Inside the 5

what's going on? What boys? Nice to talk to you. We begin each show by taking a tour around the training camps and letting people know what's happening with each of the thirty two teams. But we will also tell you a lot of other things of the course of the show, including what are every team's tendencies inside the five yard line? And why you should care and you should We'll play our usual three tough questions. We've got our blacklist guys that we will not draft, Guys we

never end up with. Guys we don't like that are household names that are potentially sitting on your roster, and we'll make our case for why we won't draft these guys. We'll also talk about the traits of a running back bust, and we will unveil our sleepers. Lots of stuff to get to over the remaining better part of two hours this very media show. It's gonna be fun. It's gonna be a lot of fun. Let's start with our training camp information for me each of the teams in the league,

beginning with the Carolina Panthers. Brian, not a lot of major news coming out of Carolina. I'm not gonna talk about Dan Arnold, believe it or not. Either. Robbie and Anderson did sign a two year, twenty nine point five million dollar contract extension. People were writing off Robbie Anderson based on terrorist Fish's boy Terris Marshall's strong camp. But Robbie's not going anywhere a little, a little undervalued in drafts right now. I think that's I think that's accurate. Scott.

Let's go to the Las Vegas Raiders. Yeah. So Waller, after missing Darren Waller, after missing a ton of prexes, like nine or ten in a row, he is back. He's making plays. You can stuff those worries in a sack. He's all fine. But also Brian Edwards appears to be cars go to among the wide receivers. So maybe for

a late round in a deep, deep draft. Yeah, um My Sack was never worried about about Waller, Just to be just to be clear about that, I think that's an old George Costanza thing, right, stuff him in a stack? Maybe that is, I don't know. Uh, let's go to the Packers. A J. Dillon look good in the preseason and is expected to see a wildly expanded role this year. Interestingly, he was targeted three times in last Weekend's preseason game.

He was only targeted three times all last year, and so it maybe that he's gonna be a little more of a pass catching threat than he was allowed to be last year. And a lot of times it takes a little bit of faith in the coaching staff from the coaching staff in order for a player to get passes thrown to them to be allowed to be on the field for pass blocking duties, and maybe a A J. Dillon is expanding into that role. Let's go over to

the Washington football team. Brian Curtis Samuel has basically missed all of camp. He's been hampered by a growing issue in COVID. But Ron Rivera says, uh, he's pretty optimistic that Samuel returns quote unquote sometime next week. Sounds real promising. I don't know. So Samuel's running out of time to get ready for the season. So yeah, new team too now. Granted, old system, he knows the system and the terminology and everything else. But still and also real quick out of Washington.

Stu Beard not officially named the week one starter yet. Church that's up, sir. How's your sack feeling about that one? I have sad sack. Alright, let's go to the Let's go to the Buffalo Bills. Uh. So in the Singletary versus Zack Moss, lovely battle that we love. Uh. Singletary started and played eighteen of the first twenty snaps but only touched the ball three times, and then Zack Moss came in for the next twenty or so and touch the ball four times. So man, it's really tough to

love this. Might it might be a lose lose, which should be disappointing for the Texans. Media reports say that they will keep Deshaun Watson on their fifty three man roster. He's working with the third and fourth team in practice, which indicates the team does not likely plan to use him.

They can't release Watson, they can't I R Watson, So they're kind of in a jam here, and they'll almost certainly try to put him on the Commissioner's exemption list, but I don't think he can by the but because we can go in yes, and so it sounds like he's not eligible for it, and so hughs it might be a jam. They might have to waste one of their precious fifty three man roster spots on Deshaun Watson and maybe hopefully ultimately trade him. Let's go to the

Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Kind of a quiet camp for the defending champs as well the starters. The big names have combined to play the six offensive snaps so far this preseason. But all the household names for Tampa Bay should a full half on Saturday night, so we'll get to see, uh how rusty they are. But it seems like they're if it's been partying this whole time since well, I don't know, but we'll see him on Saturday night, all right.

Scott uh Cleveland Browns Cleveland Brown's, uh, Donovan People's Jones working with the first team, maybe a late round guy. But I think the only thing I want to note here is this is the first year Baker Mayfield is gonna have the same coach and coordinators in back to back seasons. So and last year he had his best touchdown interception ratio. You know, you gotta imagine it improves.

Maybe maybe there's upset. I'm so glad you brought him up, because he's going off the board is roughly quarterback like seventeen eighteen. If you take out those monsoon cold weather you know, like late October early November quasi blizzard condition stuff. He's actually really consistent fantasy producer. And I think Kevin Stefanski's goal last year was to just build confidence in Baker Mayfield, not ask him to do too much. Lean heavily I'm running game. I think Stefancy's gonna loosen up

the reins a bit here. Odell Beckham returns. There's some real tangible upside in bas. Let's go to the Indianapolis Colts. Carson Wentz returned to practice and looks increasingly like he will be the team's Week one starter. He's already practicing with the first team and kicker Rodrigo blanket Chip won the kicking job over Eddie Pinero, although I think Paniere may surface somewhere else. He was actually really good too. Uh So right now, signs pointing up on on Carson

Wentz in this offense. Next up the Detroit Lions. That was way too much kicker talk for this show, just that one. If I'm gonna bring up more head coach Dan Campbell. Dan Campbell very concerned about DeAndre Swift's availability for Week one against the forty Niners. Swift has missed a lot of time this month nursing a groin issue. Uh So, fire up here, Jamal Williams shares and keeping on Jermar Jefferson to rookie running back for Detroit and shocker.

Also a groin issue for Tyrrelle Williams already, but he's expected back next week. But he'll he's ex acted to be out again the following week. I'm sure you're just projecting Tim to be out then. Alright, Scott, let's head

over to the New York Jets. All right, So Michael Carter right now, who we we seem to like on this show, is currently listed as the third running back on the depth chart, and he came in the game as the fourth running back way deep in the game in the second half, even after Michael p Ryan, Uh Coleman, and ty Jansen Johnson appeared to be the starters. Beat reporters have stated they believe it's going to be a three headed monster this season. It's not. We might start

that way, yes, but it's not going to end that way. Yes, we fantasy analysts all assumed that Carter is going to emerge, but I mean, we've seen these time shares linger far longer than they shed in Kansas City. I know I'm the only guy in the universe talking about Byron Pringle, and I won't give me the opportunity to talk about Byron Pringle, and I'll bend your ear for a long time. He's looked good, including leading the Chiefs and receptions in

the last preseason game. He's also been a camp stand out at various times. Somebody he's gonna walk into the starting job left behind by Sammy Watkins, I think. And Mikole Hardman has already been roster. If you've already had you draft, Micle Hardman's already been roster. And maybe it's gonna be him, or maybe Nicole Hardman just does exactly what he's been doing, and Byron Pringle wins that number

two job. Consider picking him up or drafting him with the last the last pick, especially if he takes over Sammy Watkins week one role. Well, yeah, exactly, you can start him for one week. Byron Pringle, let's head next to the Seahawks reports out of Seahawks camp or that tight end Gerald Everett is becoming a favorite target of Russell Wilson, and Wilson has kind of always leaned on his tight ends, but it's kind of been a revolving

door of players. He's never had a guy at tight end, and that might be Gerald Everett, who right now is going off the board roughly as tight endive. He's essentially free a lot of a lot of tight ends out there this season. Scott, I think I know what you're gonna say about the Denver Broncos. Uh, we've got the wrong quarterback. Yeah, yeah, Teddy is the starter right for duty, less so for Sutton, but Sutton still seems hurt and a little bit hesitant in camp. Um Gordon's also alien

fantas alien. But everybody should be ready for Week one. But yeah, it's it's Teddy. It's Teddy. One touchdown passed a game across his career. One. Yeah, I like that. The coaching staff said Locke had improved greatly, and I'm like, improved so much that he's not quite as good as Teddy Bradgewater. That's how you feel about an improved Drew Lock. Why didn't the Broncos draft justin phasis? If Teddy wins a Super Bowl, guaranteed he gets a Hollywood biopic picture

about right, Probably the Rams. Sean McVeigh clarified that Darrell Henderson remains the lead back, even after acquiring Sony Michelle so shortly after Camp Acres injury. McVeigh did say that he he had to be cautious about Henderson's usage, and I think this move reflects that. Let's head to the Eagles next. Quaes Watkins wide receiver running with the first team offense as the slot receiver. Have a s folgum was everyone's you know, he was the hot pickup last year,

but he's essentially on the bubble. But Quaes Watkins fantasy relevant. He is fantasy relevant. I added him to the the Gaillotine League cheat sheet, and there's hways Watkins on Radars Miami Dolphins Scott. Yeah, so Gascon is getting a ton of work, including receiving work. He only played nineteen snaps all with the first team in the last preseason game, ten touches, seventy one yards, four catches, two touchdowns. He

was all over everything. Uh. And it also sounds like Jalen Waddle has a great connection with two will impact right away. He's been the only healthy receiver though, so people concerned with the platoon there in Miami, they're out of their minds. It's all gas for the Vikings. Adam Heland's got this thigh injury that happened early in the second preseason game. It's kept him out of the third preseason game, and it's not a given he's going to

