Divisional Round Playoffs, Fantasy Style

my favorite week nineteen. Yeah, yeah, it's it is. It's a. It's a it's a great week for football, right all the all the good teams are playing right now. You've got a couple of surprises in there, which is terrific as well. We're gonna break down all the games like we usually do on Fantasy Football Weekly. Means that the letter grades baby c's and benches, but there's a difference

this week, uniquely in the playoffs. We know you're not making bench start decisions if you're playing in a playoff format, so instead we're really orienting this show to DFS players. And so what that means, Brian is I want you to peg every player's ABC bench grade against the cost they have at draft kicks were using draft kicks are model, but they're all very similar. So, for example, Patrick Mahomes

is a real life a no doubt about it. He might have the most positive matchup that's on the board, but he costs a thousand dollars, so he might not be an a graded player. I don't know what grade you have on it. He might not be an a grade when you weigh it against the eight thousand dollars that he costs. So that's the premise of this show, so a little bit different. Still get the grades, but it's all keyed against DFS value. I like it. Now,

let's start with the Ravens taking on the Bills. This is your matchup in a game between two mobile quarterbacks, and I leave. There will be plenty of points in this game. How do you see this shakeout? Yeah? I hope there is. There's certainly not a big name offensive players, but these two defenses are playing pretty well right are as well, So I'm a little trepidation for a lot

of these guys. But we'll start with the Ravens. The road team l Jacks of course, he's a seven point six case on d k's at the second pricest quarterback behind Patrick Mahomes. Now, the Bills have allowed five point two yards per carried to quarterbacks and they've surrendered the second most rushing touchdowns to the position. That is very good juicy for Lamar Jackson, But the Bills are bottom ten in passing yards and touchdowns allowed in a bad way for in a good their top ten, which is

bad for Jackson, who already struggles with his passing. Yeah, he threw one of the worst interceptions I may have seen this century, at least very bad. So yes, you're really gonna be heavily leaning on his rushing numbers more so than usual. We'll get into his wide receivers in a minute, but their matchups are pretty bad, so it's all about up the ground on this one. If he doesn't sniff at a hundred yards in a touchdown, it's

a big bus time I gotta see on him. I don't like him as much of as a lot of the other quarterbacks we didn't get into. UM A little nervous about l Jacks and I think his ownership percentage will reflect that. I don't think he'll be one of the top two on quarterbacks this weekend in bigger tournaments. Over his receivers. This won't take too long. Obviously headlined

by mark He's Brown. He's five thousand, two hundred on DK since putting up that goose egg against the Titans and weak oleven and people were like dropping him University practically six touchdowns over his last seven games, that's including the wild Card, and in the two games he didn't score during that span, he had six catches for ninety eight yards and seven catches for a hundred nine yards. He's earned his Hollywood nickname back that people were stripping

from him in the season. But he gets most likely all White and maybe even a corner another corner I mean O they're safety and bracket coverage because he's clearly the threat at the wide receiver position. Now. Michael Pittman had a really good game against her Dabous White last week. I was surprised. But Pittman's got six inches and forty pounds on Marky's Brown. They're entirely different receivers. So I

gotta see on Brown. I think people are gonna lean towards him because he's been so hot and he's pretty cheap. But it's it's pretty much a hard fade for me for Marky's Brown and all the other receivers there three there, and they're all this punt plays Willis Need, Miles Boykin, Dez Bryant their thirty three hundred or less. But I think they are better punt plays out there. We'll get to those guys. So I'm I'm off the Baltimore wide

receivers in this one entirely. The one receiver you clearly want for the Ravens is Mark Andrews, especially after last week when the Colts tight ends put up a combined mostly led by Jack Doyle but four team catches a hundred and thirty six yards and a touchdown against the Bills, who also gave up the most catches too tight ends on the season, and K five K for Mark Andrews. And he's a guy, he's got receiver two upside in this matchup. Clearly you can jam him into your tight

end spot and feel good about it. But he's also flexor. Yeah, this is a strong two tight end weekend for sure. So love Andrews. And if you want to get really sneaky, you know, unlike past years when they've had like four active tight ends on Baltimore, there's just one other guy, and he's Eric Tomlinson and he doesn't have a catch this year, but he's he's bare minimum. He has no catches on the year on the year, but I can't

start a guy with no catches on the ear. The Colts tight ends were targeted like eighteen times last week. I mean, I don't know. I'm just saying that you're really trying to differentiate and you really want to punt. I'm not that that's this is a multi entry type right here, but just keep Eric Tomlinson in mind. From all right, Um, that's not not that's not it for Baltimore will get to the running backs very quick. Not a big fan of either JK. Dobbins or Gust Edwards.

