Make Or Break Sophomores

what it was. Wasn't that long. It's been like three weeks, so it feels like it's been longer than June when I was off traveling around the world, allivanting, allivantin Rather, we're toiling and fantasy football advice to the masses by around the world. Northern Wisconsin. Yeah, I will. It's like dialing back time. It really is. I went to this bar in Wisconsin, an Eagle River. It's called Tommy's Bar. It's very rarely open, but when the open signs on,

you go in. Because we had my wife and I had six eight drinks between the two of us, eight bucks six. It's like, what, all right, that's fantastic. I love that the focus of today's show is make or break second year players sophomores who have not yet proven themselves to be fantasy starters. So first, why we're choosing the second year players just because I think by the end of your two you you pretty much know some players break out in your three and even less rarely

year four. But you know usually by two years in you kind of no, yeah, and we're going make as in there they've made it breaking, they're broken, they're breaking bad, breaking bad. Yeah, there we go, so were But we're looking at these guys from a sophomore perspective, especially in dynasty and keeper leagues, looking at them going is their value about to go up? Or is it about to bottom out? And I think the dynasty empire angle here on on on this whole conversation is really really valuable.

Is this second year players that we're going to talk about. Are they guys who want to try to acquire now before they have their make season, our guys who want to divest from before they have their break season. Um makes a ton of sense. Now, the kinds of guys who are not going to talk about our sophomores like Mac Jones, Patriots quarterback, because we know we already know

he we already know what he's all about. I think I think we now know that mac Jones is a run of the mill starting NFL quarterback who's never going to have great fantasy upside. I agree, I think we know too much about him. But the other guys were gonna talking about a lot of times who don't know? And by make or break we mean from a fantasy perspective, not like, are you going to go to the Pro Bowl? You know Teddy Bridgewater went to the Pro Bowl. You

know that's not what we're talking about. We're talking about, God, are you going to be fantasy relevant? Mac Jones could end up in a Pro Bowl? Too? Like four guys are like, I don't bother showing that the Pro Bowl? Where was it last year? Even did they have one? I don't even know. It's not it's so not important, it's so not important. I think it was in it was. Okay, So we're going to do quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers.

Normally we would do tight ends here, but the only two, the only two tight ends that anybody had any faith in last year. Pitts and Friar both are obvious makes. They've already hit their's and every nobody else thought anybody else was going to do anything out of that draft class. So I don't think there's a quarterback or a tight end to talk about here. Let's start at the quarterback position, Matt. Yeah, we'll start with Trevor Lawrence, good old sunshine, and I

think it's the make year for for Trevor Lawrence. Uh. It couldn't have gone worse last year. Uh, thirty six hundred yards, only twelve touchdowns versus seventeen picks. And by the way, he had three touchdown passes in Week one against Houston. For the final sixteen, he had the same amount of games in which he threw touchdown as games

where he did not throw a touchdown. Touchdown, not a touchdown. Sure, I'm trying to you know, I'm trying to get that to catch on, like the Ohio State University, which they trademark exactly, they were trademarked v So he had and you couldn't have got a worse read for what was coming in week one that what Trevor Lawrence gave you, because at that point you're like a game on Trevor Lawrence. Yeah,

absolutely got nine touchdowns the rest of the way. Yeah, he only supported one yard game for a wide receiver last year, and why it all went wrong was basically, we're gonna pin it all on Urban Meyer. He was a disaster. He was a distraction the entire year until they fired him the end of November. They lost Travis e. T N before the season began. With Kwan Treadwell might have been his best wide receiver over the final month

of the season. The old line was a mess. Outside of beating Buffalo randomly in the middle of the season, it was about a bad of a year as you could for the Jaguars. Now, why will it be a make year this year? Well, Doug Peterson, he's now the head coach. Jim Bob Cooter, who's my favorite name in the NFL, is now the offensive coordinating a minute, What better than Harry Colin? Yeah, Jim Bob Cooter? Yes, definitely, both lines. Can both guys have lines? Connection? There we go,

I mean and and Jim Bob Cooter. You gotta say Cooter? Do you say Cootter? Do you say Bob Cooter? What? What? How do you what? Do you call? J B? Cooter? J B Cooter? As to his friends like me, j he ran a decent offense in Detroit for a while with Stafford there um, they had some key auditions Christian Kirk at wide receiver. He actually broke the wide receiver market thanks Christian Kirk's Jones has added there for some depth.

