BTC ATH again, Nvidia guidance underwhelms, CHILLGUY hits 110k holders - podcast episode cover

BTC ATH again, Nvidia guidance underwhelms, CHILLGUY hits 110k holders

Nov 21, 202454 minSeason 4Ep. 244
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Episode description

BTC new ATH again, reaches $98k. US spot BTC ETFs surpass $100bn in assets. BTC CME OI hits new ATH of $21.3bn. ETH at 4-year low vs BTC. Stablecoin inflows hit record $9.7bn this month. Trump mulls creating first crypto czar role. Bitwise files for SOL ETF. BitGo launches SGP services, eyes expansion. Shanghai court recognizes crypto as property. Former FTX CTO Wang wont go to prison. Nvidia talks up Agentic AI in results, AI coins soar. Coinbase offers 4.7% APY on USDC. Arkham launches spot trading platform in US. Japan to implement crypto tax reform.

Transcript

Good morning. Good morning, TNTM everyone. Welcome to another episode of Homo Hour today. Today. Is Thursday, November 21st folks, it is a cold, cold day here in Chicago. It's snowing. In fact, there is snow on the ground outside. My God, that happened fast. But the good news, stay inside season. Much easier to stay inside when it's 20°. Folks. The coins are pumping, memes are hot, NVIDIA has record earnings, China's legalizing crypto.

We might be getting Solana ETFs. There is a lot happening. We are feeling good and we're going to break it all down on today's show. Farouq is in Vegas, won't be here this morning, but I've got my Co host Mando and Logan in the house. Mando, Jim, how you doing? I'm doing great man. How are you? I'm doing great. How could we not be feeling good looking at some of the price action? All time highs, memes pumping. It's a good morning, Logie. Jim, welcome back to the show. How are you doing?

I'm doing well. I'm cold as well. We're expecting snow here in Pennsylvania. Not looking forward to that, but feeling good. Some of our bags moving upwards making us feel a little bit warmer. It's nice my my kids don't want to go outside. They're happy to play inside. It's much easier for me to play inside as well. So I'm actually a fan of it here. Probably good for all of our backs. I think several other people are feeling the same way. Folks, what are we talking about on today's show?

So we've got Bitcoin hitting $98,000 and a new all time high. ETH up 7% after some Kobe bull posts and rebounding quite a bit. Crypto now potentially legal in China. Some breaking news around Solana ETS. We'll get into that. Trump considering a crypto position for his cabinet. Moon shot recording its highest revenue days back-to-back. Chill guy seeing $700 million in non chain volume amidst a lot of fun from the artist abroad. Recovery in the AI memes.

Rec coin coming tomorrow got a chat about that and then in in it tease if we have time X copy has a drop today as well. There's a lot to get into before we dive in. Shout out to our partner Galaxis. With seamless built in monetization tools, Galaxis enables the development of sustainable long term communities, fulfilling Bitcoin's vision of decentralized freedom and independence from centralized control. Love working with Galaxis.

Excited to see them down at Art Basel here in a few weeks. All right, folks, that's our intro with that Mando. Let's get right into it. Do we have oh, do we do in the intro or no? Oh, no. Oh, we'll get there. We'll get there. It's time. Who is the man Macro Daddy of the land? Can you dig it?

Yeah, GM everyone. So it was a bit of a strange day because yesterday Bitcoin kind of went higher, but everything else kind of went lower and it was just interesting to see Bitcoin dominance kind of went up to about 62%. Since then kind of this morning, it's actually been it's been a bit more chilled. We've actually had Bitcoin go down a little bit and pretty much everything else go up.

So interesting market right now. I would say we have ETH was the main thing that broke out in the last few hours, let's say, which was a good, which is a decent move. It moved up around 8 or 9% I think and that's the first time we've seen ETH move it. It just hit a four year low versus versus Bitcoin, which is a quite, quite aggressive. I think Bitcoin is heading towards 100K.

It feels like that is preordained at this stage, but but it does feel as though at least it's not going to destroy the rest of the market on its way.

Last night there was a big, big move lower in a bunch of different things including well, not just memes, but pretty much everything Part of that was to do with the liquidity from in the chill guy, I think, but still a very, very decent move kind of across the board, which I don't think people were necessarily ready for given bitcoins going to an all time

high. But yeah, if you haven't realized, Bitcoins, the daddy as always, the cycle in terms of like specific crypto stuff that that there was. We did tap NVIDIA results yesterday, which pointed to a bullishness and AI agents who saw that space kind of rebound pretty aggressively overnight. Let's say that that's kind of memes as well. But that was like one of the more macro things. Although NVIDIA stock initially was down free markets, now it's now up.

So that's a decent move. And stocks are like probably they're going to head back towards all time highs. There was a slight escalation more than just a slight one. Russia fired the first intercontinental ballistic missile ever in a warfare last night hitting area of Ukraine. Obviously we've seen we've seen an escalation in that reason over the last few days. Stock didn't love that at first.

Gold did kind of like bounce went to near a new near its all time high again, but seemingly has been kind of downplayed since then. I don't really know, but yeah, it's we're at that stage. I don't really know. We had a Solana ETF like you said as we went live. It looks like Bitwise throwing their hat into the pile for ETFs there, which is which is, you know, a better, well, more well known name than some of the other people that have been looking to issue ETFs on Seoul recently.