Dobbins six K, Edwards four point two k virtual fifty fifties blit last week. I think we see more of this towards Edwards. None it does. Dobbins certainly has the more potential to pop off, but Gus likely your goal line guy, definitely cheaper, Dobbins probably higher own. So if I'm forced to pick one, it's Dobbins. But again, if I'm doing a one lineup a single jury, it's L

Jackson Andrews for the Ravens side. Everything else is a very much contrarian in this game makes sense over the Buffalo side, starting with Josh Allen seven point or K comes in a little less than El Jackson's the third pricest quarterback. I'm gonna give him a B here. Multiple touchdown passes an eight of his last nine games. He also has six rushing touchdowns over his last ten games. Zack Moss and his team leading twenty eight red zone

carries gone on. I r those aren't going to Devon's singletary. No, I don't think or Antonio Williams, who's even on the slate for DK, So we're not gonna talk about them much. But it's a tough matchup through the air for Alan against the Ravens. Only one quarterback has thrown for more than two touchdowns against the Ravens and that was Patrick

Mahomes in Week three. But Alan has kind of proven himself to be matchup proved through the air almost He hasn't had a match up this stuff, but he's come through in some tough matchup he has, including last week. So a very strong B for Alan. He probably my second favorite quarterback on the slate. This week. We'll talk about my favorite one later um over his receivers, Stefon Digs. Everyone loving Steffon right now. Seven point three k On d K comes in just under Davante Adams and Price.

That Ravens have yielded the six sixth most targets to wide receivers, but they've allowed the third fewest touchdowns just eleven. On the season. Titans white white outs total just six nine catches, a hundred and six yards, and a touchdown. Last week basically all a J. Brown Corey Davis was blanked. Digs very comparable to a J. Brown. Well not just not totally different. They're about the same tight, no way,

a couple inches shorter. Not comparable enough, though, I just gotta see on Diggs, Like, you know, I think the only way to me that they're comparable is that they're both the go to guy for their quarterbacks. But style plays really different. I you know, I would, I think I'd be worried. You know, they that they blanked Corey Davis. Who are they? You know, are they gonna blank a

receiver this week? Well, the Ravens shut down somebody, they'll certainly focus their attention on Diggs because Marlon Humphrey can take care of Cole Beasley on the slot. I'm off Beasley at four point nine K. Humphreys if not the best corners in the NFL. But back to Diggs real quick, I think a lot of people are gonna be worried about this matchup. So he still has a great GPP play, but his fifteen to twenty point floor doesn't seem as

safe as it does in most weeks. The ceiling is certainly there, so he's not a great cash game play where you're banking on that safe floor. He does still have a very high ceiling. Is one of the best wide receivers in the league, but this is a very tough matchup, one of the toughest ones he's had in a while. And we got to talk about the third receiver for Buffalo really quick. It's either Gabriel Davis or

John Brown. Brown is four point six K, Davis is four K. Everyone remembers the highlight real catches, but Davis had last We get a couple of great to Drex Wag catches. Brown had nothing. He had no receptions, no receptions, but John Brown did play of the snaps. He led the team in pass routes run. It wasn't like he was hobbling around out right, and then he had a couple of drops. Brown will probably have the best matchup if he's Brown or Davis will have the best matchup.

Went on the field, most likely, and I'm just gonna lean Brown in the revenge game angle if I'm picking one of these two guys, because everyone's gonna lean go Davis right now. Yeah, everybody's gonna Davis. I like the contrarian orientation of that. Obviously high risk, but we know that Brown is throughout the course of the season when he was on the field, he got targeted, and he was generally productive on the targets he got, and everyone's gonna be off him, so yes, after the lay off him.

So I don't love playing the third receiver, but if I had to pick one, it's definitely Brown over Davis for me. Lastly, for the past catchers, Dawson kN touchdown last week, but he's very touchdown dependent. There are too many tight ends on this slate. I like Brown's backups more than Dawson Knox this week. We'll talk about them later. So he's on the bench for me and Devin Singletary the lead back four point five k. That's pretty cheap.

But the Ravens front four's in full force again. They showed what they can do when at full steam against Derrick Henry last week. So Devin single Darry a very contrarian play. He doesn't catch a lot of passes, which is weird. I mean, people think he's more like a scat back, but he really doesn't get those. He doesn't get the receptions you'd think he would. He and for him to he's gotta at four point. He's still gotta get you to the fifteen draft kings points, and I

don't like his chances of doing that. He's got a score from distance, so I got the running He never score. He doesn't score period, from distance or or anywhere else. And then I don't your boy, Davante Freeman. Maybe next week we'll talk about him. Okay, he's been signed by Buffalo to the practice squad. I don't know if he is so cooked so cooked? Well, the running back needy Giants are like, now we can't even find a carry

for you. That's a bad sign. In just a second, we will break down the Rams taking on the Packers. Rams take on the Packers. Let me start with the weather here. Um, it's probably not a factor. The Packers um are expected to kick off with temperatures in the mid thirties tropically, that is unusually tropical for the locals. Yeah. Absolutely, and um of note, And maybe I'll even just start here with Jared Goff his record in sub freezing games,

and this is gonna be very close to that freezing level. Es. That's right. He's owing to in sub freezing temperatures with zero touchdowns and five interceptions. And he wasn't coming off thumb surgery and exactly. You know, the good news is just the atmosphere will be icing his thumb all the time. So maybe there's that. Um he's and Jared Goff is too expensive at any price. Yeah. Uh. He is throwing the ball poorly, and that was before the thumb injury.

