Drilling Deep: John Vaillant on Climate Change and Wildfire - podcast episode cover

Drilling Deep: John Vaillant on Climate Change and Wildfire

Jan 12, 20261 hr 1 min
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Episode description

Wildfires are becoming more intense, frequent, and destructive as the climate heats up. Drilled reporter Royce Kurmelovs and Canadian author John Vallaint, author of Fire Weather, discuss the climate-fire nexus.

 

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Transcript

Speaker 1

Hello and welcome back to Drilled. I'm Amy Westervelt. Quite a start to the year here. If you haven't already listened to it, I recommend going back and listening to our season on Guyana. It has a lot to do with what's happening in Venezuela right now and in other news. Unfortunately, the episode that we're bringing to you today is quite timely. Our Australia reporter Royce Kermelov's spoke with Canadian author John Valent at the Byron Ryders Festival last year about John's

book Fire Weather. We were already planning to bring you that conversation this week, but now the entire state of Victoria is under an extreme fire danger warning. It's bringing back memories of the terrible fire season in Australia just a few years back. There are spotfires burning in New South Wales and South Australia as well. So I can't think of a better time to bring you this conversation.

Speaker 2

Hope you enjoy it. Here it is.

Speaker 3

Hello and welcome to the two pm session here at Byron Ryers Festival. I am royce Kermelovs. I will be your host for the session. I'm very excited to be here today with you to talk about this wonderfully written book that is both exquisitely written and, as one writer for The New York Times described it, unfortunately exquisitely timed. The book is Fireweather, a true story from a hotter world, which you can see here I'm holding up very conveniently.

The story it tells us about a Canadian oil town that experienced a catastrophic bushfire in twenty sixteen. And though it describes events a world away, for many of us here in Australia, it'll be deeply familiar and for many people in this region.

Speaker 4

And this.

Speaker 3

Powerfully drawn book is about many things. It's harrowing, it's about fire, it's about climate change, and it's about the particular talent for self harm that we as a species appear to show for ourselves. The author of this fine book is John Valiant, who is here with me today. And for those who don't know whom, John is an author and a writer and has traveled halfway around the world to be here. So could you please all make

him for warmly welcome Mbayron Bay. And just before we get into it, I want to be just heads up. We will be taking questions in this session, so in about forty five minutes a volunteer will come around with a microphone. So if you have your questions, hold on to them to then we do ask that the questions are a question and you know you're going to keep them short so we can get as many in as possible to kind of get as much good information as

we can out. And if you want to have more of a conversation with John, you're more than welcome to do so. I wrote the book, signing tent with a copy of the book when after the show, So John, I wanted to kind of open this conversation with you by asking the question, I mean, there are many fires in many places, but what drew you to this one?

Speaker 4

Yes. First of all, I would like to say thanks to the Tasmanian Walking Company and also to all of you. I'm really glad to be here with you. And also I have to say off the top, I feel rather sheepish coming to Australia to talk about fire when Australia has kind of written the book on fire in many ways, and a lot of us are up north are learning from you and watching and fascination and horror you know, as you reach new heights of flammability. But we're keeping

pace up in Canada. We're doing our part. And Fort McMurray, which caught on fire in May on May through twenty sixteen and drove the largest most rapid evacuation due to fire in modern times, caught my attention before any of us knew that really, because it disappeared from the face of the earth for a while, and I was I'm not a climate journalist. I'd write about every book is

about a different subject. I've written about aman eating tiger in Russia and a botanically unique tree in British Columbia and other things. But so fire was not really on my radar. And I was working on a novel and in Italy at a very swank writer's retreat and made the mistake of looking at Twitter and this petroleum hub

of Canada. Canada's the fourth or fifth largest petroleum producer in the world, and the hub of that industry had completely disappeared beneath a forty thousand foot tall pyrocumulonimbus fire cloud. And that was on May third, twenty sixteen, and nobody knew there were a ninety thousand people in there. You can see the cars streaming out. There's only one road out. They were streaming out like ants to the horizon, and nobody knew who was left in there, and nobody knew

for days. It was really frightening. Kind of at a national level, it's a nationally important city. It is home to the highest wages in the whole city. I think you have some of that here. There's you have a great name for it, the pilberl, the uh okay and the name for the people who make spectacular wages working there.

Speaker 3

But oh, yes, the cashed out bogains.

Speaker 4

I think it's yeah, yeah, the cashed out boguins. Well, this is what Fort McMurray is famous for. And the median household income there, even after a global downturn in petroleum prices, was two hundred thousand dollars a year, making it one of the wealthiest municipalities in all of North America. And that's including you know, Marin County and Westchester, New York. So it's a very very powerful place in the idea that it could be wiped off the face of the

earth in an afternoon was deeply threatening and terrifying. And I dropped the novel and started paying attention so on that.

Speaker 3

So, just to contextualize this place a little bit more for people in the audience who may not be familiar. I mean, we in Australia have the coal industry, we have the gas industry, we have centers of you know, mining and extraction such as the Pilber other places. But am I right that the specific industry on this place was the tarsans? So can you just explain what they are?