And the biggest move was like Bitcoin cash. It wasn't really like any of the other. It was just like Bitcoin and any other Bitcoin related related movers. You did say one thing, which is about Shanghai, like it looks like a core in Shanghai allowed Bitcoiners legal property, which is another indication that China may be coming softening its maybe approach to to crypto, which I think people are taking very bullishly that that was kind of blamed for the RIP. People were like, oh, well, that

happened. So so we're going we're going higher. In fact, as that came out, like we, we did go a decent amount higher and there was some comments about the fact that Trump we'd all been looking for the Treasury Secretary. It looks like Trump might actually appoint a crypto czar. It sounds like. Whatever that means. But yeah, that that that caused some bullishness. Very curious who who that would be. I think there'll be a lot of eyes on that. I think some prediction markets

already getting spun up maybe. I wouldn't I wouldn't mind talking about this China thing for a minute. I guess what I don't have a read on and Mendo, I'd love your take if you're closer to it. So it seems like, you know, China's been kind of flip flopping. How how big of a deal is this? Like have Chinese citizens who are bullish on crypto kind of found their own workarounds or do you think this is actually a huge unlock?

It caused the bounce, you know, like particularly for Bitcoin, Bitcoin is, is massive in China, right? Like the vast majority of the miners historically have been there. And a vast lot of the Bitcoin wealth is actually in China. We always hear about, you know, sailor and all that sort of stuff. But I would, I would reckon that the majority of it is now in, in, in China Bitcoin wealth, just because that's that's where the majority of the mining has come from.

And there's obviously there was some capital flows at the start and you have some of the bigger exchanges linked to it. And yeah, it, it feels as though China's got a lot of Bitcoin. So when that becomes a legal tender, it creates some bullishness, I think, or at least it's starting to be

accepted. I don't think, I mean even people who are local there have said like, I don't think this is like we're not going to get we're not going to get a situation where Bitcoin becomes completely legal. That's just not the way that China works. It'll take a while for that to happen. But you might see like a a gradual, let's say etching away at the at the the current restrictions on it.

Sure. And as well as it's a signal too, right, that perhaps it's coming, it's a little bit easier to start rationalizing essentially buying and getting ready for that and then just a matter of time until they find our runes backs our our pumps. Yeah, we need to onboard board them for sure. But yeah. We're we're in onboarding season, that's what we're doing. Onboarding season? Exactly. What's going to happen at A at 100K? Are we just going to keep, are we going to like hit it and

bounce off of it? So like one of your predictions even before the election was you thought we'd get 200 K before end of year. We're a 2% way two, 2 1/2 percent move away from it. Is that going to be a a tough, tough barrier to breakthrough kind of how are you thinking about like the the Super near term here? I did, I asked Ovi Ovi that this morning, like what do you think happens when we hit 100K and he was like, I think it's AI think

it's a vibe in news event. As in I think if you see that and you're not involved in Bitcoin, that will suddenly be like, Oh my God, do you know what I mean? I don't people are day-to-day looking at the price of Bitcoin, but when Bitcoin hits 100K having like most people, I'm not even too sure if they, if they're aware that like Bitcoin's having a, a bit of a, a move here, but they will

understand 100K money. I think that creates headlines around the world, which probably continue for a long time. A lot of people start paying attention and this is coinciding with obviously like a bit more retail attention. We're starting to see Moon pay have really big figures, Moon shots obviously on boarding a bunch of people too. It feels as though, yeah, we're, we're we're at a good point here for, for crypto, crypto in my opinion.

Yeah, I wrote about the 100K number a bit in the newsletter this morning and I agree. I think 100K is the number where folks are going to be like, oh shit, like I need to buy this. I think it feels safer at that number. I think the Lendy effect is very real and that like the higher it goes, it's just showing that it's a safer asset. And I think FOMO will, will really start to kick in at 100K.

So like, I know back in 2020 when I still had my full time day job, I was loosely following crypto. Like to your point, like I wouldn't check prices every day. I I'd check maybe once a week. And then in November and December 2020, I started, I started checking it more frequently and, and Bitcoin was literally going up $1000 a day. And that's what I realized. Like shit, I I better like hurry up and and buy this before it's too late. And I feel like 100K is going to be like that.

It's like what happens if it's 100 and then it's 104? Yeah, that's my view basically is that I think it's, it becomes that it just becomes a thing that people pay attention to and that that's that becomes a a game changer suddenly for adoption. I think the the other big story here I I want to touch on is that the breaking news from from Eleanor. So we saw Joe McCann yesterday share the Bitwise had registered its sole ETF in Delaware.

And now Eleanor has got a scoop here for for Fox and saying that it it looks like the spot ETFs are progressing now SEC now engaging with their S1 applications doesn't mean that it's it's coming immediately, but it looks like it's in motion. And so perhaps we actually could get it January, February, like Q 12025. I'm curious, what do you think that means for ETTFS or the E*Trade? Does does is ETF hurt in that scenario? Are are the ETFs bullish for

Salon? Is it going to be sell the news like it was for the other two majors? Do you ever, have you started thinking about that Mando? Yeah. I don't think we're going to get crazy inflows into a salon ETF. That's just my gut because I think the ETF is more for it's more for investment managers. And if they haven't been sold on ETH, I don't really know why they're suddenly going to get sold on Solana. It's not really the ETF sells for like non users of the chain,

right? And it's more about a a story there about what you can sell them. And I think you can sell them on digital gold, this whole like digital oil or smart contracts like that. They're just they haven't really cottoned onto it with these. So I don't think these are going to be some great event for Solana. But what I do think is that it was something that was being held over Solana by Eve Maxis, right? Like, oh, you'll never get a, you'll never get an ETF, you'll never be accepted.

