CrimsonCASH - 2025 B1G Over/Under Preview - podcast episode cover

CrimsonCASH - 2025 B1G Over/Under Preview

Aug 14, 202536 min
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Episode description

CrimsonCASH is back for a new season! In this preview, Scott and James dive deep into their Big Ten football season predictions, going team by team through over/under win totals. They discuss:

  • Wisconsin's "brutal" schedule: Are they headed for an under?
  • USC and Washington's Big Ten transition: Can the Trojans exceed expectations?
  • UCLA's tough road ahead: Why James is betting the under.
  • Rutgers and Purdue's realistic win totals: Can Purdue avoid a 2-10 season?
  • Penn State's "fraud" status: Will they finally beat a top-tier team?
  • Oregon's "gift from the gods" schedule: Are they headed for an undefeated season?
  • Ohio State's rookie QB and Big Ten dominance: Will they overcome the Michigan hurdle?
  • Northwestern and Minnesota's surprising outlooks: Which team is set to exceed expectations?
  • Michigan State's "worst hand" in scheduling: Why the under looks good.
  • Michigan's soft Big Ten schedule: How far can they go with a freshman QB?
  • Maryland and Iowa's quarterback questions: Can they get to bowl eligibility?
  • Indiana's high hopes: Could they truly go 10-2, and what does that mean for a Heisman candidacy?

Plus, they announce the return of the "Hoosier Hot Streak" betting challenge and introduce "Keegan's Pizza Money" for weekly bets!

Transcript

You're listening to the Back Home Network presented by Home Field Apparel. Yeah, it's pretty simple. I win. Google me. Jared, you better yell. Show me the money. Show me. The money play that, me and his money, you get nothing, you lose. Good day, Sir. Oh my gosh, new intro video new. Season. Crimson Cash is back, James. What's up, man? Hey, how's it going Scott? Happy to be back. Love the new intro video, That's fantastic. That's awesome. We'll still kind of mess with it a little bit.

Hit us up on Twitter. James, you're kind of our Twitter. I I'm a Twitter like I look at stuff. I don't just I don't tweet enough, but I'm I'm a Crimson cast 317. You're Crimson cast 260 on Twitter. Hit either of us up or both of us. If you have clips you want to add there, we can make that a dynamic intro. We can change it all the time. But I love, I love what we have so far. Yeah, I absolutely love anybody listening, watching. Feel free to chime in. We love to hear that kind of

stuff. So you, how's how you been, man? It's been an entire like offseason. I haven't talked to you in a while. It has. I'm ready for some football, as Hank Williams junior would say. You know, I'm, I haven't enjoyed betting baseball on a daily basis cause baseball is a fickle fickle mistress and the Brewers will just win, you know, forever

and ever. Although I have been betting on the Brewers who have like the longest win streak in like the history of baseball it seems like as a Cubs fan. So it's been a brutal summer and I'm ready to get back to it. Loved basketball season. The Pacers were great to watch, made a lot of money on them. Man, if Tyrese doesn't go down, would have made a lot more money on them. So but that's unfortunate. But that's part of being a Patriots fan is you're used to that.

So, so yeah. But I'm happy to be back. Well, welcome back and you put some work in. My friend you. You did an entire breakdown of every single Big 10 team and so we are going to go through that right now. I have it up here. Do you care if I show it on video for those who are? Watching on video. It'll, it'll show a lot of the teams. It's, it's a full Excel spreadsheet. So I don't want to.

I mean, I can do it one by one if you want, or I can I just show the whole thing and we can kind of start talking through it. Yeah, whatever. Show the whole thing, I don't care. So it will be, it will be tough for people's eyes, maybe. Yeah. So do you want to start? Maybe let's go back, let's go lowest you did in alphabetical order. Let's start with Wisconsin and work our way back up to Indiana, Illinois. So we save Indiana to the end. OK, sounds good.

