Drive Time: Dolphins Jaguars Week 1 Preview

and everything in between. Will give you the offense, the defense, the keys to each side, the keys to win the game, the range of outcomes, all of that and a heck of a lot more. From the Baptist Health Studios inside the Health Training Complex.

Thursday night game against the Buffalo Bills. But like it rains all the time down here, and it never happens on Dolphins football weekends, and when they're on the road, I swear it happens every single one of those weekends down here. So once again proof that the football is keying above all, also by the weather. By the way, I keep seeing this stuff about the heat advantage being reduced this year because of kickoff times.

and the two losses were without Toutunga Vailoa. Brian Flores, on the other hand, zero to eleven, not good. Let's go ahead and meet the Jacksonville Jaguars here. It's funny to me how the rest of the league can shift the perception of what you accomplished. And what I mean by that is, the Jags had the same record last year as they did in twenty twenty two, and one of those years produced a home playoff game of victory in that playoff game and then a touchdown deficit to

the eventual world champion Kansas City Chiefs. And they were the darlings going into last season, the obvious AFC South champion winner, and that didn't happen. And now because they had the exact same record, but because a team tied them in the standings and got the tiebreaker over the Jags and got that position in the playoffs, they're now thought of as this kind of also ran a middling team that can't compete with those same Texans in the AFC South despite.

If you had gotten the twenty twenty three Pittsburgh Steelers and Mason Rudolph, you probably win that game, right. I just think it's funny how much can change based upon these little tiny things.

ten and five and eleven. And that was after a twenty seventeen team that won just ten games but found their way into the playoffs and held a double digit fourth quarter lead over the Tom Brady New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game. And if they don't rule Miles Jack down on a fumble recover where he was not down, then we would have gotten a Bortles and

Foles Super Bowl. Back to the now. They started eight and three last year and hosted the Bengals sans Joe Burrow on a Monday night, and that is where Jake Browning starts to play well, on top of losing Trevor Lawrence with an ankle injury that sure as hell made it seem like he'd missed the rest of the season alas he was back the falling week. But they lose to the Browns. They scored just seven against the Ravens,

they get blown out in Tampa. They blank the Panthers and give themselves a win and in for the division. In Week eighteen at the five and eleven lifeless Titans, who also kind of ruined our season, and they got absolutely handled in that game. It was never really close, even though they had a chance to tie the game on the final drive. Even that drive was futile and didn't get past midfield. So they missed the playoffs all

together after an eight and three start. So now they've changed their defensive coordinator, which the fans were very adamant they had to do that. They brought in a massive piece on that defensive line in Eric Armstead, and added new weapons on offense and will largely run it back across the rest of the roster. Speaking of that, let's go ahead and get into this with the Jaguars offense, which is a curveball. Based upon my normal cadence for

the preview podcast, I usually do Dolphins offense first. Why did I do Jags offense first? I really don't know, but that's what we're gonna do here. So the Jags offensive scheme is largely West Coast by principle. Of course, Doug Peterson has adapted his own version of that offense, and you get a good mix of man and zone runs, but it's all from one back looks. They do not have a full back. They do not frequently use h

back action or an F if you will. They operated from eleven personnel last year sixty four percent of the time, which was middle of the pack in the National Football League, and they do love their twelve personnel grouping that's one back, two tight ends twenty three percent, is seventh most in the NFL.

forty four percent, the Niners and were up next. So yeah, the Shanahan Tree likes motion and it's a big reason why their offensive lines are great what they are every single year and they still produce the top offenses in the NFL year in and year out. For the Jaguars, they do love to get their counter game off of pre snap motion, which is essentially designed to get the

defense bumping one way. And what that means when you see linebackers shift or a defensive line shift, they're essentially bumping to fit the new strength of the formation to counter off of the motion, and then to counter off of that. For Jacksonville and Travis, Etn is one of the best in their game at this running counter where it's press one side and find that backside cutback lane as you've seen Dolphins backs do for the last couple

of years. Right, So for this it's all about keys and why I continue to love the linebacker additions that we made this offseason in Jordan Brooks and David Long Junior. Well he was an addition, but he's here for a second year and off of that. They love to dial up play action and they'll usually go Max protection to get to it, so stopping the run is paramount for a lot of reasons. They can also operate from eleven personnel groupings and flex ingram out to give them a