And even though it won't be like, I don't think it can be adopted probably crazily next year. If they do have that now set up, then I think there's a decent chance that that narrative dies away in in like the years to come. So it's it's good for them long term. I'm not sure if it would be like some big liquidity or not because basically what I'm saying. I tend to agree. I think it might be bearish ETH a bit. Oh, I think it's bearish ETH, yeah.

Just because like you mentioned, one, one of the only narratives out there right now is that there's two ETFs, Bitcoin and ETH, and folks are going to start diversifying. I've shared that narrative as well myself. When there's more now that narrative kind of falls apart a little bit. And actually, I think the more options there are and it seems like we're going to have several in the next couple of years. Does it actually make the, the Bitcoin one stronger even perhaps.

So we'll certainly see. But to to give EV Maxis to throw them a bone, They do have Kobe trying to help. So we, we got a Kobe candle perhaps this morning or, or from last night as well. He's been doing his share of bull posting on the Bitcoin side. He said Bitcoin flipping gold is nothing but the restoration of sanity to our reality. And the question is how many multiples is the fair valuation? So that was a fun one. And then it must have been in a reply.

But he also was was bull posting Ethan basically saying that he thought it would it would double along with Bitcoin in the next year. Let me see if I can try to find it real quick. Yeah, here we are.

It seems likely that four that ETH below 4K temporary dislocation in our reality most would have a better time just thinking about both going up No, I can't find the tweet but anyways he thinks ETH is going to double in the next year along with Bitcoin. So a little bit of opium here for the ETH Max season Logie tag you into the conversation any any macro thoughts here this morning on any of the news around Bitcoin salon ETF's kind of how how are you feeling any

any. Perspective, not not too much different to add to what you guys have been talking about regarding the ETF, though, you know, it's interesting to me just being close to people who have purchased the ETH and the Bitcoin ETFs as a way to get exposure to crypto. To me, that still seems like a bullish thing. You know, I know you're talking about pair pairs there with, you know, Solana ETF potentially being bearish for ETH or you know, being bearish for whatever.

But when I think about a way for people to gain access to this, that perhaps don't have a ton of disposable income coming in, but have like 4 O1 KS that could potentially gain them access to crypto, that that seems and feels bullish to me. For example, like, you know, I've used the to my own father, right, who is not purchasing on Coinbase with money. He's pulling from a checking account.

He's, he's taking what he has in a four O 1K that he can't touch or, you know, can only use so much of, and he's rolling it in and gaining crypto exposure that way. So I, I, I'm all for it. I, I think, I think bullish long term, of course. Feeling bullish this morning? Indeed. I think another metric that perhaps is bullish, but maybe more so for the the meme coin market is moon shot. Moon shot printing back-to-back

all time high days in fees. So that the day closing on Wednesday morning, they logged about 215,000 in fees, about double their previous high, and they went another 100,000 higher. 50% jump, 311 K in fees registered here according to data from Defy Llama. Logan, I know you were looking into this. What's happening with Moon Shot is the onboarding event that we were expecting. Is it actually happening? I, I think it is, I wrote a story for Decrypt last week about crypto app Surging Moon

Shot being one of those. It had kind of crept into the top 100 talking about iOS apps, that is the finance, free finance apps. I just refreshed actually a few minutes ago. I think it was up inside the top 30 and it's jumped about 500 spots since the election or close to 500 spots since the election. That's just two weeks, right? And it's it's now, of course, becoming much more on people's radar. The fee stuff is interesting as well.

I mean, this just points to the usage on the platform. Basically, people are actually buying memes here. If it wasn't, you know, painfully obvious to you in the streets at this point in time. It still pales in comparison to, of course, what pump fun is making. But it's a really, I think it's a really good indicator of if you want to call it retail, if you want to call it meme coin activity, you know, it's a handful of all of those things.

This is this is good to see that number going up and it's something we should continue to pay attention to it in, in my opinion. Were you able to track down any other moon shot data? I feel like they keep a lot of their user data kind of behind closed doors. So this fee number is really all that we've been able to to use to get a sense of their growth. Yeah, I don't.

I don't have a user number. As far as downloads go, they were around 100,000 cross between Android and in iOS via Sensor Tower, which is where I'm using the sorry, the where I'm tracking the the app ranking. That was when I wrote the article last week. I've not refreshed that number, but that would be a a decent indicator probably of the amount

of users. And then I don't have information regarding the Fiat on ramps, but as the team has reported, you know, they've had record-breaking days in the last few weeks with regards to how much Fiat is being deposited on the app. Yeah, the Fiat number would be interesting. The user numbers are as well. I'd be curious if you have a chance to refresh that. I, I have to imagine if it was at 100,000 downloads last week that that number is up quite a bit.

