Super Bowl LIII Player/Game Props Preview and Guide - podcast episode cover

Super Bowl LIII Player/Game Props Preview and Guide

Jan 30, 201957 min
--:--
--:--
Download Metacast podcast app
Listen to this episode in Metacast mobile app
Don't just listen to podcasts. Learn from them with transcripts, summaries, and chapters for every episode. Skim, search, and bookmark insights. Learn more

Episode description

Yesterday we gave you the unusual prop bets that you need to make for the Super Bowl. Today, Gregg Sussman and Frank Stampfl give you the player props that they like the best! Gregg also explains how he got in to an argument with ESPN.com over a stat correction in his fantasy basketball league.

Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

Speaker 1

Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast, and remember, if you want to listen live, download the I Heart Radio app, download the tune and app and just search for Fantasy Sports Radio Network and you could listen to this program live. Also, if you want to watch the video of this podcast, check us out on YouTube, on twitch, or on Periscope and type in you guess it, Fantasy Sports Network. You'll find us there. Enjoy the show and thanks for listening.

You're listening to the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Fantasy Best Friends Forever. M Do to to D do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do don it do yeo, says the Fantasy Best Friends Forever. Here the Fantasy Sports were Network alongside Frankie Stamfle I Am Greg. What's going on reggae here in a hump day talking player and aime props. Still some interesting stuff to get into, not just like

your average I mean receptions. Is this guy gonna have I mean seeding yards, I'm passing yards like, There's still a lot of pretty crazy like player and game props involved, like after we didn't even talk about yesterday, so I'm very excited to do that, Like your cross sport props that you were talking about Yeah, there are some interesting things like Russell Westbrook points plus rebounds plus assists or Rob Gronkowski's receiving yards. That's something that we could get

into later. So you know, throughout the week a lot of people have been asking questions in the chat about player props as well. So if you have a question calling A four four, A four, three, six, eight seven nine. But before all that, Greg, how did you sleep last night? Buddy's great last night? Actually, yeah, after your great, your failed chicken parmesan. Yeah, we tried to make a healthy version of chicken form and it wasn't as nearly as

good as a the unhealthy version. We'll use zootos and whatever. So it's not great, Frank, And I woke up this morning not as great. Why is that? Remember where I came here on Monday and I told you about my Mitchell Robinson versus Tim Harway's texting you on Sunday night about it? Now? How I won? Yeah, last second, Mitchell Robinson put back whatever two rebounds and put back layout. I woke up this morning I no longer won that

correction correction. So when I tell you that, what was your first instinct to be to ask me, what happened? What was this that correction? I don't know because ESPN does not provide you with the stack corrections Basketball stack corrections, Fantasy football they do, Fantasy Baseball they do. You've got to be able to find it somewhere, though, So the n b A, the NBA released that corrections. In Yahoo released that corrections. Now there's a bunch of stack corrections,

including some of my players and some of his players. No, I don't know what was what was put in what was put out? Now? I think my score was the same and it's points right, So I don't exactly remember how many points I had or how many A one buy um my opponent. I was talking to him this morning that he lost my point in a half, so he's gained one point eight, and looking at the Yahoo and the NBA stack corrections, I don't know how we

get to one point eight. But I don't know. So I contacted ESPN this morning and I I said, well, what was that correction? Well we don't. Basically, the NBA releases them and we just adjust them. So I go, well, how am I supposed to know what the correction was? It's like, you can't what do you mean you can't you change my score? You change my matchup? That could affect a lot going forward, and I don't even know what you changed. I'm sorry for the inconvenience, Like, oh,

that's unacceptable. We're sorry for the convenience. How could you not be transparent to your players? Yahoo is? I said this to them, yaho Is, CBS is, how are you not? Well? We will contact our fantasy department and let them know that you want this change. They go, let me contact the fantasy department, I mean the fantasy industry. Who I am? Let me contact the fantasy department. You're not allowed to kind of the fantasy department? And what do you mean?

I'm not allowed to contact the fantasy department. How could you make a change of this magnitude and it could have been the playoffs? Right? I mean, how could you make a change of this magnitude which changes my matchup and not tell me what you changed? I go, do you know what you change? Because I have no idea Because it's automatic, it's automatically done, and maybe makes it that correction. We just change in our system. What do

I understand? Why? They Okay, that's the system that they have set up, but normally for like other sports, even baseball, you can go back. Of course, on CBS, you play, there's under a list, there's like corrections, so you shay with you. There's a button that correction bad job. It's a show fired up here on a Wednesday over a

regular see reason correction fantasy bass. If you lost any matchup in any sport by a stack correction, it's the principle you would be angry and listen, it was a correction, right, So I deserve to lose. I'm not saying I didn't, but I want to know why. I want to know what change would happen how I lost. And they can't tell me that ESPNS Fantasy Basketball, for what it's worth, very lacking. It's awful. I mean, as I've played for years on ESPN for fantasy basketball, you could just tell

it's like it's on the back burner. I know that fantasy basketball season long comes up throughout football season, and you know that's why it's lost so much of his luster and not it probably never even had that much luster ever to begin with, but it is just clearly on the back burner. Things that you used to be able to do, like you sort by transaction trends on on ESPN. If you click on most added, they still have like Carmelo Anthony as the most added player. It's

definitely not true. It's very weird, like right, senators are all off, like their their plus minus changed and like added players drop players. Ah. I hate to sit up here and bash a fantasy outlet, Greg, but I'm bashing is not doing a good job. If you're not doing a good job, you deserve to be. Why wouldn't I bash a fantasy outlet that's sucking about it? It's the only season long fantasy that's going on right now. Also true, But I mean, look, if they don't care about basketball,

how much how much effort are they putting into hockey? Grag? But that's unacceptable, Like I get TVs. You have to pay for the platform so you can expect more. That's fine. That If ESPN is supposed to be the worldwide leader in sports and fantasy and gaming, whatever, how do you not how do you not treat it the same way that you treat everything else? Right? If football is your top part, at least once football ends, Like, come on, that's what I was expecting, Like, all right, Christmas New

Year's like, we'll see it bounce back like ESPN. If football is your top priority, as it should be, I get it. It It makes you the most money, that's fine. But to change people's scores and not tell them what you chnged, that's a bad look. Man. That's not great. Might be transitioning into yah Yahoo next year. Maybe even like a fan track. I don't even know if fantrax has I think they have fantasy basketball. Fantasy that sucks too.