All right, man, so you you start us off Wisconsin. So what what we're doing here is we're looking at the season prediction. Again, we're just a big 10 focus podcast here. We're here to make you some money. Show me the money. And what we're looking at this year is just a season over the season over under. And what James did is he went and predicted how he thought each team was going to do

through their schedules. He put in the work so you don't have to, so you can listen to this pod and make yourself some money. So basically he's trying to figure out whether a team is going to be over or under, what the current prediction over under is right now for each team. So like with Wisconsin, and I promise I'll let you talk here in a SEC, Wisconsin, they're over under for the season is at 5 1/2 wins. So if if they if they win five games, you should be betting the

under. If they win six games, they should be betting the over. What James is trying to do is figure out what the best bet is for each one. There's a couple, I will say this, there's a couple that are like you have three games off where you are three games different than what the current over under is. And those are those are ones that you should bet if you believe what James is talking about. South James, kick us off with Wisconsin.

OK, I don't think Wisconsin's going to be great this year. They've got an over under of five and a half. I have them going under with only five wins. They start off the first three games for most of the Big 10 teams are pretty much gimmies. I don't have a lot of Big 10 non conference losses, but Wisconsin's got one because they chose to schedule. Alabama probably should have knocked that game off the schedule. And when it comes to the Big 10 schedule, it's a brutal 1 for

them. They've got Michigan, they've got Ohio State, they've got Oregon, and they've got Iowa all in a row. And that doesn't even factor in the fact they've got to travel to Bloomington. I've got them getting an upset win over Illinois. One of the things I tried to do, and the reason I did this spreadsheet is so that I could make sure that, you know, I didn't just look at the team and go, oh, they've got, you know,

five wins this year. And then, you know, they play another team who I say got six wins, but I've got them both winning the same game against each other or something like that. So I've made sure that that doesn't happen what I went through doing this, but I I don't see how they're going to get over 5 1/2 wins with this brutal schedule they have unless they're just a tremendously improved team from last year. And I just don't see that right

now. So for those of you guys watching on video, you can see the schedule right here kind of going through that. So you have Wisconsin at 5:00 and 7:00 their over unders 5 1/2. That's a that's a tight bet, man. Like I I'd be any of these that are like right on the edge. I'd be curious. That'd be tough to bet, but I, you know, 'cause I, I could maybe see them winning one of those games you have lost. So I I would this would be a stay away from me. Yeah, I I would not.

I'm not putting any money on this all. Right. So Next up you have Washington. Yeah. I don't know really what to make of them. I think they'll probably be around kind of what they were last year, which is around seven wins, which is they're at 7 1/2. I have them slightly under the losses. You know, I had Wisconsin beating them. It's a that game's at Camp Randall. You know, you never know. That's one of those ones where either one of those could kind

of swing either way. I think Maryland, Rutgers are probably easy games for Washington. And you know, they're going to lose to Ohio State. They're not going to beat Michigan and they're definitely not going to beat Oregon. So yeah, I, I don't like, I don't like, I'm not going to bet it, but I like the under. OK. Next up we have USC. They're over under 7 1/2. Yeah, I have them going over here. Just kind of depends on how this team shakes out. The defense was pretty bad last

year. And can the offense generate enough against some of the Big 10 big boys? And I'm that Michigan game one specifically I'm looking at that's going to be pretty much where this over under hinges on. I think they're going to be able to take care of Northwestern Nebraska. You know, UCLA is a rivalry game, but they seem to have a better team than them. They could pick up a win at Iowa.

I guess that's always possible, but I something about USC heading to Iowa in November. I just don't like that, so that's why I picked that. So I think they'll go over. There's some wiggle room there, but not enough for me. I don't know, man, I kind of like the over here 'cause you look at it like they're, they're probably going to start four and O, they're going to, they're going to have some wind in their

sails. Like, you know, that could be a game against Illinois where Illinois just lost Indiana. You know, I, I could see them going two and one in those Illinois, Michigan, Notre Dame games. You know, there, there could be a world where they just, they just kind of get on a roll. Their schedule's relatively easy. So I, I kind of like, I like the over here as well. I'm going to mark that down. That is one of the ones that I'm going to bet I'm I like that.

