Onward and upward to Mark Halpern. Now. Uh he is host of With All due respect weeknights at five pm on Bloomberg Television. You can also catch this delightful show on Bloomberg in Washington, d C. So Mark, a lot going on, and certainly for Hillary Clinton. Um, there's a latest report on Benghazi. Uh this how how? How much of a deal is this for Hillary? I'm she says it's done. You know what happened? Does this offers anything new or anything that could influence voters on her campaign?
I think very unlikely to influence voters, will continue to energize some Republicans. I think if Donald Trump can begin to talk about Hillary Flumen's record on judgment on things like Libya, uh not not necessarily relates to the horrible events tonight for Americans were killed, but the policy that led to such instability. There that the potential vulnerability for her.
But she remains much more vulnerable on how voters feel better, on the email controversy, which is stoked impressions about her trustworthiness and truthfulness, and on whether she has an economic vision. I think that I wouldn't even put ben guys in the top ten in terms of things that potentially make her a vulnerable candidate against Donald Trump. Where does what is? What is the latest? What do we stand on Hillary Clinton's email? It seems like almost every day there's something
in the news about the latest store. How would you sum that up for us at this point, Mark, Well, the biggest aspect of it is the FBI investigation, which is occurring largely out of you not entirely clear even to my best sources where the investigation stands. Hillary Clinton has not been interviewed yet by the FBI. As far as we know, we expect that to eventually happen. I remain skeptical based on the law and the facts, that
that she'll be indicted. But there are other things that are keeping the story alive and certainly adding to a
sense of of of political instability. One is the civil cases that relate to her email practices that occasionally yield depositions and other news and then um this week, in a move that even some Democrats recognize an extraordinarily bad judgment, President Clinton found himself on the tarmac at the Phoenix Airport at the same time as the Attorney General of the United States, Literal Lauretta Lynch, he's overseeing the investigation,
and he got on our plane and they, by their accounts, socialized. I don't have any reason to believe they talked about the case. But the suspicion of of the specter of President Clinton talking to the woman who's whose decision could, in theory make or break his wife's chance of being president, a lot of people just think better off not socializing with that particular fellow traveler at that point. Polls, there are many polls, and they seem to me mark to
have divergent results. Which which are the polls that are out? Now? Do you do you most take take with the most credibility of telling us where Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton stand visa via each other as we had toward novement. Well, you know, Trump is gonna have to change the nature of the electorate that votes for Republican presidential candidates to win,
and his campaign wouldn't deny that. So there's some question of whether the polls are capturing that kind of both demographic and electoral college strategy that Trump would have to rely on to win his strength in important states like Michigan or rather Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, UH is different from most of the national polls, and people tend to overreact to snapshots of where we are. There's no doubt in my mind that Hillary Clinton is more likely to win
than not. It's more doubt in my mind that Democrats have an electoral college advantage based on their performance in the last several elections. But I think Donald Trump has proven that he can gain and lose support pretty easily, and coming out of a very bad period, I don't think anybody should be surprised he's behind. He does have some structural problems right now with certain parts of the electorate, and that's reflected in the national polls that show him
down anywhere from four points to twelve points. We just saw in the UK where Poles were not mislet us. You could say, what about the polls in the US. I guess yesterday said they can be much more massage. Perhaps some people know would be be possible to get a surprise like that in November. Well, the fact is the betting markets were wrong in Brexit. The polls were
perfectly accurate. Uh if you look at margin of error, which you know, you need to give the posters credit for recognizing that there is a margin of error in these polls. The polls consistently showed that the outcome would be close. On the outcome was closed. The betting markets were the ones that were wrong. And I've been a big critic of betting markets because if they're not about finance, if they're about politics or sports, I'm not sure I
trust the expertise of those people. But we always trust the expertise of Mark Halprin. He's hosted, with all due respect, on Bloomberg Television. Catch him today at five pm Wall Street Time. This is Bloomberg