Double-Digit Darts

out Diego is the guy who does the intro. Thanks Diego, Thank you, Dean. So are you saying if we go combine our brains into one, we have one collective super brain. We've got two primary topics for the show today, Fantasy Football Weekly. First is wide receiver quarterback combos that actually makes sense based on the adp that you'd actually could execute. I mean, anybody we could sit here and say we'll go get Pat Mahomes and Tyree Kill because they're gonna

be really good. Well obviously they're going to be really good, but there's an opportunity to cost one round pick on those two or a second or third round pick at best, right, So maybe, So that's the you know there's an opportunity cost that so as balanced by average draft position. Who are the quarterbacks and wide receiver combos that you could actually pull off? And then secondarily guys I am calling double digit darts. These are guys from round ten or higher.

That's the double triple ds. Yeah, it's like diners, drive ins and dives a little bit. But now here's the catch. I don't want any of these guys to simply be guys who will just outperform their ADP. I don't want a tenth rounder who could perform like an eighth rounder the to be a double digit dart, a triple d. These guys must be guys that with so breaks can perform like a tight end one wide receiver can perform,

and not an injury break either. Right. I don't want to hear Tony Pollard here, even I'm fascinated by Tony Pollard because Ezekie allowed has to go down for him. Injuries don't count because that's random. You can't count on that. I want guys who don't need an injury break to turn into a from a turn their double digit draft location into somebody it's going to go back and go well that guy was a third rounder. This seems like a podcast where you should probably get out to your

pen and paper and start writing down names. Well, it's probably good idea for listeners. No, you know what's coming. All right, let's start with the quarterback wide receiver combos that actually makes sense based on their a DP. Brian, I'm gonna have you go first. Tell me your combo players where you need to take them in the draft. Who which teammates are you teaming up? I love this

topic and Matt will remember this. Going back to the DFS days, I called us the batman in Robbins scenario with the quarterback being the batman in the wide receiver the robin um. But I went with the Detroit Lions and UH with Matt Stafford and Kenny Golladay. And I'll start with Kenny Golladay because he's the more expensive of the two players. When it comes to a DP. He's going very late second right now around the eleven pick in the second round at wide receiver number eight. Um

way too low, mind you. And I'll tell you what. Last year Kenny Galladay led all wide receivers with eleven touchdowns. He was twenty onet in targets with a hundred and sixteen. Jamison Crowder saw more targets than Kenny Golladay last season, and Jamison Crowder scored two times. And yeah, and he was criminally under used. And we'll get to Stafford in

a second. But Golladay had Stafford for half the season and then it was David Bloch and uh, I'm already blanking on the other Scrubs name that got some running quarterback, Drisco, Jeff Driscoll, thank you very much. So Yeah, Golladay obviously had a in fire year quarterbacks in the second half of the season, but let's focus on the whole season. Sixty five receptions could have been higher with better quarterbacking. Fifty two of those were for first downs. That is

a uber product uber productivity. Uh. He was tied for the lead and receptions of twenty plus yards with Stephen Diggs, both at sixteen and by the way, Diggs led the NFL on receptions on yards on long passes of twenty plus yards, say it again, on receptions of twenty plus yards, Diggs had the most yards six thirty five on those receptions. Gala Day was second was six eight. The next guy was a Marie Cooper with five hundred and three. That

is a major disparity there. So Golladay, I mean, if we're not talking pairing with the quarterback, I'm loving golladagg as the wide receiver eight right now. He's got top five, top three potential going into this season. Now over to Stafford, who's going off the board a quarterback fourteen in the early tenth round. Like I said, only played eight games last year before landing on i R. Before he was hurt.

He was on pace for a career best in the yards per attempt, touchdown percentage, passer rating, and he was leading the entire league in passing yards per game at the site and twelve before getting hurt. That would have put him at five thousand yards on the season if he played the whole year. That's crazy. And now when we're doing this exercise, one of the guy, one of the combos I was thinking of doing was Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams. Davante Adams clearly the target hog, but

that's it for Rogers. I know that's the problem. So that's not an ideal pairing. Stafford's got Marvin Jones, who was second in touchdowns inside the ten yard line last year with five, second to Kenny Golladay who had six, and t J. Hockenson might be might be good. Uh. DeAndre Swift certainly a boon in the passing game from a running back perspective. So Matthew Stafford and you know, the Bears aren't that tough against the past. The Vikings