That assumes they learned how to tackle in the past offseason, so yeah. But I mean, at some point Link O'Reilly is a good coach. Like he's he should be a good coach and should be able to get stuff done, you would think. You would think. Yeah. All right. Next up, I'm gonna try and do this on the fly. We have UCLA. All right, are you pulling that up here or do I need to pull it up? There we go All right, another team that has a non conference game.

I think they're gonna lose cause Utah just seems to have a more solid program overall, which makes me think that they're probably going to go pretty much under here. In fact, I think they're a game and a half under. They're set at 5 1/2 and I've only got them getting four wins. You tell me where the other two wins are coming from here. Are they going to beat Northwestern at Northwestern? Maybe, maybe. Are they, are they going to beat Penn State? No. Indiana, No. Ohio State.

No. You know, I mean, and then they Nebraska, Washington, USC, what's that they? Could lose to Michigan State. They could lose the Michigan State very easily. So, you know, it's one of those things where, I mean, a lot would have to break for them to get this over. I actually do like the season under for them. I'm I'm writing it down on my sheet. I like the under as well. All right, Next up we have Rutgers.

This is this is fun, by the way, just looking at the schedules and seeing how teams like, oh, like they could be forward. Just I, I enjoy this exercise, just kind of seeing where teams could be throughout the year. So anyway, Rutgers. Rutgers I, I have them winning against Iowa in their first Big 10 game because it's like a Friday night game in Piscataway. And something makes me think, oh, they're gonna win this and they're gonna be 4 and O and you're gonna hear about, oh, is

Rutgers this year's Indiana? And then they're gonna get curb stomped by the Gophers. So that's what I think's gonna happen with them. But they do have Purdue, so they will get another win somewhere along the ways. I just don't see them with the schedule they've got being able to pick up more than five wins, which is where I've got them at, which is under their 5 1/2 total. All right, Next up. This is fun. So yeah, I would stay away from that.

That's just really close to it. Next up is Purdue. God, I'd love to bet the under, but it's like at 2 1/2. You're just assuming they have to go 2 and 10, which would be awesome, and it's very possible. But anyway, go ahead. You can make a case they lose the Ball State. You can easily make that case. I have no idea what to expect from this Purdue team. They were so God awful last year. How many guys came over from UNLV? Is that gonna be a big deal?

Who knows? You know, I don't think they're gonna win. I mean, more than Ball State in Southern Illinois, there's no chance. So I who they gonna beat Northwestern maybe? Yeah, that's probably the only that may be the only winnable game on their schedule besides Ball State and Southern Illinois. The the the only game with a probably competitive. Are you, are you able to do adjusted win totals like I, I guess, I guess the odds wouldn't

be good enough. But if you like, if you set the the under at 3 like can you can you do that here? Or are you just I'm curious? I don't know of any books that are doing that on the season over unders. Now you may have one book has it at, you know, 3 1/2 and 2 1/2. I don't see too many whole numbers on the season over unders. OK. Yeah, I if like if I could get it for 3 1/2, I would pound that all day long. But I think, yeah, 2 1/2.

Is they know that I think 2 1/2, I think the under is actually it's, it's negative, yeah. So it's not. Only thing is, if you if you bought up to 3 1/2 at the odds would probably not even make any sense. Yeah. And and then it's like, yeah, if they beat Ball State, Southern Illinois and they beat Northwestern, you're like suddenly sweating the rest of the year. You're sweating that Rutgers

game. Or I mean, worst case, it's like, let's say it's I don't think it's going to be, but if it's a tight game against Indiana, you're like, dude, this is the worst case scenario. I do not expect that to happen. I don't either, but just it wouldn't be fun. All right, Next up, similar in a different way here. Penn State, they're over under is 10 1/2 and they are right on that line like this. This is a question of do you think they can beat Ohio State or Oregon or can they go clean

on everything else? But give us your thoughts. Well, I was generous to Penn State because last year, you'll know, I hailed them as frauds and I don't think James Franklin is a great coach, but somehow they get a shit ton of talent just to show up on campus, but not enough to beat Oregon or Ohio State. So I think I go to Ohio Stadium this year. I I don't see that happening. And being generous to them, I gave them the win against Indiana only because they're at home.

