Divisional Round predictions, betting odds, and more... - podcast episode cover

Divisional Round predictions, betting odds, and more...

Jan 11, 201957 min
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Episode description

Gregg Sussman and Frank Stampfl note that this weekend is suppose to be the best weekend in football, but also note how it is tough to pick the spreads on each Divisional playoff game. The guys think Andy Reid and the Chiefs have a chance to dominate this game, but Frank calls the Colts the most complete team outside of the Chargers. Davis Mattek joins the show to look at the latest betting odds, and says the Chargers-Patriots is interesting in that it may be a closer game than Las Vegas expects.  #FNTSY #NFL #DivisionalPlayoffs #Colts #Chiefs #AndyReid #PatMahomes #AndrewLuck #TravisKelce #LasVegas #Chargers #Patriots #Cowboys #Rams #Eagles #Saints

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Transcript

Speaker 1

Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast, and remember, if you want to listen live, download the I Heart Radio app, download the tune in app and just search for Fantasy Sports Radio Network and you could listen to this program live. Also, if you want to watch the video of this podcast, check us out on YouTube, on twitch, or on Periscope and type in you guess d Fantasy Sports Network. You'll find us there. Enjoy the show and thanks for listening.

You're listening to the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Fantasy Best Friends Forever. M Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do did to Yo. This is the Fantasy Best Friends Forever here in the Fantasy Sports Ring Network. Alongside for Reggy Stanvill, I am Greg Susman. What's going on? But greggae t G. I f getting ready for the divisional round of the playoffs with Greggy company, will call the best football weekend of this is that company? It's just me. I thought that's

like you and your dad thing. It doesn't mean my dad thing. Yeah, I don't know. I thought I'm saying Greg, Greg and company. Well, I thought it was more of I thought Greg and Robbie sucks. If there's something else other than us to say that. No, it's just you know, it's a Suessman thing. Yeah, I mean it might not be a Sussman thing. It might be an everybody thing you can't argue. And I mean, the eight best teams in football are left right now, and it's gonna be

an awesome weekend of football. With that being said, a little bit harder to choose the spreads this week than it was last week. Well, the reason I like it is because of that, right, Like it's tough to choose the spreads number one, but two, Like, next week you have two games. There's nothing else on. It's late on Sunday. It's just it's two games. A great game, but there's two and obvious the Super bowls one. Here we have

two games a day on Saturday and Sunday. It's like there's four games, a lot to love and a lot to look forward to. It's the best weekend of the year, Frankie, when it comes to football, I don't think there's much argument there. We're obviously gonna get into mention it. Betting player props dfs. Again, if you're in the Fan Duel BFF contest, make sure that you set your lineup. You're already in the contest if you've been in it again. Yeah, he sets his lineup on like Tuesday night. He's always

one of the first people in there. He's he's very excited, very excited. Good as of mine. I'm glad it's I'm telling you. I mean, even DFS this week. It's a hard week, man, It's it's really hard choosing the spreads. Uh you know, I I'm back on the teasers again this week. The teas are like mostly last week with the Seahawks and the and the Colts did cash out, so that was that was great, but um, yeah, man,

it's tough for this week. It's tougher to figure out who you want to play in these because you expect a lot of points. I mean, it's the opposite of last week where and Greg was all over the oversm didn't necessarily, but we have we have bigger point totals this week, with every game at least already seven and a half and over. And then you have the Rams and Cowboys, which is right around fifty. And then you have both the Eagles, Saints and Colts Chiefs already over

fifty right now, so expecting more points this week. I think you had a great, great pole question here today on the show, Frank, and it was we're getting looking forward to the most and I was, I was looking at it, Huh. I know. For me, it's like, I think the first game is one I'm most interested in, which is where we're going to start today's show breaking it down from every angle. It's the Colts and the Chiefs.

And I think the reason that I'm most lying forward to it is because the Chiefs were the hottest teams in the NFL right now. They've gotten healthy at the right time, They've gotten better at the right time, and Franky,

I have it. I feel good about the Colts. They are the one of the the NFC is closer when it comes to the spreads in the n FC is so they're right now according to the Vandal Sports book, five point dogs in Casey and then they were just crazy and I just like, forgot how good case he is because we haven't seen a while, but I feel like he did. You go in there and went out right. The problem is everybody feels that right, Greg, so but to be fair, everyone felt that way last week in

Houston and when trounds destroyed that they trounced him. This is a little bit different through if you look at the Colts schedule, and this is what a lot of people have been bringing up. They haven't faced the toughest quarterbacks to this point. They did face Deshaun Watson twice. And look, the Colts are the hottest team in the NFL right now, and that's what you want right heading

into the playoffs, into the divisional round. They've won ten of their last eleven games straight up, so they're hot. But throughout that span they vers Sam Donald and the Jets actually lost that game, but Blake Bortles and not game too. You're just naming the games they lose. They lose, dude. Remember they got trounced by Jacksonville Whateverthless, they haven't faced the toughest competition like they've been beating up on on

inferior quarterbacks. And you heard Gabe talking about Patrick Mahomes in his first playoff game. He's not technically a rookie, but there's gonna be a little bit more pressure here on him. But it goes both ways, right, because the Colts, a lot of their games they've one have come indoors. They normally play at home. Uh, and and you know the games against the Texans. The game last week was indoors as well, So they're going to Kansas City where it's very cold, expecting, you know, an inch or two

of snowfall in this game as well. Greg, Let me read the let me read the quarterbacks. They've they have beaten in face of the last couple of weeks, Eli Manning, Superstar, uh, Marcus Mariotta, Jack Prescott, Sean Jackson, Sean Watson. Rather I mentioned Blake Bortles. They lost six nothing that game there defensively a lot of six points, Um Ryan, Hannah Hill, Mariotta again, Portals again and Derek Carr, Josh Allen and then the game you mentioned um Sam Donald week six

against the Jets before the streak begone. So really based Shawn Watson, Dak Prescott and Dallas. It's not exactly murderers rope. That's that's the whole point here. And the Chiefs have scuffled a little bit over the past six weeks, nedely, and they do get a bye week, and and now, in fairness to the Chiefs, they have faced some tough face their three and three straight up in their last six, they lost to the Seahawks, the Chargers, and the Rams,