Speaker 4

The tarzans are total anomaly. There are tarzans in Venezuela also that produce petroleum. But tarsand is bitjumin soaked sand and bitchumen. If you don't know, it's what you seal your driveway with. It's what you seal a house foundation with. It's a tari liquid substance. You can't really burn it, you know, unless you heat it way a normal combustive temperatures. It's not oil or gas in the sense that most of us understand it. And it has to be mined

out of the ground. And this industry has altered, basically destroyed a thousand square miles of the northern boreal forest. And as they use gigantic shovels, much like coal mining to dig this stuff out, and then in order to process it, you have to melt it with billions of cubic feet of natural gas just to render it into a liquid form that can then be piped a thousand miles south to an American refinery for processing, where it

needs more natural gas to refine it. So it is probably the least efficient, most environmentally destructive, most costly petroleum product anywhere on Earth, and the math that makes it work is fuzzy to say the least.

Speaker 3

How much I mean, what kind of gravity does this place have? Because of the toss hands within Canadian politics and society.

Speaker 4

So Alberta is the Texas of Canada. It's a very conservative state. It's pretty much owned by the petroleum industry. The petroleum industry really across most of North America controls a lot of the political discourse to an unwholesome degree. The amount of lobbying hours and energy that goes on in Ottawa, the capital of Canada, or in DC is shocking to say the least, and so Alberta is kind of a beneficiary of that. I would say it's the

way information is controlled there. It's sort of small f fascist and you know, I'm really sorry to say that. You know, I'm a Canadian, generally proud Canadian, but you know, Alberta is a problematic place in complete denial about climate change, like Texas, like Washington, d C. Now, and it's basically in servitude to this so far very lucrative but extraordinarily destructive petroleum industry. And it creates a very weird tension where incredible wages can be garnered, but also the same

mostly men. It's about twenty five to one up there. Men to women also live in enormous procarty because they can be laid off at any time. They get on the hook for one hundred thousand dollars f one fifty or a house and then they can lose it all. And it's a very kind of hyper and unstable situation that has a lot of casualties come out of it.

Speaker 3

And so when I want to get you to explain what happened in a second, but just before we move into that, what you've described means that when we talk about this catastrophic fire and this place, there was a kind of poetry in what happened.

Speaker 4

Right, Well, it's strange circularity. So the bitchumin industry of Canada, of Fort McMurray, it's to put this in perspective, Canada is the largest foreign supplier of petroleum to the United States. It's the biggest source of foreign exports. About four million barrels a day of diluted bitchumen runs out of Fort McMurray down into American refineries. It's a colossal amount of potential energy. And so Fort McMurray is the biggest emitter

in the country of CO two. And the idea of a climate enhanced wildfire that was behaving in ways no one had ever seen before, the idea that this fire would not only threaten but actually overrun the entire city was kind of on the nose, really, and yet it happened. And I think what was surprising is how hard it was, even when the fire was in front of people's faces, how hard it was for them to believe that this was actually happening and happening to them.

Speaker 3

And you do a very good job in the book of describing how and when this began, that the fire kind of began over the hill as a distant problem not to think about. Can you talk about how this began and what happened to this place.

Speaker 4

So the boreal forest of Northern Canada, it runs actually all the way around the world, so the Russian Taiga is basically boreal forest. It continues across into North America, across Alaska, all the way across Northern Canada. It's the wettest biome on Earth, wetter than the tropical jungle, huge rivers, small oceans, inland, seas of lakes, and it's terribly flammable. So there are species there, just like here, that will not regenerate unless they're burned. So it's normal for the

boreal forest to burn. And this city is an isolated city, five hours driving from the nearest other major source of assistance, which is Edmonton, terribly isolated, and so fires surround it every summer and every spring, and so there is this strange comfort with smoke plumes on the horizon, but also this magical compact that they seem to have that well the fire, Yeah, the fires burn out there, but they'll never come into our city. And that had worked for

fifty years. And nature, you know, is not here to make agreements with human beings or their ambitions. Nature is here responding to the forces that influence it. And what we had on May third, twenty sixteen was a temperature record for that day broken by six degrees celsius, and we had relative humidity of eleven and that, you know,

might make your eyes roll back. And it's not an interesting subject to me until I started looking at where eleven percent humidity is normal, and eleven percent humidity is normal in North America in Death Valley in the month of July, the driest hottest place on the continent. And now those conditions have been transposed to one of the most flammable ecosystems on Earth, and we've had two years of drought, and so those trees didn't just catch on fire,

they exploded into flame. And at about one in the afternoon, a ten kilometer wide wave of fire one hundred meters tall swept into the city and it came fast and burnt through the city day and night for a week. And it's I think the only other fire that's lasted that urban fire that's lasted that long as the Great Fire of London in sixteen sixty six. And those were some different conditions, and so how did the people respond?

