Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here, and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of ways we can up our game for this critical election.
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But enough with that, let's get to the show. All right, good morning, and welcome to the Counterpoints.
I do have to warn everybody and only came in here fired up this morning. I think she miscalculated on her micro dose a little bit. So this is going to be a very very interesting show. It's also going to be interesting because we're going to be talking about the macro dose.
It became a macro dough, so look out.
So we're gonna be talking about the UAW which has said a noon deadline for its upcoming negotiations. It could be an expansion of the strike coming. Zelenski was here. President Biden spoke at the United Nations. We're going to get we're going to go through that. Got some new news on Pakistan and Ukraine. The IMF that we'll talk about later. Absolute face planted by Republicans in the House that we're not going to talk about these special elections,
but I think they're related to this. So last night, Republicans lost a special election in a Trump district in New Hampshire, which puts them one set away from flipping the New Hampshire House of Representatives. And Democrats also want a Pittsburgh area special election for State House there, which gives them, which gives Democrats control of the Pennsylvania State House. All of this happening while Republicans just kind of fell to pieces in a pretty hilarious way in the House yesterday.
Yeah, there was some fun on Capitol Hill. We're going to go through.
We have some really good clips, so stay tuned for that. We're actually going to be talking about YouTube's decision to demonetize Russell Brand. So surely you've followed the allegations against Russell Brand, but YouTube took a pretty serious step in demonetizing his channel.
So we'll get to that.
I'm going to talk about alleged plans among Actually it's not alleged, because they came out and told Jeff Stein of The Washington Post that they're planning a big corporate tax cut if Donald Trump gets an office again, and then Republicans have the House and the Senate. And Ryan, you have a little bit of a scoop to talk to us about the RNC debate.
Yeah, Rumble versus Google, and we'll talk about that. But essentially Rumble had the exclusive streaming rights for the Republican last Republican debate, but there were nowhere to be found, certainly on the front page of Google search results, even though and I'll report on this, Google and Rumble were in contact ahead of time. So interesting stuff there, especially as Google is kind of currently in a trial in an antitrust trual, like it's ongoing at the moment.
Well, let's start with news from the UAW strike. Actually, Ryan over at the Intercept, there's a great news story this morning with details about a truly hilarious development and a big development too.
Tell us what happened it?
Yeah, put, we can put up this first element.
Daniel Bogus law, colleague of mine, Confused automakers braced for strike at the wrong plants and so check out his piece. The whole thing is worth a read. But for people who are you new to these this kind of new tactic that's going on in labor because they're striking all three automakers, and because the supply lines are so spread out, what the union is trying to do is strike as few places.
Along that supply chain.
That gets the most attention from the executives at the at the Big Three. And what the Big Three are trying to do is anticipate which plants are going to be struck so that they can move things.
Around so that they can keep production going.
If the UAW can strike only a small number of plants yet exact a lot of dam image on the Big Three, then they don't have to eat into their strike fund. And so CNBC thought that they were on to the UAW. So let's play so this clip that we're playing here was from CNBC ahead of the strike, and.
Just roll this in all its glory.
Let's get over to phil Abo Live in Detroit for an update on the ongoing UAW battle.
Hi, Phil Scott.
We have received some information from a source familiar with the uaw's plans for the plants that it will plan on striking come midnight tonight if they do not reach an agreement with four GM and Stilantis, and this is our understanding of the plants that will be announced tonight. Ten o'clock is when we will get the official announcement from the UAW. Let's start first off with General Motors, Romulus Powertrain, Toledo, Ohio Propulsion, and the Marion metal plant
in Indiana. For Ford, it's our understanding that the UAW plants a strike at the Lavonia Transmission plan, Lima, Ohio Engine plan, and the Cleveland Engine plan. And finally for Stlantis, we understand that the UEW will walk out at the Cocomo Transmission planning Cocomo, Indiana and the Dundee Engine plan.
We should stress we have reached.
Out to the UAW for confirmation that this is in fact is the plan. We have not heard back from the UAW.
Well, I guess it is good that he stressed they had not earned back from the UAW.
Because Ryan, you have a theory ast to how this happened.
Well, we know that whatever the source they said that they had it was, this was act.
This list was.
Published in an auto trade pub earlier, and probably the Auto Trade prob which has its sources in the auto industry, got it from a consultant working for one of the Big three, and this Big three bring in strike breaking consultants who then tell this is how you're going.
To beat this strike.
And so one way or another, this consultant winds up with bogus information that winds up then with CNBC. And they should stress that they could not confes because every single one of those was wrong. And so what they did is that they moved things from plants that did not strike two plants that ended up striking. So at great expense to the automakers, they shut down production a bunch of places that did not strike, moved things out of there elsewhere, and then they moved them right into
the belly of a strike. And so they created maybe hundreds of millions of damage to themselves. And it allows the UAW to keep their strike fund flush so that because if they were all out against all three, they might only last three months. That's how long the strike fund can last. Now you can go longer than that if you can, you know, you belt tight. And that's what would happen one hundred years ago during these strikes.
And it happens the strike fund does not one hundred percent replace your income.
So there's you know.
It's tough to be out on strike. It's easy to be on the sideline saying, hey, strike, strikes, strike. It's harder to be in, you know, to be the people who are actually striking. But it's harder for these executives too. If now they're accidentally shutting down their own production.
Yeah, it's it's like a return to the dance that everybody's out of practice. But the uaw knew that, you know, they had to be tactical and strategic about this and outsmarted the companies.
It's just just just amazing to watch. And this is this is a new UAW with with you know, Sean Fain, the first elected president of the UAW I think about that. You know, for for decades they had, you know, corrupt leaders that would be elected in these processes where there were delegates and then the delegates.
Pick and then you go back room.
So this is finally somebody who's represented by you know, who represents the rank and file, came in with a Milton attitude and so he's his new statement is noon on Friday, September twenty second, is a new deadline. Either the Big three get down to business and work with us to make progress and negotiations, or more locals will be called to stand up and go out on strike. And so what he's saying there is that, look, c NBC, you botched it last time. You didn't know which ones
we were going to strike. You don't know which ones were going to strike this time, and more coming if you if you don't come closer. And what we're hearing about the negotiations is that the numbers are already coming way up, like the workers are.
Doing much better.
The ghost though of Ronald Reagan haunting these conversations. Do we have we have We've got to use you flagged this one so good?
Yeah, So Tim Scott was actually asked about how he would handle the strike hypothetically as president, and Nikki Haley was talking to Neil Cavudo on Fox News about the situation as well. Let's roll these clips to for a glimpse into how some Republicans are handling the question.
I think Ronald Regan gave us a great example when federal voice side they were going to strike, you strike your fire civil concept to me to we can use that once again. Absolutely. The second thing I would do those very important this is it probably not a well known fact. The first thing part of the challenge that we have today with President Biden is I don't mean this would be disingenuous. I mean this would be since here.
I'm not sure if the words are bought and paid for, but it's certainly he has been leased by the unions. And I say that because the first bill he passed, y'all remember the one point nine trillion dollars COVID relief backage. I only had one percent for COVID vaccines and had eighty six billion dollars. I believe for union pensions because they keep making these deals and as a result of the deal, they promised too much, deliver too little, and the tax beyers pick up the tab.
Well, I think that's it tells you that when you have the most pro union president and he teullts that he is emboldening the unions, this is what you get. And I'll tell you who pays for it is the taxpayers. You know, here, from what I understand, the union is asking for a forty percent race. You know, the companies
have come back with a twenty percent raise. I think any of the taxpayers would love to have a twenty percent raise and think that's great, But you know the problem is this is going to we're all going to suffer from this. This is going to cost things to go up, and you know this is going to last a while. But you know, when you have a president that's constantly saying, go union, Go union, this is what
you get. The unions get emboldened and then they start asking for things that you know that companies have a tough time doing.
