DraftKings co-founder Matt Kalish set Gambling Twitter on fire after a viral rant about prediction markets, sharp bettors, retail gamblers, and the future of sports betting. Jacob Gramegna, Joey Knish, Storm Pig, and Porter of BA Analytics react to the entire situation, break down the backlash, and discuss what the conversation says about the current state of the gambling industry. The crew also dives into the viral “Sports betting will be dead in 5-10 years” take, whether traditional betting re...
May 21, 2026•1 hr 14 min
In this Circles Off Q&A, Rob Pizzola is joined by Plus EV Analytics, Matt Buchalter, for a deep dive into sports betting modeling — how it actually works in practice, what separates good models from bad ones, and how sharp bettors think about building and evaluating their edge. This episode is built around 10 of the toughest modeling questions pulled directly from Circles Off content and community discussion. The conversation covers how to start a model from scratch, when a model is strong e...
May 20, 2026•42 min
In this episode of Circles Off, Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola and Matt Buchalter as they react to a viral NBA Same Game Parlay strategy from Guy Boston Sports that has been circulating across YouTube. The group breaks down the ideas presented in the video titled “My Winning Same Game Parlay Strategy for the NBA,” which has gathered tens of thousands of views, and examines whether the logic actually holds up in real sports betting markets. Rob and Matt take a sharp, analytical look at t...
May 13, 2026•50 min
The UFC betting market is under scrutiny again after suspicious line movement on Sean Brady vs. Joaquin Buckley caused sportsbooks to pull the fight entirely before Brady won as a massive underdog. The crew also discusses Sean Strickland upsetting Khamzat Chimaev, new legislation aimed at sportsbook limiting practices in New Jersey, and the viral World Cup betting strategy claiming bettors can “guarantee” profits by backing 14 teams. Jacob Gramegna hosts Rob Pizzola, Jason Cooper, and George Tsi...
May 11, 2026•1 hr 42 min
A sports bettor on Twitter revealed he was missing the last bit of money needed to pay rent, so he decided to tail a Dub Club pick seller that was being promoted as a winning bettor. The story sparked a massive discussion about gambling responsibly, the dangers of relying on sports betting for income, and the growing trust issues around pick-selling culture online. The crew also reacts to another Gambling Twitter controversy involving a bettor posting an empty Cavaliers bet slip for engagement b...
May 08, 2026•1 hr 10 min
In this episode of Legendary Loopholes on Circles Off, Jacob Gramegna is joined by Matt Buchalter, also known as Plus EV Analytics, to break down one of the most incredible NBA betting edges you’ll ever hear. Matt walks through how he discovered a Same Game Parlay error at an offshore sportsbook that created a massive edge. What started as a small observation quickly turned into an opportunity to generate thousands in profit. Using a real example from a Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks game, ...
May 06, 2026•13 min
A viral tweet claiming sportsbooks “screw their customers” gets broken down — and the math behind it doesn’t hold up. The crew digs into how betting markets actually work, why pricing is often misunderstood, and how public perception of sportsbooks gets shaped by viral takes. They also react to a bizarre identity verification request from BallyBet that raises questions about how far sportsbooks are going with compliance, plus a broader discussion on prediction markets and how a small percentage ...
May 04, 2026•1 hr 32 min
This episode covers a wide range of topics across betting, prediction markets, and probabilistic thinking. We start with the Brendan Sorsby situation after reports surfaced about a major gambling-related issue involving the Texas Tech QB, including over 10,000 bets placed dating back to 2022. The conversation focuses on what this means for gambling integrity in college sports and the broader responsibility discussion that comes with it. From there, the panel reacts to Isaac Rose-Berman’s recent ...
May 01, 2026•1 hr 13 min
In this episode of Circles Off, Rob Pizzola sits down with Jon Sadow, VP of Sportsbook Product at FanDuel, to break down the launch of Bet Protect+. This new feature, introduced during the NBA Playoffs, allows bettors to pay a small fee to insure their wagers against player injuries. But how does Bet Protect+ actually work, and what does it mean for bettors in practice? Rather than speculation, we go straight to the source. Jon Sadow, the driving force behind Bet Protect+, walks through the thin...
Apr 29, 2026•35 min
A U.S. soldier is now at the center of a massive betting controversy after allegedly using classified information tied to a secret mission to make over $400,000 on Polymarket. The situation has sparked a major debate around insider trading, prediction markets, and where the line is drawn between public information and national security. Things escalated further when Donald Trump weighed in on the case, comparing it to legendary sports betting controversies and suggesting it may not be as clear-c...