Fan Trax. Fan Trax is very good though, stuff that stuff that I've looked into there and I've played leagues there before. The great fan I don't prob the fan Trax. I just don't want you to. Just I just don't want you to. He's my fantasy. I don't even know if my fantasy league has basketball. It's terrible interface. Also, if you ever need to send an angry email, please contact Greg probably for like a small sum you can send it to his venmo Venmo. He will write out

an angry email for you. There's nobody I know, well, maybe my like my mom. She's really she's really good at like conveying her anger, but in like a professional manner. It's like the scariest thing. Reg's really good at sending angry emails. So do you ever need an angry email? Thank you? It goes back to what I said yesterday.

You'd make a great NFL owner as well. Appreciate ruthless ruthless Greg sus No, I just do not care about the people I care about winning, which is Greg wants to care about winning, making money that Chicken partners, John sleeping, Well else you got Greg? Anything else? Fantasy basketball? Or is this in the rear view? I'm annoyed, like thankfully this week Like I'm annoyed because personally for me, I'm in the race for a bye and now I'm in third rather than the second at the most points against

the league and the second most point scored. Sometimes it bees that way, especially in head to head. That's why very frustrating. Man. To try and mitigate some of that. You play like not just necessarily roteo, but a lot of people play dual matchups. They play two matchups and at once. That in in head to head formats, whether it's baseball or even football, and then you can do in basketball to be it kind of eliminates the unluckiness of it, where as what you're saying right now is

you have the most points against. But you're like, what second or third in point scored and now normally based on how many points scored you have would be towards the top. Theoretically yes, but that's why some people in head to head leagues, regardless of fantasy sport, they played two matchups at once. Near Angean tweeted at me on Twitter as I basically tell the story on Twitter, and he says the entire ESPN Basketball redesign was poorly conceived

a message in a roto league. You can't check your progress towards game played limits on their website. You're not able to You can only do it on the app. You also can't set customer limits by position, only can do it overall. I'm just not caring about your customers. Man. Sorry, Greg, sorry that that happens to you. Changing gears a little bit.

Do you think that I should slowly work my way back into carbs, because as everyone knows, I've been very open about my diet my habits over the over the past month in January, not eating carbs, not drinking alcohol. Now my idea is that come Friday, like I'm diving back in like like Friday, Saturday, Sunday, I'm probably just gonna gain back all the weight that I lost. This one, which is, are you going to check before Friday? I know you don't normally going to your parents as on

Sunday and check, but you're re instituting carbs on Friday. No, I only do it. I don't have a scale in my house, right, so I have a scale with my parents house. I understand I'm not but I feel bad because you know you're not gonna get the final total before you dive back in the car. I mean whatever, um, people are telling me that if I dive back in too quickly, my stomach is gonna be all messed up because I haven't eaten carbs in a moment. Well, here's

the thing, true, here's the thing. On Sunday, you're gonna see me here Friday, there's no tweet at a picture of it. I'm going to eat a bacon, egg and cheese on and everything Bagel's happened. There's no stopping on Sunday. Yeah, beer and wings and Friday you're already having heart a choke. He's discussed that as well. Dringing beers, Here's and gears No no, no, a buddy of mine's bartender. So I'm probably gonna go it's cool. So should I not just dive back in? Of course not, but like, yeah, I'm

gonna do. You're gonna anyway whatever you want, And I know I can actually I can tell you, like the health what you should do to be healthy. But you're gonna listen to and eat it. Look, I've been healthy for a month. Enough of that. Hey, I'm very impressed every day, are you. Let's jump in here. Is there anything that jumps off to you right off the top, like you want to start with stuff like in the first quarter, first half or player provs game props? I know,

like you're into something. Why don't you listen? Why don't Why don't you? You were on the show? You lead it where you want to be? Well, an interesting staff that I've seen, and I think everyone has seen this at some point throughout the past week or so. Did you know this, Craig. The Patriots have scored three points total in the first quarter of their previous eight Super Bowl games combined three points total. That was last year

eight Super bowls. The've scored three points in the first quarter. Then New England has also a just nine point three first half points per game this season, third few is in the NFL. Basically, what I'm getting at is I love the first half. It's interesting to you that they've scored three points total in the last eight Super Bowls. You said, is it interesting to you than that the person that has the best odds to score the first touchdown is Sonny Michelle. That's a good point. Now, yeah,

he does have the best odds to score. Uh, And you know they're not so The odds makers right now are looking more so at at what's happened this playoff rather than culminating every clearly that the Patriots have done. Clearly what has happened the past two games and the Chargers in the Chiefs game is that it's run run first drive it Tony Michelle and me has seven eight minute drive. Why why would they change it? Touchdown once again? Why would they change it? Now they're gonna try. The

thing is is it gonna work? Well? It didn't work for the Cowboys against the Rams, did not because the Rams. What a did that game defensively was We're gonna send the house at Ezekiel Elliott. Let's have Dak Prescott try and beat us. Now, it's a little bit different to send the house at Sony Michelle. Tom Brady's gonna pick you apart, but it would throw a little bit of a wrench in things if that's the plan for Bill Belichick. But that's exactly what we talked about, Greig, because Bill

