Next up, the AFC South

I don't recall being this excited for free agency and quite some time. There are a lot of a lot of big names. There are a lot of big names, and I can't wait to go through that. That will be next week's show. This week, we will be continuing to drill down on the key things to know and remember from last year, division by division. Last week we did NFC East, We've all done in the a f C East. For switching our attention this week to the a f C South, where my my new favorite team resides.

Your new favorite team is the Jacksonville Ars. Niting the bank, the Bengals abandoning them, but I brought them to a near championship caliber level. And they're they're they're good. They're gonna be just fine. I gotta take my talents elsewhere. So I'm going to Jacksonville, New Bengals. They need your help. They they did. And for anybody who doesn't know, you gave up on your Giants before Burrow was drafted when the Bengals are a very very bad team. So you

get plenty. You're not a front runner on this Bengals bid at all. No graduation. We're remember this. So in Jacksonville is in the super Bowl calling it you're calling it two years. I think that they couldn't make the playoffs this year. Let's talk about all right, let's start with jackson Start with Trevor Lawrence. Um, what way way under reported story? How bad he looked last year? Yeah, disaster rookie season. Just twelve passing touchdowns, fifteen game sames

with zero or one passing touchdown. It was basically unusable in fantasy. But um not giving up on Lawrence just yet. I was pretty rough on him. I mean, there was things certainly not working in his favor, starting with Urban Meyer, his head coach, probably one of the worst head coaches in NFL history. Albeit it was only like a half a season. Uh, Doug Peterson massive upgrade a head coach, I think, especially from an offensive perspective. Uh, Travis e

t N missed all of his rookie season. That didn't help Trevor Lawrence at all. Um. And by the way, she mentioned e t N is ahead of schedule according to recent media reports. And we'll certainly talk about him a little more in a minute or two here. D J. Chark was hurt. So it was just a disaster all around the offensive line. Okay, Okay, that's all true, and there's a lot of reason, there's a lot of excuse making.

But if you watched Trevor Lawrence, he looked bad in situations in which he had no reason to look bad when you would have a clean pocket. Misfiring all of the accuracy, really really bad, misfiring or not hitting guys in ride, not catchable passes or or difficult catches that shouldn't be difficult. It just I'm telling you, even if I factor out all these other things and I just look at try to isolate Trevor Lawrence, Brian, it was

a bad it was he did not perform well. No, and I was worried you know, he put up these massive numbers in college, but he was basically playing for a pro team. Yeah, right, like he had amazing talent all around him. But I don't know. I people are way down on Lawrence. He's kind of a guy I'm targeting as like a top backup, and I still think he could with the right pieces around him. They're gonna address the offensive line for sure. They're gonna take Evan

Neal first. Overall, everyone's saying mass mountain of the offensive lineman from Alabama. So I hope they do. I am. I'm buying into Lawrence in in redraft this year and certainly dynasty if if the price is low enough. So uh, I'm glass half half full with Trevor Lawrence. UM over to his wide receivers uh D J Shark unrestricted free agent, he's basically gone um assuming he's not gonna be on the team. So we'll talk about Marvin Jones. As of

right now, he is their wide receiver one. Jacksonville is certainly going to add a receiver or to via the draft, of free agency or both. But Jones by no means is he a sexy pick in drafts. But he's someone you can likely count on to roughly seventy catches, nine yards, five or six touchdowns. So a guy you'll drive my fifth wide receiver on my team, and he'll be a spot starter in so weeks, certainly in in heavy bye week.

So Joan is still a relevant fantasy player, but I think he'll thrive more if they can bring in a bigger name receiver via free agency or draft a Treylon Burks or Garrett Davis, which which they could could be. It could be something they do most box I'm seeing have Jacksonville taken a because they have the thirty second pick. I believe as well know that that's Detroit's got thirty two. Because of the I still think, oh yeah, maybe I'm

just thinking that they got thirty three. Yeah, they're definitely taking a receiver first overall, but a lot of marks I see you have. I'm taking a receiver with that thirty third pick, and there'll be some some enticing options there. Um, why did we spend so much offseason time talking about lavis Chanel, Hyped by many many people as a sleeper.

