SpaceX is preparing for one of the most intense flights of human spaceflight. Ever down at Starbase Texas SpaceX has a fully stacked Starship. Booster 7 and ship 24 on the Launchpad and they're shaping up to do a wet dress rehearsal sometime in the near future. So they do the ground systems, they elope propellant into the
thing. They check all the pipes, they check all the cables, check all the electronics, check, all the systems in between the ground and the Rocket and also the communication systems, all of that gets checked during this wet dress rehearsal. And there's another thing that's really close by to the fully stack, Starship. Ship 25 is on ped, be right now, right? Next to the fully stacked Starship, ship 25. It's odd pad B. It's really close.
And if they do a wet dress rehearsal, and if something were to happen to the booster or to ship 24, ship, 25 could be in danger. So are they going to be moving ship 25 possibly back to the Bay at some point tomorrow?
So road closures happen at Starbase when they're going to do some sort of testing or moving something from one site to the next say it's about a mile and a half distance between the production site in the launch site so you get there in a couple minutes but if you're 150-foot tall rocket like ship 25, it's going to take a little while.
So on Monday, January twenty third, twenty twenty-three. 3 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. there's a road closure and on Tuesday, January 24th and 2023. There's another route closure schedule. So something may be happening and one of those things could be a wet dress rehearsal of the rocket. It also, there could be the movement of ship 25 before the wet dress rehearsal starts. So the main move ship 25 out of that pad off.
Head be it back to the bay and they removed it from the bay because they needed to put another Starship in the In the bay to dismantle it. So ship 25. It has the Raptor engines on it, it's pretty close to a static fire, it has to do some testing for cryogenic testing, and pressure, testing and things like that. In order for it to do a static fire, the, the the fact that it's so close to this ship to this fully stacked, start ship, that's ready for a wet dress rehearsal.
It's dangerous. So I believe they're going to be moving ship, 25 away from there and then they're going to be moving towards The full wet dress, rehearsal of a fully stacked. Starship, has it been done with this one yet in? This is crazy. Cool. Crazy, crazy, cool. Because this shows that SpaceX is almost ready for the flight of ship 24. And booster 7. Now, what do they have to do for this wet dresser?
So, basically, everything except for launch the vehicle, they have to put propellant in it. If the test the ground systems and all the ground systems means every line that fuel The booster in the ship and also the towers are going to be testing the tower as well. All the tanking all the D tanking, they're testing all of that before the actual launch. So, what's going to happen? After the wet dress rehearsal, we're going to kind of jump around here a little bit.
They're going to be moving ship, 24 off the top of booster 7.
And if anything were to happen during this wet dress rehearsal, they're going to have to move either the ship or the booster back to one of those Bay's in. In order to fix it, you know, during the wet dress, rehearsal of the SLS, we've seen it numerous times, they had to move the ship from the launch site, back to the high Bay, you know, there are there thousand breaking points between the ground area, the ground systems in the ship, and I'm just going to be realistic with you here.
Because I love the idea that this goes perfect, the first time and I, we have to think logically here. There are so many Failure points in between the ground systems in the ship. They're continuing testing shows that this is almost ready to launch, right? And if anything goes wrong with the booster, anything goes wrong with a ship, they have to dismantle it. And they have to take the booster or the ship back to the bay and say is this worth fixing or should we move on to another
booster and to another ship your ship. 25 is right there. You know, and the next boosters ready, it's all All ready to go. I mean they have the the Raptor twos on the booster right now and if something were to happen it it's like we can't really do anything with this booster anymore. We realized this isn't going to be the one they can stand down. They don't have to launch this. There's no there's no law saying
SpaceX has to launch. This booster, they could even though we don't want it to, they could take this booster and move it back to the bay and say, hey yeah, this is a catastrophic failure. We have to move on from this. But if everything goes well, think about that, if everything goes, well SpaceX will soon be launching the Starship for the
first orbital flight test. They have to remove the ship ship 24 before they do that and they're going to do a static fire of the booster now, there's other things in the path of the flight that may get in the way. And these are kind of speculation at this point, but I want to tell you about them because it's not happening for this flight. It may happen for flight to In that they're building a deluge
system down there. The Deluge system is basically sound suppression for the rocket because this is a, even though it's out the middle of nowhere, the booster is the most powerful rocket that's ever been built and the blast from this rocket could shatter Windows could hurt people. You know could hurt things, you know, material things Vehicles, Etc, miles and miles away. And the suppression system. The Deluge system could mitigate that to some point, right?