Belichick has done something to two games in a row. Now, he started off the first quarter just running the front down the opponent's throat. That's probably not what he's gonna do in this game. Because when you think you know what's gonna come with Bill Belichick in the Patriots, he does something completely different. And that's what and that's reflected in the oddsmakers. The oddsmakers think that they're going to

continue to do what they've been doing. How often do they do the same thing in a row three games in a row, Greg, Not very often. So we're gonna see a long drive on the first drive the game. It's gonna result and a Sony Michelle touchdown. We're in the first quarter. Rather, it's scored three points in their

past eight Super Bowl first quarters. Come bind. I just thought that was a crazy, crazy stat I saw the first quarter over under for total points where I've seen it, it's ten and a half, which doesn't really correlate with the first half not which normally would be like maybe like thirteen and a half, right or fourteen I like right around there. That means they know how slow typically both teams get off to the slow starts that they

get off to in the Super Bowl. Ten and a half is a little bit too low for me to take the under there because anything could happened there. It's two touchdown, yeah, yeah, it could be like seven six and you're done, Like it could be a touchdown in two fuels. I'd rather I'd rather take the first half under a half. I feel pretty good about I feel good about that too. I feel very good about that, especially when the Patriots defense is played in first half

this year? Is it is it? Does it make more sense for us to talk about how we think gameflow is gonna go in this game and then we could kind of like break down the props from that perspective, because then, like you want the props to correlate with how you think the game is gonna go, or should we just kind of like talk about the props that we like throughout the show, and then at the end we'll kind of like get into well, this is why we think the game's gonna go this way, and this

is why we like these problems the way. Man, I'm following along wherever you wherever you're comfortable with. So I think it's it's well known that at this point we both think the Patriots are gonna win. Now, I'm not gonna speak for you. You You can talk about how you think the game flow is gonna go. But I do think that we're gonna see a little bit of back and forth here. I don't think it's just gonna be

the Patriots dominating all throughout. I think it's we get a lot of back and forth throughout this game, which doesn't lend itself either way to Okay, the Patriots are sitting on a lead, They're gonna run the ball a lot. The Rams are playing from behind the entire game, They're gonna throw the ball a lot. I think we see a little bit of back and forth from both teams throughout. I think the Patriots pull away in the second half.

I think it's really like the fourth quarter where the Patriots pull away and ultimately end up winning by like six or seven points. So so I disagree a little bit. I think it would be one of the games where the Patriots actually get out to an early lead, as we kind of have seen them do before, the Rams trying to storm back and ultimately wind up falling short. I just think there's too much history involved with the

slow starts that the Patriots get off too. In the Super Bowl, remember three against the Falcons, we all know how that ended over time Falcons didn't even touch the ball. And then last year again like they only they only scored three points in the first quarter again against the Eagles. Now both teams they ended up clearing actually the first half total, they went over the number because both teams scored a lot in the second quarter as well, both

the Eagles and the Patriots. But the Eagles really had the Patriots number of the entirety of that game, like kind of seemed like, you know, they were out maneuvering something. We don't really see it from Belichick. I just think that there's so much history involved and we have so much in the past to go on that they're slow starts that I don't know that the Patriots just get off to this big lead or even like by the

end of the first half. I think maybe we're looking at something like a fourteen ten the end of the first half. I think it's seven similar. I just don't think they'd pull away until I think. I disagree personally. I think they pull away a little bit earlier than you think, and the Ramage gotta come storming back, which they're not built to do with that, We're gonna take our first break when we come back. We die even further into the blayre Props. Fantasy Sports Radio Network. It's

your fantasy best roadscrop. Daily rodo dot Com learned from the game's best DFS players. We don't just give you advice. We play every day, all major sports, all year round. We never stopped industry leading DFS tools and custom projections, and now the Daily roado dot Com Optimizer in minutes build an optimized line up for cash games and tourneys. Learned from the game's best DFS players joined Daily roado dot com. The following ad contains shocking material. Listener discretion advised.

Is someone in your family playing an injurious game of Russian Roulette? Over forty three thousand people die a year from drug overdose a hundred and twenty people a day, five people every hour, one person every twelve minutes. Eighty eight thousand people die every year from alcohol abuse, over two hundred and forty people a day, ten an hour, one person every six minutes. Somebody you know. Maybe next learn how to help someone you love get away from

the drugs, alcohol and bad influences. With the f m l A, people can take a leave of absence from their job and still keep it. Call now and learn how we can help you. Eight six six four eight four nine six two one eight six six four eight four nine six two one. That's eight six six four eight four ninety six twenty one. It's calling the sixsible winner. Who's winning on Sunday? And long ill football every game here.

I will go with the wild experience, but I love the bands on the other don't go the weekdays a pm to eleven pm Eastern on the Fantasy Sports networking on your popular podcast Providers Back with you Fantasy Best Friends Forever, Fantasy Sports Radio Network. All right, Frankie, you wanna it's very interesting. So I have a list of player props in front of me, and there's some things that have been taken off the board highly enough. We'll

one thing that's been taking off the board. This is very popular and it's total rushing attempts for both Todd Gurley and C. J. Anderson. They're not on the board right now. Really yeah, I thought the last I saw it at was Todd Gurley fourteen and a half on this website. Not on the board? What website are you looking at? Sports Interaction dot com? That's what makes I think that's what makes the player props, especially from the RAMS, so annoying that I can't ever, I han't access odd Shark.