And, and perhaps that's being driven in part by some of the, the, the TikTok meta, the chill guy onboarding. We'll get to chill guy here. Maybe let's just dive right into it. What jumped out to me when I woke up this morning? I'd slept through all the chill. Guy FUD. I pulled up the Solana board and saw that it had done over $700 million in on chain volume. It's actually down a touch at 10% on the day. If you look at the price action, it was just a roller coaster all

night. So it touched 450, touched 500, went all the way down to 250, back up, down to 200. It looks like a Wick. Back up to four, 5480, back down to 300 now around 360 or so. So it's been some very volatile price action to to say the least. On an asset that's already 1/3 of of a way to a billion dollars. It is seemingly on the back of some thud driven up from the artist who is behind the Just a Chill Guy meme. So that the artist is Philip Banks. He apparently put a post out

overnight. Saying that show guy has been copyrighted legally. He's going to be issuing takedowns on for profit related things over the next few days. Basically pointing to towards the the shit coin. He's since locked his account. A lot has happened since. I think some of either the CTO team or just community members set up a donation wallet. I think that they sent him some of the show guide tokens. They send him some Solana as well. Perhaps an Xbox is in the mix.

Logan, I'm not sure if you dove into this one, Did I, did I capture what happened? What else? Like what's going on with this situation? I, I I. Think that's about it. And I, I believe there was some previous commentary from him maybe in the days before as well. But I think what's captured on screen here gives a pretty good gist. He has since locked his account as indicated in this tweet. So it's tougher to find some of

those retroactive tweets. If you weren't already following, you know, the interesting event. We've seen this, this sort of artist discourse, displeasure with the degenerate behavior of the cryptocurrency market transpire 100 million times. So that's not necessarily out of the ordinary. I think what's out of the ordinary here is the, this, the, the ferocity with which this market has soaked up. Chill guy.

And then what, what happens next, you know, and, and how far Phillip takes this or if he just kind of drops it. You mentioned the donation wallet. When I had refreshed this morning, it was up over $235,000 that have been donated. He has not responded or accepted that wallet. I imagine somebody created the wallet for him. So, you know, there's some potential issues there with somebody. I, I guess who knows who has the private keys to that. But interesting. I mean, this is still all over

my timeline. It's still the top and disclosure. I, I own Jill Guy as well. I I capitulated near the top, but all over the timeline, there's it's going to be in the it's going to be in the headlines for a while. Not only is it all over the timeline, it seemed like the FUD helped drive holder growth as well. So we're up to 113,000 holders on chill guy now. I I think it was 70,000 when we did the show yesterday, so it's up another 40,000 since then

something. Like. That yeah, it, it was when I went to bed last night, it was like 95,000. So I picked up another 15 to 18,000 overnight. Mando, I'm curious for your perspective on the FUD here. I think you were you were in the Pepe trade. I believe Pepe faced a fairly similar situation with Matt Fury that caused some fun early on. You know curiously how this relates to that or just general perspective here. As far as I remember there was none from Matt. Matt Fury, He did DMCA other

things. Matt Fury, there was questions why he didn't get paid and they'd spoken to him. He did the DMCA. Nothing was ever and I don't believe he ever like outright threatened or anything like that. He just said he didn't want to get in the way of people and their money. That's what I remember at some stage and then in the end I remember poorly. I think send him a ton of tokens. So he he made he actually sold the absolute bond Pepe when the team started selling, he sold it

like at the absolute lows. I don't think that he sold it. Could have sold it at less of a low then the level he sold it and then it like Giga pumped after that. So it's kind of in the lore of Pepe because he he got out at a very low level after after he was sent tokens. But there was some like frustration like, oh, we should make sure the artist gets paid and all this sort of stuff. I mean Pepe was a much more established mean than chill guy,

right? Like there'd been several different attempts to Co opt the meme. Obviously the like the around the election, there was all that stuff. And he did come in to DMC to like DMCA some of that stuff. But that was before the Pepe meme column was created. This is a slightly different scenario. Like I don't really know where I stand on it because I this does happen a lot in crypto, right? There's like very little respect for like anyone else's creation,

right? Like we'll, we'll make a meme out of literally anything, particularly in the pump fun era. And I kind of know this with some of the like with a lot of the coins that I'm involved in, there's sort like this is always a complication. One of the complication, new complications is, is there going to be a, a similar coin on Ethos or Sui or one of these other chains? And the other one is do we have any sort of ownership rights over the meme, right?

And both of those can be can be quite complicated at times. I know like various different that you have to have to get licensing or all this sort of stuff. It seems as though this guy does not like crypto at all very much. He's not a a big fan of crypto that they've got a donation address 250 K for a for a whatever. How big is the meme coin now? 302,000,000. Oh, meme coin. I just don't even know. I don't know. I don't think he'll win a court case over it necessarily.

That's my guess. But or at least it will be a long time and it will most probably end in a settlement anyway, of which they're kind of already creating the wallet for that. So yeah, I feel like, I do feel like it's a, it's a complicated scenario. What is is clear is that like it's this is not, this is not some cobalt CTO. Like it's not like they're sitting there with like 50% of the supply. This is like a, this is a real CTO.

It's similar to like with for example, where it's, it's, it's less controlled, which it's probably good for crypto because it's been, it shows it's very organic, but it's not like they can, it's not like there's some centralized team that's made an absolute ton of this. And so I think that's why it's been a little bit more difficult to do various different things. So the idea that they just they'll be able to send him

$2,000,000 worth of token. Like, no, there's, I don't think there's AI don't think it's like that. So that might make it a bit more complicated. I don't know. But they have a public wallet. I think they've, they've got like 250 grand, maybe, maybe slightly more. And yeah, let's see, let's see where it ends up. I am, I'm bullish on this, though. I do think that it, this will, it's very difficult for something with this, this amount of holders to, to die. Let's go that way.