So I I don't 10 1/2 is a salty number. I mean, I mean they that's pretty tough to do. So I would feel comfortable taking the under here. Penn State, I've been talking about them a lot with friends, 'cause we said this last year, it's like it's unfair that Indiana's bar to cross was like, you have to win at Ohio State. Like GAIL and I talked about it. There's only a couple teams that have won at one at the Horseshoe in the Big 10 in the last 10 years. Like it's a very small number

this year. If Indiana loses at Oregon and loses at Penn State, I know there'll be some national talk of like, oh man, Indiana like frauds again, just saw schedule. It's like nobody says that about Penn State. But yet Penn State doesn't win top ten games either. Like the the fact that for Indiana to not be a fraud in some people's eyes, they have to win at Oregon or win at Penn State is absurd. Like that's a great year that

would make Indiana 10 and two. And again, I just, I look at Penn State, they don't win top ten games games either, yet everyone just kisses their rear end. Everyone puts them in the top ten. Everyone's like, oh, they're a great team. Like you've never heard a lot of like all their frauds, they don't deserve to be there. It's like, yeah, they're, they're, I mean, you, you get some talk of like they just

can't win the big game. But it it's they, they don't get the same kind of vitriol that Indiana does, and they won't the the the same vitriol Indiana will get this year if they don't win those two games will not be the same. If Penn State has that schedule, that that result that you showed right there, which is basically the same as Indiana, if they both go 10 and two and have the same results, I guarantee there will be more vitriol toward Indiana than Penn State.

Yeah, without a doubt. All right, we'll go to the next next grouping. I need to add the image file, so I'm doing. I'm producing and putting stuff up on the same time. All right, here we go. Oregon, they're over. Under is 10 1/2. Dude, James, you got them going clean. I don't think they lose. I think this is it. I mean, look at this schedule as a gift from the gods. Penn State and Indiana are their two toughest games.

And interesting side note, they have a bye week before the Indiana game, so they play Penn State and then they've got a bye before Indiana. So any, you know, residual like hangover or anything we think we might have gotten if they beat Penn State, we'll probably be nullified by that point. We played like 6 teams coming off a bye, it was insane. Yeah, so this is that doesn't bode well for the Hoosiers. I think Oregon is just more athletic than every team on that

list. And so I don't think they're going to lose. I think they'll be the number one college, number one seed in the College Football Playoff. I'm I'm having a hard time disagreeing with you. I'm just I'm looking at their schedule. I mean, look at it. Yeah, I mean, I, I will say for next year, you should do an at you should give me the, the the road and away splits here so I know where people are different. So you should be like at so we can you know, hey, we're man,

we're always getting better. Every year we get better. Hours I spread on this spreadsheet so. Well, 10 more minutes next year, maybe that USC game, maybe it I was like the the Iowa game, that's at Iowa, that could be tougher. That is at Iowa. I mean that that could be a rough one, but yeah, I'm with you, man. It, it could be all the way. So that's actually 10 1/2's, not a bad number then if you look at looking at this schedule because like they could. Lose. Yeah, they lost the.

Penn State. No, I don't. I mean, if it was the Penn State and Indiana, I mean, that would be the only way I see it. So I mean, that's kind of a like, if you think, if you think Indiana's going to win that game, then maybe you bet the under on Oregon as well. I don't know. I would take the Indiana over as opposed to the Oregon under. At that point, fair enough. All right. Next up, you have Ohio State. Ohio State you also have going pretty clean.