different look there. And they love to throw the one hitch quick timing throws to static routes which are five yards off the ball and either coming back to the quarterback or stopped as their quick game, which just as a philosophy in general, I personally loathe it. Do not have your speediest players in the field catch the ball at their feet, stand still, have them going towards the goal lines basically McDaniel versus what you saw in twenty

twenty one with Waddle. They do get their play action with Max pro and cut the field in half, so you can generate some scrambles and throwaways if you can play with that front side discipline. And that takes us into our next part of the Jags offense. We're going to go over scheme, how to attack that scheme and the three key principles are three keys to that side of the ball on all these editions of the Draft Time podcast, So how to attack it. And this is

why stopping the run is. It's so important in this game particularly you want to create long down in distances to get into your pressure packages, which is where I think we can get our biggest wins. Captain obvious right, stop the run, create third lungs, and create chaos on those third lungs. That is basically every single NFL broadcast key to the game you've ever seen in your entire life. But it's more important this one and I'll tell you why.

But also off of that, they added a vertical stretch with Brian Thomas Junior, their first round draft pick out of LSU, and I think they'll use Gabe Davis on that in some ways, but Buffalo used him on clear out routes on those concepts a lot, because if you're throwing deep shots to Gabe Davis. We want that because one he doesn't get any separation. Two there's no extra gear to track down the field. You're basically hoping for a fifty to fifty jump ball or a defensive pass interference.

And if you can create that, it's a lot like getting a contested step back three beyond the arc. You will settle for that as a defense in the NBA every single day, just like you will settle for that in the NFL against the Jacksonville Jaguars offense.

In fact, I talked to Tua about this today at his press conference, about how do you approach game planning for a defense that doesn't have any proof of concept on tape, and he said, I start with the players, and I try to see, you know who the best players are and where we can get leverage advantages. And then I also have some information based upon guys that

have played for coach Nielsen in the past. They were here for joint practices last year, guys that went up against them in joint practices, Like Tua has this wealth of knowledge that I'm really excited about, and I thought

that answer displayed that very well. And so from my perspective and for the Jags perspective against Anthony Weaver's defense, they're going to try to figure some stuff out, as Tua told us, like, we're gonna runt our best players to start with and then see what their goals and how they marry up their coverage in front. That's when you start to adjust and actually get into your game plan really after like the first quarter begins. So same

concept for the Jags. They're going to do what they think they do best and then adjust to us from there. And what I like about the Dolphins defense under coach Weaver is their ability to be flexible and move guys all over the formation and you know, have guys run different roles from different spots in the field and the formation. It's not going to tip your hand against that motion

as much as a Vic Fangio defense would have. I think that helps us match up on their biggest threat, which is Christian Kirk more on him in a moment. So stay true to your keys, you know. I think this is where again Brooks and Long are going to be so valuable to get your pressure looks and generate confusion for Lawrence, to get him to hold the football, to get the footwork of the quarterback off rhythm with

the timing of the routes. And that's where we frequently saw breakdowns for them in twenty twenty three was his footwork did not marry up with the timing of the routes, and from there he gets kind of robotic, like robotic and static, and it just looks ugly and off kilter, and it looks like nothing you've seen from an NFL offense that's run by Trevor Lawrence. Like it just looks different than their other stuff when they're on rhythm. So that takes us in to the big three. When the

Dolphins defense is on the field. Number one to me is changing the picture on Lawrence and the protection schemes. Because first things first, in the preseason, I thought Trevor Lawrence looked awesome. I thought he looked really, really good. Playing on time, mitigating pressure with off platform, no base throws, no cleats in the ground. He's throwing anticipation shots to the correct spot for the receiver to go find the football. Powerful arm on display consistently, and this goes back to

last year. I just love the way he does time up the footwork when it's right to get to the right arm slot to make good throws from those different bases. He just has this innate feel for it, and that's why he was the golden boy, right the number one prospect that everyone was gunning for as far as having top draft picks back in twenty twenty or No. Twenty twenty one. He also corrected a lot of wrongs this preseason, you know, protection breakdowns which were frequent as they were

a year ago. So if he can grow in that area, my whole thing here kind of doesn't fall apart, but it becomes harder to execute. But with his ability to both run for yards because he does have some scrambled ability, but also show the mobility that to me is always more dangerous for a quarterback to be mobile in short spaces because you can still attack with your arm and you're much more of a threat with your arm than you are with your legs, unless maybe you're Lamar Jackson.

