Netflix vs Blockbuster - Sudden Death | 1 - podcast episode cover

Netflix vs Blockbuster - Sudden Death | 1

Feb 06, 201827 minSeason 1Ep. 1
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Summary

This episode delves into the origins of Netflix with founders Marc Randolph and Reed Hastings, challenging Blockbuster's traditional rental empire. It highlights Blockbuster CEO John Antioco's struggles with debt and a hostile takeover attempt by corporate raider Carl Icahn. The narrative climaxes with a tense meeting between Hastings and Antioco, where both companies, despite their public rivalry, face their own imminent demise, leading to a surprising negotiation.

Episode description

This is Episode 1 of an 8-part series on the brutal business battle between Netflix and Blockbuster, and later HBO.

It all started around 1997, with a guy named Marc Randolph and his mathematician friend Reed Hastings. Randolph and Hastings knew they’d have to take on Blockbuster, but what they didn’t anticipate was that their business model would take on network television and eventually change the entire movie industry.

This was an 8-year total war that left innumerable casualties in its wake: thousands of hollowed out buildings and economic losses in the billions.


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Transcript

Intro / Opening

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Audible subscribers can listen to all episodes of Business Wars ad-free right now. Join Audible today by downloading the Audible app.

The Blockbuster Era and Netflix's Vision

From Wondery, this is Business Wars. I'm your host, David Brown.

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Behind every successful business, there's always a hard-fought war that the public rarely gets to see up close. In Business Wars, we're going to be delving into the most iconic and fascinating battles among rivals, like McDonald's vs. Burger King, Nike vs. Adidas, or Coke vs. Pepsi. Others may be less well known, but they'll be just as dramatic.

You'll get a close inside look into the dynamic, sometimes commanding and cunning entrepreneurs who drive these companies. We'll learn about the strategies these business titans use to trump their rivals. Today, we take you to the front lines with an eight-episode series on the battle between Netflix and Blockbuster, and eventually HBO. It was a war. It lasted eight grueling years. It left behind casualties, thousands of hollowed-out buildings, and economic losses in the billions.

Maybe you or your parents remember those times back in the nineties when you'd get that itch for a movie. Then hop into your car, turn on the radio, head out for Blockbuster. You remember you pick out your VHS or DVD and stand in line trying to ignore all the popcorn and candy at every turn?

If you were lucky, they actually had the movie you came for, but often you left with a second or third choice, and a lot of times the rental fees turned out to be just a down payment, because all too often there were hefty late fees, too. Around nineteen ninety seven, along came a guy named Mark Randolph. He was a Silicon Valley marketing wizard with a mind like a wearing blender. And he had a mathematician friend named Reed Hastings, real forward thinking guy, computer programmer.

Well, Randolph and Hastings came up with a whole new model for distributing movies to consumers. When Reed and Mark came up with Netflix, They knew they'd have to take on the mother of all movie rental chains Blockbuster. What they didn't know, what they didn't even see coming, was that eventually their business model would up in network television too, and change the entire movie industry. Bottom line, if you like lots of movies, Truth is you can thank Hastings and Randolph for the first time.

Writer Gina Keating takes us to the moment when the possibility of all this crystallized.

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From Wondering.

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This is Business World.

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It was January 2007, Park City, Utah. Place was packed with independent filmmakers, hoping to find distributors at the Sundance Film Festival. John Antiaco, the CEO of Blockbuster, peered out the windshield of his rented Cadillac Escalade at the ski chalets stacked up the mountainside. Antioch was then in his late fifties, with a wreath of salt and pepper hair and an aquiline nose.

That made him look like a short boxer or a Roman Emperor. He can't remember what he wore that Sunday afternoon, but he favored plain starched white shirts, open necked with a blue blazer and slacks. His mood was confident, exultant even. But he didn't want to get too far ahead of himself. The street was packed with impatient drivers, and he was looking for a house number. The escalade's wheels crunched slowly over the snow-packed streets.

Antiaco didn't want to be late for his meeting, but he also didn't want to maim one of the hipsters in designer boots and winter gear slipping and sliding alongside his car. They were all trying to get to the glitzy parties and film premieres on Main Street. The Sundance Festival that attracted all these LA types wasn't really Antiako's thing.

He preferred to spend his free weekends at his ranch outside Dallas, puttering, putting up deer feeders, inspecting fences, watching his wife, Lisa Rider, prize Arabian show horse. Every few months he visited New York to hang with pals from his old neighborhood. They'd spend hours in chic restaurants they couldn't afford in their salad days.

Nick Shepherd, his high strung but loyal chief operating officer and right hand man at Blockbuster, had convinced him to attend this festival as a sort of victory laugh.

Hastings' Gambit and Blockbuster's Countermove

They had found the formula to kill Netflix.

Dead once.