First off, Well, one person I interviewed. There's this very heavy duty, angry looking black plume on the other side of the river from where she lives, and there had been four other big fires around the city. People were already being evacuated temporarily. This woman, who lived right in the middle of town was hosting one of these evacuated couples, and they were taking pictures of the plume across the river, but it was a novelty to them. It was like

a rainbow. And then she went off to work in her Porsche and it was a bluebird day, unseasonably hot, and so she dressed for the weather. She wore a skirt, which she hardly ever did, because it's a city of men, and being a woman working there is a very weird, overdetermined experience, and it's a little bit like maybe being a female prison guard in a prison, like there's this unwholesome energy is directed at you. And in spite of this, she dressed it in a festive way and went off

in her Porsche. And when she came back down into town for lunch, the city had disappeared behind this black and red curtain, and she didn't even understand what she was looking at It had happened so fast, it was so huge that what a lot of people experienced was disorientation. They simply didn't have the space in their head to

understand what was happening. So and that was really interesting because you know, I have my feelings about the petroleum industry and people who work in it, and there's a policy of climate denial in Alberta. And this wasn't denial. This wasn't people being obtuse. This was something so enormous side their experience that they simply didn't have the cognitive capacity to process it in a rational way. It was just not computing. It just yeah, it basically kind of

created more of a short circuit. And so and then you know, ash was falling. Sky was completely orange. By two or three in the afternoon. You could only function in the city with headlights because it had turned black. It was so dark from the except for things that were burning. And everybody realized, you know, not from the authorities, but from their neighbors saying, you know, my house is

on fire, you should probably leave. Then this very hirky jerky, disorganized evacuation began, and with a miraculous outcome which we can get into But.

Speaker 3

I want to talk about the evacuation a second, but we'll take a step back, because one of the things you do so well through the book is you draw out these moments of absurdity, almost this kind of sense where the reality people have faced does not compute with

the expectation of the wall as it should be. And I think one of the scenes that and I want to ask you about the authorities reaction a second, but one of the scenes in particular I'm thinking about involves the authorities, and that was when I think it was. Was it the fire chief when the radio station.

Speaker 4

Yeah, yeah, the he's he's in the radio station and he's being this is this at eleven am on May third, massive fire outside of town, and the fire chief and the head of the wildfire service are on the air. Who's listening. Everyone's gone to work, you know, everyone's in school or so to whoever's listening, they're saying, go to school, go to work. We've got we think we've got a

grip on this. All is good. And then right after that, around noon, a journalist brought the wildfire guy into the radio station and it had a plate glass window that happened to look in the direction where the fire was, and you know, it was a distant you could barely see it, you know, at ten in the morning. But by twelve thirty it had achieved crossover, which is basically where the humidity and the temperature divide in a particular

way that really energizes fire. You have that here in Australia too, for sure, And so that was happening and it changed the quality of the smoke coming up behind these neighborhoods. And so we see the interviewer who described this to me in detail. You hear this guy, the wildfire manager, just repeating by wrote these almost kind of platitude, like anodyne directives about what people should do, which was don't do anything, rash, go to work, do your thing.

And we've got this in hand. But he's watching with his eyes as the smoke changes, and he knows, he understands, because he's a wildfire prison he understands what's happening. And then he kind of cuts the inner and hustles out of there. And that's when the first evacuation notices is issued.

And so we see people, even the experts, even the people in charge, who understand the gravity of the fire conditions, how dry it is, how hot it is, two years of drought, all of that things that people in Australia and are very familiar with. And imagine the fire authority who understood that intellectually but still couldn't make the leap. My god, this is energy that could take over the city. And that's what you see kind of in real time as they start to put it together. And it's very

hard to look at in retrospect. How could you not understand this when all the fire codes, the drought, moisture code, the temperature, the wind, everything was pointing to firestorm conditions. How could you not get it? And I think intellectually

they got it, but they didn' get it existentially. And so that's what we see in this kind of tortured way as this city, you know, one of the wealthiest in North America, where people have enormous agency and enormous confidence in their ability to meet challenges, are overwhelmed by an energy they've never encountered and have no equipment to respond to.

Speaker 3

And I want to ask you about the evacuation because there's a concept in sociology called elite panic, and it's where decision makers. You know, in decision making roles across the board, assume that when bad news gets broken, the average person will freak out and behave very badly and you know, and break the rules and chaos will rain. But and you have your description of the evacuation of these places is vivid and haunting and in some ways

beautiful despite the awful circumstances you are describing. Could you talk about what happened as people evacuated from these neighborhoods, as they evacuated from the city.

Speaker 4

So it's a Patrolilliam town. So everybody is there to do one thing. They might have different jobs, but it's all to serve the industry. It's a one industry town. It's a young town and a lot of them are living in very new developments. Some of these houses are only a year old because it's a supercharged, superheated economy. These houses are you know, start at half a million and go up from there again with these new developments.

You probably have this in Australia too. There's only one road in people haven't really thought about, well, we should probably have an alternate exit road in case that one is blocked by fire. This is a really serious issue across a lot of the Western world and places in general, especially where there's new rapid development going in and so, and they are realizing that their community is on fire in a very uneven way. And again a lot of it is word of mouth. And what's extraordinary is somehow

everybody did the right thing, and that statistically impossible. This is a city of eighty or ninety thousand people where you know, there are drug problems there, there are people who have worked, you know, pulled two or three twelve hour shifts. People are sleeping at odd hours. This industry runs around the clock, so you have people sleeping in the daytime, and you also have many different languages and

ethnicities there, and it's kind of a melting pot. And so what to cut to make a long story short, there was a one hundred percent success rate with the evacuation. No one knew this for days. They kept as they you know, eventually started sifting through these burnt basements, of which there were thousands. They were expecting to find bones or something. They never found any. And they've they've you know, they've realized we had a one hundred percent successful evacuation.

