Drive Time: Dolphins Titans Week 14 Preview

and get on to week fourteen. In introduction to the Titans, critical matchups, Keys to Victory, a brief Hard Knocks recap, and much much more from the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex. This is the Draft Time Podcast, Maggie Jaffe, Sir, So Hard Knocks was last night, and I liked this episode much more in the vein of

the first episode than the second one. And that's purely just the sadness of losing Jalen Phillips for the entire season, despite how good the storytelling was, and speaking of that, how great is the storytelling? And how lucky is that that Van Ginkel with his kids, his lovely wife the watch party and then mister Hugh just goes off and records a sack and a pick six in the game. Good or mister Wang, I should say, sorry, awesome, but it makes the hair on my arm stand up just

thinking about it. In fact, the entire game portion did that as well. I mean the deep balls coach saying they're cheating Wallow, let's go. Then then Yatzi, and then of course Tyreek having no idea what happened on the second touchdown, only to be shown the tablet and the immediate Mia Kulpa, that's perfect. Where's that ball? Tyrek? That's perfect? How can you not love that? But to me, I think the best part of the show was the in depth analysis of Tuas game and his mechanics, coach comparing

the throwing motion to a golf swing. You know your boy love that. The Drew Brees mentioned, Come on, what was two was comp out of college? Left handed Drew Brees. You love to see it. His ability to rip it without a real stride. That's part of the mechanism that makes him one of the quickest releases the game has ever seen. Right, but man, the channeled energy stuff, This is exactly how you want your quarterback to be wired.

There's those hair standing up again. I cannot wait to watch this dude play in these big games down the stretch because think you're gonna get the best version of to a Tongua bai looa within those games. Finally, my other favorite part. This is why I try to hand out six game balls on radio every week and Seth and OJ give me crap for it because I can never choose. But McDaniel. At halftime of a game they lead thirty one to seven, he says, this press forward,

Let's show how we're different from everyone. Not let the gas off and take pride in how we play football together. How about that? I mean, that's the kind of mindset that wins championships, is not. It impairs so well with his team meeting speech earlier in the episode about how the opponent doesn't matter because that's not what every day is about. And that's so good. You don't have to worry about what your opposition is doing. You have to

focus on yourself. And if you approach every day with that same singular mindset, you're gonna put yourself in by the end of the year to be in the position that you want to be in. And he's so focused. Mike is on the grander journey of it all, and he uses that phrase all the damn time. And I truly believe it plays a major major role in why you've had this team come out and play teams that they're supposed to beat and not just beat them, but

beat them by this much. Fifty points against Denver, fifteen points against the Giants, twenty one against the Panthers, fourteen against the Patriots who just beat the Chargers or lost the Charges by six points, twenty one versus the Jets, thirty versus the Commanders. Literally the only game that didn't go that way in terms of like lopside of potential scores was the Raider game, because back in Week one,

the Chargers were a Super Bowl pick. The Patriots in Week two were coming off a game the loss of the defending NFC champion Eagles by just five points. Like after that, you've pretty much demolished every single lower level team you've seen this year. So I think it's something they emphasize, and I think it's something the players absolutely

unequivocally buy in on. Let's actually go back to coach on the opening speech that he gave in front of the team and the quote that I love more than anything else, we waste no day because that's literally our formula. We don't give a talk about more playing. That's not the objective. The objective is to progress our games. So when it's elimination time, it's tucking on. We have no regrets. So that'll be the formula when the take on the

Titans on Monday Night football. Let's go ahead and get into this Monday night football, first time since the Saints game the Ian Book game back in twenty twenty one for the Miami Dolphins on Monday night. Can you believe that? Gosh, that seems like a different lifetime ago. It's the first home Monday night game since twenty seventeen when Kenyon Drake scored two touchdowns and Xaviering and Howard picked off Tom Brady twice as we uphit the Patriots. Gosh, another live

time ago. But we're back and a win keeps us atop the AFC standings. So let's go ahead and get to know the four and eight Titans. But first, hard Rock Stadium hits different at night. I've always had that said it for three or four times now, especially when the forecast calls for nighttime temperatures of seventy degrees, a slight breeze, a small chance of rain. Cloudy evening, perfect football weather here in South Florida, and the Titans are

in a bit of a transition period. The season began looking like we'd see the first return of Ryan Tannehill to hard Rock Stadium, but they have since made the switch to second round draft pick Will Levis. They traded longtime All Pro Kevin Bayyard at the time the deadline, and running the game that we saw Dereck Henry go no lower than ninety six rushing yards per game since

twenty eighteen, which also coincides with Tannehill's arrival. This year is all the way down to just seventy per game, twenty six yards off of that pace from when he was peaked. Dereck Henry his yards per attempt are right in line with the last three years four point three, four point four now four point three again, but they have not been able to run the ball as often.