Apr 27, 2026•1 hr 43 min
Welcome to Circles Off! In this episode, Rob Pizzola reacts to the 2026 Sports Betting Superlatives blog written by Ferris (FerrisB_86), one of the most well-known voices in the sports betting space. This blog doesn’t hold back — featuring bold takes, callouts, and “most likely to” superlatives across the industry, including Rob himself and others from The Hammer Betting Network. Some of it hits, some of it misses, but all of it sparks conversation. Rob reads through the article for the first ti...
Apr 22, 2026•1 hr 24 min
FanDuel’s new BetProtect Plus feature is getting a lot of attention — but is it actually worth it? We break down how the 3% premium works, why it might seem appealing to casual bettors, and the major flaws that make it a losing play long term. From guaranteed negative EV scenarios to why using it on unders makes no sense, we explain what bettors are missing and why this “protection” could be costing you more than you think. Plus, we discuss the marketing angle behind the rollout and why this mig...
Apr 20, 2026•1 hr 51 min
A major Twitter Bookie Scam is unfolding as Leviathan Locks gets exposed, but the story doesn’t stop there. What started as accusations quickly spirals into a much bigger situation involving Boomers Bets, who had been publicly vouching for Leviathan Locks while allegedly paying back victims behind the scenes. As more information comes out, the connection between the two raises serious questions about how deep this operation went and how many bettors were affected. Plus, we break down Chris Dierk...
Apr 17, 2026•58 min
In this episode, we do something a little different. We brought back Isaac Rose Berman (roundrobin42), a sharp tennis bettor and responsible gaming advocate, and put him in the hot seat to rank some of the most well-known names on Gambling Twitter. From respected voices to controversial figures, Isaac breaks down his honest thoughts on 19 prominent betting personalities and places them into tiers based on credibility, perception, and overall impact in the space. Some rankings might surprise you....
Apr 15, 2026•10 min
This week on Circle Back, the crew kicks things off with a recap of the 2026 Masters, as Rory McIlroy goes back-to-back and continues to cement his legacy. From there, we dive into a major controversy surrounding Dub Club after one of its most prominent pick sellers went on a shocking and offensive public rant, raising serious questions about platform responsibility and moderation in the pick selling space. Plus, we break down the growing conversation around athletes holding ownership stakes in ...
Apr 13, 2026•1 hr 26 min
Ohio lawmakers are proposing sweeping changes to the sports betting landscape, including banning online betting, eliminating props and parlays, limiting wagers, and restricting ads during games. The crew reacts to what this could mean for bettors and the industry, and whether this is a real threat or political posturing. Plus, a viral story involving Mike Vrabel and Diana Russini has taken over social media after the two were seen together at a hotel in Arizona, sparking major reactions and deba...
Apr 10, 2026•1 hr 13 min
Welcome to Circles Off! In this episode, Rob Pizzola, CEO of The Hammer and pro sports bettor, walks you through his first-ever sports betting model, the one he successfully used on the NHL in the 2017-2018 season. While this exact model wouldn’t work in today’s NHL, Rob breaks down the step-by-step process and key strategies that go into building a winning sports betting model. Whether you’re a beginner looking to understand how models are made or an experienced bettor wanting insight into prof...
Apr 08, 2026•33 min
This week on Circle Back, the crew dives into a heated debate sparked by Alex Monahan’s claim that winning at sports betting is actually easier than most people think—and why the real challenge isn’t winning, but scaling. Plus, we break down a deeply concerning discovery on Polymarket, where a market appears to be designed to exploit users who don’t fully read the house rules, raising serious questions about predatory structures in betting platforms. And finally, we discuss Steve Fezzik stepping...
Apr 06, 2026•1 hr 58 min
The NFL is making moves against prediction markets, sending warning letters about betting on things like broadcasts, celebrities, and even the NFL Draft. The crew breaks down what this means for the future of prediction markets, plus reacts to the U.S. suing Illinois over its regulation efforts. They also dive into whether sportsbook cashouts are actually predatory, and if bettors should ever be using them. Plus, a debate on whether MLB BvP (batter vs pitcher) data is completely meaningless when...
Apr 03, 2026•1 hr 5 min
Rob Pizzola sits down with The Shipper, a professional sports bettor who made the leap from working as a sportsbook trader to taking on the betting world full-time. In this follow-up interview — one of the most requested guests on Circles Off — Shipper shares how he approaches betting today, what sportsbooks look for when limiting players, and tips every bettor can use. Whether you’re a casual fan or a sharp bettor, this episode is packed with insights into the mindset, strategy, and lessons lea...