My read when I woke up this morning, kind of processed the information was that it was bullish flood and it is something you get past. I was happy to see the holder growth through the night. I was happy. Of course, when I woke up, it was also over 400 million, which which helped you think it was a a bullish event.

If of course, if it drops back to 200, you know, maybe I'm a little less confident in that, but it feels like one of those things that you kind of perhaps it might help cement the legacy and one of the hurdles that you just kind of have to go through. So I'm, I'm feeling optimistic, but certainly a little bit more

of a complicated situation. Also, I mean the coin like I think folks who who are perhaps worried about price action and rightfully so. Hey, if you're stressed about it too much, losing sleep, sell some, make yourself feel comfortable. I think Broke shared that advice. I wanted to echo it. This thing also ran up from 25 million to 400 million in a day. It was it was viable below 10 million just a few days ago.

So seeing some red on the board, not a huge surprise just in a in a in a situation where there wasn't even flood. So I think also not surprised from that angle. But for folks who are trading more than just chill guy, I think they woke up feeling pretty happy, especially those who have been dabbling in the AI sector. It looks like a pretty full recovery across the board. The AI sector had been basically slaughtered as chill guy was a liquidity suck. And then the AI16Z drama that

had played out a few days ago. I think it made people kind of question whether these on chain agent valuations were perhaps too high or I think they threw those questions out the window. We saw massive rebounds, zero bro leading the charge back over $500 million. Market cap up 70% on the day. Fartcoin holding up nicely. I think it was back at 370 this morning, touching all time highs but still holding.

At 3:33 it had dipped to 200, so up nearly 100% off that local bottom AI16Z marching back up, it's up 34% Waifu back at 70. Chagath was a big winner. Well, let's see what else. And then on the lower end of the board, we saw some some new runners as well with Opium. I don't know how to pronounce that. Lola Roparito, A few interesting new stories here. Logie, I, I asked you to dive into the to the AI board. Any high level takeaways before

we dive into some of these? What are your thoughts here? Is AI back? It's back I'm I'm not sure it really ever left. It was like a one you know that one to two day lol. Of course, dominated by chill guy, but this resurgence, I mean, cementing in some way that this is more than just a one month meta, if you'd like to call it that or if you were previously calling it that. The zero bro stuff has been unbelievable disclosure. It's one of my bigger meme coin holdings at this point in time.

But the strength that it showcased even amid the chill guy stuff from yesterday was quite remarkable. And Jeffy, who is the dev here working with zero bro continues to push stuff out. You have the zero born NF TS, you have the web four thing that he's been pushing. They released like a musical, I'm not sure album or single or whatever. Like there's been a just a lot

of innovation. I know Mando's talked about that on this show about having, you know, a developer who's willing to kind of innovate and and push these things forward. And I think you're really seeing that with zero bro and you know that and that's one of the reasons it's standing out. You know, it's harder to stand out now than it was previously where there were only one or two agents on chain interacting. And that's where I think that's standing out just a little bit.

But disclosure, of course, some back bias there. I don't know too much about this one, Tyler, this one I'll hand to you. But As for the rest of the board, I mean, the fart coins strength is, I mean, that's obvious at this point in time. And then all the way downstream, as you noted, I mean, there's there's strength in a lot of

these that have just found. I'm not sure what the right way to characterize it is, but just, you know, found some pudding again when things have just chilled on chill guy, pun intended there. Yeah, there's a there's a few interesting stories. So one, I mean, the headline is just just the broad recovery. I think zero bro submitting itself as a clear leader in the sector. It feels like one of the safer plays and safer in quotes.

I've got a small bag. My bag is much smaller than it would have been had I not sold one of my worst trades here in the last few months. But we we saw a few interesting news stories pop up. So so Vader is a virtuals based AI agent. They had a big announcement yesterday. They, they said basically they're trying to be the Black Rock of AI agents, a forming a network of specialized AI agent traders that have their own niches where they, they trade a Dow to manage all this, then

perhaps a rewards program. What I thought was perhaps the most interesting part of their announcement was they also worm hold to Solana. I made a lot of chats with folks who are who are trading a lot of the AI memes. A lot of them just don't want to go to base like they, they want exposure to this, but they just aren't interested in bridging off Solana with where all the action is. So now we've seen one of our first major players from the

virtuals protocol bridge over. And I mean, the market liked it. Of course, they had their own update. So it's hard to say how much of this is tied to the update versus the, the bridge to Solana. But up 47%. I'm curious if if we'll see others do that. Logie, were you following the, the, the Vader stuff or just brought our virtuals protocol? I know you were pretty early to virtual. Just a just a little bit, it was really early to the Vader stuff.

That was right when they announced virtuals dot fun, right. That was one of the first, if not the first agent created on that. I I think that the Solana versus base thing is really interesting. I actually saw a take and I'm not gonna be able to find the tweet now yesterday about how some people expect the agents might run into issues on Solana.

I don't know if I shared that with you, Tyler, or maybe you shared that with me. I'm not sure if it's architecture related or, or what have you related to using the blockchain base being a strength versus Solana. I don't know the argument there, but it was just something I saw that was interesting to me. When you're comparing or thinking about where these, where these agents should play.