be available for Week one. So just keep this on your radar that you need to watch this the deep thigh brews. We've seen guys get sidelined for months on this injury, and you know, the Vikings have no obligation to disclose anything about the severity of it, so we don't know for sure, so hopefully it's nothing, but just keep an eye on Adam feeling and the status of his injury. Next up the Cowboys, Dak Prescott supposedly a full go with the ankle and the shoulder issues, are

gonna take the kiddy gloves off at DAC. I'm still a little concerned about Prescott. We'll talk about him a little more later in the show. Sounds good, Scott. How about New England? There's so many things here. We've got the palindrome QB battle, the Mac versus Cam MCVI CAM. Yeah. I never thought about that. Yeah, neither and I until this last week, I realized that they were backwards of each other. But yeah, mc v cam. Uh, seems like Mac has started to take the lead, especially after five

days of h CAM Newton missing practices. Bell Belichick didn't deny a platoon at quarterback, maybe like a Winston taste kind of deal, which will be gross for everybody. Um, but my main thing is the Michelle Tree opens up the door for uh Ron j. Stevenson taking the second snaps after, you know, after Harris, Yeah it could. Stevenson's look good. Let's go to the Saints. Jamis Winston has officially moved ahead of Taysom Hill and he is expected

to be your starter. Winston's a dramatically better passer, and this is good news for fantasy owners for sure. Last weekend's connection with Marquez Callaway looked very promising. Callaway looks like the starter currently unclear of Tray Kwon Smith's undisclosed injury will allow him to play in the opener. And then also we're monitoring Adam Troutman's foot injury that is that is I think more likely to keep him out. So there's still a lot of moving parts here, but

they got the right guy. Unlike the Broncos, they got the right guy as the starter in New Orleans. Next up the Giants. Yeah, Dave Gedtleman's House of horrors. Kenny golladay hamstring issue went down days ago, roughly five days ago. That's beyond his two to three week timetable. Many hamstrings not looking likely that he's gonna be a full go for week one. So yeah, Kenny Golladay fallen down. Draftwards

Sterling Shepherd going way too cheap. The one Giant I pretty much trust this year based on ADP Sterling Shepherd. Let's go to the Titans next. Not much here, mostly just that Julio and A. J. Brown have been you know, banged up, but they should be ready to go for the season. Julio banged up no Steelers Rookie tight end Pat Friarmouth has impressed and was used in the red zone in the last preseason game. He's got this big six ft five frame that makes him a potential end

zone target throughout his career. Although mostly I think you're aiming in dynasty and keeper leagues. You're aiming Empire leagues. You're aiming for twenty two with friar Muth. After Eric Ebron's contract expires, he's gonna be gone next year, and that friar mouths your full time starter. But good early signs for Pat Friarmouth. Let's go to the Falcons next. Running back jav And Hawkins was let go. He was kind of a sleeper favorite to me, you win the

backup job. That's clearly going to go to quadre Alison now is he's the RB two behind Mike Davis that is, until Atlanta signs Latavius Murray. That's just the prediction of mine. But uh, I think that is what you're saying. And Josh Rosen, still in the league, signed as the backup quarterback in Atlanta as well. Might as well throw that out there. I know some people are holding on him in dynasty leagues. Deep dynasty leagues. Just deepen up. Let's

head over to the Bengals. Next. Rumors surface this week of on Tap seeing more work early in the season as Chase gets used to things. Jamar Chase, who struggled so far in camp. Uh, you gotta remember he hasn't played football in twenty months. You know, he's knocking some rust off. So I'm not too worried about him. But I do love te Higgins a lot more. Right now. Te Higgins I think is going underdraft. He really is,

you know. I think when they as soon as Chase hit the roster, people like I'm done on t Higgins. Higgins is sitting on. He's actually a very one of those big second year wide receiver jumps. He was very good with Burrow, very good. Yes he was forty nine. Is Kyle Shanahan is opening the notion of rotating quarterbacks Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo. They both got first team reps in practice this week. Lance could be used like

Taysom Hill was used last year. Still expect Jimmy Garoppolo to start, but Lance could be eased into the NFL in this fashion with spot duty and perhaps closer to the goal line, which would be bad for fantasy owners, frankly, because that that would make both of them unstartable. Next up the Cardinals. Cardinals activated Andy Isabella from the reserve COVID list, but who really cares at this point he

might not even make the team. A former second round pick a couple of years ago by Arizona clearly behind obviously behind Hopkins, with a j Green, rond Elmore and Christian Kirk all well ahead of Andy Isabella, who's on the roster bubble, Okay Scott the Jags, Trevor Lawrence has been named the starter, so Gardner Minshew can finally go to the bathroom. Uh et n uh. Injury opens the door for Chennault to get work, and maybe that harvn roll that Urban had had planned for e t n

might be some extra work there for Chennault. I hope, so he he has slipped quite a bit in drafts. Let's go to the Baltimore Ravens, where Marquis Brown is still not practicing four weeks after his hamstring injury. His status for the openers unclear. At this point, we already know where Shod Bateman is gonna miss week one. Sammy Watkins missed practice this week with an undisclosed injury. Miles Boykin has missed weeks of practice with his own hamstring injury.

It's been bad lamar Jackson, and practice is taking first team reps with Devin DuVernay and Thailand Wallace. I don't know who that is, and I do this for a living. What yeah, Thailand Wallace? Okay, some people pronounce a tilling. I think it is Till. He'll be tilling your fantasy team. Let's go to the Bears. That's sorry, that is me. I don't want to go to the Bears because they're making the most moronic move of all time by not starting Justin Fields in week one. They've already decided that

will be Andy Dalton the end. I mean, how long until we see Justin Fields? Though? Well, we do, hopefully hopefully quarter two Week one, he's going off the board too late. Let's go to our final team, Los Angeles Chargers, and possibly one of the more important ones. According to reports from a ton of sources, CBS Athletic Sports illustrated a bunch of beat reporters. This is how the backfield is looking. Eckler is the starter, Justin Jackson is his

main backup. Kelly and round Tree will be used in short yardage and goal line for the team. We don't want it. We do not want to hear anybody but Austin Ekeler getting used at that very much tracks with their skill sets in history too. Unfortunately, I was hoping a new coaching staff would see it differently. Austin Ekeler, you've seen it. You've seen him, shirtless, dude built, he can run at the stripe. Dam I'll believe it when

I see it or don't see it. With them using a healthy at the goal line, we'll just see about that. When we come back inside the five yard line, we'll go through we just ran through two teams, or run through thirty two teams again and tell you what you need to know about what your teams do inside the five yard line. When we returned to Fantasy Football Weekly, Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul charge In, Scott Fish

and Brian Johnson with you. If you would like to use my personal cheat sheet at your draft, it's free at Guilloteen Leagues dot Com. Gentlemen, As you know, for years I have done deep dives on team tendencies from inside the five yard line and canitual listeners may not realize just how crucial this information is. Why should you care about what happens inside the five yard line? After all the other yards in those count two? Here's why

you should care. Thank for a moment about how many touchdowns you think were scored in the NFL from inside the five yard line last year? We call this the infra red zone too? Do we like to call this the infrared zone? So put a number in your head. How many touchdowns were scored from inside the five yard line last year? Do you think it was more than one hundred? Yes? Do you think it was more than

two hundred? Yes? Do you think it could be more than three hundred touchdowns scored in the NFL from inside the five yard line last year? Because I've been a training camp year over year, Yes I do. Last year, six hundred twenty nine touchdowns first scored from its at the five yard line. See, I would even take that many touchdowns scored in the NFL, right, I know, it's crazy.

You need to have a part of those These are the easy touchdowns the inside the five of the easy ones, guys who have to score from distance, and maybe we're just talking about Austin Neckler last segment. If Austin Ekeler has to score from distance, that materially hurts his fantasy production six twenty eight touchdowns. We care, So we're gonna give you the one thing you need to know from each of the teams from inside the five yard line, based a lot on what the tendencies are from last season.

Let's begin with Brian and the Carolina Panthers. Well, as we all remember, Carolina basically sands Christian McCaffrey last year played to two or three games, which still Caroline had the third highest rushing ratio inside the five last year, Teddy Bridgewater only attempted three passes from inside. Only throw three passes inside the five year um and Teddy can

throw that far as he can. But of course a new quarterback and Sam Donald, a new uh ends own weapon, and d Arnold Dan Arnold and uh Terris Marshall as well as a serious threat in the red zone, so maybe Carolina throws a little more. But last year very run heavy, and of course, as of right now, Christian McCaffrey back, So lots of opportunities for CMC was like, they are on the horizon, So I think you should take him high in your drafts this year, Scott, guys,

think of that. How about the Las Vegas Raiders from inside the five yard line? This one's really interesting because Jacobs, uh and Drake were both top five and carries inside the five and inside the ten last year, but on different teams. Jacobs has the better build for for that kind of role, but Drake was much more effective than then Jacobs was last year. UM, I think we're gonna see how it shakes out. I would expect Jacobs to to keep that role because he's been in that role

in that offense already, but I guess we'll find out. Jacobs, I think convertedent of his carries inside the five were touchdowns. You want to be at You want to know what Jacob was. That was Drake. Yeah, that's better. Maybe it's better. It's not great, but it's better. Okay, let's go to Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers through the most passes from inside the five. Get this. We just talked about Teddy through three passes from inside the five. Aaron Rodgers through thirty

times from inside the five and scored twenty touchdowns. He had more touchdowns from inside the five than Teddy Bridgewater had. Period. Davante Adams let all receivers and targets, receptions and touchdowns from inside the five. Let's head to Washington next, and Washington, Antonio Gibson scored on half of his carries inside the five last year and very very good rate. And Washington had the fourth highest rush rate from inside the five.

