Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast - podcast cover

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowleyblogs.fangraphs.com
Daily baseball statistical analysis and commentary
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Episodes

Effectively Wild Episode 1774: In Defense of FIP

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley recap the results of awards week, focusing on the controversy over Corbin Burnes ’s victory over Zack Wheeler in NL Cy Young voting, the inconsistency between the AL and NL Cy Young results, how voting patterns are evolving, whether anyone actually discounts the value of innings, FIP vs. ERA and a misconception about the suitability of FIP for retrospective evaluation, and the MVP victories of Shohei Ohtani and Bryce Harper . Then (43:24) they start their series of d...

Nov 20, 20211 hr 36 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1773: Hats Off

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the Astros re-signing Justin Verlander and MLB’s plan to house minor leaguers, then (19:53) bring on listener and top-tier Patreon supporter John Choe to discuss the single game he played in indy ball, the Moonlight Graham Society he co-founded to recognize minor league cups of coffee, how his love of baseball stats helped guide him to his current career, how he and his kids have spread the gospel of sabermetrics, his daughter’s on-field experience with ...

Nov 19, 20211 hr 39 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1772: Bananas in Pajamas

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about a flurry of signings and other transactions, including the Tigers signing Eduardo Rodriguez , the Angels signing Noah Syndergaard , the Blue Jays extending José Berríos , and the Mets (finally) hiring a GM, Billy Eppler, plus musings on the Tigers and Mariners “turning the corner,” followups on player rankings, unorthodox trades, and the worst way to end a series, and a real-time reaction to some Shohei Ohtani sponsorship news. Then (43:47) they talk to ...

Nov 17, 20211 hr 29 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1771: Take the Money and Pun

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the latest batch of silly Scott Boras quotes, featuring Meg’s real-time reactions to hearing them for the first time, a “fake quote or real quote?” quiz, and a discussion of the motivations behind the superagent’s annual stand-up routine, then discuss Boras’s comments about competitive integrity and try to identify the 13 (or more) teams that Boras says aren’t trying to win. Then (41:15) they examine the idea of an official MLB player ranking system, ans...

Nov 12, 20211 hr 48 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1770: Only the Finest Free Agents

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley announce new perks available to their Patreon supporters, then (12:03) bring on Ben Clemens , the lead author of FanGraphs’ top 50 free agents ranking, to discuss qualifying offers, early transactions, and Wade Miley and size up this offseason’s free agent class, focusing on the strong selection of shortstops and starters, the players Ben is higher or lower on than the consensus, the most obvious fits for players and teams, the potential of Seiya Suzuki, how the CBA ...

Nov 10, 20211 hr 20 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1769: The Lockout Lookout

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley talk to Evan Drellich , senior writer for The Athletic , about the state of labor negotiations between MLB and the MLBPA, the major issues separating the two sides, the odds of a work stoppage, how long a potential lockout could last, how the CBA talks may affect transaction activity, how previous rounds of bargaining led to this one, whether a salary cap and floor could work, transitioning from covering teams as a beat writer to covering the business of baseball, th...

Nov 09, 20211 hr 2 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1768: The Braves Blueprint

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Ben’s return from podcast paternity leave, the quality of the 2021 postseason, whether the Braves were underrated or simply overperformed, what teams might learn from and emulate about Atlanta’s success, postseason pitcher usage and game length, the career and retirement of Buster Posey , their upcoming discussion of TV drama Stove League , and more. Audio intro : Pavement, " Father to a Sister of Thought " Audio outro : Bill Withers, " Wintertime " Link...

Nov 05, 20211 hr 31 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1767: Goodbye World Series, Hello Winter Ball

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Eric Longenhagen discuss the conclusion of the World Series, including how Brian Snitker and Dusty Baker managed their depleted pitching staffs, the future of postseason pitching, Jorge Soler ’s pyrotechnics, when they realized Atlanta was going to win the Series, and what’s next for the Astros and the Braves. Then they turn their attention to winter ball, including the balance of talent between pitchers and hitters in the Arizona Fall League, the challenges the AFL ...

