2020 NFL Divisonal Round Betting/Fantasy Preview! - podcast episode cover

2020 NFL Divisonal Round Betting/Fantasy Preview!

Jan 10, 202049 min
--:--
--:--
Download Metacast podcast app
Listen to this episode in Metacast mobile app
Don't just listen to podcasts. Learn from them with transcripts, summaries, and chapters for every episode. Skim, search, and bookmark insights. Learn more

Episode description

What better way to preview the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs than to get Eric Young back on the show!? Gregg Sussman, Frank Stampfl, and EY are breaking down the weekend from a betting and fantasy perspective!

Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

Speaker 1

Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast. If you want to listen live, all you have to do is download the I Heart Radio app and search for Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Also, if you want to catch this show on video, for sure to check out Zoo TV channel seven nineteen and that's where you can find Sports Grids Fantasy Sports Network. Enjoy the show and thanks so much for listening and listen to me. This is the Fantasy Football Best Friends

Forever Show. Start listening to us, or suffer the consequences. Listen to do didn't? Yeah? Now as welcome your host five B from No. One, your co host five ye from Saint Bretza, Trik Steffa, your co host five eleven from Why Ladies and Tentlemen yours. With that, we will get you inside of Studio thirty four. This is a b F F S. Here's Frank Stamford. I am Greg Sauceman and making his return for the first time in twenty e y Eric Young, who's here to puff us

up about the day of the Denver. About the Tennessee Titans still in the playoffs. I said deep for Derry Henry hounding their way to Baltimore. We'll see what happens on Saturday night. Frankie, what's happening man, Greggy? Happy Friday to you. Lots to talk about the NFL Divisional round of the playoffs. I know that you continuously say this year after year, Greg that this is your favorite week of the first I always remember, Baby, that's the weekend

of the year. We've got the the eight best teams left in the NFL this week playing, So there's a lot to talk about from a betting fantasy perspective, and of course I talk about our Tennessee Titans, Baby, Derrick Henry going up against the Baltimore Ravens. So early in the week you reached out to Eric, You're like, hey, you around this week. He's like, no, man, I can't make it. Text was like, dude, we need you on Friday. Like Titans, it's the playoffs. We're not here that often.

And he's like, I'll be there. Welcome back you w boys. Uh. It is an excellent time of year. Hockey is in fal swing. There's some other sports that I don't talk about that won't be named, and football playoffs and it's awesome for me. The Titans are still in it. Uh. They're looking They're looking real, real good, real real dangerous. The Ravens are unbelievable. Lamar Jackson is terrifying. But if you're gonna beat the Baltimore Ravens, you gotta have a

solid running game. Titans are built on that. Derrick Henry is going to go off again. Uh, it is necessary. Tannehill is playing the best football of his entire career, and Uh, I can't. I couldn't be more excited for tomorrow. Man, I'm so pumped. Are you? Will you listen? It's a long way to go wherever, but it may make it the Super Roll. Will you be there? Uh? That uh be an expensive endeavor I would imagine. Um, But I mean I have tons of people that have tons of

contacts in Tampa. Tampa is uh a wrestling mecca. Um. Tons of the guys live there, They know people that know people. So look at I will. I will do everything in my power to be there if the Titans make it into the Super Bowl. Uh. Not promising anything, but it's looking promising, guys. I mean, you never know what's going to happen. Sports is crazy, Football is is madness. Um. But but any team of these final eight could I could see winning the Super Bowl. It could happen any

which way. Tennessee was incredibly impressive last week in their win against New England. Derrick Henry did what he's done all season long, what EY expected him to do all season long. That's how good this team has been. We'll get to Tennessee in a little bit only because I want to go in game order here and I just want to, um, just make it easy for us rather

than jumping around, right, just do it by the day. Interestingly, enough is the first weekend I believe ever in the divisional weekend where the Sunday games have been moved back. It's three thirty, three o'clock and six thirty here, um, kind of like Championship Sunday, because well ratings, why doing it one and four? We can do it at three and six thirty. So that's this Sunday the game started.

I leave three or five and six four you I think of the official start times, but like three thirty or what we'll say, the first game of the day is on Saturday night three thirty I believe four o'clock, four thirties, and like that, right thirty is the game. It is at four thirty five or thirty. You got the San Francisco forty Niners at home and they are

taken on the Minnesota Vikings. Of Vikings get by the New Orleans Saints last week we talked or Ey just mentioned a moment ago Frank that the way that he thinks you could beat Baltimore control the running game, running down their throats with Derrick Henry. That's what Minnesota needs to do against San Francisco in order for them to have a shot. With Dalvin Cook, he looked healthy last week, played really really, really really well. I thought last week

they're big underdog in San Francisco. Dalvin Cook get the job done. When the Minnesota Vikings on Saturday, well, Dalvin Cook might be able to get the job done, but I'm not sure the entire Minnesota Vikings team will be able to do that against the San Francisco forty Niners, who are coming off the by here under Kyle Shanahan. I thought the Vikings did a phenomenal job last week against the New Orleans Saints. Their game land getting after Drew Brees, causing lots of pressure like they have done

all season. I thought their secondary played much better than we've seen for most of the season as well. Coming into this game, Xavier Rhodes dealing with that shoulder injury. He's gonna play, but how healthy is he? I think that's a big question in this game. Obviously, you gotta worry about Deebo Samuel on the outside, Emmanuel Sanders in the slot, who has a ton of postseason experience. I haven't even named George Kittle yet, who is the number

one receiver for the San Francisco forty Niners team. So if you asked me, I think it's gonna be a tough task for the Minnesota Vikings here, Greg. I think that the way for them to slow down that pass rush of San Francisco is running the ball with Dalvin Cook set up play action. Obviously that's what they want to do, but San Francisco's defense has been one of the best all season long, specifically against the run as well.