His confidence looks shattered. He has thrown zero or one touchdown in five of the past six games, and the Packers have allowed zero or one touchdown pass in five straight games. I mean, he's sitting at zero or one touchdown for this game. I want nothing to do with Jared Goff, and that means I'm not crazy about his receivers either. Cooper Cups got a knee injury and did not practice Wednesday Thursday, shaping up as a game time decision.

He finished last week's game, so I want to believe he could play here, but um, I don't know for sure, and that worries me. And his matchup is fair. He goes up in the slot against Chandon Sullivan, who is not bad and believe he's given up just two touchdowns all year, but he's also not great. Cups better when fully healthy. Uh Sullivan did Allo would touchdown to Johannu Johannu two weeks ago in his coverage, So that was there's a little bit of note there. But Cooper cup

comes at Bucks. I've got him on a bench grade because of the injury. A full at full health, I would give him more like a C grade. Glad he's playing. He looked like he was done for the year last week. I context it was I was nervous for sure, um staying with the receivers. Robert Woods on the bench. Green Bay hasn't allowed a wide receiver touchdown in five straight games, and it most often see Jaire Alexander, and that is a disaster. Scenario against one of the five best coverage

cornerbacks in the NFL. Goffs struggles have taken Woods with him, and he has not topped fifty six yards and five straight games for Robert Woods, who comes in at dred dollars. That is a bench for me as well. I've got a C grade on Josh Reynolds because he's going to see Kevin King, by far the Packers worst coverage cornerback.

King's giving up a passer rating of one hundred six and sev the passes in his coverage are completed I think at thirty two hundred and knowing that the Rams will probably trail for a lot of this, the path of least resistance through the air is that Josh Reynolds. Yeah, I was. I was on Reynolds last week, right around the same price as a punt play. I think he goose egg too. If if you didn't he had like one point something to help, people are gonna be off him,

but I'm gonna. I'm gonna get back on it again. So I like that. Okay, let's go uh oh. Other receivers Higbie and Evert are dead to us. They're they're cheap, but the Packers are good versus tight ends, and they just cannabalize each other. So they're they're outbench. Now let's go to the running backs. Cam Acres fifty seven hundred bucks a Grade Brian massive usage the last two games with fifty two touches in the last two games, and the only way the Rams win this game is if

cam Acres has a massive massive games. In the Packers last game, David mctgomery rolled up a hundred thirty combo yards in a score. Before that, Derrick Henry yards before that, Carolinas hodgepodge of runners top to one hundred total yards before that, DeAndre Swift scored. You get the idea. Yeah, Green Bay's a good past defense. They are a medium bad run defense. That's all going to come back to

golf though. Sadly, he's got to be able to God's God's gonna give very little here, but they're gonna have to run Acres. He's gonna have to prove he can do something. They're just gonna stack that box Corles now, now the path, there's no guarantee that Acres will get a lot done here. The Packers were able to contain Derrick Henry recently, but still I think Acres gets enough use that I'm keeping the A grade on him. You could throw a dart at Malcolm Brown if you want.

He's uh, the Rams are going to run a lot. He got ten touches last week, which is enough to get something done from a DFS standpoint. You know, if you can get to ten touches, you know you got a chance. Um. And maybe with all the use of Acres has gotten lately, they'll want to diversify a little bit. So Malcolm Brown at is a C grade for me. I like, Okay, it's got to the green Bay side Green Bay as similar storyline. Far easier to run on the Rams than pass on the rams. The Rams are

the best past defense in the NFL. So I think we're going to see a ton of Aaron Jones, who is an A grade at sixty eight hundred dollars. The path of LEAs resistance, as I mentioned, is on the ground. Um, David Bactr's out, So another reason not to put Aaron Rodgers at risk and to run the ball more. And I know fantasy owners are gonna look at Aaron Jones modest use. The last few games ten he had ten touches and eleven touches well rushes and they're gonna say, well,

well that's not enough carries. They were saving him for the playoffs and breaking news, it's the playoffs. It's time. It's time. They're gonna unleash their best running back, Aaron Jones a better right now. Now the Rams are good, They're not. We're not. This is not gonna be an A J. Dillon game like we got two weeks ago. Two games ago. Uh No, runners top sixty nine yards since Week two against the Rams. There's a good run d and so no, don't make it like he's gonna