He had the huge December last year the year before last and rolled into this and we're like, man, all the physical gifts and now he's got he's got a first round quarterback to throw him the ball, first overall pick quarterback. His lack of involvement in that offense was shocking. Yeah, just sixty three catches SI nineteen yards, zero touchdowns. Didn't get a ton of carries either. We see more work

on the ground. Jacksonville's GM recently said the ship has not sailed on Chenal, which is a good thing, I guess, but on the flip side is not a good thing when you have to make a standard right attack like that. But uh another he's a serious buy low candidate as of right now. Everyone looking for the next Deebo Samuel these days. He's you would think he's got that skill set, so a guy you can get very cheap. I'm intrigued

by Chanel. I'll take a flyer on him in some leagues and I just hope that he hits that ceiling. But if if he doesn't show massive improvement this year, it's it's it's over. But the ship has not sailed, especially in fantasy football on labishka Um. Now, speaking of guys, I really like no Nay. I love Dan Arnold tight end Dan Arnold. Funny, how you got Jacksonville? Yeah, you know I set that up for this reason. Yes, I know. Arnold traded from Carolina to Jacksonville mid season, didn't have

much time to acclimate to his new team. Uh, got hurt in Week twelve and missed the rest of the season um because of the injury. But before he got injured, there was a nice three game stretch when he really clicked with Trevor Lawrence. And this is like right when he got traded. There saw target totals of ten seven seven. He topped sixty yards in each of those games. Uh, he ran nearly seventy his routes from the slaughter outside. So he's really a wide receiver. The tight end eligible

in fantasy football, and I love the Doug Peterson higher. Yeah, tight ends is significant. I'm not saying daniar Old is, you know, not tight end one, not even tight end top twelve tight end, but a guy you can take in the very later rounds as your backup tight end. Is going tight end twenty four right now, there is upside there. They might bring in another tight end, but I think that'd be more traditional inline blocker guy, probably because it's not much of a blocker. You know, I

had to talk about Dan Arold. He's still fantasy relevant and we'll be giving him some some c's, maybe even some bes uh this regular season on f W make that Bowl prediction. And lastly for the Jaguars running backs, Travis e t N and we'll talk James Robinson and we can't look back on e t ns rookie season. He missed the whole thing with the Liz Frank injury I suffered in training camp. Um, people, he's pretty much

getting drafted where he was getting drafted last year. The hype is still there for e t N more appealing in PPR formats, though he seems like more of a receiver than a rusher. It's unlikely he gets used in a Bell cow roll. He'll certainly get see some carries, but the question is who will be there who Who will he be splitting those carries with? That is not clear. No, James Robinson tours Achilles late in the season. Uh, he

was a viable RB two before the injury. Um, but I don't know if he's gonna be ready to go. No Achilles injuries are you know, we've talked about this a lot with cam Akers. Chilles injuries on running backs are usually a career ender. Um. You know, Acres came back in for the playoffs, totally mundane like three yards a carry. Um it is. It is really really hard to the high water mark for any running back. Often achilles is Donta Foreman last year four years removed from

his achilles. It's a It is a brutal injury, and I think the expectation should be that you're not going to get help from James Robinson next year, not meaningful help. Yeah, So know, be a little wary draft in Travis et N He's not even though there's no clear competition right now, there there will be, and he's just he's just not going it's going to be that twenty plus carry guy. He's not built for that, even if the draft equity they put into him would suggest as much. That's it

for Jackson. When I was at the combine back a I guess now, uh week ten days ago, Um, I had a chance to sit down with Tennessee offensive coordinator Todd Downing had a nice chat um and Downey it's a massive challenges last year with Tennessee, right he had injuries to Derrick Henry, A J. Brown, Leo Jones, a variety of linemen moving in and out, in and out

every week. Um, not a lot of depth of receiver either, right, and they're having to make you know, Chester Rogers needs to step up, Nick Westbrook, Conte needs to step up. Picante Sauce needs to step up. And so they put they may do when they got to the playoffs and you know, and to turn out Mike. You know, Mike

Vrabel got coach the year contract extension. Yeah. I think that the game they lost the Bengals in the divisional round, that was like one of two or three games where it was they had A J. Brown, Julio Jones, and Derrick Henry and Henry Henry was for that game sixty rushing yards in the game and it ended up being a sixteen to nineteen game at defensive tussle. Let's talk Derrick Henry pre injury dominating every rushing stat by a mile record setting pace. It was m v P pace.