That is very good when it comes to uh rostering Antonio Gibson, you can't get a lot of opportunities inside the five. Next up, let's go to Buffalo. So the carries inside the five were split very evenly between uh Moss and Alan god Singletary. Let's keep him out of the equation. Moss and Ellen Allen with a much higher conversion rate. But with that new two million dollar deal, the question now becomes do the bills continue to allow those runs? Do they allow him to run the in

seven eight times? Or do they try or be or do they know, do they allow him because that's what they paid him to do, that's what works, or do they, you know, try to protect their investment I'd like to think they'll try Zach Moss early in the season and see if Zach Moss can be effective at the goal line, and if he is, keep using him that way and keep the miles and all the all of the tackles and all the hits off of their star and now

very expensive quarterback for the Texans. Deshaun Watson's probably out of the mix. He takes seven inside the five rushes with him, And so you ask will will runners get more chances? Then, well, David Johnson was really bad last year. He turned to twelve carries into just four scores. Since not David Johnson, Philip Lindsay is not really built for goal line you, So does it go to mark Ingram? Is that possible? Could he be a dark horse to come out of this thing with gold line carries? The

Houston backfield just doesn't exist in my mind. I'm just not going to acknowledge any of those. Let's instead acknowledged Tampa Bay. That's another frustrating backfield. Yeah, is it Ronald Jones or Leonard Fournette at the goal line? So let's look at last year's data. They both had eight carries from inside the five. They both scored five touchdowns. Alright, no help there, no help there at all. Gio Bernard

now in talent, unlikely a goal line threat though. So I don't know take your poison between Rojo and Leo. But you see what you do is you take your twenty five Anniverse three uh Fantasy Football Weekly you definitely should have purchased if you did, and flip that thing. Figure it out, Scott, Let's try Cleveland. What do we need to about know about their tendencies inside the five? Yeah,

let's let's keep that coin out. Yeah, all right, let's talk about how Nick Chop and Cream Hunt within a couple carries of each other, and they had almost exactly the same amount of carries and conversion rate. So and I don't see any change. I don't see any change there at all. It's gonna slightly lean Chubb, but that's what it's gonna be. If Chubb marches down the field, they need he needs to break Hunts. They think Hunt is perfectly capable, and he is. Yeah for the Colts.

Niheim Hines got a depressing seven carries inside the five last year, which is inexplicable, but he only scored two times from inside the five, and once Jonathan Taylor went on his December run, Nahem Hines got no carries inside the five, so hopefully that was all mirrage and we're not going to see niahem Hins there, and Jonathan Taylor is gonna just house all those inside the five carries. Let's go next to the Detroit Lions, Brian Adrian Peterson

and carry on. Johnson now gone from Detroit, they have vacated eighteen carries from inside the five years. Lots of a what for sure, right and DeAndre Swift was very successful last year, scoring on six of his nine runs from inside the five last year, but as we talked about last segment, he's looking very iffy for Week one, May, week two and beyond. So again, Jamal Williams, je Mark Jefferson even bump them up your your boards, all right, Scott, Let's go to the Jets next, can we not? Uh

just kidding? The Jets only had fourteen total carries inside the five last year, which is a little bit hilarious. There's only one team worse, and I'll talk about them in a bit, but Ty Johnson is the only running back on the team who had a single carry inside the five. Last year was back with the team. He's currently running is the top back, but I would expect

Michael Carter to be able to take that role. For the Chiefs, they're all of their runners together, all of the runners on roster combined for two touchdowns from inside the five yard line. You know hard it is to do that when you are the highest us They were the second highest scoring team last year. That's insane. That's the change it's has. It has to change, right, But will it change via Clyde Edwards, Hilaire or somebody else.

Let's go to the Seahawks Brian. Chris Carson since eighteen has accumulated thirty three carries from inside the five for the Seahawks. All other Seattle runners during that time span have combined for twenty two. Al Right, Carson is the guy. He just needs. Maybe if Chris Carson, maybe, if they had Chris Carson instead of Marshawn Lynch in that Super Bowl, they would have give Hi Chris Carson the ball the goal line instead of deciding to lose the game instead.

But again, Carson only six carries from the side to five last year, only played twelve games. He's got to stay healthy. But if he does, he is the guy for Seattle Scott. Next up the Broncos. Much like the Jets, the Broncos only ran it thirteen times inside the five last year. They just did not get down to the stripe for to run the ball that much. Melvin Gordon had over half of them. He's still there. Javonte Williams

is very well suited for that role. That's perfect for him. UM. I would expect possibly a split early on, but if Javonte Williams proves effective, he could take that, let's hope. So for the Rams, since Sean McVeigh took over in the Rams have the most rushing plays and the most rushing touchdowns from inside the five. That bodes well for Darryl Henderson. We're going to talk maybe Sony Michelle. I don't want to tip my hand yet, but that's that's topics.

Gonna come up again later. Next up Brian the Eagles. Sort of a small sample size for Jalen Hurts last year, but he only had one carry from inside the five for negative two yards, so he doesn't seem like a huge threat to his running backs, primarily Miles Sanders. As you know how Josh Allen is a threat to Zack Moss or something along those lines. Miles Sanders only had four carries inside the five last year. He was banged up for a good amount of the season, which scored twice.

Clip he should be the guy inside the five and again, not too worried about hurts taking those goal line touches. It's an important from Sanders, Scott. Let's go to the Dolphins next. So last year Miami really used a one back approach. When it was achmed In, he got almost all the goal line work. When it was Gasking, he got almost all the goal line work. And when you say and you mean who is the lead back, that it was exact lead back, the healthy lead back. They

took a one back approach. The lead back of that game was the one they used at this stripe. And it appears to be Gaskin's job right now. Both Gaskin and Acment are getting work with the first team, but it really does appear to be Gaskin's job. In Minnesota last year, no team ran the ball more than the Minnesota Vikings thirty eight carries from inside the five yard line last year, and that's a lot of why Dalvin Cook is so safe in fantasy leagues. I'll note Adam

Feeling get this. He scored on seven of eight targets from inside the five. That's an amazing rate, and it goes to show that they continue can continue to use Theeling that way. Next up, let's go to the Dallas Cowboys. Brian, I'm not gonna look into too much what happened inside the five last year because the Cowboys offensive line was basically non existent. They were all gone, all the regulars we're not playing for the most part. But they all

make their return this year. Left tackle Tyron Smith comes back after playing just a hundred fifty four snaps. Right tackle Ill Collins missed all due to hip surgery. He is back. It will still be Zeke at the stripe. He he didn't have the most success last year, but again, the line was not in full form. Tony Pollard not so much a concern at the goal line, and I don't think they want Dak Prescott to handle many goal line touches coming off shoulder injury. So I'm sleeping on

Zeke a little too much. Maybe well we'll see, But alright, final one for this segment, Scott tell people about what the Patriots are like inside the five yard line? What's the one thing they need to know? The Patriots are very much Cam Newton based. So if he doesn't get the start, I would expect the big bulldozing Romandre Stevenson to get it if unless Amien Harry's just built for that too. He he is. He got some work there last year. But it could be a split, and it

could be gross, but it could be even grosser. Bill Belichick decides he wants to bring Cam Newton in that area. Wouldn't that be a disaster if he brings in Cam at the goal line? Oh, that'd be so frust Cam had last year twenty two carries from inside the five. Only two players, both running backs, had more carries from inside the five than the Patriots quarter. It was basically all Camps. Yes, it was all Cam last year. Let's

hope he is a total non factor this year. When we come back, we'll continue telling you the one thing you need to know about team tendencies from inside the five as Fantasy Football Weekly continues. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul Charge and Gaillotine Leagues dot Com. Brian Johnson Gaillotine Leagues dot Um and Scott Fish is our third co host today. This is segment number two of

What's Happening Inside the five yard Line? What is the one thing you need to know from every team from inside the five? There were a whopping six touchdowns scored from inside the five last year. You need to know because we love easy touchdowns and those are easy touchdowns breaking news. We like touchdowns and fantasy football. I know, hard to believe. Right before we jump into jump into the final set of teams that we want to talk about from inside the five, reminder that it's a perfect

time to join a Guillotine League. As you probably know, eight teen teams start the season. There's no head to head and instead of teams playing each other, the low team that scores each week gets cut and all their players go to the waiver wire and there everybody else sits pandemonium as you're feasting on an entire draft of players. Might be Alan Camara, Josh Allen, Mike Evans, Chris Carson, Kenny Golladay, all hitting the waiver wire in one week.

