Amazon announced today it will be cutting 14,000 corporate jobs, though leaker reports say the real number will be roughly 30,000 over time. The company itself says it needs to be more nimble to leverage AI technology when the timing and the target instead shows macroeconomic headwinds are behind the move. There is a reason why consumers believe the US economy is in recession right now. While layoffs like Amazon’s remain relatively scarce, unemployment is piling up all over the place and so does...
Oct 29, 2025•21 min•Ep. 1223
Another day, another significant borrowing from the Federal Reserve’s repo facility. This has become a regular occurrence and concurrent with a rise in money market rates due to the cash squeeze I told you about yesterday, there’s a lot of similarities to 2019 and it’s got the Fed on track to not just cut rates this week also possibly terminate the balance sheet runoff – even if Steve doesn’t quite agree. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ----------------------------------------...
Oct 28, 2025•19 min•Ep. 1222
The ongoing cash squeeze in money markets is very likely to bring an end to the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet runoff, known as QT. When the FOMC meets this coming week, officials are almost certainly going to cut rates given the perilous situation in labor. But with financial firms still using the Fed’s repo facility and especially as benchmark money rates stay elevated, the second item on the list of decisions is going to be ending QT. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis In a w...
Oct 27, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1221
The dollar is making another big move higher to the point it is causing governments and central banks around the world to respond and even intervene to keep their own currencies from crashing against it. Fears over the global economic downturn are driving monetary tightness and demand for safety at the expense of those at the forefront of the broad decline. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------...
Oct 26, 2025•18 min•Ep. 1220
We have a couple more names to add to our fast-growing list of shadow banking casualties. And, yes, collateral is once again the common theme. One of them is of course in subprime auto financing, but that’s just another canary in the credit coalmine. The other has been accused of fabricating half a billion of collateral invoices. Half a billion. Fake collateral. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------...
Oct 24, 2025•22 min•Ep. 1219
After a truly epic run, precious metals are now getting pounded. Both gold and silver are down the past few days for a couple of reasons, not that this is a surprise. In fact, I told you just six days ago this was the most likely short run path for the metals. So, what’s driving the selloff and does it change the long run outlook for either? Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------...
Oct 23, 2025•22 min•Ep. 1218
There was action yet again at the Fed’s repo window today. A few more billion borrowed. But that’s now the fourth time over the last five trading days. These are more signs of tightening monetary conditions and if this does continue it will lead to the next QE from the Fed. The word that keeps coming up the past few months is escalation. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis https://eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Oct 22, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1217
Why is copper-to-gold so ugly and thoroughly deflationary? What's happening right now inside China is one key part of it. After a small artificial rebound earlier this - where have we heard that before - Chinese bank lending has fallen even more sharply this summer adding yet another layer to the tremendous deceleration we keep seeing across China this summer. Retail sales fell yet again and investment is crashing. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis In a world where markets swing...
Oct 21, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1216
Even I am surprised at how quickly this has escalated. We got a big-time warning from the oil market earlier in the week. Whenever we see these things show up, usually there’s a little back and forth, in and out, the thing starts out as a little blip and stays that way for awhile. Then, maybe, you get a bigger move much later on. Not this time. The oil curve blew way past all of that in just a few days. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ------------------------------------------...
Oct 20, 2025•21 min•Ep. 1215
Two US regional banks rocked the markets with more potential loan losses tied to private credit and shadow banks. But it is NOT really about them or the scale of those defaults; they are relatively tiny. It's what continues to be uncovered, the common COLLATERAL thread in every single one so far. Combined with a very precarious macroeconomic and monetary background, it's explosive. They are encompassed by the secrets behind the financial and monetary signals we continue to highlight and expose h...
Oct 19, 2025•32 min•Ep. 1214
Silver has gone absolutely vertical, even more than gold has. There is an historic squeeze going on in the silver market, centered in London. It started out driven by gold but the whole thing has been upended by imbalances in supply and the locations from where demand is coming from. How far can silver go? What’s really going on with it? And what should we expect next? Why does the matter for a whole lot more than the precious metals market? Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ---...
Oct 17, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1213
With one quote, JP Morgan’s CEO Jamie Dimon created a mini-firestorm even if in this case, anyway, he was just saying what everyone is thinking. On JPMs earnings call yesterday, Dimon reportedly said, “I probably shouldn’t say this but when you see one cockroach there are probably more” in relation to the bankruptcies that have popped up recently. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------...
Oct 16, 2025•19 min•Ep. 1212
A big signal we - and the whole market - have been waiting for was triggered. Better still, there is no ambiguity with this one. The oil curve has flipped for the first time in years in what is a very clear downturn signal. They call it a supply glut when there is no mistaking it's all about demand.
Oct 15, 2025•19 min•Ep. 1211
It’s not just the $2.3 billion that allegedly simply vanished; it’s how and maybe most important of all, why. Second guessing collateral this way does not end well. Especially since this does not appear to be a one-off case of embezzlement and outright theft, rather a relatively large company which made some bad choices pressured into doing so by the economy and given the opportunity by less than ideal protections and security. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis -----------------...
Oct 14, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1210
Crytpo saw its biggest liquidations in history Friday when Trade Wars 2.2 flared up. Commodities were also pounded, bonds bigtime bid, even stocks sent significantly lower. Tariffs aren't really the issue here, either, as a confluence of negatives have been sapping sentiment for the past few weeks. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Ec...