He's like the most frustrating thing in the world. You're not authorized access the nine. I thought it was like location based. I don't think that happens to me. Really, odds Shark tabs open yesterday. I think what's really interesting about rams props in this game? Do you like more

than ever before? Like it's already normally we have an idea when it comes to a certain game, certain team, like projecting, like okay, it's obvious where now, okay, it's obvious where the match of advantage is with the rams they have, they have so many different players that could the production could be spread out between in this game. To me, it's so like it's impossible to project, Like how do you project Todd Durley and C. J. Anderson heading into this game? The year guess is as good

as mine. And it's incredibly frustrating because when I talk about the matchups right, like what kind of matchup if you're if you're the ramp here, what kind of matchup are you trying to exploit? What comes to mind for me is throwing the ball to the running back versus the Patriots linebackers and safeties. You don't want to throw the ball outside typically against the Patriots because they have great corners like Stefan Gilmore was rated the best cover

according to this year according to Pro Football Focus. They also have Jason mccordy, and then they have his brother Devin mccordy, who was a great safety as well, who helps out and coverage. And I think you might want to attack is with running backs catching the ball against their linebackers. Gonna say who's gonna catch the ball? It's gonna be on the field. I'm glad you've asked that. The problem that Gabe was talking about earlier this morning on the morning after was the regards of C. J.

Anderson cashing a pass. I think they set his reception at zero point five. If you think he's gonna he's gonna be judging by the game flow, we'll probably catch pass. It's trying to figure out how much Todd Girley and c. J. Anderson are gonna be used, which look, reports are Todd Gurley is going to see the ball a ton in this game right supposedly. Supposedly they've been saving him for

now right, which makes absolutely no sense. Even saving Todd Gurley for the Super Bowl even I don't even saving him. Something's up. As we now, something is up. But meanwhile they were like there was also a report that there are like scouts or no other front office people around the NFL. That's ay, c J. Anderson fits what the

Rams want to do. More if it doesn't make any sense, why would they paid Todd Gurley to be the most expensive, like, the highest paid running back in the league to find a guy off waivers in c J. Anderson that fits what they want to do. More Like, that is total bullcraft. There's no ounce of truth to that whatsoever. If Todd Gurley does not have some kind of surgery or I mean, maybe it's just gonna go like hush hush under the radar after the season ends. There's something seriously wrong in

l A totally totally trying to project. Like so I was asking, I think it's a pretty good bet though, like taking CJ. Anderson to catch one pass, because I

think that that's where you want to attack. To me, where you want to attack the Patriots is with either tight ends or running backs catching passes match up against the linebackers, linebackers or safeties of the Patriots, or slot receivers which we know like they can use any Rams wide receiver more than likely not it will be Robert Woods or Josh Reynolds in the slot splitting duty going up against I believe that his name is J. C. Jackson, right,

He's kind of been the guy that's been targeted, like closing teams have been targeting him. He's been getting penalties thrown on him over the past couple of games, definitely more often than guys like mccordy and guys like Stephon Gilmour. So I think the slot receiver and running backs and tight ends throwing passes to those guys makes the most sense for the Rams. But what makes it so hard is the Rams have two running backs. Now, the Rams have two tight ends, So do you really want to

lean on props there? You know, the most profitable thing to do, Greg is to take unders and knows to a lot of props because the public, everyone wants to see everyone, everyone wants to see touchdowns. So the profitable thing to do is bet unders and bet knows, which I think you can find here with the Rams, because again, like they have two running backs and they have two tight ends. I think that's the match up to exploit. But how can you trust one more than the other.

So that's what makes it so difficult when it comes to player props or the Rams specifically. And if we're just talking about Jared Goff, right, like his completion props at twenty five and a half. I believe his yard his yardage is at like to eighty something like that, Craig, I I saw it as passing yards. That's on the Fandal Sports book. That's a two eight nine and a half. Jared Goff hasn't gone over twenty five completions games. Is that a matter of can that change with a matter

of game flow? Golf has thrown for more than one touchdown just once in his last seven games. His touchdown prop is that one and a half. So I, you know, gave to talk about a lot of this, like any of the Rams proms. See that's the thing. I don't like the Rams props either. Gabe was talking about earlier this morning and yesterday in me that he thinks the best or end on his show on GZ Day, that the best props for l A are all around Todd Gurley, that's where to make the most sense, around the Rams

or Josh Reynolds. Sure you know he loves that too. But there's a lot of history in the Super Bowl shows that there's not a lot of long field goals kick in Super Bowl. And now they also don't have kickers. You know, field goals from seventy yards out last week, fifty seven yard to win would have been good from seventy a lot of times, we don't have kickers of

that caliber in this spot. But also when it comes to the Super Bowl, it's it's a one and done game, Greg, So a lot of these guys are playing aggressive, and you know if they do, if the Rams do fall fall behind, are they gonna sell for field goals? Are they gonna go for on fourth down conversions? Well, I mean they think it depends. Goes back to correlating your props where there's props with which Uh do do you think that there will be a fourth down conversion in

this game? Yes, I think there'll be a fourth version. Definitely it will be a fourth down conversion. I think it'll be a two point conversion. Like those are easy bets to make fourth down conversion. I feel much stronger about than two point inversion, especially for two all the time. CJ. Anderson, I'm gonna pull up his his game log. I know he had a few catches in one of these game, all right, I want to see what what he's what

he's done, But that might be the only one. And then I know the long field goal prop in this game, what is it like? I think that's a pretty safe bet with both kickers. They're both strong kickers. It's lock Doskowski and Greg's urline because you what you all you need at the end of the half of one team going to the field goal, that's what you need, all right, Greg. In the four games that C. Anderson has appeared in where he's done stuff with the Rams. Yep, he's had

at least one catching three of those. The question one catch last week it's zero catches. He has that at least one target in every game. Zero catches against the Cowboys. He had three against San Francisco. He had one against Arizona. Again, Todd Curley wasn't active in either one of those games. Here's the thing. Even last week, where Todd Gurley had five touches the entire game, he was barely on the field. Girly had several throws thrown at him, passes known at him.

