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Now here's your host, Paul Chargian. Hey, welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly Micro. Addition, this is where we do a deep dive on one player. I am Paul Charchie and my cost as usual for these Tyler Cannable.
Hey, buddy, Hey, let's get it going.
Yeah, I'm excited for this week. We've got three receivers in one running back and two of the receivers have got a lot in common but maybe heading different directions. Who are we going to break down today?
We got Garrett Wilson, ap Rookie of the Year last year.
Yeah, he finished as the wide receiver twenty one in and then wide receiver thirty one in average points per game, but you wouldn't know it by his twenty twenty three ADPU wide receiver nine currently.
Yeah, there's a there's a lot of momentum behind Garrett Wilson, and understandably so. Second your receiver, the edition of Aaron Rodgers. I think are the are the lead stories here, but there's there's still a lot to like here. Let's spend a little bit of time talking about how Zach Wilson practically torpedoed his rookie season.
It's actually insane because it's like the Elijah Moore story all over again kind of how going into last season it was, oh, like all the games without Zach Wilson, Elijah Moore like went off, And it's the exact same story this season with Gary Wilson. So, I mean Gary Wilson had a catchable target rate of sixty four percent, which ranked ninety second and terrible.
Yeah, definitely that was a full season percent. Yeah, so it definitely has place something to do with the other quarterbacks.
But when you dive in deeper to kind of the splits with and without Zack Wilson, Yeah, with Zack Wilson, they played nine games and then he averaged six targets, three catches, forty nine yards and zero touchdowns.
Zero touchdowns and he was wide receiver.
Sixty one was his average brutal without Zach Wilson, So this is like Joe Flacko at the beginning of the season and then Mike White kind of filling in time here and there. Yeah, six games, ten targets, six catches, ninety one yards, had four touchdowns in six games.
So effectively everything doubled and was the wide receiver seven.
Receiver seven with Joe Flacco and Mike White. Now here comes Aaron Rodgers, who, really, even at this stage of his career, should be a lot better than Joe Flacco and Mike White. So there's a plenty of reason for optimism there. So let's talk about how much Aaron Rodgers improves the Jets total offense and Garrett Wilson in particular. This is this is going to be a fascinating opportunity. Here is Wilson going to be the new Devanta Adams for Aaron Rodgers. I think that's the you know, he's
going off the bard of wide receiver nine. So a lot of people think so Rogers had doubled the touchdown efficiency as the Jets quarterbacks, throwing scores on almost five percent of his passes compared to around two percent for the Jets, so touchdowns should bump up. He only had the four touchdowns last year. That number goes to what this year for Garrett Wilson? What do you think he.
Had four last year?
I mean, I think with Aaron Rodgers, double dig like touchdowns is not out of the question.
I would say, Renfields, right, Yeah, yeah, I'm with you.
Okay, Rogers brings a staggering fourteen percent higher completion percentage than the judge quarterbacks did last year. That's a humuck.
It's different. And is that the Aaron Those stats from Aaron Rodgers last year?
Last year, Yah, Sara Rogers, We've hurt all that exactly, played exactly.
It's not even like the Aaron Rodgers at his best, like healthy Aaron Rodgers exactly.
And last year's quarterback limitations turned Garrett Wilson's route running. Primarily he became an intermediary slant receiver because that's what his quarterbacks could do. But when we looked at what Garrett Wilson did in college, man, he was a beast when he was attacking down field and especially at the boundaries. Rogers is going to open up the full route tree for Garrett Wilson.
Yeah, I agree. I think, I honestly think. I mean, the easy thing to say is that Garret Wilson is the new with Devanta Adams. But I'm fully in on the fact that he is the new Devanta Adams just because it's just their games feel so similar. They're both like expert route runners. That's kind of what Gary Wilson
feels like. Yeah, they are both. I mean, Gara Wilson's even like fast, a lot faster than DeVonta Adams ever was, which is definitely good for just the big playability kind of side of things.
But I don't know everything about Gary Wilson.
This year just feels like, I mean, like we said he was want to see for seven with Mike White last year and Joe Claco.
Right now he's got Aaron.
Rodgers, so I just I don't know. It feels like he should be going around those guys with like aj Brown and stuff like. That's that's how I feel about Gary Wilson. I didn't think I'd beat this high on him because I was like, oh, he's going up these draft boards.
He's going his price is insanely high.