You ask me for this game, I am. I'm willing to lay the points with the San Francisco forty Niners. I think they get it done and this is probably one of the sides that I feel most strongly about this weekend. Also, really like San Francisco in this game. I thought Kirk Cousins got rid of a lot of demons last week in New Orleans. I thought that he played a really safe, but really good ball game. Hit his marks with Adam Feeland and Stefan Daves of Devin

Cook did a really nice job. But I think giving the San Francisco for Ators a week off, which they desperately needed, Uh, they're gonna be able to kind of do what Minnesota does. I think, just do it better, and that's running the football with Rhem Boster and Tevin Coleman and Matt Rada and utilizing George Kittle their number one receiver. As you mentioned, season trickery out of Deebo Samuel. Uh.

New Orleans they got shell shocked last week. I don't think San Francisco, who has a better defense than the New Orleans Saints, they get nearly shell shocks. I also like San Francisco, and I will also take the points. Why what about you? Yeah, San Francisco for me? Love the forty Niners. Um Shanahanna's got these guys. I mean, it's just his offense is so unique, so different, it's hard to prepare for it. You never know where the ball is going to go. So that would be my pick.

But happy for Kirk Cousins showing up in a playoff game the last throw where he dropped it in for a touchdown. UM, that's solidified was a guy that can get it done in the game when when it's when it's important, right, San Francisco pick. We all said, we come back the mein event on Saturday night TENNESSEEE. NFL season is now upon us, so you can become the eighth person away one million dollars in a Fandel Draft Kings tournament by setting their lineups using the Daily Order

dot Com DFS lineup Optimizer. If you're playing Daily Fantasy Sports and not using Daily Order dot Com, you're doing it wrong. Sign up now for the NFL Access with a faster optimizer, smarter DFS projections, and better results. It's a promo code action for its ten percent discount, And

that's promo code action for its ten percent discount. Daily Order dot Com where millionaires are made to reach about, well well well back with Studio thirty four, getting you ready for the best weekend or football of the year, the eight best teams in the NFL. You got four games too on Saturday too, on Sunday, and now it's time. In a moment, we'll get into Saturday night. We'll get into the Titans. We'll get to the Ravens before we do. Right, he has some props you want to talk about from

San Francisco in Minnesota. Yeah, I wanted to get into some props real quick for this game. I like Raheem Moster to score a touchdown. That you're getting that a plus one fifteen right now. He has scored uh seven touchdowns in the final six games for the San Francisco forty nine ers since Week thirteen on leads San Francisco with eight red zone carries. The next closest on the

team is Tevin Coleman with just two. So he only gets around you know, ten to twelve maybe thirteen fourteen carries a game, but he does get the work in the red zone. So I like for he most to score touchdown in this game. I like Kyle Rudolph over two and a half receptions. San fran has allowed a tight end to go over this in four of their last five games. Uh. Ky Rudolph had four receptions last week. He's been a little bit more involved recently, so those are a few props that I like, and I also

have some trends. Greg trying a bunch of from Gabe rency Joe Rner. He's roughout the week. On the morning after. I'm down in the pit. I'm working. Also, got one ear open. I'm listening to all the trends that these guys are throwing out here. How about this? Here you go. Minnesota last seventeen games on the road in January three and fourteen straight up, four and thirteen against the spread. I know Gabe has talked about a lot about wild card teams having to win back to back games on

the road in the NFL playoffs. It's tough to do. I think it will be tough for the Minnesota Vikings to do just that this week as well. San Francisco getting healthy at the right time. D four will be back in this game. I'm laying the points with San Francisco. Most are to score a touchdown. Kyle Rudolf over two and a half receptions. Greg. Those are the props right here for me. I'll commenting on them. U it seems easy. It was too easy. I like these low props on

like peripheral players. You know, it just seems it just seems too easy. The most are one I don't like because I was doing the research on mostly going into the playoffs and he's just not all that involved in the passing game. It is. It's risky because again he only sees like ten to twelve carries a game, but he dominates the red zone usage for one of the best, definitely one of the best schemed rushing attacks in the NFL. With Kyle Shanahan and the San Francisco forty Niners, he

seems to be the go to guy. Wouldn't surprise me if he actually sees more work in this game. I think he has earned that. I think he's earned the respect and the trust of Kyle Shanahan and this forty Niners team. So wouldn't surprise me if he sees more work in this game as well. Alvin Kamara got in the end zone last week for the Saints. I like most of score touchdown this week. Wants to get to Tennessee. That's Tennessee and Baltimore. Derrick Henry leading the tie against Baltimore.

Here's my question for really why so? Last week? Obviously, Tennessee defeated New England. The quarterback Ryan Tande Hill through for seventy two yards. That's probably not going to get it done against Baltimore. What do you think you need from Ryan tadne Hill this week for Tennessee to win? Uh? And I mean I do feel it's They're gonna be a very similar game plan. Um. They wanted to keep the ball out of Brady's hands, even though he has not even been close to the quarterback la Lamar Jackson

has been. But the reality is is this time of year, and I know it's cliche, but running the football is what wins playoff games. I don't know if there's any team better suited to run the football than the Tennessee Titans that has left in the playoffs. Derrick Henry Um, you know, I mean, I mean, yes, I'm a homer, Um, but in my opinion, you know, just knowing, you know, listening to what the Titans were talking about and what

they wanted to do and how this offense was was designed. Uh, you know, it was spending a heavy premium on good run blocking offensive lineman. Um having a bunch of tight ends that are very good at run blocking. Nobody wants to tackle this guy. I mean, you could see it in last year or last week's game. Um, he would come over the edge and and a cornerback, hundred and sixty pound cornerback would be falling away as he was running into because nobody wants to get in his way.

