The Economic Consequences of a European War

In this week's episode, I look at the extreme uncertainty around Russia’s intentions in relation to Ukraine, have focussed mainly on the military consequences of an invasion. There would also be an economic shock through energy and other commodity markets. We have the two oil shocks of 1974 and 1980 as a precedent. There are also potential wider implications for business if the SWIFT payments system is disrupted by sanctions and because of potential instability in financial markets. 

Link to article: https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/war-economic-cost-ukraine-russia-b2015490.html#comments-area

Sir Vince Cable is the former leader of the Liberal Democrats and served as Secretary of State for business, innovation and skills from 2010 to 2015. He records a regular podcast ‘Cable Comments’, expanding on the themes from this column. Link here https://www.independent.co.uk/author/vince-cable

Vince’s new book ‘The Chinese Conundrum: Engagement or Conflict’ is available to buy online or from your local bookstore. Amazon, Bloomsbury, Waterstones, WHSmiths.

To find out more about Vince, go to www.vincecable.org

Follow him on Twitter: @vincecable

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