That is a bizarre take on so many levels because it actually lacks of rude mentory understanding of the dynamics at play, which is that the Biden administration set off a lot of the problems with the union that supports Democrats basically across the board been supportive of President Biden. A lot of this is pressure that was implemented as a result of legislation that Biden's passed executive actions on
behalf of the president. And so to say that this is because Joe Biden is so cozy with unions, when in fact, actually this is the result of serious tensions between Biden and the Union's tensions by the way that Donald Trump and I think we have this element because Sean Fain weighed in on what Crystal and Socker covered yesterday, Donald Trump saying I'm skipping the second Republican debate and I'm going to.
Talk to auto workers.
Sean Fain weighs in, and he says, every fiber of our union, this is a statement from Faine is being poured into fighting the billionaire class and an economy that enriches people like Donald Trump at the expensive workers. We can't keep electing billionaires and millionaires that don't have any understanding of what it is like to live paycheck to paycheck and struggle to get by by expecting them to
solve the problems of the working class. Donald Trump is a departure from the Scott and Haley branch of the Republican Party, at least rhetorically. Some people might doubt that on a policy level. I think that is an entirely fair question, and we're going to be talking about it later when I discussed the plans for another corporate tax
cut and a potential Trump administration. But it's kind of remarkable to hear Tim Scott and Nicki Haley invoking a public sector union strike that is different in so many ways, and I'm talking about the air traffic controllers under Ronald Reagan. It's different in so many ways from what's happening with
the UAW right now. Just like it was a reflex like a doctor hitting his knee, and Nicky Haley to have it I think it completely backwards, and it didn't even seem like she was familiar with the dynamics of the strike. It's likely not going to increase prices. There's really no evidence of that at this point at least.
Strange stuff right, and the politics are completely different. There's a reason that Reagan, you know, could fire the air traffic controllers and he could get away with it. Air traffic controllers, by the way, endors strong Reagan, yes like that, And so people I think might have a hard time kind of putting themselves back in that time period. But that'll help, like understand this, Like this was a union that in actually endorsed Ronald Rick and.
Then they came in.
People are gonna fact check me they either endorsed or like spoke highly of them and didn't endorse the Democrats. I think they actually endorsed, I think them, and then he fires them all. But it was in this moment where there was this kind of public backlash against unions which were getting blamed.
By the kind of capitol class vulgar.
For inflation because the union a lot of union contracts, and you had you had significant union density, and because the union contracts said that our raises rise in tandem to the cost of living, the cost of living being inflation. So then when the federal government say, okay, inflation is this, then unions would get wages like that, and then because the wages went up, then.
The inflation number would go up.
And they were getting blamed for this big, this vicious kind of cycle down the drain there.
So but that's not happening.
Now we've got union density of like five or six percent. Uaw could quadruple their wages and we're not going to see you know, inflation as a result of that go throughout the economy. Also, the cost of labor in a car equals about five percent of the price of that car.
And it's not like ups and teamsters or air traffic controllers where you have basically an entire system that the country relies on shut down at the drop of the hat. Which was weighing very heavily on Ron Reagan during the strike and he was constantly invoking that problem. Tim Scott didn't even try to make specific parallels. It was again, it was like a reflex Reagan fire them all. Yeah, and again Donald Trump is you know, whatever you think.
You might think it's rhetorical, you might think it's purely strategic. Again, we're going to knock him later in the show for what he's letting his advisors tall Jeff.
Stein of The Washington Post.
But he at least understands the dynamics, the political dynamics, whereas these guys don't even get that. I mean, they're just like rehashing, trotting out canned lines. Now, maybe it's a question of whether you'd rather have a Republican party that is transparently anti union, or a Republican party that wants to be or is rhetorically pro union but doesn't
actually you know, support the next number of ways. I think there's a really serious issue that Donald Trump and some of the Republicans we talked to so Robert Maury about this a couple of weeks ago, are going to raise about the uaw's relationship with Democrats and the Biden administration and how the kind of green agenda causes legitimate
tensions for workers. I think smart Republicans are right to be talking about those tensions, and I think some of that conversation will turn out to be good for workers.
But for these Republicans to just weigh in with basically no understanding of the situation and no interest in having an understanding the situation, Nikki Haley is using that sort of rhetoric of it reminds me of like twenty ten, twenty twelve that worked really well in the Tea Party era at a time when union favorability among the general public is way higher, and it was then it's not even good politics.
Yeah, And one last point on Tim Scott there, so his his second piece there, he said, and if you remember the American Rescue plan that didn't spend enough on vaccines also that that's kind of weird for a Republican primary. He said, it was eighty six billion dollars, you know, to go to union pensions. Those were miners, those were construction workers, manufacturers, factory workers, and most of those pensions went bust because private equity companies came in bought up
the companies and liquidated the pensions. Those were contracts that were struck with the workers. Workers worked their entire lives expecting a certain payout. And also if you're if you know, your pension cuts into your social security. So a worker who gets a certain pension gets less social security. So they put their whole lives into this private equity. Barons can come in siphon it out, they drink that milkshake
and so yes. In the American Rescue Plan, Democrats did put eighty six billion dollars into this fund to say, you know what, We're going to backstop these kind of multi party pensions for these workers who were promised this amount.
Worked their whole lives for it. We've got it covered.
And for Tim Scott to be like that's the thing that I'm upset about, like, get out of here.
I think, Ryan, you might be underestimating how badly the pe dudes need that money for fleece vests and campaign checks.
To Tim Scott like.
I love the CNBC guide his little fleece vest, it is checking out, just being completely wrong and undermining the whole case that these capitalists make of that their strategic genius is why they ought to make hundreds of times more than the workers. Like they're like because you know, they really know what they're doing. In the one case where we can test whether or not they have any idea what they're doing, the workers just completely outsmart at them.
Amazing.
Let's move on to the United Nations General Assembly meeting in New York. We have a lot of clips to play from that because President Biden spoke and Vladimir Lensky spoke as well. Let's start with b one here. This is Biden yesterday at the UN in New York.
Second year in a row. This gathering dedicated to peaceful resolution of conflicts, is darkened by the shadow of war, an illegal war of conquest brought without provocation by Russia against his naghvy Ukraine. Like every nation in the world, the United States wants this war to end. No nation wants this war to end more than Ukraine, and we strongly support Ukraine and its efforts to bring about diplomatic resolution that delivers just and lasting peace. Russia loan, Russia alone,
bears responsibility for this war. Russia loan has the power to end this war immediately. And as Russia loone that stands in the way of peace is the Russia's price for peace is Ukraine's capitulation, Ukraine's territory and Ukraine's children. Russia believes that the world will grow weary and allow it to brutalize Ukraine without consequence. But I'll ask you this, if we abandon the core principles of the United States to appease an aggressor, can any member state in this
body feel confident that they're protected? If you allow Ukraine to be carved up, is the independence of any nation secure? I right respectfully suggest the answers.
No.
We also have Vladimir's a landscape. We can play a clip of his address the United Nations.
Ukraine gave up its sword largest nuclear arsenal the world don decided Russia should become a keeper of such power.
Yet history shows it was Russia who.
Deserved nuclear disarmament the most back in nineteen nineties, and Russia deserves it now.
Terrorists have no right.
To hold nuclear weapons, no right, but truly not.
The nyukes are the carriage.
Now, while nyuks remain in place, the mess destruction is gaining its momentum. The aggressor is weaponizing many other things, and those things are used not only against our country, but against all of yours as well. The International Criminal Court issued arrest warrant for Putting for this crime. And we are trying to get children back home. But time time goes by, what will happen with them?
What will happen to them?
Those children in Russia are taught to hate Ukraine at all. Ties with their families are broken, and this is clearly a genocide. When hatred is weaponized against one nation, it never stops there. Each decade Russia starts a new war. Parts of Moldova and Georgia remain occupied. Russia turds Syria into ruins, and if not Russia, the chemical weapons would.
