Mike Nizza on New Presidential Polls (Audio) - podcast episode cover

Mike Nizza on New Presidential Polls (Audio)

Sep 22, 20166 min
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Episode description

(Bloomberg) -- Taking Stock with Kathleen Hays and Pimm Fox. \u0010 \u0010GUEST: \u0010Mike Nizza \u0010Executive Editor:BloombergPolitics.com \u0010Bloomberg Editorial \u0010Will highlight today's political news: including new polls out, and Monday's Presidential debate.

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Transcript

Speaker 1

He's taking stock with Kathleen Hayes and Pimp Box on Bloomberg Radio. New polls, same candidates, different states. Let's find out more from Mike Nietze. He is executive editor Bloomberg Politics. You can follow him on Twitter at Mike Nitza. Mike, thanks for coming in. Appreciate it all right, so give us an update. I know there's a new poll and it has to do with Colorado. So yeah, Colorado is

one of the major battleground states. That's also uh, one of the four that comprise Hillary Clinton's firewall where they you know, they can swing either way. They have a lot of different things going on demographically, but uh, and as Trump started gaining in states like Ohio and Florida and North Carolina, there are questions about whether he could

start to turn Colorado too. And in the latest poll released late last night, the answer was no. Among the battleground states kind of ranked them in terms of most electoral votes at least. Well, you know, you have big ones that are really not in contention, like Florida, New York, Arc Texas, and uh, that's that's the We don't really talk about those that much, even though they bring a

lot of electoral votes. But then there are two major battlegrounds that bring a lot, and that's Ohio and Florida and so uh and those two are the tightest ones that that we're looking at right now. You mentioned Texas. I just wanted that maybe just we can go through this because because Texas is what are the what's the polling saying, and what is the likelihood? Yeah, they'll see

states that are um less competitive yet less polling. So what we see out of there is kind of like, uh is slipshots sometimes, but it's definitely closer than it's been in previous elections. And a lot of that has to do with the Hispanic population in Texas. And uh. To that point, Hillary Clinton announced plans to open her first office in El Paso, UM yesterday, so she definitely sees a little softening there and that could either be

as a way. It might not be to win the state because that seems a little much in this election, but it could be to put Trump on the defensive. So diverse resources there and said of somewhere else, and of course it's Texas is not just it seems to be a pretty red state. We can agree on that, except for Austin, they call it a data blue and the ocean of red. Right. When it comes to Florida, one are the latest polls showing, and again the spanning vote is a different you know, the spanning people are

differently around the country. They're not uniform exactly, but how what how things shape up there? Yeah, the big difference in Florida when it comes to the Hispanic vote are Cuban Republicans, um. And that's been uh, that's been a standard that the Republicans could rely on for a for a long time. Uh. And also the Republican Party after the loss in the tent twelve election, really tried to push to appeal to more Hispanics because of Florida first

and foremost and in some other areas. Um. But the polls right now are it's so close, it's really hard to tell who's up. Trump's up by two and some it's tied another as and Hillary Clint is up by by a few points in others. So um, it's it's really comes down to things like waiting and various poster strategies for for figuring out the electorate. And at the end of the day, it's going to be about turnout, turn up well, and let me just give you the number just so you got if anyone's taken down the

electoral votes. I mean, you know Texas thirty eight, Florida and Ohio eighteen. Turn your attention to the debate. I'm interested to understand what it is that you think it's going to happen. Yeah, this is the taking place at Hofstra University on Monday, the Monday night. And uh, and it's going to be ninety minutes of just Hillary Clinton on stage next to Donald Trump with one moderator, Lesser

Wholt of NBC News. And uh, it's really the first time that tens of millions of Americans will see these two next to each other, you know, without any filter whatsoever. Um. And and it's the first time that both of them will be away from their handlers and and will be kind of left their own to their own devices. So as much as they can prepare and have different strategies,

anything could happen in those ninety minutes. Mike, what is the reporting of the Bloomberg Politics team showing in terms of how Donald Trump pool approach his debate, how he'll face Hillary and vice versa, how Hillary will try to set up an overpower Donald Trump. So I think one thing that they both have in common is they they

love nothing more than criticizing each other. It's Hillary Clinton has delivered some of her strongest speeches kind of uh, you know, hitting him on on character issues, making fun of him, etcetera. And as we know, Donald Trump goes on a lot about cricket, cricket Hillary, So that's kind

of the equalizer. I think the question is how they're able to deliver those criticisms and and uh, and Trump's camp has been He's been hearing from a lot of advisors who say that he should be aggressive and put her on the defensive and kind of not let her take control of the debate. And that will be something

that can go well for him or make him look lickabully. Well, I just want to mention also that Twitter is going to show Bloomberg TV's coverage of the three presidential debates and also the one featuring the vice presidents, which comes I believe in October. Correct. Then, uh, and that's all going to be through the through the app. It's really cool. So, Myke, how much difference to presidential debates look back? How much difference they make in terms of where the polls stand

before and after, who gets elected who doesn't. There's there's definitely a lot of anticipation, but at the end of the day, it hasn't moved a lot of elections lately. Um there was the biggest scare for the Obama campaign and the last election was after the first debate which Romney uh Romney one and he enjoyed a quick surgeon the polls, but things returned back to normal long before election days. Just this is going to be the gift that keeps on giving. Definitely, we'll have lots to tweet

out that evening, that's for sure. Make Mezza thanks so much for joining us. He's executive editor for Bloomberg Politics, taking a look at the latest polls, which show Hillary Clinton moving ahead in one that's very important to her campaign in Colorado, and of course a previewing how all things will go on a Monday night for those debates, and his Pim just noted Twitter will be showing Bloomberg TV's coverage of the three debates, so you won't want

to miss that. Keep it right here. This is Bloomberg m

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