Outside of a first loss, you haven't beaten Grambling. Explain yourself please. Yeah, this Texas game, I think that's going to be an Arch Manning show. So I don't like them winning that, but I just who, who are they going to lose to rest? You know, Penn State, I don't think so. That game's at Ohio Stadium. I mean, Michigan, 'cause they lose to Michigan every year, but at some point that's got to change. 10 1/2 this over under. I will not take this. I would not bet this, but I do

think that it goes over. All right. Next up, we have a pretty big spread here. Northwestern, Northwestern over under is 3 1/2. You have them differently. Yeah, I think they win five games this year. And let's take a look at who I think they can be. Tulane, Western Illinois, University of Louisiana, Monroe, UCLA and Purdue. Now, I'd say four of those are pretty safe bets, and they're at

3 1/2. So go ahead and give me the Cats. And and by the way, we talked about this you, you did check all this stuff. So you have like if you, if you have, you know, Northwestern beating Purdue, you don't have Purdue beating Northwestern. Like this is all all evened out right? Correct. A moon? No. OK, I gotta, I forgot. I have, I have team sounds from last year. I don't think I have, I don't think I have that one locked in there. I think we did a lot of ours

already, but I will. I'm gonna get better at this. Have them locked in. All right, Next up we have Nebraska over under 7 1/2. Surprising because they're such a media darling. They normally are like A7, you know, nine win team, but 7 1/2. But you're you're a huge fan, Nebraska fan. You have them going 8 and 4. Yeah, I wanted her to go under. I really did. But then I looked at the schedule.

I mean, they just don't have a tough schedule and they get Michigan at home and Michigan with this rookie QB, we haven't got to them yet. But I'm not completely sold on that idea yet. They just pretty much got a soft schedule. So yeah, eight wins seems very plausible. All right, Next up, I need to again do a little producing on the fly, but we're going to add our next image. Hopefully people are watching this online or on YouTube or on Spotify because we're putting

some work in here, man. All right, Next up, we have, oh, I did Nebraska twice. My bad. We have Minnesota, Minnesota's over under is 7 1/2 and you have a discrepancy here, Discrepancy alert. I haven't been nine and three. That's. Wild row that boat, baby. Well, let's look at this, all right, Buffalo, Northwestern State, Cal and Rutgers to start the year. So that's a nice four and O

cushion. They lose to Ohio State, they beat Purdue, I think they beat Nebraska, lose to Iowa, beat Michigan State, lose to Oregon, beat Northwestern, beat Wisconsin. So I mean, I think that's all plausible. Now, are all those wins going to happen? Probably not, but I think at least eight of them probably would. Then, you know, where do they, you know, maybe they trip up against Nebraska or Wisconsin or something. But I I think they're probably over. I think PJ Flex a good coach too.

Yeah, I, I, I would kind of agree with that. All right, Next up you have Michigan State, a 5 1/2 line. This is 1. I talk about my buddy Robert on my street all the time. He's a Michigan State fan. We started talking football as we always do this time of year. And, you know, I, I actually think they're going to be better. I think their quarterback is pretty good. He's salty good. But Robert started like laying out there, like, give me your schedule, man. Like just let's talk it through.

Just laying it out. I'm like, my God, their schedule is brutal. Like they might have pulled the worst hand in the Big 10 scheduling card. I think Michigan State could be better and could still go four and eight or three and nine just based on schedule alone. And at 5 1/2, I, I'm with you. I really like the under, but talk us through this. They have a brutal stretch. Brutal. And that assumes they can beat

Boston College, right, right. Which, you know, I mean, which I I gave him, you know, the benefit of the doubt on that one. But I mean, you get, you know, USC, Nebraska, UCLA, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Penn State, Iowa, I got to lose all those games in a row. I'm not a soul on the quarterback. I think he's got some great arm talent and he can he's pretty mobile, but I don't think he makes the best decisions on earth. And that team was just so bad

last year. It's it's hard to envision them being much better against this kind of competition. So at 5 1/2, I really like this under I, I don't where are six wins here? Yeah. Where are those little people coming from, you know? I'm with you. You have them at 4:00 and 8:00. If you say like, let's say they beat Minnesota or they beat UCLA, which I think they could beat UCLA, it's like, OK, they're 5:00 and 7:00, give me the next win. Like where? Where is it coming from?