They're down sixteen attempts per game compared to twenty three over the previous three years, and the scoreboard dictates that I'm sure the tread on the tires dictates that a little bit. And their number two running back ty J. Spears, who's a phenomenal looking prospect and pro player now, is pretty good as well, so he dictates that too. But you have to change. You have changes all over the roster for this Titans team. The offensive line has been

completely remade the last two seasons. The receiver room underwent a total overhaul post aj Brown trade, which I'm sure they regret that one. Now, let's put it this way, it's a completely different team than the one we saw one week after that Monday night game against the Saints in Tennessee against the Titans. That team earned the one

seed that year in evidence of a transitional period. Entered this game at four and eight off of a season where they finished with seven consecutive losses following a seven and three start. So it's been a rough road for them in the last you know, thirteen months or so. What a start. Contrast, so, when Tannehill took over back in week six of twenty nineteen to week twelve of last year, when the losing treak began, they were thirty

six and seventeen in that stretch. That's like what the Dolphins have done the last couple of years right since that four wins and fifteen losses, the coming off a brutal overtime loss that probably removed any semblance of hope for a late season surge of the playoffs. It wasn't gonna happen anyways, but they beat the Panthers a week ago by a touchdown. Man like ugh, the had losses

of the Jags and Bucks before that. They lost to Pittsburgh Pittsburgh by four and Levis's first start, and he threw four touchdowns in his first game against the Falcons in that first Star So we'll get to him in the tape study portion of the podcast. Let's go ahead first into a quick rundown of how the roster got

to the current state that it's in. Tannehill signed as a backup to Mariota back in twenty nineteen, Willis was a third round draft pick in that quarterback room in twenty twenty two, and then will Levis is the second

round draft pick this year. So heavy investment into the position, and for a team that funnels its offense through the running backs, right, Henry and Spears are the only backs on the active roster They do have some practice squad call ups they'll make, but it's not a name worth noting. They used to do a They used the pick they got for aj Brown to get trail in Burks and he hasn't worked out the way they hoped he would. He actually just returned from a long absence with an

injury he suffered in that Pittsburgh game. They brought in new Hopkins this offseason, and the neck Nick Westbrook Akina has kind of been the hidden gem of that group for them. I love their fourth round pick from last year, tight end Chigakuonko He's kind of got Charles Clay vibes to him. This line is where things really got flipped though, if you ask me, They went from in that game in twenty twenty one against US when they ran the ball down our throats with Derrick Henry and Deontay Foreman.

They went from Taylor Lawan, Roger Staffold, Ben Jones, and Jack Conklin to having to replace all four of those guys over the last two years. They paid Andre Dillard big money, which if you're a Koogs fan, you know that he was one of the biggest bust in Washington State history. Like he got drafted in the first round by Philly and it hasn't worked out, even though he got a big second contract from the Titans. He's been replaced by left tackle Jaylen Duncan, a sixth round rookie.

This year, You're big free agent signing got replaced by a sixth round rookie Nikes. They took Pete Skarnsky in the first round last year, Dylan Raddin's in the second round two years back. Neither of those have worked out either, but the best one of the group is twenty twenty UDFA Aaron Brewer in the pivot. I think it's proved how difficult it is to rebuild an offensive line in this league. Such a tough position. To find actual hits at the defensive line is opposite. They invested and made

it into a top flight unit. They paid Denico Autry, who's a stud, an absolute stud. They nailed their first round pick back in twenty nineteen with Jeffrey Simmons, though he's not going to play in the game, and Harold Landry, a premier edge rusher or he was before an injury last year kind of reverted his skill set back a little bit. Former second round draft pick who should have gone in the top twenty of that year's class. I loved the aziz Al Shaier signing, the former Niners linebacker.