certainly aren't that tough against the past anymore. So it's a it's a there's a favorable schedule for Detroit. So I'm gonna shut up now, and that's my parents. Okay, that's your pairing. We'll go with. And honestly, I don't I don't have any qualms with all that. I think that there's a lot of there's a lot of good things that there's a lot of good reasons to think that those things. We know Kenny goll Day is great, And all I need to do is Matthew Stafford to

not get hurt. He's had top ten finishes about half of the full seasons he's played in the last seven or eight years. He has that potential for sure. And the defense not as not gonna be as good in Detroit. I think I think they'll be chasing more points than usual. All right, Matt, you're up next your quarterback wide receiver combo. That makes sense based on a DP. Who are they and where do I have to take him? Now? We just heard Brian's and I know what yours is. Yes,

and I'm slumming it here. Okay, that's fine that there's no I like that. I guess quarterback. I mean, Brian likes my quarterback. I like my quarterback. Um My, two guys. The first guy you have to draft in the fifth round. That's not bad. That's not bad. Uh. Pick fifty six wide receiver twenty four. That's d J CHARKA Chark is going after Calvin Ridley, DK Metcalf, Robert Woods, d J Moore, Odell Beckham, all of which he finished higher in Fantasy

points year. He finished his wide receiver sixteen. And nothing in that offense has gotten significantly worse. Uh. And plus they added Laviska Chennault, who should take a little bit of pressure off him. He's a he's a decent wide receiver two in that offense, and their defense has lost some significant names and they should be playing in Brian,

are you ready guard gardenage time? Gardenage time a lot a lot this year, of course, which brings me to Gardner Minshew, who's a sixteen rounder quarterback pick in your draft. Seven multi touchdown games in fourteen played and not all of his fourteen games were starts. Last year he topped they weren't. You know, they tried Nick Foles in Week one, he got knocked out. Then they brought Nick Foles back in. Foles was worse than Minshew. Yeah, so he got benched

for Minshew. Keep in mind, and you know Brian has made these points on previous shows. You know, Nick Foles, who they were paying, you know, it's in the middle of a fifty million dollar contract, wasn't good enough. He definitely was. Uh Minshew top twenty five rushing yards and eight of his games. That's great. A little gravy on top there. And according to Pro Football Focus, Minshew had the second most rushing yards on pure scrambles in the

league last year. I like that, three fifty rushing yards. I bet Josh Allen was first. No, it was only eight yards behind Lamar Jackson. Oh, come on, Lamar jack Well, he's you said, you said pure you know, so I was taking out all of Lamar's designed runs, twenty one touchdown passes, only six picks. He was he was efficient. Um And if you extrapolate Minshew's fourteen games to sixteen games, which is not that much of an extrapolation, really, that's

not bad. His numbers are Kyler Murray's numbers from last year, almost exactly. And Kyler Murray, by the way, is it's it's sometimes four. Yes, it's about thirty passing yards about the same rushing yards he's Kyler Murray from last year. They were both rookies last year, both entering their second season. So also they get the new coordinator, Jay Gruden, who unlocked some of the best years of Kirk Cousins. Plus there's nobody chasing him, Mike Glennan, are you afraid of

him taking Gardner Minshew's job? How about Joshua Dobbs who hasn't seen the fields. Nobody's taking Gardner Minshew's. And in the fact that they didn't go out and draft somebody or put a you know, make a significant move in free agency to back up that quarterback position tells me

they believe in Gardner Minshew. So Chark is a legit wide receiver to teetering on wide receiver one number is entering his third year and Gardner minshew, I think he's just he's a lock to be a good quarterback this year. He's he's going to outperform his a DPS. He could be a starter, no better backup quarterback in fantasy football. In my opinion based on his it's yeah a quarter slam dun slam duncan jam that. I mean, he's not getting drafted and a lot of lots of drafts not

getting drafted at all. All right, let's go to my quarterback wide receiver combo that actually makes sense with a DP, and that is, wait, are you saying that mine didn't do? Yours did? Yours did well the way I said it came out Baker Bayfield to Odell Beckham. So let's talk about their ADP first, and while you can actually execute this. And by the way, I love to zig when everybody else is zagging, and fantasy football, I also like to zag when everybody else is zigging in fantasy football. They