It's going to be very similar. It's going to be cool in Baltimore. You mean they're of an outdoor stadium. It could even possibly be raining. Um and for me, the worst of weather, the better it is for the Titans. I think if Tannehill can throw a hundred and twenty five yards and Henry cannavro over a hundred and twenty yards, it's gonna be a tough team to beat. I'm with e Y on this one as well. I don't know that I'm gonna call the Tennessee Titans outright win here,

and we'll go back to my handy days. It's been ongoing for a week, but Saturday games since two thousand and six, home teams are eighteen and two straight up there fifteen and five against the spread, So that doesn't bode well for the Tennessee Titans. Home teams over the past two years are seven and one straight up over the last six years. Their nineteen and five straight up.

What that means to me is there's one team this weekend that can pull out the upset, and to me, the two most likely teams that are able to do that are the Tennessee Titans and the Seattle Seahawks. And I think that what Ey said, And although it is cliche, Derrick Henry is a walking cliche right now. He gets stronger as the game goes on, and that's something you don't want to see if you're an opposing defense in the NFL playoffs. So I agree with what I said

regarding Derrick Henry. I like the over on his rushing yards in this game as well. It's a huge number. It's ninety four and a half on his rushing yardage prop greg. But over the past, what do I have here? He's averaging one hundred fifty four rushing yards per game over his last seven games. I mean he is. He's on a rampage right now, a hundred and eighty two rushing yards. Last week against the New England Patriots, who were one of the best run defenses all season long,

he ran for two hundred and eleven yards. The final game of the season in Week seventeen, Derrick Henry is just on a different level, and you can run against Baltimore. That's the biggest difference. You don't want to attack them through the air since they acquired Marcus Peters and everyone has got healthy in that secondary with Jimmy Smith. You don't want to throw against this Baltimore Ravens secondary, but

you can run against them. Their nineteenth and run defense DV away, they allow the tenth highest yards per carry to opposing running backs four point four to all. That to me means that Derrick Henry is gonna have success in this game to an extent. They're going to be able to keep keep away. They're gonna be able to play keep away from Lamar Jackson and this Ravens offense, who that is the best offense in the NFL. And I think that is a recipe to keep keep this

game closer. I don't think that Tennessee is gonna win this game. I'm sorry, e Y, but I think that it's going to be closer than the spread reveals with the Ravens being nine and a half point favorites. With all that being said, Greg, if the Ravens get off to a hot start, if they score on the first drive, if they go a fourteen zip, I think that this

is probably one that's gonna spiral out of control. But if Tennessee can run the ball early and often in this game and play keep away, then they have a good chance of covering. So you kind of just hit the nail on the head right Like, so I I see nine and a half points on the surface, and I'm like, this is too many. It's something simply too many. Tennessee could hang in there with Derrick Henry doing his things, as you mentioned, you could run on the Baltimore Ravens.

Problem is when you need Ryan Tannehill to be superhero because Lamar Jackson's crowd is gonna be roucous in Baltimore. Larr Jackson's gonna run down the field and seeming like he always does love the over on Lamar Jackson's rushing

to correct. How can you He's going to run this team down the field and probably get in They stopped Tennessee on that first drive, and you get quickly get up fourteen nothing, then that pressure you're going to fall on Ryan Tannell and you can't just quickly play keep keep away as he want to mentioned like this, Tom Brady, you weren't afraid this year him beating you. He wasn't. Maybe he's good enough, but that team was not good enough. Offense wasn't good enough. That's what it comes to. The

offense was not good enough. This is a different offense. It's different and best offense in the NFL. If they get behind, it makes me a little bit nervous, like Seattle getting behind. We'll get to that in a few moments, because if Seattle gets behind, this is something we were concerned about last year and this year. Can they come back? And I don't know that they can. And I don't know that Tennessee can. I don't know that they can make it a game. But seen nine and a half,

which you're down two touchdowns late. Everyone's gonna relaxing here in that zone defense. The bat is gonna be so many points. It's too many points. I can't I can't lay that with Baltimore. I'm going to take Tennessee in this game plus nine and a half. And it's more so it's not that you can't lay it with Baltimore, it's you don't want to lay that against Tennis right now, Ben, But don't break defense They're not an amazing against any means,

as we're gonna get to shortly. That's why I don't want to say, uh, it's you know, it's it's crazy to lay this many points this time of year because we're gonna get to the Kansas City game very shortly. But I think it's the way that the Tennessee Titans are playing right now. And yes, you don't want Ryan Tannehill to you don't want to have to rely on Ryan Tannehill, but he can make plays. We saw that down the stretch. He finished first in the NFL this

year in passer rating first and yards per attempt. A. J. Brown I think bounces back to an extent this week. I don't think he's just gonna be limited to one catch in this game. I like the Titans with the points in this game plus nine and a half. I think you can use the Ravens as part of a teaser teasis down to minus two and a half. I like the over in this game as well. Back to the handy Dandy trends from Dame Marnzi, Ryan Tannehill nine

