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BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

BMO Capital Markets Equity Researchresearch.bmo.com
Featuring Helen Amos, Commodities analyst at BMO Capital Markets, Metal Matters discusses the hot topics in Global Metals & Mining each week.
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Episodes

The Iran Conflict Is Upending Fertiliser Markets - Why We Care in Metals (28 min)

In this episode, Helen Amos and Joel Jackson discuss disruptions to fertiliser supply chains stemming from the Iran conflict. Nitrogen and sulphur prices have already seen huge gains (phosphate prices are rising too) with seemingly little slack in the system for a supply response to plug the gap. They discuss how this compares in scale with the onset of the Russia/Ukraine war in 2022, and what this means for mining operations dependant on sulphuric acid for leaching and ammonia nitrate for explo...

Mar 27, 202629 min

BMO Special Event: Commodities: Middle East Conflict

Commodity prices are reacting in a major way to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Please join our analysts, Randy Ollenberger, John McNulty, Joel Jackson, Helen Amos and George Heppel for a group conference call where we discuss our latest thoughts for near- and medium-term impacts on energy, metals, fertilizers, and chemicals markets. Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures...

Mar 10, 202635 min

The World Needs More Mining and Demands Better Mining

In this special Metal Matters podcast, BMO Commodities Analyst Helen Amos is joined by Ro Dhawan, President and CEO of the ICMM to discuss how the role of sustainable mining is shifting in a world where mining and critical minerals has been thrust into the foreground of global geopolitics. They discuss the new Consolidated Mining Standard which marks a major turning point in harmonising standards across the industry, as well as progress made in tailings management, gender-based violence, and the...

Feb 17, 202640 min

Geopolitical Rupture and the Age of Metals Stockpiling

In this episode, Helen Amos discusses new highs in gold and silver prices as transatlantic tensions around Greenland’s future escalate. We look at how US metals stockpiling over Trump’s second term compares with the Cold War era, and reflect on new questions around China’s aluminium output, met coal’s steady come back and tin’s outperformance. Click here for transcript BMO clients can view our reports: BMO Precious Metals Monitor: The Greenland Effect The Age of Metals Stockpiling - How Much has...

Jan 22, 202613 min

Wrapping Up 2025; What’s Next For The Supercycle?

Helen Amos is joined by George Heppel to wrap up on the big developments and surprises over 2025. They discuss the recent surge in silver and platinum, what has kept metals prices high in the face of global tariffs, China’s reach on global metals supply chains, critical minerals investments, and the COMEX-LME copper arbitrage. They mull over some of the key themes and uncertainties into 2026. BMO clients can view our reports, 2026 Metals & Bulk Commodity Price Update: Material World BMO Prec...

Dec 22, 202534 min

Delving Into the Macro

In this episode, Helen Amos is joined by BMO’s Chief Economist Doug Porter to discuss the impact of big macro shifts on the metals and mining space. They talk everything from rate cuts, the US dollar, AI, de-dollarisation, global trade, and emerging market development. Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures...

Nov 21, 202539 min

From London to Beijing

In this week’s Metal Matters, we re-cap on our key take-aways from LME week, discuss the correction in precious metals, and shift the spotlight over to China’s recent economic data and expectations for the next 5-year plan. Click here for transcript BMO clients can view our reports: LME Week 2025 Feedback BMO Precious Metals Monitor: Squeezing Higher To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures...

Oct 24, 202515 min

Re-thinking the Price Deck

This week Helen Amos is joined by commodities analyst, George Heppel. They discuss new frameworks for thinking about long term commodity prices, how investors are viewing gold even after its explosive rally, and what big deficits in copper, platinum and silver could mean for prices. BMO clients can view our reports here: Q4 2025 Metals & Bulk Commodity Price Update: A Sanctuary in the Storm Upgrading the Long Term: Drilling in on Gold, Copper, and Iron Ore Click here for transcript To access...

Oct 03, 202526 min

Debating a New Up-Cycle

In the first episode of our re-launched podcast, we discuss copper back to $10k, iron ore’s resilience, macro shifts, Chinese stockpiling, and the case for a new mining upcycle. BMO clients can view our reports here: BMO Precious Metals Monitor: Poised for the Cut PGMs: Picking the Right Basket Anti-Involution Needs Patience: Copper and Coal Screen Strongest Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures...

Sep 19, 202514 min

Tariffs, Trepidation and Technology

In the final episode for 2024 we discuss BMO’s outlook for Metals & Mining in 2025, technology advances and the current situation in aluminium. Click here for report. Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures

Dec 20, 202411 min

What We Foresee for the Four C’s

In this episode we discuss China-U.S. friction in critical minerals, the 2025 outlook for copper, cobalt’s challenges and China’s Central Economic Work Conference. 12 min Click here for transcript To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/...

Dec 06, 202412 min

Rebate and Recycle

This episode considers why iron ore has upside into year end, China’s export rebate removal on aluminium, uranium and critical minerals recycling ( 14 min) Click here for transcript.

Nov 22, 202414 min

Bracing for Trade Barriers

This episode discusses the impact of the U.S. election results on precious and industrial metals, and how China will respond to the new U.S. administration's policies. (11 min) Click here for transcript .

Nov 08, 202410 min

Stimulus, But Not As We Know It

This episode discusses the China’s concerns over Guinean bauxite, uranium, nickel and what we’d learned about China’s latest bout of stimulus one month in. (13 min) Click here for transcript.