three teams, three great teams, and the Chargers. I mean it took a last second touchdown and the last second two point version to win that game. And that Seattle game was in Seattle, so very tough environment. And you're playing at home, right, You're at Arrowhead, one of the toughest stadiums they say to play in the NFL. Obviously, Andy Reid has had some major mistakes in the playoffs, but I'm sure you're gonna give this stand out in a few moments. Frank, how good the Chiefs are off

that bye week? You mentioned how they had a week off. There's no coach better off a bye week than any Reid. I don't have the exact stat but they'll find it. The podcast that I was listening today actually debunked that. Greg basically, since he's since he's joined the Chiefs, he hasn't been as good off the bye It was. It was a big it was a big Eagles narrative when he was the Eagles head coach. It hasn't been as successful since he's been a part of the Kansas City Chiefs.

So as a head coach during the regular season. Right now, he's seventeen and three and of course two of those three losses came as the Chiefs head coach. So there you go. So not as successful lately, but overall and this is, you know, pretty much what I said about the Colts last week. I'm gonna continue because not much has changed with the team there. To me, they are the second most complete team in the a f C right now, behind the Los Angeles Chargers. That takes into

account defense ball. They don't have big names, they have guys that compete. They have they have very fast defenders side to side, you know, i'de line to sideline speed. That are they gonna be able to contain Tyreek Hill? Let mean maybe not, they'll slow him down a little bit. But the Colts defense is playing well and you just saw last week. You know, they got all up into Shaun Watson's face and you know, not a great offensive

line there with Houston. The Chief's offensive line has played much better this year in terms of past protection for Patrick Mahomes, so maybe they won't get to him as much. But the biggest X factor in this game is the Chief's defense. When you need a defense to make a play in this game. I think the Colts defense will be able to make one more play than the Chiefs defense. But but it's close because the Chief's offense is that good, Like they're the number one offense and yards and scoring

this year. So can their offense outweigh the difference in the defenses. That's basically what you have to ask yourself. And is it worth five points because they're laying five points right now? To me, I like taking the Colts in this matchup. I think there's a chance that they win this game. I think it's a pretty good chance that they win this game. It's gonna be part of a teaser as well. You can see this up to twelve points right now. Um, so I'm on the Colts again.

They're one of two teams left in the playoffs that are top ten in both offensive and defensive d v o A this year. That other team is the Los Angeles Chargers. The Colts number seven offense and yards, number five offense, number five scoring offenses, yere number eleven yardage defenses here and then from d for a dfense perspective, I think you just want to load up on this game, right I think it as many people in this game as possible. Pay attention to the weather. It's gonna be

very cold. It's gonna be like twenty to thirty degrees. They're supposed to be like an inch or two of snow might happen before the game. I don't know how much it's actually going to affect the game. But the Chiefs allowed the fifth most fantasy points to quarterbacks this here, so obviously Andrew Luck is in play. The Chiefs allowed the third most fantasy points to running backs this year, so Marlon Mack, in my opinion, isn't play in this

game as well. More on that, uh, the Chargers allowed four point nine six yards per character running backs this year. That was the most in the NFL. They allowed to thirteen rushing yards per game to opposing running backs, so Marlon Mack definitely in play. Chiefs the middle of the pack against wide receivers. I still do like t Y Hilton Um Colts were actually third best against wide receiver, but it's tough to stop a guy like Tyree Keller.

Will say this, Greg, there's like these weird home road splits this year with Tyry Kill where he was actually much better road if you look at it. He scored I believe eight of his twelve touchdowns on the road this season. The tight ends I love both. I love both tight ends in this game, Eric Ebron and Travis Kelsey. If you could find a way to get Travis Kelsey in the line up, you know, I was setting my BFF line up last night on Fandel. He's very expensive.

He's on FANDEL. It's tough because there's so many good players this weekend from and we'll get to all the games. But Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara and Ezekiel Elliott and Todd Gurley and Patrick Mahomes and Andrew Luck. You want to get Travis Kelsey in there, but it's so so hard to fit him in there. But the Colts were The Colts allowed the six most fantasy points to tight ends and the Chiefs allowed the most fantasy points to tight ends. So I do think Eric Ebron and Travis

Kelsey are both in play. I'm taking the Colts greg at plus five right now. Um, I like I like teasing this game up to twelve. As I mentioned on the cold side, I like teasing the total down as well. It's at fifty seven right now. You can tease the

total down to fifty take the over there. Just in terms of the over under it where it's at fifty seven, I don't that's a little bit too much for me, even like the wet the weather concerns, but for player pops, like the over on Kelsey receptions six and a half. The Coats allowed the most receptions two tight ends this season, like the over on Marlon Max rushing yards at seventy four and a half as well. That's everything. I like this. It's good break down there, um one more stab with

any read before I give you my thoughts. He has never had the bye with the Chiefs in the playoffs. He had it, he had it four times with the Eagles. He won that game all four times. Every time he's in the playoffs, the bye you remain undefeated. But as you mentioned, Frankie, that's long ago. I think you're analysis was pretty spot on this game. Why looking forward to it's gonna be high scoring. You want to stack this game with as many players as you can. But that

precipitation does scare me a little bit. But it's not a precipitation that you're worried about. It's always the wind right, Like, what's the wind going to be like in Kansas City on Saturday afternoon? I don't think we know that yet. Whatever being said, Frank mentioned both tight ends and pull up a forecast. Sure, I don't know what like the weather alert. That's like your weather alert bringing the alarm? Greg? What a I don't know what a weather jinglebe. You

don't have anything great radio, Greg? Anyway, So the tight ends Javis, Kelsey, Eric Ebron, Frankie give you the stat and it was right that both these seems allowed the most points of tight ends because Kansas City can't stop anybody, and you know, the Colts do basically the best that they can. So you have to like Kelsey and you obviously have to like Ebron as well when it comes down to it. And Gabe said this last week that if you like the underdogs, it's for the money line.