And they're moving these tanks from from Florida, over to Boca Chica right now. The Rada barge right now and the moving them over to Boca Chica where starbases and those tanks will be hopefully partially, possibly all of them could be for a deluge system that shoots water under the booster.
As it ignites in all of the force, it's going down creates energy, which ripples the are basically and shoot sound everywhere, but the water shoots towards that sound all around it and kind of mitigates those those those vibrations basically. And also they have to think about the orbital launch Mount, it's going to vibrate like crazy in. This water is going to stop it
from vibrating. Because if they don't stop this thing from vibrating from those 33 engines, the something catastrophic could go wrong with the ground systems and if something goes wrong with the ground systems, that's hard to replace building a rocket. Even though it's one of the most incredible Feats that humans can do building a gigantic rocket. Like this is insanely difficult, the ground systems can't be replaced as quickly as a rocket. So think about that for a
second. Would they launch this rocket? Knowing that there could be some damage from these 33 boosters and set them back. Six months to repair this orbital launch Mount or would they just bring in some water? I mean, what's the logical? What's the logical explanation
in your head where they just go? Okay, let's just whatever this fly it or would they go, you know, this is a really important Mission because in a couple of years NASA is going to depend on this rocket and they're going to depend on this system, including the orbital launch Mountain at all. The electronics, all the pipes, everything on the ground, that's built to blast this rocket into orbit.
And to the Moon, NASA and people are depending on this to work perfectly every single time and of Space X were to get this Deluge system in place. In the next few weeks, they could possibly test it a few times before.
Or what edelen says late, February, sometime in March, for the launch of the Starship. So there is a silver lining here, you know, even though it may stop the launch from happening in the meantime, you know, in the time that we're here right now, for the next few weeks, we do want to see a launch, of course, like as soon as possible, I think I'll be amazing, but also do it, right? You know, I don't think Elon is
ever done anything. That's sort of half-hearted, you know, like if you're going to do it, do it right? And In Shotwell is, in charge of this stuff now. So Gwynne Shotwell in charge of Starbase in charge of Starship. So there's no reason why they wouldn't. Just hold off a little bit and do it properly.
And here's one of the things that I want to show you as well, and for anybody that's listening right now, there's a TFR in place for January, 23rd in January 24th in the TFR is the really important part, because this is a no-fly zone no-fly zone around Starbase. So basically, anything up to 14,000 feet from the surface up to 14,000 feet and this means that they are thinking about things that could go wrong.
So if you load propellant into this gigantic rocket, the most Propel has ever been loaded into any rocket ever, basically, the biggest rocket ever needs the most fuel ever. And anything goes wrong. If there's any sort of ignition, that's not supposed to happen. They need to make sure that people are safe planes that are flying overhead or safe people,
you know, plays. It are flying near, it are safe because there's a there's a keep out Zone around it as well, not just up, so anything that's 30,000 feet up, you know, that's should be fine but, you know, low-flying aircraft up to 14,000 feet, you know, those those would be damaged. So anything around there is cut off from the rest of, you know, from from the whole area down there. So you can't fly. Over it.
So that was an important one in SpaceX just recently on Twitter, it was January 12th, I believe January 12. They said teams are stepping into a series of tests prior to Starships. First flight test in the weeks ahead including full stack, wet dress rehearsals and hold down firing of booster. Sevens 33 Raptors so they are ready for this in the weeks ahead full stack wet dress, rehearsals So this could be numerous wet dress rehearsals and hold down firing of booster 733 Raptor.