It was. He was absolutely dominating. And it was his average game pre injury one hundred forty four total yards and one and a half touchdowns per game. And you can easily make the case that says, don't care about the injury, don't care about all the workload. I'm just gonna draft Derrick Henry again because I know that Todd Downing will run him into the ground as whatever it takes. And if he breaks down again, I'm gonna, you know, up, fine, Okay,

I'm through eight weeks. I'm gonna be damnity or undefeated because I've got Derrick Henry pumping in hundred forty four yards and when I have touchdowns per game, I'll deal with it. If he goes down that that's a viable case to be made for taking Derrick Henry as as early as the second pick of a draft. Yeah, that's pretty much the stance I'm taking. I'm not I'm not too worried about the foot injury. I don't think he's gonna you know, he subject to broken feet now, probably not.

Probably not. Let's go to the passing game and Ryan Tannehill finished with seven rushing touchdowns, and you might be thinking to yourself because I kind of was, well, I got seven rushing touchdowns because Derrick Henry got hurt. But as it turns out, half of those seven three we're before Derrick Henry got hurt and he had seven rutching touchdowns year before that. When Derrick Henry is healthy, he

dude scores rushing touchdowns. Well, he's an athlete, he was, He's a converted wide receiver exactly exactly Dan Hill's passing. It wasn't bad. But the real problem last year, and you could view it as an admiration if you want, is he just didn't throw touchdowns. He had just twenty one. That was his lowest touchdown output since he was a dolphin, and he scored zero or one passing touchdowns in fourteen games. Trevor Lawrence was fifteen. Wow, that was a that's the

part that killed him. But the total yards wasn't half bad. Uh, it just didn't convert in the end zone, and that might you know, that could easily end up flipping. He has the same yards and I think off top of my head, it was like thirty yards. He has the same thirty seven hundred yards. He should have more than one touchdowns year. I mean, losing Derrick Henry really hurt.

Not that Henry was catching a lot of touchdowns, but defenses had just had to respect the rung and that opened up I mean Dante Foreman looked good in Henry's absence, but that was that was huge for tan Hill and that whole offense. A J. Brown other frustrating season of injuries,

this time chest, knee, hamstring injuries. Sometimes he dominated, like in monster games against Buffalo, Kansas City, Indy San Francisco and that Bengals playoff loss in a monster game, and in those moments A J. Brown looks like the best receiver in the league. But the problem was his other nine games. He averaged three catches for thirty eight yards and scored twice in those nine games, and he torpedoed

your team. Yeah, you'd like to see those games be more like a six catches for seventy Yeah, right, That's what I wanted floor to be. But it wasn't that way. And the frustrating part is you can't say, well, it's because Derrick Henry was eating all the carries, because half the season he didn't. You can't say it was because Julio Jones was siphoning off so much work, because he wasn't even available for most of those games. They just

didn't schematically go to A J. Brown that much. And maybe it was because he was playing the chess knee and hamstring injuries many times, but very frustrating for for fantasy owners. With a j Brown, Let's go to Julio Jones. I think that Julio Jones trade looks like a lose lose. You know, the Falcons kind of needed him based on what happened to their wide receiver group. Um, they didn't have him, and then the Titans gave up the second round pick and more to get a guy who really

didn't even help this year. He did not score a touchdown until the final week of the season. Julio Jones topped sixty two yards, which is not a high threshold. Leo Jones top sixty two yards once went healthy, right, Yeah, nagging injuries for Julio Jones all the time, which was an ongoing problem and has continued to be now for three straight seasons. By the way, now thirty three year old Julio Jones, that's getting kind of ancient. I'm talking

wide receivers. I think I think Tennessee is a prime candidate to spend some draft equity at the wide receiver position. I agree, where there's certainly some enticing names out there free agency, there's no guarantee Julio Jones on this team next year. That might have been his window right there. Let's take a break. When we come back, let's try about Indie alright, plenty of controversy at the quarterback position

and absolutely none at the running back position. Back in Moments, segment number two Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Charchi and Brian Johnson with you. Let's turn our attention to the Indianapolis Colts. Where would you like to start? Is it? Do we start with Jonathan Taylor? Consensus first, he will be the first player taken in almost every fantasy league next year, pretty much the consensus first overall pick in in one quarterback leagues. Of course, a ton of impressive stats I

can throw at you. Uh, this one from Pro Football Focus really stood out, though. Uh. The most rushing touchdowns against eight plus man boxes or stacked boxes over the last two seasons. Jonathan Taylor two, Derrick Henry twenty, Dalphin Cook nineteen. Sop. Uh, Yeah, I mean he can only