Have never been used there in Syria.
Russia has almost swallowed Belarus. It is obviously threatening Kazakhstan and other Baltic states. And the goal of the present war against Ukraine is to tour our land, our people, our lives, our resources into a weapon against you. Again, the international rules based order now right.
It's extremely interesting to note actually that of the five Security Council countries, only the United States sent the head of state, so no head of state from Russia or China, or France or Britain, just the US. At the UN General Assembly, meeting. Biden obviously was first to speak. That was really difficult to listen to. It's increasingly difficult every time he opens his mouth in public. But Biden advisors
were very eager to have this moment. Actually, with none of the other Security Council sending ahead of State, it would allow Biden theoretically to even more powerfully frame the United States as the leader of the rules based order, as he talked about repeatedly in that speech. I don't know that that works well when you say things like let me be clear and then mumble through the rest of the sentence, And in all seriousness, it's not good
for Biden. It's not good for the US, and it's certainly not good for a country that is sending how many billions of dollars to Ukraine to fight a very serious ground war in Europe and he can't get through a speech without sounding like he's senile.
At the u N, I.
Thought, performatively, he did okay, and that in those short clips there will have some more that we can play where he was kind of stumbling all over the place and you're like, ah, God, somebody, somebody helped, somebody helped this guy.
But on the substance of it.
I just feel like the United States is missing an opportunity to be the country, not that they would do this that's putting forward a peace plan, absolutely because the chances are that Russia wouldn't take it, that Russia would continue.
It's kind of it's aggression there.
And it's clear Russia did invade, like you say whatever you want about whether it's provoked or whether on and on like it did. It did invade, like Putin had a choice and he made that choice. But the US misses an opportunity to say, look, we want this war to end, and here here are ways that we could see this war ending, clear steps, clear steps, and not
to not do that. In some ways, let's rush off the hook, because now there's your several almost two years into the war, and and people are almost forgetting at this point. Now it's just another conflict that the world wants to turn away from. But on the kind of performance of President Biden on the international stage, which is I think, sadly kind of the one of the most important questions facing the world.
You know, whether or not Biden can kind.
Of appear up to the job to voters. The entire election almost hinges on that. And so here here are a couple clips. We can play one more that.
I think the R and C was circulating this one.
As you evolve, our institutions drive creative new partnerships. Let me be clear, certain principles are in the national them are sacracy. Simply put, the twenty first century. Twenty first century results are badly needed needed to move us along.
You're like, ugh, makes me think somebody who loves him should tell him he shouldn't run for president again. I mean, let alone somebody who loves his country, but somebody who loves him should tell him this has.
Got to end.
And he ran for presidents saying that he was going to be a bridge and somebody, and I think this was in particular reference to Gretchen Whitmer. Somebody was talking about Whitmer and the new rising stars of the Democratic Party and Biden said, I'm a bridge to the next generation. And he and so he said that literally, as Spiden loves to say literally, but.
He also had a joke. Yeah. He also kind of configured his entire campaign around.
That that he was going to be there for one term, that his whole mission.
He's running because of Charlotte Vale.
Trump is, you know, a nasty creature at monster that needs to be beaten back into the cave. He's going it's his mission in life to beat him and then be a bridge to the next generation. So he did those things. Now he's in office, he's like, no, I think I want to run again.
It always appen, and there was a term limits, but oh not for me. Right, there was a kind.
Of democratic resistance, kind of There was a Muller she wrote at a Post yesterday that was complaining about media coverage of Biden's age and whether or not, you know, Biden's step aside, and they were saying, you know, the only the media is handringing about this, Democrats are not And it's a very interesting definition of democrats or because something like seventy percent of Democrats would like to see a different nominee. And what people like that mean by
democrats is the very top of the Democratic Party. The Democratic elites are comfortable or comfortable enough.
But even that's not.
True because David Ignatius wrote a column in the Washington Post, and I think David Anaxious is known to be one of the Biden administration's favorite columnists like they pay very close attention.
To David Ignatius.
Yes, and he even said last he wrote a whole column yeah, in the Washington Post saying time for Biden to step down.
Yeah, it's so. I don't see how you can watch that and think otherwise. Franklin's had a really funny, kind of almost meaningless comment the other day where he said, the only Democrat that can lose to Trump is Biden, and the only Republican that can to Biden is Troutes.
It's actually one hundred percent true, and it was true in twenty twenty two.
Oh, I think DeSantis could lose to Biden, and I think Biden could lose to a bunch of people, and Trump can actually lose a bunch of So it sounds cute, it's funny, but there's such bad candidates, both of them, that they could actually probably be beaten by multiple people.
But there's something about the matchup of both of them that's like the perfect mirror image and the perfect inversion of one strength and the.
Others called the two old guys in the balcony muppets, and it's perfect.
It also reminds me it's like the Soviet Union right when they had that carousel of aging leaders that in the West we mocked because it was this clear. It was a very clear sign of decline and that they didn't have a grasp on the country and obviously they didn't have democratic controls in the way.
That the US does.
But nineteen seventeen is over. Move on.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly.
The other thing I wanted to point out here, there's something about the UN backdrop, by the way, that's a little different than when you're on.
The literal world stage.
Biden mumbling at campaign events, okay, it's bad, Biden mumbling in front of the UN. I think there's something that hits different about that. But also Jackie Heinrich a Fox News made a good point. We can put this element up that he talked last year. He had a line where he said we seek to uphold peace and stability across the Taiwan straight and then actually did not mention Taiwan at all in the twenty twenty three address. So if he hadn't mentioned at either time, it's maybe not
so interesting. Maybe you don't need to get that specific in a UN address, But the fact that he mentioned it last year and not this year.
I found that worth noting at least.
Yeah, so that's good, Okay, maybe little like not to the antagonia rattling. Saberdling.
Yeah, anytime a saber goes back into a sheet for that, well.
It's not really a surprise to anybody. But yesterday the Republicans' efforts to fund the government on a stop gap basis, this is something that a lot of establishment Republicans really want to do. It fell apart again. Efforts to pass a Pentagon funding bill fell apart again. A lot of this is due to the internal dynamics in the Republican Party, and we're actually going to get to some of that.
But let's put a one up on the screen. This is from Kyle Griffin, who said NBC News has confirmed Kevin McCarthy just punted plans to tee up a vote and the GOP's short term spending plan later this week. Griffin says McCarthy's now left without a viable plan to fund the government, with just twelve days is left to avoid a shutdown.
It's rare that a post like that news will just make me laugh out loud. You were just enjoying it, just the phrasing up. I mean, it's it's terrible. It's gonna suck for millions of people, probably including myself. Washington gets hit the hardest during a government shutdown. But just the framing of it, it's just he's right, like he's left. The passive framing of it, maybe laugh too, because yes,
like he's left without a viable path. He does have a viable path, it's but it is to work with Democrats, and that's not necessarily viable for him because then they try to throw him out. It's not viable to throw him out because they don't have a candidate to replace him. There's nothing viable anywhere.
Yes, for Democrats.
Yet the world must go on.
I was gonna say Matt Gates was offering Alexandria Kaser Cortez to work with or just Democrats in general to work with him once again last week, a total troll move. But for Democrats, none of this works unless you throw that house into total chaos, which again, like as a kind of anti establishment person, I don't care about, Like, fine, throw the house into chaos. They're going to be doing dumb stuff either way, whether they're whether the government's shut
down or the government is running. It's dumb, like you're passing horrible legislation and not actually solving any problems. So does it bother me too much if they shut down the government for a little bit. No. Does it bother me too much if they don't shut down for the government for a little bit, No, Because either way, there's no substantive thing happening. And that's where I think the
Kyle Griffin tone is getting reading Republicans wrong. He may not be reading Kevin McCarthy wrong, but Chip Roy not all that bothered if the government shuts down, Matt Gates not all that bothered if the government shuts down. And Mitch McConnell waited yesterday and said Republicans always get blamed for a shutdown kind of warning, Kevin McCarthy publicly taking a shot at Kevin McCarthy publicly.