It's not going to, you know, at Indiana. It's not going to be at Penn State. It's like Iowa. I think both of those are on the road. I guess it's just it's Penn State's they're playing home, but Iowa's at Iowa. Yeah. It's just a rough schedule. All right, Next up we have Michigan. Their over under is 8 1/2 and you have them at 8 and a fourth of an 8 and 4. Yeah, and I went back and forth on this one. I think I had them at 9:00 and

3:00 at one point. But then I thought no, because I don't think they're going to win this Oklahoma game. That was where I kind of hinged on the over under for their season total. I think the rookie QB, the freshman QB is not going is not what you want playing Oklahoma. So I, I, I'm thinking they probably lose that game, if shockingly, a very soft Big 10 schedule where they've somehow managed to avoid Oregon, Penn State and Indiana.

They do get Ohio State, which and that's at, you know, the Big House. You have Ryan Day finally winning that game. I do, yeah. I think this is the well, I mean, I'm very concerned about a freshman quarterback winning nine game. I just, I don't know who is this kid, you know, I mean, he's no Arch Manning, so. All right, Next up, let's go to our last image file. Some Michigan fans like his name's fucking this and that. And how do you not know?

That's that's M go blog live on M go blog right now. All right, we have Maryland. I have a Maryland song here. I I I actually remember some of these. I have no idea what we did for Maryland. So. You have a Maryland song. That's what Maryland does. There we go. There we go. OK, great. I think they they have a tough go of it this year, 4 and a halfs, they're over under. I I mean, they could get to 5. I don't like it, but I'm not going to bet it. This is a middling football team.

They're they're kind of the same boat as Michigan State. They're not good enough to beat the schedule they've been presented with, which as former Big 10 E people, we understand that so. I wouldn't touch this. I just, I don't know enough about Maryland. I don't care enough. I don't want money on them. Next up, you have Iowa. They're over under a 7 1/2. You have an 8:00 and 4:00. Yeah, I'm not huge on it. I wouldn't, you know, rush to bet this.

This assumes a lot of things and it assumes mostly that they have a quarterback who's aware of the forward pass and an offensive coordinator who's also aware of the forward pass, which is a lot. But but the defense is always going to be solid and they've got a fairly tough schedule. So who knows how they're going to feel after losing back-to-back to Rutgers in Indiana. You know, I mean, because I haven't losing to Rutgers. So, you know, that's so they could be a nine and three team.

You know, I kind of threw that in there, but they could all very easily use the lose the USC, which I haven't winning, but that's a home game in November, which I kind of talked about earlier. So this is one of those ones. I mean, I'm going to run to it, but I think they'll be better. 7 1/2 wins. Yeah, I, I think so, although I mean, you have a very reasonable like win loss schedule there and that's I, I hate being one game away from that.

It's it's tough and, and I was one of those teams where they're tough to play at home, but they, they can also just become a dog and just have zero offense going. I I would stay away from this as well. One of the ones I've already bet and I'll be betting and I'll continue to bet more Indiana. They come in at an 8 1/2 line. You have them at 10:00 and 2:00. I've not done my season prediction yet, but there's my text notification going off right in the background. But talk to us about this ten

and two. Big over? Yeah, that Illinois game's a big one. Obviously, I think Illinois, they're up next, but I'll go ahead and talk about them now. I don't get it. I have them going over but I don't get why they're so hyped up. It's top Hanks and big. I don't get it. I don't get it. I don't care in a robot. That turns into a building. I don't get it. The quarterback, I mean, when

did he become good? When, I mean, did Heather Dennis write an article about how good he was and then he became good? You know, I don't, I don't know this team, that team barely beat Purdue last year, for God's sakes. So yeah, I don't get it. OK. I think we went out Iowa, that's the big one.

