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DoubleLine Minutes

DoubleLine Cross Asset Strategists & Portfolio Managers, host a series of podcasts recapping the previous week’s market updates.
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Episodes

A “Benign” Green Scene for Markets Heading Into Thanksgiving Week (E192)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Analyst Mark Kimbrough review a positive run in the markets for the week of Nov. 18-22. The S&P Index (00:33) inched up, supporting likely healthy returns for the month and year; fixed income (2:09) was also positive, with all components of the Agg rising; and the broad commodities market (3:54) was up, with gold marking a strong week. A light week in Macro Land (5:04) included a mixed picture for initial and continuing jobless claims, a “warning” ...

Nov 22, 202417 minSeason 1Ep. 192

Trump Trades, Powell Patience and Truss, Too (E191)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeff Mayberry and Analyst Mark Kimbrough survey the Nov. 11-15 week for stocks (0:57), with the Trump-buoyed energy and financial sectors alone of the 11 S&P 500 sectors to post gains; fixed income (2:40) mostly lower on amid rising rates; and commodities lower (4:20), with energy prices perhaps reflecting the “drill, baby, drill” mindset of the president-elect. For the week’s macro news (6:05), Mark Kimbrough dives into an in-line CPI report for the month of Oct...

Nov 15, 202428 minSeason 1Ep. 191

Stocks, Bonds, Commodities, Trump and Powell (E190)

In their review of the Nov. 4-8 market week, DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau cover election-turbocharged stocks (0:48), volatile bonds (4:01) and modest gains in commodities (6:11). After a review of the week’s macro news (8:08), including a resilient services sector, Jeff and Sam dive into Thursday’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting (10:14) and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s news conference. Looking ahead to the Nov. 11-15 week (20:11), they will be on watch for the O...

Nov 08, 202426 minSeason 1Ep. 190

Stocks, Bonds and Commodities Paint the Week Red (E189)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Analyst Mark Kimbrough review the Oct. 28-Nov. 1 week of losses in stocks (1:45), led lower by tech and real estate; higher interest rates (4:03); and lower commodity prices (5:46), with energy getting pummeled. Their review of the week’s macro news (7:18) includes still strong housing prices, a strong GDP report for the third quarter and weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls. Looking to the week ahead (25:34), after the presidential and congressional ...

Nov 01, 202431 minEp. 189

A Light Week Ahead of a Busy Macro Calendar (E188)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeff Mayberry and Analyst Mark Kimbrough cover the Oct. 21-25 week in stocks (0:39), fixed income (1:57) and commodities (3:36), then turn to the week’s light macro calendar (4:31), which included a mostly “stable” and “positive” Beige Book release by the Federal Reserve. The week of Oct. 28-Nov. 1 will hold more potentially market-moving news (10:42), including third quarter GDP (Wednesday); employment cost index, personal spending and income, and the PCE (Thursday)...

Oct 25, 202417 minSeason 1Ep. 188

Waiting for Guy Fawkes Day (E187)

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau review for the week of Oct. 14-18 the stock (0:52) and bond (2:08) markets whose somewhat-muted volatility, according to Jeff, suggests investors are waiting for more labor market data and especially the outcome of the Nov. 5 presidential election. Commodities (4:01) ended in the red, led by a sharp decline in crude on reports Jerusalem will spare Iranian oil facilities in any reprisals over Tehran’s Oct. 1 missile attack against Israel....

Oct 18, 202416 minEp. 187

Mixed Markets, Tempering Fed Expectations (E186)

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau on Oct. 11, 2024, review equity returns (0:44) at the start of the Q3 earnings season, a fixed income market (2:14) setting to higher yields and broad commodities (4:13) lower with energy up on geopolitical risk. The markets, they note, took the week’s macro news (5:57) in stride, including slightly higher-than-expected headline and core CPI reports for September. Jeff and Sam take note of a tempering (11:11) in market pricing of future ...

Oct 11, 202420 minEp. 186

Stocks Mixed, Yields Rise, Energy Surges, Labor Surprises (E185)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Macro Asset Analyst Mark Kimbrough begin their review of the week of Sept. 30-Oct. 4 with a mixed stock market (0:42). The energy sector led the equity market, share prices buoyed by concerns of direct conflict between Israel and oil exporter Iran. The bond market (1:57) suffered a surge in yields. Commodities (3:39) marked gains, led by the energy complex. The week’s macro news (5:06) was dominated by “blockbuster” labor market news, with Mark Kimbrou...