And I think that's what I would do when it comes to the Colts this week because and you again you said this, Frank, and I totally agree with you. If you had to trust one defense to make a play, I'm I'm going to interest the Cults at this point

and not the Chiefs. The Chiefs are expected to be without Eric Berry here this weekend, and I know they've made strides, but this team allows, like I feel like forty points a game to their opposing offenses, Andrew Luck and keep up with Patrick Mahomes, the Culture gonna be able to mow them down. It's who's going to make a play at the end, and I believe it's going to be the Colts. I'm gonna take the Colts money

line in this one, actually rooting for the Chiefs. But as you know that, you're well, I don't think the Cults are a good match for them. Not the charges of the Patriots would be either. You know, the Chargers certainly not afraid of going Arrowheads Stadium. They've already beaten the Chiefs here this year. There's certainly the Tom Brady is not afraid to go play anywhere, you know, and

and Frank Wright certainly knows. Andy Reid coming from the Doug Peterson uh Tree, Doug Peterson of course worth under Andy Reid, just saying I think it's I think there's a very very tough spot to draw the Chiefs have with teams they are facing in the a f C. If I'm putting a bet on it you don't want to. Um, I'm going to take the Colts money line, and I'm notviously gonna take the over there at seven. I don't care.

It doesn't worry the weather, doesn't worry you at all. No, I'm gonna take the over in every game zeal it works. So I'm one three right now. I'm gonna I'm gonna try and find teasers for both this game and the Rams game. Because I don't know about you, Greg, I'm too impatient. I can't have like a two day teaser like I would just stress out too much. Like if I hit on the first leg of the teaser on Saturday, I have to wait till Sunday get the second leg

of the teaser. I I'd be like ripping my hair out. So I'm gonna try and find things I can tease together with the Colts and the Rams game. Obviously games, but I do like teasing the Over down to fifty, taking it there and in teasing the Colts up to getting twelve points, So that's where I would go. What do you think about the player props that I have at Kelsey Over six and a half receptions, the Colts allowed the most receptions to tight ends this year and

Marlon Mack over seventy four and a half. I will say this, I like the Travis Kelsey prop more the over receptions because I can see a path to Marlon Mack not hitting the prop if the Colts fall behind and then they have to throw to get back in the game. Right, So that worries me a little bit, but I don't think it's gonna happen. But if the Colts are smart, which I do at this point, I do think the culture smart. Think Frank break is a very smart coach. You want to keep the Chiefs offense

off the field. You have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL right now. The Chiefs have been gashed by running backs all season long. They're allowing a high yards per carry and a large number of rushing yards per game. And I do think Marlon Mack has success. Marlon Mack at least a hundred and fifteen rushing yards

three of his last four games. We just told what he did last week against the Texans, who had the number one run defensive div away heading into that game and dashed by the Colts offensive line, and Marlin Marlin Mack had more rushing yards last weekn than any other player all weekend long. There is also a first half wage. I like, I like. I saw the Colts team total in the first half twelve and a half points over the Can have at least thirteen points heading in the

second half. I see that team four teams plus that. It's very interesting. Colts team total twelve and a half over in the first half. This is very interesting. Was that at least a hundred and nine three of his last four from Marlon Mack looking at the wrong thing. First half total there, it is interesting two and a half. That's not the one you're not looking at that. I'm trying to I'm trying to find that. I can't find it. Is it only where? Where did you see that? Well?

I heard it and I saw it. I'm like, I'm on the fanto of sports book. I'm just looking at it and and I could't find there. Some other cool stuff that's on here. Um first half spread colds are three and a half point dogs there. I think it's interesting. UM lot interesting stuff here. I'm gonna kind of go through it during the break. First touchdown score. By the way, they're all really good. Whoever you like like Marlon max plus seven dred touchdown scoret hep Travis Kelsey's plus six fifty.

We're looking at the right thing. Greg. You can take a luxury the break to make sure I add. We'll come back. We'll finish up this game and we'll move on to Saturday night. Really good woman being the Rams and the Cowboys stick around. We'll be apt after this. Daily roado dot Com learned from the game's best DFS players. We don't just give you advice. We play every day,

all major sports, all year round. We never stopped industry leading DFS tools and custom projections, and now the Daily roado dot Com Optimizer in minutes build an optimized line up for cash games and tourneys. Learn from the game's best DFS players joined Daily roado dot com. The following ad can change shocking material. Listener, discretion is advised. Is someone in your family playing a dangerous game of Russian Roulette? Over forty three thousand people die a year from drug overdose.

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Call now and learn how we can help you. Eight six six four eight four nine six two one eight six six four eight four nine six two one. That's eight six six four eight four ninety six one se freestyle. It just doesn't vibe for me. I will say this. He's described as an offensive mind, a quarterback whisperer, and I do think that's the thing they needed to do most then need a coach that beat the Pats. Maybe that's true, right, and I guess Gaze has done that.

What they needed was this offensive mind, and he does check that box. But I do not like the stories I heard out of Miami at the end of his season that some of these guys didn't want to play for him, that they were quitting on him. But I don't want him to come all into New York and think he's gonna run the town. Tuesday and Thursday t PM Easter one s Y Radio and on your popular podcast providers. Well well, well, well, back with you, Fantasy

best friends forever. Fantasy Sports Radio Network man Frank Stamfold hanging out with you on a Friday, the friday before the divisional to day off round. It is going to be an absolute blast this weekend. We know you're excited, and so are we. What we want to remind you if you think about playing some golf as we golf season continues to kick off. Daily roder dot com partnership with Data Golf is back in with all new premium