It's crazy. That's the premise of the Guillotine League. All you have to do is not be last in any given week, and the last team standing wins the whole thing. You can go to guillotine leagues dot com to find private league's, public leagues, or whatever prize level you want to play for, all available at guillotine leagues dot com. Can we talk about the new super chop format very quickly? Sure,

let's do it real quick. You said a smaller league, twelve team league, do your draft, and you survive through week eleven, and then you advanced to the playoffs against eleven other finalists, and you do a brand new draft for the playoff period in November, which is pretty sweet. Weeah, there's a hundred dollar super Chop contest in the lobby and I highly suggest six thousand dollar grand prize. That's

our high stakes version of Guillotine Leagues. Let's go to I believe the team we left off on was the New York Giants from inside the five yard line. Scott, it's me, It's Brian, Sorry, Brian, Unfortunately I gotta talk about the Giants again. Only only the Jets through fewer passes inside the five than the Giants did last year, And of course Kwan Barkley basically missed the whole season. Um but there was success and success inside the five

for the Giants. Evan Ingram one carry for a touchdown, Tavonta Freeman one carry for a touchdown, Dion Lewis three carries for two touchdowns, Alfred Morris one carry for a touchdown. So if Barkley stays healthy or gets healthy, all of that work, you could be looking at a nice season. But another guy I'm very worried about. We'll talk about him a little later as well. All right, next tyn

to see Titans Scott. The Titans are easy. Henry got over seventy of the carries converted over fifty of those. It's all him. It's all him. How do you not have like we was getting him? That's why. Yeah, John Smith did get some. I don't think Darring Ted Evans got any. No Nick Nichols or something. The Saints from inside the five, we still have to sweat Taysom Hill. Even though Jamis Winston is going to be the starter. Even when he wasn't starting, he was still getting carries

inside the five. And last year Taysom Hill had nine carries inside the five, he scored six times. That's a good return, good efficiency, and unfortunately that's what we're stuck with with Taysom Hill, and that might continue to be a problem for Jamis Winston owners. Next up Brian the Atlanta Falcons. Last year, Todd Gurley had the seventh most rushes inside the five seventeen. UH scored just six times. Though that's one of the reasons he's not in town

anymore in Atlanta. Will Mike Davis have more success? I don't think so, because now Kyle Pittss in town, all they're gonna do is throw to him inside the five all day long. It's my prediction. Scott Cincinnati Bengals. Yeah. So on the Bengals, Geoe Actually Gio Bernard actually led a team in red zone carries. But remember still most of the season, UH that the year before mixing had like nearly twenty carries inside the five. I assume that

comes back. They drafted three alignment, they added Riley Reef. The offense should be better, he should have more opportunities. I think he's gonna be the main guy for the Steelers. James Connor and Benny Snell combined for twenty six carries. That is a lot. Twenty six carries would have led the entire league last year. In carries inside the five

yard line, Connor is gone. Snell stinks if Nagy Harris gets those same twenties six carries and he converts on on the number, we we what we like to use the number, which is you're trying to get that's thirteen touchdowns just from inside the five. It feels like a good amount, and that's would be a very good amount for Naji Harris. Next up the Arizona Cardinals Brian so Kenyan Drake last year with the Cardinals had twenty two

carries from inside the five. He's no longer in town, of course, so so they're all gonna go to Chase Edmonds, right, who we'll see Edmonds had one carry last year, so they clearly favored Drake over Edmonds. Now James right, I guess, but James Connor is not very much of a threat

in any regard anymore. So, a lot of opportunities there for Arizona, and there's there's eno Benjamin who's still go But hopefully Edmonds gets a little some some chances and I can convert on some, but a lot of opportunity. I was just gonna say that Chase Edmonds, that was actually his only carry in his career inside the five was the one last last year James no and James he got minus one yard. James Conner with Pittsburgh was in historically great short yardage and inside the five. Ro

on her, he's like tough last year? Probably yes for the forty Niners, Brandon I, you tied among all receivers for the second most targets and he scored the third most times. Inexplicably. As a side note, George Kittle, get this, for everything that George Kittle is his entire career, they've thrown to him nine times inside the five. That's it, which is that you know if they decide to use Kittle that way many a lot more upside how many times? Geez, you don't have to do it, because I'm pretty sure

he had a couple tis called back. He may have, he may it's it's it's a horrible misuse of George Kittle. But nevertheless, the bigger point here, Brandon, I could give you a lot of safety if they continue using him at the at the goal line. You know who's really safe at the goal line. Tell me James Robinson for the Jakes, I bet he is of his of the carries inside the five for Jacksonville last year, where James Robinson's that's way more than Derek Travisy. T N is out.

Who's gonna get him? Carlos Hide? And here's the fun fact, James Robinson scored on every single one of his carries inside the five last year of them. I probably have him under ranked now that ETN is out right now? Uh, in in standard non guillotine league's haven't ranked seventeen. He should probably be ahead of guys like Clyde Edwards, A Laire Barkley. Yeah maybe, I mean that's in the guillotine league. Yeah league, Yes, Uh, let's see, Brian, I believe you

were up next with the Bears, your final team. What are they doing inside the five yard line? Last year? David Montgomery got fourteen of the fifteen running back carries inside the five for Chicago only converted them into four touchdowns al though, so not a lot of success for Montgomery. I'm not too worried about Damien Williams stealing goal line touches from uh Montgomery, though perhaps justin fields, though when

once he becomes a starter could be a problem. He could have that Josh Allen vulture like effect on Montgome and keeping your eye on Khalil Herbert, rookie running back who has impressed in camp and it's kind of built for for goal line work, so he could be a vulture in the making as well. Cleil Herbert's looked good. He just looked really good. And you know, it's looked really bad. That Bears offensive line awful. And remember they put a high second round pick. They had a second

round pick into Tevin Jenkins. He was a dominating right tackle. They were going to play him at left tackle, but now he's had surgery and he might miss the whole season. It's this offensive line is not good, and ultimately that's going to be a contributor to getting justin fields on the field sooner. So I mean, that'll be the upside, but I'm nervous about I'm nervous about Montgomery and others in that offense because of that line. Scott, your final

team is the Los Angeles Chargers. Yes, you mentioned how before nahem Hinz had only had two conversions out of seven attempts. Austin Ekeler has converted two out of his last nine attempts over the last two years. Though not very good um last year he was only given two attempts. Kelly had five, Blage had six, had seven. We mentioned before the reporters have stated it's likely going to be Kelly and round Trees roll at least that's where we're sitting right now. So this round Tree guy look good

too in preseason action. And you know, I'm trying to balance this. You know, we're not trying to go crazy over all these depth chart guys who have big games against third and four stringers. Round Tree looks like a player. And by the way, well I'm watching that game. My wife's sitting on the couch next to me. She decided to look up the entomology of round tree and it is a British term for like a a tree that is out like in the middle of nowhere in the field.

And but that's like the tree that's around and people would point at the tree and you know you already knew that tree back in the ye olden days. Is that without the D though, without the D that's because that was part of why we looked it up, like round tree and with no D it's like Terris Marshall. So yeah, we looked it up and there you go, the will Full Factory in round tree. Last team is the Ravens. Many believe Lamar Jackson steals touchdown runs, but

that's not true. Last year, from inside the five yard line, the Baltimore running backs ran the ball twenty three times. Lamar Jackson ran three times. That's it, just three times. And that brings me back to Gus Edwards, my guy for this season, my favorite sleeper, and this is part of the reason why double digit touches from inside the

five yard line built for goal line use. Yes, j K Dobbins is going to get worked there too, and yes I'd rather have JK Dobbins, But j K Dobbins cost you a second rounder, and I'm not even saying don't pay that. But Gus Edwards right now, eleventh round average draft position. He finished his running back twenty seven last year, going up the board right now as running back,

and there's no reason mark Ingram's gone. It's a two headed backfield, not a three at the backfield now, there is no reason not to take Gus outwards where he's going, if not earlier. Lamar Jackson does not steal as much stuff as you might be inclined to think that he does. Um, Scott, we've got about one minute left. Sure, tell me about some ideas for spicing up a live draft now that

we're drafting Inerson again. Yeah. So, my my wife sent me a picture of this league that that started just to head a live draft the other week, called the Mounds View Boys, and they're like fourteen year old kids. They got all dressed up and see that picture. I love it because there it's a bunch of kids playing with us, which is awesome. Yeah, and it made me think, what can you do to spice up your draft? You can you can like have walk up music, have a

commissioner announced the picks. You can do right. You can have a rivalry draft and choose rivals. Um, get a live auctioneer if it's if it's an auctioneer auction draft, um a hundred yard rush dot com. You can do the draft order. You can little characters run across the fun and root for it, or any other kind of contest for your draft order, like a poker tournament beforehand, at golf tournament, video games we could have a video

games tournament, anything like that. Those are simple, simple things you can do, all right. I love it. All great ideas to bring to your live draft. Fantasy Football Weekly Our number two comes back in a second. Welcome back our number two of Fantasy Football Weekly and Paul Charge in Diatine Leagues dot Com. Bryan Johnson also Guillotine Leagues dot Com are associated. Podcast is called Chop at Guillotine League Podcast, available wherever you love to get your podcasts

and especially the I Heart Radio app up. Scott Fish joins as well. It is time for a segment we like to call three tough questions, and as is the tradition, we start with tough question number one. How much does Sony Michelle's arrival impact Darryl Henderson? None, some, or a lot? We start with Scott. So my my initial thought here was some. I mean, they watched Henderson for a year, they had him on the team, McVeigh had him on

the team for a year. Then they decided, you know what, after watching this guy, we're gonna draft a running back in the second round and we're gonna give him the lead role late in the season. Uh, they may have tried to see what they could do, but then you know, he broke his thumb and and and so they felt new England had an access, they made a safe play. I think the answer is some. But then Sony Michelle took number fourteen as a running back, which so now