Dan Arnold is back in Evan Engram make up the tight end corps now, so they have some fantasy upside. They added Brandon Schurff as a new right guard, which should improve that old line quite a bit just just with him there. And Lawrence passed over six hundred times last year he was in He was in the top ten for passing attempts, So I gotta think that it's just going to get better this year. He was the most clear cut number one quarterback to come out of

the draft since Andrew Luck. And we shouldn't forget that the deck was just so stacked against him last year. The stability and the weapons that were added to the offense should be enough for him to be a very serviceable super flex quarterback this year. Yeah, this year, I think he's kind of a mid level QB two this year. You know, he's got better running ability than we saw last year as well, And my hope is that He'll get some designed runs um extended pockets that in which

he touchdown. It's not too much trouble Trevor Lawrence. I'm with you on the on the make side of Trevor Lawrence. But we don't have to agree on all these. By the way, we may not agree with some of these. We might not. The next quarterback make or break sophomore quarterback is the Jets Zack Wilson, the number two pick in the draft, the number two pick in the draft, and I've got him as a make. It looked bad for Wilson for much of the year last year, typical

rookie struggles at the beginning of the year. Then he had a knee injury that knocked him out for over a month. But everything changed right around Thanksgiving. Prior to that, he had posted just two games with double digit Fantasy points. After Thanksgiving, every game was double digit Fantasy points for Zack Wilson. The play clearly got better. It doesn't always showed in the box scores, though, so I'm no Warren.

You if you just like go to the Zach Wilson box score and pull it up, you're not going to see like this epic change in box. You're not overwhelmed by yards and three touchdowns, and no you don't. There was very little that, but I test you look better. PFF grades got at least a little bit better, and he started connecting on deep balls. In his first five full games when he's really struggling, he had almost two

picks per game. But during that second half of the season again and Thanksgiving forward, when he came back from the injury, he cut it down from two picks a game to zero point three picks per game and just two interceptions in the final seven games. Massive improvement in the interceptions. Wilson's deep ball was very promising, um as was the downfield connection with Elijah Moore, who just went

on a rampage after Wilson came back. He averaged six catches, seventies seven yards and one touchdown until he bowed out with injury in December. So there was a really nice budding connection with Elijah more who many people are very high on now. Also, Zack Wilson gained first rounder Garrett Wilson in the draft. He gained second rounder Bruce Hall in the draft. And where does it sounds the Jets offensive personnel and totality is actually pretty good at this Yeah,

it looks pretty great. I mean, you know, in addition to Elijah More we know is good. Garrett Wilson should be good, Breece Hallo should be good. You've also got Corey Davis, Braxon Barrios there and what should be an improved Al Davis is a serviceable number receiver and he might be the wide receiver one on that team. Still just in target share, but he's gonna be just fine. Accuracy was a huge problem for Wilson last year, the bottom of the league accuracy completion rates. But it's here's

why it should get better for Wilson. The stuff he missed was the short stuff where he's where he had the big delta between himself and the other quarterbacks were behind the line of scrimmage and less than ten yard passes. Does that make you worried about Yips? No, not yet. Okay, I'm not I'm not there yet. I'm not calling him to be at this point, So roll that together. There's a lot of reasons for optim isn't on Wilson the way he finished last year. The talent around him should

get better in year number two. I've got to make on Zach Wilson. How do you have a make or a break on Zach Wilson. I agree with you. I think that he's going to have a much improved year. Make let's go to San Francisco quarterback Tray Lance. Do you have a make or break on him? We might to diverge here. I'm usually a pessimist on running quarterbacks, and I'll keep that trend going and say that this is going to be the break year for Trey Lance.