But I'm still in on him somehow, and I'm usually not in on those type of guys.
So who competes with Garrett Wilson for looks in this offense? And this is the other part of the story that I think makes you feel really confident. So there's Alan Wizard with Rogers and Green Bay last year, Lazzard averaged four catches, fifty three yards and a third of a touchdown per game. Who cares, Yeah, I don't care about it.
With DeVonta Adams was there, didn't matter.
Right, didn't matter. And actually, as a side note, I think Lizzard's a sleeper candidate with Wilson pulling the best coverage away a little bit like DeVonta Adam used to. I think actually Lazzard could could be a serviceable flex guy in this offense because Rogers is going to feed more than one receiver probably, although DeVonta Adams was the
clear one a all the time in Green Bay. But if there's somebody else that's going to do well here, it's probably Lizard because the rest of the RUSS the receiver group are proven under performers.
None of these guys have done well.
Randall Cobb it's been I don't know six years since he was a reliable fantasy starter. Mikole Hardman couldn't get it done with Patrick Mahomes. Yeah, Corey Davis now just as a journeyman, Denzel Mims last chance to make it do anything in the NFL. And then the tight ends are CJ. Zumann, Tyler Conklin, who Cares. Yeah, so for Garrett Wilson clearly the go to receiver in this offense.
Oh, it's not even close. I don't wonder.
I don't see how Garret Wilson doesn't end up with like one hundred over one hundred catches this season. Honestly, it feels like one hundred catch season for Garrett Wilson.
It could be huge, huge.
So let's uh, let's talk about whether or not Garrett Wilson is actually being underdrafted at eighty P nine.
Yeah, so I tossed this in here.
I got I guess the ADP game as normal, but I got their Redraft and Dynasty edition because I feel like it'd be just a little bit more fun to kind of dive into balls.
Yeah, Garrettan Garrett Wilson's dynasty exactly is awfully high. We'll talk more about that in a second. Let's do uh, let's talk about who's getting drafted around him in redraft.
So for redraft, gar Wilson's wide severe nine, Stefan Diggs wide receiver five.
Who would you rather have? Because this feels interesting.
Look I'm taking upside. I'm going with Garrett Wilson. You know, I love what Drake's is super super safe. You know what you're gonna get from it, and it's going to be really good numbers. He is a B plus a minus receiver every year. Stefan Diggs is great Garrets. Garrett Wilson has the upside to be like wide receiver two.
You know, that's exactly. He is a Devanta Adams upside.
It's literally like which one was a wide receiver one exactly. Yeah, although different, I mean they're not stylistically they're pretty different.
But anyway, I did a couple of drafts last night, and I I think I had like the eighth pick, and Diggs and Wilson were wolf there and I took Wilson both times.
That's all right.
Gar Wilson a mon Ros Saint Brown wide receiver ten, so going right after him.
Love him tackled inside the five I think seven times last year.
A lot of times.
So it's there's a lot of opportunity for Aman Ross Saint Brown to be a much more efficient fantasy producer. But Garrett Wilson's just the downfield vertical stretch that should happen here with Garrett Wilson is I'm on Rob sat Brown just isn't that guy. He's not you know, running from the slot. He's not somebody that's going to give you the big plays that spark gigantic fantasy numbers. So I can't take him there. I'm taking Garrett Wilson.
All right, Yeah, I'm with you too, and DeVante Adams wide receiver eight.
As we have talked about before, I'm out on Devanta Adams. This is just too many things going wrong in Las Vegas. I'm worried they're playing for the first pick overall. There's just I I don't like the whole situation in Las Vegas. I'm out on Adams. I think you've currently got him. I've got him at wide receiver eleven or twelve. He'll he'll never drop that far in any draft. So will I will have probably no shares of Devanta Adams this year.
Yeah, Wilson for me, clean sleeve across the board.
All right, So we're Wilson, Wilson, Wilson, yep. All right, Well let's talk about Dynasty. Where'sh where's Wilson going in Dynasty?
So according to Keith trade Cutt, he is wide receiver three in Dynasty.
He's very surprised me. So he's very high.
So Jefferson is one.
For Jardson and Chase are one two, one and two.
And then it's Garret Wilson, which is kind of crazy to just say out loud.
That is I mean, so that means guy like Cooper Cup not in this conversation.
Oh definitely, he's too old, I think to be in the conversation. Just for in terms of Dina, you're looking very very long term, and.