both both work. You know, if this was a two thousand nineteen podcast, everybody'd be like, oh, that's just chucky. Everybody exactly at this time Last year, everybody wanted a piece of the Browns. They all got burned except for the Nick Chubb owners. And now this year, nobody wants the Browns, and I'm buying baby post type sleeper. It is the post hype sleeper. So let's begin with Baker Mayfield his average draft position. Last year, he was quarterback

six off the board last year. This year he's quarterback fourteen in round ten. All right, that's Baker Mayfield. Then the Oldell Beckham side. Last year he was wide receiver five, going off at the late first round, early second round. Two years ago, he was the first overall picking. This year, Odell Beckham has slumped to wide receiver twenty in round five. So I'm gonna execute my Baker Mayfield Odell Beckham in rounds five and rounds ten, and I've got this hook up.

So so many reasons to believe the Browns are gonna be a vastly improved offense, a massively improved offensive line featuring first round picked Jedderick Wills, and the best tackle in free agency, Jack Conklin, who got signed by the Browns. Remember Jack Conkerland just got done blocking for Derrick Henry's Monster Season is a really good blocker. This is a They also get a massive upgrading coaching from Freddie Kitch into Kevin Stefanski. Stefanski just unlocked Kirk Cousins best year

of his career. Now Stefanski ran the ball a lot for Mike Zimmers. There's a lot of people are like, well, you know, I'm nervous. They're just gonna run and they've got these two great running backs, which they do. But keep in mind, we think Mike Zimmer was dictating a lot of that run pass um ratio in Minnesota, and I think step Kevin Stefanski will pass more in Cleveland than he did in Minnesota. Now Mayfield just by himself

has got this plethora of weapons. You can throw to Beckham, you can throw the Landry, you can throw to Hooper, you can throw to both of your excellent running backs in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunts. So he's got all of these weapons around him. So even if Odell Beckham does not return to the elite form that he had, you're still pretty solid in this Baker Mayfield check. I think. But Beckham's gonna pan out. He's going to be better than this round. Five pick. Needless to say Odell Beckham

is a good receiver. I mean, I don't think we have to even, you know, have that conversation about with him. But he's a great wide receive. Okay, maybe great right? You know, through three or four years it looked like he was. He was absolutely headed to the Hall of Fame. I happened to believe he made a catch with one hand once. Yes, he's done that before. Actually three Gettleman started interrupt real quick. I was at the Packers playoff game in Lambeau, pre Getleman, meaning I was a Giants fan.

Then Beckham was not great in that game. I take that back. He was got off. Kevin Stefanski unlocked greatness from Stefon Diggs and Adam Thalen, and those guys have turned out to be very good receivers. They have they are all they've They've also become better than anybody thought they would ever be. Now you take Odell Beckham, and you give Kevin Stefanski a chance to take Odell Beckham and make him the best he can possibly be. And I'm very intrigued by what that looks like. Beckham is

top one thousand yards in every season. Except his four game season in seventeen. So it sounds like he has these terrible seasons either. And last year he was daggered by and usually low touchdown production. He got targeted a hundred thirty three times and only scored four times. That's going to come back to the norm, and you know he'll he'll be if he gets targeted another hundred thirty three times, He's back to double digit style touchdowns, I believe.

So there you go. I'm kind of surprised you left off Jarvis Landry, Who's I mentioned Landry is one of the targets Viam Landry really is like he I believe he has the NFL record for most catches in his first six years of He's he's absolutely in the role of Adam feeling there too, oh man, that he might be in in for even don't forget well he's not

that much later. It's a funny thing. He's also round five, Okay, So I then I look, man, I feel like I feel like Landry's going like seven eight and the things I see him. But so the problem from Landry to me is he's had one season with him with meaningful touchdown production. At the end of the day, that guy that can give me that can return massive value on my fifth round pick. You want some touch I want I want touchdowns, I want big plays. Landry's just not

that guy. He's a chain moving, possession receiver whom there was a little wamp to that. I think, would you rather have Landry? Would you execute this? This may feel too If they're in the same round, I'd probably go O'Dell and swing for the fences. But I mean, if if I can get Landry a couple of rounds later, depending on how ADP shakes out, if I can get Landry a couple of rounds later, I'd probably go that direction. I'm listening to that. I almost did, may feel to