he's certainly we're not sure if he's peaked. He might can only get better, especially if they upgraded quarterback, bringing another weapon at wide receiver to take some of the attention off Jonathan Taylor, so taking him first, I can't argue that whatsoever. Lock it in and think about your round two pick. Taylor seems about as safe as a number one pick as it can be. I hope that doesn't chinx them too much. So yeah, nothing more to

say about Jonathan Taylor. Really not a lot to say about wide receivers at the moment other than talking about Michael Pittman. Just six touchdowns last year, but he was top fifteen in catches and yards among wide receivers. I think he has that wide receiver one potential, meaning he's a you know, a top twelve wide receiver. Um getting drafted right now is you know, like wide receiver twenty seven twenty eight. I like the value as of right now.

And Michael Pittman, I mean he's a monster in the in the red zone and in the end zone six four like two thirty, set all the physical attributes you're looking for. So I'm buying buying into Pittman. And as for the Indie's wide receiver to uh, not on roster as right now, it's not No, I don't think I think Tylton's dap on it. It's it's not former favorite sleeper of the show, Paris Campbell. Unfortunately, it never helps them, never healthy. It's not Zach Pascal, it's certainly not Ashton

Doulan or Desmond Patton Patton Munn. Sorry, So, so nothing more to say about the wide receivers for the Colts at this time. Then it's kind of the same way. It's just there's no lead tight end. Well, there's runways that Jack Doyle might retire, which would make mo Alei Cox a whole lot more interesting, But they've got this uh kyl and grantson kid who they like who was a rookie last year. So even if Doyle retires, it still feels like there's gonna be this annoying platoon a

tight end for the Colts. So pretty much the position is irrelevant from the fantasy perspective right now. But we'll see what happens with Doyle. If he does retire, then my interest is peaked with Moiley Moiley Cox, But as of right now, nothing much to say, And really is there much to say about Carson Wentz. I mean, we can talk about it if he's gonna be the quarterback, Okay, it's a good chance he won't be based on what

they're saying. But and I know Wentz makes big mistakes and big spots that people hate, but dude, through seven interceptions last year, I think touchdowns seven interceptions, I mean, definitely great ratio. He wasn't bad. People act like he was terrible. I don't think he's I don't think. I don't think Carson Wentz as bad as he was. He

was an adequate fan or reality quarterback. It's the fantasy players who were saying this guy sucks because just three games with two seventy plus passing yards, that's not great. Jonathan Taylor. They played to their strengths and that's probably what we're looking at this year. So really, Wins is a guy if he stays on the Colts. Uh, clearly a backup from a fantasy perspective, But and really, for me,

probably one of the last ones I would want. I'd probably rather take a chance on a rookie or Yeah. So that's it for Carson Wins and that's it for the Colts. Okay, let's go to Houston. New head coaches Lovey Smith an uninspired higher I believe, with a dismal track record as a head coach, but an awesome beard. Now the beards, the beard is amazing, one of the best beards out there. Yeah, for sure. Um. His offensive coordinator is Pep Hamilton's, who I did not like as

the offensive coordinator for Andrew Luck. As you may recall, I nicknamed him who Hamilton's at the time he was. But in fairness to Pep Hamilton's who gets to be Pep? He gets to be Pep until proven otherwise. He was with Justin Herbert two years ago for his explosive rookie year. Last year passing game coordinator for Davis Mills and Houston. They kept him on and why not. Davis Mills is one of the great success stories of the draft from

last year. Speaking of keeping him on, they better keep Davis Mills as a quarterback with Let's go right to it. He was the third round pick and despite only starting I believe it was fourteen games in college. I think it was just fourteen games at stamp Stanford. That was it he got. And again they threw him at actual right away because David Tyrod Taylor got hurt in week two. They had to bring him in and the plan was

to rest Mills because he was so green. So they played Mills for five or six games, and then when Taylor came back, they went to Taylor, but Taylor only lasted three games. They went right back to Mills. And I really want to focus on Mills the rest of the way. His average game after returning from that point forward this week fourteen through eighteen. So we've got a five game set two hundred fifty one yards and almost two touchdown passes per game. Over the final five weeks

of the season, Davis Mills was quarterback ten. How about that? And think about the thing about the quality of player around him. The offensive line, the receivers was scraps. He had no running game nothing. Mills is not a runner. I'll mention that with That's something if you didn't already know, we learned this year. Unclear how high of an upside Mills had as because he played a little in college. He plays, he's played so little at the NFL level,