And of course, you know, that's because it was Canadians who and.

Speaker 3

So.

Speaker 4

But here's the thing, and so I could feel really really good about that until I found out what a Canadian was, which made me feel even better about it. Because in twenty sixteen, the year of the fire, there was that census that revealed the median household income of two hundred thousand dollars a year. Also, the other thing that that census revealed was that there were eighty eight zero first languages spoken in Fort McMurray in twenty sixteen. So it's like Toronto or Sydney in terms of its

international nature. And so you have the languages, the ethnicities, the religions, the different concepts of what risk is, the different concepts of what community is. And yet somehow, between police, firefighters and citizens going door to door, every single person got out. And it's amazing. And this does not have This is not happening in Turkey right now, where we have a lot of fatalities. Didn't happen in la where thirty people were killed, didn't happen in Paradise where nearly

one hundred were killed. Didn't happen in Valparaiso last spring where two hundred people were killed. People generally die in conflagrations, and there's been a lot of them over the past decade, and so Fort McMurray had this strange mercy visited upon it. And a lot of people work in the petroleum industry, so there have fire consciousness. But that doesn't explain a

one hundred percent success rate. And I'm kind of hoping a sociologist will go up there and analyze the escape, because it's never been repeated and probably never will be. And so Canada got a pass. And their response to that, though, was to rebuild the city exactly as it was and to increased petroleum production and to be in complete denial about what happened on the evacuation.

Speaker 3

There are some incredible scenes, for instance, the people waiting in line in the car as the fire burned on both sides of the highway, and what you described was this incredible sense of solidarity and mutual aid. When the chips were down, people stepped up. For instance, the journalists you spoke of. I think he stayed until the very bitter end to evacuate to make sure the word got out. As Max, the guy in the radio station, was broadcasting

to the last to make sure word got out. And the other thing I wanted to ask before I wanted to kind of pull the camera back and ask some bigger picture questions in the second. But the final thing is the response the firefighters, the people on the front line who were responding to this thing. You had an incredibly respectful, incredibly incredible stories that you spoke to these people about. Can you talk about some of how they responded, how they had to learn on the fly in response to what was.

Speaker 4

So no firefighter there had ever seen a fire like this, because there really has never been a fire like that we are burning in Canada before through a community that was generating the energy. And so the very quickly radiant heat is the invisible heat that tells you not to touch the candle. And when you have a wall of flame one hundred meters tall and ten kilometers wide sweeping in, it's projecting radiant heat of about five hundred celsius into

the community. So it's desiccating everything. And if you have vinyl siding on your house, of course that's melting off. And because the modern house here in Australia too is composed heavily of petrochemicals, at that temperature, all those petrochemicals start to vaporize, and so what you have is a gigantic gas can full of flammable vapor. Except that's your house,

that's your neighborhood, that's your city. And so the other thing that's happening with that kind of heat is it's generating ferocious wind, and so you have ember showers, you know, sort of fifty thousand embers per acre, landing on these unburned houses, and instead of the house catching on fire because of all the vapor, the house explodes into flame.

And so I got through to some firefighters finally. You know, that's a sort of a closed environment and it's kind of hard to break in there, and I managed to do it with the help of another forest fire fighter and talking with these guys and I said, yeah, the

houses were burning down in five minutes. And I was sure that this guy was exaggerating or you know, like five minutes, and I pressed him and I said five minutes, Like what do you mean from no fire on the house to fire in the basement with nothing standing in five minutes. And these are you know, half million dollar houses that weigh fifty tons, you know, these are proper homes,

and they began to modify their firefighting technique. By there's no way they could get to a house quickly enough when it's burning five minutes, so they would basically figure out which way the fire was going and then count down the houses. And it takes twenty minutes to set up at a hydrant, and so they would count down four houses and start on that house, and the previous

four would burn. And in many cases the heat was so intense that they simply had to issue a may day and just evacuate the fire trucks in everything, and to the point that they were leaving hoses in the hydrants, and which is something you never do. You know, It's like a soldier leaving their gun behind. You know, there's certain things that are just ingrained into your behavior and you do not leave any equipment behind or obviously any

of your firefighting crew. And all they could manage to do was to get out with their trucks and they managed to, you know, bring the civilians. And this is something I think that you know, we hadn't hit yet, but Australians have where the firefighting operation turns into a life saving operation where all you can do is try to get as many people out as you can, and you can't. The structures are so involved with fire that there's nothing water can meaningfully do.

Speaker 3

And in describing some of those responses and that learning on the fly, you also talk with great respect about kind of working class knowledge and experience. You talk about guys from trades who are on these fire crews, you know, using like responding in real time to what was in front of them effectively, can you like?