Apr 01, 2026•1 hr 39 min
This week in sports betting was complete chaos, and the crew breaks it all down. From Tiger Woods making headlines again after a DUI arrest while talking about a return for The Masters, to a bizarre UFC controversy where the wrong winner was announced, creating a window for a prediction market bettor to cash in at massive odds. Plus, a deep dive into the growing conversation around microbetting, with DraftKings launching new features tied to historical at-bats and the NFL’s involvement in a laws...
Mar 30, 2026•1 hr 17 min
We asked ChatGPT to pick the 10 most insightful sports betting questions, and in this Q&A, experts Rob Pizzola and Isaac Rose-Berman break them all down. From bankroll management to understanding edge, market selection, and how sharp bettors think, this episode is packed with practical insights to help you make smarter betting decisions. Whether you’re new to sports betting or looking to refine your approach, this discussion shows what it really takes to improve your process and think like a...
Mar 27, 2026•47 min
Most sports bettors don’t even realize they’re being scammed. In this episode of Circles Off, professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola breaks down the Top 5 biggest scams in the sports betting industry — and how you can avoid falling into these traps. From fake “guaranteed wins” to misleading betting services and shady bankroll strategies, these are the tactics that cost bettors thousands over time. If you’re serious about improving as a bettor, you NEED to understand what to avoid just as much as...
Mar 25, 2026•20 min
The crew breaks down the discourse around March Madness this year, with many fans pointing out the lack of upsets, buzzer beaters, and overall chaos that typically defines the tournament. With favorites dominating early, the panel dives into whether something feels off and explores the growing belief that NIL has fundamentally changed the landscape of college basketball and the tournament’s unpredictability. Later, the conversation shifts to the controversy surrounding MLB’s new partnership with...
Mar 23, 2026•1 hr 45 min
In this episode of Circles Off, professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola and sharp bettor Isaac Rose-Berman react to Linemaker Sports’ viral video “The New Way to Get Rich Sports Betting in 2026.” Is this actually a profitable strategy, or just another misleading take on sports betting? Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, the crew breaks down the key claims from Linemaker Sports and gives their honest, expert analysis on what works, what doesn’t, and what bettors need to avoid. If you're serious about sport...
Mar 18, 2026•49 min
The crew on Circle Back reacts to the latest wave of national media coverage around sports betting, including a recent piece from The Atlantic that sparked debate across gambling Twitter. The panel discusses whether these stories are genuinely trying to explore the problems within the industry or if they’re being produced with the intention of villainizing sports betting altogether. From misleading narratives to misunderstandings about how the market actually works, the group breaks down where t...
Mar 16, 2026•1 hr 46 min
Isaac Rose-Berman, a sharp tennis bettor, uncovered a hidden edge at a recent Indian Wells tournament that most bettors completely missed. The opportunity came from a subtle change in tennis balls, and Isaac breaks down exactly how he spotted it, why it mattered, and the impact it had on his betting strategy. Fans of tennis and sports betting will get a rare, inside look at a true all-time advantage and the methods that sharp bettors use to find opportunities others overlook. In this episode of ...
Mar 11, 2026•13 min
The crew reacts to one of the strangest betting markets in recent UFC memory, breaking down the suspicious line movement in the Michael Johnson vs Drew Dober fight and why so many bettors immediately questioned what was happening. Was it sharp action, bad numbers from sportsbooks, or something even stranger? The panel dives into how the market moved, why it raised eyebrows across gambling Twitter, and what bettors should actually take away from situations like this. They also discuss whether spo...
Mar 09, 2026•1 hr 28 min
This week on Circle Back, we break down some of the worst sports betting advice currently circulating on Gambling Twitter. The crew reacts to a viral strategy suggesting bettors should blindly fade steam moves in low-liquidity mid-major college basketball games, and explains why sportsbooks adjusting to sharp action does NOT suddenly create value on the other side. We also discuss bankroll management advice encouraging bettors to constantly withdraw profits instead of allowing their bankroll and...
Mar 06, 2026•1 hr 2 min
When DraftKings posted +225 on there being a perfect game during the MLB season, gambling Twitter immediately called it one of the worst prices ever hung. But most of the outrage focused on the wrong reasons. In this video, Rob Pizzola breaks down why the reaction missed the mark, walks through the probability calculation step by step, converts the implied odds properly, and uses base rate math to estimate the true price of this season-long prop in the Major League Baseball betting market. Along...
Mar 04, 2026•12 min
