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Top performing assets of so silver took the lead. It drew down thirty four percent at one point and went up one hundred and twenty seven. I know everybody was so happy about gold. Gold had a lower draw down but also had a lower return. Then small cap stocks took off like crazy, and then crude had a nice bounce off of that low.
That happened.
But if you look at the bond market, the bond market is a hedge. Didn't draw down that much, but it didn't grow that much, right, so a lot of you were asking about how to include bonds into it. It's not going to give you the best game. It's going to give you a decent a decent hedge. However, so we can see the returns here if you want to screenshot this Silver forty seven percent. Small cap was eighteen percent, Canadian stocks two point eight, corporate bonds nine
point seven. Once again to Tech two index, very simple formula, uh Tech performing the best in twenty twenty, hands down, So you can see information technology on average was at eighty nine percent assuming discretion Earia was second. Third was communication. This mix will not change. I know some of your wondering. Will engine energy turn around in twenty twenty one to twenty two, They're going to be at the bottom of
the barrel. Financials may bump up this year, more so probably in twenty twenty three if interest rates go up, but until then tech will be the dominant leader. Now, let's look at currencies. The Swiss frank only drew down two point one percent, so it only lost two point one percent of its value. I want you to go look at the correlation for how they handle COVID versus other countries, and the Chinese wand only lost two point nine percent, so the Australian dollar lost more twenty one
point five and the rebounded well. But we want to put our money into things that have lowest draw down. Big gains are great, but not everyone is able to sit through a drawdown of fifty percent of forty five percent. The first thing you need to look at at any asset is what's the highest draw down over a ten year period that asset has. That wild tell you how much safety you have in it. The biggest win is of twenty twenty Novavak. I don't think it would be that great this year, but it had a hell of
a run. Tesla. Of course, Tessa is going to be to the moon. Maderna solid zone. Of course, Bitcoin on overshot is happy because he didn't sell all his coins and there was a bunch of IPOs, and I think that the SPAC thing is done, even though there's maybe one or two companies that have done a decent job with him and the biggest losers Carnival. I hope they're able to rebound because if not, there's a lot of people that are going to lose their jobs and never
be able to recover. Energy stocks, Air Canada crew and then the Footsie one hundred. So a lot of you are looking for international exposure. I could argue that Silicon Valley has the best talent from most nations that have been drafted here. The international exposure that you need for most global corporations are going to be domestic based. So I need you to type in chat, what is the
return you want to get this year? Because this year is not going to be like last, so the probability of getting one hundred percent return in the year is going to be a lot lower. I want you to set the baseline for what you want to get in terms of return and be happy with that, and anything above that is extra. For those of you who started last year, I'm sorry, you're not gonna get sixty percent on accident. This year, you'll be able to squeeze out twenty five. You came in at a great time, but
I want us to be realistic. We're going to be more on the tech side, maybe twenty to twenty eight percent opposed to sixty and seventy and chart time. So every week I'm going to go over the same and I was going to give a new way to get into the market. I'm actually a why the hell unch y'all? Using the two hunred day moving average?
Ask him again, man, why can you.
Explain I because some people might be new, this might be their first time ever watching market Monday. Can you just explain what the two hundred day moving average is? It takes a last two hundred days or collection of data and then it marks off on this line where the average is. So, if you're looking for an easy and simple way to consistently get in, this is Microsoft
and it went down today. So if you look at a daily chart, depending on what time horizon you look over, Microsoft came down exactly to the spot and bounced up. You can see the high few days prior with twenty seven. This is around two thirteen. Give it about four or five weeks you'll be able. So for those of you who are like, hey, you guys never tell us how to get get in, even though we gave five ways last year, I'm going to focus on the two hundred
day moving average. And this is also a place where you can start to load the boat. Load the boat. This is where a lot of technicians, prop firms, hedge funds, fund of fund managers are looking to get in. So it's a universally respected indicator because it's not new, because it's not sexy, and only nine people in Nova scotiad know about it, and then somebody from Atlanta flew back
and dropped it to everybody in midtown. It's not valued as much, but you need a system that's super easy that you can use over and over again, and it's an easy way to buy. So when we drop down to and this is only for quality companies, only for quality. So if you.