I'm thinking there's really no concern at all. I guess I'm gonna stick with some. But that number choice is terrible. Okay, that that isn't I'm not used to the numbers yet. It is weird. Brian, how much does Sony Michelle's arrival impact Darryl Henderson? None, some, or a lot. I'm gonna go with none because that's basically basically what Sean McVeigh just said recently, that it has no effect on Darren and Henderson's usage. I'm more conservative Xavier Jones when it

comes to taking the world from Darryl Henderson. We've seen what Sony Michelle has to offer. First off, he's kind of injury plagued, so only played one full season out of his three. Uh. He doesn't catch the ball. He has twenty six catches across three seasons, so no so no threat. Uh third down work and he's like a four yards carry just met runner. That Uh. I'm quite shocked that the Rams traded for him. I think the Patriots are probably gonna cut them. They're so loaded at

running back. But no effect for me. Uh, Sony Michelle in town. Now Sony walk Many, Walkman, black Manjelis walk Man, Jelis, I like Sony Walkman, Thank you. I think that's I think we can we have we already had it perfect. The correct answer is none. The some the thumb injury that Darrell Henderson has ultimately will not be a factor, even if it is at the very beginning of the season. And let's remember that Darryl Henderson wasn't going to be

a workhorse anyway. You know, right when Cam Akers went down, Sean McVeigh said, we gotta really monitor his workload. He was not going to be the work He was not going to be a workload work course guy anyhow. And here comes Sony Walkman, a marginal talent who doesn't catch and gets hurt constantly. The guy he really hurts his Davier Jones and maybe to a lesser extent, Jake Funk, if he was Jake Funk was going to be in

the mix here at some point. That's it, you know. Now, that's not to say Sony Walkman will have no fantasy value. He may be a spot starter. But I still think this is gonna shape up like fourteen to sixteen touches a game for Darryl Henderson Sony Michelle's gonna be like six eight. It'll still be like a two to one ratio. I believe they'll get those three touchdown games that will just piss all Henderson. I hope not. I hope not. Tough. Question number two, Carson Wentz is trending towards a week

one start. Does he belong in rosters in a one quarterback league? Brian so Chart, You and I just did a twenty man twenty team live auction. You can only have one quarterback on roster, and it's a team quarterback. We don't have to get into that. But the Colts quarterback was not selected. No, it's not one of the among Now, in a standard one quarterback league, you're your odds are you're gonna have a backup quarterback, and that's where Wentz would fall. He was going right around quarterback

twenty before the injury. Then he got hurt. Adp plummeted. Uh. It's on the rise a little bit, but I'm not wasting a roster spot on Wentz is a backup. He's not a starter in a one quarterback league. We're not gonna go down that path. But but the offense is not very exciting and it's gonna revolve around Jonathan Taylor and they're gonna play good defense. So for me, no, I'll stream someone when I need to back up on. Gonna sit on Wentz because I just don't see a

ceiling there at all. Okay, Scott, No, no, no, I'll just say no. Even fully healthy, uh he was, he was barely a streaming option in one QB league's Carson Wentz. I don't care that he's trending for the week one start. He does not belong on one quarterback league rosters. I do a ton of one quarterback mocks and drafts. I was in the draft last night with A. J. Dillon of the Green Bay Packers. By the way, Brian, he took Kyle Pitts. Just he's already one of the best.

Just let me but in that in that draft, twelve teamer nobody took Carson Wentz. I don't even think he was on anyone's radar. It's it's he's he's not rosterable at that point. It needs to be super flex. Well, I was just in a I was just in a draft with Tom Cruise, and Tom Cruise said he loved my team and great about a team. In a plus, Carson Wentz is I'm good. Even though you're probably right,

you're wrong. In many metrics, the Colts have the easiest passing schedule from October through the rest of the year, uh, including Warren Sharp acknowledging as much talking about as much on a recent tweet. Once it is surrounded by viable targets. You can throw to Pittman, Hilton Campbell tight ends, you can catch running backs to catch. He's got a ton of targets. He'll enjoy the best pass blocking of his entire career, other than maybe when his very very first

in Philadelphia. And that offensive line is good, unlike the jail breaks he was subjected to last year, He's still got good mobility and always has. Now. The foot injury might tamp tamper that, damp damp in that a bit this year, but the if the mobility comes back, he helps you out more than I think people realize that way too. I think he does belong on one quarterback league rosters. Am I gonna start him? Every week. Nope, but I get the feeling when I hit those bye weeks.

He's the exactly the kind of guy I'm gonna want to inject or from my quarterback goes down, I'll be glad I have him. I mean, I was with what I was in on Wentz early in the He's going back to Reich who he had his m v P you know caliber season up until he got injured for the the last four weeks. I was very in on that. It's just as I watched these drafts play out. You know, when I want to grab my second quarterback, I wanted to be Lands or Fields or guys like that. Those

guys do. But who says you're only drafting two quarterbacks? Who's drafting three quarterbacks in the one quarterback league? You're the one who loves your like twenty three in super Flex. In super Flex, they love your big roster. Question number three, who is the single most valuable receiver in dynasty or Empire formats? I think we're on me on me, let's start here. I'm gonna go with Ceedee Lamb him growing

in that offense with Dak for many years. I'm I'm a big fan of I've always been a big fan of the young wide receiver growing with it, you know, the young stud quarterback. Most Dynasty ranks have Jefferson and Brown and Metcalf above them. But who's going to be Jefferson's quarterback in a couple of years. We don't know. We don't know who that's gonna be. Is Ruscoe to stay elite and efficient? As efficient as he's been in decays has disappeared at times. Speaking of efficiency, Brown has

not not just Brown, but both Brown. A J. Brown and Ryan Tanneh have been insanely efficient on low passing volume. What if that goes away? Um, And here's another thing to note. What if Zeke starts to decline and they have to pass more over the next couple of years and Zeke goes away? I'm I'm taking Ceedee Lamb in that. Okay, Brian, who is the single most valuable receiver in dynasty or Empire format? I had to go with A J. Brown. I didn't think of a Ceede Lamb too. But A J.

Brown just turned twenty four in June. Last year, played twelve or thirteen full healthy games, only saw a hundred targets like a hundred and two targets, still had over a thousand yards and eleven touchdowns. Theoretically he could see twice as many targets somewhere two target year. It could happen. Well, now there's an extra game. It certainly again. Uh So basically a J. Brown, we haven't. He's just ratching the

surface and he gets fifty targets. That is way more feasible, right, charge you can get with me on this, I can. We are talking. We are we are talking touchdown range receiving touchdowns for a J. Brown in full healthy season on the horizon. Decorrect answer. The player I would not trade in a dynasty or Empire league for any other receiver is Ceedee Lamb twenty two years old, two years young, and I love a J. Brown by the way, I love a J. Brown with lamp twenty two years old.

You hit on the single biggest point. He has an excellent young quarterback in Dak Prescott, who, let's remember, just signed a four year deal, so we know you've got four years of Dak Prescott quarterbacking. That is a long time in your dynasty or Empire league. Um, he's already flashing greatness. He did it last year. He's you're seeing it on a hard knocks if you're watching hard docks, Gallup has gone next year, and that's another big consideration

for me. Gallops can take a hundred targets with him, and they'll probably just some move like Cedric Wilson up as odd. I don't think whoever goes there next. I just think they're gonna there's gonna be enough vacated targets to move Ceedee Lamb into a top five position on my cheat sheet at this time next year. Now, you asked the single most valuable receiver receiver. He did it. Now. I wanted to say Kyle Pits, but I'm so concerned that he gets designated as a wide receiver in future years.