But in terms of getting liquidity to your coin, in terms of getting interest and eyeballs to your coin, it's obvious it has to be on Solana right now versus base in, in my opinion. So I I think this was smart to open up a wormhole and give people an opportunity to participate that weren't otherwise participating or had some sort of standing that they didn't want to cross in in moving over to base.

Related to the base thing, though, I don't know if you're going to talk about Anon the coin that Vitalik Oh we. Can go there, yeah. Yeah. So this is a farcaster related AI coin. Basically, you own some of the coin and you can make anonymous posts on Farcaster using ZK Sync, sorry, ZK proof technology. And yeah, Arkham Intel, I think flagged purchase from Vitalik yesterday and it went up like

350%. You had shared this on your timeline, maybe actually a day before Tyler or two days before. A highlight from Darren, friend of the show. You know, people, people like to go where smart money's going. Vitalik, obviously very, very smart person. So interesting innovations. Again, just people kind of pushing things, trying to do different things.

And those are the coins that often times, especially if you're, if you're just meddling around in the muck and the trenches, you know, you can find those and and find pretty swift moves upwards like you saw with this one. Yeah, got a shout out. Darren, I see he's listening. I've got notice on for him. I think he's one of the stronger signals in the space. He shared his thoughts on a non just a a day a day or two before metallic bought. So I was lucky enough to to get in.

And then it's interesting. Metallica only bought enough to he basically bought the minimum out so that he could use the protocol and and test it out. It was only point O 8 ETH. So it's not like he slammed in 100 ETH or something into this, but it was enough for for the market. As soon as the market saw it, it, it just went absolutely crazy. And now up from a local bottom below 10 million now at 45 million.

So, you know, quite the run. And it's interesting, I think folks, there is a cohort of this Margaret who is focused on base right now and thinks there's going to be a base season. Coinbase clearly is kind of opening up what they're listing and folks think, you know, that perhaps they'll be more out looking at some of their own ecosystem tokens. It's got the Farcaster tie in. It's got a good ticker, Batalics a buyer. It's an interesting narrative for sure. Now, I mean, is it a good buy at

45? We'll, we'll certainly see how it ages, but yeah. None of these, none of the base ones have really broken out of this range to my knowledge. You know, you have zero bro and go and other, you know, lots of, you know, lots of the Solana coins, which of course exceeded 100 million etcetera. As far as AI related coins on base, you have virtual as the protocol coin. Luna had a run up above 200 million I believe, right.

But like beyond that, you know, I've been tracking Luminous, you see there that was an agent to agent interaction coin Anon. I mean there's a couple others probably floating around of course, and all those other agents on virtuals stuck sort of mired in this like 30 to 50 to $70 million range. We haven't seen anything. Yeah, it would, it would not shock me to see one of course run to two 3-4 hundred $500

million market cap. We just, we just haven't seen it yet, whereas that's transpired on Solana. It's interesting just quickly on on Bay since we're talking about it. I mean, Brett has been one of the more quiet winners. It's like during as all the memes have leveled up. Brett's at 1.6 like. No one owns it dude. Yeah, who whoever does on it like they're they're feeling all right, but it just it marches up. DJ had a nice run. DJ was over 400 Meggles. The the cat mascot has had quite

the run as well. So there there's some action on bass on your comment on virtuals specifically, I think it is a little bit underwhelming. So Luna was the number one it so Luna soared to like 250, I think at peak steadily down. Now it's already been flipped by AIXPT, which I thought was notable. You kind of always think the OG is going to keep that spot. We don't really see that happen too much. I, I haven't dug into this. It feels like kind of throwing darts right now.

I'll be curious how this ecosystem continues to grow. I think another interesting kind of going back to AI. So we had TikTok, Meta and then yesterday we got the first one of the first intersections of AI and TikTok. So this dev Roparito had launched a Roparito token and he has made it the, the first autonomous Tiktok AI agent. So an AI agent writing its own code to create Tiktok shorts. And he shared the shorts. They were actually were created. I checked a few of them out last night.

I, I don't know that they were like ground breaking and quality, but I, I think they were the first to actually have executed this. So we'll see if being first actually does matter. I think we saw the Roparito token jump about 100 percent, 150% on the back of this. It's hanging out around 12 million here before the show. Amanda, maybe I'll toss it back to you just for just a broader take. We saw that the big pullback in

AI memes. It seems like at least we've got a rebound on the board, whether that's a dead cat bounce or just a kind of a a return attention on this. How are you feeling about the the broad sector? I know we've talked about GOAT on the show. Do you think this one I was just a short term blip? I think, I think AI memes are going to do a 10X too, like I really do. I said it a week ago. I said it's very rare that you see a bull like a natural meta

like this. It reminds me, do you remember of like the gaming meta of 2021 where I actually went to like 50 billion? Yeah, it reminds me of the timing of that. I'm not saying name, but like when a meta like that happens, because that was at the same time as, you know, metaverse, all that sort of stuff is happening. You know, Facebook changed their name, Everything was going wild, and these gaming tokens went crazy, right? And then yes, during the bear

they all dropped 90%. What I'm telling you right now is that the timing of this, I'm not saying this will drop 90%, but I'm saying that this right now, whether you believe in it or not, or you think it's a bit of a LOB, it's just right time, right place. AI is like the number one bullish thing in the stock market where at that time it was some of the metaverse stuff, or at least that's what they were trying to push, let's say. And, and this stuff is, you

know, it's new, it's novel. I, I honestly think GOAT could go to five to 10 billion here. I think Zerobro could probably go to low billions. I think, I don't know about AI16 Zeeks just kind of burnt itself a little bit. But I think, you know, fartcoin, as ridiculous as it is, could go above a billion dollars pretty comfortably. Like I, I, I genuinely think that I think people are looking at that as a sector, the AI agent sector.

