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Holiday Special: 2025 Tech Trends with Ives and Munster

Jul 04, 202539 min
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In a special July 4th edition of Bloomberg Daybreak...Bloomberg’s Nathan Hager looks at the biggest tech stories from 2025 and what we can expect for the rest of the year. He speaks with Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management and Dan Ives from Wedbush. 

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Transcript

Speaker 1

Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Thank you so much for joining us for this special edition of Bloomberg Daybreak. I'm Nathan Hager. US markets are closed for the fourth of July holiday, coming up this hour. Well, what a difference three months makes. Back in April, tech stocks were

hardest hit in the stock market selloff. Now after tumbling in some cases more than thirty percent from record highs, names you know like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms have helped power the Nasdaq and the S and P five hundred back into record territory. So what will the rest

of the year bring. We hope to answer that question in this special one hour roundtable with two of Wall Street's most influential tech analysts, Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management and Dan Ives, Global head of Tech research at Webbush Securities. Kind of becoming a tradition to have the three of us together. Thanks so much for being here, and I want to start with a look back at the last time we got together at the

start of this year. Dan, you've talked about the time it's at in the AI party, so I want to remind you what you told us not too long ago. On New Year's Day.

Speaker 2

First of there's after parties at five and six am, and then even in news you'll have some that fall by the waisa. But if you focus on the winners and keep the thesis again, we're going to be talking about four trillion, five trillion dollar mark aps NASDAK twenty twenty two, twenty five k over the next three four five years in my opinion.

Speaker 1

So now here we are with talk of Nvidia maybe Microsoft becoming the first four trillion dollar company. The Nasdaq's already at twenty thousand. So what time is it now, Dan?

Speaker 2

Yeah, Look, I mean it was nine pm in the party. Now it's ten pm. But that party goes to four am. As we've said, because this SAI revolution, it's just starting to hit its next stage. Go ahead in terms of the use cases on enterprise, in terms on the consumer. You think about physical AI, which obviously Jen's talked a ton about, we'll and we'll hit on And that's my view. This is a fourth industrial revolution, This tack bull market. It's another three years ahead. And that's why I think

it's get out the popcorn, get the champagne. I's handing slowing it down.

Speaker 1

So a slow moving clock at the start of the AI party. Potentially, Gene, let's remind everyone what you had to say about this at the start of the year as well.

Speaker 3

I like dance party analogy is much more of my baseball analogies. But I'm at the third inning of this, and we think we're in the early stages of a three to five year bull market, and I don't I wouldn't. Don't worry about the after don't worry about the hangover at this point, I think you just embrace that this is as the substance will exceed the hype and we've got some great years ahead of us from the market.

Speaker 1

This is the question, is the substance succeeding the hype now, Jane, I don't even.

Speaker 4

Think we're close to it.

Speaker 3

And I go back a couple months ago, we hosted an AI summits and we had all the leaders from the big private AI companies there. I mean, these companies are just geared towards evangelizing what's going on AI. And what surprised me most was they talked about the most compelling use cases of AI being coding and customer service. These are the same things that we talked about a

year ago and the reason why that's so bullish. If I was going to refine what I said back in January, I'd actually say we're in the second inning, and this commentary around from these leading AI companies that the use cases really haven't taken off. I think to me speaks to just how early we are. And then you layer on top of that things that are going on with

Zuck going out and putting these huge bounties. I mean, if you believe that he's competent and look at the money that's getting put behind this, I think we're still very early. So to answer your question, you know, is the substance there. It's just starting. But totally agree with where where Dan's at and how the trajectory this plays out over the next few years.

Speaker 1

Well, let's talk a little bit about where the use case is going right now. Over the last several months, maybe the last couple of years, we've talked about all the spending that's been going on, particularly by the hyperscalers in this space. Dan, how do you see the use cases developing right now?

Speaker 2

Yeah, and Gene hit on some of them, But I think the most important thing too is, like for every dollar spent on in video chip, we estimate there's an eight to ten dollars multiplier across software, infrastructure energy. That speaks the ripple effect. When you think about the use cases obviously front and center of the MESSI of AI pound tier. I mean we have upwards of eighty four use cases today. You go back a year ago mid

less than five across retail, advertising, marketing, government. And what's starting to happen is companies seventy percent of the data they've never accessed before. That's why now for any of these install based Oracle, Microsoft Salesforce Service now it's a bonanza because of the cross SEU opportunities. You know, Gene sees so much of the innovative company is also on the private side. And I think what you're also seeing

now is like the innovation that's happening. To me, it's the biggest thing that I've ever seen, and when I'm surprised every time in a factory floor, whether it's humanoids, robotics, autonomous, whether it's in the US, whether it's in Asia, it's just starting. It's a golden age for tech ahead. And that's why Wes say the Bears and their hibernation caves. They can see AI in the spreadsheets.