He's had so little help around him. The upside could be way higher than what we've seen so far. The upside here could be a top ten fantasy quarterback down the road. Yeah, I mean, we've seen quarterbacks go away later in the draft that turned out to be superstars. We could start with Tom Brady. I'm not calling Davis Mills and a third round quarterback, and certainly we've seen undrafted quarterbacks turned into a Bible fantasy assets. So yeah,

I'm a big fan of Davis Mills as well. I really hope they just give him the keys and let him go. I test just he the dude. Can the dudes a baller? He's kid, His arm is good enough to make all the throws that he's got, the poise, all the intangibles I want. I like Davis Mills, and he is an NF he belongs in the NFL's an NFL as a Viking fan. How area that they could have taken Davis Mills And I was literally the next pick. Vikings too him on first and I was banging the

table all April to take Davis. Remember we were talking, and nope, they went mind and they're going to regret it anyway. Uh, let's talk Brandon Cooks, who was the only receiver you really cared about on this team. Despite a lot of turmoil at the end, you know, all the quarterback position changes and everything else, Cookes was pretty reliable. Only five games where he had less than fifty yards and did not score all year. So he was a guy who almost usually got you over fifty yards, helped

you out with some touchdowns. And if I look at the games just under Davis Mills, Cook's averaged nine targets, six and a half catches, sixty eight yards and half a touchdown per game. Who is the comparable So again this was Brandon Cooks in just Davis Mills starts, You're comparable player this year was Seedee Lamb For those numbers, Yeah, nine targets, six naf catches, sixty eight yards and half a touchdown. Actually, Cooks scored more touchdowns because Lamb only

had six and Cooks had nine. So I think you'll continue to be a target hog. Then what if Davis Mills gets a lot better in year two? What if Davis Mills is a you know what if he's a top twelve quarterback, which you know maybe he is, was just the top fifteen quarterback, then you know, Brandon Coakes could be yards and twelve touchdowns next year. Davis Mills could be the best quarterback in the a f C South this year, I mean if it stays when, yeah,

it's not that far fetched. Nico Collins did nothing all year, really, and we kept hoping that the breakout was coming. It never emerged, never even got hardly even got on the field. Tons of raw talent. Hopefully has a bigger role next year. He's a guy I'm targeting right now in best Ball in the later rounds because again, you think Mills gets better, you know, and if Collins gets better in year two, yeah, I think he could be the last pick of the draft.

He's got the pedigree to the play. Let's get the running backs. Burkehead David Johnson, Royce Freeman. Burkehead moved to the top of the depth chart at the end of the year, but still on the average three and a half yards per carry on the season, and aside from torching the Chargers one week with the worst run defense in the NFL, he was totally mundane PC For one second, I used Burkehead as might take a chance when the

player in like week team against the Chargers. Yeah, alright, was like I wish in sixty yard two touchdown game, I think royal Twitter. You know, he's a fan of the show. He was so grateful he listened to the show and he told his son, who just started playing fantasy football. Hey played Rex Burke had any one he wanted to ven moo me money, alight, they'll take that. I certainly did, all right, I like it. Burkehead is under contract for next year, David Johnson is not. He's

a free agent, and Royce dropped the piano. Freeman stinks, So he's not even a fact Houston will be drafting a running back. I think I think there's a chance they all they're all gone, and maybe Burkhead's back is a backup. This is a team that ken and should draft a running back, the Houston Texans. Hey, last guy, I want to mention, brevn Jordan's tight end flashed at the end of the year. If you're in a deeper dynasty league, just you know somebody you might want to

think about. He's he's gonna He's a guy going late rounds right now, Brevin Jordan's. It's because there's you know, they've been trying to find consistency. Jordan Aikins, a lot of others that they've rotated through tight end over the past few years. None of it's come together. Maybe Brevin Jordan's and he should be the guy this year, that that could be, and that being the guy. Second year

tight ends generally don't do a lot either. Usually it takes like three years, like Dawson Knox breakout three year. Uh So, I don't expect a ton from Brevin Jordans, but he maybe good enough to be your backup tight end next season. Thank you for listening Fantasy Football Weekly. We'll be back with a free agent edition next week, and as always, thank you for rating, reviewing, subscribing to Fantasy Football Weekly. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of

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