Mitch McConnell is.
Not wrong about that on a national level. He is once again totally wrong about that when it comes to representatives that comprise the House who answered to smaller districts where voters are not just favorable to a shutdown, but are demanding a shutdown. They're calling constantly on these lines to the Capitol and saying, shut the damn government down,
don't send all of this money to BS purposes. And that's why, for instance, chip Roy's hard line in the sand on that stop gap that was worked with was basically border security. He said, we need to have a border security, we need to have a return to pre COVID spending. And this kicked off the whole conversation got really, what's the right word for this granular over differences, as it always does when a shutdown looms. But Matt Gaetz and Byron Donald starting going back and forth.
Well, McConnell has this incredible line that he uses that when it comes to a government shutdown, where he says, there's no there's no education in the second kick of a mule. And that's how he kind of avoided previous government shutdowns because the first one prompted by Ted Cruz back in twenty thirteen, which he did basically for email fundraising purposes, and McConnell people hated, hated it.
It went terribly for them.
Republican voters liked it.
Some Republican voters.
Chip Roy was the chief of staff for Ted Cruz at the time.
That's a that's a great poll.
Yes, so right, so and the so the arc from twenty thirteen to today, it's right, you have so You've got Chip Roy as Ted Cruz's chief of staff. Ted Cruz does this, you know, basically forces a government shutdown. He really elevated his profile at the time, creates a split between him and McConnell. But Roy, his chief of staff, clearly believe came out of that believing.
Oh, this was a win. Absolutely, this was the way, this way to go.
So now Roy is a member of the House of Representatives leading this effort here.
Yeah, absolutely, along with Matt Gates, who we have on the House floor yesterday. Let's roll. Let's roll, mister Gates.
I'm not voting for a continuing resolution. I'm not voting to continue the failure and the waste and the corruption, and the election interference, and in some cases, the efforts that could lead this country into World War III. I oppose the CR authored by my friend and colleague from Florida, Byron Donald's. The Donald CR continues the Ukraine policy negotiated by Speaker Pelosi and Mitch McConnell in the Omnibus that
Conservatives were against. The Donald CR is a permission slip for Jack Smith to continue his election interference as they are trying to gag the president, the former president the United States and the leading contender for the Republican nomination, and the Donald cr abandons the principle that it is only a review of single subject spending bills that will save this country and allow us to tweeze through these programs and force these agencies to stand up and defend their budget.
My friends, we are approaching the days where.
We're facing two trillion dollar annual deficits atop a thirty three trillion dollar debt. This is unsustainable and just to continue things with some facial eight percent cut over thirty days that will lead to no programmatic reform is an insult to the principles we fought for in January.
So he's talking about Byron Donald's there, and Emily, am I hallocinting here? Or did I not sit in the balcony in January and watch Matt Gates give speeches comparing Byron Donalds to Frederick Douglass when he's nominating him to be Speaker of the House.
And now he.
Anyway, this is this is your party? You all think of this out, No, not Emily's party, but it's her problem.
Yeah, so to the extent they consider themselves conservative, that's my problem. But Matt Gates is a master of theater, and Byron Donalds understands that. Now reporters caught up with Byron Donalds and c SPAN cameras happened to capture his interaction with those reporters. He had a great response to Matt Gates.
Check this out.
You're Philip Erni and Matt Gates that you're telling us is working to develop the coalition to quote to beat the Donalds.
Cr What do you think of that?
I would challenge my colleague from Florida to create a coalition and tries to actually get a victory for the American people. If he wants to have a personal thing with me going back and forth, he's entitled to. But I don't care about that foolishness. I want to win.
Your colleagues said they want to see Oh, by the way, no no no no.
No no no no no no no no no no no.
Okay, we wanted to play the clip basically because of the end there, which was so great. He was about to spill some tea clearly on Gates and the reporters like, please please continue, sir, we have plenty of time, and he's.
Like, yeah, you're not going to get head to go there, and so people will understand what happened here. So Byron Donald sat down with basically moderate Republicans and other House Freedom Caucus members chip Roy, chip Roy, and they hashed out a c R, a spending bill that that they all could live with. And they're like, Okay, let's put
this on the floor. We know it's not going to pass the sentate, we know it's not going to be signed by Biden, but at LEAs this puts us on record, gets us start in these negotiations.
And Gates is like, no, yeah, not doing that. Whoever got to Donald's cr.
This is a great quote from trip Roy.
And yesterday with the vote was a procedural to allow the vote to continue, and so that vote, the vote to have the vote basically to allow for the vote, was voted down. Trip Roy comes in and says, I find it extremely difficult to explain or defend opposition to an eight percent cut over thirty days in exchange for the most conservative and strong border security measure we've ever passed.
Out of this body. I think that is inexplicable.
I think it's malpractice, and I think there's some outside groups who are trying to advance themselves that are a part of this, that are pushing this narrative that it's somehow malpracticed to do that. So in a normal situation, it's very difficult for Republicans to fund the government and to have this negotiation between the Freedom Caucus, Main Street Caucus, Tuesday group of people.
That's already hard enough.
When you graft on the Trump DESANTUS dynamics to this, which is some of what you're seeing right now, it gets.
Even more difficult.
It was heading for a shutdown either way. Nobody wants a CR because it means you're kicking the can to December and nothing is going to get solved in December. Nobody wants to have to solve these problems around Christmas. It's just a nightmare to try to do that. People
are upset. It's even worse for public opinion. But the chip Roy CR to your point, Ryan, what Republicans want to do is say we have given Democrats the ball is in their court, and we've given them a great border security If they really want to close the border. If they really don't want to shut down the government, we did it, and I think they probably still. You know, there's some quotes here from other Republicans who are like, I think we'll just lock ourselves in a room and we'll figure it out.
But when you have Matt Gates going after somebody.
Like Byron Donald, it makes it even less likely that they can sit down in a room and figure something out.
I think they will if I had a bet on it.
I think Matt Gates has shown with the speaker vote, he'll go along with it. At the end of the day, he'll find something realize at the last minute he can work with it. But man, we're not even talking about the Bobert Marjorie Taylor Green Dynamics. Just a hell of a week for the Freedom Walks.
And it's got to be interesting for somebody like Roy to be the kind of fire breather, fire eater over you know, back in twenty thirteen, to now be kind of cast as some like compromising, you know, squish by people who are out flanking him, even though you're going to get a shutdown either way.
Yeah, So what's that? I mean? I know, we got to move on here.
But I just I don't understand, Like what if you listen to kind of the Bannon wing of the Republican Party, they're celebrating people. Matt Rosendel was just on his podcast because he was one of the five against this or saying like and they're saying that they went from eight or ten against the cr of to maybe two dozen because of the you know, Bannon's posse like haranguing people in the house. So what do they what do they think is move Like, what are they going to get out of this?
I think it's the same thing for fighting. I'm just curious with their what the plan?
Yeah, I think that it's the same thing with the speaker battle, where everybody knew it was going to end up being Kevin McCarthy, but they realized that they could push way further than people thought and get even more concessions after concessions after concessions, and you heard Gates actually even get in on the Ukraine spending and the clip
that we played. I think they know they're eventually going to cave at the last minute, but they're going to look like they fought tooth and nail to get all of these extra concessions out of the establishment wing of the Republican Party in the process.
So again conclusion, will.
They get them or will they just look like they're fighting? What's what's your guess.
McCarthy doesn't have a choice for the reason that you explained earlier in the segment that it's either he's out the door, and there's literally nobody who steps into that vacuum, Like there's nobody that a handful of Democrats and a handful of Republicans would settle on. There's nobody Republicans can settle on other than McCarthy when you have such a slim margin. So it's McCarthy or basically, and again like
doesn't bother me too much whatever happens there. But Kevin McCarthy is clearly the best bet for the Republican Party at this point politically substantively in terms of like actually bringing people together to do anything, and that's their only option and they know it. He knows it. So I think at the end of the day, it'll be very similar to the speaker battle, push, push, push twenty times and then at the last minute like.
