Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Gina Martin Adams & Huw van Steenis - podcast episode cover

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Gina Martin Adams & Huw van Steenis

Apr 23, 20255 min
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Episode description

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Gina Martin Adams & Huw van Steenis.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

Speaker 1

Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

Speaker 2

Really really interesting day of single best idea and what we do on Bloomberg Surveillance. Sometimes we have breaking news headlines we have to get into where they're market moving. In this moment, the Dow one up two hundred points on futures. It was a Trump announcement on tariffs. So we have to short a guest. We really try to bring back guests that we've had to short soon. One of those today was McK molroy with Lobo Institute on the Pentagon, on defense. He came to us from Montana,

the land of the Strategic Air Command. It seems ancient history, but it was when minute men missiles were important to America. We'll get mc molroy on again, and many other worthies as well. Someone that was a joyous to at length today was Gina Martin Adams, really explaining the uncertainty that's out there within securities analysis and within the stock market. Here are Gina Martin Adams on this moment of a trade war.

Speaker 3

This president is very committed to amending the order. How much he amends it as up to up for grabs, it's a big question. But we will have an amendment to the Global World Trade Order. And that's important to understand is there's no going back to where we were on January first. The question is how far do we go in the adjustment process at this point in time.

There are still, though a substantial amount of people that think this is just a lot of volatility and a lot of noise and underlying this, he'll eventually go away and stop. And I'm not sure that's going to be the case. I think you have to sort of respect the commitment level to changing things. While it'll be in fits and starts and certainly a volatile path, we will be a changed universe going forward. The question mark is how much has that change and does the where is

it damaging? Where is it potentially positively impactful.

Speaker 2

Jenna Martin Adams excellent fundamental and technical analysis running all of Bloomberg Intelligence Equities. Thrilled that she could be in studio with us today. One of the great secrets of how we make the sauce, how we make the spaghetti hair each and every day is that so many of our guests really choose to be with us. I can't emphasize enough how important that is. Someone who for decades has really provided benefit from his time at Morgan Stanley

definitive on European banks. To his public service, I should say to his United Kingdom has been huvon steinis now in Oliver Wyman. He transfixed us today with the discussion of the cash flow excuse me, the interior cash flow dynamics of small business and retail America given as trade or here Hugh van Steiners.

Speaker 4

These are unbelievably entrepreneurial folk, and so they're trying to sort of weave their way through this. Look. I think the first and second line is really about the order books. Has the sales come down where I've got highly leveraged companies trying to forensically work through that. So I think it's about cash conservation and it's about getting a cost down. So I'm already picking up people saying to all their management teams, have you thought about a cost round? What

are you doing about that? So that's one, But on the other side in credit land, they're actually people trying to look this as an opportunity and actually trying to buy in some of the credits at wider spreads. About sixty percent of the new inflows for the private market firms for the last two years as being credit and overwhelming.

As we've discussed before, that's coming from the insurers. These are steady hands they want to deploy in size, but obviously on the equity side there is more stress in the system.

Speaker 2

Van Steiners, and he was just brilliant on some of the challenges we may face in private equity as well. What an eventful day it's been in through a week that seems to be as exhausting as every other week we've had over the last number of weeks. We're watching the markets and the correlated changes almost Bloomberg headline to Bloomberg headline. We'll continue to do that through the week,

and your commute across the nation. Bloomberg Radio and Android Auto an Apple CarPlay Good Morning ninety nine one FM in Washington, where Lisa Bramwitz is holding good conversations with the IMF types. We say good morning out on YouTube podcasts. This is single best idea

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