As of this recording of the podcast, Jimmy Garoppolo is still on the team. The Niners could cut him for almost no dead cap. They could solve a lot of issues, They could sign Debo long term. They could just cut Jimmy Garoppolo. But they haven't. Well, they'll trade him. They won't cut him. I don't think that they're going to trade him. There's really not that many partners left out there. Baker Mayfield was just Delta Carolina, so they're off the board.

But why they won't cut him, I think is because you just wait for some team that thinks it's have a going enough a good season and could have their quarterback get hurt, and now you've got a lot of value in Jimmy Garoppolo. Right now, there is only one trade partner of Seattle and they're in division and they're probably not going that. Maybe maybe the Saints, but probably not. So if they're in division, you're right, so that's probably not gonna happen. Although if they really don't believe in

Jimmy Garoppolo, that could be just sabotaged. Well, what if they really don't believe in Tray Lance? That's the other thing. Um, Jimmy g is still on the roster. I have a sneaking suspicion that the forty Niners are not quite ready to hand the full reins full time to Tray Lance. With a shredded shoulder last year, they kept Jimmy is a little strong. He had it hanging from a tendon.

It was just dangling there. They kept him in throughout the playoffs and he led them to a conference championship game. And head coaches are creatures of habit. They go at the guy that got them there. Shanahan and Garoppolo, the long history together. And on Lance, we saw the rushing ability on display and his three starts last season, but the passing was if he at best. All the reports out of the off season program is Lance is ready, Jerry Rice, and Steve Young, they're all believers. They think

he's the next guy. But you never hear bad reports in June or July. And who cares what former players that aren't really in camp think about this. Uh. The Niners admittedly don't rely heavily on quarterback production to get things done in their offense. Over the last five years, mostly with Garoppolo, they finished in the bottom half the league in QB Fantasy points in four out of five years.

The Niners deploy a high efficiency passing game, though, and Jimmy G's that's because of what Jimmy G brought to the table. They were catering that offense to his strengths. Well, he's a sixty percent passer over the last three years. That's very good. Uh. And they let their playmakers make plays. They let Devo move downfield. Now, Lance was only fifty seven percent on his passes last year. Fifty seven percent

is not good. And if Shanahan sees it that way, and they're looking at a big downtick eleven percent downtick, that makes them one dimensional, That makes them a running team. That makes people key off on where's deebo in the backfield? Where's Trey Lance going? We can we can cover these guys because we don't believe in his arm. I've been completely wrong on running quarterbacks before. I hope I'm wrong again, but I'm not drafting Trey Lance at all this year.

I think you're gonna be wrong. I think running the running numbers are going to keep him fantasy relevant even when his arm is developing and learning earning to use the gigantic arm that he's got. Right, I think the upside is Hurts this year. Jalen Hurts was quarterback six in fantasy last year. You know that's we'll take that upside. So we had you didn't hear it to you're on vacation last week. Last week we took we detailed Trey Lances a we're doing uh all or nothing players, you

know that sort of sentiment, and he is. He's Trey Lance is an all or nothing guy. If things go wrong, he's not the starting quarterback. If things go right, he's running for ninety yards a game, and he's you know, then he chips in two passing yards and one or two passing touchdowns and and you've got a top five quarterbacks, so things can go very right or wrong for him. I'm on break. I'm on the make side of Trey