Nov 04, 20211 hr 9 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1766: Fingers in Several Rays Pies

Meg Rowley and erstwhile Effectively Wild co-host and current Tampa Bay Rays employee Jeff Sullivan discuss World Series game start times, how Jeff’s job has changed compared to the 2020 season, Wander Franco , the Rays’ uniforms, what it is like to root (and work) for a team in the playoffs, the Rays’ ALDS against Boston, our emotional experience of momentum, and what it’s like to prepare for an uncertain offseason. Audio intro : John Sebastian, “ Welcome Back ” Audio outro : Broken Bells, “ Oc...

Nov 03, 202156 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1765: Of Cinnabon and Shifts

Before Game 3 of the World Series, Meg Rowley and guest co-host Emma Baccellieri of Sports Illustrated discuss postseason travel for sportswriters, the forgotten virtues of suburban malls, Emma’s piece on how Atlanta shifted its stance on the shift midseason, and how the front office, Ron Washington , and the players came together to adopt the defensive strategy, as well as the length and pace of postseason games. Then at a listener’s suggestion, they draft replacement players for each World Ser...

Oct 29, 202143 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1764: Decrying the Sliderization of Baseball

In a crossover event Marvel would envy, Meg Rowley and guest co-host Michael Baumann of The Ringer discuss Games 1 and 2 of the World Series, what the loss of Charlie Morton means for Atlanta, the narrative role of the starter, how to navigate the moral conundrum that is fandom, the ever-growing length of postseason games, the conveyor-belt nature of Houston’s offense, Luis Garcia ’s delivery, and what we might expect from both teams as the series shifts to Atlanta. Then they turn their attentio...

Oct 29, 20211 hr 4 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1763: World Series Preview, Fun Fact Edition

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Sarah Langs of MLB.com banter about Sarah’s participation in MLB’s first game to feature an all-women broadcast crew, her research process, and what makes for a good fun fact. Then Sarah shares some Braves and Astros statistical oddities ahead of the World Series, including fun facts about Joc Pederson , Brian Snitker and Dusty Baker , Eddie Rosario , the Astros’ offense, Tyler Matzek , and more. Finally, Sarah offers what could make (and break) each team in the Fall...

Oct 26, 202155 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1762: They Write Mike Trout Hypotheticals in Outer Space, Too

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Ben Clemens discuss the Astros’ pitching woes, the role of starters in the postseason, Dave Roberts’ decision to have Brusdar Graterol hit in Game 5 of the NLCS, Yordan Alvarez , how a 3-2 series deficit feels for fans of the team with the upper hand, and Ben’s look at Ian Anderson ‘s first-inning struggles. Then they consider Other Ben and Rob Arthur’s assessment of MLB’s rule experiments in the Atlantic and minor leagues, before answering listener emails on an unor...

Oct 23, 20211 hr 8 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1761: Those Wacky, Tacky Balls

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Grant Brisbee catch up on some non-postseaosn news, including Grant’s elbow injury, MLB’s decision to provide housing for minor leaguers, and Rob Arthur’s research suggesting spin rate and pitch movement have recovered after cratering in light of sticky stuff enforcement, then banter about Laz Diaz’s strike zone in Game 4 of the ALCS and the use of starting pitchers in the playoffs. Then they turn their attention to the San Francisco Giants, including the team’s wild...

Oct 21, 20211 hr 4 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1760: Choose Your Own NLCS Adventure

Meg Rowley is joined by guest co-host Mike Petriello of MLB.com. They discuss Mike’s role in the booth as a part of ESPN’s Statcast broadcasts, how what is affectionately referred to as the Nerdcast got started, how Mike prepares for games, how he balances being analytics-heavy while still appealing to a broad audience, how the Nerdcast has evolved along with Statcast, what makes for a fun booth, how he works with Jason Benett i and Eduardo Perez , and what might come next for the Nerdcast as mo...