Speaker 1

Gene In terms of how these large language models are developing and the use cases that are being put out there, how do you see some of these companies like open AI, like Anthropic competing against each other? Is there going to be one winner? Are there going to be multiple winners?

Speaker 3

I mean from our perspective, I mean, again, keep the groundwork to framework that Dan's laid out, like this is going to be bigger than what people can imagine. And in that case, you know what is this at the core of it? It is that intelligence piece and answer question Nathan. I think there's going to be five kind of core models that essentially the Western world is going to be a run off of. And those are those

companies that we just that we know so well. There is a debate about is this kind of a race to the bottom. Eventually, once we hit general intelligence, does this AI the powers of the INSIGHT's going to become a commodity? And I feel very strongly that that's not going to be the case. I think that as more and more of our world, basically the world becomes dependent on these, I think that there is pricing leverage and so to answer your question, I think there is going to.

Speaker 4

Kind of be five key companies.

Speaker 3

There's going to be thousands and thousands, tens of hundreds of thousands of models, many of those large language miles that are out there, but really five that are going to determine this. And you look at a company like open Ai, you get a company like Xai. I mean, these companies are going to be trillion dollar plus companies down the road.

Speaker 1

We're speaking with Gene Munster, managing partner in deep Water Asset Management and Dan Ives, global head of Tech research at web Bush Securities. Obviously, guys, it hasn't been a straight line. We mentioned the selloff at the start of the second quarter with some of the tariff rhetoric that came around there. Dan, were you concerned at all that when we heard some of these high teriff rates announced that the party was almost over free.

Speaker 2

I I thought Trump closed the party, the velvet ropes were gone. That was a dark few weeks. Look in twenty five years doing this, that was the darkest two weeks I've seen, even going back to the Financial crisis and every other event, Because that, to me was the risk, especially when it comes to China and tariffs and the supply chain that was gonna cut tech off at the knees. Thankfully, we've seen the administration step further and further back from

the cliff. Cool heads prevailed, the adult in the room, investments taken over, and I think that it's a very important stage and that the markets kind of gleaned will have much more of a digestible tarerf ray and reciprocal tarifray, but nothing that was essentially at the time going to be an economic army. Gedton and glad and so happy that you know those days are a memory.

Speaker 1

Is it just a memory gene or could we see more hiccups down the road depending on how policy turns out in Washington.

Speaker 3

Unpredictability is kind of part of the strategy today and so we have to kind of go with that. I've over the past couple of months have had several conversations with former US Trade Group and they currently work with the Trump administration and help advise on that. And what's been very clear about this whole kind of back and forth on what's going on and the White House in particular, is the center of gravity is the economy. And we can look at all the different pieces around AI trade.

We can look at what's going on in Tarras, but at the end of the day, the White House wants to maintain the economy. And so Nathan, when I think about this crazy pendulum that goes on, I expected to continue at some level.

Speaker 4

But as Dan just so.

Speaker 3

Accurately said, this, cool heads will prevail because ultimately the economy is what matters most when it comes to politics, because that is how you get reelected.

Speaker 4

And I think that I'm not going to be swayed by that.

Speaker 3

And just one other piece related to kind of some of these unpredicted what's happened in terms of policy is the general view historically is that if the market pulls back, it's really difficult for one sector to continue to do well. Like, for example, you know, if there's NASAK goes down, it's really hard for the AI companies to continue.

Speaker 4

To power forward. And whatever might cause that.

Speaker 3

Slow down in the Nasdaq, whether it's high interest rates or whatever it might be. But I actually am so bullish on AI. I think that it has the power for these companies to continue to move higher over the next three to five years, despite what is going to happen what could happen with the overall macro and I don't like being out on a limb that fart and the right approach is that AI is just much more impactful.

Like Dan said, if it got cut off at the knees with trade, that's something that is that would have an impact. But assuming the trade piece stays intact, I think it's going to be really hard for policy to slow this AI train.