Land and I'm on the break side. Let's do one more quarterback make or break with Bears quarterback Justin Fields. I am firmly in the break. Let me make my case for you. Man. There's a center it out there that fields automatically get better under Matt Eberflus and offensive coordinator Luke Getsy because Nag he's gone. But is that deserved? Eberflus is a defensive coordinator issue, so I don't see a big effect here. And one of Getsy's NFL experience

is with Aaron Rodgers as his quarterback. No problem, there is no comparison between these two Aaron Rodgers and Justin Fields and Fields passing last year was straight up dreadful. Second lowest completion percentage next next Gen stats marked him with the second worst expected completion percentage, and he was particularly bad when pressured, with a p F grade dropping in half from pressured plays to clean pocket place. It's totally unable to handle pressure. Under pressure, he through just

two touchdowns all of last year For Justin Fields. Intangibly to me, Fields never looked comfortable in the pocket, and frustratingly, Naggie didn't give him enough looks outside the pocket. I'd had a lot of design to plays for Justin Fields, to get him out of the plot a pocket, let him run or pass on the run. He was asked to do that very very little last year. Maybe that comes together this year, and I wish I could give you reasons to believe in Fields and to believe he's

gonna get better. But Matt, the offensive line doesn't look like it's gonna be any better. Almost no changes Byron Pringles, the best receiver of the team brought in and their third round wide receiver draft pick Vellis Jones is widely viewed as one of the worst reaches in the entire draft. Yeah, he's a kick returner, he's a special teamer. So if you draft Fields, it's really with the hope that Eberflus and gets he run him and run him a lot

like Lamar Jackson level of consistency as a runner. It would have to be like twenty carries a game kind of a thing, because it feels like these Bears are gonna try to win games thirteen to seven with the defense that shed like everybody you know by the way it's it's it's kind of a bizarre team. It looked like the Bears could be bottoming out here. I think the Bears are bottoming out and I don't. I don't

for a lot of reasons. So you're with me. It sounds like on Justin Fields is a break player I am. I want to add in one more quarterback as an able mension here. How about Davis Mills. Because of the quarterbacks we mentioned before this, Mills had the most touchdowns with sixteen played in thirteen games last year, had four games five multiple touchdown games. Only Jeff Driskell and Kyle Allen pushing him. That's nothing. He's a starter. So I'm very bullish on Mills because if he breaks, he's out

of a job. The Texans are going to draft his replacement next year if he doesn't look awesome this year. So I kind of think that he's got a shot here I showed I guess I tipped my hand and how I feel about Davis Mills by not including him in this list, because I already think he's kind of proven himself to be better than all the other guys. So we talked about he's being drafted after all of

these guys. I think it's a mistake. I think that everybody on this show, you, Me, Brian and Scott, all of us kind of like Davids Mills more than the average person does out. So I you know, I just I think Davis. I thought Davis Mills played admirably when given the opportunity to do so. And I think there's a than anti Houston bias amongst a lot of fantasy players that view the whole view it as a dysfunctional

landing place for anybody. Well, they got to score points because their defense is gonna be very good and they're gonna be behind. They're gonna be chucking at Yolo style the whole season. They did last year too, And David S.

Mills you still had. You can only start from time to time, but probably gets better year to remember, I think only thirteen starts in college and so and maybe the thirteen numbers in my head because you had because you played you mentioned he played in didn't start thirteen last year, by the way, had to come in as a replacement for Tyrod Taylor a few times. Let's take a break. When we come back, make or break running backs and wide receivers. When we returned to Fantasy Football Weekly.

Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. This is a make or Breaks sophomore edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. All Charging and Matt Harrison with you. You can check out Matt Matt's work at Shock Fantasy dot com. You've got your Shock Fantasy hat. I'm loading up a whole bunch of cheat sheets this weekend to we're getting going, uh finally, Draft season. Here we go. Let's go to the running back position, and I want to start with Philadelphia running back Kenneth Gainwell.