Oct 04, 202429 minEp. 185

Another Week, Another Run of Historic Highs for the S&P 500 (E184)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Quantitative Analyst Eric Dhall review market activity and macro news for the week of Sept. 23-27. Sam and Eric talk another strong run of almost daily historic highs for the S&P 500 Index (00:38), a flat week for fixed income (2:18) and a positive week for the Bloomberg Commodity Index despite struggling WTI crude (4:07). Over in Macro Land (6:09), they dive into a full week of prints that delivered few, if any, surprises, including the S&P Gl...

Sep 27, 202422 minSeason 1Ep. 184

What’s the Impact of a Half-Point Rate Cut? (183)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeffrey Mayberry and Quantitative Analyst Eric Dhall track the Sept. 16-20 week market activity leading up to and in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s big rate cut on Wednesday. Jeff and Eric look at a positive week for stocks (00:43), a down week for the Agg while the 2s10s spread de-inverted (2:00) and rising commodities boosted by energy (4:01). Over in Macro Land (5:20), prints they look at include retail sales, production numbers and what they might mean as a re...

Sep 20, 202429 minSeason 1Ep. 183

Leading Signals for Recession and the Fed Funds Rate (E182)

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau cover the week of Sept. 9-13, 2024, which saw positive performances for stocks (0:30); fixed income (2:00), including a recessionary signal in the form of a Treasury yield curve de-inversion; and commodities (4:30). Topping the week’s macro news (5:35) were the August CPI and PPI reports. For their Topic of the Week (10:44), Jeff and Sam discuss the two-year Treasury as a leading indicator and the three-month T-bill as a coincident indic...

Sep 13, 202423 minSeason 1Ep. 182

Rough Market Week Amid (Another) Emerging Recession Signal (E181)

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeffrey Mayberry and Samuel Lau welcome back the NFL and then tackle a rough Sept. 2-6 run for the markets, including lots of red across equities (1:09); fixed income (3:04); and commodities (4:39), with even gold feeling ... Read More

Sep 06, 202430 minSeason 1Ep. 181

Benign Markets amid Muted Macro News (E180)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Analyst Mark Kimbrough review a benign Aug. 26-30 week for stocks (1:04); bonds (3:26), taking note of a flattening Treasury yield curve; and commodities (7:34), with gold nearing $2500 per Troy ounce as markets ... Read More

Aug 30, 202423 minSeason 1Ep. 180

Stocks, Bonds, Commodities All Aboard on Rate Cuts (E179)

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau cover an Aug. 19-23 week that brought gains for stocks (0:52) and a broad rally in fixed income (2:11) as well as a commodities market (5:15) that Friday ratified accommodative guidance from ... Read More

Aug 23, 202421 minSeason 1Ep. 179

Rate Cuts Still on Track But Perhaps Not So Aggressive (E178)

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau cover a positive Aug. 12-16 week for equities (0:49), fixed income (2:37) and commodities (5:27), supported by tame inflation readings (6:38) for July and surprising strength in retail sales (8:47). The macro ... Read More

Aug 16, 202421 minSeason 1Ep. 178

A Volatile Week: Much Ado about Not Much? (E177)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeff Mayberry and Macro Asset Allocation Analyst Mark Kimbrough comment on the whipsaws in stocks, bonds and commodities that by the Aug. 5-9 week’s end left markets little changed. The risk-off selloff that began Friday Aug. 2 ... Read More

Aug 09, 202418 minSeason 1Ep. 177

Dovish Fed Day Flies Into Sahm Recession Signal on Friday (E176)

DoubleLine Quantitative Analyst Eric Dhall and Macro Asset Allocation Analyst Mark Kimbrough cover a very exciting market week of July 29-Aug. 2, including a very rough Friday for stocks. Eric and Mark review the end-of-week selloff in stocks triggered by ... Read More

Aug 02, 202432 minSeason 1Ep. 176

Taking “Home Run” GDP with a Grain of Salt (E175)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Quantitative Analyst Eric Dhall survey the markets’ July 22-26 scoreboard for stocks (0:59), fixed income (3:01) and commodities (4:29) before turning to the week’s macro news (5:54). Macroland produced an unequivocally robust preliminary estimate ... Read More