Maybe even still, I think Lamar's arm is more of a threat than his legs when it comes to the vertical passing game.

that he processes mostly well at this stage. He did make a great throw in the Falcons game against albeit three third and four stringers where he was hot in the B gap and faded back from this throw going to his left, where mechanically this throw should have been a disaster, but he put it right on the out route out of the break right on time before the receiver broke and I was like, that's pretty impressive. But Travis, the big question is how did he get hot in

the b gap. I think you can go back to last year and see the same issues for the Jags when the offense got stagnant. It was when they became one dimensional. And I look at the Baltimore tape late in the season as kind of the carbon copy for how to do that. They blitzed him just twenty three percent of the time, which was down from the average that he faced in the general throughout the course of

the year. But he completed seven for ten passes against that blitz for just fifty yards, so five yards per attempt. And where it really impacted him was the sim pressure looks that produced just six yards per attempt when he was kept clean. So they got him to kind of stand in the pocket and try to process and not have a good look at, you know, drop eight and drop seven coverages. Where I think Lawrence can take his game to the next level is how he sees and

deals with pressures and blitzes. Because teams did bring that extra rusher on him more than a quarter of the time last year twenty seven percent of the time, which is two times the rate you see against quarterbacks like Mahomes or Tua or even Josh Allen sometimes, and they did it because it was successful. He was just fifty five percent last year against the Blitz, with only six point six yards per attempt, four touchdowns, and six picks,

and had twenty five percent pressure to sack rate. All of those numbers are outside the top twenty for starting quarterbacks last year, so he's not good against the Blitz. I think you have to light this dude up and force the issue. I think that his weakness is what I mentioned earlier, how he can be a little bit robotic in how he contends with pressure against a line

that doesn't often play connected. And I won't put the Ryan Tannehill pocket presence jinks on him, but damn it, there are some times when his game kind of reminds me of te Hills with how he just looks a little bit stuck with his decision making in the pocket. It creates some really bad turnovers. It creates some just like throws that are not in the area, and some you know, disjointed looking plays, and they a big part of that is they don't have any special matchup erasers.

I like their skill players in general, but they don't have a Tyreek Hill, they don't have a Jalen Waddle. They have nothing close to that. And in this league, I think you have to have that to be a consistent winner. Now inside a reason why that disconnect often occurs. You guys remember Brandon Shurf as like this massive guard prospect once he left the Commanders and everybody wanted to get a piece of this like seventeen million dollars per

year guard. His game is declined and the way he plays in a pham booth and his sets and slides are not good. And I think that's a key element for the Dolphins to attack. It's going after that right guard with mugged up pressure looks. So we'll get back to a second. Anton Harrison is an absolute maller, but also can be beat around the corner with speed something else we have. I think you consistently show those linebackers mugged up inside and get that right side of the

Jaguars offensive line confused. Because the Falcons in their preseason game go back to last year in the Titans game, in the finale, Mike Frable's defense got that accomplished. Go back to the Bravens game. They got that accomplished. The Niners game got that accomplished. Where you take these rangy, physical, speedy, smart linebackers, you mug them up, you show pressure, you back out. He doesn't know where the protection needs to slide.

They have their own issues getting things corrected from the offensive line perspective, And what I frequently saw was Shurf would because the way protection scans work is you want to protect inside first, but you have adjustments based upon like, Okay, if he goes, I have to go get him in the A gap. If he backs out, I take this quick set and then I repivot back open to get

with to get the widest rusher who is coming. And Suref gets himself in these situations where he gets flat footed and you can beat him just by showing that look and not bringing it. And so I think about the concept of getting Jalen Phillips, for instance, over the three technique and rushing him in that spot with Jordan Brooks mugged up and force Shurf with his feet too

close together, with his weight not distributed correctly. To take on a power rush against Jalen Phillips, a bowl rush against Jalen Phillips, and then if he can't handle that, you've got an immediate b gap pressure from one of the best linebackers in the game. And if he gets help, now maybe you have Chop Robinson or Muhammad Kamara coming off the edge at one point six ten split time with no one there to block him besides a back

stepping up in scan protection. So I think that all of that and creating this hesitation from the quarterback and getting these these protection confusion concepts married up, I think you can blow up their passing game if you can get that accomplished. I don't think anybody on this offensive line is good, particularly in one on ones, and I think this design, this defense is designed to create those one on one matchups with the guys we just talked about.