He's been an absolute hit for them, and as we mentioned, they traded the quarterback of the defense, Kevin Bayard, and had some rough selections in the secondary as well. Christian Fulton's had a rough year. Roger McCreery's probably the best of the bunch, and then Sean Murphy Bunting was a free agent acquisition from Tampa Bay and he has not worked out at all. So that's the story on the Titans. Let's do some quick storylines here before you take our

first break some home cooking. In two weeks since we last played at hard Rock Stadium and in games started by two a tongue of II LOWA, the Dolphins are eighteen and four in that building. They've won seventeen of the last nineteen overall, they'll play four of the final five in this building. If they win each game, well, that means that every game the rest of the way until the freakin' Super Bowl would be in our building. Keep holding serve at home when one road game in

Baltimore and you'll play in Vegas. It's as simple as that, and starts this week against the Tennessee Titans the Tickle Monsters, David Long sees his former team. I'm very excited about this matchup for him, because one, I always look forward to seeing the energy that guys have in those spots, and David's never short on juice. But there was some consternation over his departure in Tennessee because Mike Frable kind

of called him out last year. So I'm excited for David Long to go smack somebody in their face mask as a result of that, and then of course the pursuit of awards and accolades. Tyreek needs to average one hundred and four yards per game to hit two thousand. That's very doable, especially when he goes for two hundred

this week. I'll preview there and then Tua. In the thick of the MVP discussion, I was having this conversation with Kyle Krabs, the Great Lockdown Dolphins host, and I said, if we win the final five games and Tua just simply repeats his pro rated production right now, would that

make him league MVP? And Kyle said, We'll probably have to factor in what Tyreek's involvement is in those final five games, and it just stinks that two was going to have to Essentially, you know, he's the only quarterback in the league that's going to build. People are going to say, well, his receivers is the main reason it happens, like they don't do it for brock Purty even in

San Francisco. So we'll see about that. But facing a defense that struggles to get pressure even with Jeffrey Simmons, without him on the field, there's a chance to continue pumping up those stats and put yourself in position to

make that push for record breaking numbers. Of course, you won't get MVP recognition if you don't perform well in those final games, but over these next two games against two bad teams, a chance to boost the numbies, to put you in a spot to go make a run, to go win those games and put yourself in a very lasting impression in those voters' minds with the stats

to back it up. He might have to do it though in three quarters of this game, because Tua, like at Alabama, plays a lot of games where he doesn't see much action in the fourth quarter. That's all I got right there. Let's actually keep going here before the first break and get into this Titans defense versus the Miami offense, and guys, it's not gonna be pretty. I told you wouldn't be pretty in Washington. It's not going to be pretty here in hard Rock Stadium. So their

defense looks like this. Amani Hooker is their probably top defensive back right now with Bayard going out to Philly, but he plays eighty eight percent of the snaps, and then Kayvon Wallace plays fifty four. He's been the primary replacement for excuse me, for Kevin Byard, but he's like a strong safety type where that's kind of what Hooker plays, and Bayard was the traffic cop kind of in the back part of the defensive backfield. So the explosive play

rate has gone through the roof. More on that in a moment. And then Terrell Edmonds was a free agent acquisition. He's played fifteen percent of the snaps. They'll go big Nickel sometimes, I'm not too frequently. The cornerbacks. I don't

think Christian Fulton's going to play. He has a hamstring injury, and if he does play, wrong team to face with a hamstring banged up, Caleb Farley's out for the year on IR so they are we say this like I almost feel every week teams that play US are often depleted at cornerback, and that's not a good thing to do against Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle. Sean Murphy bunting seventy five percent of the snaps. Roger McCreery also seventy five,

though he primarily plays inside. I imagine you'll see lots more of Elijah Molden in the slot role, former first round draft pick who's been a little bit up and down for them. But if they can't get Fulton to go, I think McCreary kicks outside and Molden plays the slot inside.

As far as their front, Denico Autrey's a sixty six percent snap taker, but out as Jeffrey Simmons, who's an eighty five percent snap taker on the interior, He's like Christian wilkins Man the same player basically at this point of their careers. Tyer Tart's a good player forty percent,

and then Peko forty percent defensive tackle as well. Off the edge, Harold Landry played three quarters of the snaps, and then arden Key plays sixty three percent of the snaps, and Autrey plays inside and outside, so he's a little bit more edged there as well, with Tartan Peco playing

the defensive tackle roles there. But Landry Man he just hasn't had the same juice since the injury he suffered last year, where arden Key kind of reminds me a little bit of like remember peak Alvin Smith for the Niners. I'm not saying he's the same player, but his building style is kind of like that length and speed and get off and all that fun stuff. And then the linebackers or asi's Al Shaier, a really good player from the formerly of the forty nine ers I like a lot.