Oct 25, 202413 min

LME Learnings

In this episode we discuss what surprised us at LME Week, the challenges in concentrate markets and the latest on China’s policy pivot. (12 min) BMO clients can view our report, "LME Week 2024 Feedback", by visiting: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/research/141e053a-a727-4beb-970d-802795801543/ Episode transcript: http://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/7BA45F85-C637-4626-9C6C-ABB87D1EBC1A.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapit...

Oct 11, 202412 min

China Not So Bleak into LME Week

This episode considers the key points of discussion at LME Week 2024, our recent gold price upgrade, what China’s stimulus announcement could mean and nuclear energy for data centres. Click here for transcript To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/...

Sep 27, 202414 min

Adjusting the Battery Blinkers

In this episode we discuss the latest in EV and battery markets, consider zinc’s supply problem and answer quickfire questions on iron ore. (15 min) BMO clients can view our report, Plugging In on More Realistic EV and Battery Metals Forecasts (Including Lithium), by visiting: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/research/4897090a-db59-4ed1-9382-c18f0ee1cc9b/ Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-dis...

Sep 13, 202415 min

Getting U Ready, as Gold Gleams

This episode discusses the recent improvement in Chinese sentiment, coking coal’s challenges, gold’s new nominal record and uranium discussion points ahead of a major industry event next week. (12 min) Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/...

Aug 30, 202413 min

Making a Drama Out of a Steel Crisis

This week we discuss the panic in the global steel industry, copper supply issues and China’s historic EV moment. ( 15 mins) Click here for transcript . To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/...

Aug 16, 202415 min

Getting the Grid Connection Back

In this episode we discuss the impact of China’s State Grid’s new budget, new rebar standards, H1 trade and a special Olympics bonus section. 13 min Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

Aug 02, 202412 min

Two Precious Weeks

This episode discusses feedback from Shanghai Platinum Week, gold’s push to new highs and initial thoughts from Q2 production results.(13 mins) Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/...

Jul 19, 202413 min

Concentrating on Concentrates

In this episode we talk through our recent price changes, base metal concentrate tightness, tariffs and met coal. (11 min). Episode transcript To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/...

Jul 05, 202411 min

China Looking to Bring on the Substitute

In this episode we discuss the copper physical-financial disconnect, China’s focus on substituting copper with aluminium, and the current nickel situation. (11 min) Click here for transcript To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

Jun 20, 202411 min

Taking Stock of Counter-Seasonality

In this episode we discuss the unusual rise in visible metal inventory during May, supply issues in alumina and manganese ore, and the latest on batteries from the Rhomotion Europe conference. (13 mins) Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/...

Jun 07, 202413 min

Flows and Fundamentals

In this episode we discuss whether some recent price gains are fundamentally justified, PGMs, China property and long run copper price expectations. (13 mins) Episode transcript: To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosure/

May 24, 202413 min

Copper’s Double Negative

In this episode we discuss the unusual situation happening in copper at present, why iron ore might be the best way to play Chinese recovery, gold demand and BMO’s economic expectations. (13 min) Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/d0pHOGZncGVNNW1pdHBjTnF0TWFUcVZmS21iSEM0TXBYUmxESHBEakpRUG1qdG5QSmdyTnJkWWFUaFNVeHVTSEhBWUlCNStQdlRpNjV2eWR4Lzg3aWc9PQ2.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalmarkets.com/public-disclosur...

May 10, 202413 min

Things Might Be Getting Too (Capital) Intense

In this episode we provide feedback from CESCO Week in Chile, discuss implications of Russian material bans, and consider whether rising capital intensity is causing an existential moment for the mining industry. (12 min). Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/OUczMjdoUlY3MElvc29ER1B1cnV4UWVjYXFDSmFwQnFjazZqWTRXb2IzcHk2UStHbXVlNnBUb0pyb3V1VVFaOHduMEtpbFVxRTYwZjJWZCtpWm5vR2c9PQ2.PDF To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://researchglobal0.bmocapitalm...

Apr 26, 202412 min

A Golden Start to the Quarter

In this episode we discuss the new nominal highs for gold, a strong cross-commodity start to Q2, and preview CESCO Week 2024. 13 min Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/NUxwVEJHb21OOG1OVlBxT2dXMytFYVRYbWJEdW1BVS9JR3NCN1Z4SytLUjQ3ZTBJL2xobC9oVDdlT2FjczI1UUNJY2wwZGN4bG9qWDdlaHFNSTd5WlE9PQ2.PDF...

Apr 12, 202413 min

Beginning to Look a Bit Better

This episode discusses our recent commodity price changes, global capex spending, China’s delayed fiscal impulse and manganese ore. 12 min. Episode transcript: https://research-ca.bmocapitalmarkets.com/documents/SGFVcjZqc2FjYithT21yc05EM3lKSk5pVU1ONmJMVEY1Ym9YSzQxa3REZm5ENjhXTlpmSi8yRWhtOVNlVE9mTlJwa081dnJMWTN3emJ1ckZCWXA5M2c9PQ2.PDF BMO clients can view our report, Q2 2024 Metals & Bulk Commodity Price Update: Beginning to Look Brighter, by visiting: https://bmo.bluematrix.com/docs/pdf/f934...

Mar 28, 202412 min
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