It could they be doing a few wet dress rehearsals just to make sure that everything is okay, series of tests prior to Starships, first flight, test in the weeks ahead. So they think SpaceX actually put this out on their Twitter test prior to start his first flight tests in the weeks ahead. Could they meet a few weeks or could they mean 8 to 12? 12. 16 20 weeks, that's weeks ahead.
Also, we got to remember, like, I was saying before, if there's a leak, if there's something that goes wrong during this wet dress rehearsal, something could stop them from doing this and they could take some time. They may even take a week maybe two weeks to fix a leak, and then they're going to have to do a whole series of tests again, to make sure that the leak is fixed. So they could do a small, small leak test. Instead of doing a full wet
dress rehearsal. Do Ending on where this leak is and I'm just being pragmatic here. You know, I'm not I'm not here to be at somebody's Downer or anything like that. I'm here to to, you know, bring you up to speed with what's going on down there. But also, we have to be very logical about this because this is rocket science. And this is very dangerous and this could have consequences that could last for years. So you have to think about those things.
If there's some sort of leak, if there's something, some Faulty. Something could be a pipe, could be a rivet, could be anything. It could be a wire could be electric. Could be anything SpaceX has to mitigate that for the launch.
They have to stop that in its, you know, in the place and they have to fix it wherever it is, if it's a ground system, they fix it on the ground, if it's in the rocket or the or the booster, they take it back to the bay and fix it, or they could possibly fix it there in the pad depending on how major or minor the the damages to the thing. So, there's a possibility. We could see this thing happen really fast. If everything goes well,
everything could go perfectly. Well, the first time around and nothing bad can happen in, they could just launch this thing in a few weeks, but I do believe it's going to take a little while. They see test in the weeks in the weeks ahead Fightin test prior to the Starships, first flight test in the weeks ahead. And that's kind of, I don't know if it's misleading, but I think it's optimistic, I really do
think it's optimistic. Adding full stack wet dress, rehearsals numerous wet dress rehearsals and hold down fighting over after 733 Raptor or booster sevens Raptor engines. So I believe they got to be moving the ship out of the way ship 25 and I believe when they do the full 33 engine static fire.
This got it. I think there's got to be a suppression system but please I hope they proved me wrong and I think the orbital launch Mount, if it can take, if it can, withstand the heat from those 33 Raptor engines and it doesn't melt things around the bottom of the, of the order lodgement.
It's not going to it's probably not going to melt the mount itself, but the things around it, there was exposed Electronics. No, there's there's welded pipes on there which bring, you know, coolant from one place to another place. But there's also wiring, which we all know wiring is, you know, it's just wires with wrapped in plastic or Rubber and that could possibly melt, in ruin the whole area wherever he gets melted. So sound suppression system.
The water Deluge system could that be in place within the next few days before the 33 Raptor engines, they could possibly wire it up. Up hook it up within the next week or two. If the barge gets over here in the next two days and if they do a wet dress rehearsal. So let's let's break it down like this. If they do a wet dress rehearsal on Monday or Tuesday, the not Marv was for Monday through Tuesday. So if they do that if they do the wet dress rehearsal Monday
they take that data. They crunch down the data for a few days. And during that time, a barge comes in with all these tanks with a deluge, they could possibly set up a You'd system, they may even have the pipes ready to go, because we've seen them do a small Deluge system underneath the rocket before, and it's basically like a little sprinkler system, but maybe they just didn't have the water pressure for a real big W system. Maybe they didn't have anything hooked up to it.
That could actually, you know, powerful enough to shoot the water to a big enough. Big enough area like a like a full 33 Raptor engine. Static fire. Could take. Hopefully SpaceX steps in and they do the right thing and they get some sort of sound suppression system, some sort of water Deluge system in there and they they protect themselves because they need to protect this orbital launch Mountain, they need to protect this rocket
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