Speaker 1

Just to pick up on that point. So much of the policy decisions are driven by just the fact that this could be seen as an AI race between the US and China. I mean, how do you see that playing out? Dan, who takes the lead in AI? Is it gonna be the US? Is it going to be China? How big a deal is that? The deep seek news that we saw just a few months back.

Speaker 2

I think the Deep Seek that was a scary moment, But the reality is is more came out about that in terms of add a few comments to what they were spending and next Gen and video are hard where they were using. Everyone recognized there's only one chip in the world feeling this, and it's it's the godfather of a Jensen and video. You'll have other moments like that, and China is not just going to sit there on

a treadmill. They're going to continue narrow the gap. But I actually think that's positive because it's a shot across about at US big tech, and I think you're seeing an acceleration since Deep Seek. But that's an important movement, and I think what Gene said is such a great one to sum it up in terms of what's happening.

This is just an unrivaled period and you can go if you become myopically focused in some of the headlines, you miss what's really a fourth in dust revolution that we're living in.

Speaker 3

You know, if all of us investors can channel that superpower of just looking at the endgame here, which is effectively most parts of the world are going to be have a profound impact from AI. If you can stay focused on that, I think you can create some wealth over the next three to five years.

Speaker 1

And we're going to keep this focus going. Is This special one hour round table on the high tech industry continues here on Bloomberg Daybreak, with a focus particularly on some of the biggest names in the mag seven. So stay with us as this special edition of Bloomberg Daybreak continues it's twenty minutes past the hour. I'm Nathan Hager, and this is Bloomberg. Welcome back to the special edition of Bloomberg Daybreak. US markets are closed for the fourth

of July holiday. I'm Nathan Hager getting you back to our high Tech Power Hour. Dan Ives is with US global head of Tech Research at web Bush Securities, as well as Deepwater Asset Management managing partner Gene Munster Gina. I want to focus a little bit on specific names in the mag seven we've been talking about in Nvidia, So let's talk a little bit more about this powerhouse in the AI chip space. There's been talk about it

getting to a four trillion dollar valuation. We've seen some analysts calling for up to a six trillion dollar valuation. Where do you see Nvidia going into the second half?

Speaker 3

So at the end of the day, what in Nvidia comes down to is what's the growth going to be in calendar twenty six and so the street currently has estimates for about twenty five percent growth. That's a step down from about fifty five percent in calendar twenty five. And so I believe that this ultimately that Nvidia is going to grow probably somewhere between thirty thirty five percent much faster, and this narrative that you just can't rely on hardware when it comes to sleep well at night

for investors. I think that narrative is going to each quarter be proved wrong. And the reason is that if we are as early as we believe in this whole AI transformation, and there is a cost and energy advantage of using these invidio chips even ahead of custom silicon from these hyperskillers with their building that the world is

going to continue to depend on in video. So I'm a believer that ultimately the stock continues to move higher that this on evaluation basis is still despite the big move that we've had, one of the most attractive large cap tech companies.

Speaker 1

Yeah, it's been breathtaking, Dan, seeing the outperformance that in Vidia manages to put out their quarter after quarter. Do you see double digit percentage growth for this company continuing into quarters to come.

Speaker 2

Look, I think, and Gene hit on it a little. I think there's a better chance to me batting in front Aaron Judge than these numbers being real and there I think in video these are samdbag numbers that the street has they're probably gonna beat it anywhere from five hundred to eight hundred BIPs. And I think that's the reality, is that the street is underestimating growth because there's only one ship in the world fueling this, and the sovereigns and the rest of the world haven't even started down

the path. That's why when I look at a video four trillion, they get into the first in that club, and then Microsoft gets in, then the path to five trillion, ultimately six trillion. Because this is just the start. Jane talks about second inning to about ten pm and a party that goes to four am. They'll be headlines, they'll

be rich, stocks will sell off. But that's why we're gonna be throwing about NASDAK twenty two thousand, twenty five thousand, and when we're doing this again, at one point we're going to be twin in NAZAC thirty thousand over the coming year. That's where this market's going.

Speaker 1

Does it depend for Nvidia gene on the company diversifying its customer base, getting that sovereign business to get it there? Can it depend just on the hyperscalers?

Speaker 3

I mean, eventually no, but I think over the next couple of years. There's still much more to spend, much more spending than people anticipate from the hyperscalers. And yes we have those other chapters Dan mentioned the sovereign. That's a huge deal. I mean governments are going to be dependent upon AI companies, industries. But to answer your question, Nathan, eventually you do have to to kind of move beyond that.