Do you believe this is a make or break season for him? I kind of forgot about Kenny Gainwell, like admittedly, like just off my radar um. But so this was kind of fun because I got to dig back into him. And for the sake of the argument, I'm gonna call it a make year for Kenny Gainwell, but not in the way that he suddenly becomes a always starting running back in fantasy. I think he's going to be a

serviceable flex play here and there. Um, there's a lot of things working against him, but there were glimmers of hope. In his rookie year. First, he scored six more touchdowns than Miles Sanders at zero. Five of those six were on the ground. That's a good thing. Um. Boston Scott inexplicably was the inside the five runner for Philadelphia, a guy who's not built for that, had seven touchdowns on

ten attempts. Miles Sanders had five rushing attempts inside the five last year, with zero touched out and negative one yard negative five yard average, never one, negative one. Um Gamewell was only given two attempts inside the five, but he did score on one, so that's a good thing. You know, Boston Scott is not built to be a goal lineback. No, No, I just I can't believe that they're gonna keep using Boston Scott there, although he was

fairly effective in that role. He was, but you know, Boston Scott could be one of those cap casualties as they come closer to camp, like maybe they don't need a veteran guy like that. Who knows. But the second thing that I really liked about Gainwell, he was the most utilized running back in the passing game for Philadelphia last year, and that's kind of where you think Boston

Scott would kind of flex into there. But it was Gainwell more targets and receptions than Sanders, who was on the field a lot more more targets and receptions than Scott, whose primary role should be the pass catching back. So give me the most efficient running back in the passing game, a guy who could feasibly steal the goal line role from Boston Scott. To me, that's a flexworthy runner. But

the problem is is we need consistency and touches. He needs ten to fifteen touches a game to be interesting. In the last six games the last season, seventeen touches zero one zero, sixteen six. That's wild usage. Yeah, it's it's it's crazy. So I don't know if that's a coaching philosophy. There could have been injury injuries to to Miles Sanders here and there. But Kenneth Gainwell is an interesting guy. He looked good when he had the ability

to get the touches. So I'll say make Yeah, I I like, do you challenge yourself to make a make out of that? But I don't. I don't know that I can go there. Um, I'm I'm gonna go with Travis at the end as our next runner, Jacksonville running back, I've got to make on him. It feels obvious now, but let's just talk it through and I don't have to spend a lot of time, and it's gonna think everybody's everybody's interested in him. But I've got a real angle near the end of this that you'll want to

listen to. That's very important. I think, UM, as you've detailed on previous shows, James Robinson's return is very much in doubt and way more than people are talking about. Cam Akers look terrible when he returned from his achilles injury. Robinson suffered this injury late December. UM no running back has ever returned from an achilles injury to have a meaningful running back career, So there's a lot of reasons to be very nervous about James Robinson, and especially early

in the season. Et Tiens. Liz frank injury happened mid August last year, so by week one he's gonna be over one year removed from it, so that foot should really be okay. Liz Frank's um injuries have had a lot of variation and outcome of how that's affected players, but it's gotten better over the past few years. Um As, I think we've handled the break better medically than we

used to. Doug Peterson can manufactures throws to his backs, and in some cases throughout Doug Peterson's career, he's done that in his backs combined for eighty five catches and eight hundred yards. But I'll note that a lot of the time, a lot of other seasons, Doug Peterson's backs

haven't done that. But they also it's also really been buying large when Miles Sanders was healthy, and when he wasn't healthy, and when he was on roster and he wasn't um And Etienne was a phenomenal pass catcher in college at Clemson, So you know, the hope is that's going to happen here too. I think I think at worst at ten should be a big PPR force. But

Etian in college was never work horse back. He I don't believe he's going to be a workhorse back in this offense either, but they will use him through the air a lot, I think. I see. Tell me if you think there's a common box score for Ettian ten rushes for let's say four and a half yards, forty five yards um, five receptions for another forty five yards, and a coin flips chance that a touchdown one way or another in most games. Sound about right, sounds fair.

