A thirty to fifty five Krsity talk station. Happy Tuesday, Extra special day to be tuned in the fifty five Carssee Morning Show on the heels of the insight scoop that Bright Bart News Daniel Davis Deep Dive with retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis. Welcome back here, Daniel. It is always a pleasure to have you on the fifty five KRSE Morning Show.
Believe me, it's always a pleasure to be here.
Well, and given the topic, I could say the timing couldn't be better or worse depending on your perspective and how you're looking at it. To talk with you about the situation unfolding in Israel. This morning, they launched ground forces into southern Lebanon, trying to create a buffer space so the sixty thousand displaced rallies in northern Israel can move back. They were worried about Hesbala maybe launching a
Gaza like attack a Lisa as I understand it. So after bombing the hell out of Lebanon and hitting the various leadership targets, which apparently they've been successful at doing, now we've got boots on the ground in southern or in southern Lebanon. And also, as I note a little dicey situation, the USS Abraham Lincoln Aircraft carrier strike group on its are is staying there. Is supposed to leave after the Harry As Truman carrier strike group showed up.
But given the warlike environment, we got two carrier groups going to be in the area.
Now we do yeah, and I'm i'm that's the thing that alarms me the most because this has every possibility of escalating further and potentially even drawing in is Iran into this war. And that's the part that worries me, because we seem to be cognizant of that fact and seem to be moving down the road. We had Secretary of State Austin last night I think it was maybe
it was this morning. I didn't see the time on this statement, but they said, yeah, we agree with everything Israel is doing, but we give a warning to Iran that if they do anything that we are sending all this firepower to the region, all but declaring that we will also attack is Iran.
If anything happens.
And listen, I understand that we have good relations with Israel center, but we should not be sending the American armed forces to fight on behalf of Israel as a matter of just a court just like of course we will.
We don't have this relationship with them. And in fact, the reason we have been sending three point eight billion every year and security assistance to Israel is so that they can form the pre eminent military power and defend themselves, which they have done in every single conflict in their history.
There's no reason why this one should be different.
But it almost looks like we're eager to join the fight against Iran, and that is a bad move.
Well, and I'll read you the quote, because it was two days in a row. He made a similar statement, I reiterated, referring to his conversation with his counterpartner Israel. I reiterated, these serious consequences for Iran in the event Iran chooses to launch a direct military attack against Israel.
Well, I don't.
He's splitting hairs here, but isn't by virtue of Hesbala and the other terrorist organizations directly controlled by Iran and presumably not acting without approval from Iran, since Iran's the one funding them and has been funding them that they already have with that's a proxy war. Iran is waging a proxy war against Israel through these terrorist groups, much in the same way we're waging a proxy war against Russia via Ukraine.
All Right, there's not a lot of difference there. In fact, there's no difference there, quite frankly. And so for us to say this about Iran, I mean, forget about the double standards for a moment. I'm still concerned about the ease with which we're talking about moving into war. And listen, our Constitution and the nineteen seventy three War Powers Act are crystal clear.
Only the Congress can take us into war.
The Commander chief cannot just choose to send our forces into a situation which will result in a conflict unless we or our forces are directly attacked. That's not even on the table right now. So we need to be
talking about this at the Congress. But now nobody wants to talk about anything except silly stuff with the election is relatively speaking, I'm not saying the election is silly, but a lot of the topics are are relatively unimportant compared to war and peace, which isn't even on the table.
And I think that should change right now.
Well, you know, and I've had conversations with Judge Ennena Paulatan, who's on my program every week and on Wednesdays, about the last time we declared war was World War Two? What about the Korean War, Vietnam War, the invasion Iraq? I mean, we could go on and on of all the conflicts we've been in when there has been a declaration of war. And I don't know that hiding behind an authorization for use of military force is constitutionally appropriate.
But that's leave that for the legal scholars to discuss in the constitutional law. But we don't even have an authorization for use of military force unless they're going to rely on one.
That's what twenty years old by.