Okay, yep, here we go.
At least we get the theater.
It's good theater, so we'll stay on top of it, that's for sure. Ryan, updates on your excellent reporting with Mirtaza Hussein in Pakistan.
Yes, thank you.
So.
I've got a new story out this week with my Intercept colleague that uncovers the way that secret Pakistani arms sales to the United States helped to facilitate a controversial bailout from the International Monetary Fund earlier this year. That's according to two sources with knowledge of the arrangement and confirmed by internal Pakistani and American government documents. The arm
sales were made for the purpose of supplying the Ukrainian military. Now, the revelations in this story are a window into the kind of behind the scenes maneuvering between financial and political elites that rarely is exposed to the public, even as the public pays that price. Harsh policy reforms demanded by the IMF as terms for the bailout kicked off an ongoing round of protests in Pakistan. Major strikes have taken place throughout Pakistan in recent weeks in response to the measures.
The protests are the latest chapter in a year and a half long political crisis roiling the country. That began after the US encouraged the officer of then Prime Minister in Roan Khan over his quote aggressive neutrality in the war between Ukraine and Russia.
The new reporting starts.
To put that soft coup into context as a Refrafiak, a nonresident scholar at the Middle East Institute, told me, quote, Pakistani democracy may ultimately be a casualty of Ukraine's counter offensive, But why did the E needed Pakistan?
Now?
That goes back to the question of our lack of an industrial base. We're great at making one hundred million dollar airplanes that fall out of the sky and get lost, but were not very good at making the basics. Pakistan is known as a production hub for the types of
basic munitions needed for grinding warfare. Now, as Ukraine grappled with chronic shortages of munitions and hardware, the presence of Pakistani produced shells and other ordinances by the Ukrainian military surfaced in news reports about the conflict, though neither the US nor the Pakistanis acknowledged the arrangement. So we obtained a trove of documents that makes it irrefutable. Records detailing the arms transactions were leaked to US earlier this year
by a source within the Pakistani military. The documents describe munition sales agreed to between the US and Pakistan from the summer of twenty twenty two to the spring of
twenty twenty three. Some of the documents were authenticated by matching the signature of an American brigadier general with his signature on publicly available mortgage records in the United States, by matching the Pakistani documents with corresponding American documents, and by reviewing publicly available but previously unreported Pakistani disclosures of armed sales to the United States posted by the State
Bank of Pakistan Now. The weapons deals were brokered, according to the documents, by Global Military Products, which is a subsidiary of Global Ordinance, a controversial arms dealer whose entanglements with less than reputable figures in Ukraine were the subject of a recent New York Times article. Documents outlining the money trail and dealings with US officials include American and Pakistani contracts, licensing and requisition documents dealing with US broker
deals to buy Pakistani military weapons for Ukraine. Now, the economic capital and political goodwill from the arm sales played a key role in helping secure the bailout from the IMF, with the State Department agreeing to take the IMF into confidence regarding the undisclosed weapons deal. That's according to sources with knowledge of that arrangement and confirmed by a related document.
To win the loan, Pakistan had been told by the IMF it had to meet certain financing and refinancing targets related to its debt and foreign investment targets that the country was struggling to meet. On May twenty third, twenty twenty three, Pakistan's Ambassador to the US, Masud Khan, sat down with Assistant Secretary of State Donald Lou at the State Department in Washington, d C. For a meeting about how Pakistani arms sales to Ukraine could shore up its
financial position in the eyes of the IMF. The goal of the sit down, held on a Tuesday, was to hash out details of the arrangement ahead of an upcoming meeting in Islamabad the following Friday between US Ambassador of Pakistan Donald Blum and then Finance Minister is shak dhar Now. Lou told Khan at the May twenty third meeting that the US had cleared payment for the Pakistani munitions production
and would tell the IMF confidentially about the program. Lou acknowledged the Pakistani's believed the arms country to be worth nine hundred million dollars, which would help to cover a remaining gap in the financing required by the IMF, tagged at roughly two billion dollars. What precise figure that the US would end up relaying the IMF remained to be negotiated, he told Khan.
Now.
At the meeting on Friday, Dar brought up the IMF question with Blum, according to a report in Pakistan Today, which said that quote, the meeting highlighted the significance of addressing the stalled IMF deal and finding effective solutions to Pakistan's economic challenges. Now, securing the loan eased economic pressure, enabling the military government to delay elections and deepen the
crackdown against Khan's supporters and other dissenters. The US has remained largely silent about the extraordinary scale of the human rights violations that pushed the future of Pakistan's democracy into doubt.
Now.
A spokesperson at the Pakistani embassy in Washington declined to comment, referring questions to the State Department. A spokesperson for this State Department denied the US played any role.
In helping procure the loan. Quote.
Negotiations over the IMF review were a matter for discussion between Pakistan and IMF officials. The United States was not party to those discussions, though we continued to encourage Pakistan to engage constructively with the IMF on its reform program unquote.
An IMF spokesperson denied the institution was pressured, but did not comment on whether it was taken into confidence about the weapons program, saying quote, we category we categorically deny the allegation that there was any external pressure on the IMF in one way or another. While discussing support to Pakistan unquote. Yet, US Senator Chris Van Holland, speaking to a group of Pakistani reporters before our story was published, said this.
The United States has been very instrumental in making sure that the IMF came forward with its emergency economic relief. Obviously they're continuing challenges now.
I talked to him in the hallway and the Capitol and asked him how he had learned of that, and he said, quote, my understanding based on conversations with folks in the administration has been that we supported the IMF loan package given the desperate economic situation in Pakistan unquote. Now, the Pakistan government's response has been even more extreme than
the Americans. They just flat out denied everything. They said that our story was fabricated, saying, quote, the IMF stand by arrangement practice was successfully in negotiate, and they even denied any Pakistan does not provide any arms and ammunition to them. Pakistan's defense experts are always a company with strict end user requirements.
Okay, sure they are.
So, so this is this is where we are in the In the last couple of days in Pakistan as well, there's been this horrifying story that's unfolded over the last several weeks and months where the child of a man who was detained by the package turns out by the Pakistani military without charges, without having done anything, just as detained as a political prisoner. The kid began began suffering such incredible trauma he had to be hospitalized and this
week he died. And there's been mourning across Pakistan has been following the this this child's dissent because of the loss of his father with with no response from the Pakistan military. And so now because of these the documents that we've been able to review, we can we can put it all into the global context that it turns out that this was simply about the US needing a reliable supplier of munitions for the war in Ukraine.
Yes. Absolutely, And you know, Ryan, I wanted to put this thread.
I think we have the element here.
This is from a Wall Street Journals slash.
I think AEI.
He did a thread basically outlining what he saw as the problem with your reporting. So he says, if this intercept story is true, and listen, this is a great sentence from this fella here, then the PDM government and the Pakistani Army deserve the gratitude of the Pakistani people for definitely using a piffling amount of alleged arms transfer
to Ukraine to avert an economic catastrophe in Pakistan. So basically his contention is that you're reporting a he's putting He's basically putting words in your mouth and says, you're reporting is necessarily framing all of this as nefarious, corrupt, and a bad thing, which I don't think your reporting does.
I think it's this is what happened, yeah, exactly.
Secondly, though he's saying well done for you know, negotiating behind closed doors. It's almost like this cold realist take that, like, well, these negotiations are going to happen anyway, so x Y and Z. Maybe that's true, but then maybe the US should stop lying about what happened.