I didn't go that way, but that that that is really my answer to Gallup was my last my last line there. But also cite Lamb stats with doc five games five for fifty nine six for one oh six five or sixty five five or seventy nine eight four and that was the first five games of NFL pace. Yes, the Raiders should have taken Ceedee Lamb over Henry Rugs. There gonna graphic or justin Jefferson and you can spell his name with emojisus C D and a lamb and

so cute. That counts as well. I'm I rarely talked about my own leagues, but I'm in a Dinasa league right. I was able to get Justin Jefferson and Ceedee Lamb in the draft. Last year, I traded away Justin Jefferson and kept Ceedee Lamb just because they didn't get a log on and say again, when we come back the blacklist guys, I will not draft in our other co hosts as well. We're the guys were avoiding in our draft, and you should too. When we come back to Fantasy

Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. If you haven't tried to Quilloteen League, we encourage you to learn a little bit more at kioteen leagues dot com. Eighteen teams start the season no head to head the low scoring team. Each week it's cut and all their players go to the waiver wire where pneumonium ensues and all the players were about to mention are going to be the one

could be? Because this whole segment is geared around the players we don't like and aren't drafting, So these are the guys we think that are gonna get you chopped early. In the guillotine format, all you have to do every week is not finished last. You don't have to be best, but can you not be last every week? That's it. Last team standing wins the whole thing. If you ain't last your first, that's it. Last your first. If that is the kits in league. Right there, Let's talk about

the blacklist, the guys that we will not draft. We're gonna will each give a quarterback, a running back, a wide receiver, and a tight end. Some cases we may actually disagree on these things, but it's personal preference. Let's begin at the quarterback position. Scott, who's your first player you will not draft? Quarterback position. I'm going to go with Russell Wilson going is QB six in the mid fifth. It's mostly price tag. It's I I understand him being

ranked there in the QB six, seven eight range. I personally I think I have ranked as my QB eight. But it's fine. I'm fine with that. My problem is that team wants to run a lot. He's been he's been solid because of his efficiency, and he falls off for half the season seemingly every year. Uh, He's only topped four yards rushing twice in the last five years, and that declines and running quarterbacks as they get older,

so don't expect that to come up. But he didn't top two hundred fifty yards in his final eight games last year, UM. Sixteen touchdowns in those eight games total, and four we're against the Jets, so most of the games you're not getting a lot of points from in the second half. That happened the year before, where he only to top two hundred and fifty yards once in his final seven and through just nine touchdowns UM. And weirdly, earlier in his career, he was a notorious slow starter

for the first half of the year. So he's a half year starter. I just I can't take that there. H. I'm with Russell Wilson and no rosters either, not one. Brian dak Prescott going way too high for me at quarterback five right about now. I know he's been fully cleared now by the Dallas medical staff, but I don't really trust the Dallas medical staff. Jerry Jones seems like a guy who would throw his grandchildren into a volcano sacrificed him into a volcano to win another Super Bowl.

The Russian Dak back who is not going to be speaking of rushing, not many rush attempts. Uh. In the future for Dak Prescott, I don't think. I think he's gonna be a different quarterback in that regard, and uh, I can get he's just gonna be more of a pure passers. He's a great passer. He's got great weapons, of course, but I can get pure pastors with great weapons later in my draft, like Aaron Rodgers just an

air bear, uh, Tom Brady, Matthew Stafford even later. So daks certainly pay off that QB five a DP, but just too much risk from me there. And one of the deepest quarterback classes and fantasy football that I can remember in many many years. You guys picked um high end quarterbacks that you won't take and part be and I'm sure eventually if they were available in your draft

you would take both of those guys. The guy that I have not ended up in with any draft, in any draft is Ben Roethlisberger, and the the overriding premises I'd rather get out a year too early on a player in at the very very bitter end of his career than a year too late now in fairness to Ben, he's I think he's looked fine in the preseason, but

it's his eighteenth year. He's teetering uncooked. He played badly for stretches of last year, and the arm was clearly degraded from earlier versions of what we had seen from Ben. He didn't throw deep like he used to. He had the fifth shortest average intended air yards last year. When we think of Ben, we think of the big statue sitting in the pocket, maybe sliding a little bit, and then throwing lasers downfield. That's not who Ben ruzz at

least not last year. He had the shortest time to pass last season, and the offensive line is worse this year. I'm very worried about that. So for me, there's just up. There's just a lot of worry about where Ben is in his career arc and where he is in this offense, even though surrounded by receiving weapons. I love the addition of Naji Harris. It will take a heat off of Ben. I'm not saying he's gonna have a bad year, but I'm, you know, for where he's getting taken. I'm rolling the

dice on other guys. Let's continue with the blacklist guys we will not draft. Let's move to the running back position, Scott, who won't you draft? Similar to your Ben picked. David Johnson is just a guy I will not have on a single team. If Philip Lindsay is running as the starter, Lindsay and mark Ingram are listed as the starters, Yet David Johnson is going as RB thirty nine in the ninth rout and people are drafting him as the starter

just because name value. Maybe I guess, I don't know, laziness. Yeah, that's Philip Lindsay. I'm okay with taking Philip Lindsay four rounds later because he's going in the thirteenth. I don't even love that because we don't know what the goal line work is gonna be. That team is gonna always be in a negative game script. But David Johnson in the ninth is just crazy. Just don't take any Texas really really or Texans also known as Texas. I like

Brandon Cooks, alright, that's fair. I reached around on Brandon Cook's list. Nico Collins, I'm interested in coins. They'll they'll be throwing. We just don't know who's gonna be throwing. But they'll be throwing down in Texas. You'll go Nico Collins. I'll go Byron Pringle by draft to bring him back up again, because apparently I've got to be the only guy talking about Byron Pringle. All right, who's the running back?

You will not draft Bryan even though a couple of months ago he was basically going as a top five, top six overall pick, and now is his stock is pummeted to the mid second round. I'm still not taking se Kwon Barkley there, Uh, in the mid second. I don't know if I take him, even if he came back to me in the third. I just don't trust

him at this point. I don't trust the knee. Unlikely he's gonna start the season at least, certainly don't trust the offensive line in New Jersey for the Giants going into this year, Pro Football Focus has them ranked thirty second dead last among all units. And uh, there's no nothing to keep opposing defensive defense is honest. It's certainly not Daniel Jones. They signed Kenny Galladay. He's not looking like he's gonna be ready to go. Uh week going,

He's probably be banged up all year. I'm just I'm just out on se Kwon Barkley entirely, uh for this year, terrible offensive line in New York and into at least they've tried to fix it right. They've thrown draft picks at it, they've thrown expensive free agents at it. None of it's worked. And that's been an ongoing concern of mine with say Kawon Barkley, and I'm with you on that. The running back I have rostered in none of my

leagues to this point is Josh Jacobs. I want my running backs to excel at some component of the game. I want you to be good at something right, and I wanted ideally to like match my scoring system in some way, you know, catch a lot of passes in a PPR league, score touchdowns in a touchdown heavy league. Josh Jacobs don't do any thing that matches any scoring system that I'm in. He's average just two catches per game last year. He converted just six of twenty one

carries from inside the five yard line. We touched on this earlier in the show. That's a wolf percent efficiency mark, and it opens up the door for Kenyan Drake. I don't want to have to sweat that backfield. I want no part of Josh Jacobs. Let's move over to the wide receiver position. Scott, who is the wide receiver you will not draft? Yeah, it's it's Tyler Lockett. I just can't do it. He's he's just too inconsistent. Last year he had four games over seventy yards. That's it. Eight

of his ten touchdowns came in three games. Uh, going in the same round as a bunch of guys I would rather have like Cup and Woods and d J. Moore and Auke and Higgins and even around later at Claypool Um the year before. Even in twin four of his games made up forty nine point eight percent of his fantasy points, nearly half his fantasy points in just four games. That means he's killing knew the rest of the games. I can't have that. No, you're right, that's

that is a that is a disaster. When Tyler Lockett does not score, he kills your team. And by the way, in a guillotine league, they kill your team. Part is very literal. He will kill your team that way. I God, I'm gonna see if I can quick pull this up. I think I've got a Tyler Lockett stat for you to back this up. They also added Dwayne Scretch is a better third option than they've had over the last few years, and pet Pete Sunshine wants to run more.

He always wants to run more, so unfortunately don't have it his non I believe I'm gonna off top my head. So this is not perfect. Tyler Lockett's non touchdown games average like three catches thirty yards. That's not really bad. It's bad. Brian, who's the wide receiver you will not draft. I'm gonna bend the rules a little bit here and give you a two for a two for one. I'm not taking Seedee Lamb or a Marii Cooper this year because they're essentially going off the board at the same spot.