just run through this. But they've also seen some really really weak rushers through much of the season. Kenyan Drake, Damien Harris, Frank Gore. It's got I think, I think Jones is sitting on a potentially very big game here, and those rushers didn't have an Aaron Rodgers Davante Adams right exactly. Um Sticking with the running backs, Jamal Williams is a C grade at forty four hundred. His usage has been low but might get an uptick here in the second half of the season. He's averaged just eight

touches and scored just two times. He's a pretty good runner um, but again, I think the majority of it goes to Aaron Jones. Okay, let's go to the passing game. I've just got a B grade on on Aaron Rodgers at Dollars. I would rather have Josh Allen, who you highlighted earlier. He's insanely hot, three or four touchdowns in six of the past seven games, which is awesome. And I wouldn't blame anybody Brian who feels they just want to bank on Rodgers regardless of opponent where you I

don't even care what the opponent is. I just want Aaron Aaron Rodgers. Okay, that's viable. But understand, the Rams secondary is so good that the Rams secondaries basically having the defensive season that Aaron Rodgers is having. Offensively, they rank number one in passing yards allowed, Number one in passing touchdowns allowed, Number one in touchdown percentage allowed, passing touchdown percentage allowed. And if Jalen Ramsey can hold serve

with Davante Adams, Rogers got to help. Gotta find help elsewhere, and there aren't many good options other than Davante Adams who will pivot two. Now he only gets a C grade from me because he's eighties, six hundred dollars and he's gonna see a ton of Jalen Ramsey. Not every play, but he's gonna get a lot of Ramsey. Ramsey ranks number one in yards allowed per coverage snap at one half of a yard. Rams allowed the fewest wide receiver

touchdowns just seven. They were allowed the fewest receiving yards to wide receivers just one hundred thirty per game. That's it. Yeah, it'll be fast fascinating to see the ownership percentages for Rogers and Adams will be the lowest they've been in the last twelve weeks probably, and that's when it's been all the teams playing. There's only four teams and they're gonna be probably the lowest they've been. And I just want to mention real quick, I was off DK Metcalf

last week because of Jalen Ramsey. He ended up having a great game statistically. The first touchdown was on the other side of the Fiel got one secondary and then the second touchdown the Rams are playing pre event from the eight yard line, right they let him score. I mean, so there's smoking mirrors there for sure, so too. But yeah, like you said, people just gonna want to have I can't fault anyone just plugging in Rogers and Adams and seeing what they can do, because you're gonna get him

under ten percent. And that's that's insane. Um, let's talk about the other receivers. Allen Lazard, marquees Velde Scantling for Lozardi comes in a thirty D. But I still can't do it. He runs from the slot where he's gonna see Troy Hill, who's one of the best lock corners. Hills allowed one touchdown all year. Last week. He held Tyler Lockett the two catches last week. So Lizard's dead.

So is marquess Velde Scantling, who's at eight hundred. He's uh, he's an all He's probably the most all or nothing wide receiver in football. And when he doesn't score a touchdown, his average game for MBS, his average game when he does not score is one catch for twenty four yards. I don't want any part of that. In a tough matchup against surging cornerback Darius Williams, who actually has a higher Pro Football Focus coverage rating than Jalen Ramsey, does,

so he's dead to us too. And here's your Here is I think the best play that there is among the receiving options, and it's Robert Touny In. Rams have allowed three tight end scores in the last five games, and the sort of Jacob Hollister, Dan Arnold and Dan Arnold. Yeah, I love it. It's possible that no team saw a weaker slate of tight ends than the Rams this day.

The Rams have faced almost no good tight ends. The one good time they faced was George Kittle, and Kindle rocked him for a hundred nine yards and one touchdown. I contested the Anold is good, but okay, he's not George Kittle. I he's not even I will not admit that he is not at that level. I'm contested. All right, Let's go to our next match, which is the Browns taking on the Chiefs. I was personally delighted with the

Browns game. There was so much fun rooting for Kevin Stefanski, all the underdog stuff for the Browns languishing fan base. They needed it so much. The Browns had every reason to lose the game, and they were up tony one nothing in the first quarter, unbelievable, jaw dropping start to a game. But I call my friends and legal, I don't like to bet on the Bowdogs and whatnot. I wanted to be fully sanctioned. I called somebodies. I'm like, I on on fifty on the Steelers right now that

I was sweating it to the end. It didn't come through. But uh, but yeah, the Browns are hot, and uh we'll start with Baker Mayfield, who everyone views. The Browns is run heavy, but over Baker's last six games, he's averaged nearly thirty eight pass attempts and he's tossed multiple touchdowns and four of those six I'm only gonna give him a be though, because he's too cheap. He's five point three thousand ownerships. The ownership is gonna be too high,

and it's gonna be tight to differentiate tournaments. I'm I'm upset with the algorithm here from DraftKings. It's way too low for Baker Mayfield to be five point three k That is almost bare minimum for a quarterback. It's like high four thousands as usually as low as you see it.