And Pakistan line, Yeah, it's funny when the countries, like key defenders are going, are admitting to things that the country itself is still completely denying, right rightment by the country, I mean the government. The government is claiming that there's all eyes, all fabricated, none of this is true, whereas it's defenders are saying, no, no, this stuff is obviously.
True, and it's great. But it's great and it's also.
Unimportant, right, like, pick one of these four things and just ride with that.
And I think the fact that the US won't own up to it and Paksan won't own up to it is that there's a sense of shame about it. And when you have the defenders being like, listen, there is there's no reason to have any shame over this. It would be so much better if we could just have that conversation, right and explain why this is just such a wonderful thing to be kind of negotiated in the dark, and then people are reporters are misled about it as opposed to saying.
No, no, we wouldn't do that.
No, And it's not just shame publicly and shame in the mirror.
I think it's it's.
Complicated geopolitically for Pakistan because its biggest creditor is China and its close ally in a lot of ways is Russia. You know, they gone was trying to negotiate to get cheap gas in there.
Which is why he was resisting getting involved.
Right exactly.
And so both you know, Russia for obvious reasons doesn't want Pakistan making munitions for Ukraine. But China too has been pressuring countries to try to get this war to wrap up. It's it's it's no longer a convenient war at all for China. And so to find out that, uh, that they're that Pakistan, which they lend all of this money to, and and trying to help help them get the IMF loan as well by by by kind of refinancing some debt obligations that they didn't have to do
to find out that actually it was. It involved this weapons production is going to be complicated for that relationship as well.
It's really the perfect story. And I don't mean this like perfect in a good way. It's the perfect distillation of the problem with Joe Biden slurring and mumbling at the UN about the US leading the rules based order, and then at the same time, you know, you have him saying you need the rules based order to prevent incursions in Ukraine, to prevent aggressors from starting these bloody invasive wars like Russia did in Ukraine. In order to do that, we're going to sort of violate the rules
based order. As the leader of the rules based order. Behind closed doors, we're going to do all kinds of stuff like we're gonna use our leverage to change your democratic process.
Deal with the rules based order. We're on top. We make the rules, even if we don't always follow them.
Right.
It is as a refer feek it said, the Pakistan's democracy is just being sacrificed at the altar of democracy.
Yeah, perfect, perfect distillation there.
Unfortunately, all right, so Russell Brand is not looking so good on YouTube. What's the latest?
Yes, so I know most people have heard by now the allegations that were raised against Russell Brand. I'm going to just read this sentence from the New York Post because I think they encapsulated with some precision here. They say he's been accused of raping, sexually assaulting and abusing for women over seven years in the past. Now, Russell Brand was demonetized yesterday by YouTube over these allegations, not
just by YouTube, actually some of his content. We have a lot of elements here because there's a whole lot going down, a whole lot going on.
You can see the.
New York Times there reporting that YouTube suspended the comedian and actor Russell Brand on Tuesday from making money from videos posted to the social media platform. That was three days after British news organizations published their investigation. The channel is a potentially significant source of income. The Time says who was earning money Brand was through advertisements and paid motions.
A spokeswoman for YouTube said in an email that mister Brand, whose channel has six point six million subscribers on YouTube, was suspended for YouTube's violating YouTube's quote creator responsibility policy.
Here's the quote.
If a creator's off platform behavior harms our users employees or ecosystem. We take action to protect, to protect the community. The spokesman did not respond to The Times question about how long that suspension would last, which is actually a pretty important question. Brand denied everything he posted his clip on Friday. Again, I'm sure people have seen this by now saying that everything was consensual. Essentially, now a video resurface.
There have been all kinds of things because the guy was a raunchy comedian for years, has been a raunchy comedian. He's talked about all of this stuff for years, so people are of course, before.
We go to that, can we just I just want to read the one text mesters that I think is the most damaged thing that the Times has gotten. So one woman who accused him of rape present presented the paper with text messages that the paper confirmed were from Brand from Brand's number, and so this is the next morning, he texted her, I'm sorry that was crazy and selfish.
I hope you can forgive me.
I know that you're a lovely person x and she writes back, you scared the blank out of me, right, I am a lovely person and for you to take advantage of me like this is unexpected. It's unacceptable. You have a problem, you need help. It's dangerous that you think you can get your own way all the time. You know how scary you are when that glazed look comes over you. And so yeah, you know that it's hard to find corroborating evidence outside of a video.
Yeah, any more direct than that.
And actually the other thing is, as many people know, one of the victims at the time had a rape kit.
She went to actually have the investigation with the.
Rape kit, which suggest I mean, it's obviously not something the vast majority of women do if they don't believe that they were.
Victims of rape.
It suggests that at the time she saw it that way, and it's not the same as many me two cases that have been high profile where you know, we've had this kind of public conversation that changed the way women, for better or for worse, in different situations, saw what happened to them, depending on the severity and the scale of it. This suggests that at the time this woman absolutely saw this as a rape to the point where
she went and had a rape kit. This is obviously very serious and suggests that she didn't see it as consensual in the same way that Russell Brand is now saying this was all, of course consensual. That said, the YouTube policy, I think is what we can get into that I think it is going in a somewhat frightening or very serious direction. But I also wanted to raise that there have been videos like this one we have. I think we have the element here of Katherine McPhee
on Jimmy Fallon with Russell Brand from years ago. If you're watching on the screen, you can see the picture there he pulled her onto his lap and this was on Fallon's nighttime talk show back in twenty thirteen. Katherine McPhee waited on Instagram and said, you know, this specific incident was over ten years ago and it was harmless.
Now another thing came upline on Deadline, which had an exclusive saying that his Brand's last major television job in the UK ended with him being dropped after he was repeatedly accused of being a quote sexual predator during the recording of the show. So this was a Comedy Central roast battle. It was the spin off of the show that they did here in the US, or basically it was based on it, and it only lasted a season. He was roasted on camera by one of the judges,
Katherine Ryan, over these allegations. She said last year she didn't name Brand.
At the time.
She confirmed with multiple Deadline confirmed with multiple sources that this was about Brand. She said, I, in front of loads of people in the format of the show, said to this person's face that they are a predator. Now, one of the sources told Deadline. This person said other comedians may have also called up Brand, though that has not been confirmed by those.
Who worked on the show.
Two other sources said he demanded that producers protect him from being roasted by his fellow comedians. Finally, we have from the Hollywood Reporter BBC saying that it's actually removed some programming featuring Wreussell Brand from streaming services amid these allegations. BBC has says it does not ban or remove content when it is a matter of public record unless we have justification for doing so. There is limited content featuring
Wressel Brand on Eyeplayer and Sounds. We've reviewed that content and made a considered decision to remove some of it some of it, having assessed that it now falls below public expectations. So let's dux suppose that quote from the BBC with YouTube's Creator Responsibility policy, they say, if a creator's off platform behavior harms our users, employees or ecosystem, we take.
Action to protect the community.
Ryan allegations of Russell Russell Brand, we both agree are serious now demonetizing people amid those allegations when things are being litigated in the court of public opinion, certainly in the United States, within the discretion of a private company like Alphabet, Google, YouTube BBC is another question with UK speech laws, what do you make of it?
This is such a This is such a tough.
One because I think he's guilty, Like I think that the evidence is very clear.
But because we have.
This bizarre system where we go on this case by case basis of you know, who gets to have a platform and who doesn't get to have a platform, then it leads every single person that has to then adjudicate each case and say whether or not that they kind of, you know, fall above or below some arbitrary line that that we don't like, that we don't have any say over anyway, like the holth just pawing in the dark here and so it it again I think speaks to
the need for some type of broad regulation and which says that, you know, the corporation is not responsible for uh, you know, not responsible for the platform, not responsible for what the performers say. Because the second that you're responsible for it, then everything that you allow, everything that you allow onto your platform, you're then sort of indirectly endorsing, which you don't want to get in that position either.
But it's but it's a very but it's not an easy it's not an easy question.