The move isn't just. The reason why there's still more room to go is that these hyperscalers recognize that the demand on this is growing exponentially. Just to quickly frame in one example of how demand is exponentially growing, if you look at GPT usage on they give it on a weekly basis, thea that it is accelerating, it's doubling in shorter amounts of time. So when you have this kind of hockey stick, they need to keep up with that. That means that the need is accelerating. They're not making

progress towards the getting their arms around it. And so yes, we still have a few years left. Yes, eventually they need to go beyond the hyperscalers. But I don't think investors need to worry about that.

Speaker 1

Are there certain risks that investors do need to worry about, Dan, in terms of in Nvidia, I'm thinking about, you know, keeping up with the demand for those Blackwell chips, innovating even further on some of the highest tech AI chips that in Nvidia puts out there. Can it continue to keep up with that demand?

Speaker 2

Look, they're a risk, I mean China is a risk right in terms of the tree and negotiations to make sure because of the each twenty chip that got restricted, they're not handing Quai eight billion a quarter, so to make sure they're able to sell into China. That is a risk because the react these chins that just sitting still the supply demand right now, demand the supply still ten to one, so they have to continue to keep up with that and that is a risk as well.

And competition is going to come, you know, from AMD and others and across chips. But the reality is there's only one Gensen. He along with the Dell and others, understand the AI revolution better than animals. And that's why there's only one godfather of AI. He's wearing a black weather jacket. His name of Gensen.

Speaker 1

We're speaking with Dan Ives, the Global head of Tech Research at Wedbush Securities. And Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management. Let's move on from Nvidia to Microsoft, because it does seem like these are the companies that are that are in the race for the four trillion dollar valuation potentially. Microsoft has been really aggressive with the AI spend, cutting costs to do it as well. They've

gone through thousands of job cuts over the last few months. Gene, what do you make of the strategy under Sacha Nadella over at Microsoft.

Speaker 3

I mean, they're doing a great job of being there early, of course, and also navigating a changing relationship with open AI. And the way this all kind of plays forward is that if you look at the growth rates that the streets expecting for this year, next year, last few quarters, it just hovers around this eleven, twelve, thirteen, fourteen percent.

Speaker 4

It's really a tight range.

Speaker 3

And so at the core, what they're doing right is recognizing that they can increase the value of their products by injecting AI into it.

Speaker 4

They're the first with Copilot.

Speaker 3

Around that, and it's something I think for the negative is you're not going to see an acceleration of Microsoft's business to grow in like twenty five percent. That's not going to happen. But what you will see is a company that's just going to continue to knock it out quarter on quarter on quarter on quarter of this kind of low double digit growth. And when you do that, investors sleep well at night. That's good for the multiple.

Speaker 1

How do you view dan the evolving relationship between Microsoft and open Ai. It has been interesting to watch over the last few months.

Speaker 2

Look neither I viewed it. It was a training wheel situation with the open Ai and the Della and Microsoft going back to early twenty three. Training wheels are off Della. He's taken Microsoft down the side of a mountain and not looking back. The point is that they're just in the next stage of the AI revolution and they are

in the backyard of Microsoft. So I don't when I look at OpenAI that would be called competition, say partner, but I don't really concern myself with that, just given where Microsoft is and they're just gaining more and more momentum. I mean to give you example, we think based on all of our survey work, for every one hundred dollars A customers spent with Microsoft in their lifetime, there's now forty to upwards of fifty furs for every one hundred

dollars they've spent from AI modization opportunity. That basically speaks to almost another Microsoft being built within Microsoft. And that's why the market is recognizing further and further that stockje.

Speaker 1

Of course, there's so much competition in the cloud, Microsoft, Azure, You've got Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud as well. How do you see that competition shaking out?

Speaker 3

You know, I think that the competitively, if you think it like market share, you're going to see AWS continue to lose share. I mean, this is just a math game. Essentially, Their AWS is growing high teens and if you look at Azure and Google Cloud, it's kind of high twenties, low thirties. And so there's just a math game going on there. But ultimately is that these three are in just such a great position. There is one dynamic that I haven't quite figured out how to factor in because

these are like the pressure points. And you of course Amazon trades on that AWS number. Google has a big impact on how Google Cloud does, you know, But what does as we hear more from Nvidia about a cloud business, their cloud businesses, they're starting to build that out.

