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Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloombergwww.bloomberg.com

Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment.

Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television.

Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. 

Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ.

Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Episodes

Surveillance: Lipsky on the Oddity of Lagarde's Conviction

John Lipsky, former IMF first deputy managing director, discusses managing director Christine Lagarde's negligence conviction. Howard Davidowitz, Davidowitz & Associates' chairman, talks to Tom Keene and David Gura about the state of retail during the holiday season. International Rescue Committee's CEO, David Miliband, says refugees are a symptom of political failure. Finally, Deustche Bank's Rocky Fishman says there won't be a single moment that defines what the euro zone looks like a year...

Dec 23, 201650 min

Surveillance: Forecasts Have to Be Nimble With Trump's Unknowns

Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. economist, says many politicians are focusing on the positives of Donald Trump's tax policies and not on the negatives of his unknown trade policies. Prior to that, Strategas's Chris Verrone says the market rally after the presidential election is actually not that extraordinary. Diane Swonk, founder of DS Economics, says she's cautious about fourth quarter GDP growth. George Friedman, founder of Geopolitical Futures, says the first flashpoint that Trum...

Dec 22, 201649 min

Surveillance: Change in China Strategy Is Worrisome, Roach Says

Stephen Roach, a senior fellow at Yale University, talks to Tom Keene and David Gura about the shift in the U.S. relationship with China. Prior to that, Bloomberg's Lionel Laurent discusses European banking. Then, Steve Auth, CIO of Federated Investors Equities, says the economy doesn't go anywhere without confidence. Also, Princeton University's Alan Krueger discusses the evolution of terrorism in the 10 years since he published "What Makes A Terrorist?" Finally, Deutsche Bank's Sebastien Galy ...

Dec 21, 201649 min

Surveillance: We Can't Deal With China on Twitter, Hormats Says

Bob Hormats, Kissinger Associates' vice-chairman, discusses Donald Trump's foreign policy with China. Prior to that, Tom Keene and David Gura talk to PIMCO's Jim Moore about retirement. Also, John Vail, Nikko Asset Management's chief global strategist, says Japan's economic landscape has been looking good since Trump's election. Finally, Michael Darda, MKM Holdings' chief economist, talks about the velocity of money and growth potential of the U.S. economy. See omnystudio.com/listener for privac...

Dec 20, 201638 min

Surveillance: Quinlan Discusses The Economics of Global Obesity

Joe Quinlan, the chief market strategist for U.S. Trust, gives an outlook for 2017 and discusses rising global obesity. Then, Chris Grisanti, CEO of Grisanti Capital Management, says banks are attractive because as rates rise, they can finally earn money in the lending game. Also, John Allison, former CEO of BB&T, says he thinks Mike Pence can influence Donald Trump into becoming a libertarian. Finally, Bloomberg's Greg Viscusi discusses the news that IMF Chief Christine Lagarde was found gu...

Dec 19, 201645 min

Surveillance: Too Much Talk Can Lower Transparency, Taylor Says

John Taylor, an economics professor at Stanford University, says the advantage of a monetary strategy or rule is that you don't have to keep talking about it. Prior to that, Peter Tague, Citigroup's co-head of global M&A, says the Chinese have been more aggressive on deal-making on a cross-border basis, driven by a desire to access technology. Then, BlackRock's Jeffrey Rosenberg says correlations on debt versus equity have displayed less certainty and less reliability than we've come to expe...