I should say, even if Anderson is barely on the field, I think there's a good opportunity that they dump it off to him at some point and then it's a good bet. Frank at you know, point five, you need one catch? You know, you know, I asked you watch one catch. It's one of the few that I agree

that we gotta go yes on. Greg. I I advocate for everybody to they're doing this thing like everywhere, UM where they give you like fifty three things you need to know about the Super Bowl right right, so at Covers dot Com, at the Act, CBS Sports, UM, they all have great ones right, So here's what they have from covers regarding the kickers. Rans kicker Greg's Airline is already a legend for that game winning kick in the NFC Championship game against New Orleans, But he will will

he get things started early in Super Bowl. Theirline booted thirty field goals in thirty one opportunities during the regular season, but just three came in the opening quarters. So there's a prop. Will Greg's Airline make a first quarter field goal? Yes is plus one seventy, which little enticing, but based on what he's done this season, the odds show that more often than not, that doesn't happen. The very next thing that they tell you is a prop that they like,

will Greg Deirline make a first quarter field goal? Yes? At plus one ten? While theirline hasn't been all that busy, they definitely mess something up, like what the hell are you talking about? Uh, the second quarter? It's in the second quarter. They wrote first quarter, but they mean second quarter because they go on to say, well, theirline hasn't been all that busy in the earth opening fifty, it's

the second quarter. Is a much different story with Cline connecting on ten field goals in thirteen opportunities, is highest make an attempt total in any quarter of this season. So what they meant to right here is they had a typo. Well, Gregg's rely make a second quarter field goal? Yes? Is that plus one seven? And I think that's pretty that's a pretty safe lot. I'm just talking about Rams player props. I like their line ones. I think TJ.

Anderson to catch a pass makes a lot of sense when it comes to like Brandon Cooke's yardage, which you look at the revenge game against the New England Patriots. I don't think the Rams care about that. They're gonna try and exploit matchups any way that they can. Brandon Cookes on the outside, seeing a guy like Stefan Gilmore, or even if you locked up with Jason mccordy, the two corners that typically play the outside for the New

England Patriots, it's just not a favorable matchup. So yeah, he can easily go over his prop number, but to me, it's not very likely. I don't want to mess with a lot of like the receptions and receiving yards outside of TJ. Anderson to catch a pass, and then I'll probably look at Greg's airline for some of these field goal props. I kind of I'm just doing with the

rams obviously. I kind of like with the rams. I hate buying a coach to speak, but assuming Tyler Gerally touches the ball more, I don't want to buy into his total rushing yards. I don't want to buy into his total yards over a hundred super high. I kind of want hammered that under. It's like ninety nine and a half on his total yards, it's higher. It's higher on odd shark his total yards. He's a hundred and two and a half. He had five touches last game.

His his prop for total yards and a half. You have five touches last hundred and two and a half a shark. That's an under. I'm flying with that. I'm flying with that. But the one that I kind of like, maybe this is just stupid. What do you think without looking, without me telling you what the odds? What the the number is longest rush for both Girly and C. J. Anderson. There are different numbers for Girly and half seventeen laugh

under take everything under. I assume you're leaning with the under, right, Greg, I am that's a long rush he's not even touching the ball, let alone running for like you long yards place, which again, if you're looking at matchups, what the RAMS should be doing is not only throwing the ball to

the running backs lot. I think you should be running football like that's the way to attack the guys run back in the l But that's why, like, even if he's not healthy, and what they're saying is true, that they're just gonna ride him, they're gonna give him the ball a ton even if he's not healthy. I mean, he looked like he was pretty healthy against the Cowboys. Sure, that's what makes it risky. Again, I think I would

take the under on all the girls. By the way, his longest run is twelve and a half, which I would also pound the underground rumbling. That's a little bit closer he's had. It's funny that that's his number. He had a long of eight against the Saints, but against the Cowboys it was fifteen against the fort was thirteen against the Cardinals. He's gone over that number and just barely twice. But he's gone over the number three of

his last four games. Have you seen this yet? I know there's not the RAMS related, but totally rushing yards for Brady. Have you seen this? It's like negative one half point five. Will Tom Brady have one rushing yard of the Puper Bowl. And I wouldn't touch it because while you know he can go like he might have a few of these fourth down things, and if it comes anything like at the end of the half where like he doesn't kneel down, or like if you dot a hand at the at the at the end of

the game and he's just kneeling the ball down. Yeah, It's just that's not enough evidence there for me to And that's the thing, right people are not aren't realizing thing. Oh yeah, Brady can rush for a yard, which is true, he definitely can't. But if there, if you believe they're gonna win and he kneels down, that is a loss of one yard and that could f you man. Definitely good point, Frankie. Until the rushing a Jared Goffers for the record is eight and a half. Uh, yeah, I wouldn't.

I wouldn't touch it. I'd probably take the under their um, but I wouldn't really touch that either. Let's move into the Patriots a little bit here, and let's say anything else you want to do with the rams. No, I mean that that you pretty much heard. I think like for what it's worth, Um, give everyone a little sneak

peek behind the paywall. Here. The player prop that Daily Rodo likes most greg which is their Daily Roydo projection versus the prop right is Brandon Cooks of all the props available, because they have them projected for eighty point

six five receiving yards. And yeah, so that's the biggest value difference between what their projection is and what the prop line is, is that Daily Rhodo really likes the Brandon Cooks over and for what it's worth, their biggest difference on the under is James James White total rushing yards. And I heard a caller call into the Fantasy Football Frenzy this week and said that they saw the number at fifteen and a half and they were freaking out

and they're like, how could this be possible? James White fifteen and a half rushing yard? He's definitely gonna have more than that, right, No, Eli Rodo hasn't projected for ten point eight rushing yards in this game, and his prop is at eighteen and ha gonna rush the ball. Sony Michelle looking that he is in rest rex Burg head back in the night. Yeah, of course he's gonna dude. In the game where he had fifteen receptions against the Chargers, he had zero rushing yards zero of course, So well,

it looks like it's too good to be true. Don't don't fall for it. Don't be a sucker for the James White rushing prop. Greg There's a few numbers that I have regarding the Patriots I was gonna jump into before before you do, Yeah, before you do, you mentioned Brandon Cooks and how high daily Roado is on him. I think my favorite proper at least when comes the wide receivers. Inn't so much of the yards, but it's the receptions, and I like Robert Woods at five and

a half receptions. I believe the stat is I have it up hand on one second, Um, I think I did. Actually just there it is, um, So Robert would five and a half receptions. There were eight out of the eighteen games he played, so one lesson half in of the eighteen games he's played this year he had more than five receptions. So I know the odds are hanging. Take the under on that. But if I believe and alf And already has it at six in the under his minus one sixty, so people are hammering that under.