So I think that's a deadly proposition there for the Jaguars offense. I think individually the line does have some good parts, but you can just absolutely wreck their assignments and get him out of rhythm with that concept. I do think the addition of Mitch Morse over Luke Fortner last year helps a lot with that, but in the preseason game that I watched, it was more of the same for them. Their offensive line goes Cam Robinson, Ezra Cleveland,

Mitch Morse, Brandon Schirf, and Anton Harrison. Let's go ahead and put a pennant rate there. We're already twenty minutes into the show. Come back on the other side, continue the offense of the Jaguars versus the Dolphins defense. Big picture things two to three we'll do the defense will predict the game. Much more to come here Draft Time Podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation.

and that includes the boot action for Trevor Lawrence. And the one worry I have here is that we might have some young edges out there, although I think that Moe did a great job of honoring that in the preseason, and I think Chopp has some work to do in the running game. But if those guys are out there, that might be a concern for me. That's probably why I go with more Emmanuel Ogbaugh in those looks to kick things off, along with Jalen Phillips when you can

get him out there in those base downs. I almost feel like it's better to have JP on a pitch count in bass downs than it is to have him in rushing downs because of just the nature of your position group there, with Chopp being to me more suited as a rusher at this point of his career. But if you can force Travis Etn to change tracks before he builds up speed behind the line of scrimmage, then

you can really ground their ground game redundancies. But if he sees it and hits it convicted, that is when he gets rolling. He's also as dangerous threat as a pass catcher. And I include Bigsby and here as a changeup because ETN ran more zone by thirty three percent, greater than man splits. And then Bigsby is a fifty to fifty guy, which means they like to go gap

power with him. So I think, you know, based on personnel, and this includes passing game feature, you can kind of get your keys based on who they have in the game as a running back, which is really great for two guys like Brooks and Long to sort out. So basically, tank Bigsby reps are a good thing for this defense. The third thing, and this is much more extensive, is

their vertical horizontal stretch aspect of their skilled groups. So modern defense is all about picking your poison right in today's league, everybody has three or four options they can break a game open with. You know, we have Reek Waddle, Hchan Raheem, you know Obj, John who Smith. We have more than most teams and to me, the two you center on with Jacksonville are by levels. It's the quick game with Christian Kirk, the intermediate game with Evan Ingram,

and the vertical stretch with newcomer Brian Thomas Junior. Now this is like pass pro. You want to guard first against the most dangerous and that means the vertical stretch. You can't give up big plays and win football games. My top goal in this game is to not let Brian Thomas get behind us, but then overplaying that could spring options in the intermediate portion of the field for Evan Ingram, who is a tough matchup on anybody he faces.

And if we take that away, does that mean playing Christian Kirk in one on one situations?

we'll find out more. As a week goes along. You know, I think you can play this from two high structures thanks to what I think that Seiler and Campbell provides you inside against an offensive line that has struggled with size.

Go back to last year they had eighty five or fewer rushing yards and games against Indy with massive Grover Stewart and DeForest Buckner, against the Titans with Justin Simmons's big butt, against Baltimore against Michael pearceon his three hundred and sixty pound frame, and Justin Matdabweke now Nomdi Madabweke. Kansas City with Chris Jones, San Francisco with Eric Armstead and Javon Hargrave, Tampa Bay with Fidovea and Greg Gaines,

Cleveland with Dalvin Thomlinson and Shelby Harris. Conversely, they were six and one in games when they had better than one hundred rushing yards, and those were smaller fronts like Buffalo, Carolina and Houston. So I think it's a good matchup for us because we can hold the point of attack

with the biggest, strongest defensive tackles in the game. That creates runs and makes keys easier on the speeds and instincts of Brooks and long and again, Brooks is one of the better matchups for my money on a player like Evan Ingram. So from here, I think you can help limit the vertical structure with structure, I should say the vertical game with structure being in two high safety sets where you can still get your run stops from that because of what you have up front the intermediate

with Brooks and probably some help there as well. You don't typically live a linebacker on a game breaking tight end all by himself all game long, and then matchups with Kirk going from Ramsey or full or whoever can kick inside.

