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Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloombergwww.bloomberg.com

Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment.

Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television.

Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. 

Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ.

Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Episodes

Surveillance: Inflation Trades with Golub (Podcast)

Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief Equity Strategist, says tech stocks will continue to struggle as long as we're in a high-inflation environment. Kwasi Kwarteng, UK Business & Energy Secretary, warns energy companies they may face a windfall tax if they don’t “step up” on new investments. Savita Subramanian, Bank of America Securities US Equity & Quantitative Strategy Head, says a lot of the bad news is priced in to the markets, but the worst is not yet behind us. John Ryding, Brean Ca...

May 20, 202236 min

Surveillance: Inflation with Sen. Rounds (Podcast)

Sen. Mike Rounds, (R) South Dakota, says we must lower energy costs in order to address inflation. Lori Heinel, State Street Global Advisors CIO, thinks the Fed could avoid a recession if they move in the summer and then pause. Patrick Palfrey, Credit Suisse Co-Head of Quantitative Research & Senior Equity Strategist, says everything on the fundamental front still seems intact. Robert Hormats, Tiedemann Advisors Managing Director, discusses the importance of President Biden's visit to Asia. ...

May 19, 202224 min

Surveillance: Inflation with Fed's Evans (Podcast)

Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, says he is extremely confident the Fed can bring down inflation. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says it will be difficult for the Fed to achieve a soft landing but recession chances are still low. Joseph Feldman, Telsey Advisory Group Senior Managing Director, says Target's profit cut is "transitory." Kit Juckes, Societe General Chief FX Strategist, doesn't see how Europe avoids a recession. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, explai...

May 18, 202238 min

Surveillance: US Growth with Hatzius (Podcast)

Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist, discusses why his firm cut their US growth forecast. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO and Chief Research Officer, says digital sales are moderating and consumers are shifting back to brick-and-mortar. Scott Clemons, Chief Investment Strategist, Brown Brothers Harriman, says the market is too pessimistic about the risk of inflation. Winnie Cisar, Creditsights Global Head of Credit Strategy, says we're moving into the credit risk phase of the sello...

May 17, 202225 min

Surveillance: Kuleba Rules Out Cease-Fire (Podcast)

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba rules out offering Putin options for a cease-fire. Mark Esper, Former US Secretary of Defense, says the US needs to be careful about how it deals with China. Amanda Lynam, Goldman Sachs Senior Credit Strategist, sees triple-B firms as the sweet spot. William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says this is the fist time in the history of the Fed that it may be able to escape crushing the economy to bring inflation down to its target level. Christian No...

May 16, 202231 min

Surveillance: Inflation Expectations with Rajan (Podcast)

Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago Booth School Professor & Former Reserve Bank of India Governor, says the market believes the Fed is serious about inflation. Angela Stent, Brookings Nonresident Senior Fellow & “Putin’s World” author, says Putin's army is over-extended. Barton Crockett, Rosenblatt Securities Tech Analyst, doesn't see Elon Musk backing down from the Twitter deal. Megan Greene, Harvard Kennedy School Senior Fellow & Kroll Institute Global Chief Economist, says a so...

May 13, 202229 min

Surveillance: Valuation with Mueller-Glissmann (Podcast)

Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Goldman Sachs Head of Portfolio Strategy, says markets are going through a valuation reset. Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Global Market Strategist, is investing based on a soft landing from the Fed. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Americas Chief US Economist, says we are in the final stage of what is going to be a significant bear market. Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, says Jay Powell deserves a second term as Fed chair. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

May 12, 202222 min

Surveillance: Inflation Persistence with Dudley (Podcast)

Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Bloomberg Economics Senior Advisor & Former New York Fed President, says the Fed hasn't been forceful enough in stating and achieving goal. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, says it is clear the Fed missed the boat on tightening. Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist & Managing Director, says the only tool monetary policy has to bring the rate of price increases down is to cause a recession. Mic...

May 11, 202228 min

Surveillance: Inflation with Rouse (Podcast)

Cecilia Rouse, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, discusses how the Biden administration is addressing inflation concerns for Americans. Nathan Sheets, Citi Global Chief Economist, says the Fed is setting the tone for other central banks. Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer, says growth may slow much faster than many people believe. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, explains why she likes municipal bonds and not high yield. See...

May 10, 202225 min

Surveillance: Rate Hikes with Fed's Bostic (Podcast)

Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Fed President, says there is no need for a hike greater than 50 basis point. Wally Adeyemo, U.S. Deputy Secretary of the Treasury, says Russia's actions are a key contributor to energy and food price increases. George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank Global FX Research Head, says the market is too pessimistic on the euro. Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says markets have been too aggressive on the speed of Fed hikes in the short-term. Cynthia Hooper, Col...