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Yeah. And then, as he and Nick drank coffee in an overcrowded cafe and gazed out at the cloud shrouded mountains, Nick's cellphone rang. It was Hastings from Netflix. He had an offer in mind for Antioch. An offer he said that Antiako would be a fool to refuse. Ironically, it wasn't just Hastings who thought he was holding the winning hand. Antioch was convinced it was he that held the ace,

In truth, they were both close to folding. But Hastings, the founder of Netflix, could not fathom how Blockbuster could replicate the complex, intuitive, online user interface that he and his co-founder Mark Randolph had slavery for seven years. But Blockbuster's antiaco thought he had done just that thing. Here's how Antiaka remembers that call from Netflix's Hastings. Hey, John, I heard you might be in town for Sundance this year. As a matter of fact, I am. Well listen.

Maybe we should get together and talk. I'm gonna be in my chalet in Park City, uh all day long. How does uh lunchtime today work for you? Sounds like a good idea. When he hung up, Antiochos said with a slight sneer, Of course, uh Chalet in Park City. Antiochko and his blockbuster team were at Sundance to place their orders for the latest DVD releases, and while schmoozing He picked up a piece of intelligence. Word was Netflix was not doing well.

Possibly on the ropes, in fact. Hastings sat alone in his chalet, waiting as the gray day warmed a bit and the voices of festivalgoers echoed along the street outside. He loved Park City's quaint little town with its clock tower, swank shops, and an old fashioned theater marquee.

He'd bought an old red brick meeting house with a steeple and stained glass windows and converted it into a vacation home. Here he and his wife Patty and their two children, now in middle school, Could escape from overheated tech obsessed Silicon Valley to ski, hang out during school breaks, that sort of thing. He hoped that the family trips made up for all the time that Netflix had sucked away.

Hastings stayed home in Santa Cruz in Northern California when Patty took the kids to Italy for a study abroad year. Meanwhile, back in Wall Street

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Blockbuster rolls out its online rental service, a new challenge to already struggling Netflix.

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When word came out about Blockbuster online, Hastings opened his laptop to take a look. He shook his head and chuckled to himself. Wow, this is a shaggy dog of a website. I can do better than this sitting at any cafe in the world just using my laptop. But he had underestimated Antioch. Or maybe he had overestimated his own hand. In truth, they had both miscalculated. The search for each other's jugular would become an acquired taste.

Hastings had worked obsessively on the code for Netflix's powerful algorithms that tracked web visitors every movement and preference, amassing an unmatched treasure trove of information. Despite the supremacy of this powerful data-sucking engine, Hastings would eventually learn that Netflix was a shakier vessel than he realized. Co-founder Mark Randolph had described the struggle to keep Netflix alive as pissing blood for years. Hastings paced the house alone waiting for Antiaco.

Whether the Netflix gurus had struggled for nothing hinged on the outcome of this meeting. First, he would get Antiako to admit what Netflix's data showed that Blockbuster was going broke trying to kill Netflix with its new Total Access program. See, total access Let Blockbuster online subscribers return their DVDs to any of Blockbuster's 7,000 American stores and rent a new movie immediately. Netflix just couldn't match that kind of convenience.

But Hastings knew Antiako's pressure point. Actually, Blockbuster was losing money on. Every transaction. The big chain was already a billion dollars in debt, and Antiochos Board of Directors, led by billionaire investor Carl Icon, they were yanking on the reins.

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Amen.

Carl Icahn's Takeover and Corporate Warfare

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Hastings had to swallow his pride and beg Antiaco to sell him Blockbuster online, or both companies would die in a slow murder suicide. Surely Antiaco would get this. But if Antiaco refused, and total access continued, Well, Hastings would have to report Netflix's first ever loss of subscribers. Netflix stock price would start melting down along with its equity. By the second quarter of no growth, Netflix would be finished.

The company's share price would collapse along with its ability to borrow money to sustain operations, unless Well, Blockbuster went belly up first from its debt. And so, as he waited for Antiako to arrive, Hastings reflected on the fact that he had repeatedly and publicly dismissed Blockbuster as technologically inept. He wished he hadn't said that. Most people who know Hastings well say that he is a genius and visionary. They also say he does not comprehend people all that well.

Especially when they act in ways that he considers illogical. And that's how he came to underestimate John Antioch and the boys at Blockbuster Online. They were illogical. Antiako spotted Hastings chalet and pulled up to the curb. Antiaco took a few moments to savor his vindication. The sheer arrogance of Hastings You didn't think we could figure this online thing out, did you, Reed? Warm by the heated seat.

He paused and listened to the engine tick as it cooled. Then, he put on his game face, walked up the snowy sidewalk to the wide wooden porch, and raised his fist.

