Super Bowl Edition

a super Bowl edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. Hopefully you hear this between Friday afternoon when this show drops in the Super Bowl, and if you're listening to it after the Super Bowl, then you can hear about what we got right and what we got wrong. You know, what we got right and wrong. Yeah, and if and if you wait that long, you're just not a true fan of the show. I'm gonna call you out. Yeah that's right. Yeah, we exist in three days. You get, you get three days.

Actually it's only like, I don't know, forty eight hours of listening times should be very important, sitting next to your whatever device, refreshing, refreshing, refreshing your podcast all the time. That's the voice of Scott Fish. I'm Paul Charge and we want to talk through the final game of the two season. This is our last time to like be forward, looking forward and predicting what's going to happen as opposed to, you know, reacting to last year, and you know we've

we've broken down like a thousand games. I think that's high many games. I bet there's five hundred games in a season. It depends on how many it's talking about. Sixteen times. I'm talking about just last year sixteen times, uh six, I believe sixteen times six. I was told there will be no math sixteen times somebody I don't know how figure out. Yeah, I'm gonna go about five hundred. There's seventeen weeks in the season times sixteen games to seventy two. Nice job. Yeah, oh see, I'm still in

the sixteen game schedule. Okay, alright, okay, all right, there you go. Um let's let's talk to this game. And we've got some fantasy angles for those that are better, we have some betting angles. But more broadly, what do you think it's gonna win? Okay, my head says that the Eagles should win. They are better at almost every level. They are except for the quarterback position, and they're not

bad at the quarterbacks at the quarterback position. For some reason, for some reason, I actually think the Chiefs are gonna pull this one. Out. Was that reason be Patrick Mahomes it is, Yeah, it is the best quarterback ever played, Patrick Mahomes. It's it's watching the Eagles last week against the forty Niners for like five straight drives, not actually doing that much. They did a lot on the ground. They couldn't get the passing game going, but also they

didn't really need to. I think I think it's possible. And Jalen Hurts has not run as much since coming back from injury. It's but that he hasn't had to and he's got He's got an extra two weeks too. Yeah, you get to see. I think my theory is and I like him. I think his rushing is gonna be a big, big part of this game. Jone Hurts. I think there's no reason not to run him. I think the shoulders healed by now. He didn't have to run in the last two games because they were both blowouts.

Never had so they was able to protect it. I think he I think it's game on for the running version of Jalen Hurts in the Super Bowl. You'd imagine, you'd imagine laid all out in the field. Well, yeah, what are you saving him for at this point? Nothing? It's your varsity Blues thirty minutes, to the end of your to the rest of your life, for the rest of your whatever it is. Yeah, I mean there's no guarantee you get back right. Dan Marino never got back

row got right right. There's a lot of quarterbacks one attempt and missed, and so I think the rushing is going to be there. And Kansas City saw the third most quarterback rushes during the year, and they gave up the fifth most quarterback rushing yards. It certainly suggests that a bunch of teams saw susceptibility right, and they weren't even getting those rushes out of their own divisional game teams. Derek Carr wasn't doing all that running, Justin Herbert wasn't

doing all that running. So I think I think there's a real there's gonna be a real opportunity for Jalen Hurts. By the way his his rushing line. If you're interested, forty nine and a half, I know I saw that. That's why I brought it up. I'm like, I think I think that this is the game he can he can get a little past. The same with a J. Brown.

He has been nothing in the playoffs. Is this is a game where he finally steps up, You would think so, right, You'd think so that he's been an underutilized asset and maybe they haven't needed it. But even when the games were close in the you know, before the first half, instead of they just didn't go to a due a couple of games ago as more of a Davanta Smith game, he was maybe he was just locked up. Absolutely, So I'm on Eagles and I think it's gonna be Eagles

spot plays, like, yeah, there's something there that. So the Eagles are the better running team. Offensively, they are the better past, the defense the best and everything. It's just defensive line, everything deals are better. Almost another reason why I thought Sirian he should have been like six than the head coach. Their team is just so so good, so well rounded. Howie Roseman has done an amazing job.