Speaker 4

Where does like? And a lot of people would miss that. Where does that come from? That? One of the more interesting interviews I had was with heavy equipment operators who so that the fire burn't meant as for many days and nights. This is exhausting for firefighters. A lot of these guys didn't sleep for forty eight hours, fifty six hours, seventy two hours, So you're you're hallucinating by them. But they're fighting for their city. There is no help coming.

They're on their own in there. In many cases they're superiors,

don't even know where they are. They're kind of caught behind enemy lines trying to save a school or you know, some piece of a neighborhood, or maybe the airport and At one point, the fire was moving so quickly through this one housing development that they just realize the only way they're going to stop it, so basically, plow a fire break through the neighborhood, in other words, tear all the standing houses down to keep it from going into the next neighborhood. So this is day three or four.

It's you know, four in the morning, pitch dark except for the fire, and these bulldozer and backo operators are brought in and told to plow every car they see in the street through the wall and into the basement of the nearest house and then plow the house down on top of it. And these are again six hundred thousand dollars houses that are literally brand new, finished that year.

And so these guys are just kind of doing what they're told, and they don't have protective gear on the fire as they're raging, and their solidarity for each other, their concern for each other, and their bravery and their incredible expertise under pressure was kind of unmistakable and fascinating. And these are you know, these guys had never been interviewed by anybody before, and they're humble, working guys paid

extraordinarily well but pretty low key people. And it's just a fascinating section of the book hearing these guys who are experts with heavy equipment talk about the subtleties of heavy equipment under the most kind of terrifying and dangerous circumstances that they've ever operated in. And so that just gave me a sense of who these people really were.

And again, I live in Vancouver. It's kind of a lefty liberal viro scene that I come out of, and so I have a lot of baggage, you know, around the petroleum industry, and I quickly learned that that's not going to help me in my reporting, and so I really tried to leave as much of that behind as I could and just kind of approach these folks as

human beings with a very specific kind of expertise. And that paid off handsomely because we get to meet people who normally nobody ever bothers to interview, and they helped save that city and it was heroic what they did, and so I feel really proud of them and lucky to have had the opportunity to interview them.

Speaker 3

There's almost a sense as well for people that when you give them a chance to be noble. Some people will take that opportunity under the most trying circumstances.

Speaker 4

Oh, I think most people will. You know, they have pride in their town. And ultimately, I think, and you hear this from soldiers all the time, I'm just trying to save my guys. And that kind of solidarity is what kept the fire department together and kept these support teams who are working with them, heavy equipment operators, water truck drivers and cops who are all trying to manage this absolutely chaotic and also, by the way, lethally toxic situation.

So there's really few things more toxic than the cumulative smoke from a burning house. You know, there's a bazillion

chemicals in there and one thing that's quite poignant. These firefighters who spent a week NonStop trying to fight this fire are all pretty clear that their lives have been shortened the same way the people who did who were clearing away the Twin Towers after nine to eleven, people who are clearing up after Hurricane Katrina and New Orleans, just the soup of poisons that are ambient and released from normally able and inert objects is overwhelming, and these

guys who saved the city are going to pay the ultimate price for them.

Speaker 3

And this is probably a very good point where I want to kind of pull the camera back a little bit, because you do a great job throughout the book of talking about fire and humanity's relationship to fire, and I'm curious if you could talk a little about about how you see that relationship.

Speaker 4

So as I was writing along, I got more curious about the nature of fire because speaking with these firefighters, they ascribed a kind of personality to this fire. This fire was named the Beast while it was burning. It's really the only fire anywhere in the world that has been named in that way that I'm aware of. And so, you know, the Beast is up again. You know, I was, you know, battling with the beast over in this neighborhood. I was battling with it over there. And I started

kind of pressing. And these guys are not poets, and they're not scientists. They're firefighters. But they had this relationship with this entity that clearly had agency and a kind of ambition. And so I asked a very unscientific question, just rhetorically, which was is fire alive? And the second question was do humans and fire have a common ancestor, and these are questions no scientists would ask, and you know, firefighters don't ask that question either, and that's why we

have journalists to ask kind of unprofessional, improbable questions. But it led me to a much more nuanced understanding of fire, which has almost all the characteristics of a living thing except for sentience. So in terms of its power to reproduce, its versatility of diet, its ability to weight and to smolder, to be dormant and then to reawaken, I made a whole list of those qualities. And then that led me into you know, what's driving it and which is oxygen,

And that's kind of our common ancestor. You know, we are burning events. Also, we just take eighty years to burn up and fires burn much more quickly, but we're all oxidizing. Fire is a rapid oxidation event and you are a slow oxidation event. But we're both we're all oxidizing. So that made me think about petroleum in a different way, and our kinship with fire, which accompanies us everywhere we go to the point that we don't even realize it.

And so you know, when I turn on the hot water I'm activating fire, but to me, all I'm feeling is a nice, warm shower. When I get in the car, I get to go where I want to go, but hundreds of thousands of combustions are taking me there. And so I counted the number of fires that human beings make daily, and including internal combustions, it's on the order

of tens of trillions. So if you could see all the fires that we make just going about our daily lives, it would be like galaxies, galaxies of fire, none of which would burn, and circumstances like this, My god, this is a very very impressive rain you've got here.

