all those years in India with a great offensive line, so we know exactly what we're getting. Also, David and Joku is the last tight end in a DP that I think I draft, and it gets scary after that, but in Joku for the same reason, probably

won't have to stay in and block too much. I will mention that the other teams that were mentioned as top five teams but didn't make both lists Tampa Bay, who just lost their starting center Ryan Jensen, probably for the year. Green Bay both of their starting tackles David Baktier and Elgton Jenkins are dealing with some injuries from last year, which we've mentioned a few times. Kansas City, the interior line is awesome, but Orlando Brown and Lucas

niang our average at best tackles. And then New Orleans who came in at number four on Football Guys rankings but number twenty one on Pro Football Focuses rankings. They lost Tarrant Armstead, which is a hug. Well, I know, but I'm not sure who to believe here, but these are pro football focuses rankings of this year's offensive line, like this year's version. So I do know that their new tackle, Trevor Penning, likes to get in fights. He was kicked out of training camp for getting in fights

with his own players too much. But yeah, New Orleans is definitely an interesting one with Kamara, Jamis Winston and all those receivers. So, uh, we can maybe talk the bottom defensive or offensive lines a little bit later in the show. We'll have to do those a little bit later. I do value I put I put a premium on players behind a great offensive line. And why I believe the Bengals can be one of the safer offenses is because of that a blend of good players in it,

which should be a very good offensive line. And I, you know, I value safety. That's always, you know, always one of the sure things that we want to try to get to without a doubt. And you know, we'll talk about the bad offensive lines. It affects my rankings as well. You know, we've we've seen lots of players who struggle when you have to make up your own yards.

And a little teaser on the bad offensive lines. A lot of them are ones you'd expect, but there's one offensive line that everybody's drafting lots of players from this team, and I'm a little afraid of them, now, are you? Yeah? All right, So well, we'll keep our we'll keep our eyes out for that three Tough questions when we come back. There's a game in which I Pepper my co host, with three tough questions, as the name suggests, and you can try to play along. See if you can go

three and oh. We'll talk to you about the players we love and the players and we love, but we can't draft them because of where they're going in the drafts. Love the player, hate the ADP. That's coming up a little later as well, and we'll release our favorite sleepers later in this show as well. If you haven't tried a guillotine yet, Guillotine leagues dot com, it's your chance to play. You've heard me talk about this format before.

Instead of playing, you had to had eight teen teams start the season below scoring team gets cut every week and their players go to the waiver wire, where pandemonium breaks out. As you are now bustler to try to get some of the elite players across the league and build a superstar roster Guillotine Leagues dot com. It's not like any other way you've played season long fantasy. And my cheat sheet is available there for free as well. Guillotine Leagues dot Com. Back for our number two in moments,

Welcome back our number two Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchie and Guillotine Leagues dot Com, Brian Johnson Guillotine Leagues dot com, and Matt Harrison Scott Shock Fantasy dot Com. You just you just had a Shock Fantasy Guillotine League that you filed, I believe. Yeah, just with my Shock Fantasy members and if if anybody wants to, uh, you know, check out the stuff that we do. Vulture is a good promo

code like for Shock Fantasy. Uh subscription, give fifteen dollars off the cover price and uh yeah, have fun Vulture Shock Fantasy dot Com. I like the sound of that. There is a game we call three Tough Questions. I will pepper my co host, with three tough questions, beginning with and play along. By the way, Tough Question number one, it's picked twenty in your draft, So it's picked twenty where at the end of the second round of most drafts.

Alvin Camarre is available. That's his ADP pick twenty. We don't know the status of his possible suspension. Are you pulling the trigger at pick twenty, Matt? So, I looked up the ADP and I saw that Camara was sitting there, and then I looked to the guy after him as sa Kwan Barkley, And we just got done listening to Brian's he's gonna be running back one Overall Kwon Barkley is there, I'm taking him. If Aaron Jones is there, I'm taking him. If Mark Andrews is there, I'm taking him.

Point is, there's too many good players at the end of the second for me to spend it on a guy with a looming four to six game suspension. Maybe I'm not gonna take Alvin Camara there, all right, Brian, Alvin Kmart's picked twenty, he's on the board. Are you taking him? Yes, I am, and I'm taking him even sooner than that. The only running back. If I'm going running back early second round, if se Kwon Barclay isn't there, I'm taking Alvin Kamara. Overall the other guys that Matt

just mentioned I'm I'm just going into this. His earliest court date is gonna be October. I just don't think this doesn't get settled outside of the lines off the field, whether it's charges a settlement until the season is over. I think he plays the whole year, and he's worth the risk at at pick twenty and even earlier to me where yeah, I would take him there. And uh again, I think I think he plays the full year and he's one of those guys that can be a true

bell cow. There's only a handful at running back, and if Kamara is not suspended and healthy, which is the case as of right now, uh, he's gonna be the bell cow and what should be a very good offense behind a a pretty good offensive line, which which we discussed in the last segments. So yes, the answer is yes. For me, like you, I don't believe the suspension. He may be zero games, but it feels like one game, two games. He punched a guy, which compared to a