But it helps. It helps a lot when your quarterbacks on his rookie deal, you know, and you know, good for him for being able to maximize that and bring in guys like James Bradberry and domin con Sue and you need to sign him and um Hassan Reddick and you know all the you know, all the you know, all the incredibly all the all the you know, great signings that Howie Roseman did I think the best play

from a betting standpoint is Kenneth Gainwell receiving. It seems to have been every week of the playoffs, seem talked about this. Yes, yeah, he's smashing numbers every every every single week of the playoffs so far. So his first understand this. No other running back catches a pass that offense. Miles Sanders has one catch since Christmas, Boston Scott has

two catches since Thanksgiving. We know that he can get but they never So if you think that Kenneth game, if you think the Eagles are going to have one completion to a running back in this game, well there's your Kenneth Gainwell ten yards right there. Yeah. Uh. And here's the thing. Kansas City gives up the most running back receptions for the second most running back receiving yards, it's a lot. Well let me tell you exactly how much. It is six and a half receptions per game for

forty six yards. I I would I might actually take the under on both of those for what the Eagles get in this game, but probably enough for games to go over. I need, I need ten yards, eleven yards. They hit the overt and they give up forty six, so they can give they can be half as good and I can still double gain Well's number on this. Thank you, by the way to refrigerator Perry. Right now we have Super Bowl player props everywhere. Didn't that become

a thing after his touchdown? And yeah, speaking of gain Well, I've got a buddy Mitch Moss who has he's bet gain Well as m v P. You want to guess what the odds are, It's gonna be ridiculous because we watched Jeames White have three touchdowns in a Super Bowl, and not because Brady threw him the three, but not only through him. I think it was two rushing, one receiving, maybe, but maybe it was. Maybe it's the other, maybe it was the other way. But still, what do you think

the odds are? And he had the game winning touchdown, still couldn't get it? Um, I don't. I don't even have a Gainwell would have been the m v P two games ago when they rolled, when he rolled up the hundred and twenty rushing yards and chipped in a few receiving yards on top of it, it's worth a few bucks. I don't think it happens, probably not, I really I don't. I don't see much of a path outside of the quarterbacks in this one. But five bucks into I could see a Kelsey if he has some

kind of monster game, but he could I can't. I can't imagine he's taking away from Homes, but I could see it happening. But where else is Mahome's gonna go? You got so Judy's running around practice like a wild man. I know Judo's hurt, Tony's hurt, Um and the other receivers aren't very good. And then you know the Eagles have got Darius Slay on the outside, They've got James Bradbury and the outside in the middle, they've got a Vonte Maddox for slot receiver stuff. It feels like there

could be a dozen targets to Travis Kelsey. Yeah it could be. I think it's yeah, extremely possible. I think that's the outside shot outside of the quarterbacks. By the way, how bad do you feel for Melvin Gordon sitting there on the Chiefs practice squad. He's such a good career, well decent career this long, and he's he'll get to watch it, but at least he gets there, right, he gets to experience, and he just won't be active. I honestly think for playoffs we we need to expand, expand

the rosters, have the practice squad players. Imagine if we saw what we saw an NFC championship game in the Super Bowl, like, just just let everyone suit up for those games. Come on, why not? They should be able to be in uniform. Um, what do you think my Homes does here? His line is two? Oh man, I was gonna go to eight. Just off top of my head.

The Eagles's played. The Eagles have played nineteen games, Eighteen of them have been under two yards eight out of nineteen, I think, well, just the past fresh alone, but no one, no one has a better yards over expected when when the play breaks down, then Mahomes. That's he's so good at that. Yeah. Um maybe like literally the best to ever play the game. Yeah. I saw. I saw a graph of it and his his line on the top was like it was like probably a third longer longer

than was like abody else was like of him. Um, so I think that passers is gonna get to him, But they are so good defensively. Uh that those those defensive backs you've already mentioned a couple of times. I think they're gonna be able to hold him down slightly. Um. I think the Chiefs are gonna need much more of a balanced offense than this one. The Eagles didn't face many high end quarterbacks this year. Not their fault, it's

just how the schedule worked out. Faced a lot of backups they did, They faced, They faced a lot of the Davis this week. Have you ever seen a team this upset after aren't they? I get it? But man, they have you know, they're like, you know, we would have won if our quarterback had stayed healthy or whatever. Maybe I don't know, but I don't think so. The way that that game was so onside, But I just

don't know. Because they could didn't have a quarterback who could pass them all, so you know, it makes it the game pretty easy. Yeah, I still don't think they would have won, But I get it. I understand it. UM get this Eagles. The average passing game against the Eagles by yards when I guess one hundred seven parts with the average passing game against the Eagles low, but

that's absurd low. And then I ground up the numbers even more on average and really only one one guy excuse us, or would have been a much bigger number. On average. Quarterbacks through for twenty four fewer yards than their season long average against the Yeah, so I think, I just I don't. I don't know that Mahomes can grind out enough with Kelsey to make up for what he's gonna lose from what. I don't what I think these injured wide receivers, with these tough matchups are going

to give them. What do you what do you think about the Chiefs running game? And this is a way you can beat the Egals? They're like four point six yards per specific people. Because I don't like Cily just