Speaker 3

It is very ironical. But so just and to focus in there. You mentioned petroleum, and one of the things you talk about is the way in which fossil fuels, coal, oil gas can be thought of as fire in a bottle.

Speaker 4

Yeah, yeah, it's and I think it took me seven years to understand. It took me seven years to write this book, and it took me seven years to figure out that the petroleum industry is a wholly owned subsidiary of fire. You know, that's its principal utility to us is its flat ability. And so we've devoted this a global infrastructure. A third of all international shipping is devoted

to transporting fire energy. And that's what drives us, that's what empowers our economy, that's what it has enabled us to be together right now, That's what enabled me to join you from Vancouver. That's what has enabled most of us to achieve the wealth we have. You know, however humble that might be. Most of that is due to

thanks to petroleum. So we owe an enormous debt to petroleum, even as its externalities, which have not been factored in, which CO two and methane are now actively taking those gains away from us town by town, city by city, forest by forest. And so we're in this very early stage of understanding both are the debt we owe petroleum and at the same time, I'm the collection process that

a superheated climate is costing us. So where it's you know, we've never been here before, folks, and it's new, and.

Speaker 3

I think you have the word for is the piracy, and you describe it as it's right.

Speaker 4

Yeah, there's a really one kind of the The eminos Grease, the og of fire writing and science, is a guy named Stephen Pine who came out of Arizona State University, but started as a wildfirefighter in his teens. You know, in the Grand Canyon, which is now has one of the worst fires in Arizona history burning in it as I speak to you right now, the Dragon Bravo fire. So that's where he cut his teeth, and he after

the Fort McMurray fire. In twenty sixteen, he wrote an article for Slate magazine and he coined the term the pyro scene and he basically said, that is the era we're in. So last twelve thousand years was the Holy Scene epic. It's what enabled it was the kind of relatively stable climate conditions that allowed us to build the civilization that we've come to know and enjoy. The piraccene

what I call twenty first century fire. We're also seeing it in flooding in terms of drought and temperature peaks. Is a new world. It's a post hole a scene, and that's what we're entering now and having to come to grips with.

Speaker 3

Another dimension of this that I forgot to mention is you had a great I mean, your description of the relationship between humanity and fire was excellent, but you also use it as a metaphor to describe the way in which economic and financial systems operate. So not only does fire kind of emulate a living thing, we emulate fire in the way that we go about our process of extraction.

Speaker 4

Is that right? I think so? I think capitalism follows the model of fire. And so when a fire reaches a certain size, and this is something you're painfully familiar with, it is unstoppable and it's able to build end any situation to its advantage. You know, So if it's coming out of the forest and into a tent full of plastic chairs, it is going to rage just as hot because it can make those chairs off gas and combust and then it can move on, you know, to the houses,

move on to the cars. It can it can manipulate any situation to its benefit. And this is what large corporations are also able to do. And again, the goal is growth and growth at any cost. And fire has no conscience and it has, you know, one job, which is to combust as broadly and charismatically as it possibly can.

That's what oxygen compels it to do. But it's very interesting to watch a standard oil the under the leadership of John D. Rockefeller or Amazon under the leadership of Jeff Bezos, watch how they move across a landscape and it's really quite similar. And it really got me thinking as sort of a probably something for another book and maybe probably a finer mind, but looking at the connection between capitalism and oxygen, and I think the urgency of oxygen.

You know, we're all calm now breathing, but if we were not to breathe for sixty seconds and then couldn't get a breath, our behavior would change radically and we would have some sense of the urgency of fire. And that's you know, fire is trying to keep the party going, to keep the combustion happening. And we see that with our current economic system, which is keeping this party going. And we see that the petroleum industry is a powerful driver of that in even flying in the face of

really basic, well accepted climate science. It wants to keep the growth and keep the speed, and it's disastrous. And see what happened with the fire at The fire will eventually burn out, exhaust itself, leaving a wasteland behind it. And there are analogies to be seen there in terms of the impacts of capitalism on a landscape.

Speaker 3

Just before we go on in about five minutes, we're

going to go to questions. So just while you think of some pressing questions to ask our guests, I want to ask you one final question before we kind of move to that, which is and this is something that I picked up on through the book and I have also found on my own work as a reporter and a journalist, is that you spent so much time talking to people who had, in some cases been close to death, who would experienced something terribly traumatic, who had been through

incredibly scary moments. But in the process of doing that, you then recorded those conversations, and then you have to process those conversations and then write those conversations and wondering how you dealt with the kind of vicarious trauma of piecing that together and laying it out next to each other.