So a b on for Baker, But you're gonna a lot of people are gonna be using that safe salary the same way as you, So he's not gonna differentiate as much as you think you would with guys like Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen and Lamark Jackson and Aaron Rodgers on the slave people are gonna gravitate towards Baker Mayfield.

So just to be for him, take out a side is it if you're not you're in a smaller pool and you're really not sweating ownership percentage as much is Baker and a grade Yeah, definitely, Yeah, pretty much cash games smaller pools. I think it's a very safe floor for Baker, especially because they if they go up big, great, you don't really see that happening. But if they trail, they're gonna be throwing the big trail. The multiple score

trail is likely here. Garbage time can pay off big time for Baker in this one, but hopefully it is a very competitive game over to his wide receivers. Not a lot of love for these guys. Posing Whiteouts average less than eleven catches, forty yards and a touchdown per game against the Chiefs this year as a whole, those are very poor numbers, So just to see for Jarvis Landry at five point six thousand, five six k uh.

He probably has the best matchup against US slot corner of Lagarius Sneed, but I think he will warn a lot of attention from the Kansas City secondary and so for that reason or not for that reason, over to the boundary receivers, were Shard Higgins do? He does? He's not great, He's he's cheap at four point one k. Donovan People's jones is bare minimum for wide receivers at three K, but they should both struggle on the boundaries.

Shavarious Ward and Pshawn Brelan, both very able cornerbacks. Both own a catch percentage under six in their coverage that is very good. Higgins and DPJ are viable, viable dfs place in terms because they're so cheap and they'll be on the field and potentially chasing points. But you kind of liked them more in a like a showdown contest, like a one game contest, just kind of a one off,

cheaper wide receiver option. If I had to pick between the two, I would go with DPJ at three k Donovan People's jones because he's probably got less tension and he's much less expensive. But again not really targeting either of these boundary receivers. I am targeting yet another tight end in Austin Hooper at three point eight k. He has an amazing matchup by far the as for any

past catcher for the Browns. Over their last seven games, the Chiefs have surrendered six touchdowns to tight ends, and over that seven game span, opposing tight ends are also averaging seven catches eighty five yards per game, and Hooper has been hot. So I like Cooper a lot, and yeah, again, you can play two tight ends with ease this week. And I even like Harrison Bryant at two point five k Barren minimum. That's a big differentiator. Is a game

time decision. He may not go about his ownership percentage. And we're gonna talk about the Chiefs shortly, but Brian's a great guy. As a correlation play, if you go for the big Mahomes Hill, Kelsey, Stack, usually want to have another player from the opposing team, probably a cheaper when you have big names like those guys. So I'm gonna give a c to Briant and then Joe Coop

he plays, and I'm giving aid Austin Hooper. Uh, he's probably jammed in my tight end spot if I have one lineup, and again I'll be I'll be happy to even with all the tight end love we've given different tight ends already in this show. He's cheap enough, he has wide receiver to potential. He might lead the Browns and receiving in this game. And again, you can throw Kelsey or Andrew's or Tongian in your flex spot all

of elite matchups. So I love Hooper and even his backups if you can't afford Hooper, and everyone's gonna love Nick Chubb at six point six. Okay, he's probably gonna be the highest owned player on the whole slate, I would imagine, and understandably so. Opposing backs averaging more than five and a half yards per carry against the Chiefs this year, this is how they win. This is the real This is the one obvious pathway for the Browns to win this game is for Chubb to go off.

But Kansas City has only surrendered seven rushing touchdowns to running backs and only two running backs have managed to rush for a hundred yards against the Chiefs. But uh, Chubb is playing at another level right now, So I'm gonna give him a beat just because if they fall behind a lot and he doesn't have good games, a big bust and then you can probably be lumped with thirty of the field also having Chub and then you're all in the doghouse together. So if he doesn't go off,

your your big time screwed. So just to beat for Chub and uh that brings us to Kareem hunt revenge game? Can he call it a revenge game? Though the Chiefs had no choice but to kick him to the curb after what he did, But fine, it is a revenge game for Kareem Hunt four point eight K. He's down playing it publicly for whatever it's worth. Yeah, I'm sure he's not in the locker room. Though the Chiefs have surrendered the fourth most catches and the most receiving yards

of running backs. Hunt wasn't used as much in the receiving game as we would have liked for the most part on the season, but at four point eight K, he'll probably be top three four own running back this week. I would imagine two, especially going into this revenge game. So I'm gonna give hunted. I don't even just to see though, because I'm worried when you expect him to catch a ton of passes. He never has. I know that's I'm baffled. I'm baffled by that. And we can

flip the revenge script. I think too that it's a revenge game for the Chiefs against Kareem Hull. Look what you did to us, Kareem. Now we've got Clyde's Edwards, Hilary Levan Bell, We could have had you, because keep your nose clean. You'd all be win in Super Bowls together. So just to see for a hunt, um, and that's it for the Cleveland side. Over to the chief side. Of course, a lot to love, but can you afford

to cram them all into one lineup? Starting with Patrick Mahomes at eight k not a whole lot more expensive than l Jackson seventy, but he is the most expensive

quarterback on the slate. As is to be expected, the Browns will get Denzel Ward and Kevin Johnson back the starting back Those help a lot, big time help, but they lose their best pass rusher and Olivier Vernon, maybe not the best second, but a great pass rusher Olivia Vernon, who's done for the year, so that almost equals it out Mahomes will certainly have more time in the pocket.