Speaker 4

What does that mean?

Speaker 3

And ultimately does Meta get into a cloud type of business. I still believe Apple also is in a great position to. It blows my mind away that they don't have a competitor to that, and they have secure this great relationship around consumer data. They've done so much with iCloud and backup, and I think that there's an opportunity for them to get there. And to say it in a more simple way is that these companies are in a great place,

but this is still such a juicy market. I think you're going to see more competition from the likes of Apple and in video and Meta on the cloud side.

Speaker 1

Interesting point, Dan, how do you see the cloud business shaking out among all these mag seven names and how does AI play into that book?

Speaker 2

I think AI is the catalyst because you still have less than fifty percent of workows they're in the cloud today, and also more and more they're hybrid environments, which basically means these enterprises that have Azure GCP from Google as well as AWS from Amazon, so hybrid environments. It actually creates more and more demand across his AI stack because the use cases are all being built in the cloud. So that's a huge opportunity for Google and Curran is

obviously taking that mantle. You look at Jasie what he's on AWS side. More and more, I think the market's going to recognize even though those see share, as Gene said, to Microsoft, the opportunity when it comes to AI, that just gives them more and more modernization. So it is a rising tidal lifts all boots, although the one at the top of the mound continues to be Microsoft.

Speaker 1

Interesting Gene, speaking of some of the headlines, we just got the headline this week when it comes to Amazon that their warehouses might have as many robots now as they do humans. Does that play into some of the use case, not just for Amazon but across industries. Is that where things are going here in terms of AI.

Speaker 3

I mean, this is like watching a glacier move and everyone can see it happening. We saw it five years ago, I guess thirteen years ago when they bought Kiva and

we knew that they were going to do more. We knew that this was a massive opportunity for Amazon because they got the lowest margins of any of the big tech company and they have the most opportunity because they've got over a million out a million robots, right now they've got one point six million total people call it one point two working in their fulfillment centers and doing delivery. And so I think that you know, we've seen this happen when you.

Speaker 4

Put it together.

Speaker 3

If you look at their operating margin, Amazon's operating margins right now are up around ten to eleven percent that record highs.

Speaker 4

But you're going to.

Speaker 3

See those just continue to inch higher. Robots don't sick, Robots don't ask for wage increases, and I think that ultimately this idea around Amazon being a margin expansion story based on robotics is going to become kind of a center theme on the Amazon investment case in the years to come.

Speaker 1

Stay with us. We're going to talk even more about robotics with two of the names that both of you follow, probably closest of all, I want to talk about Tesla and Apple on the other side of this break as our special edition of a Bloomberg Daybreak, the Tech Edition continues. It's thirty seven minutes past the hour. I'm Nathan Hager, and this is Bloomberg. Thanks for being with us on this special edition of Bloomberg Daybreak. I'm Nathan Hager, and

US markets are closed for the Independence Day holiday. It's time to wrap up our high tech roundtable. We've been spending this entire hour with Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, and Wedbush Securities Global head of Tech Research, Dan ives Dan. Whenever we talk, I gotta talk about Tesla. There's been so much drama around this stock this year. Do you look past it? How do you look past it?

Speaker 2

Look, it's been and obviously you know, knowing and covering Musk from the beginning. I mean this has been a soap opera, right because the BFF situation Musk and Trump, it's now turned into a junior high school friendship gone bad. And this enemy situation that continues to be the overhang because Tesla is going into its biggest chapter growth autonomous robotics, but especially when it comes to cyber cabin road attacks

and our team was Aaron Austin. The last thing you want is Trump being more hawkish when it comes to the regulatory landscape around autonomous and Tesla. Now, look, I ultimately believe it will settle. And at the end of the day, Trump needs Musk, must needs Trump, and Tesla continues to be especially on the autonomous side the best way to compete with China. But with that said, it's like you just have to get you and Gen always talks about this as well, and those are so great.

You have to just navigate through headlines. He far through the trees. You're dealing Muster to Trump. It's a BFF situation gone bad, But it doesn't change our bullet view that Automas is worth a trillion dollars alone to Tesla's stock.

Speaker 1

How do you see the integration of Xai with Tesla affecting things? Does that play into your bookcase as well?