They also run Brenton Strange out there as an F and then Gabe Davis again, another guy that kind of factors into things. But I watch his tape and there is it's an easy matchup. To me, I would put my worst corner on him. He's not explosive, there's no physicality, there's no acceleration. If you can heat up Trevor and force him into back foot one on one throws to Gabe Davis, then hell, yeah, brother, let's run that all

day long. Let's go ahead and pivot now to the other side of the football and the Dolphins offense and a very confident to a tongue of Biloa who was, like I said, very confident in his Wednesday press conference. And this thing for me kicks off with the well the scheme, I mean when we talk about the scheme right and to a mention like you don't know what you're going to get from a team that's brand new in terms of how they run things. And for me, I mean, don't I have even less knowledge than those

guys doing less access to knowledge. So ultimately it's tough to figure out what it'll be given we just haven't seen it yet. With Ryan Nielsen and Matt personnel on their defense. Now he cut his teeth in the NFL under Dennis Allen, who's operated this largely Cover one, Cover three principles, and a lot of that Cover three is kind of pressed up and forcing you to reroute early. But that also leaves you know, vertical passes down the field the sideline for you, which two has been hitting

all camp long. But I'm just not sure that's what you want to do against this Dolphins offense, because if it is a lot of Cover one and Cover three, then it's bombs away baby against Cover one, and some of those deep comebacks and outcuts that capitalize in the space created there. Cover three can prevent middle of the field shots and allow you to rob some of the inbreaking stuff that we run, you know, some of our bread and butter, those eighteen yard dig brows, some dagger concepts.

But that leaves vacancies on the perimeter, and we've seen Tua and Reeke have no issue throwing those you know, late breaking comebacks or two A pumps that thing out there way before Tyreek Eevin farles down to get back into the stem or back down the stem, I should say, and of course, if it's cover one that gives you a one on one matchup on either side of the field on any given rep. And that's why I say

bombs away. When you give clearly defined cover one looks against this offense, you can a lot of times mitigate any protection shortcomings into bad looks or pressure looks because of how efficient we are at getting the ball out early and down the field. Because remember, nobody throws the ball further faster, and that's quite literally the ideal combination of football passing game principle. The Jags do tie their rush to a lot of games up front, so that's

important to be connected inside. And that's why I think again it's another good matchup because if you're going to run stunts and twist and we have motions and double pollers and reverse you know action and split flow action and short motion like your game's, do you know good? Because you're just getting yourself out of gaps that we can attack immediately. And while we're working in this new

defense of our own. The Jags are doing this with one of their top guys being a new to the system and b having been limited throughout most of camp, and that of course is Eric Armstead, And that's just another reason in a league of constant turnover why I believe our continuity upfront can be paramount in this game. And of course if they do camp out and cover three, well, that's when the run game can really become a factor.

I tend to think it'll be more two man where they bump or cover three bump and try to disrupt as early as they can while capping the vertical game with either split safeties or you know, corners that have full deep thirds responsibility. And if that's the case, if they go with a two the split defense, the middle of the field opens up, or if they go in that cover three bump, the intermedia out portions of the field open up, and two has been hitting those all

amp long man. So I think this is an offense that there's no good solution for, and this defense lacking in personnel trying to work in a new defensive system. I just don't think it's going to go very well for you. I don't And this is why a week one, you know, can be tough for anybody that's got a new system because you just don't know what you're going to get. But that can also play into our favor.

How do you attack it? We kind of covered this already, but the run game would be big against their cover three or split safety looks, and I think our ability to get the ball on the perimeter and wash down onto their backers would really bode well for us. And

from there, I think you can really incorporate misdirection. You know more on that in the Big Three and Nielsen their DC did a good job of mixing their fronts in Atlanta, which creates a challenge for TUA to identify it, especially with a new center and Aaron Brewer who will play their first game together. The whole side, This whole side is shorter because I just don't have the substantial information.