If you listen to the NVIDIA call yesterday, this is all they were talking about, like the use of AI agents and, and for that chip, like it's just right time, right place.

And I think you buy all dips. Like if there's a dip, do not fade it. That is a chance to buy it, not to, not to sell it. Maybe when Bitcoin's at 150 K, you know, that's when you go 130K, that's when you go OK, you know, it's getting a bit frothy, but I particularly like for me, the obvious one is GOAT, because it's very difficult for it to be

diluted. In my opinion, Like with these memes, there's, you know, there is often we can be super bullish on chill guy today, but I'm not saying there can't be another tick tock meme next week. I think some of these are still they're they're very difficult to dilute with the rest of the meme coins. So like people viewing them as meme coins and this is what I was saying a while back, like I don't think you should view them as meme coins. I think you should view them as their own sector.

AI agents slash AI money, let's put it that way. And in that route, in that universe, they don't get diluted when a new cute cat comes out, right? Or when peanut comes out or when like this, that doesn't happen. So I think you can be you can also feel pretty comfortable that it's then less they're less cycly than some of the other meme points out there. And and I also think they they

also have that like enough. I mean, I like what Kook said about them the other day, which is like they're just enough of a lot, right? Like the people who are in them also get that like they're not like, Oh my God, this is the most amazing thing I've ever seen. I'm not, I'm not thread guy where I'm like this is all like I get this is a bit of a lop, right? And this is a bit new, but I'm just telling you this is the right time, right place for that LARP.

And I think they can all do a 10X. It's good advice. It's an interesting perspective. Thanks for sharing that. I think one of the mistakes I made was press middle curving zero bro. So I had a nice bag and then I, I was, I was sitting and looking at his tweets and I was like, these are good, but what's the mode? And like like the kind of the whole LARP in thing is like, is this enough? And clearly the market thought it was enough and, and I was

wrong there. And what, what I like about this sector is a, it's, you can use your, your, your own logic, your own mind and evaluate these things. It's not just like, is this a funny meme? Does this make me laugh or not? Like we're, we're, we're past that a little bit, right. You can evaluate that the quality of the outputs yourself and think like, are people actually going to like and respond to this?

And the the signal on Zero Bro was like a lot of people in CT were just like loving the content pretty. And if you don't love that, then I would buy GOAT because GOAT is just an art piece. A lot of the other ones are adding like the utility side of stuff, right? Like probably an AI agent launcher. They're trying to do tons of different things. Whereas GOAT was, He's literally saying this is a performance art piece, right? He's not saying that I'm going

to add like AGI to this. And I'm not going to make like, I'm not going to do crazy. He is saying like he'll upgrade the model, but he's not trying to make this into more than just like that performance piece, let's say. Yeah. I would think the more you try to build, the more risks that you add to all of these. That's what I felt about Ava, just because Ava's kind of rolling out some of its initial plans and they're starting to

show more and they're great. But like the more that you showcase a product, I feel like you introduce people trying to evaluate it like a product and what that product is worth. I think that's that's my concern. And that stuff might also go higher like virtual protocol, but like there's a lot of people doing the same thing.

But now Virtual's is very similar to AI16Z, which is very well some of the stuff that AI16Z is doing, which is very similar to the stuff that Zero Bro is thinking about doing, which is very similar to some of the sort of stuff that like Vivi

Vasu was talking about. Like that sort of stuff can be a little bit like a a race between them all to who has the best AI, of which I think there are some winners of which we you you've mentioned Logan, like you want to pick the ones that have like clearly devs who are shipping stuff every day and like are so axed for this to go well, which is like zero Row has, you know, it really does have. But yeah, I just, I just don't think you can. You can fade it even if you

think it's a lot. Well, Logan, I know you've been tracking it close. Like how are you thinking about trading it? So like Amanda mentioned, some of the, the, the top plays at the top of the board. But I think for a lot of the folks who are grinding, you know, the trenches, it's not quite as interesting to play the majors and they're looking at new stuff. Sorry, are you tracking new launches? Like what are you? What are you folks then?

Yeah, I'm definitely trying to track new launches and in doing so much like I described, I'm trying to find stuff with people who are invested in the success of it, not necessarily financially, right, like shilling the ticker, those types of things because that's probably a turn off. But people who are invested in creating something novel or or interesting and and it's becoming more difficult because there are more people doing this.

But for example, Roparito, right, as you shared here at first autonomous TikTok agent, I'm not sure if that claim is accurate or not, but something like that is interesting and unique and it, it's something that I would want to pay attention to and be able to follow. And it differentiates itself from a lot of the other agents. There's not just that there's a handful of others.

I I don't want to shield tickers, but just because there's some things are so, so small and not even on that watch list. But if you just kind of go down the. We just want tickers, man, People just want them. We want the tickers. They want them, man. You've got who? Who was the other day like you had Gordon chilling like 10K market cap meme codes. The bandits Robin ripped off. Yeah, the band aids off. Well, any anyway.