Jul 26, 202424 minSeason 1Ep. 175

Lower Markets, But Bear-Beating Beats (E174)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Quantitative Analyst Eric Dhall begin their review of the July 15-19 market week with returns in the red for stocks (0:52), bonds (2:18) and commodities (4:01). On the macro front (5:36), Eric Dhall ... Read More

Jul 19, 202425 minSeason 1Ep. 174

Weaker CPI, Conflicting Consumer Signals (E173)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Macro Asset Allocation Analyst Mark Kimbrough end the week of July 8-12 with a roundup of stock (1:44), bond (4:06) and commodity (6:18) markets. Then they survey the week’s macro news (7:34), including a ... Read More

Jul 12, 202427 minSeason 1Ep. 173

A Low-Vol Week for Markets and Macro (E172)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeff Mayberry and Quantitative Analyst Eric Dhall Friday morning review the stock (1:08), bond (3:16) and commodity (5:44) markets for the week ended June 28, 2024. Then they discuss the week’s macro news (7:09), including further evidence ... Read More

Jun 29, 202423 minSeason 1Ep. 172

Mixed-Bag Market Week; Homing In on One Fed Cut in 2024 (E171)

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeffrey Mayberry and Samuel Lau cover the markets and macro news for the week of June 17-21, with markets closed Wednesday for the Juneteenth federal holiday. The S&P 500 Index was up on the week, boosted by ... Read More

Jun 21, 202420 minSeason 1Ep. 171

The Fed Has the Same Data as Everybody Else (E170)

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeffrey Mayberry and Sam Lau cover the markets and macro news for the week of June 10-14, impacted as they were by the Topic of the Week: the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting and press conference ... Read More

Jun 14, 202434 minSeason 1Ep. 170

Awaiting a Wobbly Wednesday (E169)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeff Mayberry and Macro Asset Allocation Analyst Mark Kimbrough cover the June 3-7 market week for stocks (0:31), on the way warning about naïve extrapolations of stock-split returns; bonds (2:42); and commodities (4:15), with energy diverging from ... Read More

Jun 07, 202423 minSeason 1Ep. 169

Market and Macro Roundup for May 28-31 (E168)

DoubleLine Capital Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau review markets for the week ended May 31, including a rare case of utilities as the leading equities sector year-to-date (1:00), fixed income (7:32) and commodities (9:36). Then they turn to ... Read More

May 31, 202423 minSeason 1Ep. 168

Mixed Markets, Befuddled Fed, Falling Rate-Cut Odds (E167)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Quantitative Eric Dhall review a mixed showing the week ended May 24, 2024, for stocks (1:09), bonds (4:04) and commodities (5:47). Turning to macro news (6:57), they note May 1 FOMC minutes show befuddlement ... Read More

May 24, 202420 minSeason 1Ep. 167

CPI Feeds a Green Trifecta (E166)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeffrey Mayberry and Quant Analyst Eric Dhall recap a green trifecta for equities, fixed income and commodities for the week of May 13-17, powered by the CPI report, the main macro story. The CPI print was loved ... Read More

May 17, 202429 minSeason 1Ep. 166

Senior Loan Officers: Tighter for Longer (E165)

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Samuel Lau and Quant Analyst Eric Dhall kick of their review of the May 6-10 market week combing through a green field of equities. The utilities sector is proving quite the player in 2024 while the leaders ... Read More

May 10, 202426 minSeason 1Ep. 165

Market-Moving Prints, Tapering QT and Powell’s Purple Tie (E164)

DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau review stock (0:57), bond (2:46) and commodity (5:40) markets for the week ended May 3, including notable volatility in equities and fixed income in the wake of inflation data, Fedspeak and jobs ... Read More

May 05, 202439 minSeason 1Ep. 164

Looking Out for Stagflation, Slower QT and Tsy Refunding Hiccups (E163)

For the week ended April 26, 2024, DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau review equities (1:00), fixed income (3:25) and commodities (5:52) markets. Then they discuss the week’s macro news (6:46), including more reports of sticky inflation and ... Read More

Apr 26, 202432 minSeason 1Ep. 163
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