and two to the over with Tennessee over. His last eleven games were probably like will hit the regular you want to stall us after that. I like a J. Brown over twenty four and a half yards as his longest reception. I think I think it's a good bet. He's a catch and run guy. I like that. One NFL season is an alpanas, so you can be going the eighth person awain one million dollars in a FanDuel Draft Kings tournament. My setinger lineup using the Daily Roder

dot Com DFS lot of optimizer. If you're playing daily Fantasy Sports and not using Daily Order dot Com, you're doing it wrong. Sign it down for the NFL Access with a faster optimizer, smarter DFS projections, and better results into promo code action for its end percent discount. And that's promo code action for its head percent discount. Tailor order dot com where millionaires are made. Get in the game of the Draft Kings sports book where listeners of

this show can get deposit bonus of five dollars. He's works created a Draftkicking sports book account. Take a deposit. Please your first bet Draft Kings on matchup bonus five hundred bucks all for is eligible all users, new users getting risk free bet on. It's two undrellar is gonna sportscred dot com slash DK to play sports scrid dot com slash DK to play gambling promic one hundred gamblers twenty one over New Jersey only. Eligibility restrictions apply to

website for DTL. We get out the props we like. We've taken the side that we like one quicker side. Greg. As soon as you came in talking about the promo, you came in at the spot in that song, I thought you were going with it. Right before the promo. La la la, la la la. You guys told me don't sing anymore. We actually have sang this song together. Harry Yok. He's he's singing very quietly to himself because he's not allowed to sing on the show it and

trying to follow the rules. All right, anyway, Mr su send me. But I'm really you're seeing another song about Man in the Mirror. I stay want to review that. I wasn't singing it. I heard some crazy guy and Bread and Butter over here singing his own version in Man of the Mirror. Uh had that had to do with accusations regarding Michael Jackson in his lifetime. Let's just leave it there. He was crazy for sure. Yes, he

was one of those guys. Just one look at the guy you just knew, like, stay away from that dude. He's just like picking away at the buffet to stay yeah, kind of the way you look at e Y right when he's like in the wrestling ring. To stay away from that guy. You do not want to be around that guy. All right, Eric, we talked a lot about what we think we've all you know the Titans or

all on the Titans. You're obviously taking them out right, anything else you want to hit on this game before we move on your comments on what we had said when we opined, what do you think? No, I mean I think what you guys are saying, Like, look at I like the Baltimore Ravens. They were one of my favorite teams to watch this year. Lamar Jackson is changing

the quarterback position, and I think changing it for the better. Um, people are going to look at running quarterbacks and quarterbacks that they're their primary their primary offensive weapon is to run the ball. They're gonna look at those quarterbacks very differently. UM. It was really cool how they scheme the offense around that. UM. This is is different than Michael Vick. This is different than any quarterback that has been a you know, considered

a running quarterback before. It's really cool to be a fan and uh and to see that happen like we were part of history. Like the quarterback position going forward is going to change. In my opinion, it's because of because of Lamar Jackson. UM. He's terrifying, absolutely terrifying. Every time he touches the ball, it could go for fifty yards, he could go for a touchdown, and you know, it could be a run, it could be a pass. UM running is his primary weapon. But he can't throw the

ball and he's proven that UM all year. They throw it when they need to. UM. But but I think that Tannehill is a better traditional quarterback. I believe the Titans are specifically designed UM, especially their their linebacking corps is very quick. UM. They'll be able to spy him and contain him. No one's gonna be able to stop Lamar Jackson. He's proven that all year and I think he'll prove it again this week. It'll just be limiting him and like I said, running the ball and limiting

the amount of times that Lamar Jackson touches the ball. Well, you'll have to limit the amount of times Lamar Jackson touches the ball. That's the only way that Tennessee is gonna be able to ultimately win this game, not to stay a win this game by limiting the amount of touches or that offensive ball to what do you think more can play this week? I do think that mark Ingram is gonna play. I wouldn't touch any of his props.

Maybe if you want to go under them, but again, this is such a great rushing team even that is dicey to do. So I wouldn't use him in DFS either, because I don't think that he is one. They've been so hush hush about marketing room situation all week long. No, I wouldn't do that either. Like that. Yeah, I mean it's sneaky you're playing a GDP again for super cheap, But overall, I wouldn't mess around with the marketing room situation I mentioned. I do like Lamar Jackson's prop over

seventy seven and a half rushing yards. He did that in eight of fifteen games this year. He did that in five of his final six games as well. And I think that if Baltimore is gonna win this game. It's gonna because Lamar Jackson had a lot to say about it. He had a lot to do with it, especially with mark Ingram being banged up. So Lamar over seventy seven and a half, Derrick Henry over ninety four and a half. I like Tennessee plus two points. I like the over forty seven points as well. Greg, And

shout out to the Pick six podcast. I was sending to this on my way in today. Dean P's is a defensive coordinator of the Tennessee Titans. He was also the as a coordinator of the Ravens when they faced Greg Roman and the San Francisco Super Bowl forty Niners conference in the Super Bowl where he limited Colin Kaepernick and that you know, uh similar obviously not the same, Lamar Jackson is better. But their ability to run that readoption play with a Russian quarterback and they, you know,

dominated in that game. So I think that that is another feather in the calf for the Tennessee Titans in this game. Yeah, absolutely, I I think it's a really great point. It's a really great nugget. It's a coaching nugget, you know how. I'm into those. I am uh, and we'll see a j. Brown though it's twenty four and a half yards for as long as cash I don't hate his over three and a half receptions as well. Yeah, totally fair. Okay, should we move on? We're all good here,

all right, let's do it. The early game on Sunday features the Kanda City Chiefs hosting Houston Texas. We talked about how it's a really big spread for the Baltimore Ravens over the Titans, and we both one nine and a half. Those games also nine and a half, and yet it's what doesn't feel as big, No, it doesn't. Not all nine and a halfs are created equal in the NFL. I think the Chiefs are going to demolish this. I think they win this game by fourteen to seventeen points.