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Hey, it doesn't apply to that because it's going to burn through the two hundred. But a good company is gonna come down around this area, maybe float a little bit lower in three or four weeks, start to go up. This is the perfect investment plan for twenty twenty one. Write this down and I can hear y'all on YouTube on a replay four long term positions for the year. I'm gonna be real. I've talked to at least six or seven hundred people that missed out on some great
companies because they were switching company. Oh. I like tests, but I'm gonna get out of it and I'm gonna get in iniol. I'm not mad at it. But whatever you pick, I want you to marry the positions that you have type and chat. Marry the positions now. If you're wrong and the company's no good or the thesis changes great. But if you have a great company, hold on to it. Hold on to it. Like I said, it's like having a star basketball player. I'm not trading Michael Jordan for anything. Do not care?
Do not care.
Number Two twelve swing trades on the year, so that whether that's futures, any other assets or derivatives, I want you to take twelve. That's one per month. You should know what the games that will come from that. And then for short term investing, I want you to do twenty four. This is not apply to the Snipers or anybody in Alpha, but for everyone else. If you're looking at futures, you can do twenty four trades and hit a ridiculous return and be okay, okay, key point here.
I only want you to take trades that you know will not lose. And here's how to know if it won't lose. If you have to ask someone, Hey man, Hey Troy, you think if I get in right here? If I have to ask, it's not good. Your intuition is already telling you. And then also when you take a Saturday and go through the entire market, map out where you want to get in those same bizones on
a macro level. Once you pare it down to your entre daytime frames, they're gonna line up and you're gonna have a chance to take a trade there as well, and be okay. These are the top ten lessons to improve your performance with trading. Number one, keep your losses small. Your win should be ten times bigger than your losses. Easy risk reward. You want to risk one to make ten. Number two, don't chase a move. If you miss it,
let it go. Kudos to the snipers. You've seen me do this, Send a text, miss my move and be frustrated as hell.
I get it.
But once you're if you want to get into a position, let's say at two hundred and forty four bucks, once it goes to two forty five, if you're trading it, don't touch it. Don't get distracted and miss an excellent setup. Do not trade against the market. The market can eat can only go north or south. Even with range bound people like, oh, well we're ranging and we're consolidating. Man, the move is either slowed down because it's going to
explode to the upside or downside. That's why everybody, oh man, Apple slowed down okay, and then we saw it took off like crazy. There is build up. I need you to know this. When the market is constricting or getting tight, that is the time to set up your moves on a large So if you're looking at a day chart or something higher, a breakout move is going to come. Have the patience to wait three or four weeks for it to break in your favor. Everyone's talking about financial freedom,
but you can't wait four to five weeks. You're trying to flip. Don't flip. The money will be there. Do not trade when the volume is low. I'm begging you, you're going to get your head chopped off, your account cut in half, and maybe margin call. Wait until volume is at a peak so your orders can get filled. You can get exits on your trades if you have a predetermined area that you want to get out, and then that way you won't be sitting in a loss
potentially for three or four hours either. And then, do not trade overtrade under any circumstances. If your plan is to take twenty four in the year, take twenty four number seven. Do not increase your position size or dollar amount and a trade to try and recover. So let's say you are trading twenty contracts features and you lost seven grand I do not want you to go trade forty contracts just try and make up for it, because
you already got the direction wrong. So if you wrecked a camera, I can't put you in a ferrari and then let you wreck that as well. Come back trade the same size, and if you're doing a one to ten risk of reward ratio, you don't need that many trades to recover the loss and be back in profit. Number eight.
This is key.
Do not micromanager trades. Let them run once you secure profit. So if you get in the trade and unlet's say you're up ten percent and you lock in two percent, let it run. If your target is forty percent, let it go there. A lot of you are self sabotaging, and we all do it and it takes time to get over it. But a lot of people are self sabotaging and cutting off winners when you could have let certain stocks or trades run up thirty forty to fifty eighty percent last year, and you cut them off at
ten percent. Know what your exit is before you enter the trade. Number nine, do not trade if you're in the bad. If you got into argument with your kids and you made them breakfast and they spilled juice juice all over your keyboard, don't trade that day. I'm telling you got into a fight with your significant other, don't do it. And number ten this is the most important. Do not trade unless you know what your statistical edge
is in the market. You should know your win percentage, your profit factor, the best time to trade, and the best asset that you trade. Once again, your win percentage, your profit factor, the asset that you trade the best, and what time of day you trade that best. This is an off emotion. This has to be hard data and that's it.
To hear a more extended conversation, make sure to check out our live YouTube show Market Monday's every Monday, eight pm Easter Standard time seven pm Central, and check out the Market Monday's podcast on iHeart, Spotify, Apple or wherever you download your podcast.
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