I don't like the thought process. Is that it sounds like Ronald Jones is going to get get a few touches, and it sounds like and is definitely gonna play, which is going to be annoys everybody for you know, you know what, I bet, I bet he doesn't do any you don't think so they got such a good thing going, you know what, his last two games he was healthy, he had barely any snap. That's that's what I'm saying. That's I think it picks up right where they left up.

I don't I don't think Lyde is even a factor here honestly, just then he's not. Yeah, absolutely, he's a running back. C H just don't know what he is. He's a first round draftick and I've been bitterly hurt by this one over the years. Um, but you know, then they've also got Jerick McKinnon. Obviously he was quieter in the last game, but you know over the last whatever six seven game recently, which is annoying that that

that part annoys you in particular. Um, if I were I got asked if I don't like Mahomes, is there a receiver in particular I don't like? And when I say don't like, I mean just based on the betting line yards for Mahomes. Yeah, if you think he's going to be more, who's the receiver? I could couple that with Juju is sitting at forty one yards, Yeah, which is a weirdly high number for a guy who hasn't topped that line in five straight games and eight of

the last time. I would not bet on that. And you know he's got the knee injury that could limit him. He could be a decoy. He could re injure. There's a lot, there's so many reasons to take the under juju. It's weird because in the offense in the preseason, they had him going deep, and early in the season they had him with more some more deep routes. But then they just shifted him back to what Pittsburgh was doing with him. And he does those little out it's eight

ten yards. He's gonna need a bunch of those too to hit that. I don't see that happening. I think you're right. I wanted to good break and I've got I've got a couple of odds and ends questions I want to ask you that don't relate to the Super Bowl. So is there anything else super Bowl related you want to touch on? I don't think so. I'm looking for this in Dallas, Goddard. I feel like we're waiting for the big game. This could be the big game. We'll talk.

I've got a couple of other odds and ends, fantasy odds and ends for you coming up in a second Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly, Scott Fish. I asked this question to Matt Harrison last week, and I want to ask you to This is very dynasy. You know you're you are you might go to Dynasty guy. Well, and so is Matt, So don't I'm not playing favorites. UM. I asked him what I think is a very tough question, and I raised this actually on Cafe n on Friday

in a different non fantasy way. Should you sell high on Justin Jefferson? Now here's the case. Case goes like this, Kirk Cousins is under contract for one more year. After that total unknown who knows would give you back to, you know, some newer incarnation of Christian Ponder. Next we don't know what's happening with his contract. You know, this thing could turn ugly. Who knows, you know? Next thing,

we know he's in Houston. I mean, you know, you know, I don't think the Vikings would certainly don't want to get him out the door. But if they get to some impass and the Vikings they think are sitting twenty nine in money right now, right to make room for Justin Jefferson's next contract is going to be it's going to it's going to be a blood letting of veterans in Minnesota. Maybe Minnesota's not for that. UM and of these. You know you always want to buy low and sell high.

You already bought low on Justin Jefferson based on wherever you drafted him. This is the ultimate sell high most. I mean, you know, if you name your price, you might be the most coveted Dynasty Dynasty player that there is. Name your price right now on Justin Jefferson and I get it. I mean, I'm a guy who after the two thousand six Ladadian Humlinson season traded him for Adrian Peterson A bunch and a bunch of UM, So I get that, I get this, I get the cell high um.