Etian was never a goal line guy, has never been a big goal line guy, and he's not a big bodied guy. I want to put Snoop Connor on your radar, so if you believe me that James Robinson's return is very much in doubt and his his abilities are very much in doubt, Snoop Robinson was a fifth rounder that they took, Snoop Connor. Snoop Connor, thank you who they took. And he he is a bona fide goal line guy. In college, he was used express sleep as a goal

line guy. Wasn't a workhorse guy, but he got tons of He got tons of hard yards um. He was very good. He a shocking number of like ten twelve fifteen yard chunk plays. Doesn't have the long speed to give you like you know, rip off sixty yards, but chunk gains and workhorse chunk gains and goal line ability. Snoop Connor thunder and lightning. Here. If you want a deep, deep sleeper and a guy that could lead the Jaguars and rushing touchdowns. Snoop Connor anyway, I gotta make on

Travis Sten Yeah, I'm with you. Let's go to the wide receiver position beginning with Giants sophomore Darius Tony. It seems easy ish, but I'm gonna call it a break for Cadarius Tony. He was really the wrong draft pick last year for Dave Gettleman, who has now gone. The new regime has absolutely no ties to Tony. They were a rumored to already be shopping him near the draft. Why they still have Kenny Golladay under a massive contract,

Sterling Shepherd still there. They drafted another slot guy, wan Dale Robinson in the second round, basically to replace Cadarius Tony. If you google Caldarius Tony, the first thing that pops up is where is Caldarius Tony? Now? Where is he right now? Where is he? Where in the world is Tony? Uh? He had minor offseason knee surgery. There's a lot of questions about his character. Is a big dedication to the game. Uh.

Daniel Jones in his final year in New Jersey. It seems like this offense is just starting a two to three year rebuild under new head coach Brian Dable. Uh. I think he's gonna build a completely different offense than we've seen under the previous regime. And the Giants wide receivers as a group with Daniel Jones, guess how many touchdowns they had as an entire group had one or zero? Shepherd had like two. Tony might have scored one time. I'm gonna go five. You got the number right, but

Tony didn't score. Okay, five touchdowns for the Giants wide receivers as a whole last yearly bad. I think Cadarius Tony might be looking at being the fourth or fifth wide receiver in this and then Daniel Jones. Yeah, it's offense gross. I don't like it at all. I'm with you on break on Tony. I wish you were different because he does flash unbelievable. Stop. Yeah, he had that one game last year he had ten catches and everybody like, wow, he looked amazing, and then he's like, I don't really

want to play football. Unbelievable. Um. I do think the Giant's offense gets better, but I don't think the pivot guy on that is gonna be Cadarius Tony. No, it'll be next year when they when they draft a new quarterback and they start over there. I hope, I hope for jan Daniel jones sake. You're wrong, and I think they're gonna run Daniel Jones a lot more than people realize. Well, I hope he doesn't fall down about downfield. If he

gets thirty yards down field, it's not bad. Um. All right, Let's go to our second wide receiver sophomore, and that's Baltimore receiver Rashad Bateman, who I have a make one. Despite a disappointing rookie season, Ravens doubled down on Rashad Bateman. Team didn't put a single draft pick into the position, they didn't add any free agents, and they lost Marcus Brown mark Uh. Bateman's biggest threat for targets is Devin DuVernay. He barely counts those. Biggest threat for targets is probably

wide receiver. It's j K Dobbins and that receiver. Yes, Bateman scored just once last year, and even his snap count really spiked up in the final month of the season. The production yards the catches didn't move with it. Unfortunately, the best reason for optimism here in the four games that Bateman played with eight or more targets which he could get on a regular basis. This year eight Moore targets,

he averaged a rock solid seventy three yards. And it comes together for a lot of receivers in year two. Opportunity Trump's talent. We talked about all the time in fantasy football. Opportunity is more important than talent, getting the ball at the goal line, getting eight getting eight targets a game. That's more important than being the next Barry Sanders.