Dec 16, 201642 min

Surveillance: BOE May Need to Ease Again in 2017, Maher Says

Daragh Maher, HSBC's head of FX strategy, says the euro decline will push markets to think about parity. Then, Admiral James Stavridis, dean of Tufts' Fletcher School, says Rex Tillerson meets the standards of Secretary of State quite well. Finally, Deutsche Bank's Alan Ruskin says sterling has not fully priced in Brexit and if there's a meaningful downturn next year, sterling will weaken. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Dec 15, 201644 min

Surveillance: Rate Rise Is a Golden Moment for Banks, Mayo Says

Mike Mayo, a banking analyst at CLSA Americas, says U.S. banks are very strong. Prior to that, Jean-Claude Trichet, former ECB president, discusses the role shadow banking played in the financial crisis. Then, Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank's chief economist, says the Fed has to catch up with the market. Finally, Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners' president and founder, says investors seeing sunny days ahead may be disappointed. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Dec 14, 201645 min

Surveillance: Eichengreen on Globalization's New Normal

Barry Eichengreen, a professor at UC Berkeley, says faster growth heals a lot of wounds economically and politically. Prior to that, Gideon Rose, editor of Foreign Affairs Magazine, says Donald Trump picking Rex Tillerson for Secretary of State suggests a change in relations with Russia. Then, David Herro, Harris Associates' CIO, says BNP Paribas, Credit Suisse and Lloyds are attractively priced. Finally, Charles Plosser, former president of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank, says productivi...

Dec 13, 201645 min

Surveillance: Euro Bank Accounting Doesn't Provide Confidence

Gary Shilling, president and founder of A. Gary Shilling, and Kroll Bond Rating Agency's Chris Whalen, discuss their outlook for the European banking industry. Then, Oppenheimer's Fadel Gheit discusses oil, the OPEC meeting and Donald Trump's possible pick for Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson. Finally, Harm Bandholz, Unicredit's chief U.S. economist, says the Fed will keep the dot forecasts flat. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Dec 12, 201637 min

Surveillance: We're Entering Deglobalization Era, Sharma Says

Ruchir Sharma, Morgan Stanley's chief global strategist, says we're seeing a different deglobalization with Donald Trump than we saw in the 1930s and the trend is accelerating. Prior to that, Shannon O'Neil, Council on Foreign Relations' Latin America senior fellow, says the biggest challenge in Latin America is populism; the undermining of political institutions and checks and balances that make democracy work. Also, Steve Wieting, Citi Private Bank's global chief strategist, says Trump's tax c...

Dec 09, 201627 min

Surveillance: Fed Dot Plot Is Not a Good Idea, Orphanides Says

Athanasios Orphanides, a professor at MIT and a former ECB official, discusses the merits of the Federal Reserve's dot plot and central bank transparency. Then, Abby Joseph Cohen, president of Goldman Sachs Global Markets Institute, says the market is shifting into more cyclical aspects of the stock market. Also, Michael Lewis discusses his new book, "The Undoing Project," which traces a "bromance" between Israeli psychologists Daniel Kahneman and the late Amos Tversky, whose work sparked the ri...

Dec 08, 201648 min

Surveillance: Trump Could Boost Europe, Haass Says

Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, and Michael Spence, a professor at NYU, weigh in on European and American politics, saying the euro zone remains flawed and globalization is moving faster than politics. Then, Gerard Cassidy, RBC's managing director of equity research, says Bank of America is the best too-big-to-fail buy and has had a great turnaround. Finally, Utah Senator Mike Lee says there are some potential anti-competitive concerns with the AT&T/Time Warner ...

Dec 07, 201644 min

Surveillance: OPEC Is Doomed, Gartman Says

Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says the price of crude oil will fall to zero in 30 years. Then, Kate Moore, BlackRock's chief equity strategist, says she's most focused on monetary policy from the ECB and how it moves markets. Finally, Mario Gabelli, founder of Gabelli Funds, says Donald Trump's notion of lower taxes, less regulation and reestablishment of entrepreneurial innovation isn't bad for any entrepreneur. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Dec 06, 201642 min

Surveillance: Europe, as a Construct, Is Failing, Bremmer Says

BMO's Brian Belski and Eurasia Group's Ian Bremmer discuss the future of Europe after the Italian referendum. Then, former IMF Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard says China's power within the global supply chain could easily cripple the U.S. Also, Luigi Zingales, a professor at University of Chicago's Booth School, says it's the dawn of Donald Trump's crony capitalist world. Finally, Carl Weinberg, the founder of High Frequency Economics, discusses Italy's economic future. See omnystudio.com/list...