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John Antiaco had been through two years of hell. He had waited for seven years for Viacom to split off Blockbuster as a public company in 2004 so he could run it the way he wanted. Stores were dying and Antioch knew it. Once Viacom cut him loose, he needed to catch Netflix, reduce the number of video rental stores and late fees, and move into digital delivery before the eight billion dollar industry shrank to nothing.

To do all that, he desperately needed control of the$6 billion that Blockbuster generated every year. But Blockbuster's overlord Viacom extracted a five dollar per share Special Dividend. Only after Viacom sucked the life out of Blockbuster did it spin off in late 2004, leaving Blockbuster with$1.2 billion in debt.

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Corporate raider Carl Icon sets his sights on Blockbuster. The question is whether he can actually wring profit out of this struggling movie rental company.

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Antioch wasn't too worried about the dead until a few months later. When his bid to take over Hollywood video caught the attention of billionaire hedge fund investor Carl Icon.

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Now, Icon had a reputation for buying stock in companies that he considered undervalued and ruthlessly forcing management to cut costs, sell assets, or buy back their stock at inflated prices. This ensured investors of quick and substantial profits, but often left as target companies mortally wounded. Antiako had tried to take over Hollywood video five years earlier, but ran into problems with federal antitrust regulators.

This time he figured that competition from Netflix and video on demand would make his$700 million bid for Hollywood video look less anti-competitive and more like an attempt to consolidate a dying industry. After all, video store rentals were plummeting, everyone knew that. At one time, there were something like 70,000 video stores, and by 2005, almost 80% of them were gone. Customers simply had more choices, video on demand, Netflix, and cheap DVD.

Antiako wanted to close the underperforming stores to boost sales at the healthy stores. That would give him cash to invest the hundreds of millions it would now take to catch Netflix. Then Icon set his sights on Blockbuster. As soon as Antiako met with Icon, he knew he was in trouble. Icon's opening salvo made Antiako's hackles rise. You make too much money, he says. Icon planned to quickly profit on both ends of the deal,

Hollywood video stockholders would get a premium price to sell their shares. Blockbuster's stock would bump up in value just because Icon was on the scene, agitating management to squeeze more money out of the deal for investors. So Icon bought$150 million worth of Blockbuster stock and$60 million in Hollywood video shares, then sat back and waited for Antiochko to buy Hollywood video. But the Federal Trade Commission had not warmed to the merger.

And there was a player in the wings no one was laying big odds on. Number three Video Rental Chain Movie Gallery, which offered one point one billion for Hollywood video. Antiocho had no choice. He had to drop out. With a company already deep in debt, he just didn't have the money to make a counter offer. Icon was furious. The 69-year-old Queens native had made his name as a cutthroat corporate raider in the 1980s, alongside corporate insider trading felons Michael Milkin and Ivan Boskey.

The walls of his office in the General Motors Building in Manhattan. were lined with framed newspaper clippings and photos, like so many hunted trophy heads. of business titans and companies he had taken down over the years. They included the former executives of Nabisco, Texaco, Revlon, Time Warner, Motorola, Marshall Fields, Phillips Petroleum, and trans world airlines.

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Carl Icon the blockbuster deal he wanted. And now the movie rental company is struggling to stay afloat.

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Icon was now stuck with Blockbuster. and he was furious. He angrily called up Antiochko and demanded that Blockbuster either find a private buyer or pay him a special dividend totaling over three hundred million dollars. Antiako coolly refused. So Icon demanded a shareholder vote to put himself and two hand-picked associates on the Blockbuster board. But if I can't hope to shake up Antiako,

he'd find out soon enough he'd tangled with the wrong guy. Instead of scaring Antioch, the threats made him dig in harder. See, Auntieako grew up the son of a milkman in a tough Brooklyn neighborhood. He knew how to deal with He sized up Icon and figured he could take him.

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Icon mounted a vicious proxy battle to wrest control of Blockbuster from Antiako. He fired off public letters to shareholders, painting Antiako as a greedy spinthrift who got an unconscionable fifty-one million dollars in pay. But had no solid plan to pay down Blockbuster's debt or fix its drowning stores. Icon urged Blockbuster stockholders to put him and two cronies on the Blockbuster board and throw Antiako off.

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Amen.

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On may eleventh, two thousand five, shareholders did just that. But Antiocho turned the tables. He had a clause in his contract that gave him a$54 million payout if he was kicked off the blockbuster board. He threatened to activate it. Icon had no choice but to create a new board seat for his hated rival. Then Icon began a campaign of what amounted to psychological warfare aimed at forcing Antiako to quit.

If the Blockbuster CEO left voluntarily, he'd have to bail without his fifty four million dollar parachute. At every opportunity Icon tried to publicly humiliate Antiako and make his life difficult. Icon demanded that board meetings be held at his Manhattan office, far from Antiako's Dallas headquarters. At those meetings he pushed aside Antiaco, Blockbuster's chairman, saying he would now preside over meetings.