serial sexual predator potentially getting six games. You know, it feels like nothing. So if my it to me, my guess is we're going to be in the zero one to missed games for Alvin Kamara for this year. And this is how you win leagues by getting elite players that have something that is causing the the or dark cloud that yes, and the tepid, the frightened, easily frightened to stay away from them. If you can get a deal on an elite, proven fantasy player, I think you'd

take it. Now, imagine this. If he does get the zero, the one or the two games suspension, he's gonna rock it like you know, eight ten spots. He's gonna move from the back of the second round of the first of the second round you're getting You're getting a steel end of second round. The correct dance here is yes, we are pulling the trigger. Tough question number two, how

many reliable tight ends are there this year? Now, Brian, before that, before you answer, you know, listeners might be saying, well, what does reliable means? Here's the reliable means in my mind to frame up this question a little bit further, You're not You're going into the weekend feeling pretty confident you're gonna get a good result from your tight end, which for the most of the last like four years, most of us don't walk into our weekend feeling like

it's gonna go that way. So when I say reliable, you have a you have a reasonable reason to believe you're gonna get good productivity out of your tight end this week. Now, I was just pumping up Dallas got got her in the last segment. But he's not on my list of I think he can get to this list of short list of reliable tight ends. He has that potential, he's not on it right now. But for me, right now, it's only four and it's Travis Kelsey, Mark Andrews,

Kyle Pitts, and Darren Waller. Those are the tight ends who are basedly wide receivers, meaning they take seventy eight even of their snaps either from the slot or outside. They're not relied on for blocking really, it's just they are past catching tight ends who are the ones you basically would never bench regardless of matchup. There are other tight ends, and some people might be saying, where was George Kittle on this list? And we'll talk about him

a little later in the show. Why don't have him on this list? But for me for reliable tight ends, and I got other guys with the potential. But going into the season right now, I just got the four. Okay, Matt, how many reliable tight ends are there this year? You never give us like what you're reliable means, and then you spring it to us on the show. So I was looking at it. Do you judge reliability has no

questions surrounding them at all? Because if that's the case, there's none because Kelsey lost Tyreek, Kittle as injury history with Andrey Lance Pitts has no line in Marcus Mariota, Andrews lost Hollywood. So my my four that I had similar to Bryan's Kelsey, Pitts, Andrews, and I have Kittle over Waller because I just don't trust Waller's injury history right now. Um, But none of these players has a perfect road here, but they're all just individually talented enough

to overcome these obstacles for me. So I'll say four. All right, so you guys have four? Correct answer is seven reliable tight ends this year? Uh. In addition to the four we've already talked about, Dallas Goddard is in for me for the reasons Brian elucidating earlier in this show, you certainly convinced me zach Ertz should be in. He finished since his trade forward. He was tight end five last year. He was a reliable player, and nobody included

Dalton Schultz. Eighty receptions last year, eight hundred yards and eight touchdowns. Those are very good tight end numbers and they should only go up with the dearth receiving talent. Which one did you not have between Waller and Kittle? Then Wallers out, Waller's out and Kittles in. And I know Kittle Scott does have his own history of surgery, but when when healthy, he is absolutely reliable. Producer questions, they all they have every player. You can find a

question mark on every player. Reliable means I put him in my lineup and I don't have night sweats going into the weekend. Those are the seven tight ends that won't keep you awake nights. Tough question Number three. If this season were to play out nine times, Oh, it's the nine times game. It is the nine time game.

It's back. If this season were to play out nine times, how many times would Gabriel Davis outscore Stefan Diggs Matt So In limited regular season action as the third or fourth wide receiver in Buffalo, Davis has seven and six touchdowns in his two seasons, and that's just regular season. He had five in the playoffs last year. So that's eighteen touchdowns total in two years as the third or fourth option at best. Diggs has never been known as a huge end zone guy, but his two years in

Buffalo he's been very solid. Eight and ten touchdowns. That's really good. But he's not gonna suddenly put up like sixteen touchdowns in a season. So I think that this is pretty close. Uh, they both average about nine touchdowns per year. I think Davis would take four of the nine. It's pretty close, but I will give Digs the slight edge. He'll get five of the nine. Davis we'll get four. All right, Brian, if they were to play out this season,

how many times with Gabriel Davis outscores Stefon Diggs. So the last time we saw Gabe Davis in the Digital Round against Chiefs, I remember that game. He had eight catches for two d one yards and four touchdowns. Now, of course we must extrapolate this over a seventeen game. Now he's so we're looking at and this is scientific fact. Here one and thirty six catches for three thousand, four hundred and seventy yards and touchdowns just one shy of