And Jack Gibbons steps into the role that Monti Rice previously filled, but he has been released since I wrote the podcast script, so no more Buyer, no Jeffrey Simmons, let's see. And then Kavon Wallace took over the starting safety's bought Caleb Farley out Christian Fulton. Hammy some personnel usage, thirty four front is six percent, forty three front is a ten percent usage, So you're in your base about fifteen percent of the time. It's pretty typical across the league.

Your nickel package is sixty two percent, But how about the twenty two percent of the time they are in dime? So take linebackers off the field. It's probably a little bit of a reaction to the fact that their edge group is not very deep, and really the defensive tackle spot, especially with Simmons down, is not super deep either, So they'll roll out all these defensive backs. But again, I just told you about three guys that could be out

of this game from the defensive backfield. If that's the case, and you run six defensive backs, you were on your ninth defensive back in the game. Is there a team in the NFL that would feel good about having their ninth player on defense play twenty five percent of the snaps? I don't think so. Defensive backflashes, No, that's defense defensive backfield anyway. They've struggled with pressure or iguesst the pass, I should say, really really poorly lately. Some quick numbers.

They have the thirteenth highest man coverage rate you can't do that against US thirty one percent, and they have the twenty fifth highest blitz rate at twenty three percent. But their pressure rate is twelfth best at thirty eight percent, but without Isaiah, without Isaiah Simmons, without Jeffrey Simmons, that will reduce big time. He is the He's the straw that stirs the drink man. They've out a passing EPA

of fifteen point seven the last five weeks. That's the Buyard trag, which is thirty first, behind only Washington who's at thirty one point three. But we literally put that on them last week. Half of those points were because of us, so you could see Tennessee and that same exact spot. After we get done with him, all, let's take a little break right here and come back and

wrap up the Titans defense versus this Dolphins offense. That's next Draft Time podcast, your host, Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation. We left off talking about the Titans passing defense. Let's go ahead and talk about the characters here a little bit. I mentioned Christian Fulton. I just doubt that he plays. Even if he does with

the hamshing, it's bad news. And then Sean Murphy Bunting is their kind of speedster, change a direction guy, but he doesn't like play the game smart enough to be able to handle someone like Tyreek Hill, much like you saw Kwan Martin in the slot last week trying to cover Tyreek. It didn't work out, but I do get the sense that he's the guy you would put around Tyreek just because he's the fact and quickest, but you

probably should double him. So I think that again another opportunity here for Waddle to get to get some of his production. But also this defense, it's not like Washington's in terms of how disjointed Washington's consistently was. I told you, guys, right, it reminds me so much of that Chargers defense, and what do we have but busts and terrible structures and

you're gonna cheat towards Waddle and not Tyreek. All right, go for it, guys, like this is not that, But there are a lot of busts and miscommunications on the back end. I think are more of the player responsibility opposed to bad scheme from the defensive coaching staff. So I'm curious how they want to attack the Dolphins because Roger McCreary is like their most physical cater COOHU type, But anybody be put in the slot is a mismatch for him too, So truth be told, it's sloppy, there's

lots of errors, tons of busts. Guys cannot run with speed. They don't communicate since the Buyard trade. And if we've learned one thing about this Dolphins offense, it's that if they get a bust, they're going to exploit it. Amani Hooker's been awesome for them, but I just think that you really, really really feel the absence of Buyard on the back end. Hence the number I mentioned in how much that jumped. There should be a chance for Tyreek, Waddle and Tua to all go off. In fact, I'm

gonna go ahead and stamp it right here. I think that Tyreek and wadd will both get one hundred yards. And remember on hard knocks, when McDaniel said he thought that Tula was gonna go off for four fifty, he would have if he finished the whole game and had a couple of drops that didn't happen. But I think it's gonna happen in this one here, because I think you're gonna see lots of explosive plays and he's probably

gonna have to get done in three quarters. But I think Tua can go over four hundred yards in this game. As long as we're buttoned up in sharp, it's very possible. The run defense has been a lot better for the Titans twelfth in EPA. Over that same timeline, they allowed a couple of explosives against the Colts that made the total look gaudy, but they will get their wins. One of the top ten success rates against the run in the NFL. But also who hits more big runs than

eight Chan and Moster. It's like, cool, you can win seven of the ten rundowns, but on the three that we win, if it's a seventy yard touchdown us so our chance is to gal out on the perimeter and find those tiny creases. I saw somebody compared to von Ah Chan to Flat Stanley. That's perfect, like the way he can squeeze through those gaps and hit those field flipping plays. I think Miami has an opportunity in the running game for that. And then no Simmons in this one.