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dot com. Click on'll Go Premium and choose golfing into the promo code golf nineteen for ten percent discount's Daily rodor dot Com Click on'll Go Premium, click on golf and enter the promo code Golf nineteen right ten percent discount. Frank was I right in my touchdown? By the way, it seems like it seems you were correct, Greig, Thank you. So who you're taking from that bunch first touchdown score, I'm taking her Hebron plus e fifty. He was the first touch on the score last week. He's he's the

literally favorite target. They could be on the one yard line and you know it's going Harry Abron. Well he's throwing it, running, you're cashing it. It's going Harry Abron like anything else in this game. But pay attention to the spencer Ware news. Obviously, as of now, we don't know he's practiced on like a limited basis. He's questionable, but if he's out, Damian Williams is a lock. He might be a lock anyway, just based on a salary on Fandel, I know his price hasn't really caught up

to him on Draft Kings as well. He's even better on Draft Kings because even if spencer Ware is active, you know, at least Damian Williams is gonna catch some balls in this game. So, uh, amy would just pay attention to that injury news. We definitely have to get that in there. Um if if where is out Damian Williams before we move on the next game and do an update for you, Frank, and that is that Dr A has ordered a new camera. What Dr A has ordered a new camera? All right? Yeah, something weird is

going on. I thought you about that nineteen sixties he was black and white and then the week before he was blue daboo d daboo Dad, Because yeah he was. He was very smurf like he was Avatar. I thought you'd be in that, happy for Dr A, happy for our show. It's not. It's not gonna do this updates anymore. Okay, uh Saturday Night, you want me to do jump through the Glass? Doctor? He got a camera? A laugh, It's

not funny. I'm sorry, Greg. Alright, the Rams and the Cowboys on Saturday Night, Rams or seven and a half point favorites here in this one. Rams much like the Chiefs, Frank. They're the best team all season long, but they didn't look the same the second half of the year. The schedule got tougher. Maybe teams kind of figured out what they were doing, but they definitely did not seem the same all season long. Maybe it's the injury to Cooper Cup. Maybe it was the injury to Todd Gurley. Things are

changing with the Rams. Will the bye we be and enough to get whatever was wrong fixed, so Greg. The way that Gabe felt about the Bears and Eagles game last week is how I feel about this Cowboys and Rams this week. Either the Cowboys are going to win this game or they're gonna get destroyed. There's no in my mind, there's no scenario where the Rams win but the Cowboys cover like it's a three or six point game, because I do think that the Cowboys have the recipe

to defeat the Rams. The way that you feel about the Colts this week and how the Chiefs were your preseason pick, I have a ticket. I have a Rams ticket super Bowl from before the season. I'm worried. I'm worried, and I'm not going to bet the Cowboys money line this week because I don't want to root against like

my super Bowl pick. But I think there's a chance that the Cowboys are going to win this game because if you look at what they do, they've played great defense, they can run the football very effectively, and if you look against the Rams, the Rams allot four point eight seven your marks per carry to running backs. That's fourth in the NFL this year. They allow over a hundred rushing yards per game. That number would be higher if teams weren't constantly playing from behind against the Rams. But

the Rams kind of stumbled into the playoffs. They were two and two over the final month of the season. Gregg reference to Todd Gurley wasn't healthy. We had doctor a of inside injuries on yesterday confirming that Todd Gurley should be should see a full workload. And I'll get into that a little bit more when we talk about him for DFS. But I just think that the Cowboys defense can do enough. And I realized their defense is much better at home in Jerry's World, that the Cowboys

overall are much better team at home. That's why. That's why for me, it's either they win this game or they get blown out. Which Cowboys team shows up. The Cowboys team that normally plays at Jerry's World, that plays at home, if they travel to Los Angeles, they bring that defense. They run the football down the Rams throat. Zekie Elliott say he wants to run for two hundred yards in this game. If there's anyone that could do it, it it is him. I think that the Cowboys do

have legitimate shot in this game. Dallas also a team that is very hot coming into this one. They've won eight of their last nine straight up. They did beat the Seahawks, the Saints, and the Eagles during that span, so they've beat some very very good teams. Mind you, the Saints game was at home in Jerry World. Seahawks game was at home as well. Um, I'm looking at I'm looking at the defense here. Do you trust the Rams defense overall? I think the Cowboys defense is better.

They don't have the name value that they don't have. Um, they don't have and Dominican sue. They don't have Aaron Donald, they don't have a key to leave, they don't have Marcus Peters. But everyone does their job. Everyone does their job for the Cowboys, from Laton Vanderesh to Janalen Smith to de Marcus Lawrence to the cornerbacks which A. W.

Whusier and Byron Jones. They've they've they've played great. Um. So, man, if I I would take, I would take the Cowboys plus seven, and I'd sprinkle the money line as well. But here's the thing, right, Like you said, the Cowboys gonna whin they're gonna get blown out. So take the money line. Don't sprinkle them one anything, take them. Take take the money line, and that's it, right Like, That's kind of what I do with the Colts in the

same feeling that I had. But again, I'm not to hiss your ass or anything, but I think you breakdown was right here. The Cowboys are really hot right now and the Rams just don't seem like the same team. The Cowboys style, he's really perfect against his Rams team where they're gonna just hand the ball off to Ezekiel Elliott and hand the ball off to Ezekiel Elliott and then a short pass to Mary Cooper and then gonna

hold onto the ball as long as humanly possible. And we saw both teams trying to do that last week in that Seahawks Cowboys game, and the Seahawks, you know, it didn't work. They couldn't they couldn't run the ball. Now the Rams can't rub the ball, they can certainly pass the ball on that will work better for them. Theoretically, the Cowboys gonna do everything they can to keep the

offense off the field. For the Los Angeles Rams, the home field advantage of the Colosseum doesn't exactly scare me anyway, right like you're Cowboys fan, Like I don't not scared off by l A. Did you see the report of the ticket prices between for the Saints home game how they changed to Once I did will realize that the game with the Cowboys were going to travel to l A. The ticket prices like jumped through the roof. Because everyone

like Dallas, their fans, they're gonna travel well. They're gonna travel well to this game. As absolutely, I think that I think this is a good game. I would be again nervous of them. Are Rams fan for sure. I'm much rather face the Eagles, who actually beat the Rams in Los Angeles earlier this year. I think a lot of this is going to depend on the health of Todd Gurley and girl is healthy. I think the Rams will run away with it. I do. Jared Goff had