I'm also very concerned about. So this thing is already, you know, there's a couple of I think I'm comfortable beating Illinois. I at Iowa, I'm a little more concerned about I don't see any way we win at Oregon, but the rest of the Big 10 schedule I think is very winnable. And at Penn State, I don't see a scenario where we go in and pull off the upset. I just don't. But that's the, you know, lifelong Hoosier fan in me talking. So that could be why.

And Signetti would slap that out of me if he saw me. So. So that's where I'm at on the Hoosiers, I think Odds of beating Penn State 30%. Odds of winning at Oregon, 10 to 15. Odds of beating Iowa 60 to 70. I'm in the same boat. I think we have a better chance at Penn State than we do at Oregon. I don't know why. I just, I think Oregon's a different type of athlete that we're not ready for. Oregon will be the best team we play all year. I and I don't even think it's

going to be close. And it it does, it comes down to that Iowa game here. But even if you lose that Iowa game, you're still at 9:00 and 3:00 and then. It's like even 8 and 4 would be a great season. Yeah, I'm not going to be upset if we end up 8:00 and 4:00. Well I would be if I met the over like. From a betting. Perspective, I'm looking at it from a betting perspective, is that you have a game of slop to play around with there if you lose at Iowa.

And there's also a world where if you lose those, like maybe you do beat Iowa, but you lose to Illinois or you lose to Wisconsin at home, but you're, you're able to pull off like I, I think there's a world where you might go 10 and two, nine and three, but it doesn't look the way we think it does because you drop 1 here, but then you pick one up somewhere else. So I, I like meant A2 game variance is pretty good at this point in the season. And so I like the over on

Indiana a lot. Yeah, I don't have anything on it yet, but I will. I do have I did put a few bucks on Fernando Mendoza to win the Heisman at +5000 odds. I also have a bet on IU to make the College Football Playoff. So I remember when I put money on Penix to win the Heisman, I never thought I was crazy. And then we had that great season And then like the next year at Washington, I think I put money on it too. And it's like it, it's not bad.

So Mendoza, I mean, I'll, I'll say this, if Indiana goes 10 and two and he has some great numbers, there's a, there's a Heisman candidacy there. No, they they need to go at least 11:00 and 1:00 because he'd have to win. He'd have to win. He'd have to win in Eugene or he'd have to win in Penn State. Like probably right to to be in that conversation. You got to win the big a big game on the road and kind of be the reason for it.

Unless, unless we lose both those games like 56 to 52 or something where he just puts up a like it becomes a Josh Allen type thing where it's like, dude, man, he did everything he. Could, yeah, but that wouldn't be possible. So I mean, I don't know. There's an outside shot. That's why it's plus 5000, yeah. All right, well, man, this was fun. I have all right so you you don't like Illinois, but they're still one of your bigger variants teams. You still have them as an.

Over. I do have them with the over, yeah, I think their defense was pretty good. And so that's kind of and I think their run game is decent. I'm still not sold on their quarterback, but the schedule is pretty easy for them. I want to pull that back in. They at it. Here's some games where I, I think the USC game that I have them winning, I think they could lose that. Maybe Washington would be the other one. I'd be concerned about that man.

Yeah, I I think they're going to, they're going to get that over. I like that as a call. So all right, here are the ones that I have written down. All right, my list is complete. All right. The ones I'm going to bet are USC over, UCLA under, Oregon over, Northwestern over, Minnesota over, Michigan State under, sorry Robert, Indiana over, and Illinois over. I like those. I I think, you know, yeah, you know, I might do one where I parlay them all, which is kind

of cheap. I might parlay the Indiana over, the Michigan State under, and the Oregon over. I think those are the ones I feel and maybe the Illinois over like. The the Oregon over I feel pretty comfortable with. Yeah, I'm going to be honest. Yeah. All right man, so. They want to bet the IU over. I'm just going to be honest.