Because like and I, and the guy has said that what what he has admitted in the past is that he was a second addict, which is a nice way of saying that he was a predator. Probably I don't think there's anybody I doubt he would even necessarily disagree with that kind of description. What he disagrees with is whether or not there was consent in these occasions. At least in the one case that I mentioned at the
top of this block. He acknowledges that in hindsight he felt like there wasn't and probably in real time he wondered whether there was, Otherwise he wouldn't have sent an.
Apology text exactly the next morning. So he's guilty. Like I think we can barely say that and it's.
Hardly, by the way, given Russell Brand's intentional public persona, especially before he shifted more and more to politics, surprising he openly I think he actually openly joked once about some of.
The stuff and Luis King did it, yes, and so it was it's.
There's a there's a really great line that Camille Polia wrote Paulia in the heat of the Me Too movement, for I think it was the Hollywood Reporter.
It was a column.
She said that this idea that she said, great art has often been made by bad people, and the idea that the artist has to be some sort of moral paragon. She called it a sentimental canard of Victorian moralism. And I really liked that line because it's true. And we do in the post Me two era, in the Me Too era, and need permission to accept what we all know, which is that great art has often been made by
bad people. And I'm not saying that Russell Brand is a great artist, although I find him to be a very interesting thinker, a very compelling thinker, somebody who's outside of the box. And I do think it's interesting that as soon as he started approaching some truly anti establishments, so he was always sort of, you know, a kind of anti establishment guy when he was focusing mostly on
British politics and of pro socialist, anti capitalist. I do think it is interesting that when he crossed the kind of orthodoxy and cultural questions is when some of the stuff I think the timing is genuine interesting. That doesn't
make him any less guilty. I do think that there's some political weaponization going on here, but YouTube taking that step to demonetize people and the BBC like their justifications are so broad that it's going to implicate some genuinely good artists that their users actually can make the decision whether or not they want to engage with that person. I saw some people bringing up like r Kelly and you know other stuff like that, are Kelly fantastic artists?
Sorry?
Also guilty, clearly guilty fantastic artists? And these questions are they're hard, But also that that question of whether or not you can enjoy art from bad people isn't hard. You have to be able to do it, otherwise you'll only be watching like the worst art basically.
And as a yes, as a society, I think we have to be able to separate.
Politicians and artists and.
The art and the art and the artist.
That doesn't mean that the artist is free of criminal implications.
And R. Kelly is a great example prosecuted.
And so if it does appear like there are cases that can be made here against Russell Brand, and they should go for that. And that's why as a public we want to have legal frameworks set up. There's established and give give people a fair trial, and but give victims a chance to bring charges forward and then if
they found guilty, these are the consequences. To push it off onto platforms and to consumers is to me a cop out, like it's that's not the that's not those aren't decisions that should be forced into the into those spheres like if you commit a crime, you should be prosecuted for it. And he appears to have committed multiple crimes or at least this, I mean, this is just the one I'm highlighting here. There are other very other credible accuzation as well, and prosecute those.
And for you toube so based on that point, for YouTube to say this kind of broad justification that the content from somebody who is a very like accused of very serious crimes harms their users or their employees. That is going to implicate a whole lot of content that YouTube a is just not going to take down and be if they were pressed too, would not want to take it down, nor would their users, because users can
make decisions. You know that doesn't apply to children, but users can make decisions about which content to engage with.
And you know what, if they want to.
Watch a Woody Allen interview, or they want to watch a Bill Clinton interview, if they want to watch a Donald Trump interview, they can make those decisions for themselves because this is all part of the world that we live in, and YouTube is an incredible resource for understanding the world, and it doesn't have to be an endorsement of all of these amazing primary sources that we have access to via YouTube. It's just a crazy standard, I think think in a really dangerous one. I hope it's
not a permanent suspension. And I get that it's just for monetization. I get that they have them on the platform. It's a question of whether they're taking you're allowed to make money off that content. I think all of the same problems still apply.
To those questions. What are you looking at today?
Well, Last week, Jeff Stein of the Washington Post had a report that did not get nearly enough attention. I'm going to read from it right here. Trump and his advisor, Stein reported have discussed deeper cuts to both individual and corporate tax rates that would build on his controversial twenty seventeen tax law, which they see as a major accomplishment
worth expanding. According to interviews with half dozen people close to the former president, some of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe private conversations, the cuts could be paid for, at least in theory, with a new ten percent tariff on all imports to the United States that Trump has called for, which could raise hundreds of billions in revenue.
The sharp new.
Tax cuts would help offset higher consumer costs by the tariffs.
Now it's a long.
Article, but let me read one more part of it that caught my attention. Still, Trump may propose using that revenue, so revenue raised by the tariff, to send a dividend payment to US consumers, similar to the state of Alaska how they cut a check every year to residents from oil revenue. That's according to New Gingrich, who of course served as GOP Speaker of the House and remains an
outside advisor to the former president. Gingrich stress that there are quote many options for how to use the revenue. Stein quotes both or Nett mentions that both Steve Moore and Art Laugher Arthur Laffer, who are apparently advising the potential former future Trump administration former and future Trump administration on economic policy, are not a fan of the potential dividend payments, but they are absolutely supportive of renewing this twenty seventeen push.
And actually expanding on it.
I think this is really interesting because it brings in this entire quot question of whether the Republican Party has Ryan and I opposed to sarab Amari recently, can truly become the party of the working class in a way that sort of matches the rhetoric we talked earlier in the show about Tim Scott and Nicky Haley's statements on the UAW strike, which contrasts with Donald Trump's effort which
he will do alongside the Republican debate. He's skipping the Republican debate to talk to out auto workers in Detroit. He's trying to drive a wedge between Biden and the UAW between Democrats in general and union workers in general. That's a much smarter tactic than what Tim Scott and Nicky Haley are doing, which is just sort of, you know, saying well Reagan in the auto and the air traffic controllers in a way that is not, you know, tethered
to any nuance or particular details. But all that is to say, if Donald Trump's administration future administration is already like very ecstatic for the prospect of a tax cut, it's really interesting to me that throughout this article all we hear is about the corporate tax cut. What they want, essentially is a cleaner corporate tax code, so something like a flat tax for corporations, and that's what this article
is conveying. So unless Jeff Stein, who we've certainly talked to before, has an inaccurate kind of depiction of these conversations, unless his article is just for some reason, really focused on everything they're saying about the corporate tax rate and nothing they're saying about the individual tax rate, it sounds
like people advising Donald Trump have their priorities backwards. I know you're going to be surprised to hear about that, and It's probably a fair question as to whether either major political party can truly represent the working costs interests
in Washington, d c. And in various state houses. I'm not sure that's possible, but as the Republicans try, because Donald Trump brought in specifically union workers, workers in the rust belt, people who vote a Democrat or didn't vote at all for a long time, even some supporters of Bernie Sanders into the Republican Party. Can they vote for other Republicans? Will they vote for other Republicans outside of Donald Trump? Will they vote will they support a Republican
agenda outside of Donald Trump? Will they continue to support Donald Trump himself? These are all very fair questions that
Republicans need to answer. And when you have the consensus among even the conservative movement, and I can tell you this as somebody who runs in those circles, the consensus is that the twenty seventeen tax bill, which had great effects for many taxpayers, was a mistake because it showed that Republicans were expending all of this political capital on sort of a priority of fiscal conservatism, even if it
had materially positive benefits for the average person. Republicans spent so much time and energy on this bill that Paul Ryan came out and said, we are finally going to get your taxes down.
To a postcard.
You'll be able to do your taxes on a postcard. That's actually kind of a populist priority. It might be good, it might sound good for corporations, it might sound good for really wealthy individuals, but it's not because in order to get your taxes down to a postcard, Paul Ryan knows this, you have to cut all of the loopholes. Do you have to close all of those loopholes simplify the tax code, And people have questions about whether that
raises enough revenue. Trump says, well, offset it with a tariff. That's something that you can be part of the conversation. But in order to achieve the goal that Paul Ryan said he was so excited about, you have to really stick it to rich people in corporations to make it so the average American can do their taxes on a postcard. Which is why, of course it didn't happen, and it's why, of course we ended up with a bill that establishment Republicans were so happy about.