playoff experience last year. This entire team had playoff experience last year. I don't think that necessarily overrated, and that means something. I think the Rams gonna win the game. I understand why you like the money line, and I think you're you're spot on. I think the Rams blow them out, and I think Dallas wins. Do you think the Rams blow up? I don't think. I don't think it's like a twenty game. I think they covered the spread probably ten end of ten. I think it's like

a two touchdown game. That's that's to blow up, like if you win. But have you win like thirties. No, probably not, and they'll probably take the Rams ultimately from a DFS prospective, it's hard. From a DFS perspective, Jared Goff I think is an interesting, like corn human kind of pivot guy because he's been much much better at home this year. And I don't know that a lot of people are gonna be on Jared Goff when you have guys like Patrick Mahomes, Andrew Luck and Drew Brees

on the slate. I don't think that they're gonna look Jared Goff this way. And again, it is a tougher matchup because the secondary of the Cowboys coach under Chris Rachard. There's a reason why he's getting head coaching buzz. He's done a phenomenal job dating back to his days with the Seattle secondary, what he did with the Legion of Boom. But Jared Goff has played much better at home. He's kind of stumbling in here. Last five games for Jared

Golf six touchdowns and six interceptions. But I think that's why he'll have lower ownership in this game, right trying to figure out which wide receiver you want to use in this game. I think Josh Reynolds comes into play just because he's super cheap, unfandeled. He's only dollars, so he's kind of he's a guy that you can look at for some salary relief. Here in week seventeen, he did score two touchdowns. That's basically what it's gonna take.

Like he's either going to have like a huge game and score touchdowns he touchdown deependent, Like he's not a guy who's gonna give you, you know, eight for eighty. Like that's not gonna happen with Josh Reynolds in my opinion, So you need him to score touchdown. I think you mean you mentioned jhown for Josh Reynolds one to remind you Todd Gurley didn't play in that game. Number two. Reynolds only had four catches. Two touchdown depended very much.

But I think he's a good way to save salary again. You want to pay up for all these guys, you gotta find somewhere to save salary. Last week I was talking about Dontrell Edmond. They've raised his price in men up to sixty two hundred, so I'm not on him d last week, so yeah, they raised him by seven hundred dollars. I do think Josh Reynolds is in play. The next one up for me would be Robert Woods, just because he's played more in the slot than the

other guys since Cooper Cup has gone down. He's actually the prop that I like in this game over five and a half receptions, Greg, what do you think about that? Robert Woods over five and a half? I don't feel great? You feel great? He said. I feel pretty confident that I don't feel great in that. It could be he's like a four or seventy game or Robert Woods, you know that's what Like, I think he's a lock for like six to eight receptions. Are you are you going

to Jersey tonight? Okay, so I mean I'll tweet out everything like I definitively end up being on last. Let me look at these player props with this game. I know like Zeke is at ninety five and a half rushing yards. So it's a very very big number, but it was a big number last week two. It was ninety two and a half last week. The guy ends up running four thirty yards. Girly the heavy favorite is the first touchdown and score recording the FanDuel Sports book

plus three eighty. Next is Zeke and Randon Cooks and Robert Woods all at plus six fifty. You know the difference, And when I saw this, I want to just double check just to make sure that this is correct. The difference in Todd Gurley to Ezekiel Elliott's touchdowns this year. Greg, I've really scored twenty one total touchdowns this year, missed the final two games of the regular season, right, Ezekiel Elliott scored eight. That's crazy? Doesn't that sound crazy? That's crazy?

I would have gotten that wrong. Yeah, Ezekie Elliott had yet nine, six rushing and three receiving, and Girly had seventeen rushing and twenty one receiving. No, he did have seventeen rushing and twenty one receiving. Seventeen rushing and four receivering. Yeah, he had thirty eight touchdowns. It turns out he didn't break the Ladinian Talminson record. Lexander has it now lt

broke Shan Alexander's record. If you get which one of them because priest Homes in the mix too, Yes, yeah, I feel like they all kind of like handed that record off to each other in like successive seasons. Let's see here most touchdowns anyway, while Greg looks at up if that if you're using if you're using the touchdown capital as a tiebreaker for who you're trying to use between priest Homes has seven yea and he and Toid

Gurley had not scored thirty eights. But if you're using the touchdown capital as all a touchdown upside even to be the tiebreaker between Todd Gurley and Ezekiel because they're very they're very closely priced on Fandal this week, Ezekiel it is sells. Todd Gurley is nine thousand, So you could take the three D savings to me a little

bit safer with Ezekiel. While he doesn't have the same touchdown upside, I think he's safer, safer workload, Um, you know it doesn't have the coming off the injury risk with that. Todd Gurley has I do like both guys a lot, Like I was sitting there trying to debate which one I want to use last night. Ultimately like Ezekiel Elliott a little bit more. It's gonna have to come down a roster construction for me, um and how

much money I've left. As I've been saying this a lot that I think this knee injury is much more serious for Todd gurl than we ever realized, starting in that Chief's game where he nothing in that Chiefs game on the night and we're like, what the hell I don't understand. And it hasn't been the same. He's missed two weeks. He had the bye week, that's a third. He hasn't been the same. I think now having a

month off, we'll allowing me to be healthy. And I think you, like I'm believing you're gonna see the Todd Gurley that we expected to see where we didn't see towards the beginning of the season, Greg C J. Anderson, As I know you're on record or he's saying you think Todd Gurley gets his workload, I'll throw this at you. Over the final two weeks of this season, C J. Anderson saw five touches. John Kelly also had ten to

fifteen touches in each one of those games. So there is a world where Todd Todd Gurley could have twenty five touches and C. J. Anderson could also have ten to fifteen touches in this game, especially especially if you do think this game is a blowout, which is a possibility you could see some C J. Anderson, are you completely out completely? I'm just throwing all the possible names that I can at you try and save some money here.