You're not no 'cause I'm gonna be pissy enough if they go 8:00 and 4:00 that I don't want to add any fuel to the fire and be calling for Cignetti's head or something irrational by the end of the day. Or watch your mouth. How dare you? You could also just try and like bet the games on, you know, one-on-one basis. Like I, I bet Indiana's still going to probably be, it won't be the same run we had last year, but they're probably still going to be like an underdog going into Iowa.

Like I, I think there's still going to be some really good value on the Hoosiers this year again. I think so too, yeah. And the 8 1/2 line shows it. And I think we may get some some nice like team totals, things like that to start the year. So the kind of kind of things that last year kind of worked for us, we'll kind of see if they're available again this year. Speaking of things that worked last year, we are bringing back, yeah. It's pretty simple. I win. Google me.

The who's your hot streak? We're bringing that back, so we're going to start that Week 1 of Indiana's first game. Basically the way it works is Indiana's on a hot streak last year, so in so James had to bet Indiana to win money line, right? No. Is it just a bet on the bet on? The bet on the Hoosiers and then if you won that bet the next week you had to tack on another

Big 10 bet in the parlay. So like week 1 is just IU, Week 2 is a two team parlay, Week 3 is a three team parlay, Week 4 we just see how far we can take it and then we reset again. But you have to win the Indiana bet first. I think we got, what, four or five weeks in a row at one point? We got like four or five weeks. Yeah. We you're, you're pretty hot

last year. Yeah, so just like signeti you know fast things over unless every bet has a life of its own 6 seconds of bet you know never hedge, sometimes hedge and then. We're also adding something else this year because you have a son in college. Yeah, my son is heading down to Purdue. He's going to be a freshman and he's leaving this weekend. And so each week I was going to send him some pizza money, but I thought instead of doing that,

well, why don't we gamble it? And he can either get no pizza money or extra pizza money and we can all have a little fun with it. So each week my plan is to go on X and put out a couple games that we're going to use. And that's where you get you. The people get to choose what game we're going to put the pizza money on. So that's that's Keegan's pizza money. He gets pizza money. Yep. He gets pizza bet but he can't get so you'll.

Find those of you interested. It will end up being mad mushroom cheese sticks I'm pretty sure so. Are you, are you going to? Is it Big 10 only or is this any game you'll you'll bet on? We should keep we'll we, we'll expand it. We'll try and just do big 10 games. But if there's something else that looks tasty out there, I'm like tossed it in there's. 18 teams out there, but it's just one bet. We're not doing paralyze like it's just one bet for him to get his. Piece it'll be like one bet

yeah. So you'll. Yeah. OK, I I like that. I like. That a lot. Since he's doing Purdue, we might put the Boilers on there a time or two so. OK, OK. Well I mean force force him to root for a boiler loss. I love him to get his. Pizza, he's got a root for Purdue losses or pizza. I love it. I love it a lot. Well, James, it's we got like 2 weeks until like 3 weeks until the first Big 10 games. This has been fun. Look forward to it and we're going to be again recording on Thursdays.

Follow up with James on X. He is at Crimson Pass 260. I'm on there, Crimson cast 317. I will do a better job of looking at that this year and we'll look forward to a fun year and make some money and see the Hoosiers go 10 and two, maybe 11:00 and 1:00. That'd be great. Maybe 12 and oh, who knows. We'll do a live show at the Big 10 Championship Game. There's nothing stopping this team from going 12 and oh. Except for Penn State and.

Oregon and Oregon for the the teams that are trying to beat. Them. Yeah, exactly. All right, James. Well, I appreciate it. It's been fun and looking forward to another fun year. Thank you all for listening and for for James. This is Scott for Crimson Cash signing off.

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