So at five at five and a half, I really like the over because you're talking about gameflow, Frank, if I believe they're gonna have to be in comeback moment and this is like, this is from like you correlating your you have to try and like if you're doing player props, you have to figure out, how do you think the game flow is gonna go? Me and Greg different a little bit. We do, and I believe given they'll being comeback a bit in the second half. I

think it's lots of Robert Woods, I really do. Maybe it's biased and Robert Woods guy, but I like the over. I know game Borenci also actually likes the over. Here, do you still take the over at six? You gotta kid seven passes? I mean, I think he could a much more. I'm much more comfortable at five and a half. Oddly because six is like that magic number he's been writing round. He's been right around five six every game this year. Daily Rotor dot Com, by the way, projects

him for four point six receptions, so significally under. Yeah, Brandon Cooks is at five. When we come back, when we go on to the Patriot sides of things, give your favorite props when it comes to the paths and let's see some crossover stuff. Also Saya break. We'll be back. Fantasy best Friends forever. Fantasy Sports Radio Fantasy Sports Network is hitting you from all angles with the best fantasy sports and betting analysis. You can catch the latest programming

on so many platforms. There's no way you'll miss out on any of the award winning programming we pump out every single day. You can listen through the f T s Y Rido app, I Heart Radio, tune in Radio, Stitcher, download our podcast through iTunes, Google Play, Spotify, Audio Boom, and you can watch select programming on the f F F and T S Y YouTube channel. The Fantasy Sports Network your only source for fantasy sports and wagering anytime and anywhere.

Two thousand and fifteen, two thousand and sixteen euro Being long Drive toward Champion two thousand seventeen World number one Me personally, I keep my game face on me all the time, especially coming out of the bucker, leaving the range, or even leaving the ports. What's your story? Can go to game Face Grooming dot com from all your athletic facial wipes and body cleansing needs from the NFL to the NBA. Daily Rohodo dot Com is the place to

win millions in daily fantasy. You can get the best DFS NFL coverage all season long for a price of one, or dominate the entire Daily Fantasy Sports realm with the Elite package at month. If you use the promo code f n t s Y, you get ten percent off your Daily Rodo package. Go to Daily Rodo dot com, pick your NFL or Elite package, enter promo code f n t s Y, and you'll be on your way

to becoming the next Daily Rhodo millionaire. Game time decisions, play all your freaking contract and a sign where you want to. Sorry to do this a year and a half before you're a free agent leaves a bad dayste of my mouth. Yeah, a lot a lot of guys like we you know, we've seen these super teams in the past, Like with the money, you know what they were able to put together. Good guys pretty much water

dictate where they go, especially where they're free. At least James with your free agent week days four p m. Eastern one pm Pacific only on the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Frank and I haven't been in a disagreement during the breaking. I love this prop and Ron see in the chat break zirl to win the m v P of the Super Bowl at plus ten thousand grade, to which you scoffed at scoffed, and which I throw it back to you. If last week was a Super Bowl, hang on with that, well,

you can, you know, you can talk about it. I'm looking at the NFC. If last week was a Super Bowl between the Saints and the Rams, who would have won the MVP. Realistically there was no stand up performer for the Rams. Everyone's gonna say all the referees, but realistically, the guy who hit the field goal to go into overtime like it was nothing and in a fifty seven yard and overtime to win the game. You do not win the game without that man, is your m v

P of that game. It's not out of the question. Like if the Rams were to win, it's gonna take some herculean effort like that from Zerline. Again, now you know, maybe someone else would get more involved, maybe like Robert Woods or or Jared goff or something. If two answers to who it could have been, ready, I think one could be John Johnson or the interception in overtime with Drew Brees. Just say the other one be Brandon Cooks who had seven receptions for a hundred and seven yards.

I get what you're saying, but at plus ten thousand, like, they are never giving this, who will end pay to a kicker ever? Ever, ever, ever, ever, if Adam Military. I think if last week was a Super Bowl, they would have given if Adam Military kicked a ball to win the Super Bowl multiple times and then get a single vote for the Super Bowl MVP. It's never happening, man, And that's why the odds are the way they are.

Ronty bucks on them, you're throwing you're literally throwing away bucks. Well, I wouldn't have put thirty bucks on it, but five ten dollars at plus ten thousand, I'm just saying I thought that there was a pretty good case to be made last week where but yeah, Brandon Cooks had a good statistical game, he was not the reason why they won that game. By definition, he was not the most valuable player. The defensive player was probably even more likely

to get it than Brandon Cooks. Never. In my opinion, Greg Derlan was the MVP of that game. That's fine, but you you don't have a vote. It doesn't really matter. That's absolutely rights, alright, Greg. Some numbers that I have here from the from the Patriots, per Ian, how would you say the same h A R T I t z because it seems like I'm just gonna say heart hits and I don't know if that's right. H A R T I t z. How do you say that last name? Heart? Yea hearts for Ian Heart. It's tom