May 09, 202234 min

Surveillance: U.S. Jobs Report with Walsh (Podcast)

Marty Walsh, U.S. Secretary of Labor, says 95% of pre-pandemic jobs have recovered. Jeffrey Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says to watch the trend in wage inflation. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Head of Economics, doesn't expect anyone to be talking about a 75 basis-point hike anymore after today's jobs report. Mark Kimmitt, Retired Brigadier General & Former Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs, says he would be surprise...

May 06, 202232 min

Surveillance: BOE's Recession Warning (Podcast)

Sebastien Page, T. Rowe Price Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Global Multi-Asset, says world capital markets are going through a hangover. Nela Richardson, ADP Chief Economist, says we can't assume inflation will come down in a straight line. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Chief Market Strategist, says Europe as a whole looks like it's headed for a recession. Paul Sankey, Sankey Research Founder & Lead Analyst, expects oil to hold in the $110-$115 range. See omnystudio.com/listener for p...

May 05, 202220 min

Surveillance: Inflation with Jamie Dimon (Podcast)

Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEO, says the Fed should have raised rates sooner. Paul Romer, NYU Professor, Nobel Laureate & Former World Bank Chief Economist, says a stable 4% inflation rate should be a good target for the Fed. Ben Laidler, eToro Global Markets Strategist, says equities are in a correction. Elaine Kamarck, Brookings Senior Fellow, Harvard Professor & Former Clinton Administration Official, says the debate over abortion is causing a tsunami of fury ahead of mid-term electi...

May 04, 202239 min

Surveillance: Fed & Inflation with Rogoff (Podcast)

Ken Rogoff, Harvard Professor of Economics and Public Policy and Former IMF Chief Economist, says the Fed will have to raise rates to 4-5% to curb inflation. Mark Cabana, Bank of America Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says it will be hard for the Fed to out-hawk the market. Kathy Jennings, Delaware Attorney General and Democratic Attorneys General Association Co-Chair, says the report that the Supreme Court may overturn Roe v. Wade should be a wake-up call for voters everywhere. Alina Polyakova, C...

May 03, 202230 min

Surveillance: China Challenges With Citi’s Morse (Podcast)

Ed Morse, Citigroup Global Head of Commodity Research, says China oil demand growth will be negative this year and won't come back quickly.Leland Miller, China Beige Book International CEO, sees widespread weakness in China. Julian Emanuel, Evercore Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, says picking stocks wins the day. Kathy Bostjancic, Oxford Economics Chief U.S. Financial Economist, says the Federal Reserve will go less aggressive than the markets believe. See omnystudio.com/listener fo...

May 02, 202227 min

Surveillance: ECB’s Path Forward with Lane (Podcast)

Philip Lane, European Central Bank Chief Economist, says the key question facing the ECB isn’t whether it should raise interest rates from record lows, but how quickly it should do so. Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, weighs in on the debate about how much scope the Federal Reserve has to tighten policy before the economy cracks. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, discusses the latest developments in the global energy markets. Brent Thill, Jefferies Equity Researc...

Apr 29, 202233 min

Surveillance: Yen Drop Shakes Up Currencies (Podcast)

Win Thin, Brown Brothers Harriman Global Head of Currency Strategy, says it's impossible to control the yen.Wei Li, BlackRock Investment Institute Global Chief Investment Strategist, says U.S. markets will outperform their European counterparts due to the local economic drag of the conflict in Ukraine. Vitali Klitschko, Mayor of Kyiv, says Ukraine's economy is destroyed and the safety of those returning to the city cannot be guaranteed. John Lawler, Ford CFO, sees car prices rising further on hi...

Apr 28, 202225 min

Surveillance: GM Sees 'Green Shoots' in China (Podcast)

Mary Barra, General Motors Chair & CEO, sees "green shoots" in China. Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says 2022 is a battleground between the Fed's pivot and good corporate fundamentals. Tina Fordham, Fordham Global Foresight Founder & Geopolitical Strategist, says the conflict is tipping towards Ukraine. Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research President, sees a 30% chance of U.S. recession. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Apr 27, 202229 min

Surveillance: Musk Seals $44B Twitter Deal (Podcast)

Scott Kessler of Third Bridge and Brian Wieser of Group M, discuss what analysts and investors are looking for from Elon Musk at Twitter. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Senior Equity Analyst, says Citigroup has not been looking after the interests of shareholders. Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, says playing field leveled for active vs. passive investing. U.K. Ambassador to the U.S. Karen Pierce discusses her nation's efforts to aid Ukraine, the transition from Russian energ...

Apr 26, 202227 min

Surveillance: Twitter, Musk Said to Near Deal (Podcast)

Michael Nathanson, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst, says Elon Musk's $43 billion purchase offer is a "gift" to Twitter, and suggests the social-media giant "take the money and run." Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, says the move in the Chinese yuan is the "most dramatic" since 2015. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says best trade may be to move into cash. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief U.S. Economist, discusses the outloo...