I think Gerald Everett is also worth mentioning. Yeah, I had at least six targets in three of the final four games of the season. But I think there's enough other tight ends. And I want to get Kelsey, you want to get Earth put their very expensive abron. I'm I'm good to all three of those guys. Is very very tough against it ends. All right, Um, what's any one know David's David is Maddick by the way, coming

up next? Yeah, Alex, you gotta get him on sky texted him all right, let's make sure that we're gonna say it on the air that my saying he's not coming up next on Skype was all right, you know, all right, Alex, you gotta get him one say. It's like Alex telling me with Alex telling me what the deal, and I was like, yeah, I got it, and I just didn't do it. Alex. I forgot. I forgot my bad. Yeah he deservedly. So all right. The game that you're

you're most looking forward to, Frankie is Sunday. I want to call it the other NFC game, the tightest game when it comes to spread. This weekend, the New Yelands Patriots are hosting the Los Angeles Charges four points spread right now. According to FanDuel, Patriots are obviously favored at home, already seven and a half point total between these two

right now as well. Uh, they've backed off the snow report for this game, but next to be very cold, you know, in the twenties for the weather here up in Foxborough. Um. This is the battle of a team that's very very good at home versus a team that's very very good on the road. The Patriots eight and oh straight up at home this season, the Chargers eight and one straight up and against the spread on the road,

both in the regular season and in the playoffs. We just alsought they did against the Baltimore Ravens last week. There's a ton of numbers dating back to like the history between these two teams. Philip rivers oh and seven his career against Brady and the Pats. That is both regular season and postseason combined. The Pats and Belichick in the Division Round are six and one against the spread

in their last seven. I will mention that the past couple of games, the three pass games that he played in the Divisional round have been against rock Osweilder, Marcus Mariotta, and Alex Smith. There's a little bit of a different story here going up against the Los Angeles Chargers. I really do believe that if you if you stripped both teams down to all right, no Patriots mystique, how good they are in the division Round. If you just look at the talent of the team, the Chargers should be

favored in this game. I think overall they're more talented team. But the Bill Belichick, Tom Brady mystique playing at home in the playoffs, it does exist. It does exist in their sore about that. So for for people who this is a very polarizing game, there's a lot of people who are on the Chargers. You think the Charges go all the way. We'll talk more about that when we get back their guest Davis Maddick. There's also a crowd that I've seen that's like, what are you guys doing?

It's Brady and Belichick at home in the playoffs. I see both sides. I make my argument for the Chargers. So today a break, we'll come back. We'll break this game down on Davis and we get to the fourth one as well. More. The BFFs come in your way next. If you're someone that needs fantasy sports advice every day, the Fantasy Sports Radio Network has you covered. When you download the n T S Y Sports Radio Network GAP, you get the top fantasy advice every single day right

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wipes and body cleansing. Kneed Fantasy precipitation does scare me a little bit, but it's not a precipitation that you're worried about. It's always the wind, right, Like, what's the wind going to be like in Kansas City. I don't think we know that yet. You can pull up a forecast. I don't know what like the weather alert. It's like your weather alert bringing the alarm, Greg Hold, I don't

know what a weather jinglebee. Don't have anything pretty radio, Greg, week Days New and Eastern on Happen t s y Radio and not your popular podcast providers. You know what I hate for two A lot of things. You hate the cotton I cannot stand line dancer more than anything. That want like dances like this where they tell you what to do, like the cotton igo or the Cha cha slide. I hate them likew shin. So what are you gonna do with your wedding? I'm not gonna have

to cotonit. You're not gonna have the chata slide. What are you gonna do? You're gonna have that your wedding. Either you're gonna do the good thing and I'm gonna be there. You gonna have the macarena, so says you, Margarina at my winning do the y M c A. Why not? Are you crazy? The show like those things would carry over to a wedding. Now you're sick. You are sick here, You're just trying to have some fun

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one thousand dollars. That's my Bookie dot a G. The promo code is f n T s Y. With that, we are joined. Well, Davis, your your theme song just became the y m c A. With that, the guests of the BFFs, the latest addition to the Rhodo Experts Daily Rhodo and the Fantasy Sports Networks Family. Davis Maddie, what's up, guys? Do you like the y m c A.

You know what, that's actually kind of funny. I grew up playing basketball at the y m c A because it was right down the street from my house, so that's what I associate that song with, though I'm pretty sure that's not what it's about. Works for me, Greg, I mean, I'll accept that as so so also true story. I, Um, I gotta know the village people a little bit. What is it? I don't know where you're gonna go with this. So when I worked at the county firm, we did

we worked on the village people. They were our clients, So I know some of them. You know, the village people. On the weekend, Greg, they invited me to. I said, now, all right, all right, Davids Maddick, welcome, Welcome to the team, Welcome to the program. We're breaking down right now. Um, the Chargers and the Patriots game. How do you see this one going? What's what's your right down here? Bud? I kind of think it's gonna be a pretty ugly game. Actually,

it's gonna be a cold weather game. The Chargers, of course, are flying out. The numbers of the West Coast teams playing in the early game on the East Coast are generally pretty ugly. And actually, I don't know, do either of you guys know if the Chargers stayed out on the East Coast this last week in practice there they did not, but they've had no problems doing that all season long. Um, they've gone to the East Coast and they are they're eating one this year on the road

in general. So I know, Anthony Limb was one of those coaches that kind of like debunk West Coast to East Coast this year because obviously they performed so well on the road. But yeah, I don't I don't think they stayed on the East Coast. They definitely have traveled back and forth, correct, there you go. I mean, I don't know about you, guys. I hate to fly that much like I I would be I would be thrown out of sorts like going back and forth through three

different time zones. But I also think that for whatever reason, Chargers plus four is like just the most public pick you could ever make this week. Everyone's ready to write off Belichick and Brady, And to be honest with you, I've been ready to write off Belichick at times this year, just that the Patriots have not thrown the ball enough.

They really have not looked explosive on offense. But I mean, I I just I just don't think that the chart that the Patriots, I don't think it goes out this way. I think the way the Brady Belichick kind of era ends, I think it's gonna end next week in Arrowhead, not this week in Foxboro. Al Right, So that's gives you a little insight into what what Davis is thinking about that Chiefs Gaming. We can ask you that a little

bit later. I just want to keep continue on with this game in terms of from a DFS perspective, from a betting perspective, I have a prop that I like in this game as well. Like I mentioned, it was a battle of the Chargers are really good on the road. The Patriots have been really good at home. You also look at the pass rush of the Chargers, and that's the way to defeat Brady. You know as well as anybody you being a Giants fan, the way that they defeat him in the Super Bowl. You sack of a bunch.

