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Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloombergwww.bloomberg.com

Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment.

Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television.

Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. 

Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ.

Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Episodes

The Most New Yorker New Yorker Tom Knows

Howard Davidowitz, Davidowitz & Associates, says he has a lot of doubts about Walmart being able to pull off the Amazon model. Grover Norquist, Americans for Tax Reform, says the Senate tax bill is likely to pass at the end of next week. Lin Noueihed, Bloomberg North Africa Bureau Chief, says the Egypt Sinai mosque attack is a particularly large scale attack. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 24, 201723 min

Knowledge is Power in Thanksgiving Travel, Kheel says

Brian Levitt, OppenheimerFunds Senior Investment Strategist, says they're seeing a very nice investing backdrop in emerging markets. Philip Verleger, PK Verlerger President, says the recent events in Saudi Arabia are what are going to impact oil prices. Sony Kapoor, Managing Director, Re-Define, says businesses in the U.K. can no longer sit on their hands and wait to do their contingency planning for Brexit. Julian Mark Kheel, The Points Guy Senior Analyst, says U.S. Airlines have an eye on Ryan...

Nov 22, 201729 min

M&A Volumes Peaked in 2015 Says Bory

George Bory, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Credit Strategy, says this year's M&A activity showed a notable slowdown because of politics and tax structure. Steve Bell, Bipartisan Policy Center Senior Advisor, says the Republican proposed tax bill will help the Democrats next year if passed. Tobias Levkovich, Citigroup Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says Investors are caught between two very powerful forces: FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and FOMU (Fear of Messing Up).. See omnystudio.com/listener...

Nov 21, 201732 min

U.S. Politics Have Been Thoroughly Corrupted by Money, Sachs Says

Harm Bandholz, UniCredit Chief U.S. Economist, says the time for tax reform is right but we don't need a tax cut in this environment. Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Professor, says the debt to GDP ratio has doubled in the last decade and will double again.Michael Nathanson, Moffettnathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst, says Twitter is not a great place for advertising and branding. Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins University Professor, says the political mess and resulting hyper...

Nov 20, 201729 min

Rep. Jim Renacci Says He's a Big Believer in the 401(k)

Representative Jim Renacci, a Republican from Ohio, says he's a big believer in the 401(k) and that the Republicans risk holding the majority if they don't pass the tax bill. Prior to that, Willem Buiter, Citigroup's chief economist, offers his global growth outlook for the year ahead. Finally, Rich Greenfield, a media analyst at BTIG, says future generations aren't going to watch linear TV but they'll consume more content than previous generations on an array of platforms. See omnystudio.com/li...

Nov 17, 201726 min

Radical Technological Transformation is Embedded in This Cycle, Fisher Says

Kathy Fisher, the head of wealth and investment strategies at AB Bernstein Private Wealth Management, predicts we're going to be in the longest recovery for the economy and markets we've ever seen in modern history. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO's head of public policy, says at best, the GOP bill is "tax reform lite." Mickey Levy, Berenberg's chief U.S. and Asia economist, says the lack of wage growth is a structural problem for the United States. Finally, Brooke Lampley, the incoming vice chairman of S...

Nov 16, 201733 min

The U.S. has Isolated Itself from its Principle Trading Allies, Haass Says

Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, says the U.S. has isolated itself from trading allies and that it shouldn't be complicit to Duterte's government in the Philippines. Dennis Gartman, publisher of the Gartman Letter, says the bull market for stocks has come to an abrupt stop. Finally, David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff's chief economist, says the bog bond story could be in China right now. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Nov 15, 201723 min

Collender Calls the GOP Tax Bill 'The Trump Family and Friends Tax Cut'

Stan Collender, MSL Group's executive vice president, says the GOP tax bill isn't economic in origin, but totally political. Prior to that, Conrad DeQuadros, senior economist at RDQ Economics, says we're not yet at levels on the yield curve where we need to be worried about a downturn in the economy. Bloomberg TV anchor Jon Ferro joins for a beat to mourn Italy not qualifying for the 2018 World Cup. Rajiv Jain, founder and CIO of GQG Partners, says he's pretty upbeat on a long term basis about e...

Nov 14, 201739 min

Jeff Sprague Says He Hasn't Had a Positive Rating on GE Since 2008

Jeff Sprague, founder of Vertical Research Partners, predicts upwards of ten percent of General Electric staff will be out the door in the next 36 months. Prior to that, Seth Masters, the former CIO of AB Bernstein, says the changes at GE symbolically highlight the passing of the baton from the U.S. being defined as a great manufacturer to the industry contributing to a smaller portion of GDP. Jared Bernstein, a senior fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Administration, says the $1.5 trill...

Nov 13, 201728 min

It Will Take a Generation Before the Renminbi Plays a Global Role, Eichengreen Says

Barry Eichengreen, a professor of economics at University of California Berkeley, discusses global currencies and comments on China's move to open markets for financial firms, saying "it will take time, if it happens." Prior to that, Gabriela Santos, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, says we should be expecting some correction in the markets. Finally, Steve Rattner, chairman at Willett Advisors, says there's a better than 50/50 chance that the House flips in the 2018 electio...