sixty nine for Gabriel Davis. And if he reaches those numbers, but you could, I'm gonna guess he outscores stef On Diggs nine out of nine. Of course, I'm kidding here, Um, I basically agree with Matt. I think Davis is on the op and up. But Diggs is still the queer wide receiver, one who opposing defenses can't afford to just roll all the coverage onto Stephen Diggs either. So I'm gonna go a little less than Matt and say Davis

would outscore Diggs three of the nine times. If you played it out nine times, the correct answer is exactly three times. Gabriel Davis is has the potential to get the touchdown productivity that we haven't seen from Stefon Diggs. Diggs still a special player, obviously, and we trust him a lot more for receptions and yards, but never been somebody with the high touchdown upside that's for Gabriel Davis can eat into it. Current. A key differential is sixty

picks between the two five rounds, exactly sixty picks. That gives a I think if I would ask, would you rather pay a DP twelve or a d P seventy five. I think we'd all take Gabriel Davis at seventy five, right, I think so it sounds that does make sense. All right, Matt, let's go back to your Let's go back to your off your offensive line analysis from last segment. Last segment, you highlighted the best offensive lines. Now let's go for

the ones that people should show some caution on. Now let's go for the jugular, the consensus bottom five offensive lines. We're gonna start with Seattle, uh my guy, Ken Walker, DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Rashad Penny, no offense, Geno Smith or Drew lock Let's give two backup quarterbacks of bottom five offensive line and see what happens. Let's give a running back who gets injured every three games of bottom

five offensive line and see what happens. How much of DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett's production was tied to Russell Wilson's ability to just keep up play a live Yeah, a lot that. I'm very scared of Dk Metcalf this year. I'm completely off of Tyler Lockett. He won't be on any of my teams. Well, I'm gonna jump in for the second because we talked about this in our off season Fantasy Football Weekly, for whatever it's worth. And the Geno Smith starts last year, he played three full games,

yet about half of another game d Cat. It was all all dk Metcalf. He was a top ten wide receiver in three of those four weeks. That is, until Drew Lock becomes the quarterback at some point that they're they're gonna go back and forth. It's gonna be strange. I don't see. I don't think Drew Locks is good enough to look. I don't think Geno Smith is great, but I don't think Drew Lock is good enough to even take it. Could be Uh, second team that was

on the consensus bottom five offensive lines. That's the Chicago Bears. Uh, that's David Montgomery, Justin Fields, Darnell Mooney, and Cole Commet. The Bears are just in full tank mode. And it's weird because they spent a ton of draft capital to draft Justin Fields and then they're going to serve him to the Wolves for like two to three years. It's just bizarre him. The good news is the four guys

that I mentioned likely are their only fantasy producers. So there's very little guesswork and what you have to do a little nervous that Cole Commet might not be able to get out in coverage enough because he's back blocking a little bit. Uh. The offensive line that maybe scares me the most out of all the teams this year consensus bottom five offensive line the Las Vegas Raiders UH Derek Carr, Davante Adams, Hunter Renfro, Darren Waller, Jock Jacobs

or Zamir White. The Raiders have had. The Raiders did have a very good offensive line. They blew it up, and they blew it up. They shipped away almost all of it in the last year and a half. They had one first rounder, Alex Leatherwood, playing guard. Last year, he was the second lowest graded guard by Pro Football Focus. So what do you do? You shift him to right tackle. Let's just have him learn a new position and you know,

tackle mape might be a little bit more important. Does this possibly hurt Darren Waller the most out of everybody? They might have to a keep him into block or be maybe he's just not on the field and Foster morose into block. Davante Adams has never played on a team with an offensive line this bad. Ever, I'm really nervous about the Raiders. So um, and then the other teams that were receiving votes. There's four more that Uh, we're on one list, but not the other. The Pittsburgh Steelers.

They haven't fixed that line in years, so will either be Sad Trombone Ski or rookie Kenny Pickett trying to run for their lives. Atlanta they're another team in rebuild. Their quarterbacks are a little bit more mobile than some others we've time about the base, so they might be oddly equipped for this weakness, but they're gonna be running for their lives. Uh. The New York Giant. It's football

guys had them ranked as their worst offensive line. Pro Football Focus had them at twenty, so kind of in the middle. Andrew Thomas and Evan Neil at least appear to be their tackles of the future, and if both are fine, I think they're gonna be okay. Well wait, I I just just moments ago I heard the take Kawon Barkley's be the highest scoring running back and they got two good tackles. Hey, this is somebody else's ranking about the Giants being the worst, I think that there

they might be in there. I'm not saying that they're the worst or the best or anything like that. I'm I'm just a bunch of those like fifteen catch games at Barkley had that's what we need. Uh. And then Jacksonville they gained Brandon Schurf, but they lost their best lineman in Brandon Linder to retirement. Trevor Lawrence might be skittish again this year, and so a little nervous about the Jaguars. Still, I like that the Giants added Evan Neil that could help they you know, it's not like

they haven't tried. No, they put draft picks, they put fevers, and they've tried it just to this point has not worked out very well. All Right, when we come back, plenty more to get to over the course of the show, including we love the player, but we hate the average draft position. Players we love but players were not willing to pay for find out who they are. When we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly, Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly.