Oct 15, 202149 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1759: In Hindsight, This Was Inevitable

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Bradford William Davis of Insider discuss his new job as an investigative features writer and what the shift from being a daily columnist has meant for how he engages with players, sources, and baseball, and the stories he’s able to tell. Then they turn their attention to the playoffs and discuss the White Sox/Astros series, how Chicago faltered and Houston triumphed, the Astros embracing their heel turn, how players and fans view guys like Carlos Correa and Alex Bre...

Oct 14, 20211 hr

Effectively Wild Episode 1758: Desperately Sweaty Energy

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Jon Tayler of FanGraphs banter about the Boston Red Sox’s victory over the Tampa Bay Rays to advance to the American League Championship Series, including Jon’s experience of the series as a Red Sox fan, Alex Cora’s managerial style, Boston’s particular brand of chaos ball, when Jon knew Garrett Whitlock was worth watching, Enrique Hernández ’s incredible playoff run, the rule that robbed Tampa of a run in Game 3, and what Jon expects from Wander Franco in the years ...

Oct 13, 20211 hr 16 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1757: Farewell to Rhubarb

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Mike Ferrin of MLB Network Radio discuss his recent trip to Monument Valley before recapping the weekend’s ALDS and NLDS action and looking ahead to what might come next, including thoughts on the Giants’ approach to platooning, Cody Bellinger ‘s season-long slump, AJ Pollock ‘s past postseason woes, the Brewers offense, Eduardo Escobar , Milwaukee’s bullpen, Atlanta’s starters, Houston’s bats, Craig Kimbrel ‘s role, Wander Franco , the Rays’ young starters, J.D. Mar...

Oct 10, 20211 hr 12 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1756: Ichabod Crane Comes to Bat

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Eric Longenhagen banter about Walker Buehler ’s unusual approach to opening beers and their own past dental emergencies before recapping the AL Wild Card game. They consider what went wrong for the Yankees, and assess the Red Sox’s good starters, potent lineup, and shaky defense, as well as Nick Pivetta and Garrett Richards . Next they shift to the Red Sox/Rays ALDS matchup and consider the state of Tampa Bay’s pitching, the Rays’ talented hitters, and whether playof...

Oct 08, 20211 hr 38 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1755: Chaos Letdown

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Craig Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus recap the final weekend of regular season baseball before previewing this week’s Wild Card games. They discuss the Mariners’ decision not to promote Julio Rodríguez , their disappointment at the lack of tiebreaker games, franchise player farewells, the current playoff format, what comes next for Seattle and Toronto, and what they’re most excited to watch in October. Then they turn their attention to the Yankees, Red Sox, Dodgers...

Oct 05, 20211 hr 29 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1754: Never Tell Me the Odds

With the postseason around the corner, Meg Rowley and guest co-host Ben Clemens discuss the playoff picture, how the Seattle Mariners got where they are, which team Ben would prefer to see his Cardinals match up against in the NL Wild Card, and the biggest surprises of the season. Then they discuss Ben’s recent work assessing FanGraphs’ playoff odds, what the odds do well and less-well, what kinds of teams they tend to be too low on or overestimate, and how the model could improve. They also off...

Oct 01, 202148 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1753: Bringing Up Baby

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about what Shohei Ohtani might mean for the Mariners’ slight playoff chances and Riley O’Brien ’s recent debut, before Ben shares some (good) personal news. Then (17:33) they bring on Will Leitch to discuss the St. Louis Cardinals. Will shares what it has been like to root for the team during its win streak, when he realized they were playoff bound, what has gone into this incredible run, and which Cardinals are candidates for some postseason devil magic. Plus...

Sep 30, 20211 hr 3 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1752: Photo Finish

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Giancarlo Stanton ’s awe-inspiring weekend at Fenway, the most aesthetically pleasing home run hitters, what the Cardinals’ 16-game winning streak portends (or doesn’t portend) for their playoff hopes, and the last week in the remaining playoff races. Then (26:32) they bring on Patreon supporter Dylan Buell to talk about his career as a professional sports photographer and answer listener emails about setting a winning-percentage cutoff for admission to ...