It's more guesswork trying to piece this together and just kind of giving you guys some matchups to look at, which we'll do now. In fact, let's go ahead and do one of these them. We'll take a first, our last break. The first bit of the Big Three here for the Dolphins offense versus the Jags defense is handling the trio of Josh Heinz, Allen, Eric Armstead and Trayvon Walker.

at twenty three percent. But given two US proficiency against the blitz and the fact that both Chad Muma and Devin Lloyd, their two off ball linebackers, are not big blitzers, I think that'll be less blitzing from the Falcon or from the Jaguars. More on that in a moment. I think you tend to have eyes on Alan Hines and Armstead because both guys can win quickly and they can, you know, really thwart some of your you know, run game action and trying to get off the ball quickly

just by being bigger and stronger than you. And Armstead is so tough to get movement on in the running game. But the good news is here you can largely avoid those eyes by running wide, and you can also avoid them because they often will align to the same side of the defense. I think I think that'll be the case, but also sometimes the best way to attack a great

pass rusher is to run right at him. So I think between the outside run game, the screen game, the play action off the run game, I think we're gonna have these dudes head spinning. I do think the pockets will be clear enough for TUA despite these very talented pass rushers, especially when you factor in that our best guys are probably our tackles in Tront Armstead and what he can do from a protection slide standpoint, And what a great opponent to have to have Tron Armstead for

like he is. I mean, this is the kind of guy that can help you mitigate pressure from a good pass rush by just being out on the field and the intelligence that he features. It's a perfect fit for us,

and a massive key and Austin Jackson as well. I think those two guys are critical here and yet another reason you feel good about this line with stalwart bookends and their ability to operate alone on an island that empowers Aaron Brewer and to go help out the guards and pass pro All of that said, this is where I think people don't get our offensive line and how it operates. They're going to try to find their matchups

as rushers and we'll move guys accordingly. But I do not think that will come out in Week one with something that makes it easy on their rusher or I do think we will come out with something that makes it easy against their rushers. I will always favor us to manage it with how we scheme, but that is tenfold for week one, so I think that we can really really neutralize their rush.

the pod. It's a little bit changed from last year.

did address that with Darnell Savage at safety. Andrew Wingert is down on pup right now, and they also got a new cornerback, Ronald Darby.

our offense, and that means dictating our own spacing. And the best way to really get those eyes jumping is by running the football off the perimeter and force those linebackers to honor our ability to win the perimeter in the running game, and that also coincides with getting better pass pro in the passing game. How do they handle

spacing issues that we create on offense. I go back to that Chargers game and they really struggle with that a year ago, and they have similar linebacker skill sets as these guys have, So I think about our ability to get the ball on the edge in creative ways, end a rounds misdirection you know, Trey count or whatever you want to run to create extra gaps in the middle of the passing defense to allow us to a run their cover three press off with our vertical skill

sets with Waddle and Tyreek, who can run any coverage off they want to, and then from that when they fall off, take advantage of the space inside and throw the ball behind displaced linebackers, just like we saw in that Charger game. I think Reek and Waddle are poised to both go for one hundred yards in this game. My third big thing is attacking the middle of the field when it is presented. I think you have this new system with a new DC and new players playing

a new position. All of that versus this offense will brother. It's a tall, tall order regarding Darnel Savage playing the nickel.

The beautiful part of the additions made in this offseason and the growth of Devon eight Chian is I think that you can get into groupings where Wattle and Tyreek run more of their routes from inside formations, from inside alignments, I should say, or the why position, the slot, whatever you want to call it, and this forces the Jags to tip their hand with help or just play it one on one, and that's a matchup you also take

any day of the week. I think Andre Cisco is a great post safety who can help them get their you know, dis guys, showing help one way and flow back the other way. But two was so good at that that you can't really trick him into the bad throws there. I think Tyson Campbell is a fantastic cover man. I don't think he's better than tyree kor Wattle at his job. So that's also a great matchup anytime you get that. And then Ronald Darby has played a lot