Paul Charchie and Guillotine leagues dot Com. Brian Johnson Guillotine Leagues dot Com. Mat Harrison shocked Fantasy. Thank you for listening. You're number eight for this particular Oh. This segment is called love the player, hate the average draft position. We're gonna give you a player at every position that week. We love the guy, we'd happily take him on a roster, but where they're being drafted is just too high. We begin at the quarterback position, Matt who is your first

Love the player, hate the ADP? I have Lamar Jackson here, and um, I hate the ADP because as the fourth quarterback off the board at the fourth fifth round turn, there's still too many good running backs and wide receivers here. Uh. Jackson was more dinged up last year than ever. Had a back injury in Week four, had an ankle sprain in Week fourteen that knocked him out for the rest of the season. He only had two multiple passing touchdown games last year. Uh. He only topped two hundred seventy

yards three times in thirteen games. He lost his best wide receiver in Hollywood Brown, and they replaced him with nothing. And he's in a contract year and he's his own agent. And if he had an agent, an agent might tell you, hey, protect yourself, make sure you're going You're gonna be healthy going into free agency. He's got to tell himself that. And will he listen to himself? Will he protect his body? Will the injuries creep back up? There's too many questions

for the fourth quarterback off the board makes sense. Lamar Jackson, we talked about if you're gonna take him Tyler Tyler Huntley. I like that play up. Tyler Hontley is the way to go. Okay, Brian, your love the player, hate the ADP quarterback. I alluded to this earlier. I love Joe Burrow in reality football, but I hate his ADP and fantasy football. This year, it's right around A seventy five, which is early seventh round, and he's going off the

board around quarterback eight. And it has nothing to do with the appendex To me, I'm sure he's gonna be fine Week one. I love what the Bengals did by bolstering their offensive line a lot. I'm just not taking a non mobile quarterback. And I say non mobile. He's athletic, but they don't design runs for Joe Burrow. They don't want him blowing out his knee again in the early seventh round. And he's got two great receivers, I know, but the position is just way too deep for me.

Give me Derek Carr or Kirk Cousins and round many later rounds. Then where Burrows going. They are comparable enough for me and for what it's worth, and it's worth something to me. The Bengals had the easiest strength of schedule for quarterbacks last season, going into this year, they have the toughest strength of schedule for quarterbacks, and it's especially brutal in the second half of the season for Burrow.

I'm not gonna dive too deep into the schedule. But so if if you do draft Burrow and he gets off to a hot start, might be a guy you want to sell high on in the early months of the season. But I just Burrow is going too early for me. I'll wait on the quarterback rather than taking him. Well, if you don't like Burrow, it pick what did you say? Seventy five? You're for all the same reasons you're not

gonna like Justin Herbert at thirty seven. Justin who of course one of my justinair quarterback three pick thirty seven, I'd take exactly. It's a lot of the same with Herbert now Herbert doesn't run a little. He's three touchdowns a year, three rushing yards a year, you know, so it's not like he's totally immobile, but he's certainly not a rushing quarterback. And I just can't pay that kind of premium price pick thirty seven for a non rushing quarterback,

and it picked thirty seven. Look at the other players that are sitting there. If I want a tight end, if I want a difference maker a tight end, I can take George Kittle. If I want a massive PPR receiver, I can take Deonte Johnson. If I want to have a young, potentially uber talented wide receiver, I could take Jalen Waddle pick thirty seven. All guys that are gonna be there. I can't put a pick thirty seven against a quarterback who can't get me rushing yards and rushing

touchdowns and passing productivity. Let's go to the running back position. Matt who is a player you love of but won't draft because of his average draft position. I don't hate Christian McCaffrey, despite what Twitter thinks right now, but I won't draft him at pick number two or at pick number one, which a lot of people are saying, yeah, draft CMC at pick number one. He's missed twenty three games with injury in the last two seasons. He's only

played ten. Those injuries are September right high ankle sprain, November a c joint sprain in his shoulder, December thigh strain, September one hamstring strain, November twenty one, left high ankle sprain. He's sprained both ankles. Those are recurring injuries. By the way, ankles uh in seven games last year, and he played seven last year. He only scored twice two touchdowns total. Hasn't had a one yard rushing day since Week ten of two thousand nineteen. That was two years, nine months,

and two days ago. The folks that sports injury predictor gave him an eight four percent chance of injury where he misses at least two quarters this year. I mean, the upside is massive. He could be the best fantasy player in the league of healthy. But the risk is what kills you. Just ask anyone who's drafted, oh, Christian McCaffrey in the last two years. Yeah, or the guillotine league bid on Christian mccaffy got him, you get cut. He's back to free agency, somebody else bids him, they