They've just waved Monty Rice. Al Shaiir has been awesome. And then Jack Gibbons is kind of the guy that made Rice expendable. He's got thirty stops, which is second on the team behind Al Shaiir, but there's not a lot of speed in that position, like they are thumpers, and I think we can make life hell on those guys on the outside running game paired with the middle of the field passing game, you always have to be concerned about the Titans pass rush, and again, Simmons being

down changes the equation a lot. But they have some heavy five technique slash three technique types, kind of like we have with Wilkins and Seeler. Autrey's a monster, you gotta get him blocked. I like Tart's game arden key long, explosive off the edge. Fun matchup there for Austin Jackson and then Landry usually rushes off the left, so it'd

be nice if toront Armstead can go. But quite frankly, I ain't worried about Dog like this offensive line with this quarterback in this head coach, we tend to win those matchups against opposing pass rushes typically, no matter how good they are, unless we get way behind the scoreboard that changes things, but that ain't happening in this one. Dog.

Let's go ahead and pivot here before our second break and talk about Dolphins defense versus Titans offense, because I did a lot more notes and study on this because well, truth be told, guys, Titans defense is not good and Miami's gonna put up a forty burger in this one again, So Dolphins defense, so their quarterbacks will have us you know about that. New Hopkins plays seventy percent of the

snaps on offense. Nick Westbrook Aquina does as well. Treylan Brooks has played thirty percent, although he is the two when he's healthy, he missed like five games. Chris Morris played half the snaps on the inside. Chig o'kwonko is one of the best tight ends in the NFL. He plays two thirds of the snaps, and then Trayvon Westco plays fifty percent of the snaps as well. They have one of the most twelve personnel usages in the NFL.

And then Kyle Phillips plays a little bit inside and outside, but he plays twenty percent of the snaps kind of like his game a little bit. I mentioned Scarnsky, he's the left guard, Brewers the center, Brunskill the right guard, and Duncan and Dylan Radens with the tackles. And then Derek Henry plays fifty three percent of the snaps. With Spears playing fifty two. So I mentioned the tackles there, right.

Chris Hubbard was signed to start for them, and Nicholas petite Frere was also a potential starter going into the year. They're both on IR so you're down to backup tackles and Andre Dillard, who I guess was signed to be the starter to begin with over those first two guys, but he got bench to replace, like he wasn't even good enough to be the fourth offensive tackle on this team. Like yaikekkuks personnel usage, they run eleven personnel fifty two

percent of the time. That's one of the lowest marks in the NFL. That's one receiver, one running back, one tight end, three receivers. They don't have three receivers to roll out with, so it's typically twelve personnel thirty one percent of the time, thirteen personnel, three tight ends six percent, and they will get Henry and Spears in the game about seven percent of the time. All their two back personnel is with those two guys, So it's heavy personnel,

right physical football team. It speaks to the makeup of their roster, how they built it, and their core principles because when this team was competing for AFC championships and divisional round victories. They beat you on both sides of the line of scrimmage. They ran the football effectively, and they had one of the best deep play action passing games. Off of that. A lot has changed, but at their core, that's who they aspire to be, and we've seen it

this year. When the Dolphins can get on top of teams like that, it is so difficult for those teams to come back and beat you. They operate from shotgun fifty five percent of the time. That's twenty ninth in the NFL. Again, a Derek Henry offense. Right, they want to go I form or not ifirmation, single back set under center, play action game off of Henry, run the

ball a lot. It just hasn't worked for him. They're third and two tight end personnel at forty percent, and their twelfth and two back personnel they're at seven percent. So let's go ahead and take our last break right here. Come back on the other side, finish up this side of the football. We'll talk about what's at stake. We'll go ahead and talk about the keys to victory and make our prediction in this one. All that next Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by

Auto Nation. Let's jump into the tape here on the Titans offense because I watched a lot of it because it's a new quarterback that I'm not that familiar with and I wanted to see how things have changed going from Ryan Tannehill to Will Levis. And for his personal scattered report, I can tell you this dude can flat out rip it from any platform, any arm angle, great base, great arm strength, and great arm talent, really good core

and balance. Has some jump throws in there. Let's it rip at times, at least early on in his tenure

here with some anticipation, with some color in his face. Now, that was all the Pittsburgh game that I was getting excited about his tape, and a little bit of the Atlanta game too, although the four touchdown game that tape was not as good as what you might expect a four touchdown game to look like because the placement is not great and he doesn't have great separators from the perimeter either, So even at this stage of his career,