You'll see see Lamb usually going first around a wider ever twelve thirteen, then Cooper. I've seen Cooper go and the pick right after Ceedee Lamb, and just to me, both of those guys cannot live up to that a DP. One of them is gonna falter, and I don't know which one it is. This yere, we we all love Lamb more moving forward in the future, of course, we just talked about that in the last segment, but for this year. You know, I just mentioned I'm a little if you on Doc as well, and we also talked

about Michael Gallup still in town. He's gonna steal targets from both of those guys. I just don't see how both of them could live up to such a high a DPS. So I'm just gonna avoid that coin flip entirely, and I'm not drafting either in redrafts. Here on our button bar for sounds, we have a peacock, a bear, an art vark, a mongoose, a horse, a crow, a turkey, a duck, and tree. And we don't have a lamb. And there's a player called ceedee lamb. It's a beat,

it's a bleat. Is that a lamb? That's also a lamb? That's the That's a nice tim Next show, we need a lamb. Thank you, new producer. Guys like what the wide receiver that I am not drafting is Juju Smith Schuster. This was I made the strong case against him last year, got validated. I'm going back to the well this The issue for Juju is his lack of depth of target and his yards after the catch. He catches short passes

and then gets tackled quickly. He has the second shortest average depth of target last year, just five point eight yards according to next Gen Stats. He turned one hundred twenty eight targets last year into eight hundred yards. That's it. This is a major reversal for Juju Smith Schuster. Remember those first couple of years, dude was just like he was. He was slicing through the middle of the field. The big then big arm to bend was sending these lasers

down field to him. And hey god, it's just not that way anymore. And what's more, when jud Smith Srster does not score his average line over the last two years, when he does not score three catches thirty two yards and no score, I mean destroying your team him. Unlock it. Let's go to the Yes, we all picked quarterback wide receiver combos. Yeah we did. Actually didn't intentionally do that. I didn't either. Um let's go to the tight end position. Who's a tight end? Scott you will not draft It's

it's got to be Dallas Goddard. He's currently going to his tight end eight end of the eighth round, which is just it's insane. I mean, he might get a time he might get a decent amount of volume, but that was his price when everybody thought Earth's was gonna go away. And Earth hasn't left, and that price has not changed yet. He's going ahead of or in the same range as guys that I like a lot, more like Logan Thomas or Noah Fan or Robert Tonyan. He's

going way ahead of John new Smith. I had a Higbie. There are guys that just rather have than Goddard and his you know, his role in that offense, at least with Earth's there makes sense. Bryan, who's the tight end you will not draft? Well? I love the guy, probably the best all around tight end in the NFL. Uh, it's George Kittle, But I can't take him in fantasy football. Fantasy football this year as tight end three. Really going

late second, early third round. Uh, for a guy that's only played one full season in his four year career. He's just so good at everything blocking. He's just such a violent player that it's it's hard for him to stay healthy. Uh. He's just going way too early for me. And now Brandon Iuke and Deebo Samuel are emerging stars at the wide receiver position. The three of them have never really played together when fully healthy and now with a good quarterback, and yeah, there's gonna be a change

of quarterback at some point. They're gonna go from Jimmy g To to Trey Lance. So I'm just Kittle's going way too high. I can get uh my boy Kyle Pitts around later. And I have a feelings someone's about to poopoo on this. I take, but uh fading Kittle all in on Pits. It's a battle that will last this year for sure. My co host Brian Johnson shares

the opinion of most fantasy analysts that Kyle Pitts. They should be carving the bust in Canton right now for Kyle Pitts and that he will have a historic rookie tight end year. I will be more reason than that. Here's the Kyle Pitts storyline nobody wants to hear and nobody is talking about. There is way more variation impossible

outcomes than most people are willing to acknowledge. Even though he's a great talent, if he lines up outside as a standing wide receiver for the entirety of this year, I like his prospects to have a fine rookie season. But if he doesn't do that, or only does that sometime, I don't think that. I don't think he can perform nearly to the level people expect as a true tight end. This thing gets very complicated. Hayden Hurst is a good player who the team acquired at a sizeable cost second

and fifth round picks just one year ago. Hurst will likely frustrate fantasy owners with a playing time, especially in the first half of the season. And Hurst is a good pass blocker. They will want to keep Hurst in to keep Matt Ryan upright. You can trust his blocking. They may not know that they can do that with Kyle Pitts. And we know from years with playing fantasy we love our rookies. We love the shiny new toys

more than the coaches do. The coaches are always way slower to bring guys on the field than we want them to. Also, there's the long history of tight end rookie failures. And I know, if you've heard this show before, you've heard these stats before, but I'm rolling them out

anyway because it's awfully important. Over the last two decades, the average first round rookie tight end has finished as tight end thirty two thirty catches, fifty yards and two scores for the season, three hundred fifty yards and two scores for the season. Then if we isolate it down to the primo tight ends guys taken in the first ten picks of the draft over the last two decades, these are the best of the best tight ends. There's somehow worse averaging is tight end fifty with twenty catches

and two hundred thirty yards and one touchdown. That's it. He's got a buck, a lot of trends and maybe he'll do it. And Brian Johnson, you're gonna have every opportunity to prove me wrong over the course of this season. Now, I'm just showing, being the voice of reason. I do think those are a lot of tight end trends. I think the way a Cole Pitts truth can justified as make him a receiver. And Russell Gauge last year was

the third receiving option in that offense. His stat line would have been good for tight end three last year. Does Russell Gauge play tight end? That No, That's why I'm saying. That's what I'm saying. He doesn't play receiving options I'm just saying Pitts will be the second receiving option in that offense. It's possible he's the new Julio, but one that will be utilized in the red zone. When we come back, the running back traits of a bust What do you have to look for to idea

bust running back before it happens? We'll tell you that and unleash our sleepers of the week. Stay tuned Fantasy Football Weekly. Final segment of Fantasy Football Weekly. If you would like to download my free cheating the same one I use when I walk into my drafts, my personal cheat sheet available at Guillotine leagues dot com. You can also join a Guilloting league available at whatever prize level

you want, or play with your friends. We support private leagues from eight to eighteen owners in your Guillotine league this segment, final segment, The Traits of a bust running back Brian and then we'll do we'll hit on our sleepers of the week as well. Um a couple of shows ago, and it was two shows ago, or maybe it's just last week, we talked about the traits of a sleeper running back. Now we're gonna flip it over what are the what are the things that tie together

some of the bust running backs. Yeah, we came up with with three traits, and we'll get to them all of course, But to kick it off, we we went back and looked at six years of data running back data, and by data, we looked at uh running backs that were drafted in the first three rounds of fantasy drafts but did not return value. And by that I mean they didn't not finish as a top twenty four running back. So you're drafted the first three rounds but did not

return top twenty four. I think it's a very fair metric for a bust because you're drafting in the top three rounds, you're getting you're hoping to get, you're expecting to get RB one or RB two performance, you know, a starters performance, and you didn't get that. You gotta best of flax or maybe worse. Now, over the last six years, as I mentioned, we found thirty five instances of this happening. Running backs busting after being picked in the top three rounds. Of those thirty five bus were

mostly due to injury. But that happens, and that that's that's something we'll talk about for sure, but the other ten were due to non injury circumstances. So we're gonna go through these traits and hopefully avoid uh those running backs this year. We don't want to bust at running back um first bus I'm sorry, first trade of a bus running back mileage of course. Yeah, running backs that I've had over career carries get injured at a significantly

higher rate UM over the last six years. Uh. Five of the injured runners in question um, although five the injured runners about to talk about have over career carry so so let's get to these guys. I'm not so sure people are targeting mark Ingram so much this year, but he's in the mix. He has almost sixteen hundred career carries, which is kind of surprising because he's always kind of been in a shared backfield situation. That seems

like with the Ravens um mark Ingram with with the Texans. Now, of course, uh they have who knows what to make of this Texans depth charted running back Fish alluded earlier that Lindsay's on top of it might be Yeah, he's not a bus, He's not even asleep. Reason is entire bus entirely you don't you don't want mark Ingram this year? Is Zekiel Elliott? Now now we're talking. Now, we're talking.

So when you're gonna draft early on in your drafts, almost sixteen hundred carries for Zeke, that's a lot of use and only what four five years? UH mentioned last year offensive line very uh decimated that they should be back to full form, But I don't know. Fourteen hundred carries for Zeke Tony Pollard? You are excited about Tony Pollard that charge. So right there, Zeke straight one of a running back bust, as does Melvin Gordon. Um not really going in the first three rounds, but some people

believe he'll be the starter for the Broncos. Probably start with almost carries for Melvin Gordon, though well over that threshold in Javonte Williams, rookie out of North Carolina, more than ready to take that job from Melvin Gordon. So for me, Gordon is a guy I'm completely fading. I'll target Javonte Williams later on, but it's not like I want to get Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams. I'm just I'm all out on Gordon. I know where you guys stand. On that, and then I like that you spoke up

for me. I know you, I know you. You're out Now. Everyone is concerned about when Derrick Henry is gonna fall off the cliff. Some think it's this year. It's not right. But he's only had eleven eighty two carries. He hasn't hit that twelve hundred car a watermark. So can I make a counterpoint on him? No running back that hit two thousand yards his top hundred the following year and most of them are way way below that. He doesn't

get receptions. Adrian Peterson's two thousand yard year, he you know where his year or whatever after that, he lost like seven hundred yards the next year. Yeah. Darrington Evans a guy we've mentioned on the show a lot. I think he didn't really get any work last year. No one really did at the running back position outside of

Derrick Henry. But that kind of feels like they're gonna change that philosophy and in Tennessee and uh, keep Henry healthy a little longer, especially for an expected playoff run, deep playoff run that they have in Tennessee. So that's it for trade number one mileage now trade number two for a running backbust is players on a new team, either moving in the off season or traded during camp

or the season. Uh. Once these players go to a new team, the fantasy industry misidentifies them as lead running back. So let's see if we can find any running backs I'll fit. Uh. These trades and guys in the past big names, we were expected them to be RB one's, r B two's Levian Bell when he went to the Jets, Todd Gurley, even when he went to the Fountains, people still had some belief with Todd Gurley. Leonard Fournette everyone thought he was gonna be the lead back for Tampa