I mean, you know, there's some like one that we saw it was shared with us by a friend who's close to AI Tyler about like a a conspiracy theory type thing, right, where they're trying to open source things like that. There's a lot of like just interesting slash, weird slash, just I mean, just go look at

them and experiment with them. Often times, I know it's kind of a joke, the Larpy thing, but often times you can pretty quickly tell, like how you know how stupid or how you know you can compare it to the others that are active and out there pretty quickly and understand whether or not it requires any additional due diligence. I. Think there's a lot of opportunities in the under 5 to $10 million space if you can find them and do some evaluation yourself. Span yourself in groups of

people who are doing similar. So a friend, Rob Maxey actually shared this Lola token with me a few days ago. This is one of the biggest winners on on the day. It's up to 175% at 18,000,000. This is an autonomous AI agent that trades shit coins but also has like a sarcastic personality. So they post on XI. Think I shared one of her posts this morning. I said her. I struggle with that. Do you call these things it or do you call them by pronouns like? I need your your thoughts here.

Unless they've specified. I think I've been using it, though I'm not familiar with she says girl in her profile and maybe they've specified so. Yeah, I, I need to work on that, but your best autonomous AI agent that also has like the zero bro like type of Twitter personality that, that shit posts along with it. It's fun, right? And it's, it's enough to, to get it up to 18,000,000. We'll see where it goes from here. It probably needs continuous good content along with some

good trades. But these are the types of things that you can spot in the two to $3,000,000 range and get some nice multiples here. Yeah, I think there's going to be a lot more. So like Manda mentioned that this is a sector to focus on, is its own sector. I think you could just focus just in this and do just fine. Like one of the mistakes I made is after chill guy. I spent all of the yesterday playing these stupid TikTok memes and lost on 10 out of 10 of them.

Like everyone lost who who turned to this yesterday? I I don't think anyone won except perhaps the devs who were launching these. So just be careful and maybe focus in the the winning sectors are my thoughts. A few minutes left in the show. Logie, what else is happening? We've got a a fairly big in a team. It here happening today. This one kind of snuck up on me, but X copy is doing our blocks. Matt, what do people need to know about this? Yeah. So you see there 438 works remaining.

There's basically 450 available. I believe the vast majority of those available to allow listed parties. If you don't know if you're on the allow list, there is there's like a thread via Artbox that has a Google Doc list with that just another X copy via Artbox engine, but another edition Mint icons. I yeah, I see XNS. These don't mean much to me looking at them.

I was not this is not my favorite X copy that I've seen, but X copy as far as you know, if people feeling wealthy on chain talked about status, talked about crypto punk price movement upwards, people feeling wealthy on chain X copy is one of those names right where you can feel wealthy and flex a little bit. So it would not surprise me to see this do well. But give us. A fresh prediction. Give us your price prediction. There's 500 of these. 500 we're. Mincing for .0.

It's basically a free map. Couple ETH maybe is that high? I don't know. There's nothing about I don't know. I I think I'm using the the fact that like I just don't like the look of these, perhaps holding that down a little bit. I'd much rather have almost any other X copy personally, like a a grifter or something like that rather than chucking a couple ETH or something like this. I. Think the problem with this one is if this was any other artists by X copy this would be a floor

or blocks collection. It would be like point O1 ETH. It's probably a fair price, but it's X, so it probably will be in the one to two ETH range. We'll certainly see. We'll be following that market action today for sure. And then one other, one other exciting item, but with the Joe piece, had a big day yesterday. I'm sure folks in the art crowd are talking about this when he sold a 30 piece edition for

about $1.1 million. But our very own Ovie big day tomorrow, perhaps the biggest day rec coin. Rec coin is coming at a not the best time for those of us who are in Central. So it's 10:00 AM UTC. That is 5:00 AM Eastern folks. Tomorrow morning, 4:00 AM for me. So I'll be getting in bed early tonight. It is time to get wrecked. He did share a some of the initial tokenomics behind this.

63% for the community, a very nice chunk there. 11% for the eco, 15% contributors, 7 1/2% for brands, 3% for advisors. It is going to be a a big big day. It looks like the Drake points owners are getting 24% of the tokens. Rec Guy holders are getting a chunk as well. Mando rate the excitement levels from from your good pal Obey here headed into tomorrow. I think head's been down to get this. I mean, is this is come as a surprise to anyone.

I I don't even know what to say. I think it's been hinted at very, very regularly for a long time now. There was a points program. You can't just like get in now. They've been going on for months regarding rec drinks and rec guys themselves. But yeah, the coin will be out tomorrow. Enjoy D Jens because. Enjoy indeed. So tomorrow's show is going to be an absolute banger because this thing is going to be live. Rep guy versus chill guy. Yes, hopefully a battle to billions. ETH rips.

Let's see. Let's see what happens. Well, I, I think you guys have been alluding to it, but like not a bad time for a new coin to drop on ETH, right? I didn't really feel like there's been much new action over there. I couldn't believe it when when the timing happened, I was like, Oh my God, like ETH has been dead for so long. Hopefully, yeah, hopefully this cooks. Good backdrop for sure. Well, I think we went around the the horn there. Logie, anything I missed on your list?

No, Nope, nothing on mine. Nice. Well, I think we can go ahead and call it folks. Fun show. Thanks to all of our listeners for tuning in. Thanks to my Co host. Thanks to our partner Galaxis. We will be back tomorrow at 10:00 AM Eastern. As always, till then, go make today a beautiful day. Goodbye.

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