Brady lead. Tom Brady led offenses have faced Wade Phillips led defenses nine times in their career. He's average twenty nine point three points per game in those games, with the most recent stint tom Brady struggling against the Denver Broncos led defensive Wade Phillips. Obviously we all not got the defense was a great defense. Now, Tom Brady six and a half completelytions is the number here, Greg. He's had thirty and thirty four completions respectively in his first

two playoff games. His artist prop is a point five passing yards. He's gone over that number in eight of his last ten playoff games, greg the last three Super Bowls. Now, this goes back to game flow because trying to figure out how the game flow is gonna go here last three Super Bowls. Last year twenty eighteen, we all know he broke the record five hundred and five yards three touchdowns against the Falcons. What he needed to do to come back in that game four hundred and sixty six yards,

two touchdowns and an interception. In fourteen against the Seahawks correct to yards, four touchdowns, two interceptions. But just because it's happened in history, it goes back to game flow. Do he does he need to pass as much? I think the fact that he's gone over two one and a half yards and eight of his last ten playoff games, even with him dinking and dunking as much as I expect him to do in this game, because I do

think that's how they'll attack the Rams. Once again, they don't have a lot of guys on the outside to throw the ball to, and just from a personnel perspective, that doesn't make sense, Like you don't want to throw the ball to Chris Hogan and Philip door Set because that's where keep to leap is gonna be. Maybe you want to target target Marcus Peters on some of those plays down the field, but maybe we see a little

bit of grunk match up against linebackers or safeties. But throwing the ball to running backs and Edelman I think makes the most sense with him thinking and dunking. I think Tom Brady goes over the number at one and a half. You you gave us what he did the past Super bowls. You know how many times he did it this season? I have it? Not many there. He played eighteen games this season, I'll say six over half.

Now that's not because he didn't throw for a lot of touchdowns, but that's good to know that the yard is still there. There's not one now that this number is lower because is what it was, because earlier in the weekend it's jumped a bit. So you have it at the Fanal Sports book at at some point earlier this week it was to seventy eight and a half. So my my stat is at two seventy eight and a half. Odds Shark has this number even higher, yes, three hundred and a half, which I still like the over.

By the way, the Tom Brady yards are gonna be there to me games this year, very very off for the Patriots to win. I think even if he's not throwing to like wide receivers James White, it's an eediment and throwing it to James White and throwing into Gronk. I like the over numbers for for Tom Brady even completions at twenty six and a half, a lot of those Dincon dunts thirty and thirty four of the past two games. He didn't need to throw the ball that

much against the Chargers, they still did it. What do you see for total receiving arnswer Jimmy White, Jim White, I'm seeing the receiving yards on the Fvandal sports book at fifty one and a half. Okay, yes, that's exactly what I see. Also fifty one and a half for James White. Everybody who knows what we did the Super well, a couple of years ago we had fifteen catches or fourteen catches rather the most Super Bowl history. Everyone knows

we did. Two weeks ago we had fifteen matches. Fifty one didn't come through last week though, no we did not. People were just hammering. I think we all we used both teams with fandel I to leave used him over Sonny Michelle to what do you do? Fifty one a half? I'm taking the over. This is the time when James White has used most super Bowl time. Again, I think it's where do you want to attack the Rams? Most is getting James White maxed up in these linebackers and

these safeties. You don't want to target a guy like a keep to leave and you know, for what it's worth, you know, all the drama with Nickel, Robie Coleman, He's actually a really, really good slot corner, so maybe he gives you a little bit of pause when it comes to Edelman. I still think that I like the the over on the Edelman number at eighty and a half, but he is a very good corner, Robie Coleman, that is.

But I do think that's the way to target the Rams defense is going to be using the James White as the extension of the run game, because as we know, defeating a great pass for US is through a lot of these dink and dunk passes to specifically running backs and James White. I mean, they could use him out of the backfield. They can line them up as a wide receiver. They could use them in a myriad of ways, myriad ways, like right, I like him. I like him

over fifty one a half. He didn't come through last week, but he had the week before with the fifteen receptions against the chart. So I think about it that and again this is just me giving. I don't know my thought, right, I have his vision because it was really heavily against Alvin Kamara last week for my pool, and I had this vision, Oh that one drive, would you Breezes dump it off to alb Camaro like six times or fifty yards? Right? You? And I know we I think we talked about that

leg my clear to this problem the first quarter, first half. Correct, knowing that and just having that vision in my mind, I'm taking the overt James White receiving arts at the game White of the game, game White game for James White's get that game White. Looking at it interesting, the fourteen receptions against the History has not been kind to James White in the in the postseason. Actually because we were we all remember that. We all remember that that

Falcons game where he caught fourteen for one ten. He also had twenty nine rusty yards in that game. He had three total touchdowns. I think that's what we remember most. He's he's only n He's only cleared fifty one and a half receiving yards the over in two out of ten postseason games. James White, how does that number change your mind? Forty nine against the Chiefs last week, against the Chargers last year in three games, he didn't have

more than twenty nine games, twenty nine yards. A little bit of a different scenario last year because Deon Lewis was kind of doing a little bit of both. I don't know that they trust Birkheads to the same level that they did Dean Lewis. Then it was the game fourteen for one tan against the Falcons, and he had three for eight against the Steelers one for nineteen in his first two playoff games. Ever, so you gotta remember, though, the dynamic in that backfield isn't the same years ago

that it is right now. Right like Dean Lewis was there, other guys were there. Um, it was a different team, different offenses. We know that this. We know what the offense is this year, very star to last year, where it's James White is you're passing down back, Sony Michelle is you're running down back Rex Broke. Kids when they want they don't want you to know what they're doing.

