Dovish innovations

Ian & Royce begin the episode this week discussing the most recent Labour Force Survey. They conclude that while the economy has reached a milestone in recovering all of the jobs lost during the pandemic, that’s not a sign of “mission accomplished”. Ian then takes a deep breath and speaks about the recent move in Canadian short rates, and why the profile for the Bank of Canada has been so aggressively repriced in the past week. Royce agrees, and walks us through his view on the upcoming Bank of Canada announcement, while Ian throws in a surprise by noting that he doesn’t believe the Bank will enter the reinvestment phase this month. The duo finish off the episode by touching on inflation and what the positive terms-of-trade shock does and doesn’t mean for Canada.