DeAndre Hopkins is not getting separation like at all. I like Kyle Phillips finding soft spots, but I like Cater even better in the slot, and you know how I feel about Ramsey and X. I think this game has quarterback indecision written all over it, either in decision in taking sacks and kind of turtling against the pressure or throwing into covered windows that would lead to a lot

of hands on footballs. And the offense funnels through the aforementioned Hopkins more so than Derek Henry now, and they'll move him around backfield x Z slot like it doesn't matter. They want to scheme stuff up for DeAndre Hopkins, and Levis will attach his eyes to number ten. The Steelers would like cap or double or bracket Hopkins in that game, and that's when Levis would have opportunities to attack other people on the field, But he didn't do it frequently

enough for me to like note it, if that makes sense. Now. This Pittsburgh defense is criminally poorly constructed year after year, like they have superstar talent, but they wind up with

a Sam linebacker running vertical with DeAndre Hopkins. And in fact, a throwback to you locked on Dolphins listeners when I said that Minka Fitzpatrick's going to be in for the Ultimate surprise when he goes to Pittsburgh's defense and has Keith Butler having him run, you know, having was it not Larry Foot who was linebackerund maybe it was Larry Foot Larry Foot running you know, thirteen reps on Keyan Allen back to back to back to back for like a sixteen catch day that he had in that one game.

It's not Keith Butler anymore, but it's still very similar in how they construct things. So like you know, for this particular look, Levice is able to see double coverage leaving a strong safety to run out to the wheel, and it's like a three way go from the field. Like it's it's just very clear indicators for where the football has to go. So way muddy your picture from a guy like I don't know, Vic Fangio with better zone match concepts. That's where he struggled and that's where

he gets on Monday Night football. He will throw like these predetermined shots to DeAndre Hopkins, and if he makes that choice on Ramsey or even X, you're gonna be paying for it night nighttime. Son. It looks to me like there's a good amount of predetermination and it can lead to big plays. When you hit it, like in the Falcons game when they were not ready for it in his first career start, but when you don't. When

you don't, it can go the other way very quickly. Honestly, watching him, he's a more gifted Sam Howell in terms of power in his arm, but less creativity outside the pocket, a little bit better pocket management to throw on time inside the pocket, but it's not it's not pro level yet. It's it's no work close to pro level yet. He's a he's getting there. I think he will get there eventually. And that Falcons game, he just was like kind of

throwing the ball up like on throws. It was like no, no, no, yes, like those type of throws. And it worked in the first half against Pittsburgh as well, but it's been a wall ever since then. Jtos Sullivan, on the recap of the Pittsburgh game, said that it's just not Sunday footballs, and these are not throws you can make against NFL defense as an NFL speed and the concepts don't match up to what like typically you would see from certain

sets and certain looks. So it's tough. Man. It gives your coverage a chance when he throws it, and when he doesn't, well, now it's pass rush time, baby, because his pass protection has been awful abysmal in front of him, and he'll slide the wrong direction. Like I don't think he has full tome of the offense. I think that cater if Brandon Jones gets reps is the nickel safety David Long his blitzes. All these guys should be a big part of sending an extra rusher to get into

will Evis's face. And then as far as the offensive line goes, left tackle position, yikes, yikes guys. And then the right guard position had some real struggle. I think there's some like old Wiam in terms of the lack of balance and the feet getting stagnant at the punch. And that's what Christian and Zach like continuously they harass players like that because those guys can't handle someone who's technically as refined as a Christian Wilkins or a Zach Steeler.