get you. Guys have to have the stats about how many times Christian McCaffrey was picked up in fab bless the old Yeah it was uh yeah, we we did. We actually looked at this well the last two years we always talked about the most chopped players and McCaffrey was like on the list every week, every week, essentially every absolutely. We encourage you to check out the Chop podcast. By the ways, great, it is great. Thank you very much. We we couldn't we agree more. We agree with that

a lot. We agree more ourselves more all the time. Who is Brian You're running back that you love but will not draft as of his average draft position. Love Nick Chubb, but hate the ADP at twenty six, which is an early third round pick at RB fourteen. Now that's not really super expensive, but it still feels like a trap to me. As a player. Again, he's about as elite as they come, but his surrounding circumstances are

less than ideal. He does have the good offensive line, but lots of questions at questions at quarterback right now, I'm not gonna dive into that too much, but I feel like it's gonna be Jacoby Brissette for the majority of the season, or maybe Jimmy Garoppolo, which isn't a huge upgrade over Brissette in my mind. Um, even if Kareem Hunt is traded, Chubb will still be mired in a platoon with either with either Deernest Johnson and or rookie Jerome Ford. And if NT is traded, it's not like, again,

he's going to be in the platoon. Chubb is and he's just not utilized in the passing game. Just thirty six catches over the last two seasons for Chubb. So guys I like in that range a little more than Chubb, Um, Ezekiel Elliott, James Conner, they just feel like they're in line for the more guaranteed touches and Nick Chubb is just he's in that time sharing man, I'm taking Chub in the third round all day long. I highlighted it last week, Brian, you weren't here, but seventeen percent of

Cleveland's runs last year went for twenty plus yards. One in six of their runs went twenty yards or more. How many were a lot? Yeah, Well, Chug missed like four games and dearness. Johnson looked very good in his that apparently Kareem Hunt wants to get out of the ways. Yeah, let me out of here, all right. The running back I love but hate the average draft position is Javonte Williams at pick twenty. Yeah, I mean that's you know, that's awfully early. Um, you're paying a workhorse price for

a time share back. That's the problem with pick twenty. At pick twenty, I want somebody. If I'm taking a running back and pick twenty, it's got to be it's got Alvin Camaro also right in that pick twenty range. I want somebody who is a workhorse back. And we know Javonte Williams is going to seed half of his carries to Melvin Gordon. We talked about it in detail last week about Melvin Gordon. Now, sure, if he goes down to a freake dirigible accident, william is gonna be great.

But until that happens, and we think unless Mike Boon shows up, um yeah, at that point, I'm going with work course back, Sae Kwon Barkley, Zeke, James Conner, somebody else that's a dirigible accidents in the Rocky Mountains very dangerous. That Pike's peakill sneak right up on you. Yeah, it's sharp. By the way, went to Pike's Peak. Uh, I don't know. About six weeks ago, drove up to the top. What I did not expect. Even though it takes you a half hour minutes to drive to the top. You get

out of the car and you're woozy. Oh yeah, you're like, whoa the elevations something. Yeah, that's I did not expectet chart. I know, but I didn't think I'd walk out of my car and like, have have my knees ready to buckle. If you get hurt in the Rockies, you might want to be worth going at Red Rocks to see if Jesus is there, like you might be able to help you out any given show their number people who think

they're Jesus in the crowd. Let's continue on with players we love but hate their average draft position, and let's go to the wide receiver position. Matt I got Davante Adams, who's going off the board at pick number eleven in the first round right now, and this is just a huge unknown. There's a switch from Aaron Rodgers to Derek Carr. There's a switch from a good offensive line to a bad one, to switch from a great running game in

Green Bay to a suspect one at best in Vegas. Also, Hunter Renfro is good enough and probably one of the better wide receiver he's ever played. Beside, he demands target share, so does Darren Waller when he's healthy. Well, just Josh McDaniels call enough pass plays for Adams. Also, Adams turns thirty in December. Although he does have a birthday game Brian against the Steelers on Christmas Eve, per potential birthday, He's got one this year. Uh, he's dealt with injuries

in each of the last three years. And why not take Travis Kelsey, Stefon Diggs, Ceedee Lamb. Those players are much more bankable at the end of the first All right, Brian, who is the wide receiver you love but will not pay his ADP. Love Deebo Samuel, but hate the ADP of seven team, which is an early to mid second round pick. He's going off the board at wide receivers seven now. Debo was certainly a cheap code player last year.