I like laying the points with the Kansas City Chiefs. They lost this game earlier in Arrowhead this season against the Houston Texas. They lost thirty one to twenty four. Last week watching that game, Yes, Deshaun Watson led this team back against a good Buffalo Bill's defense. They almost want in spite of Bill O'Brien. It's just what were they doing in the first half. The game plan seemed terrible,

the offensive line was not good. Now you're going up against the Kansas City Chiefs defense that is clicking at the right time. Steve Spagnolo has done a great job with his Chief's defense all year. Their secondary has been a strength all season long. For this Kansas City Chiefs defense, I think the only way that Houston's gonna hang around in this game is if they can run, and that's

not really a strength of their team. Yes, DeShawn Watson can make plays himself rushing, but they don't want to rely on Carlos Hide, they don't want to rely on Duke Johnson all because of that. Again, I don't think I think Bill O'Brien is not a great coach. I think that again they want in spite of him. Understatement against the Buffalo Bills, I think you know and you read off the buy and you read again. Back to my nuggets here from Gabe four and one against the

spread in the divisional round in his career. Uh. I think the Chiefs win this game. I think they win handily. With all that being said, Greg, I kind of like the under in this game. I think it's too many points. I think the fifty one is high. I think we get a thirty one seventeen that gets you around forty eight or fourteen type seventeen. Uh And I know a lot of you know sharp betters are on the under

this week. I think that the Chiefs win this one handily, but I think it goes under the number as well. Give me the KNC City Chiefs. I like the Chiefs in the under two man the Chiefs. Stefens has played a whole lot better in the second half of the year. Steve Stagnol has his play team playing really really good football at the moment. And if he's down sixteen nothing at halftime away from Houston, I don't think they get back into it. And I don't think the Kansas. The

Chiefs will not let up like the Buffalo Bills. They will just they will put the gas and they will just keep pounding. They will just keep chucking it deep to Tyreek Hill. I expect the big Tyree Hill game. Uh. Here for two touchdowns in the first meeting they had earlier this year went for five E D and two. I believe him and Kelsey had good games the first time they played this year. Um and I believe, Frank,

and I could be wrong. That game that you mentioned against the Texans, the first tyre killing game, it was that his first game back from injury. I can look that up for you. I was just pulling up the game lock to see if Travis Kelsey had a big game as well. Uh so that game against the Houston Texans was his first game back, right, He went five for eight and two on tent. He popped two huge ones in that game. And I remember we took him in a pool and Kelsey only four for fifty eight

in that game. It's alright, so that's not a Travis Kelsey game of terrible. It's not. It's not he adin't go nuts by any means. But Tyree Hill, it's that's hilarious. I just had a really big game out of seventy four and a half yards a lot. Though it's a bet on. I don't think I could do that, probably for Tyree Hill. I mean you could do that in two receptions. I understand that, but like also not the total reception and alf I like the over yards more

than I do the over receptions. Tyree Hill is not a big recept Probably love what Damian Williams over eleven and a half rush attempts. I'll give you one better than that. I like that one a lot. To Damie Williams over twenty three and a half receiving yards linus one thirty. You gotta lace m. What's the Texans got beat by receiving running backs all season? Whatever? I do? You know what? I don't have it in front of me. What the total yard and Damilliams is here? I got

it seven seventy nine and a half. I like that too. I like him. Like you're talking about value versus what they can do from a DFS perspective this weekend, I think Damian Williams offers the most value and total based on his question per dollar this weekend going up again. I told him didn't single Terry just did when we did the FanDuel Show yesterday. The Hurry Up Jamie wa is my favorite DFS play on the slate in total? What do you think of this Casey Houston, Gamie Way.

I think that Kansas City UH is going to smash him. I mean, I believe that the Buffalo Bills got beat by themselves. Um, there are several times where they could have put the game away. Um, really erratic play from Alan. You know what, one down he could be dropping back and and and throw a pass or Ronnie like, oh, this guy is gonna be such a huge star in the NFL. And then the next down he drops back and literally throws it to the other team, or the

crazy like throw when luckily went out of bound. But um, yeah, I think Houston is gonna get worked over by Kansas City. Kansas City offensively is absolutely terrifying. I would rather play Lamar Jackson than Patrick Mahomes. So that's obviously the question. You want to face Lamar Jackson. Do you want to face Patrick Homes? Do you want to play Lamar Jackson? Do you want to play pack? Your Titans might have to face both of them. That's true. In the FS,

you to choose one quarterback. This week's choosing Lamar, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson. I don't know that Patrick Mahomes will have to do as much. I think he can have a very good game to seventy five and two touchdowns. I think Damian Williams has a big game as well, But I think Lamar Jackson will be relied on to do more for his respective team. Especially from a rushing perspective. Speaking of rushing, one more prop for you, Greg, Deshaun Watson over thirty one and a half rushing yards. I

love the over for most of the rushing quarterbacks. I'm not going to touch Holmes in this game, but I think the Texans playing from behind, DeShawn Watson again gonna have to make plays like he did last week where he rushed for fifty five yards. In that earlier meeting against the Kansas City Chiefs, he ran ten times for forty two yards and two rushing touchdowns in that game. Give me the over thirty one and a half rushing for Deshaun Watson. Do you think we see will Fuller