Speaker 2

Yeah? I mean, look, my view is down the reard. There's a good chance that it all gets integrated into one holding structure, from Xai to x to Tesla, you know, and maybe even a piece of space, because that's all part of I think, the broader vision, especially when it comes to AI. So look, this is one where sentiment continues to be very negative on Tessa, but I believe when it comes to pure physical AI, the two best physical AI plays are Nvidia Tessa. When you to male Thomas and Robotics.

Speaker 1

The sentiment matters though, doesn't it. And Gene, I'd like you to weigh in on this as well, whether the brand has been attainted too much over the last few months.

Speaker 3

I mean, it's it's taking a huge hit, but people forget it's something else. And it's pretty clear that Elon's trying to strike some middle ground. And I think that if you fast forward a year from now, I think the whole brand damage thing is going to be in the rooview mirror and at the core, the numbers this year are going to be ugly. The delivery numbers for the full year are going to fall below where the streets at. They're probably going to be down ten percent

something like that. But we're gonna see a nice bounce back next year because the brand am I'm just going to go away. We're probably going to grow deliveries twenty percent that new moral affordable model.

Speaker 4

Yes, we lose the tax.

Speaker 3

Credit, but I think when you put all this together, we're going to see some nice growth next year. And ultimately, when we talk about the psychology about this for investors, is that this autonomy thing I think I don't think people can even begin to grasp. I have a hard time beginning, and I think about this all day long, how big of a deal this is in terms of autonomy, and I just want to highlight one piece, one of a maddening piece to me on this is why why

do legislators slow the adoption of this? These vehicles are infinitely more safe than human drivers. Humans are amazing drivers when they're not distracted, but that's becoming more and more difficult. And so at the end of the day, I think

that we're going to see these autonomous systems. There's really two companies that are there, and I think that if you fast forward twenty six, twenty seven to twenty eight, yes, it will take longer than anything, but eventually I think the psychology are on Tesla is going to be anchored in that autonomy physical AI, and like Dan said, there really is really two companies that are going after that.

Speaker 1

Sticking with you, Jane, let's turn to a stock that you, of course follow very closely. That would be Apple. It's been kind of an interesting year for Apple so far, a lot of underwhelming sentiment, I think we could say coming out of the latest Worldwide Developers Conference. Now the news just this week that the iPhone makers thinking of going outside its ecosystem to power the AI backed serie. How do you view Apple right now.

Speaker 3

I think this is going to be a great back half of the year for the stock. It seems like I'm disconnected from reality. But a couple of things to consider. Number one is the bar for AI could be lower.

Speaker 2

For Apple.

Speaker 3

They basically went on a media blitz right after WWDC Federini Jaws went out and said it's not going to be till spring of next year until you see anything in substance with a new SERI. And then second, if you look at the iPhone numbers, they're looking for the streets looking for one percent growth this fiscal year four next year, and come let's come back to where we were a year year and a half ago. Remember thirty nine percent iPhone growth in twenty twenty one. That's a

massive year. You're gonna get some of those upgrades. I think they actually beat the iPhone number the streets looking for a flat iPhone in the September quarter. I think the guide that they're going to give when they report the June quarter is going to be a positive. I expect this stock to respond accordingly.

Speaker 1

We're speaking with Dan Ives, the global head of Tech Research at Wedbush Securities, and Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management. Let's talk about some other big names in the mag seven meta platforms. There's been all this talk about the super intelligence team Mark Zuckerberg's putting together Gene. What do you make of that comes back?

Speaker 3

Do you think that Zuckerberg is competent? I think he is. I think he understands where things are going. And what I make of it is it's a tell how early we are in this AI that they are recognizing that there still is a lot to be, a lot to happen here and what's had steak. I mean we're talking about ten fifty one hundred million dollar bounties. I mean these make pro athletes look like chump change some of

their pay packages. And the reason what we make of it, Nathan, is that if in fact these tech companies are competent and they're recognizing investing in individuals that are worth one hundred million dollar bonuses, I think that that really speaks to the bigger pictures. So when I see what's going on with their metas and their superintelligence, I just think I just can't stop but thinking about the big picture about what's at steak here with AI.

Speaker 1

And it is really interesting though, Dan to see, you know, meta platforms making this big, high profile move around staffing up on AI and then just to go back to the conversation about Apple maybe looking outside its own ecosystem to power its own AI. Can these two names that had been so big just a couple of years ago, can they play catch up with with some of the others in the space.