Like Cooper Cup and Hunter Renfrow, we helped win a lot of leagues but I'm not paying that premium price tag on deebo uh this preseason. It's just way too expensive for me. I don't know if his rushing is sustainable. Eight of his fourteen touchdowns came on the ground. Last year. He had six receiving touchdowns and eight rushing touchdowns. But okay, but the eight rushing touchdowns does feel heavy, but the

six receiving touchdowns feels light. I could see those two swinging evenly the other direction and correcting to still the same total. We'll see, I mean, and I like Trey Lance not as much as you. But verdicts still out on Trey Lance. There's a change at quarterback for San Francisco. Debo also got paid this offseason a lot. Yeah. Will the motivation be there still, t b D. We'll find out coaching staff be motivated to give him all those

extra touches after they paid him so much. Brandon Aiyuk was basically bad last year, but people are back on the Ayuk train, and I don't know, and George Kittles in the mix. We're gonna talk about him in a second, actually, but Devot is way too expensive as an early to mid second round pick for me by the way. Yeah, we get plenty of things wrong in this show, but last preseason, at least some of us on this show,

we're talking up Deebo Samuel. Uh. My wide receiver I love as a receiver but will not draft is Terry McLaurin or no, no, no, oh no, going off the board at pick forty six. Overall, that's too high for me. Now. Granted we've only ever seen him with middling too bad quarterbacks, but that's what he's got right now as well. McLaurin just hasn't proven to have the juice for upside. Potentially does not have the explosive games in him, and even

the middling games aren't that high. Just not enough upside it pick forty six. I I'm looking for a wide receiver at pick forty six that can end up being a lockwide receiver one most weeks, and I don't think that's Terry McLaurin. The quarterback and he's got Let's go to the tight end position. Who is the tight end that you love but will not pay for the average draft position? Matt Brian, can you take your headphones off and shut your mic down for a little bit about

that's Kyle Pitts. Uh. He's going in the early third, which means that if you truly want Pits, he probably gotta take him in the second. Uh. He's never scored an NFL touchdown in the United States of America. His only touchdown was in foggy London Town last year. We've highlighted that the Falcons have one of the worst offensive lines in the league. They're starting a backup quarterback in Mario to Or a third round rookie and Desmond Ritter.

That's a significant downgrade from Matt Ryan. Pitts will mostly play wide receiver this year, and the good thing is is you probably get wide receiver production out of your tight end. That's good. But basically he was the only target in town last year, and Drake London is another viable option this year. Well, that's good for an offense. If I want a part of the Atlanta passing game, I'm gonna take Drake London in the seventh round and not Kyle Pitts in the second. And now Drake London

at tight ends. I don't want any part of the Atlanta passing game this year. And now for a rebuttal Brian Johnson, Oh say is how often do we say, don't focus so much on last year? Right? True? Yeah, do not. They're not going to replay last year. Touchdowns are flukey and he had over a thousand yards and just crazy for that, I Matt, But I still like you. That's okay. I'll talk about my guy right now. Like your toller. You already up your hand on who your

guy is. But yeah, it's George Kittle. Uh going off fifty third overall? That's uh what late fifth round pick? Tight end five? I mean, how do you not love George Kittle in the real world? Arguably the best overall tight end in the NFL. But that's a problem in fantasy football. I don't want my tight end being good overall. I mean, he's gonna be used as a blocker. Kittle isn't using my lot as a blocker. In fact, more than eighty percent of Kittles snaps were taken in line

last year. And yes, he runs routes on some of those scenes. But he he has big games, but he has those massive dud games. He's just not consistent enough for me to be taken as tight end five in the late fifth round. Um, I'd rather take Dallas got her a couple of rounds later. Who I talked about earlier in the show. And Uh, you said you were worried about Darren Waller's injury history. Sure I am a

little bit too. But George Kittle has not played a full season since eighteen, so he's no iron man either, and that's because he's such a violent football there. I mean, he's if us a pass catching specialist, I'd pay that price. But uh, I'm at on Kittle at tight end five. Kittles the single most dangerous tight end after the catch, He's you know, he's probably the most dangerous tight end you can draft. The range of outcomes with him is is as high and low as any of them. That's fair.

There is danger there. My tight end that player I love but will not draft is Darren Waller. We've already referred to him a couple of times. We're picking on Brian. We really are all Brian's guys here. Uh, he's gone off the board. His tight end five it picked forty seven overall, just the one really good season for Darren Waller and one okay season. Significant increasing competition for targets now that Hunter Renfroze broken out. Davante Adams has been added.

Matt already talked about this is being a terrible offensive line. He maybe have asked to stay back and block more often because of that, and I could get tight ends I like almost as much as Waller like Dalton Schultz and Hockinson and Arts and got her twenty thirty or forty picks later. So I'm not I'm I'm out on Darren Waller. That is it for me. So there you go. A total of what was that? Twelve players that we love but we'll not draft. It's a lot of players. Yeah.

Final segment of Fantasy Football Weekly coming up next, will release this week's sleepers and discuss some of your most important best ball in Guillotine League strategies. Stay tuned. Final segment Fantasy Football Weekly Paul Charchie and Brian Johnson Matt Harrison with you in our final segment. Each week we release our sleeper of the week, a score around the table, beginning with Brian Johnson. Who is your sleeper this week? I've got Texans, and we love the Texans on this show.

I think I'm all right on the text. I like it h very contraria Texans wide receiver Nico Collins, who I have dubbed Nico Suave going into this season. Uh. Collins was a rookie last year, a drafted seven overall that was in the third round out of Michigan by Houston. He has great size six ft four two and fifteen pounds. Started last year on injured reserve but was activated in October.