You get up in his face. One place sticks out to me in particular, if you were watching that Steelers Patriots game, when they got in his face, he just threw that ball up in the red zone. It was basically like, whoever wanted this ball coming and take it. It's not very Tom Brady liked. That was just weird for me to see. But from per Football Outsiders, the Patriots are number one in past protection in terms of

their offensive lines. So their past protection going up against the Chargers, uh, you know, Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa, I think is a huge storyline in this game. Davis, you mentioned you think it's kind of an ugly game. I'd imagine that means you don't like a lot of the players. From a DFS perspective here, it's hard to really like the Chargers pass catchers. Stefan Gilmore and Jason mccordy both rank inside the top seven in Pro Football

focuses cornerback grades. I will say, if there's anyone that you want to use in this game, it's probably the running backs. The problem with that is Melvin Gordon is not healthy. The problem that I like in this game is James White over four and a half receptions because the Chargers did allow the did allow a ton of receptions two running backs this year and James White just had eight seven kind of tailed off in the second

half of the year. But the way to beat the pass for us is to throw the ball to the running back, and James White is one of the best running backs that do. And um, like James White is Tom Brady's foxhole guy right like pretty much pretty much in all of these games. I think he had. I think he had like fifteen targets and the Super Bowl or something crazy. And if you just go back and

look at Brady and like tight competitive games. Whoever it was in that past catching role, whether it be Kevin Falk, whether it be Shane Vreen, that that guy was always the outlet in these home playoff games in the divisional round? Do you like anyone else from this game from like a DFS perspective, I know, like Hunter Henry is gonna return. I don't know how many snaps he's gonna play. When he does play, snatch will likely be in the red zone,

so maybe he has a chance said a touchdown. But like again, just like to me, tough matchup, especially for Mike Williams and the outside, whether he's gonna see Gilmore or Jason mccordy, Keenan Allen. They move him all over the place, But a little bit of a tougher matchup anyone you like from a DFS perspective in this game, Yes, Sony Michelle, if if this game goes how I think it's gonna go, where the Chargers just struggle to get going on offense, the Patriots get up to a lead.

Twenty plus carries here for Sony seems very reasonable. Nice perfect. So Greg, which way are you leading? I mean, look, I've been the Chargers guy. I I've keep referencing I have a Rams ticket from before the season for them to win the Super Ball. I also have a Chargers ticket. I do think that they're the more complete team. The way that we introduced this game was I think if you strip the teams down, the Chargers are the more

talented team, both offensively and defensively. I think they're the most complete team in the a f C. I know it's a public pick. I'm gonna be on the Chargers. I'll have you know. I'll have some of some shares of them at plus four and some of the money line just because I could see this game being a field goal game either way. UM, I get what you're saying, but again, I'm gonna go back to games theory. You like the underdoges at the Charges the money line, like

what what what are we? What are we betting on them to lose? By three or four points for you know, you know what I mean. So it's like, what's din I agree with you. I think the Charges on paper they are the better team and really kind of every regard like Philip Rivers playing better than Tom Brady Nomen going even special teams. You're gonna give Mike Badley that much credit. Greg, I love I've read a whole article

on Mike Badeley today. Actually it was great last week or in a whole article that might bad really do you know who is like one of his good friends is it's one of his coaches. Actually, his name is Sean Ryan, I believe, the son of Rex Ryan, and they went to high school together and and he was the UM. He was the place holder for Mike Badgley, who did like everything at someone high school and then

he went on to Miami UM. He when the Restauryant's kid went on to UM Clemson and then ultimately became a coach with the Chargers and now Badley's kicking for the Chargers, which is all like a cool story but pretty convoluted story. Great, Sorry, that's the arc lay in this morning. You know, you know I love my Badgeley. He's good um. But anyway, I think the Chargers in

general are better. Like you Cat, you have the whole field advantage of the Patriots, but the way they played all year that the Chargers are the better team, and I think that I think they're gonna win on Sunday. So we're just the public and you know, Davis is clearly just like the smartest person in the room here, and it's it's not very close. It's not. I mean,

I wouldn't I wouldn't say that. I just I've also been burned by this a number of times, just being like, oh, I think this is it for Brady and Belichick, Like how many times? How many times have we have we ended Brady's career over the last five years. That's exactly well, and we've been trying to do it all year long. Let's just say, you know, this year at forty one, it just seems like he's missed more throws than he normally does. It has to do with Gronk, you know,

not being Dronk of old anymore. The team lost Josh Gordon, so it's really just Julian Edelman and Tom Brady with James White as well on this team. So I think they a little bit more to it this year than ever before. But it is just hard every every year, every year Brady gets a little older, and it's a little bit more of a historical outlier every year with him,

father time has never lost. Greg. We got to move on to the to the Eagles Saints game here as well, New Orleans laying eight game, laying eight points in the Superdome right now, with the over undertotal at fifty one and a half. I'll throw this out there. Sean Payton and Drew Brees are five and not in the Superdome in the playoffs in their career together with an average margin of victory of eleven points. So that makes you feel a little bit better. But the Eagles got embarrassed

earlier on in the season. That was with Carson Points as the quarterback inside the Superdome. You know they're gonna be fired up for this one. To me, this this might be the hardest one to call all week long. Davis, How do you feel about this game? I I actually don't know if it is that hard to call. I think that I think that the Saints are just so much better of a team than the and the Eagles are like they won seven in the first game, it

was not particularly competitive. Um, you know, I'm I'm definitely not one of the people that believes that Nick Foles is the product that he's put on the field for the last four weeks. I think that, um, he makes a lot of plays that are low percentage plays, and when he's playing well and when the Eagles are winning, you're like, oh, this guy'll he'll just throw four touchdowns

every game, like he's he's not afraid of anything. They scored nine points on offense through of that game against the Bears, and like, to win this game or to cover this game, they've got to get at least probably twenty four points to cover. And I just I think that's a big ask on the road in the super Dome.