Dec 05, 201641 min

Surveillance: Gross Says He Can't Live With the Taylor Rule

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Janus Capital's Bill Gross about the job report and the Fed. Prior to that, Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics' chief economist, says Italian banks are in trouble, no matter the outcome of the Italian referendum. Finally, Ira Jersey, a fixed-income strategist at OppenheimerFunds, says we'll see an uptick in yields for a few years and his colleague, Brian Levitt, says markets are starting to price in optimism. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy informati...

Dec 02, 201637 min

Surveillance: Modi's Cash Move Is Radical, Rogoff Says

Former IMF Chief Economist Kenneth Rogoff says India's currency crisis is exacerbated by policy implementation issues. Then, Daniel Yergin, the vice chairman of IHS, says the OPEC production deal will work. Also, Harvard's Nicholas Burns says President-elect Donald Trump should align himself with German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Finally, chess grandmaster Fabiano Caruana says Magnus Carlsen's opponents can never recover, once the current world chess champion gets even a tiny advantage over them....

Dec 01, 201644 min

Surveillance: Italy's Possible Eurozone Exit

Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics' chief economist, says Italy leaving the Eurozone would be an "end of the world event," while TS Lombard Research's chief economist, Shweta Singh, says things won't dramatically change after the Italian referendum. Then, Stephen Schork, editor of the Schork Report, says the OPEC deal is great news for U.S. producers. Finally, Anthony Scaramucci, co-managing partner of SkyBridge Capital and an adviser to Donald Trump, says Trump will use trade tariffs as a...

Nov 30, 201635 min

Surveillance: Trumponomics Not Unlike Mussolini, Posen Says

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Adam Posen, the president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, about what we know about Donald Trump's economic plan. Then, Bob Greifeld, Nasdaq's CEO, says 2017 will be a year of increased IPOs. Also, George Bory, the head of credit strategy at Wells Fargo, says companies may see a powerful trickle-down from Trump's economic plan. Finally, Mortimer Singer, the CEO of Marvin Traub Associates, says he's never seen anything like the way midtown Ma...

Nov 29, 201638 min

Surveillance: Fidel Castro's Death Doesn't Mean Radical Change

David Gura and Francine Lacqua, filling in for Tom Keene, discuss Fidel Castro's legacy and what his death means for the future of Cuba with Julia Sweig, a professor at University of Texas at Austin and the author of "Cuba: What Everyone Needs to Know." Prior to that, Sheila Bair, the president of Washington College and former chairman of the FDIC, says the populist backlash to the economic crisis helped Donald Trump win the election. Then, Gideon Rose, the editor of Foreign Affairs Magazine, sa...

Nov 28, 201637 min

Surveillance: Black Friday's Massive Move to Online

Howard Davidowitz, Davidowitz & Associates' chairman, says we will see more brick and mortar stores close as online sales grow. Then, Jerry Storch, CEO of Hudson's Bay, says that while 85 to 90 percent of sales are taking place in a brick and mortar store, more of the growth is taking place online. Finally, Don Rissmiller, Strategas Research Partners' chief economist, says the biggest thing he's worried about is rising tensions with China over trade. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy i...

Nov 25, 201644 min

Surveillance: Anti-Trade Seems Unlikely For Trump, Hubbard Says

Glenn Hubbard, the dean of Columbia Business School, says he is optimistic about the policy agenda that President-elect Donald Trump has set out. Prior to that, Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds' CIO for growth, says Amazon will have an outstanding holiday season. Finally, Harm Bandholz, UniCredit's chief U.S. economist, discusses what could happen to the U.S. economy under Trump. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 23, 201641 min

Surveillance: The Pros and Cons of A "Rules-Based" Fed

Komal Sri-Kumar, the president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, and Kim Schoenholtz, a professor at NYU's Stern School of Business, discuss the possibility of a "rules-based" Federal Reserve. Prior to that, Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments' head of macro strategies, says the U.S. and U.K. populism wave is emerging in Europe. Finally, Jim Paulsen, a Wells Capital Management strategist, says dollar strength is peaking and will come down over the next couple of years. See omnystudio.com/listener ...