Bay was kind of in a time share there. So let's look at the guys on new teams this year. The first one, the most glaring example, is Mike Davis in Atlanta UM taking over for Todd Gurley. Uh. Davis is in his seventh season, kind of a journeyman, UM, but as of now, he looks like the lead guy we talked about. In the inside the five segment, Gurley had seventeen rushes inside the five, which is a lot. So they all like they're going to Mike Davis as

of right now. But if they bring in another back, that would uh certainly lean to uh Mike Davis busting. But I don't know where you guys stand on Davis. He's not going super high or super late. But do you think he returns RB two value, which is what people are expecting? I think so yes. I feel like there's just nobody else that's gonna that's gonna interrupt him getting a fair amount of work here, even if he's not a special player. Uh. As we know, fantasy football

is more about opportunity than talent. The next guy at the new next running back in a new place. James Conner was one was two of the thirty five names on the overall list of BUS in the last six years already, so he's already hit this criteria and other other areas. But now he's on in the new team trade. We talked about the Cardinals inside the five earlier in the in the show where um Kenyan Drake had twenty two carries inside the five yard line to chase Edmonds one.

So will they all go to James Conner. We'll see, uh, But the writing is on the wall sort of. Connor has had an injury history in the past, there's some mileage there. That's trade number one. Trade number two. He's on a new team, So people expecting Connor to be the RB one in Arizona not so sure. I think I would still lean Chase Edmonds even though he's going a little earlier in draft. So there's trade number two.

Players on a new team. You might want to avoid any running back on a new team this year because it generally does not work out well. And now the last trade identified by our Matt Harrison is the running back is just not a proven good player just because happens. We think a guy's a good player, but he hasn't

proven it and we're wrong. That happens a lot. Yeah, you see limited work, then the door opens up to essentially a full time gig and we all make the assumption this guy is gonna be a bell cow back and I'm getting him to steal at an RV two rates. So let's look at UH guys that look to be lead backs, but they're not proven to be good players yet. And we're gonna go back to to Darryl Henderson with the Rams. UH last year lost significant touches to Malcolm

Brown the last two years. Really UH primarily at the stripe two, which is concerning for Henderson. You want him to be getting those goal line carries. They did draft Cam Akers to be the lead back last year. Of course, Acres is out this year, so they lost belief in Darryl Henderson pretty much. It seemed like they did bring in Sony Michelle. We're all not too concerned with Sony Michelle. But again, Darryl Henderson not a proven guy. They can handle a ton of work, and just not proven elite

good running back, so time will tell with him. Now, another guy on the list here, and I'm gonna throw him at under the bus because I don't agree with this one and I don't think Fish will. But Miles Gaskin looks to be the lead running back in Miami. Granted, not a proven good player yet, but he's looked good on tape. But he's a seventh round pick. A former seventh round pick um only average four point one yards

per carry last year. So we need to see a full season out of Miles gas and he does fit the and he's he's going in the third late third round. He's getting drafted as an RB two started running back of most teams, So a guy you want to be a little worried about. Miles Gaskin and uh, lastly, Michael Carter for the Jets, rookie running back. That look it's like uh, full on three man platoon to me, some

people think Carter runs away. I think because because the guy everybody else has no talent and he might be talented. He might be, but he just might just be a warm body. He was a fourth round pick. He wasn't, you know, highly touted coming out of college. There's a rookie quarterback for the Jets, as we all know, new coaching staff. So Michael Carter, unproven rookie, not a proven good player, might have opportunity, but he he fits the third trade of a running back busts. So all right, guy,

we're not too excited about. Thank you, Brian. And it's just a Matt Harrison who put together a lot of that data for us. The you mentioned the Jets and the rookie quarterback. Zach Wilson looks good. He looks good. You know, you get rid of Adam Gates, you put two first round picks on an offensive line, you add in Zach Wilson. He's got capable targets to throw too. Jets are going to be an ascending offense, which is, you know, they were the worst offensive league last year.

So I'm not saying a lot. Obviously they'll get better, um, but I think people have just you know, we're so used to the Jets being so bad for so long that I think some people are missing the boat on how on how this, how quickly this offense could return to competency. I saw something interesting where a couple of months ago, if you haven't heard by now, Corey Davis and Zach Wilson are like BFFs. All of a sudden,

Lake Wilson is just locking on Corey Davis. But you were getting people were drafting Elijah More in the ninth round and Corey Davis and like the fifteenth round a couple of months ago that is completely flip flopped. Now he was seeing Corey Davis go eighth, ninth round and Elijah More. So yeah, it's crazy. Let's go to our sleepers for this week, beginning with Scott Fish who you who are you unveiling? Let's just stick with what we're

talking about, because my guy is Elijah More. I think he's paired up with I did not mean to do that. Sending quarterback and ascending offense has been lighting up camp. He had he had a slight injury for a little bit, and then he came back at lightning up camp again. Um, that quad injury didn't slow him down. And really, who's gonna catch passes there? It's gonna be Corey Davis, and it's gonna be Elijah Moore in a lot of negot

Jamison Crowder did. My worry is that Jamison crowd is a slot guy and Eliza Moore is a slot guy. So that's that's why I've been That's why I've been lukewarm on Elijah Moore here, that he's been playing all over so far as I need him to play outside, and obviously Corey Davis plays outside, so I'm not worried about that part. I assume at some point Denzel Mims will play outside. I just I don't know Denzel stays on the team. He's like, he's like he's way behind

in the fact in order. Now, my sleeper this week is Will Fuller, the player nobody wants slumping to wide receiver fifty one straff position. Well, probably not. He's out Week one with the he's out, he's still out Week one. He's going off the board in Round twelve. Wide receiver fifty one. How come, Well, there's injury history and a couple of weeks ago he did have his foot foot injury dinged up. But he's return to practice. He's got the week one suspension stemming from last year's p e

D bust. But let's just rewind the clock to last year. It's week twelve, right before the pe D bust happens. Will Fuller is wide receiver ten when his season ends. Ten. He's ahead of Keenan, Allen, Tyler Lockett, Allen Robinson, Calvin Ridley, Cooper Cup, Robert Woods, and Adam Feeling. It was finally the year. It was finally the year. This year, well, no, look, I just wide receiver fifty one. He was again. He was wide receiver ten last year. Now he had scored

eight times in eleven games. He led the NFL and yards per target last year. And jose Canseco was a great baseball player too when he was right. I'd like to think that's not a factor here. Now he does get a downgraded quarterback from Deshaun Watson to Tah but nevertheless to a probably gets better in year two. Jay Waddle probably needs a full year before he's a major threat.

The Miami running game is middling, as we've talked about before, and for a guy who was tarnished by the injury prone tag, Fuller didn't miss a game last year with injury. He missed the games eventually with the p D suspension, but he had played the full season to that point. I just think wide receiver fifty one and round twelve is just too late for will Fuller. Bryan, who is

your sleeper this week? You know I love me some tight ends and I gotta I gotta pump Donald Parham tight end for the San Diego I'm sorry, Los Angeles Chargers now technically the backup tight end to Jared Cook, who is acquired by the Chargers in the off season, but reports at a camp are they're utilizing Cook and bar him on the field at the same time and part him is kind of getting the poor man's Kyle Pets usage, whether they're lining him up on the outside

uh end in the slot primarily within the inside the twenty yard line. And speaking of injury prone, Mike Williams never stays healthy for the Chargers. Keenan Allen, I'm not wishing anything bad on these guys. Two misses a gamer two. He also lied to us about whether or not we could start him in our fantasy leagues. And Donald Parham on the up and he's an up and coming star x former XFL star, six ft eight nuts. How do

you cover that in the end zone? He justin air Bear is gonna be looking Donald Parham's way more often than not, more often than you think, uh this year. So he's a deep sleeper that's gonna He's gonna bubble up to the top two. Keen Brown's only missed two games the last four years. It feels like feel It does feel like a lot of weekends questionable. He's always on the injury report though. We're all trying to find Chargers with value, right because we all want charges. So

I want to be part of this off. I had Tyron Johnson last week was my sleeper. There's one guy nobody's talking about, Michael Badgeley, And I know we almost never talked kickers. Michael Badgeley, who was He was wildely inaccurate. He missed he two years ago. We didn't finish the season he got her and then this last year twenty he was inaccurate. But he's pretty much wrapped up that

competition there to stay. He might be somebody and kicker leagues that you want to you know, if you're trying to you want a piece of the chargers, you don't have to pay the heavy price that they're all going for right now. That might be a guy you could consider. Uh. If you'd like to try Guillotine League, please do Guillotine leagues dot com. We've got all kinds of leagues available for you to peruse and learn about the hottest new

format in fantasy football. We will be back next week with more Fantasy Football Weekly in the heart of draft season. Talk to you that everybody, Bye bye. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts from my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.