Sep 28, 20211 hr 38 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1751: The Playoff Matchups Draft

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about teams pitching around Shohei Ohtani and a second conspiracy theory about Rays/Jays Cardgate, then rank the fun quotient of potential playoff teams and draft their preferred playoff matchups. Audio intro : Steve Gunn, " Protection " Audio outro : Frankie Siragusa, " I Don’t Want to See You Again " Link to article about Ohtani’s walks Link to lineup protection explainer Link to Tom Tango on lineup protection Link to Davis-West card article Link to current ...

Sep 25, 20211 hr 18 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1750: The Gift of the Maggi

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the Cardinals being unbeatable, the Giants setting a record for outperforming PECOTA, the Orioles’ and Diamondbacks’ race to MLB’s worst record, the White Sox and Yankees also having identical records (and the vagaries of unbalanced schedules and divisional assignments), the saga of Drew Maggi ’s call-up and demotion and the phenomenon of “phantom ballplayers,” the Phillies’ weird ways of winning, and Shane Baz in the playoffs, then answer listener email...

Sep 25, 20211 hr 23 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1749: Cheat Sheet

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the unwritten rules controversy stemming from Kevin Kiermaier absconding with a Blue Jays scouting card, the Padres’ collapse, dysfunction, and outlook for 2022, the Cardinals’ surge and the Braves’ revamped outfield, Anthony Gose ’s return to the majors as a pitcher, a number of injured arms making comebacks, the Pirates yet again failing to sweep, and the impact of depressed pitcher pay on team payrolls, then (41:43) talk to Jonathan Judge of Baseball ...

Sep 22, 20211 hr 22 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1748: On the Clock

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the potential benefits of a 15-second pitch clock and the massive winning-percentage mismatch between the NL’s impending wild card winners, then answer listener emails about intentionally swinging at a wild pitch to reach base, the obsolescence of ERA, whether Statcast should be used instead of video to make fair-foul calls, and whether DJ LeMahieu is good, then meet major leaguers Kaleb Ort and Sammy Long and do Stat Blasts about whether relievers are r...

Sep 18, 20211 hr 33 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1747: Embrace the Race

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Jake Arrieta ’s sub-replacement pitching and the sorry state of the Padres’ starting staff, Bryce Harper , Juan Soto , and the NL MVP race, Shohei Ohtani , Vladimir Guerrero Jr. , and the competing, persuasive narratives of the AL MVP race, and the ascendance of micro sports betting. Then (31:49) they talk to FanGraphs writer Jay Jaffe about tracking “Team Entropy,” fun and far-fetched tiebreaker scenarios, the potential for wild endings to 2021’s divisi...

Sep 16, 20211 hr 12 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1746: They’re Saying Boo-urns

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Padres reliever Austin Adams tying the single-season hit by pitch record (and some resulting safety concerns), Corbin Burnes pitching (most of) the season’s record-setting ninth no-hitter and the changing norms around pulling pitchers mid-no-no, Max Scherzer ’s recent run, pitchers whose whole careers are covered by pitch-tracking tech, and Scherzer vs. Walker Buehler , the Padres’ stretch-run incentives, the Blue Jays raking and the Orioles imploding, t...

Sep 15, 20211 hr 32 min

Effectively Wild Episode 1745: The State of the Starting Pitcher

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the Blue Jays’ hot streak and playoff outlook and the meaning of clutchness, then meet major leaguers Andy Ibáñez of the Rangers and Janson Junk of the Angels. After that (37:07), they’re joined by Rob Mains of Baseball Prospectus to discuss the state of starting pitching, the future of pitcher usage, and the ebb and flow of competitive balance in MLB. Audio intro : Magnolia Electric Co., " North Star " Audio interstitial : Justus Proffit, " Split Into "...

Sep 11, 20211 hr 12 min
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