in this game? I think he will play. Uh in terms of how much will he be on the field, do you get a full compliment? I don't think anybody knows that I wouldn't touch him from a DF We talk a lot about it last week. This Houston team is a very very different team and will Faci they need him on the field. We'll see if that happens when we come back. We're in a preview the Seahawks and Green Baby closest game we expect we'll see we'll

break it down. Next. NFL season is now upon us, so you can becoming the eighth person away in one million dollars in a Fandel Draft Kings tournament. My settinger lineups using the Daily Order dot Com DFS line of optimizer. If you're playing Dailey Fantasy Sports and not using Daily Order dot Com, you're doing it wrong. Sign up now for the NFL Access with a faster optimizer, smarter DFS projections, and better results. Enter promo code action for a ten

percent discount. And that's promo code Action for a ten percent discount. Daily Order dot Com where millionaires are made. Okay, back here on the BFFs, we got about fifteen minutes left to go with E Y Frank and I will take you to the top weed your talk. Those us year watching us live on the Sports Creed Network all the grid. What are you waiting for? One more game to get to you? And it's the Green Bay Packers and the Seattle Seahawks. This is the smallest spread on

the on the card this weekend indivisional playoff play. It is four and a half. The Seahawks are dogs in green Bay. The total sits at forty six and a half. All of this according to the FanDuel Sports Book. Now this whole narrative rank, I get it. Nobody thinks green Bay is good. They think that. They don't think they watched these games. They get by the bed skin of their teeth. Seattle coming off a good victory over Philly, despite Philly being without their quarterback in Carson Wentz, Josh

McCown playing, it was an okay victory. It was a victory. Josh McCown playing with a torn hamstring the entire game. I really want to see Greg Ward with the quarterback. It would have been amazing. Um. But Seattle goes to Green Bay, a place they have one before. They have beaten green Bay. In Green Bay, Russell Wilson has gotten the job done. I think it's a really good matchup for Seattle. I think it's a style that they can

win against. But Brian Schottenheimer and we say this every week, has to put the ball in the hands of Russell Wilson to do it. We know how good the green that Hacker's defense can be. Russell Wilson needs the ball, not aending this stupid conservative crap. The Schottenheimer likes to play in order to be successful. Do you think that will happen? Well, let's go back to what they did

last week. They threw the ball thirty times and Russell Wilson ends up going for three five yards ten point eight yards per attempt throws for a touchdown as well, So they let him throw the ball a little bit. In this game, the running backs combined for just seventeen carries versus thirty passing attempts for Russell Wilson. Nine rushing attempts for Russell Wilson, So they did give him a little bit more freedom than we have seen the past

couple of years under Brian Schottenheimer. Here with Russell Wilson. The difference for me is the green Bay Packers have been really good at home this year, as you know this, Seattle Seahawks have been great on the road to I mean this, these are two immovable forces here, uh the Seattle Seahawks seven and one on the road straight up, green Bay Packers seven and one at home straight up this year. But I think green Bay their style in terms of their secondary, I think they have a solid secondary.

They have a really good pass rush with the two Smiths there Zadarius Smith and Preston Smith getting after the quarterback, and that has been a problem for the Seahawks all season long. Their offensive line has been beat up. It's not great to begin with, and once again this year, Russell Wilson was one of the most pressure quarterbacks all season long. So I think green Bay will have some success in that regard. The way to beat green Bay is by running the football. Now, are Travis Homer and

Marshawn Lynch going to be able to do that? You know? Are the green Bay Packer is going to be scared of Marshawn Lynch and Travis Hommer running all over them. I think that the answer is note to that. And I think that the way green Bay played uh down the stretch as well with Aaron Jones on the back of Aaron Jones and Aaron Rodgers has proved he could still make all the plays when he needs to. But this is a different green Bay Packers team. Greg This

reminds me a lot of the New Orleans Saints. Over the past couple of years. As the Saints defense has gotten better, they have asked Drew Brees to do less and less. That is the same thing with Aaron Rodgers. Just because he is doing less doesn't mean that he can't still make the plays. He can make the plays. They're just not asking the duty. He's thirty five years old.

Why would they. They have a great running back in Aaron Jones, and the Seattle Seahawks defense is not very good there twenty six and run defense div a way. I think the Green Bay Packers win this game by six to ten points. I don't like it. The spread is in a no man's land. It's four and a half points in this game. But I do like Aaron Jones in this spot. I think Aaron Rodgers will make plays when he needs to. I think Devanta Adams can

dominate the secondary of the Seattle Seahawks. Uh. And I think it's going to be just a little bit too much for Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks team. Give me the Green Bay Packers um laying the points and the most confident total that I am in. Total play that I'm in uh this entire weekend is the under in this game between the Packers and the Seattle Seahawks. Now, as I mentioned Eric, they everybody believes seemingly I'm gonna

rebut you in a moment. But everybody seemingly thinks that Green May stinks and they wanted to say the same thing about Seattle too though all season long, that's been a storyline that Seattle is not good. Their defense is good, but they do just enough because Russell Wilson at the end of the games can win them games. He said

it against a friend one of these you talked. You talked about how they're gonna rely on Aaron Jones and they just like New Orleans and Drew Brees, they hand the ball off more every doing it all season and for fantasy owners is very very clear it's Aaron the Aaron Jones show, not the Aaron Rodgers show. Unless they get into desperation. They maybe they make it desperate, and I don't think it's what they want to do. Get do it. In a second, Eric, what do you think