Oct 13, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1209
The growing macro bust in housing has become serious enough even the Fed is letting the public know officials are talking about it. I keep telling you that when central bankers see it too, you know it isn’t good. The Federal Reserve’s policymaking body, the FOMC, released the minutes of its meeting last month, the one where policymakers decided to dip back into the Pringles can with a single twenty five-bp rate cut. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis This is all exactly why Eurod...
Oct 12, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1208
Germany’s auto production absolutely crashed, falling by almost 20% in just a single month. This becomes the latest stark warning about the direction of the global economy coming from the car business. And that report on production was corroborated by Mercedes, BMW, Porsche, Ferrari, all of them reporting results and forecasts this week that have sent their stocks plunging. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ------------------------------------------------------------------------...
Oct 10, 2025•21 min•Ep. 1207
Another major central bank panicked today into a 50 bps rate cut, just as markets have been predicting. Not only that, officials at that bank said they’re ready for more as ultra-low rates are back within reach already. The Pringles can is far from empty even though central banks around the world would like you to believe they are in a good place. On the contrary, rate cuts really are like pringles – once central bankers start they’re finding everywhere they can’t stop. Eurodollar University's M...
Oct 09, 2025•21 min•Ep. 1206
Repo fails have jumped to more than $320 billion as of the final full week in September, the highest since the very start of January. More importantly, the timing. While there are technical reasons for rising fails, they have been increasing since the first week in August, right when the July payroll report came out. There’s also been substantial selling of foreign reserve assets, an enormous amount which likewise is timed to the release of payroll estimates. Eurodollar University's Money & ...
Oct 08, 2025•21 min•Ep. 1205
OPEC this past weekend agreed to raise production into a falling market, putting it on the edge of confirming a major worldwide downturn. This is why, despite the crude cartel not increasing supply as much as feared, oil prices didn’t really react. There are far greater problems plaguing the energy markets, including tightening dollar conditions which go right along with this major market warning. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ------------------------------------------------...
Oct 07, 2025•22 min•Ep. 1204
These recent bankruptcies have garnered close attention from the marketplace because they represent the very real possibility serious cracks have already weakened credit markets...to the point even the stock market (part of it, anyway) is taking a hard look. Ally, Bread Financial, Affirm, even Capital One, they've all see their stocks plummet. There's more here than it seems because of all the noise about share indexes and their own record highs. Everyone has ignored job losses, until now that i...
Oct 06, 2025•21 min•Ep. 1203
Like Amazon, now Walmart and Target are holding similar “fall” savings events promising to offer big savings. All three of them know the consumer economy is in deep trouble, thus the overemphasis on savings. But it’s not just what these retailers are doing for customers, it’s what they aren’t doing for workers. According to a range of sources, including the retailers themselves, they are not hiring. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis For more information on 21shares and to sign u...
Oct 05, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1202
Money from around the world continues to pour into Swiss bond markets, driving yields there down below zero and keeping them that way. Because Switzerland remains a key global money center in the eurodollar world, this kind of heightened demand for safety is directly related to rising worries about the rest of the world. Moreover, the Swiss curve is an indication of what we should expect from global rates moving forward. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ------------------------...
Oct 03, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1201
This week has seen one oil company after another announce major layoffs. The oil curve is within sight of flipping and wholesale gasoline prices are only a penny above their lowest since 2021. Why? The answer was all over ADP's private payroll report for September. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQ Subscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21shares Follow @21Shares o...
Oct 02, 2025•22 min•Ep. 1200
The latest report on jobs changes everything. The hiring rate in August dropped to its lowest level since April of 2020. April 2020. It’s another clear sign that the labor market is visiting Dr. Beveridge and right in time for Amazon Prime Days which begin a week from now. Consumer confidence fell sharply here for September in even more new data, with workers reporting they also feel job availability is at a multi-year low, so it’s not just in the high level data, this thing is also making waves...
Oct 01, 2025•20 min•Ep. 1199
What is going on in the auto world? First, Tricolor goes bankrupt. Then parts supplier First Brands follows them. CarMax reports dismal earnings. Even Germany's Bosch decided to lay off another 13,000 workers. It's not just a canary in the coal mine, there's a whole flock - or fleet - of them. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- What if your gold could actually pay...
Sep 30, 2025•21 min•Ep. 1198
Companies are throwing trillions of dollars chasing the latest fad at the worst possible time. Even hedge fund insiders are sounding alarms over the collision between macro reverse and bubble building mania. Bigger than the dot-coms. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre ---------------------------------------------------------------- Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates: https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home --------------------------------...
Sep 29, 2025•21 min•Ep. 1197
For more information on 21shares and to sign up for their newsletter, visit https://bit.ly/3JTI4GQ Subscribe @21Shares on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@21shares Follow @21Shares on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/21shares_/ Follow @21Shares on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/21shares-us/ Follow @21Shares on X: https://x.com/21Shares_US ---------------------------------------------------------------- Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates: https://we...
Sep 28, 2025•22 min•Ep. 1196
The dollar is starting to move more aggressively, driving higher and crossing key thresholds in a whole host of currency exchanges. Not only that, this current “strengthening” is highly synchronized. Both of those factors, the synchronization and breaching multiple ranges, are beginning to more strongly point to the next stage in this ongoing cycle. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------...
Sep 26, 2025•21 min•Ep. 1195
There are growing concerns - and a growing pile of evidence and reports - indicating the *shadow* banking system is suppressing potential losses for no legitimate reason. Here we examine where they are coming from and what the latest data shows. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis ---------------------------------------------------------------- Sign up for our webinar on the Hidden Truth Behind Interest Rates: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/30/vpxv1tvg ---------------------...
Sep 25, 2025•22 min•Ep. 1194