of reps in this league. But I mean, come on, like, that's not a guy that's gonna shut down either of those guys by himself. I think they're gonna have to try to find out the best way to put two guys on both of those receivers, and then what do you have left. Chad Mumma on John new Smith, like Devin Lloyd on Devon h Chan, I just think this

defense is right for picking against these matchups. And they beyond that, they don't have a lot of guys either, So if they have you know, IV issues, conditioning issues, you're talking about getting the players that just have no experience playing in this league, and that's how you get

boat raced. I also love Tooa's ability in this one to identify and exploit matchups that he will be given because of the jags perceived minimal back seven depth, our own experience in the system, and the expanded nature of our offense through new personnel. Some additional parts in the Jags defense to Von Hamilton, the defensive tack well, very good player that you need to find a way to get off the point of attack. The best way to do that is to run him wide, and we know

that Aaron Brewer will do that. Man. I think I think Brewer is going to have a big opening day, getting on some second level combo blocks and really helping out in the interior pass protection. And that's kind of it, as far as people didn't talk about, we kind of cover their entire defense there in the matchups. I like, what's at stake in this game? This portion always needs more. You know, you gotta wait for it to be really relevant,

like post Halloween, maybe even post Thanksgiving. I think the thing to mention here is it's a home game. You don't want to lose those, it's the opener. We can make it four straight season openers, three straight home opener victories, and on a short week against good Buffalo Bills team.

misdirection and play action game. Off the run game against six and one in games last year with better than one hundred rushing yards, and that's not just we were up and ran the clock out. Five of those wins were one score games enter in the fourth quarter. Stop their run.

and attack. Accordingly, Number three is just put Chad Muma and Devin Lloyd in Hell. The Open last year against Kenneth Murray had the same exact issues. I anticipate some of that as well here. Not as bad, but some of that as well. I think it's bad eye discipline, not enough speed to match us on the premier of the running game, not good cover guys to draw John U. Smith, Raheem Moster, and Devon h Chan the range of outcomes. I don't think Jacksonville can win this game by more

than a score. I think they can win the game if they play everything right and take care of their own things on offense. I think Miami could absolutely bote race Jacksonville because we've seen new defenses struggle when seeing Miami early on. In fact, if you go over the Dolphin September numbers since McDaniel got here, the only times that they were limited were against two tough Division opponents that played good defense. It was Bill Belichick twice and

Sean McDermott. You got sixty five points in those three games, so not great, right. One of the other games is against the Bengals when we had Teddy Bridgewater are playing, so I don't really factor that into the equation here. But the other three games were Mike McDonald and his second game is DC who is now a head coach because of how great he was at calling defense and had the number one defense NFL last year. He allowed forty two points in the in the Week two game

against Miami back in twenty twenty two. Figured out immediately after that Staley was one of those games, and he is Staley, So that's what it is. But Vance Joseph in his first game with the Denver Broncos, or rather third game in his a new season with the Denver Broncos, allowed seventy to us. So when it's a new coordinator who's not a good defensive coach in the division, Miami tends to score thirty six or more points and the average is like fifty something points the other two game.

The other three games were twenty one points per game against Belichick and McDermott. But I do think they could have six sass offensively and keep up, so I could see a thirty one twenty eight Jacksonville win. Maybe I think that's possible, but I don't think it's probable. I think this is at least a touchdown win for the Dolphins. I think our ability to score and then dial up pressure and make the Jags one dimensional plays right into

our hand. I don't think they'll know what hit them in an opener when McDaniel and Frank Smith have had all off season to get ready for this game. So I'm going Dolphins thirty eight Jags twenty four, a two touchdown win, hopefully it's even more lops ated heading into the fourth quarter, and get some guys off the field and get ready for the Buffalo Bills ideal scenario. Not saying it's likely like lash with Carolina the Giants, but

here's hoping. And that was the first preview episode of the brand new season Fun one Tomorrow Football Friday with Dimitrius Harvey from Jacks dot Com and the great Kyle Krabz. But until then, you all please be sure to subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, repeat your podcast from go ahead and leave us a rating, leave us a review. You can follow me on social at Winkfoot NFL. You can follow the team at Miami Dolphins. Check out the

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