So I think, once again, I think your guards are gonna get beat up by ninety four and ninety two. I expect both guys to have big nights collapse in the pocket. How about the pass block efficiency of this offensive line. This is gonna make a guy shudder and think back to like the twenty fifteen Miami Dolphins. So you ready, Jalen Duncan has a ninety point five pass block efficiency. He replaced Andre Dillard, who might have been the worst life tackle in the NFL this year when

he played who had a ninety point seven. It was better with Dillard. Bradley Chubb, massive, massive game incoming. Duncan allowed nine pressures last week in three sacks allowed. Yikes, Scaransky for the left guard, If you want to be a good left guard, ninety eight to the number, ninety six point eight Brewer. If you want to be a good center, ninety nine is the number ninety six point seven. Brunskill ninety six point seven. How about Dylan Raddan, it's

about ninety six is good for a tackle? Ninety three point five? Guys, they don't have a single good pass protector on this offensive line. Those at the tackle positions are combined for the lowest in the NFL. And Chubb has the fourth highest pass rush win rate among all edges. And y'all saw what mister Hugh Wang did on Sunday against the Commanders. Of course, Derek Henry is the man

in Tennessee. As we mentioned, the offense still goes through the run game and heavily through his production, but you'll need your defensive line to eat up blocks no problem. And then David Long and Duke Riley step up, and that's kind of the one area I might look at because they're not big linebackers by NFL standards, but they're fast and aggressive and if you can hit Henry before he gets a full head of steam, that's how you cut him down. I cannot wait to watch how these

guys attack Henry. I think it's the focal point of the game. Javon Deshaun the backers fun matchup there. Henry has forty two miss tackles force this year, so he's not fallen off in that regard at all. For three point two yards after contact, I think the explosiveness is down a little bit, so not the big runs off those miss tackles anymore. And then ty J spears he's a stud two twenty one miss tackles three point four

to two after contact. I was curious to dive into some of the numbers here regarding the six quarters that Levis played. Going back to the quarterback now against Atlanta and Pittsburgh versus the rest, and I think the tape

says here that there was muddier pictures. People got more tape on him and made some more adjustments, and there have been more throws where it almost looks like it's predetermined, like I'm gonna throw the ball to DeAndre Hopkins on that speed out right now, there's no question about what I'm doing here, and throws that you would just assume are non starter based on the rotation of the defense and it still goes that way, like a play action where he rolls to the right and throws a vertical

back left like Bubba. We can't make those throws, Big Doug. And I think this graft I found explains it all perfectly. Again. I said, like the no, no, no, yes type of throws. Those were all over the Atlanta game. He threw four touchdowns, great start right, and then he had some in Pittsburgh where it's like this is pretty impressive. And there was some straight up, like godlike throws in those games where he showed you why he was considered a potential top

ten pick last year. He fell, but he was thought in that vein in terms of the talent. But since you know, after the Pittsburgh game where I thought the turnover worthy plays had increased, only four teams throwed less

on expected drop back attempts. This is a summer sports analytics post here, But these teams are Detroit who Dan Campbell wants to bite your kneecaps, New Orleans whose passing game has been broken all year long, Vegas, who we know how they want to play the game, and Denver, who doesn't trust Russell Wilson until it's third and a mile.

So I think that's partially the Titans identity here right once dead ball you would always do that with Dereck Henry, but I think it's equal parts playing a rookie quarterback and him working through those growing pains that literally every rookie quarterback has to go through at some point. And some of the indecision in the offense is evident by this. Their forty one point four percent pressure rate allowed is

twenty ninth in the NFL. In fact, teams have been heating up will Levis because again, the blitz doesn't do well with it the Falcons. He went four for six for nine yards against the Blitz with two sacks. That's negative total yards there against the blitzes. Pittsburgh went seven for fourteen a lot more blitzes for fifty nine yards and two more sacks. Tampa Bays had twenty four blitzes, thirteen for twenty four one thirty two two sacks. Here again,

Jacksonville four for five eighteen yards and two sacks. That's negative yards against the blitz and also a touchdown pass in there as well. Three for seven against Carolina for forty seven yards that was his one good like YPA against blitz and then Tampa four for seven for thirty six yards, a touchdown in two sacks. So he's ever thrown a pick against the blitz, but he's good for about two sacks a game and the YPA at four

point six to eight over those games. I think it shows up on tape, so we'll see how they defend it. But the hardest part about going from college to the pros at quarterback is the timing of the game, and it's why rookie qbs usually are up there in the sack percentage category. Right Among qualifying quarterbacks, here's the top of the list, Zach Wilson, who could have seen that coming. Then Bryce Young, then Sam Howe, then Russell Wilson that's always been his game, and then Will Levis at nine

point three percent. It's literally all the young quarterbacks and Russell Wilson in there. A few more tidbits. They haven't won on the road with Levis. They're zero to three. They're two to one at home. They average twelve points per game on the road. Good luck. We allow like ten points a game here at Hard I don't know the number, but it's close to that. Two touchdowns, two picks, one fumble lost in those three games. He has three touchdowns and four giveaways over his last five games and