Cleveland has allowed the six the most passing touchdowns of this season, and over the course of their last two games, both against the Steelers, Ben Roethlisberger Mason Rudolph have combined for eight touchdown passes in the last two games. But again, they get a couple of starting corners back though. But uh, I'm gonna give Mahomes an a because I think he goes off, he can still do damage if he needs

to with his feet. Not quite like Yeah, l Jacks or Alan, but he has that potential, and I just think people are gonna be off him for the most part. They're they're gonna want to spend their money elsewhere, and there's very luring options at quarterback all over the board. So if I'm running one lineup, I'm going, yeah, I just think he can. Just even though the chief starters haven't played in three weeks. That kind of worries me either off. As you know, it doesn't worry me in

the slightest. It really does and and maybe it should. And there are there are case studies here where teams have come out cold and it's taken a half or in some cases the whole game or they've never gotten it together. But man, it's the Chiefs that it just feels like they can flip a switch, doesn't it. Yeah, and Mahomes, I bet he comes in as the third fourth highest owned quarterback, and when at least the third, probably not the fourth, but I expect Baker and I

think Allen will be more owned than Uh. So you get a third highest quarterback, you're sitting pretty if he goes off. So and A for Mahomes and a for Travis Kelsey. Uh seven point eight K even at seven point you're still have an A on Kelly. I am. Cleveland has been a money matchup for tight ends forever. They love the sixth most fantasy points of the position this year. Kelsey put up wide receiver numbers all season long. He would have finished its wide receiver three if he

was eligible to play there. And uh again, you can treat him as a wide receiver one, which makes it easy to put him in your tight end spot. But Kelsey very flexi worthy this week. Alright, So no Sammy Watkins, So Kelsey probably gets a couple extra passes his way if you can only have Let's assume that most people can't stack both of those Chiefs. It's just too expensive. Then what pick one? Are you going Mahomes, you going Kelsey?

If you gotta pick one, I would probably still go Mahomes because Mark Andrews could have a very so good Tonyan, so could Austin Hooper for that matter. That matchups so that good on the other side, So I would just pick Mahomes. But uh, the Mahomes Kelsey pairing has proven to be pretty pretty lethal for the most part this year. Uh, Tyree Hill like him a lot as well, eight K a little, a couple hundred dollars more than Mahomes. He

should see Denzel Award. For the most part, he really hasn't played the most of the second half of the season. The Browns numbers against wide receivers not good, but that has led to that reward absent. Brown's had yielded the fourth most targets and the second most red zone targets to wide receivers. So you gotta love Hill this week. You can get a Hill, Kelsey Mahomes stacking there, but you gotta go Harris and Bryant and then another dirt

cheap wide receiver. And I don't know if I want to recommend that dirt cheap wide receiver being from the Chiefs. As you mentioned, Sammy Watkins is out, so that leaves us the Marcus Robinson, Kole Hardman, and Byron Pringle. Robinson is the most expensive four point three, k Hardman three point nine, Pringle three point two. Hardman means the most intriguing play from a talent perspective, but he just gets the least run out of Robins. Didn't even Pringle, Pringle

and Robinson stood out in Week seventeen. Pringles scored uh. Robinson has gotten more targets when Watkins was hurt earlier in the year, which there was just a more clear way to go with with I was Sammy Watkins out about who that would go to? I just feel like that's it's almost random. And you can't look too much into Pringle's good Week seventeen because Mahomes wasn't the quarterback, so you can save salary elsewhere. If I don't even

I would know what I would do. I don't want to pick any one of these guys, be honest with you, and you know what I don't want to it's how to say one of them won't score do something. One of them probably will, but which one is is a total dark. It's a three face coin and I've I've yet to see see one of those, and I don't want to flip one either. So yeah, I'm off the secondary receivers, and you got to be off the running backs unless you're again a hundred and fifty max multi

entered guy. Clyde Edwards, So there five point five K might not even play. If he does, does he have a full role he, I mean really doesn't have had a full role all year. And then so then that leaves Levian Bell, Darwin Thompson, Darryl Is, Darryll or Darrell Darrell Darrell Williams Bell at five point one K. I'm completely it's Darryl. No worries um. First off, it's just a bad matchup in general for all running backs against