Nov 10, 201738 min

Edmund Phelps Says It's Be Good to Try Out Higher Interest Rates

Nobel Laureate Edmund Phelps says it would be good to try out higher interest rates and that reopening coal mines in the U.S. wouldn't send a good signal to the rest of the world. Prior to that, Jens Nordvig, CEO of Exante Data, says if U.S. tax reform doesn't happen in the coming months, the dollar may drift weaker. Finally, Krishna Memani, Oppenheimerfunds' chief investment officer, says the core of the Fed under Jay Powell won't be dramatically different than under Janet Yellen. See omnystudi...

Nov 09, 201738 min

GOP Is Struggling to Sew Up Divides From Within, O'Brien Says

Timothy O'Brien, executive editor at Bloomberg View and Bloomberg Gadfly, discusses last night's election results and says collusion isn't a threat to President Trump, but bribery may "bring the hen to roost." Prior to that, Axel G. Merk, president of Merk Investments, says the biggest tail-risk right now is if China retaliates with trade policy. Steven Major, HSBC's head of fixed income research, says the ECB has missed its chance to hike. Finally, Senator Shelley Moore Capito, a Republican fro...

Nov 08, 201734 min

Trump Isn't Draining the Swamp, He's Filling it With His Own Alligators, Perez Says

Thomas Edward Perez, chairman of the Democratic National Committee, discusses today's elections and says President Trump is filling the swamp with his own alligators. Prior to that, Ted Alden, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, says the U.S. is a reasonably low-taxed country. Ralph Northam, the lieutenant governor of the state of Virginia, says Trump has released detrimental policies in Washington. Finally, Stephen Kotkin, a professor of history and international affairs at Pri...

Nov 07, 201726 min

Ross Says He 'Will Probably Sell Stake' in Putin-Linked Company

Francine Lacqua sits down for a conversation with U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross following reports of Russia linked investments. Then, Michael McKee discusses NY Fed President William Dudley's recent retirement announcement. Prior to that, Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Securities' chief U.S. equity strategist, says the markets are perceiving Jay Powell as a continued Janet Yellen governance. Howard Gleckman, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center, says the Republican tax bill's proposed 2...

Nov 06, 201731 min

Alpha Generation Is Getting Much Harder, Gross Says

Bill Gross, a fund manager at Janus Henderson, says it's getting much harder to generate alpha and the Fed can't raise rates much further before it hurts the economy. Prior to that, Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, says there's an 85 percent chance that the GOP tax proposal will go through. Finally, Joachim Fels, a global economic advisor at PIMCO, says we're stuck in the new neutral and there's no escape from the savings glut. See omnystudio.com/liste...

Nov 03, 201738 min

U.S. Economy Is at a Point of Structural Change, Joseph Cohen Says

Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs' senior investment portfolio strategist, says the economy is at a point of structural change and she's disappointed that Janet Yellen won't be picked again for Fed Chair. Danny Blanchflower, a professor at Dartmouth College, says the Bank of England rate raise in an already slowing economy will slow it even more. JPMorgan's John Bilton says the U.S. has a reasonable labor force growth compared to other markets. Finally, Gordon Wood, author of "Friends Divided: Jo...

Nov 02, 201747 min

When Big Tech Tells You 'It's Impossible', That's Latin for 'It's Less Profitable', Galloway Says

Scott Galloway, a professor at NYU's Stern School of Business, says it's not a question of can Big Tech become too big, but can it become too powerful. Prior to that, Steven Wieting, Citi Private Bank's chief global investment strategist, says monetary policy won't be the driving force changing economic markets if Jay Powell becomes Fed Chair. Rick Mishkin, a professor at Columbia University's Business School, says Jay Powell would do a terrific job as Fed Chairman, but Janet Yellen would still ...

Nov 01, 201741 min

Manafort's Financial Crimes Were Well Known. Papadopoulos's Indictment Was a Surprise, Former Watergate Special Prosecutor Says

Richard Ben-Veniste, a partner at Mayer Brown and a former Watergate special prosecutor, says George Papadopoulos's indictment was a surprise and that Robert Mueller is running an efficient and appropriate investigation. Prior to that, Richard Clarida, a strategic advisor at PIMCO, says President Trump is choosing from the right group of people in the Fed Chair shortlist. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says anyone that's been in contact with Papadopoulos will be que...

Oct 31, 201750 min

Adoption of 'Market Economy' Model Has Led to China Growth, Mobius Says

Mark Mobius, Templeton Emerging Markets Group's executive chairman, says China is a "planned" economy and the Communist party will step in at any moment of crisis. Prior to that, Christopher Grisanti, founder of Grisanti Capital Management, says Apple will sell a lot of $1,100 phones. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI's managing director, says the world of Washington D.C. won't stop, despite any Trump-Russia related indictments. Finally, Cass Sunstein, a Bloomberg View columnist and the author of "Impe...