Nov 22, 201648 min

Surveillance: America's Debt Will Get Larger, Diane Swonk Says

Diane Swonk, founder of DS Economics, says not being able to have a grown up conversation about long-term fiscal sustainability is a real issue. Prior to that, Martin Feldstein, the National Bureau of Economic Research's president emeritus, says exceptionally high asset prices are a risk to the economy. Then, Pablo Goldberg, a BlackRock portfolio manager, says it's crucial to hedge against dollar moves. Finally, Daragh Maher, HSBC's head of FX strategy, says he's still bearish on sterling. See o...

Nov 21, 201642 min

Surveillance: Trump Could Restore Productivity, Bullard Says

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard says Donald Trump's policies may improve U.S. productivity. Prior to that, UBS' Geoffrey Yu says the Turkish Lira is among the most vulnerable to changes in exchange rates. Then, Michael Feroli, JPMorgan's chief U.S. economist, says Trump's fiscal policy has several layers of uncertainty. Finally, Joachim Fels, PIMCO's global economic adviser, says populism means the EU may break up in the next crisis. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Nov 18, 201642 min

Surveillance: Too-Big-To-Fail May Be Reviewed, Kashkari Says

Neel Kashkari, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, says that politics never comes up in Fed meetings. Prior to that, Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics' chief economist, says fiscal stimulus is the wrong thing at the wrong time. Then, Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Barclays' head of macro research, says under a Donald Trump economy, economic drag from trade barriers should be more than offset by economic stimulus. Finally, Sam Stovall, S&P's head of U.S. equity strategy, says...

Nov 17, 201650 min

Surveillance: Protectionism Will Make Us Poor, Salmond Says

Alex Salmond, the former First Minister of Scotland, and Holger Schmieding, Berenberg's chief economist, discuss the election of Donald Trump, Brexit and the rise of protectionism. Then, Joseph Nye, a professor at the Harvard Kennedy School, says that Trump can't let Vladimir Putin off the hook. Also, Jim O'Neill, the former U.K. Treasury Minister, discusses how the United Kingdom fits into Trump's foreign policy. Then, Charles Wyplosz, a professor of economics at the Graduate Institute of Inter...

Nov 16, 201643 min

Surveillance: Don't Reject Trumponomics, Skidelsky Says

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Robert Skidelsky, a historian & House of Lords member, about Donald Trump's economic plan, which Skidelsky says is broadly a fiscal stimulus package. Then, Luigi Zingales, a professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, says Trump's inexperience means he will depend heavily on his advisers. Also, former Minneapolis Fed President Gary Stern says the Fed will be cautious about placing any bets until they understand what fiscal policies will a...

Nov 15, 201645 min

Surveillance: Italy Needs IMF Assistance, DB Economist Says

David Folkerts-Landau, Deutsche Bank's chief economist, says Italy is better outside the Eurozone if the country refuses to reform. Then, Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Frank Newport, Gallup Poll's editor-in-chief, about the difficulties found in state-by-state polling. Also, Charles Dumas, TS Lombard's chief economist, discusses the future of the Federal Reserve under a Donald Trump presidency and says inflation will be up to 2 percent next year and 3 percent the following year. Finally, Juli...

Nov 14, 201649 min

Surveillance: Trump Is a Populist, Not Fascist, Ferguson Says

Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Niall Ferguson, a senior fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution, about the role of populism in Donald Trump's election. Then, Willem Buiter, the chief economist at Citi, discusses what the role of the Fed could be under President Trump. Then, Robert Sinche, a global strategist at Amherst Pierpont, says he's still looking for an overshoot in the Mexican peso. Also, Rich Greenfield, an analyst at BTIG, says ESPN's struggling to expand because viewers have an infin...

Nov 11, 201645 min
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