Hooper that was tempting people. Hooper is going too late, to all the Browns are going too late. I think Matt Ryan Julio Jones was one we both contemplated as well. That you know, I did not because Julio, it's too expensive for me and Calvin and Calvin Ridley this might be the year. So I didn't. I didn't actually did not give that a lot of meaningful thought. Um. There are a couple others obviously that that we did think about let's go to break when we come back, the

double digit darts. These are guys from round ten or higher who have a lead upside, like top of the draft upside that can perform like a second round pick or a third round pick, maybe even a first round pick. Maybe it's a big you know, you don't have ad it is a big gass. But guys who have that in them and don't need injury to get there are double digit darts coming up next. Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charge and Brian Johnson and Matt Harrison

with you are double digit darts. These are guys from round ten or higher who have elite upside at their position and do not need injury to get there. That's a key component to this. We begin with Matt Harrison. Who you got alright? This guy is going off a DP one that qualifies for sure the last pick of the sixteenth round. Wow. That man is James Washington of the Pittsburgh Steelers. This is deep. It's deep. He did

nothing through the first eight weeks of last season. Well he had no quarterbacking either through all of the weeks of last season. Nah, thing at all. It's just what no oh you gotta hold on. Oh there, and then duck came around. Yeah yeah, are we go? Uh? First day weeks no touchdowns, didn't top three receptions or fifty two yards. Thanks Mason Rudolph for that, plus a little bit of an injury there. Uh. From weeks nine through sixteen, however,

insert insert the duck right there. Uh, he averaged six point to five targets per game, just over four catches per game, and seventy two yards per game. Added three touchdowns in that span too, over that eight game yards per games pretty good over those exact same eight games. There's this guy who's going off the board well higher than James Watching. His name is Deonte Johnson. Everybody loves him. I like Johnson. He averaged five point eight targets. That's less.

He averaged three point seven five receptions, that's less. He averaged only forty one yards per game, that's about half significantly less, and only only had two touchdowns over that span. So why are we spending all of this on Deonte Johnson? Want to win j S when James Washington performed better than Deonte Johnson and you can get him so much later. Um. Last year, at this time Washington was kind of being drafted as the Deonte Johnson guy, the guy who could

take over for Antonio Brown in this offense. Maybe what went wrong it was no Big Ben, and Big Ben's back, and they're gonna pass the ball and they're gonna get it going again. And James Washington stands to be in a pretty good spot, especially if the Steelers aren't as enthused about Juju Smith Schuster or something. So maybe James Washington's in line to be the next guy in Pittsburgh and there and they're they're a manifest acturer of wide receivers and they have been over there for I kind

of like it. You know, I needed some selling and James Washington be got me there. And I'm not sold on Juju Smith Schuster. I know people are right back on Juju. Has got like a third round a DP right now there, you know, And obviously the quarterbacking was horrible last year, but he still didn't show up. I want my great receivers to sort of, you know, make up for some of the shortcomings of their bad quarterbacks,

and Juju didn't do that. And I'm just not And he's, by the way, heading into a free agency I'm not convinced yet. I could I could very well be wrong, because I'm in the minority on this that Juju Smith Schuster is part of the future plans of Pittsburgh unless he materially jump, you know, jumps back to where he was. Is anybody convinced for sure that Juju is wide receiver one in Pittsburgh. I mean a lot of people might

say Deante Johnson is. Don't forget he had Antonio Brown on the other side to take a lot of of rookie year All right, Brian, who is your double digit dart? Not quite as deep as uh Washington with Matt I'm gonna go with Nicole Hardman wide receiver for the Chiefs going in the tenth round right now? Double digit? But if if a guy can return first round value, this just might be. And that doesn't need an injury to Tyreekill either. So last year as a rookie, Miko Hardman

head five and thirty eight yards and six touchdowns. Those are like established veteran statistics for a starting wide receiver. Right, he did this on forty one targets for twenty six catches. Now forty one targets is like what Michael Thomas totals in two weeks like that is a right ridiculously underused, even for a rookie, especially when you're scoring six touchdowns on those forty one targets, averaging over twenty yards per game. I mean, just double those targets and you're looking at

double digit touchdowns with that kind of production. But Hardman should see at least one hundred targets this year. DeMarcus Robinson saw fifty five last year. Take all of those away from him, please. Miko Hardman had a quarterback rating and it wasn't always Patrick Mahomes, mind you, throwing the ball is a way. He was injured a couple of years,