And that's it, over and over and over again. We know this, and I think you're gonna see a lot of James White catching the football in this game anything else with the Patriots. Frank Edelman's receiving yards is at eighty and a half greg and his receptions imagine six and a half or so. I see it at seven right now. Seven. Yeah, the under is minus one two. I like the yardage more than I like the receptions. At eighty and a half, I think ja I think

Edelman goes over eighty and a half. Shark actually has an eighty four and a half A little bit tougher. Huh. People are probably hammering that over. That's why I don't think I want to mess the Juliettelman. Yeah, I mean that's that's finally I want to mess with this personally. I think the Gronk stuff is interesting. Receiving yards, I see him at fifty four and a half. I see receptions at four and a half. You know a lot of these longest reception and longest I think that's where

like a lot of money could be me. I agree with you with the nose Chris Hogan's longest reception, Again, it could end on any play you've seen Chris Hogan have nineteen halves that you see? What are you a half? Yeah,

it's hogan longest reception. I don't get a man, I'm shocked that I was shocked at Peter's bits on one like, yes, behind the defense anything with Chris Hogan, right, Chris Hogan receiving yards from the house twenty and a half, longest reception, I think, But I think a lot of these longest receptions right like, But the thing is with those a little bit harder because the thing what those are, it's it's literally can take one play, literally one play. That's

what makes that one so tough. In my opinion, I'd look at a few of those, though. I think the Chris Hogan won Chris Hogan and Gronk to stand out to me. And then what you mentioned on girly, what was it against seventeen a half? Here you're gonna spend I'm probably gonna take the under is the sports book tomorrow trying to figure out what to do correct. That's why he's been hours on you just be like I want' I want this, I want this. I don't know. I

gotta find this as well. The roughing the passer penalties, you gotta find, like I gotta find what the odds are that yes is plus money and the the lead ref in this game, John Perry, what I've read about him is that he had the most roughing the passer penalties called this scene. That's how you said, you said unnecessary roughness penalties. That's what I meant. Okay, that what he's called the most of those this season. And that is and that is Dominican sue growing up against Tom Brady.

And not only do they like to protect Tom Brady more than any other quarterback. I think the fact that there was that miss call happened at the end of that Saints Ram's game, that they're going to try and overcorrect that this week. Don't forget that they might be

even quicker to throw. Don't forget though, the call on Brady hours later where they didn't touch his face, they called the pastor dude, They slapped like his collar bone right, didn't even touch his his helmet, correct anything, and they called it. So Parry is the one that makes those calls, and that he makes a pass interfers call, he actually makes the roughing the pastor calls, so that matters be aware of that. I want to sign off a YouTube now.

Thank you so much for watching the Friends. He's up next Corey, Jim day Uh and Chris Adventure will have you covered there. Um. Please subscribe like rate us, leave us five stars, and absolutely leave a comment. I also want to note that before we sign up, I want to get into the crosspoort props right because I know you wanted to talk about that with Russell Westbrook in particular. Yeah, Russell Westbrook some some really cool stuff that they have.

Between Russell Westbrook total points, rebounds assists greater than Rob gronkowskis, and I do believe if you add them all up, the number I saw it was like forty seven point nine right around, So I was thinking, like fifteen fifteen, fifteen, you're getting plus money with Westbrook at plus one. Because the receiving yardage prop for Gronk is like fifty five or fifty three. So if you add up the averages of Westbrook, it's a little bit lower than what we're

seeing is the it's fifty five and a half for gronks. Now, let me ask this, you bet on these things? Like I know there's another one with the Kyrie Irving total points versus Jarry Goff pass completions. We gotta start to looking to the NBA schedule on something to see you what's my thing? Does this go off the board Kyrie doesn't play, or you want Nigly win? Uh of the board? Right there? There are a lot of props involving golfers, and I saw that the note was if a golfer

doesn't make the cut, it's automatically off the board. So I would imagine the same thing if a player doesn't play, If an NBA player doesn't play. The three matchups that we have on Sunday, the Grizzlies at the Knicks, the Thunder at the Celtics, the Clippers at the Raptors, here's what I love, and I got what I love for you what you got? If he plays Kawai Leonard points versus James White rushing yards, that's great, Yes, James White at minus one in thirties, that what you're seeing as well?

It seemed at plus one hundred James White plus a hundred Kawai Leonard minus one. Yeah, you like Kawai Leonard, right, yes, yeah, yeah, that's exactly yeah, yeah, I love mother. Here we go, Kyrie Irving total points, Jared Goff pass completions. So it's Kyrie Irving and the Celtic coming up against the Oklahoma

City thunder right. I think that, Um. But going back to your train of thought is if you think that the Rams are playing from behind a little bit in this game, and maybe there's more past complete, I don't love that. You don't love that one. I don't have that one, um, And this is the one because I know how you feel about this, Frank, and you get plus money. James Harden streak of thirty or more games, we just still go on here at thirty five. I think right now one of those two those are very far,

very far. I opened the recap with it this morning. Okay, keep going. Or longest touchdowns scored in the game, because I know you don't think there'll be a long touchdown, So that number you would love, James Harden, you got plus money at that. It will be longer. It'll be longer for fore or something. Yeah, it will be I think they have like two more games before them, so technically it would be at six if you think he's gonna keep the streat going. This is a great bet ready,

which Georgia Bulldog will have more rushing yards? I've seen that. It's a good one. Yeah, it's I've seen it where um, Sony Michelle is actually giving seven a half yards Sony Michelle plus one. What's yeah, Girly might Gurlly might not do anything. I like that. I like Sony Michelle there. I've seen that's crazy, you're getting plus money on that. I've seen bets where Sony Michelle, yeah, getting seven a half yards. How about this, Greg little college basketball for you?

Will Zion Williamson, RJ. Barrett and Cam Reddish combined for more points? Or will the Rams and Patriots combined for more points? And I looked this up. Duke is facing St. John's on Saturday. I think the Rabs of at more point a few more, A few more that I do like Greg's random ones. Um, you have a fifteen seconds. There's been defensive or special team touchdown sporting eight of the last twelve Super Bowls. You're getting yes at plus two hundred. Okay that he said you have a few more? Yeah,

I mean, well, I don't have a time. We'll do it all again tomorrow. Corey's up next for Frank. I'm Greg see tomorrow. We hope

Transcript source: Provided by creator in RSS feed: download file
For the best experience, listen in Metacast app for iOS or Android