the Browns. Only four running backs managed to top sixty rushing yards against Cleveland this year, who only allowed thirteen total touchdowns to the position one receiving h so there's not a receiving angle there. At twelve rushing touchdowns is not a lot. If if Edwards were somehow doesn't play, Levian Bell might get to start, but Darryl Williams outshine Bell, who got hurt. In week seventeen, Darrell Williams Darwin Thompson came in looked better than Darryl Williams did, who again

looked better than Levion Bill. So it's a mess there, I mean, And the bad thing about running backs is there bearing in him is four K. That's not chie is three K a point five k of course. So yeah, you might see the guy who wins a million dollars luckily pegged one of these dirt cheap running backs that managed to score and maybe account for eighty combo yards. But there's no way to gleam who that is going to be in a bad matchup. So I'm benching all

the Chiefs running backs. But good look, if you out, then I'm a lot more interested in throwing a dart at Daryl Williams. Just the eye test tells me levy On Bell is freaking cooked. She's just not good. There's just the outside chance that Thompson Thompson is more expensive than Williams Thompson. Does I want to see like some concrete evidence of who the quote unquote back up. So but yeah, I'm with you, I'd be I'd have some

interest in over that would turn out to be. We'll take a quick break and then we'll get to the final matchup, the Sunday night game Bucks and Saints. The previous two meetings this season between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New Orleans Saints kind of ancient history at this point. It was Week one and Week nine, so it was a full season ago and half a season ago effectively, And just as a reminder, Week one, both

teams scored plenty of points. Saints ended up winning and definitely no Antonio Brown, certainly not a Week nine, Saints destroyed the Bucks, held Tampa to three points in a thirty five point victory breeze through four touchdowns. Brady was brutal, with three picks and no scores. Tampa ran the ball four times in that game. Four carries in that game. That's it. That's gonna be the lowest rushing total of any team this year. They had eight yards rushing in

that game. They got behind early and then here's a band in the run completely. So let's start with Tom Brady and this one who struggled significantly in both Saints games. As I mentioned, but he's been red hot for two months since that last meeting. His last bad game was Week nine. Since then, he's been awesome now. The Saints since then also looked pretty good on paper, giving up just two hundred forty yards and zero point eight passing touchdowns.

But Brian listened to the quarterbacks the Saints have played since that Week nine meeting against Tom Brady, Nick Mullins, Matt Ryan twice, Kendall Hinton not even a quarterback. I believe Matt Ryan Julio got hurt in the first meeting with the Saints, and then he missed the second. I think you're right about that too. Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes

who threw three touchdowns because he's really good. Kirk Cousins, who's good enough and he threw three touchdowns, Teddy Bridgewater and Sad Trombone Ski, hold on, I don't have I don't know where my sad trombone ski is a little sad trombone ski for the background. Um Nickelodeon should have had a sad trom p. Is gonna throw a lot in this game, a lot in this game. Brady comes in at sixty three hundred dollars. I've got an a grade on Tom Brady um and I don't believe that

we're going to see enough. I think we're see done of passing, not a lot of running. So that's that is a lot of why. Now, let's I want to pivot for a second. You know, normally once we start with the passing game, we stay with the passing game. I want to pivot to these running backs and talk for just a second about why I don't like them very much. First, all right, you know Ronald Jones, you don't know if he's gonna play and if he plays it all and game time decision, and this is a

brutal matchup. Saints are good run defense. They completely stymied a red hot David Montgomery last week. They finished the season ranked fourth in yards per carry, second and rushing touchdowns allowed. Now, they did give up some big games down the stretch. Not a lot, but you give up a few. Six of the nine rushing touchdowns they allowed on the season came in the final four games. Miles Sanders, Dalvid Cook the Kansas City Runners. I'll posted good December games,

so you might get a little something done here. But especially if Ronald Jones goes. I don't I don't want to mess and monkey with who these guys are going to go. Now, if Jones doesn't play, then and Jones, by the way Bucks and I'm not touching him Leonard Fournette. If if Jones doesn't go, Leonard Fournett's appausible start at cheap volume. I still think that Brady is gonna throw

his arm out of socket in this game. So back to back to the receivers now, So we talked about Brady like him a lot at st Antonio Brown only fifty bucks. I don't know why. He's the highest scoring fantasy receiver for the Bucks over the last month, and he's a thousand dollars cheaper than Evans or Godwin. Go figure. He has scored in four straight games. He's mostly going to see Genorris Jenkins, who is which is a favorable matchup.

Jenkins is getting thrown out a lot lately, which is good for Brown um and he's giving up bigger games now than he was earlier in the season, including two touchdowns in the last four games. So Antonio Brown a grade at B grades on Evans and Godwin. Godwin was a drop machine last week, he's gonna draw Chauncey Gardner Johnson in the slot. He's been very good. He's like the ultimate smack talker. By the way, there's been some good talk about that the last few weeks in the

second half of the season. He's allowed just twenty three yards and zero point one touchdowns in his coverage since the midway point of the season. So I don't love this matchup for Chauncey Gardner Johnson. Um I have I have a B grade on Chris Godwin just out of respect for who he is, but I it might be more like a secret. I'm gonna move him to a SEA grade at sixt Mike Evans is sixty four hundred dollars and look shockingly healthy last week off that knee injury.