Icon seemed to take pleasure in letting Antiako's proposals die from neglect, Even more mortifying to Antiaco and his team, Icon insisted that his twenty-six-year-old son Brett, an aspiring filmmaker, weigh in on any of Antiaco's business plans. Icon called Antiako at his office after hours for long-winded discussions about blockbuster business. When Antiako stopped taking the calls, Icon complained that Antiako spent more time drinking tequila on his ranch than running the business.

Reed Hastings over at Netflix watched it all with wary glee. As long as Icon and Antiako fought with each other, Blockbuster would not beat Netflix. Hastings followed Icon's lead, deriding Antiako publicly. When Antiako announced plans for Blockbuster Online, Hastings practically yawned.

Blockbuster's track record in online technology and marketing is less well developed, he told a reporter, and then added dismissively. We find it unlikely that Blockbuster will promote their online service effectively. That was the PR equivalent of a mic drop. Antiako found Hastings insufferable, and then it got worse.

The Climactic Negotiation and Future Uncertainty

For two years, Netflix grew almost unchallenged, from two million subscribers in two thousand four to six million at the end of two thousand six. Blockbuster stalled at just about a million subscribers as it struggled with debt and technology problems. In truth, both companies were operating on a razor's edge. Marketing dollars are the lifeblood of subscription businesses, and Netflix and Blockbuster were pouring hundreds of millions into a grab for new subscribers.

They cut their prices, bought ads, did deals for exclusive content, anything to set themselves apart from each other. They treated it as a battle to the death because no one knew yet whether there were enough customers to sustain two online rental companies. Then Blockbuster's total access. Stop Netflix in its tracks.

Somehow, Antiocho managed to win over Icon with the ridiculously expensive total access that allowed customers to drop off movies rented online and pick up movies in a blockbuster store. And that collaboration made them dangerous, Hastings thought, as he waited for Antiaco to arrive at his snowbound chalet. In just six weeks, total access had nearly doubled Blockbuster's subscriber account to two million. Hastings had to stop total access, whatever it took.

A sharp knock shook Hastings out of his reverie. He met Antiako at the door of the red brick meeting house and settled him in the living room with a beverage. The two men sat, uh study in contrast. Hastings, tall and lean, wore a goatee. He was a rumpled nerd with a sharp mind, but he was short on emotional intelligence, with a tendency to blurt out painful truths.

Antiako, neat and stocky, was a charming storyteller with the patience and reserve of a high-stakes poker player. He was watching Hastings carefully. He waited for Hastings to come to the point. Hastings began awkwardly. John, congratulations on total access. It's a great program. I wish now I'd taken your team a little bit more seriously, but John, we are going to have a serious problem next week.

Next quarter with subscriber growth if you keep this stuff up. I'm sure you guessed that, right? The word from the studios is you're losing subscribers as fast as we're picking them up, Reed. But you are giving away those store rentals. We figure that's gotta be costing you what?

Two bucks per rental? Pretty soon you're gonna be spinning yourself right into oblivion. You guys are gonna be bankrupt. The minute you quit giving away store rentals and raise your prices, we're gonna start growing again. There was a moment of tense silence as the two men weighed the stakes. Well, what do you suggest? Antiako said. John, let us buy your subscribers. We are better at online rental. We are just better at technology.

There it was, Auntieako thought. Even with Netflix's imminent demise, Hastings couldn't resist one last dart, could he? His arrogance was not dimmed in the least. So Antioch. replied. I had something else in mind. I want to keep the stores and the online business, but maybe there's a way for us to be partners, maybe in a joint venture. To which Hastings replied This is not even a business you wanted to be in, John.

Stop right here for a moment. Now you're Antioch, and Hastings, well Hastings has just made a Hail Mary move to buy your subscriber base from Blockbuster. So Antioch's thinking, Wow The hundreds of millions I've spent, the barbs I've taken from Wall Street, from Icon, from my very own board, from this Hastings fellow. All that is about to pay off. I've got Hastings right where I want him. And what was that?

The B engine? Yeah. Yeah. Smile begins.

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I don't know about that, Hastings. I think we're doing all right. Antiaco agreed to bring the proposal to Icon and the board. He got up to leave with a sense of exultation.

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mercy.

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On the next episode of Business Wars. Netflix and Blockbuster land near fatal blows on each other. While Antiako battles against his own board. The stock has lost almost half its value in three years, and you barely posted a profit last year. And you think you're entitled to this kind of conversation.

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I hope you enjoyed this first episode of Business Wars. Follow Business Wars on the Audible app or wherever you get your podcasts. You can listen to all episodes of Business Wars ad-free by joining Audible.

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I'm your host David Brown. Gina Keating, author of the book Netflix, wrote this story. Karen Lowe is our senior producer and editor. Sound designed by Jeff Schmidt. Our executive producers are Hernan Lopez and Benadere for.

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