The quarterback we don't have, we don't have. No, we don't know who the quarterback.
Is going to be next year exactly. Yeah, not even.
Totally confident that Stafford's gonna go through this year.
Yeah.
So for the sake of just this argument right here for Dynasty, let's just do a three year outlook. Say you're trying to win the championship within three years, who would you rather have on your team? Okay, for these next guys, right, all right? Ceedee lamb, whye deceiver four.
Well, if my time frame is short enough that I'm talking the next three years, I should have Aaron Rodgers for at least like two of those years. So I'm gonna take Gerrett Wilson.
I am for City, Lamb. And I love Ceedee Lamb. I ce Ceede Lamb's that explosive.
Like Garrett Wilson can be.
Yeah, and Garrett Ceedee Lamb's more of like it's just a slock guy. I feel like you're I mean, I want to say you're limited because we saw I feel like Coop in the Cooper Cup year, he was all over the place. I don't want to call him just a slack guy, but I feel like when you're primarily in the slot, it's harder to be like wide receiver one. In my opinion, Yeah, I think I take Garrett Garret Wilson over Cee Lamb. I know with Ceedee Lamb that Dak is going to be there for the next three years.
That helps, so that definitely helps. But yeah, uh, Jalen Wattle, why is your six?
I'm pretty sure I know we're going on this.
Yeah, I'm going with Garrett Wilson again. I love Jay, I love Jayalen Wattle and the speed's crazy. I don't know whose quarterback is going to be because to any game could be to his last, and he snapped could be his last of his career. And now now I'm back to a Mike White conversation that I don't want to have.
Ye, so, and.
While I had too many games where he just totally disappeared last year, he was a guillotine league nightmare, getting guys chopped all the time. So yeah, uh, let's uh lamp, I'm sticking with Garrett Wilson.
You Yeah, Garrett Wilson for me, and then A J. Brown? Whyeed three or five?
Love AJ Brown. We spent a lot of time talking about him last week. The consistency is fantastic.
And I love that part.
I think I go Garrett Wilson.
I'm gonna go A J. Brown.
This is the only one where I'm not going to go Garret Wilson, just because, like I said, you get the you know, you have Jone hurts for a while, and I feel like a good point. I feel like Agent Brown can even have a better season than he had last year.
Yeah, you talked me into it. I'm going Brown, all right, You're right, I'm going Brown. Every honesty as well. It's close. Still young Brown's still very young. I mean, yeah, the young quarterback, the whole thing. You're right, absolutely right, absolutely right. So we love Garrett Wilson. I bumped them up my cheat sheet. By the way, my cheat sheets are available now. Guillotine leagues dot Com got the free cheat sheet for just your people are looking for my rankings, they're there.
But if you want the deep dive data and Tyler, you've you've been essential to helping me with the the massive undertaking that is that spreadsheet, all the data diving, so much great stuff specific to not just Guillotine Leagues, but anybody who just wants more metrics with which to evaluate. If you want the most enhanced cheat sheet out there, Guillotine.
Leagues dot com.
And then of course we also have guillotine leagues for me. You're in guillotine leagues. I'm in a lot of guillotine leagues. We love the format. If you want to try one, this is your great chance right now, private league starting, public leagues available.
We did a We've.
Got slow drafts, live drafts. We got a bunch of slow drafts going, many slow drafts going right now. We're doing live drafts many evenings as well, So all that available in league second.
Our final. The danger.
The one thing I want to mention myot Garrett Wilson, just the danger here is we didn't say anything bad about him the whole show. Yeah, if Aaron Rodgers arm is what we saw last year, the end is here for Aaron Rodgers. Yeah, and that's a possibility.
Now.
He had the thumb injury, and so I blamed a lot of those bad throws on the thumb. But if that wasn't it, then it might be that the end is here for Aaron Rodgers.
I'm not even willing to go down that road just because I think we counted them out three years ago. There's that whole thing where like right before he won the MVPs, I always watched yea, he looked bad, and then he came back and won two MVP So.
I was I was on the wash side of that not correct wishful thinking from a Viking.
Tom Brady's gonna fall off a cliff that famous quote.
Oh yeah, well I got my own famous quote for Tom Brady. All right, thank you for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly Micro edition. We'll be back tomorrow with another receiver with a lot of similarities but not the same kind of outcome. Coming tomorrow. We'll talk to you then, everybody. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of iHeartRadio. For more podcasts from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.