Speaker 4

Yeah, I'm glad you are. That's a real thing for people who are working in climate we're seeing terrible things, and the people who went through that fire, some of you may have gone through these fires. You've seen terrible things. And ten years ago, if you'd asked people in Canada if they knew anybody who'd been evacuated due to fire,

it would be very spotty. And now I think you could ask any Canadian the entire country of forty four million people, and everybody knows somebody who's been evacuated, or else they've been evacuated themselves. So I would say that PTSD is now an epidemic in Canada. And if you're an empathic person, and you kind of have to be to be a journalist, that's part of how you get people to trust you and share the worst days of their lives with you. It's a perverse thing to want

to do professionally, but I'm compelled to do it. I know Royce is too, and we have a role to play. But you're also taking in that trauma too and going to these places and seeing the totality of the destruction. What a modern fire can do. There was one in Redd in California two years after for McMurray that generated an e F three tornado. And I walked that landscape right after the fire, and it looked like photos i'd

seen of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. It was. It was complete and total destruction on a vast scale, and nothing was left. And I did not have gray hair when I started this book and now I do, and it's and you take it in and people, you know, these you know, tough oil dudes are crying in front of me describing how scared they were and how scared they were for

their family, and it's impossible not to shed a tear. Also, you know, you're being you're you're living this experience through them, and you might be the first person they've told the whole thing to. And sometimes these stories would take three or four hours to unfold as they described their evacuation process, which was grindingly slow because tens of thousands of other cars were also trying to leave at the same time

and everything was on fire. I mean, it is an absolute bona fide miracle that nobody was killed because everyone's driving like at a Starbucks drive through lineup speed, trying to get out, and yet they kept it together. Did it change it absolutely? You know in that sense. I don't know if you're familiar with the rhyme of the

Ancient Mariner, but that famous poem. It begins with this crazy old guy sitting outside of a church and he accosts this young man on the way into a wedding and says, I gotta tell you, And that's kind of I've been doing this for two years around the world, and I feel compelled to tell people because it's really bad and it can happen to us, and it feels incredibly urgent to me, and I honestly don't want other people to suffer the way the people I met and interviewed suffered.

Speaker 3

So yeah, it did change me. And with that, we're going to take a few questions now. So we have one, but we have many questions. Where shore again the volunteer. I think there's a mic. Do we have a roving mic? Oh, this one doesn't work. Okay, We're gonna get a substitute. Mike will be back. Okay, we're good. Apologies, we're live. So questions, got some in the front here. I'll let you do the honors you can choose.

Speaker 4

Okay, right here, there's a fellow front and center. Thank you, John.

Speaker 5

Your book is a warning to us all many of us were in twenty nineteen, and I was personally evacuated just fifteen minutes from Yeah, wow, I'm in twenty nineteen. Greg Mullins also warned our government and wrote a book called Firestorm Australian Condition you're calling it out. It happened again in Jasper last year. Our government just to proved the biggest carbon bomb in history. What is the Canadian government doing? Because we're not learning here.

Speaker 4

I really I'm living your reality too. And Canada is very heavily influenced, not quite owned, but pretty close to it by the petroleum lobby. The anxiety around the United States, driven by Trump's aggressive language about annexing Canada, has made it imperative for Canada to become more self sufficient energy. Petroleum is what they have to sell, and so they're actively seeking new pipeline permits and new markets for their

fossil fuels as a of national survival strategy. And so we have a very probably the smartest, one of the smartest Prime ministers Canada has ever had, this guy, Mark Carney, very sophisticated guy, fully understands the climate risk that we find ourselves in. But he's also beholden to the petroleum industry that helped him get elected and to what Canada

has that's fungible right now, which is petroleum product. And so we are really behind in the energy transition, which, by the way, folks, is happening and Australia is actually making great progress on renewable energy. Texas again, you could say, the Alberta of the United States, conservative climate denying oil state is producing more wind and solar and adding to that more rapidly than any other date in North America. And you'd think California would be the leader or New

York would be the leader. Well, Texas is the leader, and so we find progress in some strange and unlikely places, which means I think we don't need to agree with everybody on everything in order to move in the right direction. But Canada right now is woefully behind. And I follow Australia and energy and climate issues kind of off the

side of my desk. Australia gets a lot of attention in Part three of Fire Weather because you are so important to the fire story and the energy and climate change story, and we have a lot to learn from Australians. With that study, revealed to me is how similar Canada's and Australia's policies and lack of policy are. I think though honestly, I think Australia, believe it or not, is a little ahead of Canada, and I would have objectively assumed it might be the opposite, but it isn't.

Speaker 3

So we're struggling to kick our carbon addiction. I think is the yeah, the issue here, So one of the questions we're going to go pink, lady and pink.

Speaker 6

So just going on from the last question, have you noticed you mentioned that the fire was something that people had never experienced before, never had anything like it in Fort mc murray. Now, can you can you see any different, any change either in attitudes around that area, So not so much on Canada as the whole country, but has that triggered people a change and whatever change you can see.

Speaker 4

It's it's very spotty, but there's definitely action at the community level. And for example, Steamboat Springs, Colorado has a very proactive urban fire group who is really trying to improve evacuation policy, improve defensive space. I don't know if you use the same language here in Australia about this notion of defensible space around a house, around a neighborhood, around a community. And so we're seeing but I so

far haven't seen provincial policy or national policy. And yet at the same time, we in Canada have a program called fire Wise, which is sorry fire smart, it's fire wise in the US fire smart where members of the fire departments will come into your cul de sac or backyard or community meeting and talk to you about how you can basically harden your community against wildfire impacts, and

so that part is definitely happening. I think also what we're seeing because there have been so much fire in Canada over the past few years, that there's a lot more preemptive of evacuation. Because Fort McMurray was an absolute gong show, and again, it is a miracle that nobody died there, and a death toll of hundreds would have been totally plausible under the circumstances, and that would have been a national catastrophe that we would still be reeling from.