They're trying to do.
More of and from the Washington Post article, it doesn't sound like the focus is at all on fixing the tax code for the average individual, basically because everyone knows that's impossible. And by the way, I think they know that really going to a flat tax for corporations is impossible. I think that would in some sense help with on shoring. I think there are ways that you could do it that would help with bringing back jobs, good paying jobs,
back to the United States. But oh my gosh, the lack of attention paid to average Americans and the level of excitement that people have for just going in on another big corporate tax cut in Donald Trump's own circles, I think is a very clear message that the Republican Party, even in Trump's circles, is still struggling mightily because of this vast infrastructure basically that has already existed throughout the history of the conservative movement that is sort of reflexively
pro business. That is, that's a hard muscle memory to get rid of it. You have to basically retrain your muscles to continue torturing this metaphor. And for all of the times you have Tom Cotton, you know, introducing a bill to hike the federal minimum wage. Tom Cotton is a you know, not necessarily your your new right icons somebody who has sort of neo conservative foreign policy and
is known for having fairly fiscally conservative economic policy. All the times you have him introducing, you know, a federal minimum wage hike, everything that jd Vance and Josh hollytok. Josh Holly introduced legislation last week to cap credit card interest rates. That's a huge blow to these companies. So for every time you have that happening from a Republican, you still have this muscle memory that I think is creating this real struggle for Republicans as they look to
actually govern in a way. Some of them look to actually governor in a way that sort of puts the money where the mouths are. Some people just want to keep flapping the gums saying they're they're representing, you know, the average working class person and talking about that on cultural issues to the extent that they even want to talk about those anymore, and doing the Nikki Haley well union's.
Bad, blah blah blah.
They want to keep doing that, and their muscles don't want to allow them to actually govern in a way that is serious, whether it's libertarian populism, you know, the sort of Ron Paul populism that's genuinely anti corporate or you know, economic populism in a way that some people consider on the left maybe more statists. They don't want any of that period, and their muscles aren't going to
let them do it anyway. So Ryan, interesting story here from Jeff Stein, and I think ran more original reporting from you today, and even I think a cool tutorial on how to do screen recording is what you have for us.
What's going on with Google and Rumble?
So the last Republican debate was held on August twenty third, and a couple weeks before that, Google reached out to the RNC and asked the rn C, Hey, do you have a live streaming partner for the upcoming debate? If so, who RNC responded yes, In fact, Rumble has the exclusive live stream results. The civics team over at Google, to their credit, said, sounds great. You either connect us with Rumble or give us a link to the upcoming live stream if you have it. So, rn C then asks
you what exactly do you need? Google explains to them quote as we often do for major election events. We're exploring linking to the live stream on search, and our product team is asking for a link to test the feature. Unquote, that's an email that I obtained from Google over to the RNC.
RNC ends up.
Adding Rumble to this chain, and they go back and forth then for a couple of days about whether they get a link, whether they get on the phone, and Emily and I can talk about the bizarre kind of email conversation that unfolds from there. The upshot though, is that this and we can put up this little screen recording is what people saw if they searched GOP debate
stream kind of the night of the debate. There's YouTube, there's YouTube, there's ABC News, there's the Verge on how to watch the debate, a couple, you know, a couple of articles. What you do not see on the front page of that search is the actual stream itself. Any link, any link to Rumble. So now I have responses from both Rumble and Google, and then we can get into this.
So Rumble told me that they said the first Republican presidential debate was yet another example of Google's determination to squash competing video platforms.
That's Rumble general counsel Michael Ellis quote in.
Its own words, Google uses search to highlight other major election events, but chose not to offer the same feature to rumbles live stream. We look forward to proving Google's continued anti competitive conduct in court unquote. Now, Google meanwhile
told me that this was all just a miscommunication. The quote from Google is people could easily find information about where to watch the debate in Google Search results, and as part of our ongoing effort to build dedicated features in search to more prominently showcase events like debates, we reached out to the r and C and Rumble, but unfortunately it didn't come together in time to test and
create the live stream feature. We've already worked with the RNC and Rumble to get this feature set up for the next debate, as we would do with any live stream provider Dominily. This is happening while Google is literally facing like in trial currently because of this anti competitive
cind of this ish or anti competitive stuff. There was an amazing moment, by the way, and we'll get back to this yesterday in court where Google complained that the Department of Justice was putting up the public exhibits on its website and asked that they stopped doing that, and the judge said, yeah, you should stop doing that.
It's terrible.
And the DOJ said, We're so sorry. These are public exhibits. We're so sorry. We're going to take them down. Google said, great, take them down. A Bloomberg reporter tour credit stood up in the gallery. It was like, hold on a second, these are public. I want to I want at least Google to have Bloomberg to have an opportunity to have a lawyer here. And the judge said, okay, we'll do that. Still, in the meantime, the department just.
Took them down. Pitiful.
You're supposed to be prosecuting these guys, you're just taking public information off. So anyway, so Google's in the middle of this and they know that this trial is coming when they find out that Rumble is going to be the exclusive partner here. Now the email chain is funny, and it'll be up at an article I have at the Intercept, not posting it here because I forgot to redact all the names of the of the innocent, but we'll do that over at the intercept. But so Google says,
send us a live link. And this is nine days before the event, and so Rumble writes back, I want to get some clarity on the ass. Can we get on a call tomorrow or the day after Now, on the one hand, there is nothing more annoying than somebody who wants to take an email to a phone call.
A meeting and set up a meeting. Like the ask is clear, just send us a link.
Now, in Rumble's defense, they don't have a live link nine days before so. And then more official there told me is that they're trying to figure out what do you need, like technically speaking, like what do you need from us so that nine days from now you can feature this? And then they bump it the next day and no reply from Google again, and then no more, no further bumping from Rumble, and no further replying from Google until the day of the debate, where Rumble doesn't
appear kind of in the search results. Now, Google does not legally have a a requirement to promote a competitor's product, like with the live you know red thing and like above the search results, but organically they can't suppress like the organic results can't suppress a competitor, and so they would have to explain, well, why is why is YouTube there in that videos portion? But and they would say, well, those YouTube video creators did.
A good job of kind of putting in the right keywords. Maybe it was Breaking Points and we put in the.
Right GOP debate kind of parameters that that like juiced us in there and Rumble didn't. But I think the other I think I think that Google might be forgetting is that antitrust law is wildly up for grabs at this point. And if you get a Trump appointed lawyer and you have Rumble as the victim or complainant, better look out. You're gonna They're gonna side with Rumble.
Period.
Your video is fantastic.
Actually, speaking of YouTube, a bunch of you are probably watching this on YouTube, and you guys have probably noticed we post three or four clips from our show every day. The rest of those go out either on the podcast, which you can get anywhere, or to premium subscribers. And so we want to thank all of the premium subscribers who are going to Breakingpoints dot com and giving their hard earned money. My annual subscription re up the other day. It was kind of funny to see on my phone
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I like that you subscribed.
So it's actually telling that Ryan's annual subscription just reupped because we're at a That's.
Right, it was when I came over.
Like mine was in June because I'm loyal. Ryan's was in September because he's It's tough.
It's in the media.
It's tough because all of your friends have books and have and you will. You're not going to make it to the end of the month if you don't lie about supporting some of them.
Yes, absolutely, but in all seriousness, we've been here part of the Breaking Twicks team.
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And then you add locals and Patreon and it's just it's simply too me.
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But you want to do it, you don't want to do it, you want I would be happy to do it. You'd be good at that. Just Ryan Grimm shows up at your door unannounced with a link. Yeah, I don't know.
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