Apr 26, 202228 min

Surveillance: Russia Sanctions with Singh (Podcast)

Daleep Singh, Deputy National Security Advisor, says the U.S. sanctions against Russia are having the expected debilitating effect. Jean Boivin, Head of the BlackRock Investment Institute, doesn't expect the Fed to go beyond neutral. Glenn Hubbard, Columbia Professor & Former Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says the Fed still has credibility with the public. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Investment Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says oversold markets can stay oversold. Geoffrey Y...

Apr 22, 202229 min

Bloomberg Surveillance: Ukraine War with EU's Dombrovskis

Valdis Dombrovskis, European Commission Executive Vice President, says Putin will continue his aggression beyond Ukraine if he is not stopped there. Claudia Sahm, Jain Family Institute Director of Macroeconomic Research and Former Federal Reserve Economist, says the Fed doesn't have the power to control food and gas prices. Jon Gray, Blackstone COO, says the market selloff is creating opportunities. Dan Ives, Wedbush Managing Director of Research, expects to see strong tech earnings next month. ...

Apr 21, 202228 min

Bloomberg Surveillance: Global Debt with Malpass

David Malpass, World Bank President, calls for a more robust world debt resolution process. Brian Wieser, GroupM Global President for Business Intelligence, says investor expectations for Netflix were "way out of whack." Stephen Roach, Yale University Jackson Institute of Global Affairs Senior Fellow, says the Fed has miles to go on normalization. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President, says investors should pay more attention to the effect of Japanese monetary policy on the U.S. treasury market....

Apr 20, 202228 min

Bloomberg Surveillance: Fed Moves with Mahajan

Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones Senior Investment Strategist, says investors are bracing for a big Fed move. Robert Blackwill, CFR Senior Fellow, says Russia is unlikely to use a nuclear device, but it is no longer impossible. Mark McCormick, TD Securities Global Head of FX Strategy, thinks the U.S. dollar can still strengthen from here. Amesh Adalja, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, says it may take a while for the medical community to gain back the trust of the American publ...

Apr 19, 202229 min

Surveillance: Hard Landing with Dudley

Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion & Former New York Fed President, argues that the slower the Fed moves, the harder the landing will be. John Lipsky, Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies Distinguished Scholar and former IMF First Deputy Managing Director, says the war in Ukraine has the potential for very serious and long-lasting disruptions in grain markets. Daniel Skelly, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Head of Market Research & Strategy, says he's seeing mix...

Apr 18, 202231 min

Surveillance: Rate Hikes with Fed's Williams

John Williams, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President, says including hikes in increments of a half-percentage point is a “reasonable option” for the Fed. Kristalina Georgieva, IMF Managing Director, says the war in Ukraine is threatening the world order. Gita Gopinath, IMF First Deputy Managing Director, expects to see inflation easing toward 3% in the second half of the year. Angela Stent, Brookings Non-Resident Senior Fellow and Dan Yergin, S&P Global Vice Chairman, discuss their outl...

Apr 14, 202249 min

Surveillance: Subway Shooting with Mayor Adams

New York City Mayor Eric Adams discusses his plan for reducing crime in New York City. Nina Khrushcheva, The New School Professor of International Affairs, discusses what the possibility of Finland and Sweden joining NATO means for Putin. Steven Englander, Standard Chartered Bank Global Head of G10 FX Research, says dollar strength has more to do with inflation than concerns from the Russia-Ukraine War. Kathy Bostjancic, Oxford Economics Chief U.S. Economist, expects to see inflation above 5% at...

Apr 13, 202230 min

Surveillance: Peak Inflation with Carpenter

Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Chief Global Economist, says we have reached peak inflation in the U.S. Joyce Chang, JPMorgan Chair of Global Research, says the lockdowns in China are affecting the equivalent of more than one-third of China's GDP right now. Robert Tipp, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Investment Strategist, thinks the market will be able to tolerate the Fed's rate hikes. Julie Norman, UCL Centre on U.S. Politics Co-Director, says any war crime litigation against Putin wouldn't deter his ...

Apr 12, 202226 min

Surveillance: Recession Risk with Dutta

Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Head of U.S. Economic Research, says the risk of recession in the U.S. is no higher than it normally is. Marilyn Watson, BlackRock Head of Global Fundamental Fixed Income Strategy, says rates can still move higher from here. Jonathan Fenby, Author of "The History of Modern France," says the conventional center-left, center-right division on which the Fifth Republic of France has lasted for the past 50 years or more is now destroyed. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Seni...

Apr 11, 202227 min

Surveillance: Fed Hikes with Hatzius

Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist, says there's a chance the Fed may need to hike rates past 4%. Kristina Kvien, U.S. Charge d’Affaires to Ukraine, says Turkey has been playing a positive role in its support of Ukraine. Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital Chief Investment Strategist, says now is the time to look at put options. Ebrahim Rahbari, Citi Global Head of FX Analysis, says the markets haven't decided whether to expect a slowdown or a recession. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy i...

Apr 08, 202225 min
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