Oct 30, 201759 min

Democrats Need to Get a Program and They Don't Have One, Fiorina Says

Former Republican Presidential candidate Carly Fiorina says Democrats need to get a program and criticizing Donald Trump isn't enough. Prior to that, Vincent Reinhart, Standish Mellon's chief economist, says Jay Powell as a Fed Chair would be different than Jay Powell as a Fed governor. Nathan Sheets, PGIM's chief economist, says China's President Xi has set himself up for not just five years, but 10 years of rule. Paul Hanly Jr, attorney and shareholder at Simmons Hanly Conroy, says Trump's spe...

Oct 27, 201747 min

Labor Is Moving Towards Obsolescence, Henry Kaufman Says

Henry Kaufman, president of Kaufman & Co., says robots will replace human labor. George Friedman, chairman of Geopolitical Futures, says it doesn't matter what President Trump wants, NAFTA will ultimately be decided upon by Congress. Finally, Arthur Levitt, former SEC chair, says a single, global model for market research would be spectacular. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 26, 201729 min

Surveillance Bonus: Reflections on the Assassination of JFK

With the final trove of records on John F. Kennedy's assassination due to be released after more than half a century, Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Bob Moon look back at a day that will be forever seared into the collective memory of the nation. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 25, 201710 min

'The Swamp' is Washington's Government Spending, Rep. Brat Says

Representative Dave Brat, a Republican from Virginia, says more Americans should raise a ruckus about government spending. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says Trump's base will continue to hang in there and as long as they do, he's inoculated. Michael Purves, Weeden & Co.'s head of equity and derivatives strategy, says you can expect the VIX to reprice if volatility continues to stay low. Finally, Wells Fargo Securities' Mike Mayo and Mike Schumacher discuss the...

Oct 25, 201741 min

Trump Is Taking the Fed Chair Decision 'Very, Very Seriously,' Ross Says

U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross says the Fed Chair is an important decision that President Trump is taking very, very seriously. Prior to that, Stephen Roach, a senior fellow at Yale University, says China has operated on the same principle of contradictions since the 1980s. Craig Moffett, senior research analyst at Moffettnathanson, says the wireless industry in the U.S. is shrinking partly because of T-Mobile. Senator Cory Gardner, a Republican from Colorado, says Colorado has grown to bec...

Oct 24, 201759 min

Japan Markets Could Be in a Period of 'Fresh New Start,' Vail Says

John Vail, Nikko Asset Management's chief global strategist, says Japan is pessimistic about their own economy, but the markets could be in a period of a "fresh new start." Prior to that, Torsten Slok, Deutsche Bank's chief international economist, says the big thing to look out for from the ECB is an end date to QE. Finally, Lupin Rahman, PIMCO's executive vice president of sovereign credit, says politics are a source of alpha within emerging markets. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy inf...

Oct 23, 201737 min

More Portfolio Pruning to Come at GE, Heymann Says

Nicholas Heymann, an analyst at William Blair, says GE's John Flannery is moving at lightspeed in changing the company. Prior to that, Michael Darda, chief economist at MKM Partners, says long rates don't look like they're headed up dramatically any time soon. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates' vice chairman, says the current administration's level of engagement with China isn't enough. Senator Chris Van Hollen, a Democrat from Maryland, says middle-class tax payers will be hit hard under Pre...

Oct 20, 201755 min

Markets Have Been Ridiculously Overpriced for Weeks, Gartman Says

Dennis Gartman, the editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, reacts to the recent highs in the stock market and says markets have been ridiculously overpriced lately. Prior to that, Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank's global head of G-10 FX strategy, says 1987's Black Monday was extraordinary but 2008 was far worse. Finally, Saadia Madsbjerg, the managing director at the Rockefeller Foundation, says the forest fire prevention budget is under pressure. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy informat...

Oct 19, 201737 min

A Central Bank Inflation Issue Is Looming, Kasman Says

Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan's chief economist, says we don't have a Central Bank inflation issue at this stage, but that is looming. Representative Mark Walker, a Republican from North Carolina, says people are hurting under Obamacare, but insurance companies aren't. Finally, Enda Kenny, the former Prime Minister of Ireland, says there's no reason why Britain couldn't be a global power within the current European Union. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Oct 18, 201729 min

The Bull Market Feels Best Near the End, Kass Says

Doug Kass, president of Seabreeze Partners Management Inc., tells Tom Keene and David Gura how a short seller survives during a bull market. Bill Lee, chief economist at the Milken Institute, says a John Taylor Fed chairmanship would give us more predictable framework than current Federal Open Market Committee language does. Finally, Gideon Rose, editor of Foreign Affairs magazine, says that when it comes to foreign policy, it's better to watch than listen. See omnystudio.com/listener for privac...

Oct 17, 201728 min
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