And we got to pass that time. And a number of municipal leaders now and fire chiefs understand how lucky Fort McMurray was in terms of loss of life that there was none, and so now people are a bit more conservative in terms of getting people out sooner. That feels like progress to me. In terms of actually fighting fire, we don't really have the means. Water doesn't work against fires of this intensity, and you can lay down fire retardant, but the Dixie Fire in California a couple of years ago.

It cast viablemer is ten miles They started fires ten miles away. There's no way you can build a fire break against that. Likewise, with pyrocumulonimbus fire clouds which occur here, which occur in places where they've never occurred before. Now they generate lightning same way volcanoes do, and so they can start a fire thirty or forty miles away from the center of the fire action. And again there's no firebreak.

No amount of water is going to stop that. So we're entering this, you know, a truly different reality in terms of what fire is capable of doing, and we are catching up to that very very slowly. But there are individuals in different communities. I find them everywhere I go, where people have either taken the message of fire weather to heart or had their own experiences, you know, really hard one lessons learned, and you know, I think that's

another place. So where I think Australia is probably ahead of the game, ahead of the rest of us, and where we have a lot to learn. I think Australia, and in terms of larger entities, I feel like Australia and California. That would be the two most progressive places and southern sorry, Southern Australia and California. And but it's it's a big question, but it's very erratic, very sporadic.

Speaker 3

Right now, I think we have time for one more quick question. Are we doing town?

Speaker 4

Yes? So, I if I have at the side of the ruello right there eagerly waving in a blue jacket directly in front of you, Yeah, yeah, yeah, thank you.

Speaker 7

And while we hate using North americanisms in Australia, I think perhaps we need to start calling them wildfires as opposed to bush fires, because they are ferocious. I just wanted to ask you, with your work, how much do you believe that heating is so baked into the system, whatever we do in the short term, that we're going to see many more horrific fires of this nature in unexpected places.

Speaker 4

Yeah. Yeah, I have to be pretty sanguine about that. Uh. You know, when you look at CO two, when you look at methane, when you look at temperature, uh, when you look at the US debt, Uh, they're all going

in one direction and pretty steeply. And so when you look at what's happening in the south of France right now, pretty much the worst fire in their history literally right now, and you look at across the Eastern Mediterranean, lethal and catastrophic fire is burning in several different countries, and we got a ways to go this summer, so I think we can expect a lot more of it, And in terms of it being baked in, you know there there there's a lot of anxiety around, justified anxiety around on

the state of permafrost in the far north in the and the amount of methane that is trapped there and that is released as it melts, and methane is a really potent greenhouse gas. So on the good news, it's looking like China's CO two emissions are plateauing and are probably going to go into decline as they catch up with renewable energy, which they've been leaning into harder than anybody else combined. And so you know a lot of naysayers will say, yeah, but look at all the coal

plants they're building. They are building a lot of coal plants, but increasingly those are backups for the wind and solar, and the wind and solar is now finally catching up so that their emissions are are plateauing and are probably going to decrease, and whether that's you know, so that's that is historic planetary change given the size of their

economy and energy needs. But then you have you know, the US, you know, going into regression, but the rest of the world is dialing into this energy transition that is on that is own root that I would say is inevitable. It's not going to happen as fast as the smartphone happened, but it's absolutely happening. The solar is the cheapest energy ever conceived, and it's being laid on at a rate that we've never seen before. So but we're going to see more fire too, and we have to get ready for it.

Speaker 3

We should also say as well that every ounce of common prevented fromentoring in the atmosphere does have a positive effect as well. So things are changing.

Speaker 4

So the last thing I would want to end on is Planet Earth's default mode is abundance and flourishing, and that's what it always returns to. After every fire, after every flood, after every drought, things grow back. It may not be the same things, but this is a ferocious growing engine that we are lucky enough to live on. It's extraordinarily powerful. And one of the things I learned from a book I wrote called The Tiger is as soon as you stop killing tigers, they breed like cats.

They come back ferociously. You know, as long as there is a prey base, they will they will just expand and h and flourish. So and we've seen that when we've we've taken dams out of rivers in the United States, how quickly the fish come back and the birds come back. So there's a lot of very good and potent energy out there that we're part of and that we can participate in and enable.

Speaker 3

So with that, we're going to wrap the session. Before you go, don't just don't rush off. I want to say thank you to the volunteers today. Thank you to you guys for being here. And please, for those of us who work with words, this is our life, a heart, are living in our art. Thank you for being here to support this. Thank you for being here to support John. Please go buy the book. Queue out the door to get this, to get it signed, ask him all your questions.

Speaker 4

Be here for an hour.

Speaker 3

We appreciate you being here under these circumstances, and please make John feel very welcome.

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