Now, right, which your course was designed, you know, after nine to eleven, I know, and it's been bastardized and abused beyond belief. Some of those I think have actually been retired, at least one of them had. But the two thousand and three, when I think, is still on the books. But still I mean, that would just be just literally be lying. I mean, just call it what it is to try and claim that. But I don't
think anyone's even talking about that right now. I think that Biden is just considering going through almost by just defaults of just ordering it regardless of whether there is or isn't, And no one seems to be concerned about that. But listen, I'm telling you the reason why is don't anybody think that if such an event occurred that this would be just like what we did with launch and some missiles into Syria a few times in the last
fifteen or twenty years. This would be a war that could draw us in, and it would be a lot lot worse, and it could go substantially worse. So this needs to be front and center on our radars right now.
Well, you have Iran telling Hesbala and the other terrorist organizations to attack Israel. Basically I got that proxy war. But in dealing with Iran directly, we are taking on more than us to Iran, we would be also dealing with the the they're now best friends Russia and other powers that hate us. I mean the Chinese Communist Party for example, had now has a cozier relationship with Russia and Iran than they did before these conflicts broke out.
It's almost as if we're pushing him into each other's arms.
Yeah, not almost, We definitely are pushing them into each other's arms, and especially heading into now listening, I think three weeks away this bricks conference, you know, in which all these nations are trying to get together to form an expanding economic competition to the G seven and to the to the Western Way.
Uh, they have.
Every interest in keeping this thing, you know, off the table. I think Russia and China especially they really want this bricks Conference to come off without a hitch, and so they probably don't want any conflict at all right now.
But that's only three weeks away.
After that case, I think that the situation could change dramatically because Russia is dependent to a large extent on Iran and for them to continue to be able to provide the drones and the missiles and other things that they're doing with the Russian side, and I don't think that they're just the Russians would just allow Iran to be destroyed, especially if the US joined into a war against them, and everything could be on the table if that happens.
Yeah, we kind of world War three, or at least tiptoeing it around it without saying it out loud, Daniel, I can't come up to any other conclusion, and do we not have ourselves to blame for a variety of reasons. But the sanctions that previously were in place were pretty
tough sanctions on Iran. As soon as the you know, I remember the palettes of cash that Barack Obama dropped off, and we had a period of time with the Trump administration, Biden lifted sanctions on Iran, and of course that frees up money for them to fund terrorists and build drones for the Russians or whoever. I mean, what of the sanctions and why do we lift them in the first place.
Listen, if we're being honest, we got to back up even before that, and whether we locked it or not, Obama's twenty fifteen JCPOA the nuclear deal put significant constraints on the Iranian regime, and their nuclear stockpiles were barely anything at all. Their centrifugias were hardly any, just a handful for research. But since we got out of the JCPOWAY, all those constraints came off. And now then all those amounts and tops of centrifugions and everything else are at
the table because we lost all of our leverage. And then of course we put sanctions on and then they try to get them back off. All that was a mess, no doubt, But really it started when we took a kat out of the JCP away and took the constraints off, and so naturally they went in the opposite direction. So we do have ourselves to blame in our reactions since that time have only compounded it.
All Right, Well, what of the red line? Serious consequences? And I guess we can all define what serious consequences for Iran might mean if they got directly involved. But is this another one of those red lines in the sand that we just sort of ignore after the red line has crossed in order to avoid this broader glow war from breaking out.
Listen, I got to tell you I'm a little more concerned with with some of the statements made by Netan Yahoo.
I guess, right before all this stuff started, when he all but called out Iran so as his troops were on the border ready to invade into Lebanon, he gave a warning not to the leban These people, but to the Iranian people and said, when your government falls and something's going to happen much earlier than you think, when you're going to be free, then all these things can happen, which tells me he's already thinking about going in that direction,
because I think, listen, we got to be honest. I think that Yahoo has and his government, not just him personally, has said, all right, this is our golden opportunity for our existence. We're going to get rid of the palest Indian problem, the Hesbolo problem, and the Iranian problem all at one time. But the only way he can do that is if he draws the US into it. And that's why we should put the brakes on and say, listen, we're not going to fight a war for you, so
do not start one with Iran. Defend yourself straight up, no question about it, but do not expand beyond on this and start a war that you can't finish.
On your own.
Well, and underline that by saying, hey, by the way, we're going to need congressional approval if we do choose to join the fight, and we don't have any right now, so there isn't any guarantee that it's going to happen. Enter Constitution Daniel Davis Deep Dive search form online you find this podcast. Always enjoyed the segment Daniel have a wonderful week, my friend. We'll talk next Tuesday. See you next week, hopefully with better news. Eight forty fifty five
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