With the opportunity factor, though, are you just slightly nervous that John Harbaugh's offense and Lamar Jackson's offense just doesn't favor wide receivers and and and it's been I mean, Marquis Brown had some splashes here and there, but wildly and consistent and tough to start him on a weekly basis over the last few years. And all right, so let's all yours a good point. Let me define what I think where I think Bateman ends up this year

around eighty catches, a thousand yards and seven touchdowns. Okay, that's all right, you know, I think that's you know, I think that's the best. I think that's a receiver yeah. If that's if he plays all year, assuming he plays the full season as the number one receiver on his team, wide receiver on his team, I think that's where he could end up. Well, they only scored ten touchdowns as a wide receiver group last year, so that might be

a little a little aggressive. I think he's probably I would guess he finishes kind of around Brandon Aiyuk Tyler Boyd did last year sixty seventy catches, eight hundred yards, five touchdowns. So you're on break or make? Is that a break right for you? I mean, I think it's still a make, but I think it's just a yeah. Okay, let's move on to Ron Dell Moore, Arizona wide receiver Ron del Moore? Is he a make or break? He's

breaking for me? He's breaking out of Arizona hopefully. Um. I think you had the stat in the show we did you know last time I was on, which must have been like three years ago, because yeah, because you've been on vacation for three years. Um, Rondale Moore's average depth of target one one yard your heart and the next closest was four yards. Yeah, and plus that, I

mean in my mind and probably your mind. He's fifth on the wide receiver depth chart in Arizona, behind DeAndre Hopkins when he gets back from his suspension, Marquis Brown, A J. Green, and Antoine Wesley. I think so because you and I are well, you know I feel about Antoine, yes, but also ed In zach Ertz and Max Williams. I think he's eighth in the pecking order. You want to be eighth in a pecking order. No, I don't want that guy on my team. He's just a gadget guy

in Cliff Kingsbury's offense, hence the depth of target. He's too small to be a red zone threat. You're reliant on more breaking a huge touchdown. He did one last year. One touchdown he was in completely blown coverage against the Vikings. That was it. He should not be on rosters in fantasy this year. He's a hardcore break for me, hardcore break all right, Um, I'm with you on the break on Rondel Moore. Nico Collins is next sophomore wide receiver

for Houston. Finished second on the team and receptions and receiving ards last year, but it didn't amount to much of anything. Texans used his big body on slants and the middle of the field routes other than Cooper Cup. That is a very tricky part to get fantasy relevance from in the middle of the field because usually you get tackled quickly in the middle of the field, so you don't get the big plays, you don't get the touchdowns. So you know that part didn't help Nico Collins last year.

He was the starter for the team in six of the final seven games, but it didn't turn into an uptick and production for Nico Collins. What does starter even mean anymore? It just means on the field of first play that's important is more important. UM low catch rate UH fifty four percent catch rate, but that was largely the function of him being a rookie catching passes from

a rookie. I think that gets better this year. UM. They drafted John um Mecchi, who's coming up at January a c l. He won't be a factor for UH until Halloween or later, and Nico Collins is gonna start. And I think if you believe like we do, as we talked earlier about Davids S Mills, like David Mills, I think you need to probably like his number two receiver to get a little better Nico Collins. Big bodied guys should be more of an enzo and target than he was last year. And so I've got to I've

got a cautious make on Nico Collins. I still don't think he's going to get anywhere near the numbers that Brishade Bateman just had as the number one for the Ravens. But I can see Nico Collins finishing with seven hundred yards five touchdowns, and he's he's somebody we're going to have I think as a as a fairly regular take a chance on me wide receiver. Yeah, and Collins had two thirds of the snaps basically over the last half of the season. Okay, so he was basically a starter. Yeah, yeah,

we'll take that. Uh. Thank you, Matt, great job, Thanks for listening. Everybody appreciate as always getting to the end of the podcast, and those who take time to subscribe, rate review the show. Always grateful. You can get my cheat sheet for free UH at Guillotine leagues dot com and check out the Guillotine League of your choice. Four ways to play Private League's High Stakes League, Regular Guillotine League, and now Zombie Mode. Talk to you in a week. Everybody.

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