He wasn't an immediate starter, but he became one and started eight games for Houston, and over his final five games when Davis Mills was back as the starter, Collins started to pick it up. He averaged eight point five PPR points per game with nearly a target share, so he really started to come on towards the end of the season and go into this year, he is the

unquestioned starter opposite of Brandon Cooks. Dallas did draft John Metchi in the third round, but he will miss the entire season after getting diagnosed with leukemia, and Uh, Brandon Cooks is to draw, you know, the primary tension of the opposing defenses. I think that I like Davis Mills.

I believe in Davids Mills. I know you do too, and I think the running game is gonna be improved behind Damian Pierce, and I think Nico Collins could surpass a thousand yards and get you six seven touchdowns potentially. Matt who is your sleeper? This week we talked about how there were seven or eight tight ends that you could feel maybe comfortable about this year. That means there's four or five teams that are just grasping at straws

for tight end this year. So I got Hayden Hurst, who I think is gonna be all right, and and the tight end wasteland. Uh, he's completed four seasons in the NFL. Is first two or with the Ravens. Mark Andrews beat him out for the top tight end spot, but Andrews is great. The next year he was sent to Atlanta. He was the top tight end option there. Hurst finished as the number twelve tight end that season, played a full year, just put up solid numbers all around.

Then Kyle Pitts showed up and the Falcons line really sucked last year, and Hearst was tasked with staying to staying in line to key Matt Ryan up right now he's in Cincinnati spot where c. J Uzoma just vacated. But Uzoma was tasked with staying in on that line last year and the Bengals improved their offensive line quite a bit. Uh, there's a ton of good targets flanking the outside. The middle of the field is gonna be just wide open for Hurst to exploit and in the

waste land. I think you're gonna kind of like a guy like Hayden Hurst a lot. I think he's gonna be a frequent take a chance on the tied end. I like it. It's a nice angle. My favorite Hayden Hurst. Factoy. It is just in. He was drafted by the Ravens first round, first round overall. Then Baltimore takes Mark Andrews a third round in the same drest and we all know how that turn. And they drafted him above Lamar Jackson too because Jackson was the end of the first round.

And yeah, so they might obviously they liked Hayden first. They drafted him, never thinking that Mark Andrews would fall as much as he did. And I think that they eventually he falls to the third round and they're like, whall, you know, we got a second round grade on this guy. We're just gonna take him because we should. He's the best player available. And you mentioned Isaiah. Likely they don't need a tight end, but he probably fell enough him.

They keep finding tight ends in Baltimore. To Dennis Pitta back in the day, I mean, they just keep churning out tight ends there. My sleeper this week is Chargers wide receiver Josh Palmer. Josh Palmer, who everything clicked December twelve forward, so the five games from December twelve forward versus before then. His snaps per game before December twelve or eighteen that jumped up to forty eight per game,

roughly triple. His targets went from two per game to six per game, and now he's was a reminder Josh problem was a rookie last year. He's heading into a sophomore year. His yards per game went from fourteen to thirty seven, roughly tripling. His touchdowns before and after December twelve went from one before December twelve to three in the five games after December twelve exactly triple, and his Fantasy points per game went from two PPR points to

seven Fantasy points per game, roughly triple. Palmer is getting first team reps in O T A S, in mini camp and now in training camp, and he's clearly outpaced any contenders for the third receiving job. Yep, it's obviously Mike Williams and Keenyan Allin are one, A, one B there. But getting the third receiving option for a team with an unsettled tight end is not a bad way to

go in Justin Herbert. You know, we all think Justin Herbert City on a really nice season, had one last year, having the lock third receiver in his sophomore year, it feels like a great spot to be. You can get Josh Palmer right now in the fifteen round of your draft.

That is my sleeper this week. All right, guys, let's talk strategies for some of the unique ways to play, beginning Guillotine League near and dear to my heart of course, Brian, you want to start the discussion on draft strategies for guilloteen leagues. Yeah, guillote leagues standard leagues are eighteen team leagues, so you gotta be very careful with your your selection so you can get eliminated in week one. And really the main thing you need to focus on is US

draft for safety. That pretty much means don't draft a guy like Christian McCaffrey, who we mentioned ends up on the way for wire every week basically, or has over the last two years. You want to draft for safety, not for upside. You just don't want to come in last place. You're not last your first basically, just not last week. Don't get alive. And but that doing that, you draft for safety, you don't draft for upside. And I don't want to take up this whole segment myself.