He'll mostly see Marshawn Latimer, who often shadows, especially if there's a bigger, physical opposing receiver like Evans. Latimer saw a lot of Alan Robinson last week kept him in check. But latimer season is very checkered, including allowing the second most touchdowns in his coverage. He was the second most targeted. Evans was the second most targeted wide receiver from inside the ten yard line in the NFL. I think he gets a touchdown in this game. And I've got a

B grade on Mike Evans. I would rather roll with him than I would with Godwin h last guy I'll mention from that team, gron can break. They neutralize each other, and there's way too many other, too many other good, dependable tight end options this week. I'm not playing with them. Gronks two game total against the Saints this year, three catches, thirteen yards, no touchdowns. Don't like it, and break out the usage last week, and I don't want to play

that game. All right. Let's go to the Saint side, uh and beginning with Alvin Camara. This is a I think an easy decision to give him a C grade, and maybe that's generous even if Latavius Murray doesn't play. Camara's two prior games against Tampa Bay sixteen rushing yards and forty rushing yards. That's it. He managed to score in both games, which salvaged his fantasy day a little bit,

but this is still a nightmare matchup. Tampa ranks number one in rushing yards allowed, number one in rushing yard it's per attempt they get the lowest rushing play percentage. Just thirty five of the plays run against Tampa are

running plays, and Tampa's excellent against past catching runners. Although I will note that Camara did score through the air in the first game, but the overall in the season, Tampa has been great against opposing runners too, So you can't even count on Camara getting something done that way. Five five catches fifty one yards and a touchdown, like you said in the first meeting, then five catches for nine yards. This, I can't assure you that Camara is going to do well here and at s I needle.

I gotta feel a lot better than I do about Camara, and I don't care if Murray plays or not. For me, Let's go to the passing game. Drew Brees fifty six hundred bucks. I've got an A grade on him. He's gonna pass a lot for the reasons I just explained about Camara, and he was basically perfect in the Week nine matchup between these teams. Plenty of value here, I think to be had teams abandoned the run quickly against Tampa. Tampathy is the highest pass play percentage, and Taysom Hill

may not play in this game. He's his status is up in the air. He's not a hundred percent and even if he's available, they may not use him all the same way as they normally do. That would that would be like the one thing the whole fantasy community could just Taysom Hill. So um, I think there's a great, a great angle here on Drew Brees is cheap. I like it's super cheap. Michael Thomas comes in at six hundred. I've got an A grade on him. He looked very

good last week. He lines up on the left side of the field twice as often as he lines up anywhere else, and from that side of the field he faces cornerback Carlton Davis. Davis has struggled, including an absolute roasting at the hands of Tyreek Hill four games ago. Davis allowed a touchdown to Drew Brees earlier this year. Davis has the size to battle Thomas, but he does not have the skill to battle Michael Thomas. I've got an A grade in him, even at sixty seven hundred UM.

Other receivers of note, Emmanuel Sanders Bucks was basically invisible last week. I'm not going to play that game. You could try Deante Harris, who was a who was surprisingly active in the game plan last week. But man, there's no history here to suggest that that's going to be the case again. Jared Cook, I like him another tight end angle that's playable here. I've got a B grade in him. At four thousand dollars. He said, no less than four targets in six straight games. He has scored

three touchdowns in those six games. Tampa Bay's allowing tight end touchdowns in half of their games on the season. They've given up nine. Cook hit the Saints for eighty yards in the first meeting with the Bucks, and although Cook did not score in the second meeting to other Saints tight ends did Adam Troutman and Uh and Hill. I think we're both scored touchdowns in that game. So now this is uh. In these matchups, we saw Tampa give up three tight end touchdowns. So Jared Cook's in play.

I'm gonna lose so much sleep. I think you could feel my hair going gray or already he's thinking about it. I think your original premise of two tight ends is is very very You'll see that. I mean people have done that and it's still not a very popular way to build a line. But I think you'll see it more often than not this week, and understandably so. Great matchups and and there's something to be said about that last game, which I wasn't really didn't have my radar

on my radar as much the Bucks Saints game. But it's the only one indoors to be cold in those other games. Maybe on the fast track. I bet it has you bet it's got the highest overas second, like fifty six and a half. This is like, yeah game, so yeah, the other two in the four high forties makes sense. Thank you for listening. Fantasy Football Weekly Playoff edition. Please subscribe, rate, and review Fantasy Football Weekly, and it will be back next week to talk about championship Conference

championship games. Can't wait to talk to you more then. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I Heart Radio. For more podcast us from my Heart Radio, visit the i Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.