It really depends on your strategy and you make a lot of great points, and it is absolutely a great time to sell now on him. If you are in a position you're not going to run next year, you know, if you're if you want to get a bunch of young assets, and maybe you can, maybe you can get a Bijen Robinson and some other stuff. I'll be honest, bi Gen Robinson is probably gonna be a first or second round draft pick at this point. The way the

way people are, you know what's gonna happen. How many years there has the top running back you know been a legit thing in Dynasty so many Uh, Bijon Robinson could drop to the end of the first round. Think about him on Cincinnati or Kansas City or Minnesota if we trade. Well, I saw that stuff. I've been posting that. Yeah, well, you know the Vikings sitting at twenty three and Cook's gone, I believe because it was commun Madison's at UFA. I don't know. I think they'll cut cop. See if they

cut Cook, that's six mil we we had. We have a cap head of six mil on that. I can see that. I don't know if what are we replace them with ty Chandler and Kenny and uh just hope Bijan drops or it's a deep class. I suppose we can get Spears or something late um take Biggs b maybe or something. I don't know, it's Spears hyper suddenly off the it's gone crazy. Robinson. Robinson's gonna fall into

some spot where he's gonna be very sexy. There's there's a zero chance, but Bejean Robinson is going to be the first player taken in drafts. Just imagine if he falls to the Chiefs or the Bengals and mixings out of the picture, which he might be then see I really I really won one. I'd be I am a Jefferson Kelsey Chase top three and like then a small gap guy. But where I was going with the Jefferson

should you sell high? I'm not that guy any more In dynasty nowadays, especially if you're in a younger league, the average dynasty league is shrinking how many years they last before they fold. People are bailing on dynasty leads quicker than they ever were before. And that's why they should play an empire league. Yeah, and uh I I because so many people are trying for that young, sexy roster and let's build it over a long time and it never gets realized. I have gone to win now

because you're only facing half the league. Half the half league. Yeah, the half of the other half the league is building this young roster the door. If you play win now, you have winning now. It does so I'm not that guy. I'm not selling Jefferson. I'm going to play him out for this next year or two and see how it goes.

All right, I got one more sell high candidate for you, Yes, Austin, Sure, I will say what was later when I went out on the offensive line this year, so they were kind of hurt this year on the offensive line for the rushing production was troubling. His age is and he's not old. He is getting up there a little bit, yep, And he has consistently said he wants another running back in

that backfield and he wants to share the duties. He wants to you know, he knows it's not good for fantasy, and he's a fantasy guy, but I think he also knows it's not good for his He wants, yeah, split back, and he wants to win. You know, if we saw his efficiency earlier in his career with Gordon there, like, I think he wants that back. So I wouldn't be surprised if they keep trying to plug that hole. All right, So what can I expect if I were to trade

away both Justin Jefferson or Austin Ekeler? What is a fair return? The problem with Eckler in the Dynasty realm is people look at age and usage so highly or so you know, they look at Yeah, they're very aware of it. That Eckler, He's going to fetch you a pretty meaty sum if you're trying to if you're doing it to a win. Now, guy, I'd be much more

keen to trade him than Jefferson. You couldn't get one one for You couldn't get one one b John Robinson for Austin Ekeler you might be able to I doubt it, though, I doubt it. I doubt it. So what can you get where it's what's Heckler worth? Yeah, you're you're looking at You're probably looking at a multiple piece deal where you're getting maybe a first round pick and a player

that's less than Austin's caliber. And if you're trading in dynasty and you're trading Neckler, then probably means you're not trying to win this next year. You're looking at a younger you're hoping for a younger wide receiver and uh, you know, some kind of draft pick that's probably what you're hoping for. And I don't know how you're going to get it that we're talking about in a LaVey Wilson type and then hopefully add a draft pick or two do it to try to try to make it happen. Now,

let's talk about Uh, let's talk about Justin Jefferson. What is should my asking price for Justin Jefferson be multiple firsts at least, right, Yeah, I mean, and by the way, I don't want the back of the first round first. I want the top of the first round, you know. I want to you know, pick one to three this year and next year. Yeah, and probably a player. Just the pure hit rates on even first round picks in Dynasty, there's you're not You're you're justin Jefferson's caliber in production.

You're not trading it without multiple first and a player too. Yeah, it's you just don't. All right, thanks for checking in. You'll be back next week. We're gonna write down the five things that each of us want to remember from this season next August when we're drafting. You know it's gonna be six months, such a long off season, right, so what are the things you want to be sure

to remember? And then my hope is, like August, we go back to this show and we list out our things are ten, you know, if weech to five, we list out the ten and we go back to and go, oh yeah, right, I'll remember I have a superior I'm just thanks for listening, everybody. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts from my heart Radio, visit the i Heart Radio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows. Arm m HM