But a couple of other things you don't want to do is you don't want to stack players from the same team or the same bye week. You want to spread that out. And a great tie breaker if you're torn between two players is take the guy with the later bye week so you don't have to worry about bending him earlier on the season. So I'm in two Guillotine League drafts right now. I have a Guillotine League cheat sheet, by the way over Shock Fantasy. I call

it the cheating death sheet. Yeah yeah, heads will roll. UM. I try to plan my seasons in two different segments. Weeks one through five is season number one, Week six on is season number two. UM in weeks start in week six. In weeks one through five, I just need to survive and not finished. Last. So I'm looking for great matchups in the first couple of weeks, hopefully avoiding some of the stinker matchups. I'm also looking for guys who I think you're going to get the heaviest volume

in the first few weeks. Volumes a huge part of consistency that you want to have any GAIA team, And so one of the things that I kind of do when I make my cheat sheet as I look at every team in the NFL, and I say, who is going to get touches in Dallas? And I answer Zeke, So Zeke is a great pick. Who is going to get touches in Arizona. I think it's gonna be James Conner. So he's a great pick. So you look at the guys who are going to get the most touches, the

knee jerk reaction. Who's gonna get the most touches? That's huge because I'm hoping that I don't have to use my fab in the first five weeks. I don't want to use any of my fab if possible, in the first five weeks. But after that, once we hit week six, my roster is gonna start changing on a weekly basis. It is so I don't care about the schedule as much. I look one to two weeks ahead because it's going

to change so much. Um. I had a couple of bullet points, and you guys can tell me because you guys, you guys are guillotine leagues. I'm not guillotine leagues. But these are the things I came up with. I never carry a second quarterback unless we're down to like the last four or five teams agreed I downplay. It's if there's one draft strategy I've got is I don't pay for quarterbacks in a guillotine league. That's like a last

round pick. And I only do it if I'm trying to block someone else on the quarterback thing in those last four to five weeks. If Patrick Mahomes is there and I got Josh Allen, yeah I'll take Patrick Mahomes so nobody else can have them. That's kind of how I play. I try to bleed the tight end market as quickly as possible in the draft because there's so few of them. And if you're in an eight teen team league and you've got two of the eight tight

ends that are good, that means huge. That means eleven, twelve, teams are playing a really bad tight end that they have to play. That is a great point. And think of the difference between having one of the five or six we said there were seven reliable tight ends versus having the most reliable tight end. You're going to war with eighteen. Guy off the board is currently David and Joco. So you're going to with David and Joco hoping to not get cut when David and Joco could easily put

up a zero catch game. And that's exactly where you could be headed. Massive differential at tight end. Um, how about this one. I think you only need two wide receivers. You get two good wide receivers, and I think that's it. If you look for high target players, high the high ceiling, low floor plays like Tyler Lockett will never make your lineup. I try to get play. I try to get two really good wide receivers, and then I try to fill

up my bench with running backs. Wow, for those that don't know, you only only have to start to mandatory wide receivers and two running backs. Then there's two X spots along with quarterback tea. So if I can get a tight end as a good flex because I got two good tight ends, and I have three running backs playing in any given week. I'm feeling really good, and I don't think I need the extra wide receivers, especially ones that just aren't as safe. I'll mention one of

the Guillotine League draft tip. There's almost no rookie who's so safe that you can plan for that guy to start the first not in season, not in the first couple of its. Justin Jefferson, who leads the NFL all time in yards gained in the first two years of a career, he didn't start for the first month of his career. He couldn't beat out he was b C. Johnson was starting in place of him. It takes time for almost all rookies, even ones as good as Justin Jefferson.

And you don't want to be the guy who's counting on those rookies in your Guillotine League. Let those players go. I got one more thing Brian said. Brian said that you don't like to start two guys from the same team. Yeah, how do you guys feel about starting a tandem backfield? For instance, if you have Aaron Jones and a J. Dillon. I think both of those guys get enough touches in a game where you feel pretty strongly about using Aaron Jones as you're running back and using A J. Dillon

as your flex or. In my case, I have a I have a league where I just drafted both of the Patriots running backs. There's just a few backfields and I'll be comfortable doing that that's one of them. But yeah, I mean again, early weeks, you just need eight to ten points per player, and you can get that out of Aaron Jones and yeah AJ Dillon. But that's why I'm looking for the touches I'm looking. I'm looking for

those touches overall. If I can get a guy who I know is going to get twelve to fifteen touches, now I'm pretty solid about that, get them getting in my line up, particularly earlier in the seat, when there's eighteen teams in the league, A J. Dillon is a starter. And by week six the strategy all changes. It does, it does change. By week six to six teams have been knocked out. Now we're in a twelve team league and you know now you've you've already added you know

who knows James Honor to your team. You know your roster is all different six weeks in. It's part of the beauty of the Guillotine League. You can play at Guillotine leagues dot com. I Chee Cheet is available for free there, as well Leagues dot Com. Lots of different ways to play super Chop high Stakes, the Zombie mode of variation, and your traditional Guillotine League supposed for private leagues with friends exactly like it's traditional, like it's been

around for ever, exactly exactly. Hey, three whole seasons of Guillotine Leagues. Brian Matt, great job today. Thank you. If you missed any part of the show. Be sure to check out the podcast you're listening to it over the air as well, Fantasy Football Weekly. Talk to you next week, everybody. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts from my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.