about this game? I got a real sneaky feeling about Seattle. Um. I think when the chips are down, and like, I mean what you just said, it is both people have thought that neither of these teams are good. Um, But for the reality is is Russell Wilson is the guy this year that I believe in more than Aaron Jones. I think, uh, mechanically and skills wise, Aaron or Um, Aaron Rodgers is still one of, if not the best

technical quarterback in the league. Huh, but when he's needed to do it, he really hasn't been able to do it this year. Russell Wilson is the guy that, like, when something happened needs to happen, he wills it to happen. DK Metcalf is terrifying, Tyler Lackett is having a very good year. Um, and I just want to see Marshawn Lynch. I mean, I know that's crazy, but it's such a cool story. Uh. He's one of my favorite players of

all time. And I just believe that neither team has been great, neither defense is great, and they're going to need to play one way or the other at the end of the game, and Russell Wilson is going to make it and Aaron Rodgers is not. I agree, very young in this regard that Aaron Rodgers all season long has not been able to make super underwhelming. Yeah, it's a really good word for it, underwhelming. He hasn't been able to make the biggest place right trust, without question,

Russell Wilson in this spot more than a Rodger. And that's why when I pleaded the game, where I kind of got up to the preview rankie. If Ryan SHAWNA. Himer puts the ball in Russell Wilson's hands, he's going to make magic. And we didn't think necessarily that he'd be able to do that this year, or that he would do that more. Shawn Lynch and Travis Homer, Yeah, they might get you down there. I don't want the

ball in Russell Wilson's hands. And I know how good that secondary has been for green Bay, and I know how open down Tyler Lockett DK Metcalf have been. But give me the team with the better quarterback, that is Russell Wilson. Give me the team that I think, in all honesty, they could be. Then they could have been a team with a bye bye. They could have been playing at home this week. It fell short on the goal line when all, when it was all said and done,

I think Seattle is better than green Bay. So maybe I'm buying into that narrative the green Bay stinks. I think Seattle is a better football team, and I think they win this team out right, Were you impressed by what Seattle did last week against the Philadelphia Eagles. I don't think you can I get that right, like I don't think you can make going into a Green Bay. It's not easy to play in Philly either, but I think going into Green Bay is even harder, especially considering

the weather persons as well. Russell Wilson has never won in his career in Lambeau. He's owing three in his career Lambeau. Russell Wilson has faced off against Aaron Rodgers seven times. Russell Wilson is four and oh at home, and he is oh and three in Lambeau. So give me the edge of the home team here. It's different playing in Lambeau. I I believe it's a field advantage men. Russell Wilson, You're right, Russell Wilson's better than Aaron Rodgers

at this point. There's no way I'm gonna dispute that. I think Aaron Jones is head and shoulders better than what they're going to get from the Seattle backfield in this game, especially if Ryan Schottenheimer tries to go back to running the football in this game, because based on the matchup, he actually should because the way to beat the Packers is on the ground. It has been all season long. They allow four point eight six yards per

carry to opposing running backs. So if you want to look at some Marshall Lynch props in this game from Travis Homer props, I can't blame you for that. From a DFS perspective, they're obviously much cheaper than the other running backs on the slate. But Aaron Jones, his head and shoulders, I think the combination of Aaron Jones is that much better than Seattle Seahawks backfield. I don't think that disparity is as big between Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers.

I guess. I sure, I think that's fair. When the game is on the line, can Aaron Rodgers make the play? I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. Especially against Seattle, they have no pass for us whatsoever. Cowny another week. He Conny was there all year. They were amongst them. He was injured a lot of the second half of the year, but I mean he was there for the first half of the years. Well, even the

first half of the year. The Seahawks were amongst the lowest in the league, and pressures per game, so they didn't get pressure all year long. And you're asking one for the Seahawks left tackle. That's yeah, But how healthy is he? He he just had knee surgery, like what a month ago. I don't think he's gonna be on again. And you're talking about the Packers, who have one of the best pass rushing duos in the league right now.

I think it's close. I don't know. I'm not gonna I'm not gonna kill you for taking the Seahawks again because I was on the Seahawks last week. This is a week two week thing when it kind of NFL playoffs. I was on Russell Wilson last week, and you know, if Carson Wentz plays that game, we're likely looking at a different game because Josh McCown almost led this team back. He had that game to score a game time touchdown and go for the two point conversion to tie that game.

So again, I wasn't impressed by what I saw the Seattle. They did enough, they won the game, they covered the spread, they did what they had to do. I think going into Lambeau, the weather is going to be super cold there. It's like twenty degrees in Green Bay, this weekend as well. This is obviously the closest game to figure out. It's the lowest spread of the weekend. I think Green Bay gets it done. I like them to lay the points. I like the under in this game as what. I

haven't really dove into the props extensively in this game. Um, but I think looking at Aaron Jones against the Seattle Seahawks in this game, and imagine Aaron Jones Russia Temps Vandal doesn't have player pops up for this game. Oh okay, I'm looking at I'm on the popular tab right now, seven and a half. I love that attempts fourteen carries, especially if so when you're deciding what player props to do.

This is what's always going through my mind because I actually like player props more than betting the sides and the totals in these games, just from I think a fantasy perspective, fantasy background, we know more about specific we're really interesting. E y he's currently read tweeting videos Eddie Jordan, oh Man, we gotta get anyway involved in this game. Uh. When you're trying to figure out player props, to me, you have to figure out what the game flow is

going to be. And I think for most of this game, Green Bay is playing from ahead, and because of that, I like Aaron Rodgers props in this game. I think for most of this game they were playing with like a seven to ten point lead. Maybe it gets closer later on in the game, but I like Green Baby playing with a positive game script here, and that will lean to more rushing attempts and rushing yard for Aaron Jones.