And that's and that's fair, right, I think people, when you're talking about that Nick Foles magic, you're forgetting that, like you've never got home last year and other than the Super Bowl obviously, but like he did the first two at home, beating the Falcons in the game they probably should have won, decimating the Vikings. No, get me wrong, but it wasn't home. And and last week, yes it was on the it was obviously on the road for

Philadelphia last week in a very tough environment Chicago. But I said this to you on Monday, Frank, and that's that Nick Foles. He threw two interceptions in the rend zoe or in the end zone. Total interceptions. Try giving the game away. The Saints at Homeless Superdome is a totally another task. Maybe I'm just the idiot, but I think this need to blow them out. I really do. I agree we're gonna we make our official picks on the show. You know, I would lay the eight points

with the Saints as well. I do think it's a good spot for teasers either way, to whether with a total or with the with the spread. I mean, if you like the Saints, you tease them down to um laying one point, you could do that, and then you can you could also tease the total down. Right now, it's at fifty one and a half, so you could tease that down to like forty four and a half. Whatever,

you can take that. I like taking one of those and putting it together with with the Chargers, teasing that up to like, yeah, I'm I'm gonna be all over the Taters. Great obviously, but from a DFS perspective, in this game, obviously, you know the Saint The Saints could have could put up a ton of points here in the Superdome. Uh, they kind of tailed off over like the final month of this season. A lot of those games did come on the road, though one properly. I

try to give out a prop per game here. I like Alvin Kamara catching over five balls. The Eagles allowed the second most receptions two running backs this season, so I think Kamara could be could have a successful day. What do you like from a DFS perspective, dats, I think this game is is a full send. I think that the Saints know that there's a lot of talk about them not having been that good over the last

month of the season. And Sean Payton is uh, He's always been a guy who loves to really drive the screws in this game. Earlier in the season, I believe Michael Thomas um I believe he caught a seventy eight yard touchdown in the fourth quarter when they were already up thirty five points. Like that, They're they're not stopping in this game. So I think breeze Thomas, Kamara and even on the even on the Philadelphia side. I like Sprawls, I like Take, I like al Sean, and I like

Earth because I don't think that the Eagles will. I think they might run nineteen times in this game. Like I think that it's just a full on aerial from them. And I think that makes sense too, because the Saints were very stout against the run this year and the past couple of games the Eagles haven't been able to run the ball, So it's kind of like a marriage for the Eagles passing the ball at on here. So I think, Yeah, Golden Tate called the touchdown last week.

He's in play, Zach Er. It's tougher matchup against the Saints, but should see a lot of targets in this game as well. Greg, we didn't even mention did you see the story that Sean Payton how he was motivating them? This wea, that's absolutely insane and that was awesome, and we in the Lombardi Trophy and liked dollars in cash and said do you want this? Go out there and win three f in games and then like the locker room exploded. So Sean Payton pretty cool, It's awesome. It

would me. I mean again, I'm not making motivate anybody. Yeah, you didn't bring like a hundred bucks in here and bringing like one of these like he's like fs w A awards and a hundred bucks in you need to do for me, Davids Maddock, we're gonna sign off on YouTube right now. We're gonna sinking bye, Davids. You hang out with There's like another three minutes or so. Frenzi's up next. It's gonna be Frank and iim filling in for Corey and Venture Jim Day will join us as well.

We can see you talking about the games this weekend and we want to go over the mock draft, and David, I want to stick around with you, um just for a moment to talk about our internal mock draft that's going on. Because I know you're on the program with Dane and Blewett yesterday, we wanted to ask you for our listeners. Um, why did you dig Damian Harris in

the second round? Well, every year rookie running backs end up in like the best possible spot because whatever team drafts them early, uh is pretty much ready to give them the ball eighteen times a game. Nick Chubb the rare example of not being there because the Browns happened to sign Carlos Hide. But pretty much, whatever running back goes first in the draft, you're you're locking him in for significant touches. Pretty Much every scouting service has him

as the number one running back. And uh, if you're getting like Damian Harris, if he lands in a good spot, will be a top ten pick this year in fantasy Davis, I'll give you a two part question here. One to piggyback off what Greg just asked you Damian Harris, what would be a good landing spot for him to kind of come in here? I can put you on the spot.

But then also, you took ju Do Smith Schuster in the first round, and everyone's kind of like scratching their head when it happens, and it tweeted out and a lot of people ask me, like, oh, who's the cloud who took Juju in the first round? It picked eight overall. Well, you know, the latest reports Antonio Brown more likely to be traded than not. If Juju is the you know, main wide receiver for the Pittsburgh Steelers next year, this could be a warranted pick, you know, inside the top

ten in the first round. So where can you see Damian Harris landing and you do eighth? Overall your thoughts, um like Miami or Tampa Bay seems like pretty good landing spots for for Damian Harris. A team that has you know, decent parts of an offense lined up, they they would be they would be ready to use a guy. And uh, obviously I think that Uh I think I mean Juju Smith Schuster is one of the three or four most talent, like physically talented guys in the NFL,

and people forget he. I believe he entering into his age uh like entering into his third year. He's gonna be aged twenty one. And there's just like a ton of research saying that the younger a guy breaks out,

the better NFL career they're going to have. And I think the chances of Antonio Brown getting traded, if you, if you were lining it up for me right now, I would say like minus three hundred he gets traded just because the Steelers they're dealing with all this internal turmoil and clearly it killed their season this year right like they were they were just an absolute mess, and I just don't think they want to do it again.

Fair enough, take cash listen to it. Let's check out everything he knows for us now with the Fantasy Sports Net, we're to Experts dot com and Daily Rotor dot com. Davis, we appreciate your time, uh and good luck this weekend. Hey, thanks for having me. Guys. Frank staffeld I am Greg Sausman. We continue on Frankie when we come back. Fantasy Football frenzies up next two of us and Jim Day will see you on the other side. Good luck this weekend, well,

hopefully you'll see on my name. Does your fantasy team suck? Maybe you need us. The Fantasy Sports Radio Network the only free, seven fantasy sports radio network

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