Speaker 2

Well, I think they can because it all comes down to install base and resources and developers. You know, when you look good, go say like a meta I mean Zuckerberg basically it's called like a wartime CEO in terms of what he's doing, and I think going to more and more monetize when you've got consumer AI revolution, not enterprise with Nvidia and obviously the hyperscalers. Consumer AI revolution

runs through Apple, Meta and Alphabet. So I just view it as it's all just about making the right strategic moves. Sometimes you're late, but because the install based that all of that matters that you end up being right. You can lose the first second round, you win the last ten, you win the match, right, And I think that's sort of where they are, and I think that's why I

continue to include them Core. You know, when we've used the ives AI thirty in terms of really who the winners are when it comes to AI.

Speaker 1

Interesting to think about the consumer case for artificial intelligence when you think about what it's doing in terms of productivity, how companies are thinking about, you know, their job structures, that sort of thing. When in the consumer space, we've seen a lot of interesting videos, pictures, images that might potentially fool people down the line as well. Gene, talk a little bit about how you're thinking in terms of an analyst of this space, about how AI is shaping up for the consumer.

Speaker 3

With Tail two Cities, I mean, there's what's going on with AI. Agree with Dan's view about Coupertino and all things run through when it comes to consumer with Apple Zoom, I think there's another piece to it that isn't necessarily an analyst piece to it, but more of just like a human side to this is I think what we're going to see around consumer and AI is going to be a massive acceleration in terms of what we saw

was social over the last fifteen years. In terms of how it changes I think human's ability to engage in.

Speaker 2

The real world.

Speaker 3

In other words, when I think about all the good things that are going to happen, and I want to make sure that people understand how the positive for us that I think AI overwhelmingly will be. But on the consumer side, I do I fear that we are the ability for the machine. It just hit that video exactly at the right time when you're vulnerable to keep watching

more and more of them. I think that that's a piece that really we haven't as a society come to grips with in terms of how powerful this is going to be.

Speaker 1

In our last couple of minutes, Dan, I'd like to get your thoughts on outside the mag seven, what you're looking at in terms of opportunities in the tech space. What are some of your favorites.

Speaker 2

Yeah, and also let me say, Gene, you know, anyone that follows him on social or obviously you know publicly, you know he dives so deep in to some of these trends, which I think is very important for investors to understand what's actually making up this growth demand in

AI across consumer and across the enterprise. And look, and I would just say like to me outside maxim like cybersecurity is going to be a huge beneficiary CrowdStrike pal out to z Scalar, you know, being our favorites there, you know, especially as more and more moves to the cloud.

It's led by from a use case perspective, what I believe the probably the best software use case out there is Palenteered and that's a trillion dollar mark cap next two to three years, as well as names like Snowflake, Mango, dB and others. You know, you go, you focus on who are the second third derivatives of AI?

Speaker 1

And how about Eugene, what are you looking at outside the mag seven? Where would you steer clear as well?

Speaker 3

Well, I got I mean within this one's a six billion dollar market camp but Box as in not drop Box, but Box. And this is a company that's growing at seven percent next year, nine percent this year. But what they're doing around basically talk about the consumer side of it, basically taking your consumer all the files that you have and be able to use an agent on top of it to ask, you know, where different things are insights

around the data that you have. So I think that's one we own it and our fund that is off the beaten path that we're really bullish on as far as where to avoid the rising tide is so powerful. I don't have a good answer to that, and I think that maybe set a different way. My biggest concern about everything that's going on is I have a hard time coming up with a concern, and that concerns me.

Speaker 4

If that makes any sense.

Speaker 3

Yeah, And so I think that you know, to bet against the names that Dan and I spend so much time with, I mean, the broader theme, this rising tide, would I would stay with the trend?

Speaker 1

Are there any that you'd steer clear of?

Speaker 2

Dan?

Speaker 1

Just quickly?

Speaker 2

I mean to me, it's some of the legacy players. This just goes to each peas the Dell's, have you them at shared donors? So those are the ones that we're definitely less positive on.

Speaker 1

All right, Well, we'll leave it there until next time. Thanks so much to both of you for being with us on this special high tech based edition of Bloomberg Daybreak. Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, and Dan Ives, Global head of Tech Research at Webbush Securities. Thanks to you as well for taking time out on this holiday. I'm Nathan Hager inviting you to stay with us. Today's top stories and global business headlines are coming up right now.

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