So I agree with you on that regard, Greg, Yeah, so Aaron Jones certainly somebody with those uh those Russia tamis for sure. Like it's interesting for me how you described your player prop strategy right, because other people that bet the sides and the props kind of the opposite where it's like, all right, so unless they're hedging right in a way hedging exactly, Well, why don't you just try to hit everything right? Then you could lose everything.

You should have confidence in, you know, handicapping games and and trying to I kind of have more confidence like knowing the players, like you, we know the players exactly, but I think you want to know the players and also have that play into how you think the game is going to ultimately play out with the game. Plow is going to be so um, you know you're not gonna bet a ton of passing attempts or passing yards from a quarterback if you think they're playing with the lead.

It just doesn't get it. So correlate your props with how you think the game's gonna So the reason I'm making these picks, Frankie, it's because I felt like the NFC in the a f C, we were bound for two matchups in the a f C Casey in Baltimore on this collision course. If it doesn't work out like that, I'm sorry, Eric, it doesn't work out like that like that kind of sucks. Those two teams should be playing

each other. In my opinion in the NFC, I want to see Seattle as a Francisco one more time, Like that's the matchup. I want to say that would be awesome, but I think most people had the Saints in their Super Bowls, so it doesn't matter. Now it's not possible ideal. What do people want for? Like before the playoffs started, what did people want as the NFC playoff matchup? And do you think that's what they wanted? Was the Seahawks and the that's what they wanted, because that was an

awesome game too in the dome. He doesn't game when you feel at the end. Um So I think now I want the storyline. I want the rubber match Seattle and San Francisco. Well, you can't bet on what you want, Greg, you got a bet on what number tad. I certainly can bet on what I want. That's literally what betting is. Probably not going to be what you want. Of course you do. You bet on what the numbers tell you to bet on. You can. You can make the numbers whatever you want. You can see I could give you

a try. It's for days and we can kind of spin them with you know what you want to follow me? This is what I think of your tries. Let me see this all right? No, no, no, come on, you can't rip this up, Craig, don't rip up my trends. Don't rip up my trends. This is really trend You didn't have to come to my side to read it. Well, that's what I think. We don't want to get e Y back involved. That was Greg Susman's heel turn. There you go long live? Can I believe it was a

face turn? There? You go Derrick Henery, Tennessee Titans. Ey, good luck this week, buddy. We'll talk to you next week. He's not even listening. He's too excited. All right, we'll be back with the final three minutes right after. This NFL season is now upon us and you can become the eighth person awayen one million dollars in a Fandel Draft Kings tournament my sator lineups using the Daily Order

dot Com DFS lot of optimizer. If you were playing Daily Fantasy Sports and not using Daily Order dot Com, you're doing it all. Sign him now for the NFL Access with a faster optimizer, smarter DFS projections, and better results into promo code action for at ten percent discount. Is that's promo Code Action first ten per cent discount Taylor Order dot Com where millionaires are made. So everybody knows it's me. What a movie? Huh um? Oh my god? Oh yeah, oh what a movie? I don't even know

what movie. It's from Frank French Jr. And what's her name. It's not it's the it's not Summer Catch It's not. Oh I got yes, thank you, I just looked it up. I googled it. Thank you. Danny, that was it. She's all that one a movie any bogs. So the don my father during the before we do this, during the break, uh, Frank was on his hands and knees trying to put his pieces back together. Put the puzzle, We'll try. I'm gonna try my best. I'm gonna try and take this.

He picks up all the together and trying to put it back together. So my dad is thoroughly watching the show here, Greg, because he is part of a confidence pool. Yes, he's enjoying it. He needs help with his picks this week. Like the rip, he has the numbers he has left. Are you ready for this? One? Three, five, seven, nine, ten, eleven, one, three, five, the remaining playoffs. Basically, he has all the odd lumbers

numbers left except for ten. Yes that nine have nine nine, three, five, seven, nine, ten, eleven. He's all even numbers. Week What is your what is your most confident pick this weekend? Is it with the spread? It's with the spread with spread, so you have to and obviously the strategy involved because you don't know what the spread is gonna be in the next round, and it just is it totals or is it just just just spread sides. Would you use your eleven this week?

Is there anything you feel bad strongly about? He wants to, He wants, he wants to say the case Casey put the eleven on case? My two favors of case I feel most confident matters or Casey is fan Francisco. Would you used the eleven now? Probably not? Maybe used nine in tent on it. I probably used nine tent on it. Yeah, I would do that agree. He also had this to say, speaking of it's a big jeopardy week? What are the other two? You're human number? Oh? There you go? Would

you would you go seven on? What? Would you go seven? On? Tennessee? Now I go five? So we have won three, seven and eleven left for green Bay. He is a Packers fan. Is that my factor into the three? I guess take the three on green Bay? His jeopardy question is who dresses and looks older than they are? Who is break sauce? Division of Laylve week? Is here? What the coverage? All we get along on the Sports Good Network? Wage your dog is next? Thanks to Danny Chris downstairs, Frank Stampe,

I'm Gregg Sousman. We'll do it all. Get on Monday, we will sports grid dot com betting insights and entertainment at your fingertips, real time odds, predictive betting models, expert picks, and more. Get on the grid sports grid dot com

Transcript source: Provided by creator in RSS feed: download file
For the best experience, listen in Metacast app for iOS or Android