a couple of games. Excuse me of a hundred forty five quarterback rating throwing to Nicole Hardman, Mikole Harden, I'm gonna go back to the yards on receptions of twenty plus yards are more. He totaled more yards than Michael Thomas, D J. Moore, guys like this, Tyler Boyd that had a lot of They had a lot of volume that he never had a volume. He totaled more yards on deep passes. So yes, Tyreek kills in tow they drafted

c H Travis Kelsey. But this is a prolific offense and if he can see double the amount of targets, he could push a thousand yards and ten touchdowns easily. And if they incret and I know we're not saying if someone gets injured, but if someone gets injured, this guy's the limit for hardman there already is really as long as he gets proper usage. I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say that this show tends to like Kansas City Chiefs. Everybody loves Kansas City Chiefs.

We have to have an entire show where we go with the negatives of the Chiefs because every one of us is only spouted positivity about the Chiefs. Who wants but you know what, who wants Sammy Watkins. That's right, very much purposely left him out of this conversation because we don't want to talk about anyone. We don't want to talk about Sammy Watkins just ruins the party, It really does. My double digit dart and ah my man, love is just growing by the moment, by the way,

that's totally totally just phrase. There's nothing you have pants on, thankfully, so we can't tell John Neu Smith man, do I love Jacks? Saw you tweet something about That's right? That would be three different video tweets about John new Smith yesterday. Current ADP is around thirteen. He is my number I believe nine tight end ranked tight end right now, Fantasy nine. There you go, Uh, John new Smith, Let's talk about him.

Here's some of his ranks from last year. You might be asking yourself, where did John Nu Smith finish and contested catches? I bet you were just thinking that I was. I was. I was really work among tight ends. He was number one in contested catch rate, he was number five in true catch rate. He was number two. What's true catch rate? I don't know, he's number two. I think true catch rate is when they throw is when

they take uncatchable passes off of the board. So you know, if you get a one hopper and normally the box score would read Ryan Tannehill incomplete to John Smith, but it was not a catchable pass. So when you take those out, he's still fifth. He was number two in yards per target, number seven in yards per reception, and number eight in yards per route run. That's John Nu Smith right there now, by the way. Fourth highest yards after catch at eight point four. That's john Nu Smith.

And we're talking about a good offense and he's the number two receiver on the team. There's a J. Brown and then balls are going to Corey Davis. No john Nu Smith. Now, kendall right. The thing about Johnny Smith that you need to know, listeners, just go look at them. Go to my Twitter account, look at the guy play. All you have to do is see him. The athleticism

is freak ish. For example, you may have seen on my Twitter account the fifty seven yard run that he had as a handoff from the half back position last year against a playoff defense in Houston. In fifty seven yards, he's six ft three, two hundred fifty pounds. It looks like Derrick Henry running the ball, but take Henry out. Was there a mix up? No, it's intention because because Johnnie Smith is that athletic, he's fat, he's a four

six speed tight end. He is an athletic freak, and that offense, that passing offense is increasingly gonna go through him. I think I mentioned earlier they cut Delaney Walker. No issue there. He is the starter and he that dude is headed for stardom. Johnny Smith, he could finish easily as a top five tight end this year. I've got him number nine right now. Say still, I'm not quite ready to not quite ready to put him there yet, But nope, I don't have to. I can take him

in as the thirteenth round. I can reach around in the twelve and get John Smith. Can see you. Given Jonah Smith to reach around, I would I would give John News Vulture. Well, yeah, I could go eleventh round. That could happen. That's right. If you're not listening to our associated podcast, Chopped the Guillotine Podcast, we encourage you to do that as well. Subscribe to that. It's every

everywhere you love podcasting, you can find Chop the Guillotine podcast. Well, next week we're back to like nine plus minutes, right, yeah, and yeah, I mean you know, we're we're one week away from this show going back to its regular two hour radio style format. So he'll get the long form Fantasy Football Weekly coming up, and we've got training camps, brewing and all kinds of all kinds of things to follow, and we'll have a much expanded Fantasy Football weekly, none

of the short stuff like this week. Can't wait. Guys, terrific job, Brian Matt, thank you. We'll talk to you all next week. Bye bye. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I heart Radio. For more podcasts from my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.