has been sacked nineteen times since Week eight. It's the third most. My prediction on defense is that Ramsey or Howard will get a pick in this game on a ball intended for DeAndre Hopkins. Also, we sack the ish out of Will Levis, really went the run game and really put the screws of the offense. Chubb has multiple

sacks one point five for more in this one. I think this game looks more like the Jets game for the Titans offense than the Commanders, where we're great on defense, both are great, but they like will not move the ball until the fourth quarter and mop up time. So that's the Titans offense. How much fun is that for me to study? Do you think? Versus Dolphins defense. Let's go ahead and take a look at what's at stake. It's officially on baby, it's December football. They're all as

important as they can be. And when you hold the top spot, you dictate what happens. It doesn't matter what happens beyond you if you take care of business, so you will not be budged off that top spot as long as you keep on winning. Since the game is on Monday, we'll probably lose the top spot in the conference for the day unless the Rams can upset the Ravens. Crazier things, for sure, but it's your chance to take

care of business. Get to ten wins, which is probably the magic number to qualify for the postseas, but of course we have much higher goals than that. It's a conference game and that's the reason we're currently on top of the Ravens. In fact, since they're playing the Rams, their conference record will stand pat at six and three. If we win, we'll go to seven and two in the AFC. But then also we play head to head in week seventeen, so it's irrelevance why we've been talking

about it. Last week's win push Miami's playoff odds on every single model over ninety five percent. This win would push it even higher, but again higher goals. So what's at stake? The number one seed? My three keys to victory Number one, they're gonna be simple, sweet guys. Number One, stop the run. A rookie quarterback offense that tries to not hide the fact that they want to run the football all game long. We'll run the ball and expected

pass situations. Take that away from them, Create third and longs pass rush situations, and you will generate takeaways and this game will get ugly fast. Number two, get the ball out quick. The best thing that Titans do is rush the quarterback with four men down. But of course, no Simmons in the game. Quite frankly, guys, I had to find things to talk about for keys because it's not going to be close. And two, as a master of the quick game, Mike schemes up quick throws and

it affords our playmakers opportunities. I expect wattle Hill and Chan to all have monster games. Number three in this just for our own purposes, play a clean game. We saw how dangerous this team can be when they don't turn the ball over and they only have two penalties doing that two games in a row. I think we develop a nice rhythm for how to accomplish that and confidence to replicate that going forward. So some areas of

concern I don't have any. I have nothing areas to exploit awful offensive line play, a quarterback who's kind of playing football, and a defense that has just become a shell of itself. My prediction maybe I'll do this when we have the buye the buy come playoff time. But I need to go back and listen to some old score predictions because I've been pretty on man like last week with my coup de gras. I think I said forty two seventeen. Maybe they scored a late touchdown, forty

two to twenty four, but forty five to fifteen. That's pretty damn close. And I've had one of my better years picking the games. I think it's the preamble to say I'm going forty six to ten, and I want your buy in on that. I think we go up and down the field. I think we get explosive touchdowns. I think we get takeaways. I think we take away the run. I think that they have single digit for

downs and we completely blast, blast and inferior opponents. So man, fun stuff, Man, We have a lot more to come here to Ron Davenport tomorrow from the Titans will be on the show Lewis Riddick on Friday. We also have some media coverage stuff on Saturday. No podcast, but just want to get let you guys know we have press conferences on Saturday to keep an eye on, and also vote for your favorite Miami Dolphins Pro bowlers right now up on NFL dot com. Let's get those guys all

into the Pro Bowl. Let's get Miami you know, double digit Pro bowlers. Why the hell not. We can do it to Tyreek Waddle, Jackson Connor, Rob eight, Chan, rahem X, Jalen Ramsey, Bradley Chubb, Javon Hollin. Let's go ahead and get those guys in the Pro Bowl. In the meantime, gonna be my time, you all. Please be sure to subscribe to the podcast on Apple podcast leuis a rag and leave us a review. Follow me on social at

Winkelin NFL. Follow the team at Miami Dolphins. Check out the fish Tank podcast with my guys Seth and Juice. Brandon Fields up this week. You don't want to miss that channel for media availabilities and Dolphins today, and last but not least, Miami Dolphins dot com until next time. Finz up, Caroline. Cameron Daddy, He's going home. Happy birthday, Cameron, Love you body,